Archive for the ‘Regulation’ Category

Pegged Orders: Comments on Consultation Paper 23-404

Wednesday, February 24th, 2010

This is a very, very long post. Forgive me. It’s as much for my own reference for a future article as it is for you guys!

Pegged Orders were last discussed on PrefBlog in the post Brown & Holden on Pegged Limit Orders.

For those who came in late, a pegged order is defined as:

Marketplaces have also introduced market pegged orders (also referred to as reference priced orders) that are priced and re-priced to a reference price such as the national best bid (offer) or a marketplace’s best bid (offer). One type of market pegged order is the primary peg order. A primary peg order is a visible order that is automatically priced (and then subsequently re-priced as necessary) to equal either the best bid, in the case of a buy, or the best offer in the case of a sell.

Marketplaces have introduced other types of market pegged orders. These include market pegged orders that are fully-hidden and market pegged orders that either peg to a price above or below the NBBO [National Best Bid & Offer], or are eligible to execute at the mid-point of the NBBO.

I have taken the view that pegged orders will be a godsend to non-professional preferred share traders and will increase the liquidity of the Canadian preferred share market.

The OSC has published comments on the paper. Most commentators are more interested in the Dark Pool part of the paper than Pegged Orders, but we’ll just look at the responses to Questions 16-19, which are:

Questions relating to market pegged orders

Question 16: Please comment on the actual or potential impact if any, of market
pegged orders on:
a) Price discovery
b) Fairness

Question 17: Although this paper has not specifically addressed pegged orders that execute at the mid point of the NBBO, in your view, should market pegged orders be allowed to execute at prices unavailable to transparent orders (e.g. at a price between the bid and the ask when the spread is a single trading increment)?

Question 18: Although this paper has not specifically addressed pegged orders that are fully-hidden, in your view are there any issues that arise due to fully hidden market pegged orders?

Question 19: Are there other issues that should be considered with regard to market pegged orders?

Unfortunately, the OSC has merely scanned many of the responses into PDFs, without running them through an Optical Character Reader (or, even better, indicating a preference for electronic responses in the first place, as is the practice in civilized countries). So … let’s just say that some of the following will be paraphrases, and before getting angry at a particular comment, check the original! Then get angry!

TD Asset Management: At present there is no clear evidence supporting any material impact of market pegged orders on price discovery or fairness in the marketplace.

Investment Industry Association of Canada: Good question! But what’s with all this public consultation bullshit? Let’s discuss it privately, with a fat per-diem.

Investment Counsel Association of Canada:

Questions Relating to Market Pegged Orders:

Question 16: Please comment on the actual or potential impact if any, of market pegged orders on:
a) Price discovery
In a truly Dark Pool, market pegged orders should have no impact on price discovery.
b) Fairness
From the point of view of fairness, pegged orders not as fair. They are able to take advantage of the visible orders (free ride), without making a contribution.

Question 17: Although this paper has not specifically addressed pegged orders that execute at the mid point of the NBBO, in your view, should market pegged orders be allowed to execute at prices unavailable to transparent orders (e.g. at a price between the bid and the ask when the spread is a single trading Increment)?

Among our members, there were mixed opinions on this issue. There are pros and cons of allowing market pegged orders to be able to execute at prices unavailable to transparent orders. On the one hand, there is the opportunity for price improvement, no matter how small. However, there is the counter argument that allowing market pegged orders to execute at prices that are not available to the lit market is unfair, and does not provide the right incentives.

Question 18: Although this paper has not specifically addressed pegged orders that are fully-hidden, in your view are there any issues that arise due to fully-hidden market pegged orders?
We have no comment on this question.

What a thoroughly ridiculous response. Thank God I’m not a member of the ICAC.

National Bank Financial:

[16] a) Price discovery Pegged orders are already being used today by dealers. They are either created by the front end trading systems or via dedicated algorithmic trading systems. As such, it shouldn’t matter if a market offers this as a value added order type. Price discovery would be the same as if the order was pegged by a dealer’s system.

b) Fairness
As long as the market based pegged orders are made available to all participants of the marketplace, fairness is maintained. Fairness is not impacted if even if a market chooses to charge a premium for these orders. It is up to the dealer and trader to decide whether they want to pay for this service. Other markets may not charge for the same feature and users are therefore free to use that venues pegged orders instead. The choice is held by the dealer. The advantage to the market based pegged order is its proximity to its own market data and order entry which makes it quicker than external sources. This will allow the market based pegged order a better opportunity at capturing priority at the new price level (more so if an aggressive peg strategy is permitted). However this advantage is limited to the market itself, assuming peg updates must adhere to the trade through obligation, routed out orders would be subject to the same forces. To reinforce this point, all market based orders should be forced to meet the same UMIR obligations that dealer and vendor generated order must.

[17] Market pegged orders should not be allowed to execute at prices not available to other order types. This is already mandated under UMIR 6.1 where the rule and policy basically states that all orders should be entered at full tick increments unless specifically exempted under UMIR. Such exemptions include Basis Order, Call Market Order or a VWAP Order, where they may execute at the prescribed increment established by the marketplace of execution.

[18] All dark orders should be pegged to the NBBO and not allowed to trade outside of this. Ultimately it will come down to an order’s trading limit, and as long as the order is between the NBBO and at or better than the limit, the trade should be allowed to take place. The alternative is force all pegged order updates (either fully hidden or visible) to pass through a SOR [Smart Order Router].

In a single marketplace environment regulators must often consider what is “fair”, and in such a situation, we would agree that this would not be “fair” to most people. However we find ourselves in a multi-market place environment where dealers have the choice as to where they want to send their orders. They can therefore “vote” on fairness with their orders, relieving the regulator from doing so. If an exemption is to be made for Dark Pools and their order types, the CSA should decide what the minimum trading increment can be on a dark market (ie half the existing trading increment[ .005 on a visible .01 increment], or 10% of the increment [ .001 on a visible .01 increment]. Either way there should be a min increment specified, and whether a dark order can take place AT the NBBO, instead of inside. If trades can occur at sub penny increments, orders should also be allowed to be entered at this sub penny increment, subject to the min trading increment (suggested 10% of visible trading increment).

Highstreet Asset Management: Should be a minimum size requirement for dark pegged orders that can only interact with other dark orders.

Greystone Management Investments: Not enough experience to comment

TMX:

Marketplaces should not be permitted to offer visible market pegged orders. Marketplaces that simply regenerate orders from their competitors are in essence counterfeit quoting. The effect of counterfeit quoting is the same as all other counterfeiting schemes where ultimately the value of the original currency is diluted. In the case of market pegged orders, the value of the original displayed order is diluted.

Marketplace visible pegged orders have a negative impact on market structure because they result in significant messaging increases that place unnecessary strain on marketplace and regulatory infrastructure. Visible pegging results in increased messaging because the price of the visible market pegged orders must be changed (and therefore the pegged order is cancelled and rebooked) each time the primary price changes. These repeated price changes result in extremely large message traffic not only to downstream users of the marketplace data, but they also greatly increase the message traffic in the marketplace’s regulatory feed received by IIROC. This large strain on infrastructure is not warranted given that the visible market pegged order is offering no new value to the market’s price discovery process.

Further, any marketplace that offers visible market pegged orders will have an unfair informational advantage and functional advantage over competing dealer/vendor pegging systems. This informational advantage is achieved when the marketplace receives a quote changing order and then updates its own visible pegged orders before publishing the quote change. This practice allows the marketplace to update its own book before allowing any other updates to ensure that its pegged order stays at the front of the queue.

Dark pegged orders do not have the same negative market impact, as there are no external messages that are derived from the changing quote on a dark pegged order. Dark pegged orders can bring additional liquidity to visible marketplaces and enable visible marketplaces to, among other things, provide customer executions at the mid-point between the national best bid and offer. Market pegged orders in Dark Pools and dark pegged orders on displayed marketplaces should be permitted since these do not unfairly compete with broker pegging systems and Dark Orders do not generate the high externality (messaging) costs associated with displayed marketplace pegging.

