Indices and ETFs

CPD Reduces Distribution

Blackrock Investments Canada has announced that the regular monthly distribution with record date March 29 and pay date April 5 will be for only $0.062 / share, compared with previous levels of $0.069 / share.

I suggest that shareholders get used to this, because an annual distribution of $0.744 and NAV of 17.16 is a Current Yield of 4.33%, which I suggest is not sustainable even in the short term, given the fund’s large holdings in high-coupon FixedResets, many of which are callable at par in the next two years.

Market Action

March 27, 2012

US house prices continue to drop:

Home prices in 20 U.S. cities dropped at a slower pace in January, pointing to stabilization in the real estate market.

The S&P/Case-Shiller index (SPX) of property values in 20 cities fell 3.8 percent from a year earlier, matching the median forecast of 32 economists surveyed by Bloomberg News, after decreasing 4.1 percent in December, a report from the group showed today in New York. Prices were little changed in January from the prior month, the best performance since July.

But some straws in the wind suggest a bottom:

Bidding wars, absent from most parts of the U.S. residential market since its peak in 2006, are erupting from Seattle and Silicon Valley to Miami and Washington, D.C. The inventory of homes hovers close to a six-year low, while an increase in jobs and record affordability are tempting more buyers. The number of contracts to buy previously owned homes jumped 14 percent in February from a year earlier, the National Association of Realtors reported yesterday.

There wasn’t much of interest in today’s Ontario budget. As usual, the politicians are all excited about targetting a balanced budget, and couldn’t care less about repaying today’s borrowings – nor are they interested in making a realistic projection of a business cycle and providing estimates and targets for the budget balance through the cycle.

It was a positive day for the Canadian preferred share market,with PerpetualPremiums gaining 14bp, FixedResets up 3bp and DeemedRetractibles winning 15bp. Volatility was moderate. Volume was average.

HIMIPref™ Preferred Indices
These values reflect the December 2008 revision of the HIMIPref™ Indices

Values are provisional and are finalized monthly
Index Mean
Current
Yield
(at bid)
Median
YTW
Median
Average
Trading
Value
Median
Mod Dur
(YTW)
Issues Day’s Perf. Index Value
Ratchet 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 -0.0192 % 2,390.6
FixedFloater 4.49 % 3.84 % 36,010 17.43 1 1.1962 % 3,471.6
Floater 3.02 % 3.01 % 45,562 19.69 3 -0.0192 % 2,581.2
OpRet 4.90 % 2.53 % 47,570 1.22 6 0.5927 % 2,514.6
SplitShare 5.27 % -4.03 % 82,531 0.72 4 0.3241 % 2,683.0
Interest-Bearing 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.5927 % 2,299.4
Perpetual-Premium 5.44 % 3.34 % 97,216 0.18 25 0.1430 % 2,206.2
Perpetual-Discount 5.23 % 5.35 % 196,344 14.90 7 -0.0242 % 2,370.2
FixedReset 5.06 % 3.08 % 196,826 2.23 67 0.0304 % 2,381.6
Deemed-Retractible 4.97 % 4.02 % 218,404 2.85 46 0.1483 % 2,298.2
Performance Highlights
Issue Index Change Notes
MFC.PR.F FixedReset -1.06 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 24.19
Bid-YTW : 4.00 %
CM.PR.K FixedReset 1.04 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-07-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.35
Bid-YTW : 2.76 %
BAM.PR.G FixedFloater 1.20 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2042-03-27
Maturity Price : 21.46
Evaluated at bid price : 21.15
Bid-YTW : 3.84 %
BNA.PR.E SplitShare 1.22 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2017-12-10
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 24.80
Bid-YTW : 5.10 %
IAG.PR.A Deemed-Retractible 1.23 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 23.90
Bid-YTW : 5.20 %
FTS.PR.E OpRet 3.06 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2013-06-01
Maturity Price : 25.75
Evaluated at bid price : 26.91
Bid-YTW : 1.20 %
Volume Highlights
Issue Index Shares
Traded
Notes
BAM.PF.A FixedReset 167,575 Recent new issue.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2042-03-27
Maturity Price : 23.08
Evaluated at bid price : 24.96
Bid-YTW : 4.43 %
BNS.PR.Z FixedReset 164,463 RBC crossed 100,000 at 25.25; Desjardins crossed 40,000 at the same price.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.26
Bid-YTW : 3.24 %
POW.PR.C Perpetual-Premium 50,225 Desjardins crossed 40,000 at 25.25.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2012-04-26
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.25
Bid-YTW : -9.74 %
ENB.PR.D FixedReset 44,770 Desjardins bought two blocks of 10,000 each from National, both at 25.15.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2042-03-27
Maturity Price : 23.18
Evaluated at bid price : 25.20
Bid-YTW : 3.85 %
RY.PR.I FixedReset 44,280 RBC crossed 11,700 at 26.01.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-02-24
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.01
Bid-YTW : 3.07 %
TD.PR.A FixedReset 39,200 RBC crossed blocks of 20,000 and 16,500, both at 26.06.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.04
Bid-YTW : 3.11 %
There were 35 other index-included issues trading in excess of 10,000 shares.
Wide Spread Highlights
Issue Index Quote Data and Yield Notes
MFC.PR.F FixedReset Quote: 24.19 – 24.49
Spot Rate : 0.3000
Average : 0.1798

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 24.19
Bid-YTW : 4.00 %

TD.PR.S FixedReset Quote: 26.00 – 26.30
Spot Rate : 0.3000
Average : 0.2072

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2013-07-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.00
Bid-YTW : 2.56 %

MFC.PR.D FixedReset Quote: 26.78 – 27.00
Spot Rate : 0.2200
Average : 0.1404

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-06-19
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.78
Bid-YTW : 3.36 %

BNA.PR.C SplitShare Quote: 22.67 – 22.95
Spot Rate : 0.2800
Average : 0.2016

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2019-01-10
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 22.67
Bid-YTW : 6.12 %

CM.PR.L FixedReset Quote: 26.66 – 26.88
Spot Rate : 0.2200
Average : 0.1432

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-04-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.66
Bid-YTW : 2.92 %

TD.PR.Y FixedReset Quote: 26.03 – 26.26
Spot Rate : 0.2300
Average : 0.1554

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2013-10-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.03
Bid-YTW : 2.96 %

Market Action

March 26, 2012

Here’s a cheerful prediction from Italy:

Italy’s Prime Minister Mario Monti warned that Spain could reignite the European debt crisis as euro-area ministers this week prepare a deal to strengthen the region’s financial firewall.

