MAPF Performance: February 2009

March 4th, 2009

In a poor month for preferreds, the fund was able to eke out a slight degree of outperformance against its benchmark index. This is actually better than it sounds, given the fund’s overweighting in PerpetualDiscounts, but the value-added as part of trading did show up in the estimation of sustainable income, which increased again this month.

Returns to February 27, 2009
Period MAPF Index CPD
according to
Claymore
One Month -1.43% -1.52% -1.15%
Three Months +27.43% +8.94% +9.30%
One Year -0.25% -16.55% -17.26%
Two Years (annualized) +1.63% -10.57%  
Three Years (annualized) +3.28% -5.81%  
Four Years (annualized) +3.87% -3.46%  
Five Years (annualized) +4.92% -2.07%  
Six Years (annualized) +8.79% -0.18%  
Seven Years (annualized) +7.65% +0.15%  
The Index is the BMO-CM “50”
CPD Returns are for the NAV and are after all fees and expenses.
Figures for Omega Preferred Equity (which are after all fees and expenses) for 1-, 3- and 12-months are -1.7%, +7.3% and -16.4%, respectively, according to Morningstar

Returns assume reinvestment of dividends, and are shown after expenses but before fees. Past performance is not a guarantee of future performance. You can lose money investing in Malachite Aggressive Preferred Fund or any other fund. For more information, see the fund’s main page.

The yields available on high quality preferred shares remain elevated, which is reflected in the current estimate of sustainable income.

Calculation of MAPF Sustainable Income Per Unit
Month NAVPU Portfolio
Average
YTW
Leverage
Divisor
Securities
Average
YTW
Sustainable
Income
June, 2007 9.3114 5.16% 1.03 5.01% 0.4665
September 9.1489 5.35% 0.98 5.46% 0.4995
December, 2007 9.0070 5.53% 0.942 5.87% 0.5288
March, 2008 8.8512 6.17% 1.047 5.89% 0.5216
June 8.3419 6.034% 0.952 6.338% $0.5287
September 8.1886 7.108% 0.969 7.335% $0.6006
December, 2008 8.0464 9.24% 0.992 9.166% $0.7375
February 2009 $8.7600 8.89% 1.010 8.802% $0.7711
NAVPU is shown after quarterly distributions.
“Portfolio YTW” includes cash (or margin borrowing), with an assumed interest rate of 0.00%
“Securities YTW” divides “Portfolio YTW” by the “Leverage Divisor” to show the average YTW on the securities held; this assumes that the cash is invested in (or raised from) all securities held, in proportion to their holdings.
“Sustainable Income” is the best available estimate of the fund’s dividend income per unit, before fees and expenses.

As discussed in the post MAPF Portfolio Composition: February 2009, the fund has positions in splitShares (almost all BNA.PR.C) and an operating retractible (YPG.PR.B), both of which skew the calculation. Since the yield on thes positions is higher than that of the perpetuals despite the fact that the term is limited, the sustainability of the calculated “sustainable yield” is suspect, as discussed in August.

Additionally, the calculated yield for the fixed-floater in the portfolio, BCE.PR.I, depends on the presumed value of Canada Prime (3.00%) and the percentage of Canada Prime paid on par value (100%); both of these figures may change. Prime is, in fact, now only 2.50% – while this change will affect the calculation of sustainable yield, this issue has a fixed yield until August 1, 2011.

However, if the entire portfolio except for the PerpetualDiscounts were to be sold and reinvested in these issues, the yield of the portfolio would be the 7.82% shown in the February 27 Portfolio Composition analysis (which is in excess of the 7.29% index yield on February 27). Given such reinvestment, the sustainable yield would be 8.7600 * 0.0782 = $0.6850, an increase from the $0.6470 derived by a similar calculation last month.

Different assumptions lead to different calculations, but the overall positive trend is apparent. I’m very pleased with the results! It will be noted that if there was no trading in the portfolio, one would expect the sustainable yield to be constant (before fees and expenses). The success of the fund’s trading is showing up in

  • the very good performance against the index
  • the long term increases in sustainable income per unit

As has been noted, the fund has maintained a credit quality equal to or better than the index; outperformance is due to constant exploitation of trading anomalies.

Again, there are no predictions for the future! The fund will continue to trade between issues in an attempt to exploit market gaps in liquidity, in an effort to outperform the index and keep the sustainable income per unit – however calculated! – growing.

March 4, 2009

March 4th, 2009

Sorry folks! Not much by way of commentary today!

PerpetualDiscounts were off again to yield 7.46%, equivalent to 10.44% interest at the standard equivalency factor of 1.4x. Long Corporates continue to hold at 7.50%, so the pre-tax interest-equivalent spread is now 294bp … who knows? It won’t take much before we’re breaching 300bp again.