[17] The CSA and IIROC should ensure a fair and even application of regulation across visible and dark venues regarding trade execution prices. As we have asserted in our response to Question 9, Dark Pools have an unfair advantage in that they can print fractional price executions, while fractional prices cannot be posted on visible marketplaces. If the CSA continues to permit Dark Pools to exist and allows visible marketplaces to offer Dark Orders, then it would seem inconsistent and inappropriate to allow trades to execute at differing execution increments between a visible and a dark marketplace.

[18] As stated above, we believe that fully-hidden market pegged orders do not raise the same concerns as visible market pegged orders. We believe that visible marketplaces, particularly exchanges, can serve a useful function by offering dark market pegged orders to their customers, while providing fully disclosed rule sets that allow all participants to utilize these dark order types. With the adequate rule set in place, dark market pegged orders will not take priority away from displayed orders.

Liquidnet: Mid-peg orders are great and everybody should buy our product! You can get sub-increments on pricing with a little jiggery-pokery on the pricing, so what’s the problem with putting the actual order in that way?

Newedge Canada: Huh?

RBC: Pegged orders are great! Sub-incrementally priced orders are also great! Dark pegged orders are great!

Omega ATS:

There are two fairness issues with visible pegged orders, and both are free rider problems of a sort.

Firstly, visible pegged orders subvert the traditional expectation that price discovery is rewarded with executions. On a single marketplace, the first to post liquidity at a price will be the rewarded with the first fill. So a second trader who simply follows the lead of the first trader by posting a quote at the same price level has to wait in line for an execution.

In a multiple marketplace trading scenario, where time priority does not exist across marketplaces, a trader attempting to “copy” the price discovery generated on another marketplace has to contend with the risk of latency delays between watching the quote move and then acting accordingly. But visible pegged orders reduce the latency risk and permit traders to add liquidity at a price level in competition with the quotes that originally generated the price discovery. Pegged orders become an effective way for a trader that does not wish to post an at-the-market quote in a principal marketplace (where time priority forces him to wait in line) to instead post at-the-market quotes on another marketplace and so have a better chance of participating in “active” (market/marketable limit order) flow.

Secondly, the marketplace hosting the visible pegged order type is flooding other marketplaces and dealers’ order-execution systems with new market data messages every time the reference price moves. The message-to-execution ratio of a visible pegged order is significantly higher for visible pegged order types than any other order type. This taxes the overall market data communications systems in a manner disproportionate to the price discovery provided by visible pegged orders.

In traditional auction markets, no auction house would permit a trader to peg to the best bid/offer of other traders, or to “penny” the best bid/best offer by pegging one price increment higher/lower – this would be allowing one set of clients to beggar the price discovery generated by other clients.

However, in a multiple marketplace context, we would expect new marketplace entrants would be willing to host this order type in order to steal away business from the dominant incumbent.

To address the first fairness issue, we have the following recommendation to the CSA and IIROC: allow traders to fully discipline pegged order “free riding”. We have heard anecdotal reports that pegged order types are not widely used in the United States because savvy traders can quickly spot a trading strategy utilizing pegged orders and so trade against it. By using pegged orders, a trader signals to the market that he will move his quotes up or down in response to the actions of others; a savvy trader can therefore cause the pegged trader to move his quote up and down and then execute against the pegged trader at inferior prices (for the pegged trader). We understand from IIROC that a strategy of using a trader’s pegged orders against him in this fashion could be viewed as manipulative trading contrary to UMIR 2.2. We would recommend, to the contrary, that IIROC allow any trader to capitalize on the information gleaned from observing a pegged order trading strategy. In situations where a proportionally small number of traders are pegging at the best bid/best offer in a highly liquid stock, there will be little obvious free riding that can be traded against by a savvy trader. However, where a trader is “pennying” the best bid/best offer or is pegging to quotes in an illiquid stock – in precisely those situations where the free riding is at its most obvious and so most egregious – then a savvy trader ought to be permitted to trade against this activity.

We believe that the second issue described above can be dealt with commercially. That is, if one marketplace is inordinately taxing the “common grid” of market data communications, the other marketplaces can be expected to charge a higher price for their market data used to support pegged order types.

[18] As a preliminary point, a fully hidden order must be pegged at all times to the best bid/best offer or else it risks executing outside the best bid/best offer as the visible market moves. For example, assume the market in a stock is $4.80 x $4.82 and a fully hidden offer is booked at $4.81. A bid for $4.82 (marked bypass) executes against all offered volume at that price and books the remainder of the bid. The market has now moved to $4.82 x $4.83. The next incoming bid for $4.83 (assuming it is not marked by-pass) will match against the hidden offer at $4.81, with any balance executing against the visible $4.83 offer. The $4.81 execution would technically constitute a trade-through under the Order Protection Rule (the crossed market exemption being unavailable because the $4.81 price was hidden). To avoid this scenario, the hidden order must be pegged to the best bid/best offer “dynamically” (that is, not only at the moment of order entry but continuously as long as the order is posted and available for execution).

Unlike visible pegged orders, the cost of maintaining this facility is borne entirely by the hosting marketplace – i.e., it does not flood other marketplaces with market data messages as the pegged order moves up or down. Moreover, the “free riding” that occurs off others’ price discovery is less egregious than is the case with visible pegged orders precisely because the quote is hidden and so doesn’t compete directly for active orders.

[19] As articulated above, there can be concerns associated with messaging increases derived from marketplace pegging. The CSA must ensure that dealers, vendors, and regulators do not become swamped by large increases in messaging traffic due to marketplace pegging. We submit that it may be useful for the CSA and IIROC to study, and perform quantitative analysis on, marketplace pegging to determine how these order types are used (by whom and for what purpose) and whether investors are disadvantaged by these order types. We also suggest studying alternatives to marketplace pegging, such as vendor pegging systems and dealer proprietary pegging systems, to determine what the impact of these systems is on the market as a whole.

What a great answer, with respect to UMIR 2.2! Imagine, allowing smart traders allowed to punish dumb ones without going to jail! Nirvana!

Penson:

Pegged and visible on the NBBO adds to price discovery … Pegged and visible on the NBBO is fair for all participants to see

[17] A fair marketplace should apply tighter restrictions around dark orders, not more lax as priority needs to be given to the visible orders. A transparent order should be able to compete in the same space as dark, between the NBBO, if executions are being allowed within this space.

[18] Transparency in a visible market may result in higher investor confidence and understanding of what is actually happening to an order when it is placed in the market and can help in the trading decision if all information is available.

RBC Asset Management: Sorry, not interested.

ITG Canada:

Even though primary pegged orders are “free-riding” on the contribution of limit orders, the underlying principle of what can be done manually, should be able to be done electronically, applies in this circumstance. The pegged orders should be displayed in the quote as part of the total volume available at that price point to provide price and volume discovery…Limit orders posted at the same price as pegged orders should get priority in all circumstances. The pricing of pegged orders should be at the full increment to ensure that they cannot step ahead of protected limit orders without narrowing the quote.

[17] As noted above a pegged order should trade at the full increment so in the case of single increment spread the pegged order should be required to queue behind all the displayed bids/offers or be required to immediately cross the spread.

[18] As noted above with Dark Orders, we believe that a portion of the order should be displayed when entered on a transparent market that displays protected quotes.

[19] None at this time.

Canadian Security Traders Association: Both buy-side and sell-side believe allowing primary pegged orders to execute ahead of limit orders is unfair. However, the buy-side things that otherwise pegged orders are good, while the sell side disdains the free-riding.

CIBC:

[16a] Market pegged orders should have no adverse effects on price discovery, provided that at least some portion of the order is visible if it is entered on a visible market with a discretionary price or that it is priced deterministically. Pegged orders simply automate functionality that occurs in traders minds, on their desks, and on order and execution management systems. Pegging has been termed a “free riding” on the price discovery mechanism strategy. The reality is that this “free ride” comes at the cost of potentially putting in effort without a fill, if the order does not have priority because it is at or on the outside of the quote. Pegging is a more risk-averse way to trade alongside the evolving spread.

[16b] In terms of fairness, market pegged orders are simply a logical evolution of algorithms which react to quote changes and penny other participants. Market pegging simply allows a participant to hand over the pegging function to the exchange that can achieve the same result faster. This is a fair evolution as it is available to all participants. If anything, this levels the playing field for firms unable to make the expenditures required to compete on speed and technology. The only negative impact arises when fully hidden discretionary pegged orders are permitted on lit markets. As discussed in question 10(a), we believe that if they are permitted they will enjoy an unfair advantage over the same orders placed on dark markets; discretionary, fully hidden inside pegs allow for automated and systematic free riding to occur since rules will force others to interact with them.

