April 12, 2022

So US inflation was exciting:

Inflation soared over the past year at its fastest pace in more than 40 years, with costs for food, gasoline, housing and other necessities squeezing American consumers and wiping out the pay raises that many people have received.

The Labor Department said Tuesday that its consumer price index jumped 8.5 per cent in March from 12 months earlier – the biggest year-over-year increase since December 1981. Prices have been driven up by bottlenecked supply chains, robust consumer demand and disruptions to global food and energy markets worsened by Russia’s war against Ukraine.

The government’s report also showed that inflation rose 1.2 per cent from February to March, up from a 0.8 per cent increase from January to February.

Current and projected future increases in the five-year Canada rate imply a greater cost of carry on mortgages. Well, the implications will be fun!

New data from Statistics Canada shows multiple-property owners held between 29 and 41 per cent of the housing stock in Ontario, British Columbia, Nova Scotia and New Brunswick in 2019 and 2020.

The data from the Canadian Housing Statistics Program, which includes both residential and recreational holdings, reveal multiple-property ownership accounted for 41 per cent of Nova Scotia’s housing stock, 39 per cent of New Brunswick’s, 31 per cent of Ontario’s and 29 per cent of British Columbia’s.

Multiple-property owners totalled 22 per cent of all owners in Nova Scotia, 20 per cent in New Brunswick, 16 per cent in Ontario and 15 per cent in British Columbia.

Tomorrow will bring the long-awaited Bank of Canada policy rate announcement, widely expected to take the policy rate to 1.00%. But three month bills are trading at about 0.86%, roughly halfway between a 25bp increase and one of 50bp, which does not seem to indicate a similar level of conviction in the markets. As ratchetrick observes, we’ll see. But it seems that one way or another there will be fireworks as all the bond-market-timers incur immense transaction costs during the ten minutes on either side of the announcement.

HIMIPref™ Preferred Indices
These values reflect the December 2008 revision of the HIMIPref™ Indices