Monti pointed to Spain’s struggle to control its finances ahead of a finance ministers meeting in Copenhagen starting on March 30, where officials will seek agreement to raise a 500 billion-euro ($664 billion) ceiling on bailout funding.

.“It doesn’t take much to recreate risks of contagion,” Monti said during the weekend at a conference in Cernobbio, Italy. Days after his Cabinet approved a bill to overhaul Italy’s labor laws, Monti praised Spain’s efforts to loosen work regulations while advising it to focus on cutting the national budget. Spain “hasn’t paid enough attention to its public accounts,” he said.

There are rumours that the acronym “HST” will soon stand for Hot Sex Tax.

It was a positive day overall for the Canadian preferred share market, with PerpetualPremiums down 6bp, FixedResets up 14bp and DeemedRetractibles winning 20bp. Sun Life and Manulife dominated the positive side of a relatively lengthy Performance Highlights table. Volume was almost average.

HIMIPref™ Preferred Indices
These values reflect the December 2008 revision of the HIMIPref™ Indices

Values are provisional and are finalized monthly
Index Mean
Current
Yield
(at bid)
Median
YTW
Median
Average
Trading
Value
Median
Mod Dur
(YTW)
Issues Day’s Perf. Index Value
Ratchet 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.5591 % 2,391.0
FixedFloater 4.55 % 3.94 % 35,127 17.37 1 0.0000 % 3,430.6
Floater 3.02 % 3.01 % 45,812 19.69 3 0.5591 % 2,581.7
OpRet 4.93 % 3.18 % 65,545 1.20 6 0.1032 % 2,499.8
SplitShare 5.28 % -3.88 % 83,446 0.72 4 0.0199 % 2,674.3
Interest-Bearing 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.1032 % 2,285.8
Perpetual-Premium 5.45 % 4.18 % 98,442 0.18 25 -0.0632 % 2,203.1
Perpetual-Discount 5.22 % 5.32 % 193,740 14.95 7 0.1149 % 2,370.8
FixedReset 5.06 % 3.09 % 194,014 2.24 67 0.1409 % 2,380.9
Deemed-Retractible 4.97 % 4.07 % 218,830 2.93 46 0.1987 % 2,294.8
Performance Highlights
Issue Index Change Notes
CIU.PR.A Perpetual-Premium -1.44 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2042-03-26
Maturity Price : 23.72
Evaluated at bid price : 24.00
Bid-YTW : 4.82 %
CM.PR.P Deemed-Retractible -1.19 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2012-10-29
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.15
Bid-YTW : 3.60 %
BAM.PR.B Floater 1.10 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2042-03-26
Maturity Price : 17.45
Evaluated at bid price : 17.45
Bid-YTW : 3.00 %
MFC.PR.F FixedReset 1.16 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 24.45
Bid-YTW : 3.86 %
SLF.PR.C Deemed-Retractible 1.25 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 22.66
Bid-YTW : 5.73 %
SLF.PR.A Deemed-Retractible 1.33 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 23.70
Bid-YTW : 5.46 %
SLF.PR.B Deemed-Retractible 1.40 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 23.83
Bid-YTW : 5.44 %
MFC.PR.B Deemed-Retractible 1.64 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 23.61
Bid-YTW : 5.43 %
SLF.PR.E Deemed-Retractible 1.70 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 22.78
Bid-YTW : 5.71 %
Volume Highlights
Issue Index Shares
Traded
Notes
MFC.PR.A OpRet 590,370 Nesbitt gone wild! Nesbitt crossed five blocks: 274,800 shares, 96,800 shares, 25,000 shares, 160,000 and 25,000, all at 25.85.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2013-06-19
Maturity Price : 25.50
Evaluated at bid price : 25.80
Bid-YTW : 3.12 %
BNS.PR.Z FixedReset 151,057 RBC crossed 49,400 at 25.25; Desjardins crossed 25,000 at 25.29; TD crossed 35,000 at 25.25.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.23
Bid-YTW : 3.25 %
MFC.PR.F FixedReset 105,865 RBC crossed 99,400 at 24.47.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 24.45
Bid-YTW : 3.86 %
GWO.PR.G Deemed-Retractible 85,000 RBC crossed blocks of 23,000 and 50,000, both at 25.00.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 24.90
Bid-YTW : 5.28 %
CM.PR.J Deemed-Retractible 80,353 Called for redemption.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2012-04-30
Maturity Price : 26.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.96
Bid-YTW : 1.61 %
ENB.PR.F FixedReset 54,200 TD crossed 11,000 at 25.32.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2018-06-01
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.30
Bid-YTW : 3.94 %
There were 29 other index-included issues trading in excess of 10,000 shares.
Wide Spread Highlights
Issue Index Quote Data and Yield Notes
CM.PR.K FixedReset Quote: 26.08 – 26.79
Spot Rate : 0.7100
Average : 0.4943

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-07-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.08
Bid-YTW : 3.22 %

CM.PR.P Deemed-Retractible Quote: 25.15 – 25.60
Spot Rate : 0.4500
Average : 0.2651

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2012-10-29
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.15
Bid-YTW : 3.60 %

PWF.PR.P FixedReset Quote: 25.81 – 26.19
Spot Rate : 0.3800
Average : 0.2962

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2042-03-26
Maturity Price : 23.51
Evaluated at bid price : 25.81
Bid-YTW : 3.19 %

CM.PR.M FixedReset Quote: 26.80 – 27.05
Spot Rate : 0.2500
Average : 0.1775

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-07-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.80
Bid-YTW : 3.05 %

ENB.PR.A Perpetual-Premium Quote: 25.75 – 26.00
Spot Rate : 0.2500
Average : 0.1849

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2012-04-25
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.75
Bid-YTW : -24.33 %

IGM.PR.B Perpetual-Premium Quote: 26.40 – 26.98
Spot Rate : 0.5800
Average : 0.5154

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2018-12-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.40
Bid-YTW : 5.10 %

Market Action

March 23, 2012

There may indeed have been some naughtiness at MF Global:

Jon S. Corzine, MF Global Holding Ltd. (MFGLQ)’s chief executive officer, gave “direct instructions” to transfer $200 million from a customer fund account to meet an overdraft in one of the brokerage’s JPMorgan Chase & Co. (JPM) accounts in London, according to an e-mail sent by a firm executive.

