Archive for February, 2009

CultivatING Serenity

Thursday, February 19th, 2009

From the ING Canada 4Q08 Press Release:

Preferred shares and debt securities were not impaired. Preferred shares are generally only impaired if the issuer is significantly downgraded, stops paying dividends, or declares bankruptcy. After careful review, management determined that there was no objective evidence at the time of assessment which suggested the company would not receive the contractual cash flows from these securities, which include either dividends or interest payments. Management uses third party credit ratings as well as other public information in its analysis of the quality of debt securities and preferred shares.

According to page 13 of the report, their unrealized loss on Prefs was $522.5-million. Thats on a book value (page 30) of $1,220.1. And you thought YOU had a bad year! They include prefs with equity, by the way.

Page 23 states:

ING Canada Inc.’s long-term issuer rating with Moody’s Investors Services is A3 and the company’s five principal operating insurance subsidiaries are rated Aa3 for insurance financial strength (IFS). ING Canada Inc.’s unsecured debt would be rated A (low) by DBRS. ING Canada Group has an A+ (Superior) rating from A.M. Best.

Let’s have a little peek at the balance sheet … shareholders’ equity as stated is $2,632.6-million, less intangibles of $217.8 leaves $2,414.8-million.

Debt securities of $3,832.5-million implies leverage there of 159%. Equities of $2,015.1 implies leverage of 83% … and most of that is prefs.

The company is now independent of ING Groep. We want a pref issue!

Update: I’m not sure how enthusiastic I am about the insurers owning a lot of each other’s (OK, and maybe the banks’) preferred shares. To me, that increases the chance of systemic collapse.

Update, 2010-7-28: Note that ING Canada is now Intact Insurance. Now that I have the word “Intact” in this post, perhaps I’ll be able to find it in less than half an hour next time!

February 19, 2009

Thursday, February 19th, 2009

John Hemption wrote a piece on Bronte Capital titled Bank Solvency and the Geithner Plan:

The spread between the origination value of a loan and its secondary value is huge. It simply makes no sense to originate new loans when you can buy old loans so cheap. Because it makes no sense to originate loans banks will not do it unless they are driven by an “institutional imperative” (they don’t know what else to do) or they are forced to by regulators or they are trying to prove their solvency by using capital (something I have accused Barclays of).

James Hamilton of Econbrowser picks up the thread in a post titled Prospects for the US Banking System but he is handicapped by the notion that markets are efficient and rational:

As I understand it, Hempton is claiming that there is a probability distribution for what the true value of the assets held to maturity is going to be– might be higher than 75 cents, might be lower than 75 cents, but with expected value of 75 cents. There’s no question that risk premia at the moment are very high, but a figure of a 15% expected return seems hard to defend. The highest differential we’ve seen between Baa-rated and Aaa-rated bonds over the last century was 550 basis points in 1932. The spread fell from 340 basis points in December 2008 to 310 this January.

If purchasing bank assets today at 50 cents on the dollar doesn’t offer an expected return as high as 15%, then it’s hard to claim that the expected value of the assets held to maturity is as high as 75 cents. Either 50 cents is too low a valuation, or 75 cents is too high an expectation.

Although I’m not sure which numbers to use, this seems like exactly the right way to frame the problem. Figure out what are the possible parameters for the capital loss that is to be allocated among the various parties– specifically, a loss that must be borne by some combination of stockholders, creditors, managers, employees, and the taxpayers– and try to reconcile those numbers with the current liquidation value of the banks.

Assiduous Readers will remember the Bank of England April ’08 Financial Stability Report, which opined that banks were, in fact, over-reserved against losses to maturity. That was, of course, nearly a year ago, back in the good old days before Lehman blew up and took the economy with it. I can only hope that some similarly authoritative work will become public soon.

Split-shares got creamed again … much more of this and retraction will become attractive again! It wasn’t just that bids disappeared, either … there were willing sellers at low prices.

HIMIPref™ Preferred Indices
These values reflect the December 2008 revision of the HIMIPref™ Indices