Values are provisional and are finalized monthly
Index Mean
Current
Yield
(at bid)
Median
YTW
Median
Average
Trading
Value
Median
Mod Dur
(YTW)
Issues Day’s Perf. Index Value
Ratchet 3.37 % 3.95 % 25,336 19.35 1 -0.5238 % 2,705.2
FixedFloater 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.3895 % 5,157.1
Floater 3.33 % 3.39 % 40,816 18.80 4 0.3895 % 2,972.1
OpRet 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 -0.1257 % 3,621.5
SplitShare 4.64 % 4.49 % 47,474 3.51 6 -0.1257 % 4,324.9
Interest-Bearing 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 -0.1257 % 3,374.4
Perpetual-Premium 5.52 % 5.29 % 63,454 14.53 16 -0.0431 % 3,097.3
Perpetual-Discount 5.47 % 5.47 % 60,057 14.64 17 -0.2129 % 3,387.7
FixedReset Disc 4.42 % 5.55 % 130,053 14.88 49 -0.8059 % 2,597.4
Insurance Straight 5.47 % 5.45 % 88,765 14.73 20 -0.9660 % 3,280.2
FloatingReset 3.59 % 3.89 % 58,603 17.68 2 -0.1468 % 2,760.4
FixedReset Prem 4.86 % 4.65 % 145,443 1.99 19 0.1150 % 2,653.8
FixedReset Bank Non 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 -0.8059 % 2,655.1
FixedReset Ins Non 4.42 % 5.60 % 82,765 14.55 15 0.1347 % 2,715.1
Performance Highlights
Issue Index Change Notes
TRP.PR.G FixedReset Disc -43.75 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-04-12
Maturity Price : 12.29
Evaluated at bid price : 12.29
Bid-YTW : 10.11 %
CM.PR.O FixedReset Disc -16.28 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-04-12
Maturity Price : 18.00
Evaluated at bid price : 18.00
Bid-YTW : 6.61 %
GWO.PR.Q Insurance Straight -10.13 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-04-12
Maturity Price : 21.12
Evaluated at bid price : 21.12
Bid-YTW : 6.16 %
IFC.PR.E Insurance Straight -2.83 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-04-12
Maturity Price : 23.72
Evaluated at bid price : 24.00
Bid-YTW : 5.45 %
PWF.PF.A Perpetual-Discount -2.36 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-04-12
Maturity Price : 20.65
Evaluated at bid price : 20.65
Bid-YTW : 5.47 %
GWO.PR.Y Insurance Straight -2.35 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-04-12
Maturity Price : 20.75
Evaluated at bid price : 20.75
Bid-YTW : 5.47 %
CCS.PR.C Insurance Straight -1.75 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-04-12
Maturity Price : 23.32
Evaluated at bid price : 23.60
Bid-YTW : 5.33 %
IAF.PR.I FixedReset Ins Non -1.68 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-04-12
Maturity Price : 23.45
Evaluated at bid price : 24.00
Bid-YTW : 5.57 %
FTS.PR.H FixedReset Disc -1.60 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-04-12
Maturity Price : 15.35
Evaluated at bid price : 15.35
Bid-YTW : 5.99 %
BIP.PR.E FixedReset Prem -1.32 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-04-12
Maturity Price : 24.17
Evaluated at bid price : 24.62
Bid-YTW : 5.69 %
BAM.PR.M Perpetual-Discount -1.22 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-04-12
Maturity Price : 21.10
Evaluated at bid price : 21.10
Bid-YTW : 5.68 %
CU.PR.G Perpetual-Discount -1.20 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-04-12
Maturity Price : 21.35
Evaluated at bid price : 21.35
Bid-YTW : 5.34 %
PVS.PR.J SplitShare -1.14 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2028-02-29
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 24.20
Bid-YTW : 5.15 %
FTS.PR.F Perpetual-Discount -1.11 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-04-12
Maturity Price : 22.83
Evaluated at bid price : 23.11
Bid-YTW : 5.36 %
RY.PR.J FixedReset Disc -1.06 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-04-12
Maturity Price : 22.10
Evaluated at bid price : 22.50
Bid-YTW : 5.56 %
PWF.PR.Z Perpetual-Premium -1.03 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-04-12
Maturity Price : 22.63
Evaluated at bid price : 23.01
Bid-YTW : 5.59 %
CM.PR.Q FixedReset Disc 1.00 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-04-12
Maturity Price : 21.21
Evaluated at bid price : 21.21
Bid-YTW : 5.83 %
PWF.PR.S Perpetual-Discount 1.15 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-04-12
Maturity Price : 21.75
Evaluated at bid price : 22.00
Bid-YTW : 5.46 %
CU.PR.E Perpetual-Discount 1.24 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-04-12
Maturity Price : 22.53
Evaluated at bid price : 22.78
Bid-YTW : 5.44 %
BAM.PF.E FixedReset Disc 1.39 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-04-12
Maturity Price : 19.68
Evaluated at bid price : 19.68
Bid-YTW : 6.24 %
BMO.PR.T FixedReset Disc 1.50 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-04-12
Maturity Price : 21.38
Evaluated at bid price : 21.70
Bid-YTW : 5.45 %
PWF.PR.A Floater 1.52 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-04-12
Maturity Price : 14.72
Evaluated at bid price : 14.72
Bid-YTW : 3.24 %
NA.PR.W FixedReset Disc 1.95 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-04-12
Maturity Price : 21.57
Evaluated at bid price : 21.97
Bid-YTW : 5.32 %
TRP.PR.A FixedReset Disc 2.33 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-04-12
Maturity Price : 17.60
Evaluated at bid price : 17.60
Bid-YTW : 6.24 %
IFC.PR.A FixedReset Ins Non 2.45 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-04-12
Maturity Price : 18.81
Evaluated at bid price : 18.81
Bid-YTW : 5.77 %
IFC.PR.F Insurance Straight 2.50 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-04-12
Maturity Price : 24.51
Evaluated at bid price : 25.01
Bid-YTW : 5.32 %
PWF.PR.T FixedReset Disc 2.56 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-04-12
Maturity Price : 21.63
Evaluated at bid price : 22.05
Bid-YTW : 5.54 %
PWF.PR.P FixedReset Disc 2.56 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-04-12
Maturity Price : 16.00
Evaluated at bid price : 16.00
Bid-YTW : 5.78 %
CM.PR.P FixedReset Disc 2.58 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-04-12
Maturity Price : 21.50
Evaluated at bid price : 21.50
Bid-YTW : 5.47 %
PWF.PR.K Perpetual-Discount 2.78 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-04-12
Maturity Price : 21.91
Evaluated at bid price : 22.15
Bid-YTW : 5.59 %
TRP.PR.B FixedReset Disc 3.04 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-04-12
Maturity Price : 13.54
Evaluated at bid price : 13.54
Bid-YTW : 6.42 %
TD.PF.D FixedReset Disc 10.05 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-04-12
Maturity Price : 21.74
Evaluated at bid price : 22.01
Bid-YTW : 5.62 %
Volume Highlights
Issue Index Shares
Traded
Notes
CU.PR.J Perpetual-Discount 579,800 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-04-12
Maturity Price : 21.62
Evaluated at bid price : 21.95
Bid-YTW : 5.47 %
GWO.PR.S Insurance Straight 263,700 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-04-12
Maturity Price : 23.27
Evaluated at bid price : 23.52
Bid-YTW : 5.62 %
TD.PF.J FixedReset Disc 54,300 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-04-12
Maturity Price : 23.69
Evaluated at bid price : 24.20
Bid-YTW : 5.44 %
TRP.PR.F FloatingReset 51,905 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-04-12
Maturity Price : 17.45
Evaluated at bid price : 17.45
Bid-YTW : 3.89 %
BMO.PR.W FixedReset Disc 39,700 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-04-12
Maturity Price : 21.41
Evaluated at bid price : 21.75
Bid-YTW : 5.44 %
PVS.PR.K SplitShare 13,100 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2029-05-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 24.65
Bid-YTW : 4.73 %
There were 5 other index-included issues trading in excess of 10,000 shares.
Wide Spread Highlights
Issue Index Quote Data and Yield Notes
TRP.PR.G FixedReset Disc Quote: 12.29 – 22.00
Spot Rate : 9.7100
Average : 5.1874