HIMIPref™ Preferred Indices
These values reflect the December 2008 revision of the HIMIPref™ Indices

Values are provisional and are finalized monthly
Index Mean
Current
Yield
(at bid)
Median
YTW
Median
Average
Trading
Value
Median
Mod Dur
(YTW)
Issues Day’s Perf. Index Value
Ratchet 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.3276 % 818.7
FixedFloater 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.3276 % 1,324.1
Floater 4.76 % 5.95 % 67,587 13.88 3 0.3276 % 1,022.8
OpRet 5.30 % 5.01 % 149,100 3.93 15 -0.0973 % 2,035.7
SplitShare 6.97 % 9.08 % 57,677 4.84 6 -0.4790 % 1,591.5
Interest-Bearing 6.23 % 11.97 % 38,576 0.78 1 0.0000 % 1,884.6
Perpetual-Premium 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 -0.1996 % 1,471.0
Perpetual-Discount 7.34 % 7.46 % 172,278 12.03 71 -0.1996 % 1,354.8
FixedReset 6.20 % 5.64 % 478,449 13.98 28 0.1283 % 1,780.6
Performance Highlights
Issue Index Change Notes
PWF.PR.E Perpetual-Discount -4.10 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-03-04
Maturity Price : 17.56
Evaluated at bid price : 17.56
Bid-YTW : 7.97 %
TD.PR.O Perpetual-Discount -3.20 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-03-04
Maturity Price : 17.82
Evaluated at bid price : 17.82
Bid-YTW : 6.91 %
PWF.PR.H Perpetual-Discount -2.80 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-03-04
Maturity Price : 18.08
Evaluated at bid price : 18.08
Bid-YTW : 8.09 %
PWF.PR.F Perpetual-Discount -2.58 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-03-04
Maturity Price : 17.00
Evaluated at bid price : 17.00
Bid-YTW : 7.86 %
LFE.PR.A SplitShare -2.16 % Asset coverage of 1.0+:1 as of February 27 according to the company … and DBRS still rates it as Pfd-2(low).
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2012-12-01
Maturity Price : 10.00
Evaluated at bid price : 6.35
Bid-YTW : 19.64 %
POW.PR.A Perpetual-Discount -2.14 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-03-04
Maturity Price : 18.26
Evaluated at bid price : 18.26
Bid-YTW : 7.83 %
MFC.PR.B Perpetual-Discount -2.06 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-03-04
Maturity Price : 15.67
Evaluated at bid price : 15.67
Bid-YTW : 7.46 %
BNS.PR.J Perpetual-Discount -2.00 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-03-04
Maturity Price : 19.11
Evaluated at bid price : 19.11
Bid-YTW : 6.98 %
POW.PR.B Perpetual-Discount -1.99 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-03-04
Maturity Price : 16.72
Evaluated at bid price : 16.72
Bid-YTW : 8.18 %
SLF.PR.B Perpetual-Discount -1.95 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-03-04
Maturity Price : 15.11
Evaluated at bid price : 15.11
Bid-YTW : 7.97 %
PWF.PR.L Perpetual-Discount -1.90 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-03-04
Maturity Price : 15.99
Evaluated at bid price : 15.99
Bid-YTW : 8.12 %
BAM.PR.M Perpetual-Discount -1.88 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-03-04
Maturity Price : 12.51
Evaluated at bid price : 12.51
Bid-YTW : 9.78 %
POW.PR.C Perpetual-Discount -1.87 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-03-04
Maturity Price : 18.86
Evaluated at bid price : 18.86
Bid-YTW : 7.85 %
IAG.PR.C FixedReset -1.87 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-03-04
Maturity Price : 21.00
Evaluated at bid price : 21.00
Bid-YTW : 6.53 %
NA.PR.L Perpetual-Discount -1.81 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-03-04
Maturity Price : 16.25
Evaluated at bid price : 16.25
Bid-YTW : 7.56 %
W.PR.J Perpetual-Discount -1.71 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-03-04
Maturity Price : 19.56
Evaluated at bid price : 19.56
Bid-YTW : 7.30 %
SLF.PR.C Perpetual-Discount -1.66 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-03-04
Maturity Price : 14.26
Evaluated at bid price : 14.26
Bid-YTW : 7.83 %
BAM.PR.I OpRet -1.64 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Soft Maturity
Maturity Date : 2013-12-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 21.60
Bid-YTW : 9.38 %
RY.PR.G Perpetual-Discount -1.53 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-03-04
Maturity Price : 16.10
Evaluated at bid price : 16.10
Bid-YTW : 7.07 %
RY.PR.L FixedReset -1.50 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-03-04
Maturity Price : 23.01
Evaluated at bid price : 23.05
Bid-YTW : 5.22 %
PWF.PR.K Perpetual-Discount -1.46 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-03-04
Maturity Price : 15.48
Evaluated at bid price : 15.48
Bid-YTW : 8.14 %
BMO.PR.L Perpetual-Discount -1.45 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-03-04
Maturity Price : 19.66
Evaluated at bid price : 19.66
Bid-YTW : 7.46 %
MFC.PR.C Perpetual-Discount -1.41 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-03-04
Maturity Price : 14.68
Evaluated at bid price : 14.68