Values are provisional and are finalized monthly
Index Mean
Current
Yield
(at bid)
Median
YTW
Median
Average
Trading
Value
Median
Mod Dur
(YTW)
Issues Day’s Perf. Index Value
Ratchet 5.25 % 3.68 % 23,617 17.99 2 -0.0255 % 860.4
FixedFloater 7.31 % 6.83 % 73,542 14.01 7 -1.1406 % 1,373.5
Floater 5.08 % 4.29 % 28,787 16.85 4 0.4864 % 1,033.5
OpRet 5.23 % 4.87 % 141,082 3.98 15 0.2227 % 2,056.3
SplitShare 6.72 % 11.98 % 67,429 3.96 15 -2.7117 % 1,665.0
Interest-Bearing 7.12 % 9.26 % 33,029 0.82 2 -0.5202 % 1,987.4
Perpetual-Premium 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.0881 % 1,548.6
Perpetual-Discount 6.95 % 7.11 % 181,051 12.43 71 0.0881 % 1,426.2
FixedReset 6.05 % 5.73 % 584,611 13.93 27 0.2203 % 1,818.3
Performance Highlights
Issue Index Change Notes
FBS.PR.B SplitShare -9.08 % Yes, Virginia, there was volume there. Closed at 6.41-59, 5×10, after trading 26,952 shares in a range of 6.40-10. Asset coverage of 1.0+:1 as of February 12 according to TD Securities.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2011-12-15
Maturity Price : 10.00
Evaluated at bid price : 6.41
Bid-YTW : 23.44 %
LBS.PR.A SplitShare -8.51 % Volume here, too. Traded 23,150 shares in a range of 7.00-8.00 before closing at 7.10-80, 24×77. Asset coverage of 1.3-:1 as of February 12 according to Brompton.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2013-11-29
Maturity Price : 10.00
Evaluated at bid price : 7.10
Bid-YTW : 14.03 %
FTN.PR.A SplitShare -6.53 % Volume here too! Traded 9,800 shares in a range of 7.11-50 before closing at 7.01-27, 10×2. Asset coverage of 1.2-:1 as of February 13 according to the company.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2015-12-01
Maturity Price : 10.00
Evaluated at bid price : 7.01
Bid-YTW : 11.98 %
DF.PR.A SplitShare -4.44 % Asset coverage of 1.3+:1 as of February 13 according to the company.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2014-12-01
Maturity Price : 10.00
Evaluated at bid price : 8.18
Bid-YTW : 9.56 %
BCE.PR.Z FixedFloater -4.02 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-02-19
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 15.05
Bid-YTW : 7.06 %
CIU.PR.A Perpetual-Discount -3.68 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-02-19
Maturity Price : 16.23
Evaluated at bid price : 16.23
Bid-YTW : 7.13 %
FFN.PR.A SplitShare -3.36 % Asset coverage of 1.0+:1 as of February 13 according to the company.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2014-12-01
Maturity Price : 10.00
Evaluated at bid price : 6.33
Bid-YTW : 15.23 %
LFE.PR.A SplitShare -2.85 % Asset coverage of 1.2+:1 as of February 13 according to the company.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2012-12-01
Maturity Price : 10.00
Evaluated at bid price : 7.84
Bid-YTW : 12.83 %
WFS.PR.A SplitShare -2.82 % Asset coverage of 1.1+:1 as of February 12 according to Mulvihill.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2011-06-30
Maturity Price : 10.00
Evaluated at bid price : 7.58
Bid-YTW : 18.97 %
BCE.PR.R FixedFloater -2.73 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-02-19
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 15.32
Bid-YTW : 6.82 %
NA.PR.N FixedReset -2.65 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-02-19
Maturity Price : 21.95
Evaluated at bid price : 22.00
Bid-YTW : 4.93 %
SBC.PR.A SplitShare -2.42 % Asset coverage of 1.4-:1 as of February 12 according to Brompton.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2012-11-30
Maturity Price : 10.00
Evaluated at bid price : 7.66
Bid-YTW : 13.65 %
DFN.PR.A SplitShare -2.18 % Asset coverage of 1.6-:1 as of February 13 according to the company.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2014-12-01
Maturity Price : 10.00
Evaluated at bid price : 8.51
Bid-YTW : 8.72 %
PWF.PR.E Perpetual-Discount -2.02 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-02-19
Maturity Price : 19.42
Evaluated at bid price : 19.42
Bid-YTW : 7.17 %
TD.PR.P Perpetual-Discount -1.93 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-02-19
Maturity Price : 19.81
Evaluated at bid price : 19.81
Bid-YTW : 6.71 %
RY.PR.E Perpetual-Discount -1.65 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-02-19
Maturity Price : 17.31
Evaluated at bid price : 17.31
Bid-YTW : 6.55 %
CM.PR.H Perpetual-Discount -1.56 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-02-19
Maturity Price : 16.39
Evaluated at bid price : 16.39
Bid-YTW : 7.43 %
PPL.PR.A SplitShare -1.23 % Asset coverage of 1.3+:1 as of February 13 according to the company.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2012-12-01
Maturity Price : 10.00
Evaluated at bid price : 8.05
Bid-YTW : 11.62 %
TD.PR.N OpRet -1.20 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Soft Maturity