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-04-12
Maturity Price : 12.29
Evaluated at bid price : 12.29
Bid-YTW : 10.11 %

CM.PR.O FixedReset Disc Quote: 18.00 – 22.00
Spot Rate : 4.0000
Average : 2.3088

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-04-12
Maturity Price : 18.00
Evaluated at bid price : 18.00
Bid-YTW : 6.61 %

GWO.PR.Q Insurance Straight Quote: 21.12 – 23.50
Spot Rate : 2.3800
Average : 1.7220

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-04-12
Maturity Price : 21.12
Evaluated at bid price : 21.12
Bid-YTW : 6.16 %

SLF.PR.H FixedReset Ins Non Quote: 19.30 – 21.50
Spot Rate : 2.2000
Average : 1.5823

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-04-12
Maturity Price : 19.30
Evaluated at bid price : 19.30
Bid-YTW : 5.63 %

BAM.PR.E Ratchet Quote: 18.99 – 20.45
Spot Rate : 1.4600
Average : 1.0140

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-04-12
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 18.99
Bid-YTW : 3.95 %

POW.PR.B Perpetual-Premium Quote: 24.01 – 25.10
Spot Rate : 1.0900
Average : 0.6976

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-04-12
Maturity Price : 23.70
Evaluated at bid price : 24.01
Bid-YTW : 5.59 %

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