Edith O’Brien, a treasurer for the firm, said in an e-mail sent the afternoon of Oct. 28, three days before the company collapsed, that the transfer of the funds was “Per JC’s direct instructions,” according to a copy of a memo drafted by congressional investigators and obtained by Bloomberg News.

There’s some kind of wierd scam going on. Twice in two days, I’ve received a call from somebody (different somebodies!) who asked – right off the bat – whether “you guys accept American Express”. The first time I wanted to know who he was and why he wanted to know – since he claimed to be from California and was only curious, I told him not to call again. The second time I asked who “Leah” worked for; she didn’t work for anybody, she was just curious.

So – a scam. But I can’t figure out how it works!

It was a day of modest gains in the Canadian preferred share market, with PerpetualPremiums gaining 4bp, FixedResets winning 11bp and DeemedRetractibles up 5bp. Considering the overall averages, the Performance Highlights table is relatively lengthy. Volume was very low.

HIMIPref™ Preferred Indices
These values reflect the December 2008 revision of the HIMIPref™ Indices

Values are provisional and are finalized monthly
Index Mean
Current
Yield
(at bid)
Median
YTW
Median
Average
Trading
Value
Median
Mod Dur
(YTW)
Issues Day’s Perf. Index Value
Ratchet 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 -0.9169 % 2,377.7
FixedFloater 4.55 % 3.94 % 36,515 17.37 1 -0.0478 % 3,430.6
Floater 3.04 % 3.03 % 45,363 19.65 3 -0.9169 % 2,567.3
OpRet 4.93 % 3.16 % 65,386 1.21 6 0.0000 % 2,497.2
SplitShare 5.29 % -3.84 % 83,877 0.73 4 0.0299 % 2,673.8
Interest-Bearing 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.0000 % 2,283.5
Perpetual-Premium 5.44 % 3.32 % 100,830 0.83 25 0.0408 % 2,204.4
Perpetual-Discount 5.23 % 5.35 % 190,337 14.93 7 -0.5771 % 2,368.1
FixedReset 5.06 % 3.19 % 192,944 2.24 67 0.1085 % 2,377.6
Deemed-Retractible 4.98 % 4.07 % 209,361 2.93 46 0.0515 % 2,290.3
Performance Highlights
Issue Index Change Notes
BAM.PR.B Floater -1.65 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2042-03-23
Maturity Price : 17.26
Evaluated at bid price : 17.26
Bid-YTW : 3.04 %
ELF.PR.G Perpetual-Discount -1.63 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2042-03-23
Maturity Price : 22.13
Evaluated at bid price : 22.38
Bid-YTW : 5.39 %
BAM.PR.M Perpetual-Discount -1.42 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2042-03-23
Maturity Price : 22.01
Evaluated at bid price : 22.26
Bid-YTW : 5.35 %
GWO.PR.I Deemed-Retractible -1.37 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 23.76
Bid-YTW : 5.16 %
BAM.PR.C Floater -1.37 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2042-03-23
Maturity Price : 17.31
Evaluated at bid price : 17.31
Bid-YTW : 3.03 %
BNS.PR.X FixedReset 1.05 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-04-25
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.99
Bid-YTW : 2.79 %
RY.PR.L FixedReset 1.07 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-02-24
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.55
Bid-YTW : 2.53 %
CIU.PR.A Perpetual-Premium 1.71 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2042-03-23
Maturity Price : 24.06
Evaluated at bid price : 24.35
Bid-YTW : 4.75 %
Volume Highlights
Issue Index Shares
Traded
Notes
BNS.PR.Z FixedReset 211,309 TD crossed 55,000 and two blocks of 25,000 each at 25.25. RBC crossed 50,000 at the same price.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.20
Bid-YTW : 3.28 %
CM.PR.J Deemed-Retractible 80,618 Called for redemption.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2012-04-30
Maturity Price : 26.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.23
Bid-YTW : 1.85 %
TD.PR.G FixedReset 53,628 TD crossed blocks of 40,000 and 10,000 at 26.94.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-04-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.93
Bid-YTW : 2.89 %
BAM.PF.A FixedReset 33,746 Recent new issue.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2042-03-23
Maturity Price : 23.04
Evaluated at bid price : 24.85
Bid-YTW : 4.48 %
PWF.PR.R Perpetual-Premium 28,250 Recent new issue.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2021-04-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.45
Bid-YTW : 5.34 %
GWO.PR.P Deemed-Retractible 27,354 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.46
Bid-YTW : 5.25 %
There were 14 other index-included issues trading in excess of 10,000 shares.
Wide Spread Highlights
Issue Index Quote Data and Yield Notes
BNS.PR.P FixedReset Quote: 25.65 – 26.32
Spot Rate : 0.6700
Average : 0.3860

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2013-04-25
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.65
Bid-YTW : 3.27 %

IAG.PR.F Deemed-Retractible Quote: 25.51 – 26.39
Spot Rate : 0.8800
Average : 0.6663

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2019-03-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.51
Bid-YTW : 5.56 %

ELF.PR.G Perpetual-Discount Quote: 22.38 – 22.97
Spot Rate : 0.5900
Average : 0.4097