Maturity Date : 2014-01-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.52
Bid-YTW : 4.21 %
FIG.PR.A Interest-Bearing -1.20 % Asset coverage of 1.0+:1 as of February 10, based on Capital units at $0.72 and 0.53 Capital Units per preferred.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2014-12-31
Maturity Price : 10.00
Evaluated at bid price : 7.41
Bid-YTW : 13.02 %
TCA.PR.Y Perpetual-Discount -1.15 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-02-19
Maturity Price : 44.69
Evaluated at bid price : 46.26
Bid-YTW : 6.08 %
BAM.PR.H OpRet 1.08 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Soft Maturity
Maturity Date : 2012-03-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 23.50
Bid-YTW : 8.33 %
BNS.PR.K Perpetual-Discount 1.10 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-02-19
Maturity Price : 18.34
Evaluated at bid price : 18.34
Bid-YTW : 6.63 %
NA.PR.K Perpetual-Discount 1.16 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-02-19
Maturity Price : 20.91
Evaluated at bid price : 20.91
Bid-YTW : 7.06 %
TD.PR.C FixedReset 1.25 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-02-19
Maturity Price : 24.20
Evaluated at bid price : 24.25
Bid-YTW : 5.12 %
BNS.PR.R FixedReset 1.30 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-02-19
Maturity Price : 21.76
Evaluated at bid price : 21.80
Bid-YTW : 4.77 %
BNS.PR.J Perpetual-Discount 1.32 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-02-19
Maturity Price : 20.01
Evaluated at bid price : 20.01
Bid-YTW : 6.64 %
SLF.PR.C Perpetual-Discount 1.34 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-02-19
Maturity Price : 15.15
Evaluated at bid price : 15.15
Bid-YTW : 7.50 %
TD.PR.A FixedReset 1.35 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-02-19
Maturity Price : 22.56
Evaluated at bid price : 22.60
Bid-YTW : 4.66 %
BNS.PR.L Perpetual-Discount 1.37 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-02-19
Maturity Price : 17.75
Evaluated at bid price : 17.75
Bid-YTW : 6.42 %
BNS.PR.M Perpetual-Discount 1.37 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-02-19
Maturity Price : 17.74
Evaluated at bid price : 17.74
Bid-YTW : 6.42 %
RY.PR.L FixedReset 1.47 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-02-19
Maturity Price : 24.06
Evaluated at bid price : 24.10
Bid-YTW : 5.08 %
ENB.PR.A Perpetual-Discount 1.56 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-02-19
Maturity Price : 23.82
Evaluated at bid price : 24.07
Bid-YTW : 5.73 %
TRI.PR.B Floater 1.56 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-02-19
Maturity Price : 13.00
Evaluated at bid price : 13.00
Bid-YTW : 4.08 %
SLF.PR.D Perpetual-Discount 1.76 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-02-19
Maturity Price : 15.02
Evaluated at bid price : 15.02
Bid-YTW : 7.56 %
GWO.PR.I Perpetual-Discount 1.79 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-02-19
Maturity Price : 15.32
Evaluated at bid price : 15.32
Bid-YTW : 7.50 %
CM.PR.K FixedReset 2.22 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-02-19
Maturity Price : 22.25
Evaluated at bid price : 23.00
Bid-YTW : 4.87 %
SLF.PR.A Perpetual-Discount 2.30 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-02-19
Maturity Price : 16.02
Evaluated at bid price : 16.02
Bid-YTW : 7.57 %
IAG.PR.A Perpetual-Discount 2.43 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-02-19
Maturity Price : 16.00
Evaluated at bid price : 16.00
Bid-YTW : 7.34 %
Volume Highlights
Issue Index Shares
Traded
Notes
TD.PR.G FixedReset 76,155 Recent new issue.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-05-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.31
Bid-YTW : 6.10 %
BNS.PR.X FixedReset 66,176 Recent new issue.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-05-25
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.30
Bid-YTW : 6.11 %
RY.PR.R FixedReset 52,186 Recent new issue.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-03-26
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.41
Bid-YTW : 6.00 %
RY.PR.P FixedReset 47,648 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2019-03-26
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.26
Bid-YTW : 6.18 %
BNS.PR.L Perpetual-Discount 46,670 Nesbitt bought 16,000 from Scotia at 17.75 and 21,800 from National at 17.99.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-02-19
Maturity Price : 17.75
Evaluated at bid price : 17.75
Bid-YTW : 6.42 %
CM.PR.L FixedReset 43,543 Recent new issue.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-05-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.38
Bid-YTW : 6.27 %
There were 30 other index-included issues trading in excess of 10,000 shares.