[17] We believe that market pegged orders should be permitted to execute in sub-tick increments, even when these prices are not available to be quoted by transparent orders. We note, however, that although transparent orders cannot carry sub-tick limit prices today, they can execute in sub-tick increments under UMIR6 so it is our view that sub-tick executions are in fact available to transparent orders as well. When a transparent order hits a mid-point peg limit, it can fill at a sub-tick price and enjoy the same price improvement as the hidden order. If two parties are willing to transact subject to the rules of a dark pool (or dark order type on a lit market) at the current quote, then the midpoint result could not be fairer. Each side pays half the spread. If orders were not allowed to transact at the midpoint of the NBBO, quotes with a one tick spread would face restricted trading options. We are seeing one-tick spreads more consistently, on more symbols as the Canadian market evolves.

Prohibiting sub-tick executions for deterministically priced matches would compromise the viability of dark pools; it would not be possible to provide price improvement on Canada’s most liquid symbols, and without the prospect of price improvement dark pools become unattractive to a large share of order flow on liquid names.

Consequently we believe that all orders should be permitted to execute at sub-tick prices, but that visible quotations should continue to be limited to full-tick increments. Transparent orders should continue to have an equal opportunity for a mid-point fill, but valid reasons to prohibit sub-tick quotations on visible markets remain; simplicity, orderliness of markets, and reduced gaming because getting ahead in the queue by improving the quote in an insubstantial manner is not possible.

As discussed in question 10, there is a fundamental tradeoff between visible and hidden orders. Dark markets offer reduced transaction cost, and lit markets offer increased certainty of a fill and protection of orders in the allocation queue. Permitting sub-tick executions and prohibiting visible orders price in sub-tick increments is congruent with this trade-off. On a dark market, the opportunity costs of an execution are reduced by pegged orders that execute in sub-tick increments, enhancing the cost reduction benefits of trading dark. On a lit market, full-tick quotations increase the cost of getting ahead in the queue, enhancing the certainty benefits of holding a position in a visible book. The balance of interests between dark and lit markets is maintained.

[18] If dark pools are allowed to function and the logic of visible price-time priority over dark price-time priority holds, then fully hidden market pegged orders should be fully acceptable. Where such orders have a discretionary price they should be restricted to dark pools, and where they are deterministically priced they can be permitted on visible books as well.

[19] It is important to note that, in addition to automating trader behaviour pegged orders improve, to some degree, operating efficiency for all market participants. Pegging without a dedicated order type involves posting an order, then sending CFO after CFO in reaction to each change in the quote. With ever-accelerating markets, the message traffic this (common) strategy generates is staggering. That traffic has a cost. Marketplaces need throughput capacity, dealers need increasingly powerful data feed readers, and the networks that link them are increasingly burdened.

Alpha ATS: No problems with dark pegged orders. Could be problems with visible pegged orders if they have an advantage over other visible orders.

Instinet: [16a] Pegged orders are great!
[16b] How can an order type available to everybody possibly be unfair? Also, it’s only formalizing something available through algorithms anyway.
[17] Yes
[18] No
[19] No. We support the use of pegged order types.

Penson #2 [16 a&b] Pegged and visible is good!
[17] Priority needs to be given to visible orders.
[18] Transparency is good

Chi-X:

[16]To provide some perspective and context as to how pegged orders came about it’s helpful to go back in time. In the old days, investors had to call their dealer and ask for a revision to the price of a limit order to buy or sell stock each and every time they wanted to change the limit. The dealer would write up a new order ticket with the new price and call down to the exchange floor where a runner wrote up yet another ticket and took that to the floor broker who then added the order to his book until he found a willing counterparty. The process was manually intensive and inefficient. With the electronification of stock trading, investors are able to enter orders and send re-pricing instructions to their brokers electronically, or even directly to the markets via direct market access (DMA), significantly increasing the efficiency of the process. The importance placed on the ability to re-price an order in a timely and efficient basis has significantly increased over the past decade due to many events that have made trading faster and more automated.7 The introduction of competition and multiple markets has increased the likelihood of the mispricing risk8 facing limit orders, particularly for retail customers. Many of the technologically more sophisticated markets have responded to this growing issue by implementing “pegging” functionality to automate the re-pricing process using algorithms that react dynamically to changing market conditions. This removed or reduced many of the inherent risks and inefficiencies in limit order re-pricing.

In the U.S. reference priced orders (e.g. pegged orders), have been used without controversy for more than 10 years. There are currently at least nine displayed markets in the US that offer pegged orders so while it’s only recently that Canadian markets began offering this functionality, it is certainly not a recent innovation. Just as noteworthy, over the past decade brokers have developed algorithms that re-price limit orders in response the prevailing inside market. The most widely used algorithms, such as “VWAP, TWAP and Volume Participation” react to market data in very similar fashion to the pegging functionality offered by markets. In fact broker algorithms and the pegging functionality offered by markets have a symbiotic relationship in which pegging enables the broker algorithms to be much more efficient with its re-pricing logic. Like most other market center functionality, pegging is available without discrimination to any participant who wishes to use it. It is also important to note the intra-market priority of pegged orders. Typically pegged orders will sit behind visible limit orders at the same price. This ensures that limit orders responsible for generating the price of a pegged order are not disadvantaged and are appropriately rewarded for “price setting” (in contrast to broker-preferencing which allows the price setter to be disadvantaged, see response to question 8).

There have been independent studies noting that “pegging enhances price discovery and liquidity by reducing the mispricing risk and making limit orders more profitable, and as a result pegging increases the quantity of limit orders submitted”9. By continuously joining the NBBO pegged orders help create price discovery in at least two ways: 1) Displayed limit order quotes add to the price discovery process by increasing the number of data points on which the fair market value of a security is derived. The additional volume created at the NBBO enhances the supply and demand curve thus yielding a better approximation of fair market value. 2) When executed, these orders result in trades, which are disseminated through recognized market data vendors. In addition to displayed quotes that express investors’ pre-trade willingness to trade at a given price, the trade prints add to the price discovery process by showing the prices at which transactions are actually taking place.

The concern raised by those who either don’t fully grasp the benefits of pegged orders orthe inter-relationships between markets and their customers is that pegged orders are a form a “free riding” on limit orders posted on other markets thus violating inter-market price/time priority. In a multiple market environment investors should be empowered to decide where to route an order and not be beholden to inter-market price-time priority. This is a deliberate characteristic of a competitive market environment and crucial to achieving the maximum benefits from multiple markets. A rule set that supports intermarket price-time priority creates a totally centralized system that loses the benefits of vigorous competition among individual markets. The point of inter-market price-time priority and a “virtual CLOB” was addressed by the SEC in Regulation NMS:
“The essential characteristic of a CLOB is strict price/time priority. Such a facility would greatly reduce the opportunity for markets to compete by offering a variety of different trading services. Price priority alone, however, would not cause nearly as significant an impact on competition among markets because it allows price-matching by competing markets”.

If required to follow strict inter-market price-time priority participants would, given two or more markets with identical quotes, be forced to execute with a market because a quote appeared on that market first. If followed, this market mechanic would impair a participant’s ability to achieve Best Execution as it disregards the key factors that determine how participants prioritize which markets to route to when multiple markets have equally priced orders:
• Price – in the form of execution fees
• Performance – in terms of the market’s trading system speed and functionality
• Reliability – in terms of the market’s stability, knowledge of its staff, and support

Ideally an order will be routed to the market that offers the lowest execution fees, the highest performance, and the greatest reliability. The potential danger of inter-market price-time priority is that it does not penalize trading venues for charging higher fees and operating sub-par systems because participants would be forced to trade with them based solely on time priority.