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2042-03-23
Maturity Price : 22.13
Evaluated at bid price : 22.38
Bid-YTW : 5.39 %

IGM.PR.B Perpetual-Premium Quote: 26.40 – 26.99
Spot Rate : 0.5900
Average : 0.4445

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2018-12-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.40
Bid-YTW : 5.10 %

BAM.PR.J OpRet Quote: 27.00 – 27.39
Spot Rate : 0.3900
Average : 0.2680

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-03-31
Maturity Price : 26.00
Evaluated at bid price : 27.00
Bid-YTW : 3.16 %

FTS.PR.E OpRet Quote: 26.11 – 27.00
Spot Rate : 0.8900
Average : 0.7712

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2013-06-01
Maturity Price : 25.75
Evaluated at bid price : 26.11
Bid-YTW : 3.82 %

Market Action

March 22, 2012

Moody’s has a good idea:

Governments, which have been criticizing credit-rating companies over sovereign-debt downgrades, should start a competing firm, according to Moody’s Corp. (MCO) Chief Executive Officer Ray McDaniel.

“Public institutions that have both the expertise and credibility among market participants should provide credit views on sovereigns,” McDaniel wrote today in a paper called “A Solution for the Credit Rating Agency Debate” that was posted on the New York-based company’s website.

European lawmakers have blamed Moody’s, Standard & Poor’s and Fitch Ratings for complicating efforts to resolve the region’s debt crisis by cutting countries’ ratings, leading the European Union to adopt tougher regulations. While some have considered prohibiting the companies from publishing their opinions, that won’t stop investors from speculating on creditworthiness, McDaniel said.

Looking to see how much credibility and influence a government-run CRA would have would be a hoot!

Spend-Every-Penny said something sensible today:

“I find it a bit odd that some of the bank executives are taking the position that the minister of finance or the government somehow should tell them how to run their business,” Flaherty said during an appearance in Stittsville, Ont., just west of Ottawa.

“We have bank executives in Canada going and saying ‘really, the rules on insured mortgages should be tightened up.’ They must forget that they are actually the ones that issue the mortgages. It’s their market. It’s not my market. They decide what they want to charge in interest rates.

“They’re the ones that make the profits out of this business, so I do find it a bit much when some of the bank executives turn to the government … and say ‘you ought to change the rules and make it tighter.’ It’s very interesting commentary from them.”

Downtown members of Toronto Shitty Council were able to record a political victory today over Mayor Rob Ford. All they had to do was throw Scarborough under the bus streetcar LRT and destroy city finances! Bargain! In related news, daredevil Star reporter Kate Allen was able to drive 6.5 km along St. Clair in only twenty minutes! I’m surprised she didn’t get a ticket!

It was another down day for the Canadian preferred share market, with PerpetualPremiums losing 19bp, FixedResets off 1bp and DeemedRetractibles down 9bp. However, the Performance Highlights table is fairly short. Volume was on the low side of average.

HIMIPref™ Preferred Indices
These values reflect the December 2008 revision of the HIMIPref™ Indices

Values are provisional and are finalized monthly
Index Mean
Current
Yield
(at bid)
Median
YTW
Median
Average
Trading
Value
Median
Mod Dur
(YTW)
Issues Day’s Perf. Index Value
Ratchet 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.0191 % 2,399.8
FixedFloater 4.54 % 3.93 % 38,000 17.38 1 0.0000 % 3,432.2
Floater 3.01 % 2.98 % 45,171 19.77 3 0.0191 % 2,591.1
OpRet 4.93 % 3.34 % 50,517 1.24 6 0.0129 % 2,497.2
SplitShare 5.29 % -3.06 % 83,292 0.73 4 -0.0100 % 2,673.0
Interest-Bearing 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.0129 % 2,283.5
Perpetual-Premium 5.44 % 3.32 % 101,274 1.49 25 -0.1933 % 2,203.5
Perpetual-Discount 5.20 % 5.26 % 190,172 15.06 7 -0.5381 % 2,381.8
FixedReset 5.07 % 3.21 % 194,921 2.25 67 -0.0057 % 2,375.0
Deemed-Retractible 4.98 % 4.07 % 209,887 3.08 46 -0.0892 % 2,289.1
Performance Highlights
Issue Index Change Notes
CIU.PR.A Perpetual-Premium -2.88 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2042-03-22
Maturity Price : 23.67
Evaluated at bid price : 23.94
Bid-YTW : 4.83 %
BAM.PR.N Perpetual-Discount -2.49 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2042-03-22
Maturity Price : 22.02
Evaluated at bid price : 22.33
Bid-YTW : 5.32 %
BAM.PR.P FixedReset 1.02 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-09-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.85
Bid-YTW : 3.86 %
RY.PR.Y FixedReset 1.09 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-11-24
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.90
Bid-YTW : 3.32 %
Volume Highlights
Issue Index Shares
Traded
Notes
RY.PR.N FixedReset 78,478 TD crossed 25,000 at 26.50. Scotia bought two blocks of 10,000 each from National at 26.50, then crossed 25,000 at 26.51.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-02-24
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.52
Bid-YTW : 3.25 %
TD.PR.Y FixedReset 66,301 TD crossed 64,000 at 26.15.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2013-10-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.06
Bid-YTW : 2.86 %
BAM.PF.A FixedReset 55,170 Recent new issue.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2042-03-22
Maturity Price : 23.08
Evaluated at bid price : 24.97
Bid-YTW : 4.45 %
ENB.PR.F FixedReset 43,619 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2018-06-01
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.30
Bid-YTW : 3.93 %
RY.PR.T FixedReset 31,159 RBC crossed 25,000 at 26.90.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-08-24
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.92
Bid-YTW : 3.17 %
RY.PR.R FixedReset 28,621 RBC crossed 24,900 at 26.60.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-02-24
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.60
Bid-YTW : 3.08 %
There were 27 other index-included issues trading in excess of 10,000 shares.
Wide Spread Highlights
Issue Index Quote Data and Yield Notes
FTS.PR.E OpRet Quote: 26.25 – 27.11
Spot Rate : 0.8600
Average : 0.6410