ABK.PR.B Revises Capital Units' Dividend Policy

Thursday, February 19th, 2009

Allbanc Split Corp. has announced:

The Company has revised its Capital Share dividend policy and has determined that it will not pay a dividend on the Capital Shares if the Net Asset Value at the time of declaration, after giving effect to the dividend, would be less than or equal to the original issue price of the Preferred Shares. In such circumstances, any excess dividends received on the underlying portfolio securities minus the dividends payable on the Preferred Shares and all administrative, operating and income tax expenses will be reinvested in short-term debt securities or underlying portfolio securities. However, as long as Net Asset Value at the date of declaration exceeds such amount, the Company intends to pay a dividend on the Capital Shares equal to the excess of the dividends received on the portfolio securities minus the Preferred Share dividends and all administrative, operating and income tax expenses. Based on yesterday’s closing sale prices of the underlying portfolio securities and after giving effect to the Capital Share dividend, the Net Asset Value per Unit would be $30.51 or $3.76 in excess of the original issue price of the Preferred Shares.

On February 12, the NAVPU was $34.71. The last week … has not been kind.

ABK.PR.B was last mentioned on PrefBlog when it was downgraded to Pfd-3 as part of the DBRS Mass Downgrade of Split-Shares. ABK.PR.B is not tracked by HIMIPref™.

Why Banks Failed the Stress Test

Thursday, February 19th, 2009

Andrew G Haldane: Why banks failed the stress test – Speech by Mr Andrew G Haldane, Executive Director, Financial Stability, Bank of England, at the Marcus-Evans Conference on Stress-Testing, London, 9-10 February 2009.

It’s wonderful! We’ll start with sigma-rigging:

Back in August 2007, the Chief Financial Officer of Goldman Sachs, David Viniar, commented to the Financial Times:

“We are seeing things that were 25-standard deviation moves, several days in a row”

To provide some context, assuming a normal distribution, a 7.26-sigma daily loss would be expected to occur once every 13.7 billion or so years. That is roughly the estimated age of the universe.

A 25-sigma event would be expected to occur once every 6 x 10124 lives of the universe. That is quite a lot of human histories. When I tried to calculate the probability of a 25-sigma event occurring on several successive days, the lights visibly dimmed over London and, in a scene reminiscent of that Little Britain sketch, the computer said “No”.

… and proceed to …

A few years ago, ahead of the present crisis, the Bank of England and the FSA commenced a series of seminars with financial firms, exploring their stress-testing practices. The first meeting of that group sticks in my mind. We had asked firms to tell us the sorts of stress which they routinely used for their stress-tests. A quick survey suggested these were very modest stresses. We asked why. Perhaps disaster myopia – disappointing, but perhaps unsurprising? Or network externalities – we understood how difficult these were to capture?

No. There was a much simpler explanation according to one of those present. There was absolutely no incentive for individuals or teams to run severe stress tests and show these to management. First, because if there were such a severe shock, they would very likely lose their bonus and possibly their jobs. Second, because in that event the authorities would have to step-in anyway to save a bank and others suffering a similar plight.

All of the other assembled bankers began subjecting their shoes to intense scrutiny.

You don’t build a career by telling your boss what he doesn’t want to hear. This is why regulatory capital charges must be progressive, so that larger firms are more conservatively capitalized than smaller.

Update, 2010-8-5: See also FTU.PR.A Provides 11-Sigma Update … but remember WFS.PR.A

Bank of Canada Releases Winter '08-'09 Review

Thursday, February 19th, 2009

The Bank of Canada has announced the release of the Bank of Canada Review of Winter 2008-2009.

Of most interest – to me! – was a paper on the value of information in the FX market, The Role of Dealers in Providing Interday Liquidity in the Canadian-Dollar Market by Chris D’Souza, which concluded:

Overall, results suggest that the relationship between the positions of commercial clients and market-makers, and the role played by dealers in interday liquidity provision, has been understated. There is considerable evidence that not all customer trades are equal. In particular, market-makers are quick to provide liquidity to [Foreign Domiciled] customers, possibly in an attempt to capture any fundamental information contained in these trades. Over time, dealers will off-load their positions to commercial clients as the information becomes stale, or as
the risks associated with holding these undesired balances becomes too costly.

