FCS.PR.A : Partial Redemption

October 25th, 2008

Faircourt Asset Management has announced:

In connection with the annual redemption of the Trust, 149,777 Trust Units were submitted for redemption without matching Preferred Securities. Based on the terms of the annual redemption as detailed in the Final Prospectus dated February 27, 2006, the Manager announces that $1,497,770 in aggregate principal amount of the Trust’s 5.75% outstanding Preferred Securities (the “Preferred Securities”) will be redeemed on October 22, 2008 (the “Redemption Date”) at a price of $10.4097 for each $10.00 principal amount of Securities, being equal to the aggregate of (i) $10.3750 (the “Redemption Price”), and (ii) all accrued and unpaid interest hereon to but excluding the Redemption Date. The record date of the Preferred Securities partial redemption is October 13, 2008. [later “clarified” to October 14 – JH] Unitholders who submitted unmatched Trust Units will receive $5.9142 per Trust Unit ($6.2892 Net Asset Value per Trust Unit less the $0.3750 call premium on the Preferred Securities). Payment will be made in full on October 22, 2008 (the “Payment Date”).

I love that word “clarification”! It covers so much!

On June 30, 2008, there were 1,939,730 units (a unit is one FCS.UN and one FCS.PR.A), so the number redeemed is 7.7% of the June 30 total. I am unable to determine how many FCS.PR.A disappeared due to Concurrent Retraction.

Distributions to the capital unitholders have been halted and the issue is under Review-Negative by DBRS.

FCS.PR.A is not tracked by HIMIPref™.

FIG.PR.A & FCS.PR.A – Capital Unit Distributions Halted

October 25th, 2008

Faircourt Asset Management has announced:

that in accordance with the terms of Trust Indentures governing the Preferred Securities and the maintenance of a minimum 1.4 times asset coverage to be maintained by the Trusts, dated November 17, 2004 for Faircourt Income & Growth Split Trust and March 16, 2006 for Faircourt Split Trust, monthly distributions on the Trust Units (TSX: FIG.UN, FCS.UN) will be suspended until further notice, in order to protect the Trusts’ Net Asset Value and to preserve the Trusts’ ability to rebuild and meet their respective investment objectives in the long term.

This announcement does not affect the quarterly distributions related to the Preferred Securities of either Trust (TSX: FIG.PR.A, FCS.PR.A).

The potential for a buy-back or partial redemption of FIG.PR.A has been discussed on PrefBlog; it is currently a member of the HIMIPref™ InterestBearing subindex. FCS.PR.A had a partial redemption last year and another one this year.

Both issues are currently under Review-Negative by DBRS.

Update, 2008-10-29: Note that according to the June 30 Financials, there were 9,964,308 Preferred Securites and 7,061,762 Capital units, or about 0.71 Capital Units per Preferred … which is good to remember when computing asset coverage!

Split-Share Buy-Backs? WFS.PR.A & FIG.PR.A Examined

October 25th, 2008

Assiduous Reader pugwash doesn’t say much, but when he does it’s to the point.

In the comments to October 20 he asked:

Newb question:

At current prices, why doesn’t BAM (for example) buy some of its prefs back.

… and I replied …

Don’t be so down on yourself, it’s a perfectly good question.

There have been scattered reports of LBO Debt Buybacks:

Kohlberg Kravis Roberts & Co. and PAI Partners bought loans used for their takeovers after prices tumbled in February. The purchases helped cut the global backlog of leveraged buyout debt to $91 billion from $230 billion nine months ago, according to Bank of America Corp.

… and more recently:

Apollo, TPG and Blackstone are reported to be close to a deal to buy USD 12.5 billion in “distressed” buyout debt, at the bargain price of what the New York Times has identified as “in the mid-80 cents on the dollar.” This is lower than the USD 87 cents identified as the average trading price by a special Credit Suisse index, but more than the 70-80 cents that many other buyout loans are currently trading at.

With respect to BAM particularly … the glib, meaningless answer is that they expect to be able to invest those funds as vultures, earning more than they could save from a buy-back of their own debt. Brookfield has a very expansionist agenda and could well just be waiting for a major bankruptcy, for instance, to put good assets that fit with their portfolio on the market for a song.

Even if that is not the case, there is always the question of liquidity. They have about $3-billion in liquidity now and they may be hoarding it … why buy back 5-year debt when they have the same amount of debt maturing next year that might be a nightmare to refinance? Nobody knows for sure how long this very tight environment is going to last … so everybody’s sitting on whatever cash they have …

… and now he’s followed up the crusher …

Thanks – helpful answer:

Which breeds a follow on question – how about the buy back situation with split share prefs (particularly short dated ones).

Doesn’t it make sense in today’s market for the issuer to buy back the pref at way below the $10 they will have to pay in a few years time.

Wouldn’t this also improve the asset coverage ratio.

Or is this what the difficult to understand retraction feature, you mentioned in September for eg WFS is all about.

Well, there’s a glib and cynical answer to that one and it’s tempting just to say: a buy-back is a voluntary reduction of Assets Under Management by the Manager; therefore a voluntary reduction of pay; and how likely is that?

