Archive for the ‘New Issues’ Category

New Issue : Sun Life 4.50% Perpetuals

Thursday, January 25th, 2007

Sun Life Financial has announced that they will be issuing a new series of perpetual preferreds, Series 5.

The dividend rate is 4.50% and the expected closing date is February 2. The redemption schedule is:

Sun Life 4.50% Perp Ser 5 Redemption Schedule
From To Price
2012-3-31 2013-3-30 $26.00
2013-3-31 2014-3-30 $25.75
2014-3-31 2015-3-30 $25.50
2015-3-31 2016-3-30 $25.25
2016-3-31 INFINITE DATE $25.00

It seems rather odd that the dividend rate is the same as on the recent bank issues despite the slightly lower credit on Sunlife: it’s rated P-1(Low) by S&P, Pfd-1(low) by DBRS.

An interesting feature of the terms is that there is a Mandatory Non-Payment of Dividends in the event that the Minimum Continuing Capital and Surplus Requirements (“MCCSR”) ratio of Sun Life Assurance Company of Canada was less than 120% at the end of the preceding quarterly financial reporting period. Another measure of financial strength to attempt to understand and worry about! According to their 2005 Annual Report, this ratio was:

MCCSR Ratio, Historical pro-forma
2003 232%
2004 238%
2005 216%

According to the same document:

Sun Life Assurance continues to be subject to the MCCSR required capital for a life insurance company in Canada. OSFI generally expects life insurance companies to maintain a minimum MCCSR of 150% or greater, based on the risk profile of the relevant insurance company. Sun Life Assurance’s MCCSR ratio as at December 31, 2005 well exceeded the levels that would require any regulatory or corrective action. Additional details concerning the calculation of available capital and MCCSR are included in the 2005 AIF of SLF Inc. under the heading “Regulatory Matters”.

So it would seem that long before there was a Mandatory Non-Payment of Dividends the company’s name would be all over the front page anyway. But it is another thing that has to be reviewed!

Update: Forgot to give the size! Ten million shares @ $25.

Update & Bump: Here’s a comparison of some curve prices:

Curve Price Analysis by Taxable Curve
Component SLF.PR.? SLF.PR.D BNS.PR.L
Price due to base-rate 23.16 23.05 23.15
Price due to short-term 0.04 0.04 0.04
Price due to long-term 0.58 0.58 0.59
Price due to Liquidity 1.45 1.44 1.49
Price due to error 0.02 0.02 -0.03
Price due to Credit Spread (Low) -0.52 -0.52 0.00
Curve Price 24.73 24.61 25.24
Other Data  
Annual Dividend 1.125 1.1125 1.125
1/25 Closing Quote Issue Price 25.00 24.71-75 25.05-07

Novel Redemption Terms for Copernican International Financial Split Corp.

Thursday, January 25th, 2007

This is an otherwise unremarkable split share issue investing in international financial companies.

One of the great headaches for those who invest in the Capital Units of Split-share companies is the immediate drop in NAV on issue – all issue costs come out of their part of the investors, while the preferred shareholders sit back and grin. This, I believe, is one reason why the terms on the Preferred Share portion of these offerings is both so good and restricted to those who also buy capital units … if there’s a fat coupon on the preferred, it should rise in price instantly on issue day and therefore give the investors something, at least, to smile about.

In this issue – Copernican filed a prospectus today – the situation is a little different. Issue expenses estimated to be $750,000 as well as the selling commission of 4.25% of the total raised will be paid by the manager.

They’re not doing this just for their health, of course. The manager will be getting a fee of 1.95% and will be compensated by the company for the service fee of 0.40% of the Capital Unit Value that they will pass on to the agents. And – just to make sure that everybody’s good and locked in – there’s a redemption fee payable to the MANAGER (not the company!) that starts a $1.05 per $20 unit (over 5%!) and declines until it is $0.55 per unit (still 2.75% of original investment!) in June 2013. Then it’s zero for the last six months of the fund’s life.