Bid-YTW : 7.71 %
SBN.PR.A SplitShare -1.40 % Asset coverage of 1.5-:1 as of February 19 according to Mulvihill.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2014-12-01
Maturity Price : 10.00
Evaluated at bid price : 8.43
Bid-YTW : 8.92 %
IAG.PR.A Perpetual-Discount -1.40 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-03-04
Maturity Price : 14.80
Evaluated at bid price : 14.80
Bid-YTW : 7.79 %
BAM.PR.O OpRet -1.18 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Option Certainty
Maturity Date : 2013-06-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 21.00
Bid-YTW : 9.96 %
GWO.PR.G Perpetual-Discount -1.11 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-03-04
Maturity Price : 16.88
Evaluated at bid price : 16.88
Bid-YTW : 7.73 %
NA.PR.N FixedReset -1.07 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-03-04
Maturity Price : 22.21
Evaluated at bid price : 22.27
Bid-YTW : 4.76 %
CM.PR.K FixedReset 1.15 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-03-04
Maturity Price : 21.62
Evaluated at bid price : 22.00
Bid-YTW : 5.04 %
DFN.PR.A SplitShare 1.21 % Asset coverage of 1.5-:1 as of February 27 according to the company.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2014-12-01
Maturity Price : 10.00
Evaluated at bid price : 8.35
Bid-YTW : 9.08 %
CM.PR.I Perpetual-Discount 1.31 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-03-04
Maturity Price : 15.50
Evaluated at bid price : 15.50
Bid-YTW : 7.72 %
CM.PR.H Perpetual-Discount 1.35 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-03-04
Maturity Price : 15.81
Evaluated at bid price : 15.81
Bid-YTW : 7.73 %
BNS.PR.L Perpetual-Discount 1.39 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-03-04
Maturity Price : 16.75
Evaluated at bid price : 16.75
Bid-YTW : 6.82 %
RY.PR.C Perpetual-Discount 1.55 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-03-04
Maturity Price : 16.35
Evaluated at bid price : 16.35
Bid-YTW : 7.11 %
IGM.PR.A OpRet 1.64 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Soft Maturity
Maturity Date : 2013-06-29
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.06
Bid-YTW : 5.61 %
BAM.PR.K Floater 1.77 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-03-04
Maturity Price : 7.49
Evaluated at bid price : 7.49
Bid-YTW : 5.95 %
GWO.PR.I Perpetual-Discount 2.15 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-03-04
Maturity Price : 15.22
Evaluated at bid price : 15.22
Bid-YTW : 7.41 %
CM.PR.J Perpetual-Discount 2.53 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-03-04
Maturity Price : 15.00
Evaluated at bid price : 15.00
Bid-YTW : 7.63 %
HSB.PR.D Perpetual-Discount 2.78 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-03-04
Maturity Price : 17.00
Evaluated at bid price : 17.00
Bid-YTW : 7.53 %
BNS.PR.R FixedReset 3.00 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-03-04
Maturity Price : 20.60
Evaluated at bid price : 20.60
Bid-YTW : 4.95 %
CM.PR.E Perpetual-Discount 3.26 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-03-04
Maturity Price : 18.39
Evaluated at bid price : 18.39
Bid-YTW : 7.75 %
TD.PR.Y FixedReset 3.70 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-03-04
Maturity Price : 21.00
Evaluated at bid price : 21.00
Bid-YTW : 4.67 %
RY.PR.W Perpetual-Discount 3.82 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-03-04
Maturity Price : 18.49
Evaluated at bid price : 18.49
Bid-YTW : 6.70 %
BMO.PR.H Perpetual-Discount 4.22 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-03-04
Maturity Price : 19.50
Evaluated at bid price : 19.50
Bid-YTW : 6.87 %
Volume Highlights
Issue Index Shares
Traded
Notes
MFC.PR.D FixedReset 541,409 New issue settled today.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-03-04
Maturity Price : 24.65
Evaluated at bid price : 24.70
Bid-YTW : 6.56 %
TD.PR.G FixedReset 44,211 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-03-04
Maturity Price : 25.13
Evaluated at bid price : 25.18
Bid-YTW : 6.24 %
CM.PR.I Perpetual-Discount 39,262 RBC crossed 20,700 at 15.15.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-03-04
Maturity Price : 15.50
Evaluated at bid price : 15.50
Bid-YTW : 7.72 %
RY.PR.D Perpetual-Discount 31,980 Raymond James bought 10,000 from Nesbitt at 16.00.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-03-04
Maturity Price : 15.98
Evaluated at bid price : 15.98
Bid-YTW : 7.12 %
BNS.PR.X FixedReset 31,800 National crossed 10,000 at 25.20.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-05-25
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.17
Bid-YTW : 6.27 %
RY.PR.R FixedReset 29,350 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-03-26
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.21
Bid-YTW : 6.23 %
There were 22 other index-included issues trading in excess of 10,000 shares.