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2013-06-01
Maturity Price : 25.75
Evaluated at bid price : 26.25
Bid-YTW : 3.34 %

PWF.PR.O Perpetual-Premium Quote: 26.20 – 26.69
Spot Rate : 0.4900
Average : 0.3246

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2018-10-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.20
Bid-YTW : 5.12 %

RY.PR.L FixedReset Quote: 26.27 – 26.54
Spot Rate : 0.2700
Average : 0.1631

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-02-24
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.27
Bid-YTW : 3.11 %

SLF.PR.E Deemed-Retractible Quote: 22.41 – 22.64
Spot Rate : 0.2300
Average : 0.1428

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 22.41
Bid-YTW : 5.92 %

GWO.PR.L Deemed-Retractible Quote: 25.52 – 25.77
Spot Rate : 0.2500
Average : 0.1734

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2017-12-31
Maturity Price : 25.25
Evaluated at bid price : 25.52
Bid-YTW : 5.38 %

BAM.PR.N Perpetual-Discount Quote: 22.33 – 22.58
Spot Rate : 0.2500
Average : 0.1736

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2042-03-22
Maturity Price : 22.02
Evaluated at bid price : 22.33
Bid-YTW : 5.32 %

New Issues

New Issue: CF FixedReset 5.75%+403

Canaccord Financial Inc. has announced:

that it has agreed to issue 4,000,000 Cumulative 5-Year Rate Reset First Preferred Shares, Series C (the “Series C Preferred Shares”) to a syndicate of underwriters led by CIBC, Canaccord Genuity Corp. and RBC Capital Markets for distribution to the public. The Series C Preferred Shares will be issued at a price of $25.00 per share for aggregate gross proceeds of $100 million. Holders of the Series C Preferred Shares will be entitled to receive fixed, cumulative, preferential dividends payable quarterly, if, as and when declared by the board of directors of Canaccord, and yielding 5.75% annually for the initial period ending on June 30, 2017. Thereafter, the dividend rate will be reset every five years at a rate equal to the five year Government of Canada bond yield plus 4.03%.

Holders of Series C Preferred Shares will have the right, at their option, to convert any or all of their shares into an equal number of Cumulative Floating Rate First Preferred Shares, Series D (the “Series D Preferred Shares”), subject to certain conditions, on June 30, 2017 and on June 30th every five years thereafter. Holders of the Series D Preferred Shares will be entitled to receive floating rate, cumulative, preferential dividends payable quarterly, if, as and when declared by the board of directors of Canaccord, at a rate equal to the three-month Government of Canada Treasury Bill yield plus 4.03%.

Canaccord has also granted the underwriters an option to purchase up to an additional 600,000 Series C Preferred Shares, on the same terms and conditions as the offering, exercisable in whole or in part, for a period of 30 days from the closing date of the offering. If this option is exercised in full, the total gross proceeds to Canaccord will be $115 million.

The net proceeds of the offering will be used to reduce outstanding borrowings under the $150 million senior secured credit facility (the “Acquisition Credit Facility”) entered into by the Company, as borrower, and provided by Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce, as lender. The Acquisition Credit Facility was entered in order to fund a portion of the cash consideration for the Company’s previously announced acquisition of Collins Stewart Hawkpoint plc, which closed on March 21, 2012. The offering is expected to close on or about April 10, 2012, subject to certain conditions, including Toronto Stock Exchange approval, as well as other conditions set forth in an underwriting agreement to be entered into between Canaccord and the underwriters.

The Series C Preferred Shares will be offered for sale to the public in each of the provinces and territories of Canada by way of a short form prospectus to be filed with Canadian securities regulatory authorities in all provinces of Canada.

Market Action

March 21, 2012

Who will be the next domino? Willem Buiter thinks Spain:

Spain has never been so close to default and Greece, Ireland and Portugal may need further bailouts, Citigroup Inc. chief economist Willem Buiter said.

“Spain is the key country about which I’m most worried,” Buiter, a former Bank of England policy maker, said in a radio interview today on “Bloomberg Surveillance” with Tom Keene and Ken Prewitt. “It’s really moved to the wrong side of the spectrum and is now at greater risk of sovereign restructuring than ever before.”

Spanish bonds fell, pushing 10-year yields to the highest level in more than a month at 5.388 percent at 5 p.m. Madrid time, widening the spread over similar German maturities to 3.4 percentage points, 20 basis points more than yesterday.

Bottom-fishers are in the US housing market:

Waypoint, a private-equity real-estate fund with $150 million in assets, is pioneering a new approach to making money from the housing crash. Since 2007, investors have been trolling the cratered suburbs stretching from California to Florida (SPCSMIA) for cheap houses to flip. And firms such as PennyMac Mortgage Investment Trust have sought value in subprime-mortgage-backed securities.

Waypoint, which owns 1,100 houses and is buying five more a day, is betting that converting foreclosures into rentals is a better way to make a profit. Other firms, such as Landsmith LP in San Francisco, are now cropping up and pursuing the same strategy in Arizona, California and Nevada.

With many suburban homes selling for half their peak values and demand for rentals from prospective tenants climbing, Waypoint was earning an 8 to 9 percent return on its capital as of Dec. 31, according to a quarterly report it sends to clients. That beats the 6.3 percent gain in the BI NA Multifamily REIT (BRFREITC) Index, which tracks the performance of 27 apartment building operators.

The cost of renting in the U.S. reached an all-time high compared with that of buying a home at the end of last year, indicating it’s a good time for investors to purchase, Deutsche Bank AG (DBK) analysts said in a note today.

There’s a grim outlook for airlines:

Emirates, the biggest airline by international traffic, said more carriers will go bust this year as fuel costs and sluggish economies undermine profitability.

