Archive for December, 2013

December 12, 2013

Thursday, December 12th, 2013

Parakeet Poloz chirped a little today:

The Canadian economy faces the risk of deflation and won’t reach full capacity for two years, with imbalances in household debt and the housing market gradually diminishing in that time, Bank of Canada Governor Stephen Poloz said Thursday.

He still expects a soft landing in the housing market, which will be offset by a pickup in exports and business investments.

“Right now, it looks to us like it will take around two years to get inflation back up to 2 per cent,” he said in a speech, peppered with nautical references, to the Canadian Club of Montreal Thursday.

Canada’s annual inflation rate has slumped to 0.7 per cent, well below the lower end of the central bank’s 1-to-3 per cent target range. The central bank governor suggested he’s more concerned about inflation cooling further than a pickup.

Merry Christmas!

Unemployment benefits for 1.3 million people in the U.S. are poised to end Dec. 28 as Democrats failed in their last-ditch effort to extend the jobless assistance before the House adjourns tomorrow.

Republicans who control the House refused to keep the aid flowing to the long-term unemployed without agreement on budget cuts elsewhere. Extending the benefits would cost $26 billion over two years, according to the Congressional Budget Office.

The failure of Congress to agree could put a dent in the nation’s economy. The Congressional Budget Office estimates that extending the program would boost growth by 0.2 percent and add about 200,000 jobs.

Of course, that’s $130,000 per job.

One might think that all this cheery news would be good for fixed income, but one might think wrong! The Canadian preferred share market got whacked today, with PerpetualDiscounts losing 33bp, FixedResets off 14bp and DeemedRetractibles down 20bp. The Performance Highlights table is relatively modest, dominated by losing BAM FixedResets. Volume was extremely high.

HIMIPref™ Preferred Indices
These values reflect the December 2008 revision of the HIMIPref™ Indices

Values are provisional and are finalized monthly
Index Mean
Current
Yield
(at bid)
Median
YTW
Median
Average
Trading
Value
Median
Mod Dur
(YTW)
Issues Day’s Perf. Index Value
Ratchet 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 -0.0935 % 2,534.4
FixedFloater 4.40 % 3.67 % 40,188 17.95 1 -0.0463 % 3,814.6
Floater 2.95 % 2.95 % 62,375 19.87 3 -0.0935 % 2,736.4
OpRet 4.63 % 0.69 % 84,021 0.08 3 -0.2056 % 2,663.9
SplitShare 4.89 % 4.79 % 75,558 4.51 5 -0.1695 % 2,992.0
Interest-Bearing 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 -0.2056 % 2,435.9
Perpetual-Premium 5.63 % 5.55 % 133,739 14.07 13 -0.1484 % 2,295.5
Perpetual-Discount 5.71 % 5.71 % 175,952 14.24 25 -0.3344 % 2,305.2
FixedReset 5.01 % 3.73 % 232,817 3.47 84 -0.1393 % 2,463.1
Deemed-Retractible 5.15 % 4.27 % 201,560 2.08 42 -0.1979 % 2,392.0
FloatingReset 2.63 % 2.34 % 315,425 4.41 5 -0.0790 % 2,463.6
Performance Highlights
Issue Index Change Notes
BAM.PR.X FixedReset -2.77 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2043-12-12
Maturity Price : 20.69
Evaluated at bid price : 20.69
Bid-YTW : 4.60 %
GWO.PR.R Deemed-Retractible -2.09 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 21.54
Bid-YTW : 6.58 %
CIU.PR.C FixedReset -2.01 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2043-12-12
Maturity Price : 20.44
Evaluated at bid price : 20.44
Bid-YTW : 4.00 %
BAM.PF.B FixedReset -1.68 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2043-12-12
Maturity Price : 22.78
Evaluated at bid price : 24.05
Bid-YTW : 4.47 %
FTS.PR.F Perpetual-Discount -1.46 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2043-12-12
Maturity Price : 22.63
Evaluated at bid price : 22.92
Bid-YTW : 5.38 %
BAM.PR.T FixedReset -1.15 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2043-12-12
Maturity Price : 22.93
Evaluated at bid price : 24.00
Bid-YTW : 4.30 %
HSE.PR.A FixedReset -1.06 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2043-12-12
Maturity Price : 22.69
Evaluated at bid price : 23.25
Bid-YTW : 3.88 %
MFC.PR.F FixedReset 1.34 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 22.00
Bid-YTW : 4.90 %
Volume Highlights
Issue Index Shares
Traded
Notes
ENB.PR.J FixedReset 436,827 New issue settled today.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2043-12-12
Maturity Price : 23.08
Evaluated at bid price : 24.80
Bid-YTW : 4.33 %
HSB.PR.E FixedReset 185,716 RBC crossed blocks of 75,000 and 100,000, both at 25.49.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-06-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.40
Bid-YTW : 3.03 %
GWO.PR.I Deemed-Retractible 129,346 Nesbitt crossed 50,000 at 21.40 and 25,000 at 21.25.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 21.20
Bid-YTW : 6.44 %
PWF.PR.T FixedReset 121,380 Recent new issue.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2019-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.26
Bid-YTW : 3.99 %
CU.PR.F Perpetual-Discount 89,600 Scotia crossed 73,800 at 20.37.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2043-12-12
Maturity Price : 20.40
Evaluated at bid price : 20.40
Bid-YTW : 5.57 %
SLF.PR.G FixedReset 72,885 Desjardins bought 13,000 from Scotia at 22.29, then crossed 24,900 at the same price.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 22.25
Bid-YTW : 4.66 %
There were 78 other index-included issues trading in excess of 10,000 shares.
Wide Spread Highlights
Issue Index Quote Data and Yield Notes
TD.PR.P Deemed-Retractible Quote: 26.05 – 26.36
Spot Rate : 0.3100
Average : 0.1812