MFC.PR.D Closes: Big and Soft

March 4th, 2009

Manulife Financial has announced:

that it has completed its offering of 18 million Non-cumulative 5-Year Rate Reset Class A Shares, Series 4 (the “Series 4 Preferred Shares”) at a price of $25 per share to raise gross proceeds of $450 million.

The offering was underwritten by a syndicate of investment dealers led by RBC Capital Markets and CIBC World Markets. The sale of 18 million Series 4 Preferred Shares included the exercise in full by the underwriters of their option to purchase four million shares. The Series 4 Preferred Shares commence trading on the Toronto Stock Exchange today under the ticker symbol MFC.PR.D.

The original size was 8-million shares plus 3-million greenshoe; the thing sold like hotcakes!

The issue traded 541,409 shares in a range of 24.65-78 before closing at 24.70-73, 12×45.

On interesting thing about this issue is that it is non-cumulative. There is no real reason for this; MFC is a holding company. It is, technically, an insurance company – but has no policy holders and is therefore not required to file MCCSR reports with OFSI. There is therefore no real need, from a regulatory perspective, to have this qualify as Tier 1 capital – it appears that the non-cumulativity has been chosen solely to help with the credit ratings; as a precautionary measure in case management ever wants to do something with MFC’s insurance license; and, perhaps, to hoodwink the gullible into believing that there is no difference between the holding company and operating company.

MFC.PR.D has been added to HIMIPref™ and is now part of the Fixed-Reset subindex.

Best & Worst Performers: February 2009

March 4th, 2009

These are total returns, with dividends presumed to have been reinvested at the bid price on the ex-date. The list has been restricted to issues in the HIMIPref™ indices.

February 2009
Issue Index DBRS Rating Monthly Performance Notes (“Now” means “February 27”)
FFN.PR.A SplitShare Pfd-5(high) -21.83% Downgraded Feb. 13. Removed from SplitShare index in February 2009 Rebalancing. Asset coverage of 0.9+:1 as of February 27, according to the company. Now with a (somewhat dubious) pre-tax bid-YTW of 16.56% based on a bid of 5.95 and a hardMaturity 2014-12-1 at (a somewhat dubious) 10.00.
LFE.PR.A SplitShare Pfd-2(low) -18.64% Asset coverage of 1.0+:1 as of February 27, 2009, according to the company but still considered Pfd-2(low) by DBRS. Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 14.70% based on a bid of 7.37 and a hardMaturity 2012-12-1 at 10.00.
FBS.PR.B SplitShare Pfd-4 -13.53% Downgraded Feb. 13. Removed from SplitShare index in February 2009 Rebalancing. Asset coverage of 1.0+:1 as of February 26, according to TD Securities. Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 22.85% based on a bid of 6.41 and a hardMaturity 2011-12-15 at 10.00.
PWF.PR.G PerpetualDiscount Pfd-1(low) -11.77% Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 7.81% based on a bid of 19.19 and a limitMaturity.
WFS.PR.A SplitShare Pfd-4(low) -11.10% Downgraded Feb. 13. Removed from SplitShare index in February 2009 Rebalancing. Asset coverage of 1.0+:1 as of February 19 according to Mulvihill. Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 18.97% based on a bid of 7.61 and a hardMaturity 2011-6-30 at 10.00.
HSB.PR.C PerpetualDiscount Pfd-1 +4.35% Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 7.24% based on a bid of 18.00 and a limitMaturity.
BAM.PR.H OpRet Pfd-2(low) +5.41% Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 8.56% based on a bid of 23.40 and a softMaturity 2012-3-30 at 25.00.
BAM.PR.O OpRet Pfd-2(low) +10.65% Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 9.53% based on a bid of 21.30 and optionCertainty 2013-6-30 at 25.00.
TRI.PR.B Floater Pfd-2(low) +14.89% Removed from Floater index in February 2009 Rebalancing on volume concerns.
PWF.PR.A Floater Pfd-1(low) +15.28%  

Index Performance: February 2009

March 4th, 2009

Performance of the HIMIPref™ Indices for February, 2009, was:

Total Return
Index Performance
February 2009
Three Months
to
February 27, 2009
Ratchet -2.67% -19.56%
FixFloat -3.20% -9.65%
Floater +9.73% +40.84%
OpRet +1.17% +6.08%
SplitShare -8.14% +10.66%
Interest -3.74% +7.19%
PerpetualPremium -3.94%* +13.18%*
PerpetualDiscount -3.94% +13.18%%
FixedReset -0.41% +3.94%
* The last member of the PerpetualPremium index was transferred to PerpetualDiscount at the October rebalancing; subsequent performance figures are set equal to the PerpetualDiscount index
Funds (see below for calculations)
CPD -1.17% +9.48%
DPS.UN -1.79% +9.68%
Omega Pref. N/A N/A
Index
BMO-CM 50 -1.52% +8.95%

Claymore has published NAV and distribution data for its exchange traded fund (CPD) and I have derived the following table:

CPD Return, 1- & 3-month, to February, 2009
Date NAV Distribution Return for Sub-Period Monthly Return
November 28, 2008 13.37      
Dec 24 12.92 0.2135 -1.77% +7.28%
Dec 31, 2008 14.11   +9.21%
January 30, 2009 14.57 0.00   +3.26%
February 27, 2009 14.40 0.00   -1.17%
Quarterly Return +9.48%

The DPS.UN NAV for February 25 has been published so we may calculate the February returns (approximately!) for this closed end fund.

DPS.UN NAV Return, February-ish 2009
Date NAV Distribution Return for period
January 28, 2009 16.51    
February 25, 2009 16.27   -1.45%
Estimated January Ending Stub * +0.14%
Estimated February Ending Stub ** -0.21%
Estimated February Return -1.79%
* CPD had a NAV of $14.55 on January 28 and $14.57 on January 30. Return for this period for CPD was therefore +0.14%, which is subtracted from the DPS period return.
** CPD had a NAV of $14.43 on February 25 and $14.40 on February 27. Return for this period for CPD was therefore -0.21%, which is added to the DPS period return.
The February return for DPS.UN’s NAV is therefore the product of three period returns, -1.45%, -0.14% and -0.21%, to arrive at an estimate for the calendar month of -1.79%

Now, to see the DPS.UN quarterly NAV approximate return, we refer to the calculations for December and January.