Airline profits will plunge 62 percent in 2012 to $3 billion, equal to a 0.5 percent margin on sales, as oil prices rise, the International Air Transport Association said this week. Emirates’s fuel bill accounts for 45 percent of costs and may jump by an “incredibly challenging” $1.7 billion in the year ending March 31, according to Clark, who says he’s sticking with a no-hedging strategy rather than risking a losing bet.

AMR Corp. (AMR1)’s American Airlines is restructuring after filing for Chapter 11 bankruptcy and India’s Kingfisher Airlines Ltd. (KAIR) may lose its license as it struggles with cash shortages and losses. That’s after Barcelona-based Spanair SA collapsed Jan. 27, followed that week by Hungarian national carrier Malev Zrt. (MALEV)

Air Canada will do all right, since competing with them is illegal, as is negotiating labour contracts.

Toronto Shitty Council debated Sheppard Avenue transit today. My favourite question was:

Cllr Minnan-Wong asks Andy Byford why TTC did not have ready figures on operating costs of LRTs v subways. He says wk now done. #TOcouncil

Glad the work’s been done now! Now I want to know: is there anybody, anybody at all in TTC management who deserves to keep their job?

The Canadian preferred share market got smacked again today, with PerpetualPremiums down 20bp, FixedResets off 11bp and DeemedRetractibles losing 27bp. The Performance Highlights table is suitably long. Volume was average.

PerpetualDiscounts (all seven of them!) now yield 5.19%, equivalent to 6.75% interest at the standard equivalency factor of 1.3x. Long corporates now yield about 4.7%, so the pre-tax interest-equivalent spread (in this context, “the Seniority Spread”) is now about 205bp, unchanged from that reported on March 14.

HIMIPref™ Preferred Indices
These values reflect the December 2008 revision of the HIMIPref™ Indices

Values are provisional and are finalized monthly
Index Mean
Current
Yield
(at bid)
Median
YTW
Median
Average
Trading
Value
Median
Mod Dur
(YTW)
Issues Day’s Perf. Index Value
Ratchet 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 -0.3617 % 2,399.3
FixedFloater 4.54 % 3.93 % 38,317 17.38 1 0.4323 % 3,432.2
Floater 3.01 % 2.98 % 47,007 19.77 3 -0.3617 % 2,590.6
OpRet 4.93 % 3.20 % 49,825 1.24 6 0.3041 % 2,496.9
SplitShare 5.29 % -2.79 % 83,767 0.73 4 -0.0698 % 2,673.2
Interest-Bearing 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.3041 % 2,283.2
Perpetual-Premium 5.43 % 3.46 % 99,567 0.83 25 -0.2001 % 2,207.8
Perpetual-Discount 5.17 % 5.19 % 189,370 15.16 7 -0.7860 % 2,394.7
FixedReset 5.07 % 3.26 % 191,734 2.25 67 -0.1067 % 2,375.1
Deemed-Retractible 4.98 % 4.06 % 211,460 3.08 46 -0.2729 % 2,291.1
Performance Highlights
Issue Index Change Notes
BAM.PR.N Perpetual-Discount -2.30 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2042-03-21
Maturity Price : 22.54
Evaluated at bid price : 22.90
Bid-YTW : 5.19 %
BAM.PR.M Perpetual-Discount -2.19 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2042-03-21
Maturity Price : 22.38
Evaluated at bid price : 22.77
Bid-YTW : 5.21 %
CIU.PR.A Perpetual-Premium -2.18 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2042-03-21
Maturity Price : 24.36
Evaluated at bid price : 24.65
Bid-YTW : 4.69 %
BAM.PR.K Floater -1.82 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2042-03-21
Maturity Price : 17.24
Evaluated at bid price : 17.24
Bid-YTW : 3.04 %
RY.PR.Y FixedReset -1.52 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-11-24
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.61
Bid-YTW : 3.76 %
IAG.PR.F Deemed-Retractible -1.46 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2019-03-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.67
Bid-YTW : 5.44 %
GWO.PR.H Deemed-Retractible -1.22 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 24.26
Bid-YTW : 5.25 %
MFC.PR.B Deemed-Retractible -1.06 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 23.36
Bid-YTW : 5.56 %
IAG.PR.A Deemed-Retractible -1.00 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 23.75
Bid-YTW : 5.27 %
SLF.PR.H FixedReset 1.04 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 24.25
Bid-YTW : 4.24 %
HSB.PR.D Deemed-Retractible 1.11 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2013-12-31
Maturity Price : 25.25
Evaluated at bid price : 25.51
Bid-YTW : 4.28 %
Volume Highlights
Issue Index Shares
Traded
Notes
RY.PR.B Deemed-Retractible 118,444 RBC crossed 109,500 at 25.55.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-08-24
Maturity Price : 25.25
Evaluated at bid price : 25.54
Bid-YTW : 4.33 %
BAM.PF.A FixedReset 79,550 Recent new issue.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2042-03-21
Maturity Price : 23.08
Evaluated at bid price : 24.97
Bid-YTW : 4.45 %
ENB.PR.F FixedReset 70,349 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2018-06-01
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.31
Bid-YTW : 3.92 %
TD.PR.R Deemed-Retractible 54,401 Scotia crossed 30,000 at 26.85; TD crossed 20,000 at the same price.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2013-04-30
Maturity Price : 26.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.93
Bid-YTW : 2.76 %
CM.PR.J Deemed-Retractible 35,981 Called for redemption.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2012-04-30
Maturity Price : 26.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.23
Bid-YTW : 1.76 %
POW.PR.G Perpetual-Premium 34,352 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2021-04-15
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.45
Bid-YTW : 5.43 %
There were 30 other index-included issues trading in excess of 10,000 shares.
Wide Spread Highlights
Issue Index Quote Data and Yield Notes
TCA.PR.X Perpetual-Premium Quote: 52.01 – 52.55
Spot Rate : 0.5400
Average : 0.3815

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2013-10-15
Maturity Price : 50.00
Evaluated at bid price : 52.01
Bid-YTW : 3.47 %

RY.PR.Y FixedReset Quote: 26.61 – 27.01
Spot Rate : 0.4000
Average : 0.2464

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-11-24
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.61
Bid-YTW : 3.76 %