But there is also the question of reputation. There are many shops (e.g., Mulvihill, Quadravest, Faircourt, inter alia) that make quite a good living packaging split shares and default on one series of prefs might make it harder to sell another.

I’m not a big believer in reputation, at least not as far as investment returns go (outright theft, fraud and such is another matter). The Street’s memory is short – the markets for Monthly Auction Preferred Shares and bank-issued 100-year floating rate bonds collapsed twenty years ago and now everybody’s pretending to be surprised about the collapse of the Auction Rate Securities market in the States. If nothing else, most readers will know that there are many stockbrokers and asset managers with little or no investment ability but who – somehow! – are able to attract money. The business is about selling, not performance.

Mulvihill is a particularly good case in point; I got extremely upset with them in the wake of the Tech Wreck for proposing to buy back full units of Global Telecom (GT.A & GT.PR.A) at a time when the asset coverage of the preferreds was less than 1.0, and when the combined price of the securities was less than NAV.

I took the view that there was nothing in the prospectus to prevent them from buying back the prefs only; and that buying back the capital units was an irresponsible waste of preferred shareholders’ money. They took the view that the prospectus forced them to buy back equal numbers of the two classes. The prospectus is very badly drafted; interested readers may decide for themselves who was right.

Anyway, my point is that despite my strong disapproval of their actions with respect to the buy-back plan, I have still been willing to invest in WFS.PR.A. Another day, another dollar … if you do business only with people you agree with all the time, you’ll soon not be doing much business.

So, speaking of WFS.PR.A (which is currently under Review-Negative, and I suspect a downgrade to Pfd-3 is forthcoming) let’s have a look at the prospectus:

Subject to applicable law, the Company may at any time or times purchase Preferred Shares and Class A Shares for cancellation at prices per Unit not exceeding the NAV per Unit on the Valuation Date immediately prior to such purchase.

… and we see that they’ve learnt something about prospectus-writing, because right there on the front page it says:

The Preferred Shares and the Class A Shares are offered separately but will be issued only on the basis that an equal number of each class of shares will be issued and outstanding.

So in the case of WFS.PR.A, they have the ability to buy-back full units for cancellation, as long as they do it at a price below NAV, which will improve the NAV of the remaining units. This situation is particularly poignant for WFS.PR.A because it is currently sitting on a whack of cash – which has cushioned the blow of falling share prices in this awful market. As of June 30:

  • Canada, 35.9%
  • US, 23.3%
  • International, 23.0%
  • Cash, 21.3%
  • Other, -3.5%

Note also that 17.6% of the equities held were hedged with Puts. Putting that cash to work buying units might be a Good Thing: As of October 16, NAV was $13.82; WFS.PR.A closed at $8.00; WFS closed at $3.93; so the units as a whole closed at a 13.7% discount to NAV.

The other consideration they must account for when determining whether or not to buy back units is whether they will pre-empt unitholder retractions or be adding to them. From a business perspective, a simple pre-emption is a wonderful thing, since they will have lost the AUM anyway and it’s simply a question of who gets to keep the discount. I have previously noted that the discount is so extreme that even the Monthly Retraction, with its 4% built-in fee, is attractive. The “Annual Concurrent Retraction”, for which the retractor will receive full NAV, is even more attractive to arbitrageurs, but doesn’t happen until June.

So the question, as of October 16 prices, is who gets to keep the 13% market value discount to NAV? In a buy-back, the company gets to keep it; in a monthly retraction, the company only gets about a third of it; in an Annual Retraction, the company gets none of it. A buy-back would certainly make sense for both the Preferred Shareholders AND the capital unitholders … but, unfortunately, they don’t get a vote. It’s in the lap of Mulvihill.

Another highly interesting situation worth highlighting is the potential for FIG.PR.A to be partially called. Their prospectus has none of this silly stuff about keeping the number of shares equal; instead it states:

Preferred Securities may be redeemed in whole or in part by the Trust upon notice to Securityholders in accordance with the Trust Indenture at any time that the aggregate principal amount outstanding of the Preferred Securities exceeds 40% of the Total Assets. All Preferred Securities outstanding at maturity or immediately prior to the termination of the Trust, if earlier, will be redeemed by the Trust. The Preferred Securities would, in any such case, be redeemed at par, plus any accrued but unpaid interest.

This implies that redemption at par is an option for the company whenever asset coverage falls below 2.5:1. The surprising thing is that they have done it, redeeming about one-sixth of the preferreds in March. Now that distributions have been halted for the capital shares:

Faircourt Asset Management Inc., as Manager of Faircourt Income & Growth Split Trust (TSX: FIG.UN, FIG.PR.A) and Faircourt Split Trust (TSX: FCS.UN, FCS.PR.A) announces today that in accordance with the terms of Trust Indentures governing the Preferred Securities and the maintenance of a minimum 1.4 times asset coverage to be maintained by the Trusts, dated November 17, 2004 for Faircourt Income & Growth Split Trust and March 16, 2006 for Faircourt Split Trust, monthly distributions on the Trust Units (TSX: FIG.UN, FCS.UN) will be suspended until further notice, in order to protect the Trusts’ Net Asset Value and to preserve the Trusts’ ability to rebuild and meet their respective investment objectives in the long term.