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-01-11
Maturity Price : 25.75
Evaluated at bid price : 26.05
Bid-YTW : -1.92 %

ENB.PR.N FixedReset Quote: 24.11 – 24.45
Spot Rate : 0.3400
Average : 0.2501

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2043-12-12
Maturity Price : 22.83
Evaluated at bid price : 24.11
Bid-YTW : 4.45 %

PWF.PR.H Perpetual-Premium Quote: 24.92 – 25.22
Spot Rate : 0.3000
Average : 0.2123

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2043-12-12
Maturity Price : 24.66
Evaluated at bid price : 24.92
Bid-YTW : 5.84 %

RY.PR.B Deemed-Retractible Quote: 25.42 – 25.65
Spot Rate : 0.2300
Average : 0.1558

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2015-08-24
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.42
Bid-YTW : 3.85 %

TRP.PR.B FixedReset Quote: 20.10 – 20.34
Spot Rate : 0.2400
Average : 0.1714

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2043-12-12
Maturity Price : 20.10
Evaluated at bid price : 20.10
Bid-YTW : 3.93 %

TD.PR.S FixedReset Quote: 24.92 – 25.09
Spot Rate : 0.1700
Average : 0.1092

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 24.92
Bid-YTW : 3.50 %

ENB.PR.J Weak on Modest Volume

Thursday, December 12th, 2013

Enbridge Inc. has announced:

it has closed its previously announced public offering of Cumulative Redeemable Preference shares, Series 7 (Series 7 Preferred Shares) by a syndicate of underwriters led by Scotiabank, CIBC, RBC Capital Markets, and TD Securities Inc. Enbridge issued 10 million Series 7 Preferred Shares for gross proceeds of $250 million which includes the exercise of the underwriters’ option. The Series 7 Preferred Shares will begin trading on the TSX today under the symbol ENB.PR.J. Proceeds will be used to partially fund capital projects, reduce existing indebtedness and for other general corporate purposes of the Corporation and its affiliates.

ENB.PR.J is a FixedReset, 4.40%+257, announced December 3. The issue will be tracked by HIMIPref™ and is assigned to the FixedResets subindex.

The issue traded 436,827 shares today within a range of 24.76-89, before closing at 24.80-85, 10×28.

ENB.PR.J is rated Pfd-2(low) by DBRS.

