Archive for June, 2009

MAPF Portfolio Composition: May 2009

Monday, June 1st, 2009

Trading activity increased slightly in May, with portfolio turnover of about 90%, as the market extended its gains.

Trades were, as ever, triggered by a desire to exploit transient mispricing in the preferred share market (which may the thought of as “selling liquidity”), rather than any particular view being taken on market direction, sectoral performance or credit anticipation.

MAPF Sectoral Analysis 2009-5-29
HIMI Indices Sector Weighting YTW ModDur
Ratchet 0% N/A N/A
FixFloat 0% N/A N/A
Floater 0% N/A N/A
OpRet 0% N/A N/A
SplitShare 11.1% (0) 11.67% 6.93
Interest Rearing 0% N/A N/A
PerpetualPremium 0.0% N/A N/A
PerpetualDiscount 69.8% (+6.5) 6.73% 12.90
Fixed-Reset 12.5% (-6.7) 5.38% 4.32
Scraps (OpRet) 6.2% (+0.5) 13.19% 5.02
Cash +0.6% (0) 0.00% 0.00
Total 100% 7.47% 10.61
Totals and changes will not add precisely due to rounding. Bracketted figures represent change from April month-end. Cash is included in totals with duration and yield both equal to zero.

The “total” reflects the un-leveraged total portfolio (i.e., cash is included in the portfolio calculations and is deemed to have a duration and yield of 0.00.). MAPF will often have relatively large cash balances, both credit and debit, to facilitate trading. Figures presented in the table have been rounded to the indicated precision.

The important change was the shift from FixedResets into PerpetualDiscounts. The initial trade spawned important knock-on trades towards the end of the month:

Shift from FixedReset to PerpetualDiscounts
Date CM.PR.M CM.PR.D HSB.PR.C SLF.PR.B
5/1 Sold
26.90
Bot
20.85
   
5/27   Sold
22.15
Bot
19.95
 
5/29     Sold
20.49
Bot
18.10
5/29
Close
26.68-80 22.00-27 20.00-46 18.05-19

Credit distribution is:

MAPF Credit Analysis 2009-5-29
DBRS Rating Weighting
Pfd-1 40.4% (-13.6)
Pfd-1(low) 23.8% (+4.7)
Pfd-2(high) 9.5% (+8.6)
Pfd-2 0% (0)
Pfd-2(low) 19.7% (+0.1)
Pfd-3(high) 6.2% (+0.5)
Cash +0.6% (0)
Totals will not add precisely due to rounding. Bracketted figures represent change from April month-end.

The increase in weighting of Pfd-2(high) reflects the purchase of POW.PR.D, accumulated as follows:

Accumulation of POW.PR.D
Date GWO.PR.I SLF.PR.B POW.PR.D
4/30
Close
16.33-50 17.17-37 18.54-59
5/20 Sold
17.08
  Bot
18.65
5/21 Sold
17.47
  Bot
18.80
5/26   Sold
18.25
Bot
18.74
5/29
Close
17.50-78 18.05-19 18.75-79
Dividends Missed
0.28125
Earned
0.30
 

The fund does not set any targets for overall credit quality; trades are executed one by one. Variances in overall credit will be constant as opportunistic trades are executed. The overall credit quality of the portfolio is now superior to the credit quality of CPD at August month-end (when adjusted for the downgrade of BCE).

Claymore provides the following ratings breakdown:

Ratings Breakdown
as of 12/31/08
Pfd-1 61.15%
Pfd-2 23.26%
Pfd-3 15.60%

Two events have occurred since the Dec. 31 calculation date of CPD’s credit quality:

Liquidity Distribution is:

MAPF Liquidity Analysis 2009-5-29
Average Daily Trading Weighting
<$50,000 1.9% (+1.5)
$50,000 – $100,000 19.1% (-1.6)
$100,000 – $200,000 31.6% (-21.7)
$200,000 – $300,000 31.5% (+25.4)
>$300,000 15.5% (-3.7)
Cash +0.6% (0)
Totals will not add precisely due to rounding. Bracketted figures represent change from April month-end.

MAPF is, of course, Malachite Aggressive Preferred Fund, a “unit trust” managed by Hymas Investment Management Inc. Further information and links to performance, audited financials and subscription information are available the fund’s web page. A “unit trust” is like a regular mutual fund, but is sold by offering memorandum rather than prospectus. This is cheaper, but means subscription is restricted to “accredited investors” (as defined by the Ontario Securities Commission) and those who subscribe for $150,000+. Fund past performances are not a guarantee of future performance. You can lose money investing in MAPF or any other fund.

A similar portfolio composition analysis has been performed on The Claymore Preferred Share ETF (symbol CPD) as of August 29. When comparing CPD and MAPF:

  • MAPF credit quality is better
  • MAPF liquidity is similar
  • MAPF Yield is higher
  • Weightings in
    • MAPF is more exposed to PerpetualDiscounts
    • MAPF is much less exposed to Operating Retractibles
    • MAPF is more exposed to SplitShares
    • MAPF is less exposed to FixFloat / Floater / Ratchet
    • MAPF weighting in FixedResets is similar

BPO & BPP: S&P Revises Outlook to Negative

Monday, June 1st, 2009

Standard and Poor’s has announced:

Standard & Poor’s Ratings Services today revised its outlook on Brookfield Properties Corp. (Brookfield) and its Toronto-based affiliate, BPO Properties Ltd. (BPP), to negative from stable. We continue to analytically view these two related companies as one rated entity. Brookfield retains an 89% equity interest (representing 54% of the voting securities and 100% of the non-voting securities) in BPP.

At the same time, we affirmed our ‘BBB’ long-term corporate credit rating on Brookfield and BPP and our ‘BB+’ preferred stock rating on the companies.

The current environment of weak operating fundamentals, lower office property valuations, and more-restrictive lender underwriting in the U.S. will pose challenges to the company’s efforts to recapitalize its highly leveraged U.S. property fund (debt is due in late 2011). We would lower the rating one notch if the company does not meaningfully improve its liquidity position this year or if fixed-charge coverage measures were to decline from their current level (1.6x). We would consider revising the outlook to stable if Brookfield’s management successfully addresses the longer-term recapitalization needs of its U.S. fund while strengthening overall consolidated fixed-charge coverage measures.

BPO has the following preferred issues outstanding: BPO.PR.F, BPO.PR.H, BPO.PR.I, BPO.PR.J, BPO.PR.K.

BPP has the following preferred issues outstanding: BPP.PR.G, BPP.PR.J & BPP.PR.M. Each of these issues were mentioned on PrefBlog in the post BAM / BPP Floater Credit Inversion.

BPO.PR.F & BPO.PR.H were added to the S&P/TSX Preferred Share Index in the July 2007 rebalancing. BPO.PR.I was added and BPO.PR.J was removed in the July 2008 rebalancing.

All are tracked by HIMIPref™ all have been relegated to the Scraps index on credit concerns.