Other papers were:

  • Merchants’ Costs of Accepting Means of Payment: Is Cash the Least Costly?
  • The Market Impact of Forward-Looking Policy Statements: Transparency vs. Predictability
  • Conference Summary: International Experience with the Conduct of Monetary Policy under Inflation Targeting

XMF.PR.A Suspends Preferred Dividends

Thursday, February 19th, 2009

They’re playing hardball! M-Split Corp. has announced:

that it has suspended its regular monthly dividends effectively immediately for Priority Equity (“Preferred”) shareholders in order to preserve cash and to assist in rebuilding the net asset value in an attempt to meet longer term objectives. Since the Preferred shares are cumulative, this suspended dividend (and all subsequent dividends not paid) will be accrued to the benefit of the Preferred shareholders and recorded as a liability in the Company’s net asset value. Also, there will not be a distribution paid to Class A Shares for February 27, 2009 as per the Prospectus which states no regular monthly dividends or other distributions will be paid on the Class A Shares in any month as long as the net asset value per unit is equal to or less than $12.50. The net asset value as of February 13, 2009 was $8.91 and has been adversely impacted by the significant decline in the Manulife stock held in the portfolio.

Preferred shareholders should be pretty upset with Quadra about this and demand that the company be wound up immediately. They can’t force the company to do so, but management does not appear to understand that every single penny of the company’s net assets belong to the preferred shareholders; the capital unitholders have been wiped out and are worth zip, zero, zilch.

However, Quadra has other ideas:

The Company’s total net asset value is approximately $8.71 per unit as at February 18, 2009, consisting of less than 7% common shares of Manulife. The reduced exposure to Manulife will materially limit the future impact of price movements of Manulife shares on the net asset value of the Company and lower the ability of the Company to generate income from dividends and its covered call option writing program.

The significant price decline of Manulife has made it extremely difficult to achieve the original stated objectives for both classes of shares. The Company intends to establish a normal course issuer’s bid which would allow the Company to re-purchase units in the market when trading prices are at a discount to the net asset value.

The Company will continue to review and dialogue with shareholders in order to establish potential solutions for reorganizing the Company that would be suitable for all shareholders.

… but then, what can you expect from people who use “dialogue” as a verb?

The Capital Units are currently quoted at $0.55-77, 1×1, on the Toronto Exchange. I object to the very idea of the company using the discount on the trading price of the preferreds to subsidize a free lunch for the capital unitholders; but on the other hand an issuer bid will be accretive to preferred shareholders not stupid enough to sell. So views on the topic will be mixed.

The company should be wound up. This will require consent of the capital unitholders; I suggest they be offered $0.25 on wind-up; this being $0.25 more than they’ll get if the company elects to drag the farce out to the scheduled wind-up on December 1, 2014. But, if not wound up, preferred shareholders should remember that they’ve got a perfectly good strip-bond-like investment, with minimal market exposure. They should certainly not even dream of selling on the market that the current quote of 7.00-38, which is an almost 20% discount to NAV at the bid.

XMF.PR.A is not tracked by HIMIPref™. It was last mentioned on PrefBlog when the preferred-unfriendly reorganization plan was defeated.

XCM.PR.A Suspends Preferred Dividend

Thursday, February 19th, 2009

They’re playing hardball! Commerce Split Corporation has announced:

that it has suspended its regular monthly dividends effectively immediately for Priority Equity (“Preferred”) shareholders in order to preserve cash and to assist in rebuilding the net asset value in an attempt to meet longer term objectives. Since the Preferred shares are cumulative, this suspended dividend (and all subsequent dividends not paid) will be accrued to the benefit of the Preferred shareholders and recorded as a liability in the Company’s net asset value. Also, there will not be a distribution paid to Class A Shares for February 27, 2009 as per the Prospectus which states no regular monthly dividends or other distributions will be paid on the Class A Shares in any month as long as the net asset value per unit is equal to or less than $12.50. The Net Asset Value as of February 13, 2009 was $9.07 and has been adversely impacted by the significant decline in the CIBC stock held in the portfolio.

Preferred shareholders should be pretty upset with Quadra about this and demand that the company be wound up immediately. They can’t force the company to do so, but management does not appear to understand that every single penny of the company’s net assets belong to the preferred shareholders; the capital unitholders have been wiped out and are worth zip, zero, zilch.

However, Quadra has other ideas:

The Company’s total net asset value is approximately $8.91 per unit as at February 18, 2009, consisting of less than 17% common shares of CIBC. The reduced exposure to CIBC will materially limit the future impact of price movements of CIBC shares on the net asset value of the Company and lower the ability of the Company to generate income from dividends and its covered call option writing program.

The significant price decline of CIBC has made it extremely difficult to achieve the original stated objectives for both classes of shares. The Company intends to establish a normal course issuer’s bid which would allow the Company to re-purchase units in the market when trading prices are at a discount to the net asset value.

The Company will continue to review and dialogue with shareholders in order to establish potential solutions for reorganizing the Company that would be suitable for all shareholders.

… but then, what can you expect from people who use “dialogue” as a verb?