RY.PR.H Deemed-Retractible Quote: 26.85 – 27.23
Spot Rate : 0.3800
Average : 0.2357

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2013-05-24
Maturity Price : 26.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.85
Bid-YTW : 2.93 %

BAM.PR.K Floater Quote: 17.24 – 17.64
Spot Rate : 0.4000
Average : 0.2660

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2042-03-21
Maturity Price : 17.24
Evaluated at bid price : 17.24
Bid-YTW : 3.04 %

TD.PR.P Deemed-Retractible Quote: 26.32 – 26.66
Spot Rate : 0.3400
Average : 0.2196

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-11-01
Maturity Price : 25.50
Evaluated at bid price : 26.32
Bid-YTW : 4.15 %

PWF.PR.I Perpetual-Premium Quote: 25.61 – 25.89
Spot Rate : 0.2800
Average : 0.1677

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2012-04-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.61
Bid-YTW : -8.57 %

Issue Comments

FFH.PR.K Closes at Discount on Good Volume

Fairfax Financial Holdings Ltd. has announced that it:

has completed its previously announced public offering of Preferred Shares, Series K (the “Series K Shares”) in Canada. As a result of the underwriters’ exercising their option to purchase an additional 1,500,000 Series K Shares, Fairfax has issued 9,500,000 Series K Shares for gross proceeds of $237.5 million. Net proceeds of the issue, after commissions and expenses, are approximately $230 million.

Fairfax intends to use the net proceeds of the offering to augment its cash position, to increase short term investments and marketable securities held at the holding company level, to retire outstanding debt and other corporate obligations from time to time, and for general corporate purposes.

The Series K Shares were sold through a syndicate of Canadian underwriters led by BMO Capital Markets, CIBC, RBC Capital Markets Inc. and Scotia Capital Inc. and that also included TD Securities Inc., Cormark Securities Inc., Desjardins Securities Inc., GMP Securities L.P. and National Bank Financial Inc.

FFH.PR.K is a FixedReset, 5.00%+351, announced March 12. The greenshoe was for 2-million shares, so the option was not completely exercised. FFH.PR.K will be tracked by HIMIPref™, but assigned to the Scraps index on credit concerns.

FFH.PR.K traded 433,256 shares today in a range of 24.63-80 before closing at 24.68-69, 8×45. Vital statistics are:

FFH.PR.K FixedReset YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2042-03-21
Maturity Price : 23.05
Evaluated at bid price : 24.68
Bid-YTW : 5.12 %
Issue Comments

LFE.PR.A Unveils Reorg Proposal

Canadian Life Companies Split Corp. has finally announced the details of its reorganization:

The purpose of the meeting is to consider and vote upon a special resolution to reorganize the Company, including a capital reorganization of the Preferred Shares of the Company and an extension of the termination date of the Company as described in the Management Information Circular. Extending the life of the Company would allow Shareholders to participate in any strengthening in the Canadian life insurance sector:
• Preferred Shareholders will receive an increased dividend and the opportunity to participate in increases in the net asset value as a result of the issuance of two classes of warrants; and
• Class A Shareholders could benefit from any market appreciation or dividend increase over the extended time period;

If the capital reorganization is approved Preferred Shareholders would receive an increased dividend payment of 6.25% per annum and the following securities for each Preferred share held on or about June 28, 2012 (the “Conversion Date”):

  • One 2012 Preferred Share – paying fixed cumulative preferential monthly dividends to yield 6.25% per annum on the $10.00 nominal issue price and having a repayment objective on the termination date of $10.00;
  • One 2013 Warrant – each 2013 Warrant can be exercised to purchase one 2012 Preferred Share and one Class A Share (together a “Unit”) for an exercise price of the lesser of $13.25 and 103% of the net asset value of the Company on the Conversion Date (the “2013 Warrant Subscription Price”) on any business day during the period commencing at market open (Eastern time) on the day following the Conversion Date and ending at 5:00 p.m. (Eastern time) on June 3, 2013; and
  • One 2014 Warrant – each 2014 Warrant can be exercised to purchase one Unit for an exercise price of 105% of the 2013 Warrant Subscription Price on any business day during the period commencing at market open (Eastern time) on the day following the Conversion Date and ending at 5:00 p.m. (Eastern time) on June 2, 2014.

    In addition, if the capital reorganization is approved, Class A Shareholders and Preferred Shareholders will be provided with a Special Retraction Right as described in the Management Information Circular which is designed to provide Shareholders with an opportunity to retract their Shares, if they so wish, and receive a retraction price that is calculated in the same way that such price would be calculated if the Company were to terminate on December 1, 2012 as originally contemplated.

A look at the Information Circular shows the motion has an excellent chance of passing:

The Company will also pay dealers whose clients hold Shares of the Company a fee of $0.05 in respect of each Preferred Share and $0.03 in respect of each Class A Share voted in favour of the matters to be considered at the Meeting, such payments to be due and owing only if the special resolution in respect of such matters is approved and implemented, and provided the Shareholder does not exercise the 2012 Special Retraction Right discussed below.

The warrants are interesting:

amend the Articles of the Company to permit the Company to create warrants (the “Warrants”) of two series, one series designated as the “2013 Warrants” and providing the holders thereof with the right to acquire one 2012 Preferred Share and one Class A Share on any business day during the period commencing at market open (Eastern time) on the day following the Conversion Date (as defined below) and ending at 5:00 p.m. (Eastern time) on June 3, 2013, for an exercise price of the lesser of $13.25 and 103% of the net asset value of the Company on the Conversion Date (the “2013 Warrant Subscription Price”), and one series designated as the “2014 Warrants” and providing the holders thereof with the right to acquire one 2012 Preferred Share and one Class A Share on any business day during the period commencing at market open (Eastern time) on the day following the Conversion Date and ending at 5:00 p.m. (Eastern time) on June 2, 2014, for an exercise price of 105% of 2013 Warrant Subscription Price, all as more particularly described herein;

The definition of the Conversion Date should be noted carefully:

On the date the capital reorganization is implemented, which if the special resolution is approved is expected to be on or about June 28, 2012 (the “Conversion Date”),

So the exercise price of the warrants will be set sometime around the end of June and will not be more than 13.25.