Deferred Sales Charges come to the split share world!

Still – there won’t be that instant drop in NAV as soon as the Capital Units start trading! That will be meaningful to some.

Unless hounded by vast crowds of importunate clients, I won’t be adding this particular split-share corporation preferred issue to the HIMIPref™ database. The fact that pref holders will only get their original $10 back on any redemptions means that even a small increase in price will lead to a negative YTW and the YTW scenario will always be sufficiently short-term that the system won’t want to trade it.

It would certainly be possible to improve the programme so that the disincentive for early redemptions was recognized … somehow … but until there are a lot of issues like this it hardly seems worth the effort. I will be watching this issue with great, if informal, interest.

New Issue : Royal Bank 4.50% Perpetual

Wednesday, January 10th, 2007

The Royal Bank decided to join BMO and Scotia in issuing a new 4.5% Perpetual this week.

This one is for 10-million shares ($250-million), with an anticipated settlement date of January 19. It’s designated “Non-Cumulative First Preferred Shares, Series AE” and is a bought deal.

The redemption schedule is:

Redemption Schedule, RY Series AE
From To Price
2012-2-24 2013-2-23 $26.00
2013-2-24 2014-2-23 $25.75
2014-2-24 2015-2-23 $25.50
2015-2-24 2016-2-23 $25.25
2016-2-24 INFINITE DATE $25.00

More later.

New Issue : 4.50% Scotia Perpetuals

Monday, January 8th, 2007

The first week of the new year has started with a bang!
The Bank of Nova Scotia has announced a bought deal for 12-million shares @ $25: these will be designated “Non-Cumulative Preferred Shares, Series 14”. The anticipated closing date is January 24, 2007.
The redemption schedule is:

Redemption Schedule, BNS Ser 14
From To Price
2012-4-26 2013-4-25 $26.00
2013-4-26 2014-4-25 $25.75
2014-4-26 2015-4-25 $25.50
2015-4-26 2016-4-25 $25.25
2016-4-26 INFINITE DATE $25.00

More later.

Later, more:

Comparator Characteristics
Issue BNS.PR.K CM.PR.I RY.PR.D BMO.PR.? BNS.PR.?
Dividend 1.20 1.175 1.125 1.125 1.125
Quote 25.85-96 25.16-36 25.11-20 25.00 Issue 25.00 Issue
Redemption Schedule Start 2010-4-28 2012-1-31 2012-02-24 2012-2-25 2012-4-26
Price due to base-rate 24.25 24.07 23.45 23.38 23.37
Price due to short-term 0.03 0.04 0.03 0.03 0.03
Price due to long-term 0.49 0.49 0.48 0.46 0.46
Price due to error -0.01 0.02 -0.03 0.00 0.00
Price due to Credit Spread (Low) N/A -0.54 N/A N/A N/A
Intrinsic Curve Price 24.77 24.08 23.94 23.87 23.86
Price due to Liquidity 0.52 1.50 1.51 1.51? 1.51?
Curve Price 25.29 25.58 25.45 25.38? 25.37?
Yield-to-Worst (after Tax) 3.37% 3.66% 3.58% 3.58% 3.57%
Yield-to-Worst (Pre-Tax) 4.24% 4.61% 4.51% 4.50% 4.49%

 

So … the new issue looks like a good, but not great, purchase at the issue price.

New Issue: BMO 4.50% Perpetuals

Monday, January 8th, 2007

The first week of the new year has started with a bang!

BMO has announced a bought deal for 14-million shares @ $25: these will be designated “Non-Cumulative Perpetual Class B Preferred Shares, Series 13”.

The anticipated closing date is January 17, 2007.

The redemption schedule is:

Redemption Schedule, BMO Ser 13
From To Price
2012-2-25 2013-2-24 $26.00
2013-2-25 2014-2-24 $25.75
2014-2-25 2015-2-24 $25.50
2015-2-25 2016-2-24 $25.25
2016-2-25 INFINITE DATE $25.00

More later.