The Capital Units are currently quoted at $0.66-87, 6×2, on the Toronto Exchange. I object to the very idea of the company using the discount on the trading price of the preferreds to subsidize a free lunch for the capital unitholders; but on the other hand an issuer bid will be accretive to preferred shareholders not stupid enough to sell. So views on the topic will be mixed.

The company should be wound up. This will require consent of the capital unitholders; I suggest they be offered $0.25 on wind-up; this being $0.25 more than they’ll get if the company elects to drag the farce out to the scheduled wind-up on December 1, 2014. But, if not wound up, preferred shareholders should remember that they’ve got a perfectly good strip-bond-like investment, with minimal market exposure. They should not even dream of selling on the market at the current quote of 7.01-24, a discount of over 20% to NAV at the bid.

XCM.PR.A is not tracked by HIMIPref™. It was last mentioned on PrefBlog when the preferred-shareholder-hostile reorganization plan was defeated.

Hat tip to Assiduous Reader and Cub Reporter franceal for alerting me to this development.

WN.PR.B to be Redeemed

Thursday, February 19th, 2009

Weston has announced:

that it will redeem for cash, on April 1, 2009 (the “Redemption Date”), all of its outstanding Preferred Shares, Series II for a redemption price of $25.00 per share, together with an amount equal to all dividends, if any, accrued thereon and unpaid up to but not including the Redemption Date.

WN.PR.B is a 5.15% ($1.2875) retractible; April 1 is the first call date; it would have been retractible for shares on July 1.

WN.PR.B was last mentioned on PrefBlog when it was placed on Review-Developing by DBRS and Review-Negative by S&P. The issue has been tracked by HIMIPref™; it was moved from the OpRet subIndex to Scraps in May 2007 due to credit concerns.

FIG.PR.A Adjusts Year-End NAVs

Wednesday, February 18th, 2009

Faircourt has announced:

a correction to the Net Asset Values (“NAV’s”) for the Fund for the period from December 23rd, 2008 to January 5th, 2009. The revision was required as a year-end special capital gains distribution declared by one of the Fund’s holdings was not reflected in the NAV during this period due to the late notification of the dividend to RBC Dexia Investor Services, the Fund’s valuation agent by its market and pricing feeds.

This correction only impacts the NAV of the Fund for the period from December 23rd to January 5th and does not impact the current NAV.

They get two bonus marks for disclosure, minus one for not telling us who’s to blame and minus another one for apostrophizing “NAVs”. Break-even.

The NAVs in question are from December and January:

FIG Capital Unit NAVs
Date Old
NAV
Revised
NAV
Dec 23 0.08 0.30
Dec 24 0.14 0.37
Dec 29 1.12 1.34
Dec 30 1.31 1.54
Dec 31 1.73 1.96
Jan 2 2.37 2.59
Jan 5 2.49 2.71

The NAV of the Capital Units is $1.08 as of February 17.

FIG.PR.A was last mentioned on PrefBlog when it was downgraded to Pfd-5 in the DBRS Mass Downgrade of February 13. It is currently tracked by HIMIPref™ as part of the InterestBearing subIndex, but will (almost certainly) be moved to Scraps at month-end on credit concerns.

February 18, 2009

Wednesday, February 18th, 2009

Preferreds were off again today but it could have been worse … much worse. The market was affected by lousy equity markets … bids disappeared for some issues, but some came back to rescue the day’s results from its depths. Time will tell whether these (relatively small) bids stand up:

gauge of financial stocks in the S&P/TSX slipped 3.5 percent to its lowest level since November 2002, as nine of 10 industries in the Canadian benchmark dropped. Economic reports stoked concern that the impact of the global recession is worsening in a country that relies on exports, half of which are commodities, for about a third of its overall output.

PerpetualDiscounts closed today at 7.07%, equivalent to 9.90% interest at the standard equivalency factor of 1.4x. Long Corporates are doing really well, up 3.03% on the month and 1.37% year-to-date and are yielding 7.5% … maybe just a shade under. The pre-tax interest-equivalent spread has thus increased to about 240bp.