… and the prefs are under Review-Negative, there is the potential – POTENTIAL! – for another partial call at par, which would be very good news for the preferred shareholders, given that FIG.PR.A closed at 7.67-70, 1×1 yesterday. Note, however, that they also have authorization to buy back the preferreds:

The Trust Indenture will provide that, subject to applicable law, the Trust may, in its sole discretion, from time to time, purchase (in the open market or by invitation for tenders) Preferred Securities for cancellation up to a maximum in any calendar year of ten percent of the aggregate principal amount of Preferred Securities outstanding at the beginning of that calendar
year.

So, what can I say to summarize? Rule #1 is, of course, be familiar with the prospectus. If investing was easy, it wouldn’t be fun! Bear in mind at all times that what’s good for you is not necessarily good for the Manager – I have not heard back from the company yet, but until I do, my working hypothesis is that the BSD.PR.A suspension of retractions is abusive to the shareholders. And if you decide to play any arbitrage games, remember at all times that it’s not a straightforward arbitrage – there are a lot of things that can go wrong.

October 24, 2008

October 24th, 2008

Holy smokes. Thirty-year Treasuries hit an all-time low yield in the morning, 3.93%, following overnight carnage in overseas equities. Corporates were hugely wide. Sterling got slaughtered and Denmark bucked the trend hiking the policy rate by 50bp to defend the krone. Trading curbs were imposed on US equity futures after a 6% limit-drop overnight.

All this before the markets opened!

And then it fizzled. It did in Canada, anyway:

The Standard & Poor’s/TSX Composite Index dropped 0.4 percent to 9,294.09 in Toronto after earlier falling 7.5 percent, the most in eight years, to the lowest since September 2004. The S&P/TSX, which derives three-quarters of its value from finance, energy and materials shares, slid 2.8 percent this week and is poised for a 21 percent drop in October, the steepest since the crash of 1987.

… but US Equities tanked:

The Standard & Poor’s 500 Index lost 3.5 percent, a smaller decline than European and Asian equities, even after futures on the U.S. measure fell so far that trading was curbed.

… while Treasuries steepened on a volatile but light day:

The 2 year note is trading at 1.50 percent and is better by 10 basis points for the day. The yield on the 5 year note has tumbled 8 basis points to 2.55 percent. The yield on the 10 year note has declined 1 basis point to 3.66percent (it had traded as low as 3.53 percent this morning). The yield in the Long Bond is unchanged at 4.05 percent. As I noted in a previous posting the yield on the bond reached a modern era low earlier today at 3.88 percent.

The 2year/10 year spread has widened 9 basis points to 216 basis points.

Traders and sales persons report light flows in the Treasury market. Several participants reported that clients who did trade were only doing what they were compelled to do. Most activity seemed directed toward reducing risk and balance sheet.

There’s a report that marketting of the BCE takeover debt will commence next week, but I’m not convinced it means a row of beans. You can bet that on this deal, the lawyers are in charge and if there is the slightest possibility that the deal will fail, all parties want to be able to tell the judge they tried. Who knows? Somebody or other will be taking an immediate massive write-down if the deal proceeds.

Whoosh! And that’s the end of that week!