The point of allowing competitive forces to determine the preferred trading centers of market participants was addressed by the Securities and Exchange Commission in Regulation NMS: “Market participants and intermediaries responsible for routing marketable orders, consistent with their desire to achieve the best price and their duty of best execution, will continue to rank trading centers according to the total range of services provided by those markets. Such services include cost, speed of response, sweep functionality, and a wide variety of complex order types. 242 The most competitive trading center will be the first choice for routing marketable orders, thereby enhancing the likelihood of execution for limit orders routed to that trading center. Because likelihood of execution is of such great importance to limit orders, routers of limit orders will be attracted to this preferred trading center. More limit orders will enhance the depth and liquidity offered by the preferred trading center, thereby increasing its attractiveness for marketable orders, and beginning the cycle all over again. Importantly, Rule 611 will not require that limit orders be routed to any particular market. Consequently, competitive forces will be fully operative to discipline markets that offer poor services to limit orders, such as limiting the extent to which limit orders can be cancelled in changing market conditions or providing slow speed. 243 Simply stated, a participant should have the ability to choose the venue that presents them with the highest probability of executing that order at the best price.

In the final analysis the argument that pegged orders are unfair has no more merit than an argument that email has an unfair advantage in transporting messages versus a mail courier that physically delivers letters. Of course email has an advantage! But it is strictly a competitive advantage that stems from superior technological capabilities that create efficiencies. To restrict email or in this case pegged orders, is tantamount to restricting progress by reducing the competitive landscape to the lowest common denominator and a Harrison Bergeron11-like equality based on handicapping the more capable, more sophisticated, and more efficient systems.

Pegged orders are part of a larger trend to improve the efficiency of the trading process by automating it. The automatic updating of pegged limit orders is a substitute for the human time and attention devoted to monitoring and updating regular limit orders.12 The fact that any market has invested in the technical capabilities and infrastructure to offer pegged orders may indeed create a competitive advantage that helps it succeed in attracting liquidity over its competitors, but that is purely a result of the fact that not all markets are created equal.

TD Securities: What a great question! Let’s discuss it in private!

CNSX:

[16a] Market pegged orders add nothing to price discovery and free ride on published limit orders. Similar to Dark Orders, as the use of pegged orders rises, the price discovery mechanism becomes less and less functional.
[16b] The Request For Comments cited the article “Pegged Orders: An Unfair Trade” by Jeffrey MacIntosh, which contains compelling arguments against the use of “parasitic” pegged orders. He describes the multiple market phenomenon of a virtual single market and argues that the effect of pegged orders negates the benefits that this phenomenon creates.

The reality is that while price priority can be preserved in a multi-market environment, time priority is market specific. Pegged orders allow a marketplace to use the disclosure of participants on another marketplace for commercial benefit. Both the second marketplace and the user of the pegged order are simply trying to use the best bids and offers displayed elsewhere without granting them time priority.

[17] No. If there is a benefit to investors to be able to trade at increments less than the current minimum trading increments, then the increments should be reduced on all marketplaces. Otherwise, to allow such executions appears to be more an effort to avoid transparency than to provide a benefit to investors. Such orders intercept order flow that would otherwise trade with posted visible orders, thus not only providing another disincentive to post orders in a visible market, but also creating a “best execution” incentive (which may be technically correct, but practically of little value given the narrowing of spreads) to use such pegged orders and thereby undermine market integrity.

[18] Fully-hidden pegged orders are no different than any other Dark Orders that use public prices as a reference. Any order that is placed on a light market should contribute to the price discovery mechanism, even if it is only present briefly.

[19] The argument that market participants can always create their own pegging methodology should not be the basis for allowing marketplaces to offer pegged orders. The dealer responsible for the order owes a best execution duty to the client and if a pegged order is seen to meet that, it is between the dealer and its clients. It should not be at the marketplace level, where the only interest in the order is trapping it to increase trading on that venue. This underscores the issue of where the right line is with respect to time priority and whether there is a resulting public good that warrants ignoring it: given today’s technology, we do not believe there is a benefit that warrants allowing such system-enforced mechanisms for circumventing time priority. Further, it is unclear whether the market data agreements in place among marketplaces in Canada permit the use of a price posted by another marketplace in establishing a reference price for pegged orders. At this point, two marketplaces have declared selfhelp against each other, based on this issue. Although there are associated proprietary rights concerns on the part of the originating marketplace, the continuing uncertainty could be addressed through a regulatory ban on the use of pegged order types.

Connor Clark & Lunn:

As a general comment to the questions in this section, our view is that market pegged orders are not materially different from Dark Orders, and thus they should have a similar impact on price discovery, liquidity, etc. As for fairness of such orders, if all participants are able to utilize such orders, we believe that the type of order is fair. That is, even if Pegged Orders are given priority ahead of displayed orders on an exchange or ATS, so long as all participants can choose between using Pegged Orders and displayed orders we believe the order types are fair.

BMO-Nesbitt:

[16] Pegged orders have long been offered by marketplaces and broker dealers. We see no reason to restrict trading venues from offering similar products.
[17] As stated above, we don’t believe that orders should be allowed to execute at sub-tick increments. Allowing such matching penalizes those participants that have placed visible bids and offers and endured the risks associated with such order placement. We strongly advocate that visible orders must be protected or we risk dis-incenting market participants from placing such orders.
[19]Not at this time.

Assiduous Readers will remember that the purpose of regulation is to obtain a competitive advantage for your firm by ensuring that the rules reward your strengths and minimize your weaknesses. Thus, I find the comment by the Canadian Security Traders Association to be very revealing: the buy-side wants it, the sell-side hates it. I suggest that this has more to do with the sell-side seeking to maintain a competitive advantage, exploiting their universal availability of technology, than any consideration of fairness or efficiency.

To my mind, those who decry Pegged Orders as parasitic have to explain why algorithmic trading, which can do (and often does) the same thing a fraction of a second slower, is not also parasitic. The similarity is pointed out several times in the above comments, but the question is not discussed by the order type’s opponents.

BIS Schedule for Regulatory Reform

Friday, February 19th, 2010

The Bank for International Settlements issued a press release on January 11 (sorry I’m so late reporting!) titled Group of Central Bank Governors and Heads of Supervision reinforces Basel Committee reform package setting a road map for the next elements of bank regulatory reform:

Provisioning: It is essential that accounting standards setters and supervisors develop a truly robust provisioning approach based on expected losses (EL)….The Basel Committee should translate these principles into a practical proposal by its March 2010 meeting for subsequent consideration by both supervisors and accounting standards setters.

Introducing a framework of countercyclical capital buffers: Such a framework could contain two key elements that are complementary. First, it is intended to promote the build-up of appropriate buffers at individual banks and the banking sector that can be used in periods of stress. This would be achieved through a combination of capital conservation measures, including actions to limit excessive dividend payments, share buybacks and compensation. Second, it would achieve the broader macroprudential goal of protecting the banking sector from periods of excess credit growth through a countercyclical capital buffer linked to one or more credit variables.

Addressing the risk of systemic banking institutions: Supervisors are working to develop proposals to address the risk of systemically important banks (SIBs). To this end, the Basel Committee has established a Macroprudential Group. The Committee should develop a menu of approaches using continuous measures of systemic importance to address the risk for the financial system and the broader economy. This includes evaluating the pros and cons of a capital and liquidity surcharge and other supervisory tools as additional possible policy options such as resolution mechanisms and structural adjustments. This forms a key input to the Financial Stability Board’s initiatives to address the “too-big-to-fail” problem.

Contingent capital: The Basel Committee is reviewing the role that contingent capital and convertible capital instruments could play in the regulatory capital framework. This includes possible entry criteria for such instruments in Tier 1 and/or Tier 2 to ensure loss absorbency and the role of contingent and convertible capital more generally both within the regulatory capital minimum and as buffers.

Liquidity….

Central Bank Governors and Heads of Supervision will review concrete proposals on each of these topics later this year.

The fully calibrated set of standards will be developed by the end of 2010 to be phased in as financial conditions improve and the economic recovery is assured with the aim of implementation by the end of 2012. This includes appropriate phase-in measures and grandfathering arrangements for a sufficiently long period to ensure a smooth transition to the new standards.

The practical effects of not paying your best producers top rates because other parts of the bank are losing money are even now being illustrated:

Bank of America, Merrill Lynch’s owner, raised London managing directors’ base pay to about 230,000 pounds, from 150,000 pounds in 2009, said the people, who declined to be identified because the terms are private.