However, before you whip out your financial calculator and start plugging in Black-Scholes, remember that there are income effects involved. The underlying portfolio yield is about 4.50%, which currently covers only 76% of the preferred share distribution. Once the preferred dividend has been hiked, the coverage will be more like 64% of the distribution. So the drag on the NAV for the first year will be a little over twenty cents, so the exercise price should be adjusted to more like 13.45. You can put your own price on the value of that option.

If the extension of the termination date is approved, a Shareholder who retracts a Class A Share under the 2012 Special Retraction Right will receive a retraction price per Class A Share equal to the net asset value per Unit calculated on May 31, 2012, less $10.00. A Shareholder who retracts a Preferred Share under the 2012 Special Retraction Right will receive a retraction price per Preferred Share equal to the lesser of (i) $10.00 and (ii) the net asset value per Unit calculated on May 31, 2012. Shareholders wishing to take advantage of the 2012 Special Retraction Right must surrender their Shares for retraction no later than the close of business on May 17, 2012 (the “2012 Special Retraction Right Notice Date”). Payment for the Class A Shares or Preferred Shares so tendered for retraction pursuant to the 2012 Special Retraction Right will be made no later than June 19, 2012.

It’s an interesting attempt to transfer value from the Capital Unitholders to the preferred shareholders, but it should be remembered that there are a lot of warrants outstanding! Say, for instance, that the NAV in June 2013 is 14.25. The warrants are in the money, so they all get exercised. And hey, presto, that dilutes the NAV to 13.75! So the other thing option analysts should consider is that the warrants shouldn’t be treated as an entire option, but only half an option.

Credit Quality Analysis
LFE.PR.A Old and New
  Extant Retract Keep
Template Start 2002-12-8
End 2010-12-8
Symbol xfn.to
Expected
Return
7.00%
Underlying
Dividend
Yield
4.50%
Issue
Data
Initial NAV
2012-3-15
12.82
Pfd
Redemption
Value
10.00
Pfd
Coupon
0.525 0.525 0.625
MER 1.14% 1.14% 1.04%
Cap Unit Div
Above Test
1.20
Cap Unit Div
Below Test
0.00
NAV Test 15.00
Whole Unit Par Value 25.00
Months to Redemption 8 2 80
 
Analysis Probability of Default 3.33% 0.18% 27.85%
Loss Given Default 6.55% 2.38% 21.93%
Expected Loss 0.22% 0.00% 6.11%
 
Yields
Calculation
Current Price 9.77
Maturity Date 2012-12-1 2012-5-31 2018-12-1
Yield to Maturity 8.89% 16.70% 6.71%
Expected Price 9.98 10.00 9.39
Yield to Expectations 8.60% 16.70% 5.95%

All in all, this is a lot more interesting proposition than it would have appeared on the announcement date, when the most recent NAV was only 11.64 – the NAV is up more than $1 since then. There’s more asset coverage, and there’s transfer of more value from the Capital Unitholders than there was with the lower NAV, for the simple reason that they have more value to transfer. Naturally, this plan gets better and better as the NAV gets higher – but this also works in reverse!

Voting in favour of the plan is actually a way to reduce risk for preferred shareholders, since there is a Special Retraction Right:

If the extension of the termination date to December 1, 2018 is approved at the Meeting, the Company will also amend the Articles to provide Shareholders with a special retraction right (the “2012 Special Retraction Right”) which is designed to provide Shareholders with an opportunity to retract their Shares and receive a retraction price that is calculated in the same way that such price would be calculated if the Company were to terminate on December 1, 2012 as originally contemplated. Shareholders would be provided with notice of the 2012 Special Retraction Right, through the issuance of a press release and through the CDS Participant through which the Shares are held, and would have until the close of business on May 17, 2012 to provide the Company with notice if they wish to have their Shares redeemed pursuant to the 2012 Special Retraction Right.

If the extension of the termination date is approved, a Shareholder who retracts a Class A Share under the 2012 Special Retraction Right will receive a retraction price per Class A Share equal to the net asset value per Unit calculated on May 31, 2012, less $10.00.

This is a six-month shortening of term from the expected 2012-12-1 termination date.

Therefore, I recommend:

  • Vote in favour of the reorganization
  • Be prepared to tender for the Special Retraction in mid-May, effective May month-end, depending on the NAV in mid-May

LFE.PR.A was last mentioned on PrefBlog when I reviewed the 2011 Annual Report. LFE.PR.A is tracked by HIMIPref™, but is relegated to the Scraps index on credit concerns.

Issue Comments

LFE Annual Report 2011

Canadian Life Companies Split Inc. has released its Annual Report to November 30, 2011.

LFE / LFE.PR.A Performance
Instrument One
Year
Three
Years
Five
Years
Whole Unit -18.74% -7.33% -10.52%
LFE.PR.A +5.38% +5.38% +5.38%
LFE -78.56% -45.52% -40.10%
S&P/TSX Financial Index -2.86% +16.05% -0.46%

The S&P/TSX Financial Index is not a particularly well-matched index, as it will be dominated by banks, but we do what we can! Canadian Banc Corp. has the opposite problem. Note that at year-end, the portfolio was about 18.6% banks and 6.6% cash.

Figures of interest are:

MER: 1.14% of thw whole unit value, excluding one time initial offering expenses.

Average Net Assets: We need this to calculate portfolio yield. The number of units changed only very slightly over the year, so the average of the beginning and end of year’s net assets will be close enough: ($116.1-million + $150.4-million) / 2 = $133.2-million.

Underlying Portfolio Yield: Dividends received (net of withholding) of 5,995,631 divided by average net assets of 133.2-million is 4.50%

Income Coverage: Net Investment Income of 4,290,246 divided by Preferred Share Distributions of 5,614,485 is 76%.