Note that these indices are experimental; the absolute and relative daily values are expected to change in the final version. In this version, index values are based at 1,000.0 on 2006-6-30.
The Fixed-Reset index was added effective 2008-9-5 at that day’s closing value of 1,119.4 for the Fixed-Floater index.
Index Mean Current Yield (at bid) Mean YTW Mean Average Trading Value Mean Mod Dur (YTW) Issues Day’s Perf. Index Value
Ratchet N/A N/A N/A N/A 0 N/A N/A
Fixed-Floater 5.76% 5.76% 67,398 14.62 6 -1.0222% 938.8
Floater 6.55% 6.63% 46,228 13.02 2 -5.1521% 524.6
Op. Retract 5.31% 6.07% 129,153 4.06 14 +0.3441% 995.0
Split-Share 6.36% 10.99% 57,135 4.00 12 -1.7560% 924.0
Interest Bearing 8.19% 15.03% 58,670 3.28 3 -2.8515% 860.4
Perpetual-Premium 6.79% 6.87% 48,785 12.66 1 -1.1178% 913.5
Perpetual-Discount 6.77% 6.84% 173,214 12.79 70 -1.0176% 800.2
Fixed-Reset 5.15% 5.15% 855,801 15.12 10 -0.2786% 1,078.8
Major Price Changes
Issue Index Change Notes
BNA.PR.C SplitShare -7.7188% Asset coverage of just under 2.8:1 as of September 30 according to the company. Coverage now of 2.1-:1 based on BAM.A at 21.72 and 2.4 BAM.A held per preferred. Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 12.79% based on a bid of 13.39 and a hardMaturity 2019-1-10 at 25.00. Compare with BNA.PR.A (17.51% to 2010-9-30) and BNA.PR.B (10.42% to 2016-3-25). Closing quote 13.39-14.90, 5×10. Day’s range, 13.38-14.97.
WFS.PR.A SplitShare -7.4720% Asset coverage of 1.4-:1 as of October 16, according to Mulvihill. On Review-Negative by DBRS. Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 18.05% based on a bid of 7.43 and a hardMaturity 2011-6-30 at 10.00. Closing quote of 7.43-66, 3×11. Day’s range of 7.50-69.
FIG.PR.A InterestBearing -7.2551% Asset coverage of just under 1.4:1 as of October 15, according to Faircourt. On Review-Negative by DBRS. Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 11.86% based on a bid of 7.67 and a hardMaturity 2014-12-31 at 10.00. Closing quote 7.67-70, 1×1. Day’s range of 7.65-27.
BAM.PR.K Floater -7.0698% Let’s look at this rationally, shall we? It pays 70% of prime on $25. The perps, BAM.PR.M & BAM.PR.N pay $1.1875. So we set up an equation, 0.7*Prime*25 / Price(Floater) = 1.1875 / Price(Perp). Use $10.00 for the price of the floater, $13.30 for the price of the perp. Solve for Prime=5.10%. At the prices given, the yield will be equal to the fixed-rate issues when Canada Prime is 5.10%. Make whatever other adjustments you like for liquidity and the drawback/benefit it being floating rate … and I say, for the first time I can remember in a LONG time, floaters are getting competitive with straights. Or, at least, this one is.
MFC.PR.C PerpetualDiscount -6.1494% Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 7.00% based on a bid of 16.33 and a limitMaturity. Closing quote 16.33-49, 3×13. Day’s range 16.20-76.
NA.PR.N FixedReset -6.1224% Not particularly meaningful … closing quote 23.00-24.87, 10×3. Day’s range 24.50-60.
ELF.PR.G PerpetualDiscount -4.0000% Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 8.34% based on a bid of 14.40 and a limitMaturity. Closing Quote 14.40-75, 5×7. Day’s range of 14.75-00.
MFC.PR.B PerpetualDiscount -3.8462% Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 6.75% based on a bid of 17.50 and a limitMaturity. Closing Quote 17.50-80, 1×10. Day’s range of 17.70-20.
FTN.PR.A SplitShare -3.4898% Asset coverage of 2.2+:1 as of September 30 according to the company. Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 9.25% based on a bid of 8.02 and a hardMaturity 2015-12-1 at 10.00. Closing quote of 8.02-10, 10×4. Day’s range 8.25-30.
BAM.PR.B Floater -3.4716%  
DFN.PR.A SplitShare -3.4115% Asset coverage of 1.9+:1 as of October 16, according to some guy’s estimate. Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 7.30% based on a bid of 9.06 and a hardMaturity 2014-12-1 at 10.00. Closing quote 9.06-44, 3×5. Day’s range 9.05-42.
CM.PR.I PerpetualDiscount -3.3846% Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 7.55% based on a bid of 15.70 and a limitMaturity. Closing Quote 15.70-83, 9×3. Day’s range of 15.76-24.
RY.PR.H PerpetualDiscount -3.2373% Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 6.48% based on a bid of 21.82 and a limitMaturity. Closing Quote 21.82-77, 2×1. Day’s range 21.50-23.00 (!).
HSB.PR.D PerpetualDiscount -3.1562% Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 6.88% based on a bid of 18.41 and a limitMaturity. Closing Quote 18.41-90, 1×8. One Trade at 19.00.
FFN.PR.A SplitShare -3.1250% Asset coverage of 1.6-:1 as of October 15 according to the company. Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 10.49% based on a bid of 7.75 and a hardMaturity 2014-12-1 at 10.00. Closing quote of 7.75-06, 19×1. Day’s range of 7.75-81.
FBS.PR.B SplitShare -3.0168% Asset coverage of 1.4+:1 as of October 23 according to TD Securities. On Watch-Negative by DBRS. Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 10.00% based on a bid of 8.68 and a hardMaturity 2011-12-15 at 10.00. Closing quote of 8.68-85, 10×6. Day’s range of 8.66-67.
CM.PR.D PerpetualDiscount -2.6536% Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 7.31% based on a bid of 19.81 and a limitMaturity. Closing Quote 19.81-00, 3X1. Day’s range of 19.99-59.
BNS.PR.K PerpetualDiscount -2.5128% Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 6.35% based on a bid of 19.01 and a limitMaturity. Closing Quote 19.01-50, 5×12. Day’s range 19.00-74.
BCE.PR.Z FixFloat -2.3902%  
BMO.PR.K PerpetualDiscount -2.2843% Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 6.97% based on a bid of 19.25 and a limitMaturity. Closing Quote 19.25-75, 3×10. Day’s range 19.18-75.
POW.PR.D PerpetualDiscount -2.2569% Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 6.94% based on a bid of 18.19 and a limitMaturity. Closing Quote 18.19-25, 4×10. Day’s range 18.25-60.
BCE.PR.A FixFloat -2.1415%  
LBS.PR.A SplitShare +3.0952% Asset coverage of 1.7+:1 as of October 23, according to Brompton Group. Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 8.64% based on a bid of 8.66 and a hardMaturity 2013-11-29 at 10.00. Closing quote of 8.66-99, 74×1. Day’s range of 8.45-66.
BAM.PR.I OpRet +3.7929% Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 10.51% based on a bid of 20.25 and softMaturity 2013-12-30 at 25.00. Compare with BAM.PR.H (11.61% to 2012-3-30), BAM.PR.J (9.39% to 2018-3-30) and BAM.PR.O (10.96% to 2013-6-30). Closing quote 20.25-00, 5×13. Day’s range 19.00-21.00.
BNA.PR.B SplitShare +3.9773% See BNA.PR.C, above. Closing Quote 18.30-40, 5×4. Day’s range 18.29-40.
TD.PR.Y FixedReset +4.8297%  
Volume Highlights
Issue Index Volume Notes
GWO.PR.I PerpetualDiscount 291,475 RBC crossed five blocks: 98,400; 100,000; 29,500; 10,000; and 25,00; all at 16.60. Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 6.91% based on a bid of 16.50 and a limitMaturity.
BMO.PR.I OpRet 86,600 TD crossed 72,700 at 25.29; Nesbitt crossed 13,500 at the same price. Called for redemption.
MFC.PR.B PerpetualDiscount 45,150 Nesbitt bought 11,000 from anonymous at 18.20, then crossed 15,700 at 17.71. Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 6.75% based on a bid of 17.50 and a limitMaturity.
TD.PR.O PerpetualDiscount 41,295 TD crossed 10,000 at 19.00. Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 6.45% based on a bid of 18.92 and a limitMaturity.
CM.PR.H PerpetualDiscount 31,925 Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 7.47% based on a bid of 16.19 and a limitMaturity.