“Some of these firms were hemorrhaging talent, and those gaps are being filled in a hurry,” said Simon Hayes, London- based head of financial services at Odgers Berndtson, a 45-year- old recruitment firm. “The likes of Merrill and UBS in London and elsewhere have been hiring very aggressively to deal with the losses of the previous 18 months.”

Both banks are no longer taxpayer owned, leaving them free to set pay themselves.

“In the world of investment banking, it’s a simple case of who pays wins,” said John Purcell, managing director of London- based executive search firm Purcell & Co. “Institutions that are fairly directly under political control are facing significant difficulties retaining staff.”

I am very pleased to see that BIS will officially be “evaluating the pros and cons of a capital and liquidity surcharge”. I have long advocated the imposition of surcharges on capital for size (although I feel this should be a surcharge on Risk Weighted Assets), rather than absolute caps or special regulatory regimes. This will allow the major banks to make decisions regarding asset growth to be made in a familiar business-like manner.

And finally, I’m very pleased to see contingent capital front-and-centre, although some indication of the committee’s thinking regarding triggers and conversion prices would have been very greatly appreciated. I can only suppose that this is a bone of contention.

BoC's Longworth Supports Contingent Capital

Friday, February 19th, 2010

David Longworth, Deputy Governor of the Bank of Canada, delivered a speech to the C D Howe Institute, Toronto, 17 February 2010, titled Bank of Canada liquidity facilities – past, present, and future. It’s a good review of the actions taken by the BoC during the credit crunch to address liquidity problems, albeit lamentably short of meat.

For instance, he emphasizes the importance of penalty rates in avoiding moral hazard:

Fifth, and finally, the Bank should mitigate the moral hazard of its intervention. Such measures include limited, selective intervention; the promotion of the sound supervision of liquidity-risk management; and the use of penalty rates as appropriate.

but nowhere attempts to quantify the penalties that were actually applied.

One of the things that scares me about the regulatory response to the crisis is the central counterparty worship. Mr. Longworth lauds the BoC’s role in:

Encouraging and overseeing the implementation of liquidity-generating infrastructure, such as a central counterparty for repo trades, that help market participants self-insure against idiosyncratic shocks

Central counterparties reduce the role of market discipline in the interbank marketplace by offering a third party guarantee of repayment; I can therefore lend a billion to Dundee Bank with the same confidence that I lend to BNS. Additionally, they soak up bank capital; the counterparty has to be capitalized somehow and it may be taken as a given that the total bank capital devoted to the maintenance of the central counterparty will be greater than the bank capital devoted to the maintenance of a distributed system. Finally, while I agree that a central counterparty will decrease the incidence of systemic collapse, I assert that it will increase the severity; I claim that basic engineering good practice will seek to reduce the incidence of catastrophic single point failure, not increase it!

He also addressed the headline issue, noting the potential for:

Requiring the use of contingent capital or convertible capital instruments, perhaps in the form of a specific type of subordinated debt, to help ensure loss absorbency and thus reduce the likelihood of failure of a systemically important institution.

Footnote: The BCBS press release of 11 January 2010 entitled, “Group of Central Bank Governors and Heads of Supervision reinforces Basel Committee reform package,” announces that the “Basel Committee is reviewing the role that contingent capital and convertible capital instruments could play in the regulatory capital framework.” See also “Considerations along the Path to Financial Regulatory Reform,” remarks by Superintendent Julie Dickson, Office of the Superintendent of Financial Institutions, 28 October 2009

I have added a link in the above to the PrefBlog review of the Dickson speech; I will attend to the BIS press release shortly.

Most of the commentary I’ve seen discusses contingent capital solely as the concept applies to subordinated debt; I will assert that logically, if the subordinated debt is liable to become common equity, then more junior elements of capital such as preferred shares must also have this attribute.

IFRS Seg Fund Treatment to Strain Insurer Capital?

Tuesday, February 16th, 2010

In a prior post I discussed IFRS and the Assets-to-Capital Multiple with respect to banks and their mortgage securitization habits, but I’ve just realized there’s another nuance lying in ambush behind the thickets of regulation.

The OSFI Draft Advisory on Conversion to International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRSs) by Federally Regulated Entities (FREs) states:

With respect to life insurance entities, current CGAAP specifically requires that segregated funds should be accounted for separately (off balance sheet). However, IFRSs do not specifically address accounting for segregated funds. As a result, most segregated funds are expected to require consolidation treatment because of the “control” tests in IAS 27 and SIC 12. Most life insurers are, therefore, expected to report their segregated fund assets and liabilities on balance sheet through a one-line reporting format rather than commingled with other asset and liability categories.

OSFI is not issuing any additional accounting guidance or clarification in this area at this time.

OSFI will consider the accounting treatment of segregated funds if it becomes apparent that life insurers intend to commingle assets and liabilities, rather than use the expected one-line reporting format.

With respect to segregated funds, risk based capital requirements already exist and OSFI requires that the current treatment continue. Therefore, although segregated funds will appear on the balance sheet, they would not attract asset specific capital charges outside of the existing Segregated Fund Risk charge.

This is interesting in light of recent OSFI speeches by Julia Dickson:

As OSFI regulates non-operating insurers acting as holding companies, we are considering updating our current regulatory guidance for these entities to promote a more integrated and consistent approach to determining regulatory capital requirements. For example, OSFI’s MCCSR tests could be used to evaluate the group’s consolidated risk-based capital – and a test similar to the asset-to-capital multiple (ACM) test could be used to evaluate leverage.

… and her speech-tester, Mark White:

For example, OSFI’s Minimum Continuing Capital and Surplus Requirements (MCCSR) tests could be used to evaluate a financial group’s consolidated risk based capital – and an ACM like-test could be used to evaluate leverage.

These speeches were reported on PrefBlog in the posts OSFI Looking Closely at Lifeco Consolidated Capital and OSFI to Address Double-Leverage?, respectively.

If we look at, for instance, the Manulife 4Q09 Report we see that total capital is $33.2-billion, and total funds under management are $440-billion, which includes the general fund of $187-billion and seg-funds (on balance sheet, but not included in “Total Assets”) of about $192-billion.

After consolidation – particularly if mutual funds, etc., are consolidated – we could see reported total assets change dramatically:

MFC 4Q09
CAD Billions
Total Assets as Currently Reported 205
Seg Funds 192
Other Funds under Management 64
Potential Total Assets 461

Capital of 33.2 implies an ACM of about 14x; not only have we not been particularly thorough in digging up off-balance sheet committments, but it should also be remembered that a big chunk of these AUM are equities and should logically be constrained by a lower ACM than the banks’ loan-based accounts.

Life could well get interesting in the next few years!

IFRS and the Assets-to-Capital Multiple

Tuesday, February 16th, 2010

An Assiduous Reader writes in and says:

I know how much you love to play the guess the ACM game. But here’s a new twist: what do you think the ACM of your favourite DTI’s are after OSFI requires all the billions of dollars of CMHC NHA MBS to be consolidated back on balance sheet? [link])

But here are some more interesting questions:

  • -why has no OSFI regulated publicly traded company commented on how this proposed change will affect their ACM? (home capital got through their entire earnings call without any mention of the ACM) they’ve obviously done the work (IFRS has been planned for years) but have chosen not to share their findings with investors.
  • -why has OFSI or the government (although perhaps this is too technical to score political points) not provided any timely clarity on this issue given the importance to the entire mortgage and residential real estate market? (The draft advisory was dated october 2009)
  • -will the government/cmhc allow the mortgage business to simply move into lightly capitalized unregulated vehicles to avoid the new OFSI rules? (i.e. is it OK to setup a shell company with $2MM in it that issues $10B in MBS pools?, do we really want the majority of mortgage origination occurring in the unregulated space as a public policy matter?)