Vital statistics are:

ENB.PR.J FixedReset YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2043-12-12
Maturity Price : 23.08
Evaluated at bid price : 24.80
Bid-YTW : 4.33 %

December 11, 2013

Wednesday, December 11th, 2013

I’m glad to see I’m not alone in my worries over central clearing:

History tells us, using the metric of loss experience, that CCP management is strong. But history is based on a bygone era that is radically different from today’s multi-instrument, multi-national and legally complex world. As CCPs fight for membership, the danger is that the delinquent firm will gain admittance and cause the contagion we all fear. I sense already a relaxation in the risk approaches of several medium-sized firms. CCPs can protect themselves from problem members by multiple means. The most effective, but often least favored, is to avoid them like the plague! The preferred method is through credit assessment and application of tough margins. But the latter option works best in a monopoly environment and not in today’s multi-choice option of CCP selection. And, if the EU dream of full interoperability were ever to come to fruition, risks unacceptable to one CCP could well insinuate themselves, albeit with added margin, into that platform through the interoperability route.

The second great danger facing CCPs is that of instrument coverage. Traditionally, CCPs have been cautious about expanding their instrument coverage. They have focused on the liquidity of any instruments admitted to clearing. They have assessed carefully any barriers to fast liquidation if they were ever forced to unwind a position. They have sought comfort from the presence of committed parties who would be willing to adopt open positions run by a defaulting member. And they have examined the history of the instrument to ensure that they understand its performance over time in both bull and bear sessions of its existence. Such a prudent approach is, I sense, being challenged both by competitive forces but also, more significantly, by the regulatory thrust for ever more central clearing. The problem with many of the new instruments is both their esoteric nature, appeal to specialized segments of the market place and narrow base of truly committed market makers. The risk is that, in times of turmoil, they may become illiquid. The probability is that, in times of stress, many will become one-way markets. A CCP will only be low risk if it can unwind its positions and realize collateral to compensate for any shortfall with immediacy.

It was a negative day for the Canadian preferred share market, with PerpetualDiscounts losing 34bp, FixedResets down 22bp and DeemedRetractibles off 19bp. FixedResets were notable on the poor side of the Performance Highlights table. Volume was extremely high.

PerpetualDiscounts now yield 5.71%, equivalent to 7.42% interest at the standard conversion factor of 1.3x. Long Corporates now yield a little over 4.8%, so the pre-tax interest-equivalent spread (in this context, the “Seniority Spread”) is now about 260bp, a significant widening from the 250bp reported December 4.

HIMIPref™ Preferred Indices
These values reflect the December 2008 revision of the HIMIPref™ Indices