There were thirty-seven other index-included $25-pv-equivalent issues trading over 10,000 shares today.

ANOTHER DBRS Mass Review of Splits

October 24th, 2008

The credit crunch keeps rolling … portfolio values keep dropping … and last spring’s review is no longer operable.

DBRS has announced it:

has today placed the rating of certain structured preferred shares (Split Shares) Under Review with Negative Implications. Each of these split share companies has invested in a portfolio of securities (the Portfolio) funded by issuing two classes of shares – dividend-yielding preferred shares or securities (the Preferred Shares) and capital shares or units (the Capital Shares). The Preferred Shares benefit from a stable dividend yield and downside principal protection via the net asset value (NAV) of the Capital Shares against the percentage loss in the Portfolio’s NAV. Preferred Shares have experienced significant declines in downside protection during the past number of weeks due to the unprecedented volatility in the global equity markets. As a result of this share price volatility, DBRS has placed the Preferred Shares listed below Under Review with Negative Implications. DBRS will take final rating action on these Preferred Shares once a longer-term trend has been established for the NAVs of the affected split share companies.

DBRS Review Announced 2008-10-24
Ticker Rating Asset
Coverage
Last
PrefBlog
Post
HIMIPref™
Index
FBS.PR.B Pfd-2(low) 1.4+:1
10/23
Downgraded SplitShare
ASC.PR.A Pfd-2(low) 0.9+:1
10/24
Downgraded Scraps
ALB.PR.A Pfd-2(low) 1.5+:1
10/23
Confirmed SplitShare
BSD.PR.A Pfd-2(low) 1.0-:1
10/17
Retraction Suspended InterestBearing
CIR.PR.A Pfd-4(low) 0.7-:1
10/24
Downgraded None
CBW.PR.A Pfd-5 0.7+:1
10/24
Downgraded None
DF.PR.A Pfd-2 1.6-:1
10/15
Don’t Panic!!! Scraps
DGS.PR.A Pfd-2 1.7-:1
10/23
Proposed Merger None
ES.PR.B Pfd-3(high) 1.2+:1
10/23
Small Redemption None
FCS.PR.A Pfd-2 1.3+:1
10/22
Partial Redemption None
GFV.PR.A Pfd-2 1.5-:1
10/23
Issuer Bid None
GBA.PR.A Pfd-5 0.7+:1
10/23
Downgraded None
HPF.PR.A Pfd-2(low) Their Numbers Note Calculation Dispute Massive Retraction Scraps
HPF.PR.B Pfd-4 Their Numbers Note Calculation Dispute Massive Retraction Scraps
FIG.PR.A Pfd-2 1.5-:1
10/22
1.3+:1
see update
Partial Redemption InterestBearing
PIC.PR.A Pfd-3(high) 1.3-:1
10/16
Downgraded Yes
NBF.PR.A Pfd-2(low) 1.5+:1
10/23
Review – Developing
Never Resolved
None
SLS.PR.A Pfd-2(low) 1.2-:1
10/23
None None
SNH.PR.U Pfd-3(high) 1.2-:1
10/23
None None
SNP.PR.V Pfd-2(low) 1.3+:1
10/23
Partial Redemption None
YLD.PR.A Pfd-3 1.0+:1
10/15
Downgraded Scraps
TXT.PR.A Pfd-3(high) 1.4-:1
10/16
Downgraded None
WFS.PR.A Pfd-2(low) 1.4-:1
10/26
Monthly Retraction SplitShare

Update, 2008-10-26: There is an error in the calculation of the asset coverage for FIG.PR.A. As of the June 30 financials, the company had 9,964,308 preferreds outstanding and 7,061,762 capital units. Thus, net assets of $4.56 for the capital units equates to asset coverage of ((10 * 9,964,308) + (7,061,762 * 4.56))/9,964,308 = 1.32 … call it 1.3+:1.