A glossary will be helpful here:
OSFI : Office of the Superintendent of Financial Institutions
DTI: Deposit Taking Institution
FRE: Federally Regulated Entity
MBS: Mortgage Backed Securities
CMHC: Canada Mortgage & Housing Corporation
ACM: Assets to Capital Multiple
CGAAP: Canadian Generally Agreed Accounting Principles

The advisory states:

OSFI notes that off balance sheet assets under CGAAP have, during the recent financial turmoil, resulted in DTIs increasing their balance sheet assets during times of stress in respect of assets that no longer qualified to be derecognized and securitization conduits which were no longer exempted from consolidation. Lessons learned in the recent financial turmoil are that certain securitization structures did not transfer the risk out of the FREs as expected. OSFI is of the view that securitization assets which are not derecognized or which are not exempted from consolidation should be included in the calculation of the ACM.

Given that the implementation of IFRSs is expected to increase FREs’ on balance sheet assets and therefore to increase the ACM of DTIs and the borrowing multiple of cooperative credit associations, OSFI is of the view that, in some cases, an immediate application of those rules may be difficult for FREs to meet.

Insured mortgages securitized through the Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation’s (CMHC’s) National Housing Act (NHA) Mortgage Backed Securities and Canada Mortgage Bond Programs (MBS/CMB Programs) are unlikely to achieve derecognition and will therefore be brought on balance sheet under IFRSs. To facilitate compliance with the ACM under IFRSs and permit an orderly transition, OSFI will permit mortgages sold through the MBS/CMB Programs up to and including December 31, 2009 to be excluded from the ACM calculation when IFRSs are adopted, regardless of whether they are brought onto the balance sheet under IFRSs. If so, FREs will be required to exclude pre December 31, 2009 MBS/CMB programs from the assets in the ACM calculation. However, to create an ACM which is more consistent and which reflects the lessons from the recent financial turmoil, MBS/CMB exposures occurring after December 31, 2009 will be included in the calculation of the ACM under the current ACM definition and limits; that is, they will be included in the asset definition of the ACM upon implementation of IFRS if (but only if) they are accounted for as on balance sheet exposures under IFRSs. No changes will be made to the non capital regulatory returns and FREs will be required to report in accordance with IFRSs; FRFIs will be required to adjust their assets included in their ACM calculation to give effect to the transition provisions.

Footnote: Irrespective of the IFRS determination of what is on balance sheet, the ACM should reflect the MBS/CMB originator’s risk profile. Where the risk profile of the MBS/CMB originator is not materially improved by participation in such a securitization, continued inclusion in the ACM may be appropriate.

Overall, this is not an enormous problem. OSFI reports that the Assets to Capital Multiple for all domestic banks was 15.58x as of 3Q09, with total capital at about $161-billion. The special NHA MBS buying programme is $25-billion and the CMHC had about $200-billion assets on the 2008 books … so consolidating the securitizations will add another multiple of 1 to the total ACM for the system.

As the Assiduous Reader points out, though, there could be trouble at the margins, particularly with specialty lenders; additionally, OSFI has shown in the past that it is incapable of running stress tests that include attention to the ACM.

This one bears watching …

Obama Proposes Flat Prohibitions on Banks' Activities

Thursday, January 21st, 2010

The White House has published Remarks by the President on Financial Reform:

That’s why we are seeking reforms to protect consumers; we intend to close loopholes that allowed big financial firms to trade risky financial products like credit defaults swaps and other derivatives without oversight; to identify system-wide risks that could cause a meltdown; to strengthen capital and liquidity requirements to make the system more stable; and to ensure that the failure of any large firm does not take the entire economy down with it. Never again will the American taxpayer be held hostage by a bank that is “too big to fail.”

Now, limits on the risks major financial firms can take are central to the reforms that I’ve proposed. They are central to the legislation that has passed the House under the leadership of Chairman Barney Frank, and that we’re working to pass in the Senate under the leadership of Chairman Chris Dodd. As part of these efforts, today I’m proposing two additional reforms that I believe will strengthen the financial system while preventing future crises.

First, we should no longer allow banks to stray too far from their central mission of serving their customers. In recent years, too many financial firms have put taxpayer money at risk by operating hedge funds and private equity funds and making riskier investments to reap a quick reward. And these firms have taken these risks while benefiting from special financial privileges that are reserved only for banks.

I’m proposing a simple and common-sense reform, which we’re calling the “Volcker Rule” — after this tall guy behind me. Banks will no longer be allowed to own, invest, or sponsor hedge funds, private equity funds, or proprietary trading operations for their own profit, unrelated to serving their customers. If financial firms want to trade for profit, that’s something they’re free to do. Indeed, doing so –- responsibly –- is a good thing for the markets and the economy. But these firms should not be allowed to run these hedge funds and private equities funds while running a bank backed by the American people.

In addition, as part of our efforts to protect against future crises, I’m also proposing that we prevent the further consolidation of our financial system. There has long been a deposit cap in place to guard against too much risk being concentrated in a single bank. The same principle should apply to wider forms of funding employed by large financial institutions in today’s economy. The American people will not be served by a financial system that comprises just a few massive firms. That’s not good for consumers; it’s not good for the economy. And through this policy, that is an outcome we will avoid.

Wow. This came out of the blue. But Comrade Peace-Prize needs to do something dramatic to regain the political momentum after his recent debacle.

We’re back to the days of Bush! Something this sweeping should have been announced multilaterally, and only if the world’s other big players (like, f’rinstance, the UK just for starters) agreed. Ideally it would have been done through BIS.

But it will get the political momentum back – who cares whether or not it’s unilateral?

Update: Bloomberg has picked up on the unilateralism aspect:

“This is absolutely unilateral,” said Simon Gleeson, a regulatory lawyer at Clifford Chance LLP in London. “This is Glass-Steagall Mark Two,” he added. “Banks can take just as much risk in commercial lending as they can in proprietary trading as Northern Rock and HBOS show,” he said referring to two lenders bailed out by the U.K. government.

Obama’s call “is moving a long way from the existing Basel recommendations on capital charges, which is another way of dealing with this issue,” said David Green, a former Bank of England and U.K. Financial Services Authority official who now advises regulators outside Britain.

The big problem is going to be defining “propietary”:

President Obama’s plan to curb risk- taking by banks hinges on how rigidly regulators define proprietary trading at firms such as Goldman Sachs Group Inc. and JPMorgan Chase & Co.

Goldman Sachs, which generated at least 76 percent of 2009 revenue from trading and principal investments, gets the “great majority” of transactions from customers, according to Chief Financial Officer David Viniar. About “10-ish percent” of the New York-based firm’s revenue comes from “walled-off proprietary business that has nothing to do with clients,” he said on a conference call yesterday.


The White House defines proprietary trades as those not done for the benefit of customers, according to a senior administration official. Regulators would have the power to ask banks whether certain trades are related to client business, the official said. If they’re not, the regulators could order firms to exit the positions.

At banks such as Goldman Sachs, drawing the line isn’t easy, Viniar said.

“If a client wants to sell us a security, we’ll buy the security,” Viniar said. “That risk, which is principal risk, ends up on our balance sheet. It’s the great bulk of what we do all day long in all of our products for all our clients.”

Update 2010-1-22: I didn’t stress this before, given my shock at the concrete proposals, but I will draw attention to the deprecating phrase:

These are rules that allowed firms to act contrary to the interests of customers

Why shouldn’t firms act contrary to the interests of their counterparties? There is no fiduciary duty in a counterparty relationship when trading as principal. Zip, Zero, Zilch. Those who expect otherwise should go back to kiddie school and play some nurturing non-competitive games.

FDIC's Bair Testifies to Crisis Committee

Thursday, January 14th, 2010

Sheila Bair of the FDIC has testified to the Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission:

In the 20 years following FIRREA and FDICIA, the shadow banking system grew much more quickly than the traditional banking system, and at the onset of the crisis, it’s been estimated that half of all financial services were conducted in institutions that were not subject to prudential regulation and supervision. Products and practices that originated within the shadow banking system have proven particularly troublesome in this crisis.

As a result of their too-big-to-fail status, these firms were funded by the markets at rates that did not reflect the risks these firms were taking.

I don’t think it’s as cut-and-dried as that, unless she’s talking about the GSEs – which she might be. If investors underestimated risk – or estimated it correctly but got caught on the wrong side of a bet – it does not follow that they did so in the expectation of a bail-out.

This growth in risk manifested itself in many ways. Overall, financial institutions were only too eager to originate mortgage loans and securitize them using complex structured debt securities. Investors purchased these securities without a proper risk evaluation, as they outsourced their due diligence obligation to the credit rating agencies.