Later, more:

Comparator Characteristics
Issue BNS.PR.K CM.PR.I RY.PR.D BMO.PR.? BNS.PR.?
Dividend 1.20 1.175 1.125 1.125 1.125
Quote 25.85-96 25.16-36 25.11-20 25.00 Issue 25.00 Issue
Redemption Schedule Start 2010-4-28 2012-1-31 2012-02-24 2012-2-25 2012-4-26
Price due to base-rate 24.25 24.07 23.45 23.38 23.37
Price due to short-term 0.03 0.04 0.03 0.03 0.03
Price due to long-term 0.49 0.49 0.48 0.46 0.46
Price due to error -0.01 0.02 -0.03 0.00 0.00
Price due to Credit Spread (Low) N/A -0.54 N/A N/A N/A
Intrinsic Curve Price 24.77 24.08 23.94 23.87 23.86
Price due to Liquidity 0.52 1.50 1.51 1.51? 1.51?
Curve Price 25.29 25.58 25.45 25.38? 25.37?
Yield-to-Worst (after Tax) 3.37% 3.66% 3.58% 3.58% 3.57%
Yield-to-Worst (Pre-Tax) 4.24% 4.61% 4.51% 4.50% 4.49%

So … the new issue looks like a good, but not great, purchase at the issue price.

BAM Split Corp.: New Issue 4.35% Retractibles

Wednesday, December 20th, 2006

I have been advised of a new issue by the recently renamed BAM Split Corp. A press release is available via CCN Matthews.

This is a bought issue, with closing scheduled for January 10, 2007. Issue size is $200-million, very nice for a split-share corporation.

 Dividends are cumulative and quarterly, 4.35% p.a. on the par value of $25.00.

The embeddedOptions are:

BAM Split 4.35% Ret. Options
Redemption 2007-1-10 2016-1-9 $26.00
Redemption 2016-1-10 2017-1-9 $25.75
Redemption 2017-1-10 2018-1-9 $25.50
Redemption 2018-1-10 2019-1-9 $25.25
Maturity 2019-1-10 2019-1-10 $25.00

The first record date is projected to be February 22, 2007, for the first (short) dividend of $0.1460 payable March 7, 2007.

The material I have isn’t entirely clear, but it appears that the bought deal is conditional upon DBRS assigning a rating of Pfd-2 to the issue and reconfirming the Pfd-2 ratings outstanding on BNA.PR.A and BNA.PR.B

Update & Bump: The issue has been added to the HIMIPref™ database with a preIssue securityCode of P50009.

An analysis of curvePrice has been prepared, with some comparatives:

Curve Price Components using taxable Curve
Component BNA.PR.? PIC.PR.A LBS.PR.A
Price due to base-rate 24.02 15.80 10.53
Price due to short-term 0.04 0.12 0.03
Price due to long-term 0.81 0.38 0.34
Price to to Cumulative Dividends 0.00 0.00 0.00
Price due to SplitShareCorp -0.96 -0.22 -0.25
Price due to Retractibility 1.72 0.40 0.47
Price due to Credit Spread (2) -0.28 -0.06 -0.08
Price due to error 0.06 -0.00 -0.00
Price due to Credit Spread (High) 0.00 0.00 0.00
Price due to Credit Spread (Low) 0.00 0.00 0.00
Intrinsic Price 25.41 16.43 11.03
Price due to Liquidity ? 0.03 0.23
Curve Price ? 16.46 11.26
Quotation, 12/20 25.00 Issue 16.06-15 10.82-89
Yield-To-Worst (taxable) 3.45% 3.20% 3.20%
Modified Duration To Worst (taxable) 9.79 3.50 5.97
Yield-To-Worst (non-taxable)  4.34%  4.01% 4.03% 
Modified Duration To Worst (non-taxable)  9.38  3.45  5.81

The portfolio evaluation of the experimental SplitShare Index is here.