HIMIPref™ Preferred Indices
These values reflect the December 2008 revision of the HIMIPref™ Indices

Values are provisional and are finalized monthly
Index Mean
Current
Yield
(at bid)
Median
YTW
Median
Average
Trading
Value
Median
Mod Dur
(YTW)
Issues Day’s Perf. Index Value
Ratchet 5.26 % 3.69 % 23,691 17.97 2 -0.1526 % 860.6
FixedFloater 7.22 % 6.79 % 74,386 14.17 7 0.2103 % 1,389.4
Floater 5.11 % 4.28 % 28,813 16.89 4 -0.3152 % 1,028.5
OpRet 5.24 % 4.69 % 141,872 3.98 15 0.1432 % 2,051.7
SplitShare 6.54 % 11.23 % 67,951 4.02 15 -1.7349 % 1,711.4
Interest-Bearing 7.08 % 9.23 % 33,501 0.83 2 0.1157 % 1,997.8
Perpetual-Premium 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 -0.3848 % 1,547.2
Perpetual-Discount 6.95 % 7.07 % 181,771 12.42 71 -0.3848 % 1,425.0
FixedReset 6.07 % 5.73 % 607,869 13.93 27 -0.2769 % 1,814.3
Performance Highlights
Issue Index Change Notes
FTN.PR.A SplitShare -5.18 % Asset coverage of 1.2-:1 as of February 13 according to the company.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2015-12-01
Maturity Price : 10.00
Evaluated at bid price : 7.50
Bid-YTW : 10.67 %
DF.PR.A SplitShare -4.99 % Asset coverage of 1.3+:1 as of February 13 according to the company.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2014-12-01
Maturity Price : 10.00
Evaluated at bid price : 8.56
Bid-YTW : 8.59 %
GWO.PR.F Perpetual-Discount -4.28 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-02-18
Maturity Price : 20.82
Evaluated at bid price : 20.82
Bid-YTW : 7.23 %
PPL.PR.A SplitShare -4.12 % Asset coverage of 1.3+:1 as of February 13 according to the company.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2012-12-01
Maturity Price : 10.00
Evaluated at bid price : 8.15
Bid-YTW : 11.23 %
WFS.PR.A SplitShare -3.70 % Asset coverage of 1.1+:1 as of February 5 according to the company.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2011-06-30
Maturity Price : 10.00
Evaluated at bid price : 7.80
Bid-YTW : 17.52 %
FFN.PR.A SplitShare -3.11 % Asset coverage of 1.0+:1 as of February 13 according to the company.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2014-12-01
Maturity Price : 10.00
Evaluated at bid price : 6.55
Bid-YTW : 14.45 %
BNA.PR.B SplitShare -2.74 % Asset coverage of 1.9-:1 as of February 13 according to the company.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2016-03-25
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 20.32
Bid-YTW : 8.53 %
GWO.PR.G Perpetual-Discount -2.72 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-02-18
Maturity Price : 17.52
Evaluated at bid price : 17.52
Bid-YTW : 7.58 %
BNS.PR.R FixedReset -2.62 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-02-18
Maturity Price : 21.52
Evaluated at bid price : 21.52
Bid-YTW : 4.83 %
SLF.PR.A Perpetual-Discount -2.61 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-02-18
Maturity Price : 15.66
Evaluated at bid price : 15.66
Bid-YTW : 7.75 %
LBS.PR.A SplitShare -2.39 % Asset coverage of 1.3-:1 as of February 12 according to Brompton Group.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2013-11-29
Maturity Price : 10.00
Evaluated at bid price : 7.76
Bid-YTW : 11.72 %
IAG.PR.A Perpetual-Discount -2.38 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-02-18
Maturity Price : 15.62
Evaluated at bid price : 15.62
Bid-YTW : 7.52 %
GWO.PR.I Perpetual-Discount -2.34 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-02-18
Maturity Price : 15.05
Evaluated at bid price : 15.05
Bid-YTW : 7.63 %
RY.PR.B Perpetual-Discount -2.19 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-02-18
Maturity Price : 17.43
Evaluated at bid price : 17.43
Bid-YTW : 6.80 %
CM.PR.K FixedReset -2.17 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-02-18
Maturity Price : 21.96
Evaluated at bid price : 22.50
Bid-YTW : 5.00 %
PWF.PR.G Perpetual-Discount -2.14 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-02-18
Maturity Price : 21.04
Evaluated at bid price : 21.04
Bid-YTW : 7.10 %
BNS.PR.K Perpetual-Discount -1.95 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-02-18
Maturity Price : 18.14
Evaluated at bid price : 18.14
Bid-YTW : 6.70 %
BNA.PR.C SplitShare -1.82 % Asset coverage of 1.9-:1 as of January 31 according to the company.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2019-01-10
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 12.01
Bid-YTW : 14.40 %
SLF.PR.D Perpetual-Discount -1.80 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-02-18
Maturity Price : 14.76
Evaluated at bid price : 14.76
Bid-YTW : 7.70 %
CM.PR.I Perpetual-Discount -1.68 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-02-18
Maturity Price : 16.41
Evaluated at bid price : 16.41
Bid-YTW : 7.26 %
RY.PR.F Perpetual-Discount -1.61 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-02-18