HIMIPref™ Bug Fix: curveYield Calculation

October 24th, 2008

As noted on October 22

I’ll explain in another post, because it’s kind of funny, but basically there’s a little loop used in the process of curve approximation that calculates a yield; in the case of YLD.PR.B, quoted at 1.60 with a stated annual dividend of $1.05 (currently suspended) until maturity 2012-2-1 at $15 [dubious], the little loop ran ’round 5,709,833 times [in the run where the problem was unequivocally isolated] before the WebService timed out and blew up the whole programme.

The function at fault (yieldApproximatorTypeCalc::getSemiAnnualYieldFromTable) calculates the yield to maturity of a set of cash flows defined in a table (the input is set up in much the same way as Excel’s XIRR() function) by successive approximations to the yield using the Newton Method.

Unfortunately, this procedure can be unstable near a horizontal asymptote or a local extremum.

When calculating the curveYield for YLD.PR.B on October 21, the function did not converge; instead, it oscillated between two highly incorrect numbers.

The function has been adjusted such that:

  • After 500 iterations, a successively smaller damping factor is applied to the yield change, and
  • After 1,000 iterations, status information is written to the errorOutput.txt file after each iteration, and
  • After 1,010 iterations the process aborts and returns ANALYTICAL_DOUBLE_NO_SOLUTION

The function now converges for YLD.PR.B on October 21; other tests (prior to application of the damping factor) confirm that the ‘no solution’ result is handled properly by the rest of the programme.

It’s not often I find a crippling bug in HMIPref™ any more! That’s the only lack of convergence in this function in almost 15 years of daily data!

October 23, 2008

October 23rd, 2008

The Department of Finance announced today a programme of writing Credit Default Swaps on bank paper – the Canadian Lenders Assurance Facility:

which will provide insurance on the wholesale term borrowing of federally regulated deposit-taking institutions. This initiative will help to secure access to longer-term funds so that Canadian financial institutions can continue lending to consumers, homebuyers and businesses in Canada.

This temporary program will be offered to lenders on commercial terms so there is no expected fiscal cost.

Additional details of the Canadian Lenders Assurance Facility will be released shortly, after consultations with financial institutions.

We can hope that they’re a little better at it than, say, AIG!

There is at least one player shouting that Treasury’s Whack-a-Mole efforts to restore normality to the credit markets are more like Whack-a-Mountain:

Banks getting $125 billion from U.S. taxpayers to unlock the credit crunch are saying they’d rather hoard the money than use it for loans, the head of the largest independent mortgage company said.

Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson is injecting capital into institutions including Bank of America Corp., JPMorgan Chase & Co. and Citigroup Inc. on the expectation they would step up lending and investing to prevent the economic slowdown from getting worse. That isn’t happening, said Lee Farkas, chairman of Ocala, Florida-based Taylor, Bean & Whitaker Mortgage Corp.

Many large banks have told Farkas the U.S. rescue isn’t boosting their interest in offering or expanding credit lines to lenders such as his, even for borrowing secured by “low-risk, highly liquid loans,” he said.

“By their own admission, they’re taking the money and they don’t want to put it to work,” he said in an interview during the Mortgage Bankers Association’s conference in San Francisco. “Every single one you talk to, from the biggest to medium biggest, is saying the same thing, they want to de-lever.”

****************

Sorry, folks! I can’t keep my eyes open any more, and tomorrow could be an interesting day!PerpetualDiscounts were off 22bp on the day and now yield 6.77%, equivalent to 9.48% interest at the standard 1.4x factor. Long corporates are at about 7.2%, so the spread is about 230bp – still hanging in there!

I did update the October 21 performance; and updated the post regarding the new Fixed-Reset Royal Bank issue with not entirely surprising news of what comparison of coupons has done for the prices of extant issues. My guess is that tomorrow will be worse … but I’ll have a better idea at about 4pm…

Update, 2008-10-24: The subindices have been updated:

Note that these indices are experimental; the absolute and relative daily values are expected to change in the final version. In this version, index values are based at 1,000.0 on 2006-6-30.
The Fixed-Reset index was added effective 2008-9-5 at that day’s closing value of 1,119.4 for the Fixed-Floater index.
Index Mean Current Yield (at bid) Mean YTW Mean Average Trading Value Mean Mod Dur (YTW) Issues Day’s Perf. Index Value
Ratchet N/A N/A N/A N/A 0 N/A N/A
Fixed-Floater 5.45% 5.68% 67,134 14.66 6 -1.1212% 948.5
Floater 6.21% 6.28% 45,328 13.49 2 -3.2561% 553.1
Op. Retract 5.33% 6.13% 127,400 4.06 14 -0.0750% 991.6
Split-Share 6.23% 10.42% 57,874 4.02 12 +0.0510% 940.5
Interest Bearing 7.95% 14.32% 57,644 3.36 3 -4.6302% 885.7
Perpetual-Premium 6.72% 6.79% 48,871 12.76 1 +0.6491% 923.9
Perpetual-Discount 6.70% 6.77% 173,511 12.89 70 -0.2289% 808.4
Fixed-Reset 5.31% 5.13% 874,068 15.15 10 -2.3328% 1,081.8

BSD.PR.A: Retraction Suspended, Capital Units Get No Distribution

October 23rd, 2008

Brookfield Funds has announced:

In accordance with its Declaration of Trust, and because the net asset value is currently below the required 1.4 times coverage ratio, the monthly distribution on the Capital Units of the Brascan SoundVest Rising Distribution Split Trust will not be paid this month. The Declaration of Trust prohibits the Trust from paying a cash distribution on its Capital Units if, after giving effect to the proposed distribution, the net asset value per unit of its Capital Units would be less than approximately $4.00 and as of October 17, 2008 this amount was $nil. The Trust will continue to monitor its net asset value per Capital Unit to determine if it will be able to make monthly distributions in the future.