Sentry Select 40 Split Income Trust : New issue of preferred securities

Thursday, December 14th, 2006

Sentry Select has just filed a prospectus for a new fund with some interesting twists.

The fund is based on Income Trusts and will turn into an open-ended mutual fund in two years. The preferred securities are non-callable and will mature in two years – or, to be precise, December 1, 2008 – from the expected closing date of January 5, 2007 … which is just in time to mop up some RRSP money!

The prefs will pay 5.25% and are provisionally rated Pfd-2(low) by DBRS. There will be no distribution to the capital units if this would leave the prefs with asset coverage of less than 1.5:1.

Not the worst issue I’ve ever seen in my life, but 5.25% sounds pretty skimpy compared with what’s already out there – see the current ‘Interest Bearing’ Index for comparisons. Trouble is, of course, there just plain ain’t that many preferred securities around any more, and somebody who wants to buy a hatful … through a full-service brokerage and paying commissions through the nose … might well be pleased to get a big fill.

Due to the short term-to-maturity on these things, I will not be adding them to the HIMIPref™ database – unless forced to do so by outraged hue-and-cry!

ASC.PR.A : Rights Offering and DBRS Upgrade

Wednesday, December 6th, 2006

Here’s a switch!

AIC Global Financial Split Corp. has announced a rights offering, giving unit holders the opportunity to subscribe for additional units. Given that ASC (the capital units) closed at $16.25 today and ASC.PR.A closed at $10.52, it would appear that the offering should be successful and the company will issue additional units worth about $9.3-million.

The decision to issue more units makes all kinds of sense to me: the fund had total assets of only about $41-million as of the last annual report, dated 2005-12-31. Issuing more units should result in increased liquidity for the unitholders – not to mention increased fees for the manager!  It’s a cheap way to raise money for a split share fund, according to the prospectus disclosure of fees:

Proceeds from the Subscription for Units to the Company: Approximately $9,295,625 after deduction of expenses of the Offering estimated at $290,000 inclusive of all fees and commissions which could be payable by the Company pursuant to the Soliciting Dealer Group Agreement (as hereinafter defined) between the Company and National Bank Financial Inc. (the “Dealer Manager”) which provides that the Company will pay a fee of $100,000 to the Dealer Manager plus a subscription fee of $0.30 per Unit in respect of each subscription procured by a member of the Soliciting Dealer Group (as hereinafter defined). See “Soliciting Dealer Group”.

So AIC expects to receive $9,295,625 of the total $9,585,625 paid by the ultimate owners. In other words, they’re raising this money with an efficiency of 96.97%. We can compare this to the efficiency of the 5Banc reissue, where they expect to see $285,850,000 of the total $300-million, for an efficiency of 95.28%.

Equity analysts and other such good-for-nothing spendthrifts will doubtless pooh-pooh an efficiency increase of 1.69% absolute, but here in this blog we’re fixed income analysts and know better. Pennies Count! And when these pennies are left inside the company, they help our credit quality!

Just to make things more exciting, DBRS announced today that the credit rating of the ASC.PR.A has been increased to Pfd-2(high) from Pfd-2, which should help sales a bit. The prospectus claims that this occurred on November 28, 2006, but the DBRS press release is dated today, December 6. The prospectus itself is dated November 30, so it’s all rather mysterious. I regret to say I don’t know the DBRS policy on giving committments to issuers and making these committments public.

 The HIMIPref™ database has been updated with the new creditRatingDataRecord effective tomorrow, December 7, 2006.

More later.

Later, more : ASC.PR.A currently has an AFTER-TAX YTW of 3.34% based on a bid of $10.52 and a hardMaturity 2011-05-31 at $10.00. The curvePrice is $10.76 evaluated under the after-tax curve. The PRE-TAX bid-YTW is 4.19%.

Royal Bank New Issue: 4.5% Perp

Monday, December 4th, 2006

Royal Bank has announced a new issue of 4.5% Perpetuals – I am advised that the redemption schedule commences 2012-2-24 at $26.00, but have not yet confirmed this.