Consumers and businesses had vast access to easy credit, and most investors came to rely exclusively on assessments by a Nationally Recognized Statistical Rating Agency (credit rating agency) as their due diligence. There became little reason for sound underwriting, as the growth of private-label securitizations created an abundance of AAA-rated securities out of poor quality collateral and allowed poorly underwritten loans to be originated and sold into structured debt vehicles. The sale of these loans into securitizations and other off-balance-sheet entities resulted in little or no capital being held to absorb losses from these loans. However, when the markets became troubled, many of the financial institutions that structured these deals were forced to bring these complex securities back onto their books without sufficient capital to absorb the losses. As only the largest financial firms were positioned to engage in these activities, a large amount of the associated risk was concentrated in these few firms.

Much of this is just fashionable slogan-chanting, but it is interesting to see how the rating agency problem is cast: in terms of investors outsourcing their due diligence rather than as evil rating agencies inflating their output. This is an encouraging sign, putting the onus squarely on the investors – in stark contrast to Angelides ill-advised remarks yesterday, which implied that securities firms have a responsibility to sell only products that go up.

The GSEs became highly successful in creating a market for investors to purchase securities backed by the loans originated by banks and thrifts. The market for these mortgage-backed securities (MBSs) grew rapidly as did the GSEs themselves, fueling growth in the supporting financial infrastructure. The success of the GSE market created its own issues. Over the 1990s, the GSEs increased in size as they aggressively purchased and retained the MBSs that they issued. Many argue that the shift of mortgage holdings from banks and thrifts to the GSE-retained portfolios was a consequence of capital arbitrage. GSE capital requirements for holding residential mortgage risk were lower than the regulatory capital requirements that applied to banks and thrifts.

This growth in the infrastructure fed market liquidity and also facilitated the growth of a liquid private-label MBS market, which began claiming market share from the GSEs in the early 2000’s. The private-label MBS (PLMBS) market fed growth in mortgages backed by jumbo, hybrid adjustable-rate, subprime, pay-option and Alt-A mortgages.

These mortgage instruments, originated primarily outside of insured depository institutions, fed the housing and credit bubble and triggered the subsequent crisis. In addition, the GSEs – Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac, and the Federal Home Loan banks, were major purchasers of PLMBS.

In conjunction with her deprecation of investor acuity, this is a very interesting observation indeed!

During the 1990s, much of the underlying collateral for private-label MBSs was comprised of prime jumbo mortgages—high quality mortgages with balances in excess of the GSE loan limits. During this period, the securitizing institution would often have to retain the risky tranches of the structure because there was no active investor market for these securities.

However, the lack of demand for the high-risk tranches limited the growth of private-label MBSs. In response, the financial industry developed two other investment structures—collateralized debt obligations (CDOs) and structured investment vehicles (SIVs). These structures were critical in creating investor demand for the high-risk tranches of the private-label MBSs and for creating the credit-market excesses that fueled the housing boom.

With these high ratings, MBS, CDO, and SIV securities were readily purchased by institutional investors because they paid higher yields compared to similarly rated securities. In some cases, securities issued by CDOs were included in the collateral pools of new CDOs leading to instruments called CDOs-squared. The end result was that a chain of private-label MBS, CDO and SIV securitizations allowed the origination of large pools of low-quality individual mortgages that, in turn, allowed over-leveraged consumers and investors to purchase over-valued housing. This chain turned toxic loans into highly rated debt securities that were purchased by institutional investors. Ultimately, investors took on exposure to losses in the underlying mortgages that was many times larger than the underlying loan balances. For regulated institutions, the regulatory capital requirements for holding these rated instruments were far lower than for directly holding these toxic loans.

The crisis revealed two fatal problems for CDOs and SIVs. First, the assumptions that generated the presumed diversification benefits in these structures proved to be incorrect. As long as housing prices continued to post healthy gains, the flaws in the risk models used to structure and rate these instruments were not apparent to investors. Second, the use of short-term asset-backed commercial paper funding by SIVs proved to be highly unstable. When it became apparent that subprime mortgage losses would emerge, investors stopped rolling-over SIVs commercial paper. Many SIVs were suddenly unable to meet their short-term funding needs. In turn, the institutions that had sponsored SIVs were forced to support them to avoid catastrophic losses. A fire sale of these assets could have cascaded and caused mark-to-market losses on CDOs and other mortgage-related securities.

OK, so we’ve identified two problems:

  • regulated institutions can reduce risk-weightings by repackaging, and
  • regulated institutions are “forced to support” their off-balance sheet sponsored products

Unfortunately, her proposed solution actually exacerbates the problem:

For instance, loan originators and firms that securitize these loans should have to retain some measure of recourse to ensure sound underwriting.

Interestingly:

Looking back, it is clear that the regulatory community did not appreciate the magnitude and scope of the potential risks that were building in the financial system.

For instance, private-label MBSs were originated through mortgage companies and brokers as well as portions of the banking industry. The MBSs were subject to minimum securities disclosure rules that are not designed to evaluate loan underwriting quality. Moreover, those rules did not allow sufficient time or require sufficient information for investors and creditors to perform their own due diligence either initially or during the term of the securitization.

Many of the structured finance activities that generated the largest losses were complex and opaque transactions, and they were only undertaken by a relatively few large institutions. Access to detailed information on these activities—the structuring of the transactions, the investors who purchased the securities and other details—was not widely available on a timely basis even within the banking regulatory community.

Repeal Regulation FD!

In the mid-1990s, bank regulators working with the Basel Committee on Banking Supervision (Basel Committee) introduced a new set of capital requirements for trading activities. The new requirements were generally much lower than the requirements for traditional lending under the theory that banks’ trading-book exposures were liquid, marked-to-market, mostly hedged, and could be liquidated at close to their market values within a short interval—for example 10 days.

The market risk rule presented a ripe opportunity for capital arbitrage, as institutions began to hold growing amounts of assets in trading accounts that were not marked-to-market but “marked-to-model.” These assets benefitted from the low capital requirements of the market risk rule, even though they were in some cases so highly complex, opaque and illiquid that they could not be sold quickly without loss. Indeed, in late 2007 and through 2008, large write-downs of assets held in trading accounts weakened the capital positions of some large commercial and investment banks and fueled market fears.

In other words, regulators failed to ensure that the trading book was, in fact, trading and failed to apply a capital surcharge on aged positions.

In 2001, regulators reduced capital requirements for highly rated securities. Specifically, capital requirements for securities rated AA or AAA (or equivalent) by a credit rating agency were reduced by 80 percent for securities backed by most types of collateral and by 60 percent for privately issued securities backed by residential mortgages. For these highly rated securities, capital requirements were $1.60 per $100 of exposure, compared to $8 for most loan types and $4 for most residential mortgages.

Like the market risk rule, this rule change also created important economic incentives that altered financial institution behavior by rewarding the creation of highly rated securities from assets that previously would have been held on balance sheet. For example, as discussed earlier, the production of large volumes of AAA-rated securities backed by subprime and Alt-A mortgages was almost certainly encouraged by the ability of financial institutions holding these securities to receive preferential low capital requirements solely by virtue of their assigned ratings from the credit rating agencies.

In other words, it wasn’t just investors who were outsourcing their due diligence – they were joined by the regulators.

The federal housing GSEs operated with considerably lower capital requirements than those that applied to banks. Low capital requirements encouraged an ongoing migration of residential mortgage credit to these entities and spurred a growing reliance on the originate-to-distribute business models that proved so fragile during the crisis. Not only did the GSEs originate MBSs, they purchased private-label securities for their own portfolio, which helped support the growth in the Alt-A and subprime markets. In 2002, private-label MBSs only represented about 10 percent of their portfolio. This amount grew dramatically and peaked at just over 32 percent in 2005.

Good! A return to the role of the GSEs!

A reserve fund, built from industry assessments, would also provide economic incentives to reduce the size and complexity that makes closing these firms so difficult. One way to address large interconnected institutions is to make it expensive to be one. Industry assessments could be risk-based. Firms engaging in higher risk activities, such as proprietary trading, complex structured finance, and other high-risk activities would pay more.