DPS.UN NAV Returns, three-month-ish to end-January-ish, 2009
December-ish +5.65%
January-ish +5.71%
February-ish -1.79%
Three-months-ish +9.68%

March 3, 2009

March 3rd, 2009

Bernanke gave testimony today, making the important point:

With such large near-term deficits, it may seem too early to be contemplating the necessary return to fiscal sustainability. To the contrary, maintaining the confidence of the financial markets requires that we begin planning now for the restoration of fiscal balance. As the economy recovers and resources become more fully employed, we will need to withdraw the temporary components of the fiscal stimulus. Spending on financial stabilization also must wind down; if all goes well, the disposition of assets acquired by the Treasury in the process of stabilization will be a source of added revenue for the Treasury in the out years.

I want to see stimulus spending, yes. But I also want to see a plan – with immediate tax increases – that will provide some credence to the view that it will be paid for eventually. Aint seen such yet.

Separately, the Fed announced that TALF has been launched:

Under today’s announcement, the Federal Reserve Bank of New York will lend up to $200 billion to eligible owners of certain AAA-rated ABS backed by newly and recently originated auto loans, credit card loans, student loans, and SBA-guaranteed small business loans. Issuers and investors in the private sector are expected to begin arranging and marketing new securitizations of recently generated loans, and subscriptions for funding in March will be accepted on March 17, 2009. On March 25, 2009, those new securitizations will be funded by the program, creating new lending capacity for additional future loans.

The program will hold monthly fundings through December 2009 or longer if the Federal Reserve Board chooses to extend the facility.

Bernanke & Geithner minced no words when asked about the AIG bail-out:

“If there is a single episode in this entire 18 months that has made me more angry, I can’t think of one other than AIG,” Bernanke told lawmakers today. “AIG exploited a huge gap in the regulatory system, there was no oversight of the financial- products division, this was a hedge fund basically that was attached to a large and stable insurance company.”

Bernanke’s comments foreshadow tougher oversight of systemically important financial firms, and come as President Barack Obama seeks legislative proposals within weeks for a regulatory overhaul.

The company “made huge numbers of irresponsible bets, took huge losses, there was no regulatory oversight because there was a gap in the system,” Bernanke said. At the same time, officials “had no choice but to try and stabilize the system” by aiding the firm.

“AIG is a huge, complex, global insurance company attached to a very complicated investment bank, hedge fund that was allowed to build up without any adult supervision,” U.S. Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner said today during testimony to the House Ways and Means Committee.

One fascinating sub-theme of the banking crisis has been the attempts by the Fed to insinuate itself into securities regulation, with proposals that it should be supervising large brokerages, the conversion of some of these large brokerages into banks, and the CDS clearinghouse coming readily to mind. Could this testimony be indicative of a desire to have a hand in the insurance supervision pie?

I will need a lot of convincing before I accept that idea. Whether central banking and bank regulation mix is a question debated world-wide; my instinctive reaction is that it gives one set of bureaucrats too much power. And if we’re going to talk about systemic risk, let us not forget that it was the Fed in charge of supervising Citibank.

Sweetness & Light unveiled his market recommendations today, in direct competition with What-Debt?. His market timing track record was not disclosed.

PerpetualDiscounts had another unhappy day.

HIMIPref™ Preferred Indices
These values reflect the December 2008 revision of the HIMIPref™ Indices