This would not appear, at first blush, to be a particularly attractive issue considering the most obvious comparables. Reasonable, but not particularly attractive:

Recent RY Perpetuals
Issue Dividend Rate Quote 11/30
RY.PR.A 4.45% 24.98-00
RY.PR.B 4.70% 25.90-22
RY.PR.C 4.60% 25.35-37

More later.

Later, more:

Royal Bank Perpetuals
Analysis Using AFTER-TAX Curve (except as noted)
Curve price Component RY.PR.A RY.PR.B RY.PR.C RY.PR.W RY.PR.?
Price due to base-rate 23.12 23.91 23.69 24.44 23.29
Price due to short-term 0.04 0.05 0.05 0.04 0.05
Price due to long-term 0.56 0.59 0.57 0.61 0.54
Price to to Cumulative Dividends 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Price due to Liquidity 1.46 1.50 1.49 0.66 1.49?
Price due to error -0.03 -0.03 -0.03 -0.02 -0.00
CurvePrice 25.16 26.01 25.77 25.74 25.36
Annual Dividend 1.1125 1.1750 1.1500 1.2250 1.1250
2006-12-01 Quote 25.00-08 25.90-09 25.40-50 26.45-52 Issue: $25.00
After-tax Bid YTW 3.55% 3.37% 3.54% 3.19% 3.58%
Pre-Tax Bid YTW 4.47% 4.24% 4.46% 4.01% 4.50%

 

Tax has been included in the calculation of the elements of the above table in accordance with the Ontario Highest Marginal Rate.

This issue has been added to the HIMIPref™ database on a preIssue basis with the securityCode P75000.

5Banc Split New Issue

Saturday, December 2nd, 2006

The 5Banc Split Inc. new issue has been added to the HIMIPref™ database.

The anticipated closing date is 2006-12-15; it pays 4.75% as a cumulative dividend; it’s provisionally rated Pfd-2 by DBRS; and it’s a split share backed by … (wait for it) … five banks! BMO, BNS, CM, RY & TD are the portfolio shares.

I had a hard time deciding whether or not to include this issue in the database. It’s redeemable annually at the $10 issue price and I don’t like that. It means, for one thing, that the YTW will almost always be based on a call at the next annual date (assuming it trades at a premium, which, with a 4.75% dividend, seems likely for the forseeable future). I like the system whereby a declining schedule is put in place … like, f’rinstance, BSD.PR.A has. I’d be prepared to give up a little coupon for such a feature (how much? Consultancy can be easily arranged at a moderate fee).

In the end, I decided – sure, let’s include it. After all, it’s just replacing the FBS.PR.A and given that I expect a lot of redemptions over the next few years, I’d like to ensure I have a lot of issues with some history at all times, just to maintain continuity of the calculations.

The annual no-fee no-pain redemption feature for the capital units just creates a lot of churn (which may be the point, given that the selling commission is 3% on the prefs, 6% on the capital units.). This is a refinancing for 5Banc, with the old capital units eligible for tax-free conversion into the new capital units; the historical units outstanding have been:

5Banc Split Inc. Unit Activity
Date Units
2001-12-28 (Issue) +3,250,000
2002 -168,855
2003 -1,408,167
2004 -605,827
2005 -254,044
For Redemption 2006-12-15 813,107

The dividend is certainly attractive and the issue should go to a premium immediately after issue – and the underwriters are selling the prefs separately. The upside is limited by the very onerous redemption schedule, though, and I calculate a curvePrice of $10.26 (excluding liquidity considerations). One thing to remember about this kind of issue is that redemption will be driven by Capital Unitholders trying to cash in on the Next Big Thing – it will not necessarily have anything to do with prevailing interest rates. You could get redeemed (and receive the $10 par value) if rates are at 10% and the prefs are trading at $7.50. I can’t model that possibility though, and I wouldn’t count on it!

The preIssue securityCode for this issue is P50008.