Values are provisional and are finalized monthly
Index Mean
Current
Yield
(at bid)
Median
YTW
Median
Average
Trading
Value
Median
Mod Dur
(YTW)
Issues Day’s Perf. Index Value
Ratchet 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.9444 % 2,536.8
FixedFloater 4.40 % 3.67 % 40,843 17.95 1 0.2320 % 3,816.4
Floater 2.95 % 2.94 % 63,213 19.90 3 0.9444 % 2,739.0
OpRet 4.63 % -2.14 % 83,805 0.08 3 0.2790 % 2,669.4
SplitShare 4.88 % 4.72 % 75,154 4.51 5 0.3482 % 2,997.1
Interest-Bearing 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.2790 % 2,440.9
Perpetual-Premium 5.62 % 5.56 % 135,563 4.32 13 -0.0199 % 2,298.9
Perpetual-Discount 5.69 % 5.71 % 175,567 14.25 25 -0.3356 % 2,312.9
FixedReset 5.01 % 3.68 % 229,546 3.47 83 -0.2154 % 2,466.5
Deemed-Retractible 5.14 % 4.17 % 197,530 1.32 42 -0.1933 % 2,396.8
FloatingReset 2.62 % 2.32 % 327,352 4.42 5 -0.0079 % 2,465.5
Performance Highlights
Issue Index Change Notes
TRP.PR.A FixedReset -3.21 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2043-12-11
Maturity Price : 22.71
Evaluated at bid price : 23.23
Bid-YTW : 4.03 %
ENB.PR.D FixedReset -1.75 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2043-12-11
Maturity Price : 22.61
Evaluated at bid price : 23.53
Bid-YTW : 4.37 %
BAM.PR.X FixedReset -1.74 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2043-12-11
Maturity Price : 21.28
Evaluated at bid price : 21.28
Bid-YTW : 4.47 %
ELF.PR.G Perpetual-Discount -1.69 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2043-12-11
Maturity Price : 20.30
Evaluated at bid price : 20.30
Bid-YTW : 5.96 %
MFC.PR.C Deemed-Retractible -1.57 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 20.67
Bid-YTW : 6.76 %
CIU.PR.C FixedReset -1.37 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2043-12-11
Maturity Price : 20.86
Evaluated at bid price : 20.86
Bid-YTW : 3.92 %
GWO.PR.H Deemed-Retractible -1.21 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 22.10
Bid-YTW : 6.32 %
BAM.PF.D Perpetual-Discount -1.19 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2043-12-11
Maturity Price : 19.11
Evaluated at bid price : 19.11
Bid-YTW : 6.44 %
PWF.PR.P FixedReset -1.08 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2043-12-11
Maturity Price : 22.69
Evaluated at bid price : 23.00
Bid-YTW : 3.84 %
HSE.PR.A FixedReset -1.05 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2043-12-11
Maturity Price : 22.83
Evaluated at bid price : 23.50
Bid-YTW : 3.83 %
PWF.PR.E Perpetual-Discount -1.03 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2043-12-11
Maturity Price : 23.82
Evaluated at bid price : 24.07
Bid-YTW : 5.78 %
BAM.PR.K Floater 1.19 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2043-12-11
Maturity Price : 17.80
Evaluated at bid price : 17.80
Bid-YTW : 2.94 %
BAM.PF.B FixedReset 1.32 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2043-12-11
Maturity Price : 22.95
Evaluated at bid price : 24.46
Bid-YTW : 4.38 %
CGI.PR.D SplitShare 1.45 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Soft Maturity
Maturity Date : 2023-06-14
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 24.41
Bid-YTW : 4.07 %
Volume Highlights
Issue Index Shares
Traded
Notes
PWF.PR.T FixedReset 728,130 New issue settled today.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2019-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.27
Bid-YTW : 3.98 %
TRP.PR.D FixedReset 125,562 RBC crossed blocks of 23,000 and 14,500, both at 25.05, and bought 36,400 from National at the same price. TD crossed 25,000 at the same price again.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2043-12-11
Maturity Price : 23.14
Evaluated at bid price : 25.01
Bid-YTW : 4.05 %
HSB.PR.E FixedReset 92,713 RBC crossed 74,100 at 25.49.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-06-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.40
Bid-YTW : 3.02 %
RY.PR.L FixedReset 57,691 RBC crossed 32,100 at 25.15.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-02-24
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.20
Bid-YTW : 2.96 %
IAG.PR.F Deemed-Retractible 50,890 Desjardins crossed 50,000 at 25.80.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2019-03-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.70
Bid-YTW : 5.26 %
RY.PR.I FixedReset 50,820 Nesbitt crossed blocks of 13,900 and 26,500, both at 25.22. TD crossed 24,000 at the same price.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-02-24
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.22
Bid-YTW : 1.84 %
There were 82 other index-included issues trading in excess of 10,000 shares.
Wide Spread Highlights
Issue Index Quote Data and Yield Notes
BAM.PR.J OpRet Quote: 26.25 – 26.79
Spot Rate : 0.5400
Average : 0.3454

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-03-31
Maturity Price : 26.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.25
Bid-YTW : 1.05 %

ELF.PR.F Perpetual-Discount Quote: 22.50 – 23.17
Spot Rate : 0.6700
Average : 0.5144

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2043-12-11
Maturity Price : 22.22
Evaluated at bid price : 22.50
Bid-YTW : 5.98 %

CIU.PR.C FixedReset Quote: 20.86 – 21.48
Spot Rate : 0.6200
Average : 0.4702

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2043-12-11
Maturity Price : 20.86
Evaluated at bid price : 20.86
Bid-YTW : 3.92 %