Values are provisional and are finalized monthly
Index Mean
Current
Yield
(at bid)
Median
YTW
Median
Average
Trading
Value
Median
Mod Dur
(YTW)
Issues Day’s Perf. Index Value
Ratchet 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.5490 % 816.1
FixedFloater 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.5490 % 1,319.7
Floater 5.73 % 7.29 % 68,627 12.08 3 0.5490 % 1,019.5
OpRet 5.29 % 5.00 % 149,378 3.93 15 -0.2105 % 2,037.7
SplitShare 6.94 % 9.33 % 59,719 4.84 6 -1.1227 % 1,599.2
Interest-Bearing 6.23 % 11.93 % 38,873 0.79 1 -0.2073 % 1,884.6
Perpetual-Premium 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 -0.6626 % 1,473.9
Perpetual-Discount 7.32 % 7.39 % 173,808 12.03 71 -0.6626 % 1,357.5
FixedReset 6.19 % 5.68 % 494,054 13.93 27 -0.0776 % 1,778.3
Performance Highlights
Issue Index Change Notes
LFE.PR.A SplitShare -5.26 % Asset coverage of 1.2+:1 as of February 13 according to the company. Traded 33,200 shares in a range of 6.52-90 before closing at 6.49-69, 2×2.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2012-12-01
Maturity Price : 10.00
Evaluated at bid price : 6.49
Bid-YTW : 18.90 %
NA.PR.K Perpetual-Discount -4.71 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-03-03
Maturity Price : 19.20
Evaluated at bid price : 19.20
Bid-YTW : 7.72 %
SLF.PR.E Perpetual-Discount -4.43 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-03-03
Maturity Price : 14.02
Evaluated at bid price : 14.02
Bid-YTW : 8.05 %
HSB.PR.D Perpetual-Discount -4.39 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-03-03
Maturity Price : 16.54
Evaluated at bid price : 16.54
Bid-YTW : 7.74 %
SLF.PR.D Perpetual-Discount -3.95 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-03-03
Maturity Price : 14.12
Evaluated at bid price : 14.12
Bid-YTW : 7.90 %
POW.PR.B Perpetual-Discount -3.94 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-03-03
Maturity Price : 17.06
Evaluated at bid price : 17.06
Bid-YTW : 8.01 %
NA.PR.L Perpetual-Discount -3.55 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-03-03
Maturity Price : 16.55
Evaluated at bid price : 16.55
Bid-YTW : 7.42 %
BNA.PR.A SplitShare -3.16 % Asset coverage of 1.9-:1 as of January 31 according to the company.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2010-09-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 22.95
Bid-YTW : 12.15 %
RY.PR.B Perpetual-Discount -3.03 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-03-03
Maturity Price : 16.34
Evaluated at bid price : 16.34
Bid-YTW : 7.27 %
BMO.PR.H Perpetual-Discount -2.70 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-03-03
Maturity Price : 18.71
Evaluated at bid price : 18.71
Bid-YTW : 7.16 %
SLF.PR.A Perpetual-Discount -2.63 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-03-03
Maturity Price : 14.80
Evaluated at bid price : 14.80
Bid-YTW : 8.05 %
GWO.PR.E OpRet -2.60 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Soft Maturity
Maturity Date : 2014-03-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 24.35
Bid-YTW : 5.23 %
PWF.PR.J OpRet -2.57 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Soft Maturity
Maturity Date : 2013-07-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 24.31
Bid-YTW : 5.55 %
RY.PR.W Perpetual-Discount -2.52 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-03-03
Maturity Price : 17.81
Evaluated at bid price : 17.81
Bid-YTW : 6.95 %
RY.PR.C Perpetual-Discount -2.42 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-03-03
Maturity Price : 16.10
Evaluated at bid price : 16.10
Bid-YTW : 7.22 %
BNS.PR.L Perpetual-Discount -2.36 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-03-03
Maturity Price : 16.52
Evaluated at bid price : 16.52
Bid-YTW : 6.92 %
MFC.PR.C Perpetual-Discount -2.36 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-03-03
Maturity Price : 14.89
Evaluated at bid price : 14.89
Bid-YTW : 7.60 %
TD.PR.Y FixedReset -2.22 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-03-03
Maturity Price : 20.25
Evaluated at bid price : 20.25
Bid-YTW : 4.85 %
GWO.PR.H Perpetual-Discount -2.08 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-03-03
Maturity Price : 16.01
Evaluated at bid price : 16.01
Bid-YTW : 7.59 %
BMO.PR.K Perpetual-Discount -1.91 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-03-03
Maturity Price : 17.47
Evaluated at bid price : 17.47
Bid-YTW : 7.60 %
TD.PR.A FixedReset -1.86 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-03-03
Maturity Price : 21.32
Evaluated at bid price : 21.60
Bid-YTW : 4.76 %
MFC.PR.B Perpetual-Discount -1.84 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-03-03
Maturity Price : 16.00
Evaluated at bid price : 16.00
Bid-YTW : 7.30 %
TD.PR.S FixedReset -1.72 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-03-03
Maturity Price : 20.00
Evaluated at bid price : 20.00
Bid-YTW : 4.78 %
PWF.PR.E Perpetual-Discount -1.56 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-03-03
Maturity Price : 18.31
Evaluated at bid price : 18.31
Bid-YTW : 7.64 %
BNS.PR.O Perpetual-Discount -1.52 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-03-03
Maturity Price : 20.10
Evaluated at bid price : 20.10
Bid-YTW : 7.08 %
BNA.PR.B SplitShare -1.42 % Asset coverage of 1.9-:1 as of January 31 according to the company.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2016-03-25
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 20.76
Bid-YTW : 8.20 %
CM.PR.E Perpetual-Discount -1.17 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-03-03
Maturity Price : 17.81
Evaluated at bid price : 17.81
Bid-YTW : 8.01 %
ACO.PR.A OpRet -1.16 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Soft Maturity
Maturity Date : 2011-11-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.50
Bid-YTW : 5.00 %
CM.PR.H Perpetual-Discount -1.02 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-03-03
Maturity Price : 15.60
Evaluated at bid price : 15.60
Bid-YTW : 7.83 %
RY.PR.G Perpetual-Discount 1.11 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-03-03
Maturity Price : 16.35
Evaluated at bid price : 16.35
Bid-YTW : 6.96 %
NA.PR.N FixedReset 1.12 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-03-03
Maturity Price : 22.45
Evaluated at bid price : 22.51
Bid-YTW : 4.71 %
TD.PR.R Perpetual-Discount 1.17 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-03-03
Maturity Price : 19.91
Evaluated at bid price : 19.91
Bid-YTW : 7.14 %
BAM.PR.K Floater 1.24 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-03-03
Maturity Price : 7.36
Evaluated at bid price : 7.36
Bid-YTW : 7.29 %
GWO.PR.I Perpetual-Discount 1.36 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-03-03
Maturity Price : 14.90
Evaluated at bid price : 14.90
Bid-YTW : 7.57 %
ELF.PR.G Perpetual-Discount 1.41 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-03-03
Maturity Price : 13.69
Evaluated at bid price : 13.69
Bid-YTW : 8.87 %
CM.PR.G Perpetual-Discount 1.56 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-03-03
Maturity Price : 17.60
Evaluated at bid price : 17.60
Bid-YTW : 7.81 %
PWF.PR.L Perpetual-Discount 1.62 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-03-03
Maturity Price : 16.30
Evaluated at bid price : 16.30
Bid-YTW : 7.96 %
BMO.PR.L Perpetual-Discount 1.79 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-03-03
Maturity Price : 19.95
Evaluated at bid price : 19.95
Bid-YTW : 7.35 %
PWF.PR.M FixedReset 1.84 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-03-03
Maturity Price : 24.80
Evaluated at bid price : 24.85
Bid-YTW : 5.46 %
BAM.PR.I OpRet 2.14 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Soft Maturity
Maturity Date : 2013-12-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 21.96
Bid-YTW : 8.96 %
BAM.PR.J OpRet 2.71 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Soft Maturity
Maturity Date : 2018-03-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 18.60
Bid-YTW : 9.98 %
SBN.PR.A SplitShare 3.01 % Asset coverage of 1.5-:1 as of February 19 according to the company.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2014-12-01
Maturity Price : 10.00
Evaluated at bid price : 8.55
Bid-YTW : 8.61 %
Volume Highlights
Issue Index Shares
Traded
Notes
SLF.PR.D Perpetual-Discount 206,845 Desjardins crossed two blocks of 100,000 each at 14.15.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-03-03
Maturity Price : 14.12
Evaluated at bid price : 14.12
Bid-YTW : 7.90 %
BNS.PR.T FixedReset 64,499 Scotia crossed 50,000 at 25.05, then RBC crossed 10,000 at 25.10.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-03-03
Maturity Price : 24.99
Evaluated at bid price : 25.04
Bid-YTW : 6.11 %
SBN.PR.A SplitShare 56,700 Kinda strange! RBC bought 24,700 from anonymous at 8.40, then sixteen minutes later bought 25,000 from (the same? a different?) anonymous at 8.79.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2014-12-01
Maturity Price : 10.00
Evaluated at bid price : 8.55
Bid-YTW : 8.61 %
TD.PR.G FixedReset 50,990 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-03-03
Maturity Price : 25.08
Evaluated at bid price : 25.13
Bid-YTW : 6.25 %
RY.PR.R FixedReset 36,813 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-03-26
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.21
Bid-YTW : 6.23 %
LFE.PR.A SplitShare 33,200 Asset coverage of 1.2+:1 as of February 13 according to the company.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2012-12-01
Maturity Price : 10.00
Evaluated at bid price : 6.49
Bid-YTW : 18.90 %
There were 23 other index-included issues trading in excess of 10,000 shares.