These announcements do not affect the quarterly distributions payable on the Preferred Securities of Brascan SoundVest Rising Distribution Split Trust.

The Brascan SoundVest Rising Distribution Split Trust also announced that it is temporarily suspending the annual redemption rights that would have arisen in November in respect of both its Capital Units and Preferred Securities. The Declaration of Trust provides for the suspension of redemptions when the same 1.4 times coverage ratio mentioned above cannot be maintained. The Trust will monitor its net asset value to determine when it will be able to resume redemptions. Further details of the redemption procedure to be followed will be announced if and when the suspension is lifted.

After having previously kept the NAV of the portfolio secret, the managers have now made it available again: NAV as of October 17 was $9.98.

The suspension of retractions is something of a surprise, although their right to do so is indeed spelled out in the prospectus. This is not the greatest problem in the world for the preferred securityholders, however, since they always had to buy a capital unit before retracting anyway:

Commencing in 2005, Preferred Securities may be surrendered together with an equal number of Capital Units for redemption in the month of November of each year for redemption on the last Business Day (any day on which the Toronto Stock Exchange is open for trading is hereinafter referred to as a ‘‘Business Day’’) in November of that year (a ‘‘Redemption Date’’), subject to the Trust’s right to suspend redemptions in certain circumstances. A Securityholder who surrenders Preferred Securities together with Capital Units for redemption at least 15 Business Days prior to a Redemption Date will receive payment for each Combined Security equal to the Combined Value determined as of the Redemption Date, less redemption costs. Redemption proceeds will be payable on or before the fifteenth Business Day after the applicable Redemption Date. See ‘‘Details of the Offering — Certain Provisions of the Preferred Securities— Concurrent Annual
Redemption’’.

On October 17, BSD.UN closed at $1.50; BSD.PR.A closed at $7.40; given a NAV of $9.98 retraction would have been quite profitable. The prospectus language, by the way is (bolding added):

The Trust may suspend the redemption of Capital Units and the repayment of Preferred Securities or postpone repayment of redemption proceeds:

(iii) if, after giving effect to redemptions, the Combined Value would be less than 1.4 times the Repayment Price,

… so the language in the press release …

The Declaration of Trust provides for the suspension of redemptions when the same 1.4 times coverage ratio mentioned above cannot be maintained.

… is a bit of a stretch. To me, it looks like they just want to hang on to their assets. Inquiries and complaints may be directed to:

Zev Korman
Director, Investor Relations and Communications – Public Funds
Tel: 416-359-1955
Email: zkorman@brookfield.com

My own eMail says:

I note that BSD has suspended retractions and have commented on this on my blog at http://www.prefblog.com/?p=3565

Given that the prospectus gives the Trust the option of suspending retractions, without making this an obligation, what motivation is there for the suspension other than a desire to retain assets?

May I publish your response?

New Issue: Royal Bank Fixed-Reset 5.60%+267

October 23rd, 2008

Royal Bank has announced:

a domestic public offering of $200 million of Non-Cumulative, 5 year rate reset Preferred Shares Series AL.

The bank will issue 8 million Preferred Shares Series AL priced at $25 per share and holders will be entitled to receive non-cumulative quarterly fixed dividend for the initial period ending February 24, 2014 in the amount of $1.40 per share, to yield 5.60% per cent annually. The bank has granted the Underwriters an option, exercisable in whole or in part, to purchase up to an additional 4 million Preferred Shares at the same offering price.

Subject to regulatory approval, on or after February 24, 2014, the bank may redeem the Preferred Shares Series AL in whole or in part at par. Thereafter, the dividend rate will reset every five years at a rate equal to 2.67% over the 5-year Government of Canada bond yield. Holders of Preferred Shares Series AL will, subject to certain conditions, have the right to convert all or any part of their shares to non-cumulative floating rate preferred shares Series AM (the “Preferred Shares Series AM”) on February 24, 2014 and on February 24 every five years thereafter.

Holders of the Preferred Shares Series AM will be entitled to receive a non-cumulative quarterly floating dividend at a rate equal to the 3-month Government of Canada Treasury Bill yield plus 2.67%. Holders of Preferred Shares Series AM will, subject to certain conditions, have the right to convert all or any part of their shares to Preferred Shares Series AL on February 24, 2019 and on February 24 every five years thereafter.

The offering will be underwritten by a syndicate led by RBC Capital Markets. The expected closing date is November 3, 2008.