Maturity Price : 17.12
Evaluated at bid price : 17.12
Bid-YTW : 6.55 %
TRI.PR.B Floater -1.54 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-02-18
Maturity Price : 12.80
Evaluated at bid price : 12.80
Bid-YTW : 4.15 %
ELF.PR.G Perpetual-Discount -1.40 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-02-18
Maturity Price : 14.05
Evaluated at bid price : 14.05
Bid-YTW : 8.61 %
BMO.PR.L Perpetual-Discount -1.36 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-02-18
Maturity Price : 20.32
Evaluated at bid price : 20.32
Bid-YTW : 7.19 %
MFC.PR.B Perpetual-Discount -1.35 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-02-18
Maturity Price : 16.81
Evaluated at bid price : 16.81
Bid-YTW : 7.07 %
RY.PR.C Perpetual-Discount -1.31 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-02-18
Maturity Price : 17.37
Evaluated at bid price : 17.37
Bid-YTW : 6.67 %
BMO.PR.K Perpetual-Discount -1.12 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-02-18
Maturity Price : 18.54
Evaluated at bid price : 18.54
Bid-YTW : 7.13 %
PWF.PR.F Perpetual-Discount -1.08 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-02-18
Maturity Price : 18.30
Evaluated at bid price : 18.30
Bid-YTW : 7.27 %
RY.PR.H Perpetual-Discount 1.00 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-02-18
Maturity Price : 21.21
Evaluated at bid price : 21.21
Bid-YTW : 6.71 %
NA.PR.M Perpetual-Discount 1.04 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-02-18
Maturity Price : 21.42
Evaluated at bid price : 21.42
Bid-YTW : 7.07 %
BAM.PR.H OpRet 1.09 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Soft Maturity
Maturity Date : 2012-03-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 23.25
Bid-YTW : 8.72 %
BNA.PR.A SplitShare 1.15 % Asset coverage of 1.9-:1 as of January 31 according to the company.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2010-09-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 24.20
Bid-YTW : 8.27 %
DFN.PR.A SplitShare 1.16 % Asset coverage of 1.6-:1 as of February 13 according to the company.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2014-12-01
Maturity Price : 10.00
Evaluated at bid price : 8.70
Bid-YTW : 8.24 %
FIG.PR.A Interest-Bearing 1.21 % Asset coverage of 1.1-:1 as of February 10, based on Capital units at $1.29 and 0.53 Capital Units per preferred.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2014-12-31
Maturity Price : 10.00
Evaluated at bid price : 7.50
Bid-YTW : 12.74 %
CU.PR.A Perpetual-Discount 1.38 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-02-18
Maturity Price : 21.82
Evaluated at bid price : 22.10
Bid-YTW : 6.58 %
BAM.PR.O OpRet 1.44 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Option Certainty
Maturity Date : 2013-06-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 21.10
Bid-YTW : 9.73 %
POW.PR.B Perpetual-Discount 1.76 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-02-18
Maturity Price : 18.52
Evaluated at bid price : 18.52
Bid-YTW : 7.35 %
BAM.PR.K Floater 1.92 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-02-18
Maturity Price : 7.95
Evaluated at bid price : 7.95
Bid-YTW : 6.72 %
BAM.PR.J OpRet 2.16 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Soft Maturity
Maturity Date : 2018-03-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 18.45
Bid-YTW : 10.05 %
PWF.PR.E Perpetual-Discount 2.43 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-02-18
Maturity Price : 19.82
Evaluated at bid price : 19.82
Bid-YTW : 7.03 %
Volume Highlights
Issue Index Shares
Traded
Notes
TD.PR.G FixedReset 215,838 Recent new issue.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-05-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.31
Bid-YTW : 6.09 %
RY.PR.R FixedReset 93,497 Recent new issue.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-03-26
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.41
Bid-YTW : 6.00 %
BNS.PR.X FixedReset 51,882 Recent new issue.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-05-25
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.25
Bid-YTW : 6.15 %
BNA.PR.B SplitShare 50,050 TD crossed 48,000 at 21.00. Asset coverage of 1.9-:1 as of January 31 according to the company.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2016-03-25
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 20.32
Bid-YTW : 8.53 %
BNS.PR.T FixedReset 37,718 Recent new issue.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2019-05-25
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.32
Bid-YTW : 6.11 %
SLF.PR.D Perpetual-Discount 36,880 CIBC crossed 11,200 at 15.10.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-02-18
Maturity Price : 14.76
Evaluated at bid price : 14.76
Bid-YTW : 7.70 %
There were 30 other index-included issues trading in excess of 10,000 shares.