BSC.PR.A: Dividend Policy Revised

March 3rd, 2009

BNS Split Corp. II has announced:

The Company has revised its Capital Share dividend policy and has determined that it will not pay a dividend on the Capital Shares if the Net Asset Value per Unit at the time of declaration, after giving effect to the dividend, would be less than or equal to the original issue price of the Preferred Shares. In such circumstances, any excess dividends received on The Bank of Nova Scotia common shares (“BNS Shares”) minus the dividends payable on the Preferred Shares and all administrative, operating and income tax expenses will be reinvested in short-term debt securities or BNS Shares. However, as long as the Net Asset Value per Unit at the date of declaration exceeds such amount, the Company intends to pay a dividend on the Capital Shares equal to the excess of the dividends received on the BNS Shares minus the Preferred Share dividends and all administrative, operating and income tax expenses. Based on yesterday’s closing sale prices of the BNS Shares and after giving effect to the Capital Share dividend, the Net Asset Value per Unit would be $27.10 or $6.27 in excess of the original issue price of the Preferred Shares.

Not much, perhaps (as noted by DBRS when downgrading ES.PR.B), but better than nothing! The original policy had no Asset Test:

It will be the policy of the Board of Directors to declare and pay quarterly dividends on the Capital Shares in an amount equal to the dividends received by the Company on the BNS Shares minus the distributions payable on the Preferred Shares and all administrative and operating expenses. Based on the current BNS Share dividends and estimated expenses of the Company, the Company expects to pay quarterly dividends of $0.0420 per Capital Share ($0.1680 per year or approximately 1.46% of the Capital Share offering price).

BSC.PR.A was last mentioned on PrefBlog when it was downgraded to Pfd-3 as part of the DBRS Mass SplitShare Downgrade. BSC.PR.A is not tracked by HIMIPref™.

ES.PR.B: DBRS Downgrades to Pfd-5

March 3rd, 2009

DBRS has announced that it:

has today downgraded the Class B, Preferred Shares (the Preferred Shares) issued by Energy Split Corporation (the Company) to Pfd-5 from Pfd-4 (low), with a Stable trend. The rating has been removed from Under Review with Negative Implications.

All of the downside protection available to the Preferred Shares has been eroded. Based on the most recent net asset value (NAV), holders of the Preferred Shares would experience a loss of approximately 17% of their initial issuance price if the Forward Agreement were terminated and proceeds distributed.