PWF.PR.E Perpetual-Discount Quote: 24.07 – 24.41
Spot Rate : 0.3400
Average : 0.2162

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2043-12-11
Maturity Price : 23.82
Evaluated at bid price : 24.07
Bid-YTW : 5.78 %

ENB.PR.D FixedReset Quote: 23.53 – 23.89
Spot Rate : 0.3600
Average : 0.2692

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2043-12-11
Maturity Price : 22.61
Evaluated at bid price : 23.53
Bid-YTW : 4.37 %

PWF.PR.P FixedReset Quote: 23.00 – 23.29
Spot Rate : 0.2900
Average : 0.2045

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2043-12-11
Maturity Price : 22.69
Evaluated at bid price : 23.00
Bid-YTW : 3.84 %

PWF.PR.T Achieves Good Premium On Fine Volume

Wednesday, December 11th, 2013

Power Financial Corporation has announced:

the successful completion and closing of an offering of 8,000,000 4.20% Non-Cumulative 5-Year Rate Reset First Preferred Shares, Series T (the “Series T Shares”) priced at $25.00 per share to raise gross proceeds of $200 million.

The issue was bought by an underwriting syndicate co-led by BMO Capital Markets, RBC Capital Markets and Scotiabank.

The Series T Shares will be listed and posted for trading on the Toronto Stock Exchange under the symbol “PWF.PR.T”. The net proceeds from the issue will be used to supplement the Corporation’s financial resources and for general corporate purposes. The Corporation intends to redeem all of its $175 million First Preferred Shares, Series M on January 31, 2014.

PWF.PR.T is a FixedReset, 4.20%+237, announced December 2. It will be tracked by HIMIPref™ and is assigned to the FixedReset subindex.

The issue traded 728,130 shares today in a range of 25.22-35 before closing at 25.27-30, 17×96. Vital statistics are:

PWF.PR.T FixedReset YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2019-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.27
Bid-YTW : 3.98 %

FTS On Review-Developing by DBRS

Wednesday, December 11th, 2013

Fortis Inc. has announced:

that it has entered into an agreement and plan of merger to acquire UNS Energy Corporation (“UNS Energy”) (NYSE:UNS) for US$60.25 per common share in cash, representing an aggregate purchase price of approximately US$4.3 billion, including the assumption of approximately US$1.8 billion of debt on closing (the “Acquisition”). The closing of the Acquisition, which is expected to occur by the end of 2014, is subject to receipt of UNS Energy common shareholder approval and certain regulatory and government approvals, including approval by the Arizona Corporation Commission (“ACC”), Federal Energy Regulatory Commission and compliance with any applicable requirements under the Hart-Scott-Rodino Antitrust Improvements Act of 1976, as amended, and the satisfaction of customary closing conditions.

UNS Energy is a vertically integrated utility services holding company, headquartered in Tucson, Arizona, engaged through three subsidiaries in the regulated electric generation and energy delivery business, primarily in the State of Arizona. UNS Energy’s fiscal 2012 operating revenues totalled approximately US$1.5 billion and, as at September 30, 2013, UNS Energy had total assets of approximately US$4.3 billion. UNS Energy serves approximately 654,000 electricity and gas customers.

Following the Acquisition, based on pro forma financial information as at September 30, 2013, total assets of Fortis will increase by approximately 33.5% to approximately $23.5 billion and regulated utility assets will comprise approximately 92% of total assets. Regulated assets in Canada and the United States will comprise approximately 55% and 34%, respectively, of total assets. The Corporation’s consolidated rate base is expected to increase by approximately US$3 billion at the time of closing of the Acquisition. Following the Acquisition, Fortis utilities will serve more than 3,000,000 electricity and gas customers.