Update: Fixed-Reset issues got clobbered today, not surprisingly … I have uploaded the Fixed-Reset Index Portfolio … the issues have a long way to go before they yield 5.6%. The yield differences is about 0.50% … if you think of them as 5-year issues, that will be about 2.5% further to go on price … if you think of them as perpetuals, that’s about 7.5% further downside on price. Although, mind you, there is no reason why the prices could remain unchanged, with the new Royal issue trading at an immediate premium.

October 22, 2008

October 22nd, 2008

Stocks got clobbered again:

U.S. stocks sank and the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index dropped to the lowest level since April 2003 on concern a worsening global economic slump will damp profits.


The S&P 500 lost 58.27 points, or 6.1 percent, to 896.78. The Dow Jones Industrial Average plunged 514.45, or 5.7 percent, to 8,519.21 as all 30 of its companies dropped. The Nasdaq Composite Index lost 80.93, or 4.8 percent, 1,615.75. About 24 stocks fell for each that rose on the New York Stock Exchange.

The S&P 500 has moved more than 1 percent on 13 of the 16 trading days this month, making it the most volatile by that measure since September 1932, according to S&P analyst Howard Silverblatt.

Canada was not immune:

Canadian stocks fell, pushing the main index toward its worst monthly drop in 21 years, as energy shares including Canadian Natural Resources Ltd. slumped along with oil prices on signs that fuel consumption is dropping.

The Standard & Poor’s/TSX Composite Index fell 5.7 percent to 9,236.88 in Toronto. Canada’s broadest stock benchmark, which derives more than three-quarters of its value from commodity and financial shares, has lost 21 percent in October, the most since after the “Black Monday” crash in the same month in 1987.

The S&P/TSX has dropped 39 percent from its June 18 record as debt markets froze after more than $660 billion in credit losses at global institutions.

Barney Frank wants Financial Services bonuses frozen:

House Financial Services Committee Chairman Barney Frank said there should be a freeze on Wall Street bonuses until companies find a way to keep the year-end payouts from encouraging excessive risk-taking.

“There should be a moratorium on bonuses,” Frank, a Massachusetts Democrat, told reporters yesterday in Washington. “They have a negative incentive effect because they are the ones that say if you take a risk and it pays off you get a big bonus,” and if it causes losses “you don’t lose anything.”

He’s right as far as this particular time ’round goes, but most of the time, if it causes losses you’re looking for work. It’s another variation of ‘Lose a million, you’ve got a problem. Lose a billion, THEY’VE got a problem.” Which, ultimately, comes down to risk management which, from all appearances, has for the past few years been largely a regulatory box-ticking exercise, as opposed to a job that somebody actually wanted done. The pro-Street Dealbreaker leads the charge:

I mean, yeah, it was really only higher ups who perpetrated the monumental fuck ups we’re currently paying for, including but not limited to the barbershop quartet of, say, Dick Fuld, Stan O’Neal, Chuck Prince, and Jimmy Cayne (with back up dancers Angelo Mozilo, Alan Greenspan et al.), but surely something will come of cutting the annual take-home of low-level plebes who were minding their own business placing Seamless Web orders while their boss’s boss’s boss’s boss’s boss was investing in that can’t miss asset class, subprime.

I was once offered a job running a small piece of a large company – they wanted to pay me bonus based on how well the other 99.9% of the company did, rather than how well my little feifdom did. There were other problems, and the conversation didn’t last long.

There will be no market reporting AGAIN, due to the same technical difficulties that caused yesterday‘s report to be cut short. However, I have now determined, isolated and neutralized the problem; it only remains to determing that I am doing so in the best manner.

I’ll explain in another post, because it’s kind of funny, but basically there’s a little loop used in the process of curve approximation that calculates a yield; in the case of YLD.PR.B, quoted at 1.60 with a stated annual dividend of $1.05 (currently suspended) until maturity 2012-2-1 at $15 [dubious], the little loop ran ’round 5,709,833 times [in the run where the problem was unequivocally isolated] before the WebService timed out and blew up the whole programme.

So, all is well, basically, but I’M TIRED.

More later.

Update, 2008-10-24: The subindices have been updated:

Note that these indices are experimental; the absolute and relative daily values are expected to change in the final version. In this version, index values are based at 1,000.0 on 2006-6-30.
The Fixed-Reset index was added effective 2008-9-5 at that day’s closing value of 1,119.4 for the Fixed-Floater index.
Index Mean Current Yield (at bid) Mean YTW Mean Average Trading Value Mean Mod Dur (YTW) Issues Day’s Perf. Index Value
Ratchet N/A N/A N/A N/A 0 N/A N/A
Fixed-Floater 5.39% 5.63% 69,256 14.76 6 +0.0043% 959.3
Floater 6.00% 6.06% 45,073 13.8 2 +3.9025% 571.7
Op. Retract 5.33% 6.19% 125,891 4.06 14 -0.1940% 992.4
Split-Share 6.23% 10.31% 57,836 4.00 12 -1.9658% 940.0
Interest Bearing 7.54% 13.03% 56,283 3.48 3 -0.5706% 928.7
Perpetual-Premium 6.76% 6.84% 48,995 12.71 1 -0.6022% 917.9
Perpetual-Discount 6.67% 6.75% 174,038 12.89 70 +0.1023% 810.2
Fixed-Reset 5.18% 5.01% 877,400 15.37 10 +0.6953% 1,107.7