The Company’s dividend policy has been to pay quarterly distributions to the Capital Shares equal to the excess income available from the quarter after paying Preferred Shares dividends and other Company expenses. On February 18, 2009, DBRS downgraded the Preferred Shares to Pfd-4 (low) and left the rating Under Review with Negative Implications. It was noted that the Company’s dividend policy allowed for a very high level of payouts to the Capital Shares compared to what would be expected based on the asset coverage available to the Preferred Shares. On February 26, 2009, the Company declared a distribution of $0.60 per Capital Share and announced a revision of its distribution policy. On the next distribution date (June 16, 2009), the Company will not pay a distribution on the Capital Shares if the NAV at the time of declaration, after giving effect to the distribution, would be less than or equal to the original issue price of the Preferred Shares. Considering the current NAV of the Company and the amount of excess income available, DBRS believes that the revised policy is not restrictive enough in limiting payouts to the Capital Shares.

As a result of the current asset coverage and dividend policy for payouts to the Capital Shares, DBRS has downgraded the rating of the Preferred Shares to Pfd-5. A main constraint to the rating is that volatility of the market price and changes in distribution policies of the oil and gas trusts in the Portfolio may result in reductions in asset coverage or dividend coverage from time to time.

ES.PR.B had assets of $18.27 to cover preferred obligations of $21.00 as of February 26.

ES.PR.B was last mentioned on PrefBlog when the Dividend Policy change was announced. ES.PR.B is not tracked by HIMIPref™.

HSB.PR.C & HSB.PR.D: DBRS Affirms Pfd-1 but Trend Negative

March 3rd, 2009

DBRS has announced that it:

has today revised the trends on most ratings of HSBC Bank Canada (the Bank) to Negative from Stable following Negative trends being placed on the ratings of HSBC Holdings plc (the Parent). (Please see DBRS’s HSBC Holdings plc press release dated March 3, 2009).

DBRS’s ratings of HSBC are based on the relationship the Bank has with its ultimate parent, which is one of the largest global banking groups. DBRS’s long-term Issuer Rating of HSBC Holdings plc is now AA (high) with a Negative trend.

Under DBRS’s bank rating methodology, DBRS has assigned HSBC Bank Canada a support assessment of SA1, reflecting a strong expectation of timely support from HSBC Holdings plc. All guaranteed debts are rated at the same level as the Parent. The guaranteed short-term obligations remain Stable, as a AA long-term rating would continue to support an R-1 (high) short-term rating.

Given the strategic nature of the relationship between HSBC Bank Canada and HSBC Holdings plc, but the lack of an explicit guarantee, the non-guaranteed Long-Term Deposits and Senior Debt rating of HSBC is one notch lower than HSBC Holdings plc.

The referenced press release states:

The Negative trend reflects DBRS’s concern that further economic weakening in HSBC’s markets will result in continued elevated credit costs, which will pressure earnings. Moreover, the Negative trend reflects DBRS’s expectation that the global economic slowdown may pressure revenue generation ability. While DBRS considers the Group’s solid earnings power a fundamental strength and a significant factor supporting HSBC’s rating, the unprecedented weakness and the global recessionary environment may result in a weakening of HSBC’s sizeable pre-provisioning earnings generation ability and lead to earnings pressure.

S&P took no action; Moody’s downgraded the Household Finance unit which is being de-emphasized within HSBC.

BoC Cuts Overnight Rate to 0.50%; Prime Now at 2.50%

March 3rd, 2009

In a rather grim statement, the Bank of Canada announced:

that it is lowering its target for the overnight rate by one-half of a percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The operating band for the overnight rate is correspondingly lowered, and the Bank Rate is now 3/4 per cent.

The Bank’s decision to lower its policy rate by 50 basis points today brings the cumulative monetary policy easing to 400 basis points since December 2007. Consistent with returning total CPI inflation to 2 per cent, the target for the overnight rate can be expected to remain at this level or lower at least until there are clear signs that excess supply in the economy is being taken up.

Given the low level of the target for the overnight rate, the Bank is refining the approach it would take to provide additional monetary stimulus, if required, through credit and quantitative easing. In its April Monetary Policy Report, the Bank will outline a framework for the possible use of such measures.

The Bank will continue to monitor carefully economic and financial developments in judging to what extent further monetary stimulus will be required to achieve its 2 per cent inflation target over the medium term.

Prime followed:

Of course, Prime ain’t what it used to be:

TD Canada is introducing a new $35 “inactivity” fee in April for customers who do not use their unsecured line of credit over the course of a year. For those who do, the interest rate is rising from 3.9% to 4.4% above TD prime, beginning on March 1. The Bank of Montreal is also raising the borrowing cost for its unsecured line of credit by 1%, rising from 2% to 3% above BMO prime, beginning on March 4.

Consumer activists have not – I believe – come up with any figures regarding just what Prime means, and whether their determination to have the banks’ prime follow the Canada rate has, in fact, resulted in lower carrying costs for prime-linked borrowers.

Plans to implement the “inactivity fee” referred to above have been dropped. Consumer activists have not yet explained their fair method of compensating banks for the capital set aside to cover unused lines of credit, but I’m sure it will magically appear from somewhere. “Invisible Good!” shrieks the mob, “Straightforward Bad!” The banks figured this out a long, long time ago.