The largest firms that impose the most potential for systemic risk should also be subject to greater oversight, higher capital and liquidity requirements, and other prudential safeguards. Off-balance-sheet assets and conduits, which turned out to be not-so-remote from their parent organizations in the crisis, should be counted and capitalized on the balance sheet.

I like this part, it’s good stuff!

It’s a pity she didn’t develop her attack on the GSEs further: it seems apparent that they were the kings of the too-big-to-fail castle and had very low capital requirements. But, perhaps, she simply wants to lay the groundwork for somebody else to bell the cat.

G&M Interviews Julia Dickson of OSFI

Monday, January 4th, 2010

The Globe and Mail interviewed Julia Dickson for today’s paper:

That is good – to focus on too big to fail and market discipline – but some of the suggestions for dealing with that are not appropriate, such as determining which institutions are systemic [too big to allow to fail] and trying to assess some sort of capital charge on them.

There are various reasons for that, but I think that designating institutions as systemic will lead them to take more risk, and I think that coming up with the capital charge would be hugely challenging.

Ms. Dickson’s opposition to Treasury’s proposal to designate systemically important institutions is well known, but the fact that “coming up with the capital charge would be hugely challenging” is hardly a reason to ignore the issue.

OSFI has already specified Operation Risk Requirements, which are included in risk weighted assets. One formulation considered acceptable is:

Operational risk is defined as the risk of loss resulting from inadequate or failed internal processes, people and systems or from external events. This definition includes legal risk,66 but excludes strategic and reputational risk.

Banks using the Basic Indicator Approach must hold capital for operational risk equal to the average over the previous three years of a fixed percentage (denoted alpha) of positive annual gross income. Figures for any year in which annual gross income is negative or zero should be excluded from both the numerator and denominator when calculating the average.68 The charge may be expressed as follows:
KBIA = [Σ(GI1…n x α)]/n
Where
KBIA = the capital charge under the Basic Indicator Approach
GI = annual gross income, where positive, over the previous three years
n = number of the previous three years for which gross income is positive
α = 15%, which is set by the Committee, relating the industry wide level of required capital to the industry wide level of the indicator.

Gross Income is a better-than-random proxy for systemic importance and I thing many people will agree that a major part of the Credit Crunch was “inadequate or failed internal processes” related to risk control. If setting α to 15% has proved to be inadequate, try doubling it and see how the back-tests work out. That’s one way. I still prefer a progressive surcharge on Risk-Weighted Assets starting at, say, $250-billion.

We would be more in favour of promoting the idea of contingent capital internationally. So that’s where you have a big chunk of subordinated debt that converts into common equity if the government feels that it has to step in to protect an institution or inject money into the institution. So that’s the kind of position we’re taking internationally, and it’s a huge issue.

I guess if you quantify your proposal simply as a “big chunk of subordinated debt”, the challenge becomes less huge.

Of more interest is the proposed trigger: “if the government feel it has to step in”. The Squam Lake double trigger has attracted some support, but as noted in my commentary on the BoE Financial Stability Report, I feel that such a determination will amount to a death sentence for the affected bank and will therefore come too late to be of use … as well as putting a ridiculous amount of power in the hands of regulators. Let the trigger be the market price of the common; the market understands that, can hedge it and, most importantly, will have some certainty in time of stress.

Canadian ABCP

Tuesday, December 22nd, 2009

The ABCP settlements have been released:

In the Scotia agreement, the “Contraventions” section is one paragraph long:

71. The Respondent admits to the following contraventions of IIROC Rules, Guidance, IDA By-Laws, Regulations or Policies:

Between July 25 and August 10, 2007, the Respondent failed to adequately respond to emerging issues in the Coventree ABCP market insofar as it continued to sell Coventree ABCP without engaging Compliance and other appropriate processes for the assessment of such emerging issues, contrary to IDA By-law 29.1 (ii) (now Dealer Member Rule 29.1(ii)).

If we have a look at Rule 29.1:

29.1. Dealer Members and each partner, Director, Officer, Supervisor, Registered Representative, Investment Representative and employee of a Dealer Member (i) shall observe high standards of ethics and conduct in the transaction of their business, (ii) shall not engage in any business conduct or practice which is unbecoming or detrimental to the public interest, and (iii) shall be of such character and business repute and have such experience and training as is consistent with the standards described in clauses (i) and (ii) or as may be prescribed by the Board.

For the purposes of disciplinary proceedings pursuant to the Rules, each Dealer Member shall be responsible for all acts and omissions of each partner, Director, Officer, Supervisor, Registered Representative, Investment Representative and employee of a Dealer Member; and each of the foregoing individuals shall comply with all Rules required to be complied with by the Dealer Member.

The agreed statement of facts for Scotia’s “Response to Emerging Issues” is:

60. Notwithstanding the events described above, the Respondent failed to fully assess the information in the July 24th e-mail in a meaningful way. The Respondent did not notify its Compliance Department (“Compliance”) of the July 24th email or its contents until after August 13, 2007.

61. Notwithstanding its concerns about emerging market issues for Coventree ABCP, the Respondent failed to engage an adequate process to fully assess the impact of those concerns. The Respondent did not notify Compliance of its concerns.

62. Notwithstanding the emerging issues relating to the Coventree ABCP market as described above, the Respondent continued to sell Coventree ABCP to institutional clients, primarily by way of newly issued paper.

63. From July 25 to August 3, 2007, the Respondent sold Comet E from inventory, as noted in paragraph 56, and newly issued Planet A ABCP in the amount of $35,400,000, to institutional clients who the Respondent was not aware had knowledge of the US subprime exposure.

64. On August 3 the Respondent sold $28 million and from August 7 to 10 the Respondent sold $235 million in newly issued Aurora A, SAT A, and SIT III A to institutional clients (excluding sales of ABCP that matured prior to August 13, 2007 and sales to the CDPQ and other certain professional counterparties).

Update: The AMF Press Release provides more detail:

Five of the institutions involved are alleged to have failed to adequately respond to issues in the third party ABCP market, as they continued to buy and/or sell without engaging compliance and other appropriate processes for assessing such issues. Particularly, they did not disclose to all their clients the July 24th e-mail from Coventree providing the subprime exposure of each Coventree ABCP conduit.

Regulation FD Under Attack

Saturday, December 19th, 2009

In my essay Credit Ratings: Investors in a Bind I argued that the NRSRO exemption to Regulation FD be repealed.

This exemption may be summarized as

Regulation FD requires that an issuer, or any person acting on its behalf, publicly disclose material nonpublic information if the information is disclosed to certain specified persons. Currently, one exception to this requirement is disclosure of information to an entity whose primary business is the issuance of credit ratings, so long as the information is disclosed solely for the purpose of developing a rating and the entity’s ratings are publicly available.

The fact that credit rating agencies have access to material non-public information that you or I would go to jail for possessing can lead to considerable second-guessing when evaluating the credit quality of any given issue or issuer; encouraging an over-reliance by investors on credit rating agencies and increasing the degree of financial instability inherent in the system (by encouraging cliff-risk through market reaction to downgrades and other difficulties caused by exposure to single-point failure).

The author of the above summary, Charles A. Sweet of Bingham McCutchen LLP goes on to advise, in his post In an Effort to Encourage Unsolicited Ratings, SEC Requires Disclosure of All Information Provided to NRSROs Hired to Provide Credit Ratings; Also Adopts and Proposes Various New Disclosure Requirements for NRSROs:

The SEC has adopted, substantially as proposed, an expansion of this provision to permit the disclosure of material nonpublic information to NRSROs even if their ratings are not public. According to the SEC, this change will accommodate both subscriber-based NRSROs that do not make their ratings publicly available for free, as well as NRSROs that access information under the new disclosure rules but which do not ultimately issue a rating.

… which is great news, but not as good as the information passed on by Jim Hamilton of Jim Hamilton’s World of Securities Regulation in his post House Passes Historic Financial Overhaul Legislation:

The House of Representatives passed historic legislation today overhauling the US financial regulatory system.

The SEC is directed to revise Regulation FD to remove from FD the exemption for entities whose primary business is the issuance of credit ratings (Section 6007).

Let’s just hope that this part of the legislation, anyway, becomes law … next stop, National Policy 51-201!