They also announced a big chunk of financing:

its direct wholly owned subsidiary, FortisUS Holdings Nova Scotia Limited (the “Selling Debentureholder”), has agreed to sell $1,594,000,000 aggregate principal amount of 4.00% convertible unsecured subordinated debentures (“Debentures”) of Fortis in a secondary offering on a “bought deal” basis to the public (the “Public Offering”) and separately has agreed to sell $206,000,000 aggregate principal amount of Debentures to certain institutional investors on a private placement basis (the “Private Placement” and together with the Public Offering, the “Offerings”). In connection with the Public Offering, the underwriters have also been granted an over-allotment option to purchase up to an additional $239,100,000 aggregate principal amount of Debentures at the offering price, within 30 days from the date of the closing of the Public Offering solely to cover over-allotments, if any, and for market stabilization purposes.

All Debentures are being sold on an instalment basis at a price of $1,000 per Debenture, of which $333 is payable on the closing of the Offerings and the remaining $667 is payable on a date (“Final Instalment Date”) to be fixed following satisfaction of all conditions precedent to the closing of Fortis’ acquisition of UNS Energy Corporation (NYSE:UNS).

The Debentures will mature on January 9, 2024 and will bear interest at an annual rate of 4.00% per $1,000 principal amount of Debentures (an effective annual yield of 12.00% based on a first instalment of $333) until and including the Final Instalment Date, after which the interest rate will be 0%.

If the Final Instalment Date occurs on a day that is prior to the first anniversary of the closing of the Offering, holders of Debentures who have paid the final instalment on or before the Final Instalment Date will be entitled to receive, on the business day following the Final Instalment Date, in addition to the payment of accrued and unpaid interest to and including the Final Instalment Date, an amount equal to the interest that would have accrued from the day following the Final Instalment Date to, but excluding, the first anniversary of the closing of the Offering had the Debentures remained outstanding until such date (the “Make-Whole Payment”). No Make-Whole Payment will be payable if the Final Instalment Date occurs on or after the first anniversary of the closing of the Offering.

At the option of investors and provided that payment of the final instalment has been made, each Debenture will be convertible into common shares of Fortis (“Common Shares”) at any time after the Final Instalment Date but prior to maturity or redemption by the Corporation at a conversion price of $30.72 per Common Share, being a conversion rate of 32.5521 Common Shares per $1,000 principal amount of Debentures, subject to adjustment in certain circumstances.

The Debentures will not be redeemable except that Fortis will redeem the Debentures at a price equal to their principal amount plus accrued and unpaid interest following the earlier of: (i) notification to holders that the conditions necessary to approve the acquisition of UNS Energy Corporation will not be satisfied; (ii) termination of the acquisition agreement; and (iii) July 2, 2015, if notice of the Final Instalment Date has not been given to investors on or before June 30, 2015. Upon any such redemption, the Corporation will pay for each Debenture: (i) $333 plus accrued and unpaid interest to the holder of the Instalment Receipt; and (ii) $667 to the Selling Debentureholder on behalf of the holder of the Instalment Receipt in satisfaction of the final instalment. In addition, after the Final Instalment Date, any Debentures not converted may be redeemed by Fortis at a price equal to their principal amount plus unpaid interest, which accrued prior to the Final Instalment Date.

At maturity, Fortis will have the right to pay the principal amount due in Common Shares, which will be valued at 95% of their weighted average trading price on the Toronto Stock Exchange for the 20 consecutive trading days ending five trading days preceding the maturity date.

Mark Chediak and Rebecca Penty of Bloomberg note:

The transaction is Fortis’s second announced purchase of a U.S. utility in the past two years. The company completed its $969 million acquisition of CH Energy Group Inc. in June, after agreeing to freeze rates for New York customers. Fortis has been focused on the U.S. for acquisitions because there are “many more opportunities” than in Canada, where most utilities are owned by the government, Chief Financial Officer Barry Perry said on a conference call last month.

DBRS has announced that it:

has today placed the A (low) Issuer Rating, A (low) Unsecured Debentures and Pfd-2 (low) Preferred Shares ratings of Fortis Inc. (Fortis or the Company) Under Review with Developing Implications. This action follows the announcement that the Company has agreed to acquire UNS Energy Corporation (UNS) for a total consideration of approximately $4.3 billion, including the assumption of $1.8 billion of debt on closing (the Acquisition). The rating action reflects DBRS’s view that the proposed Acquisition would have a modestly negative impact on Fortis’ business risk profile while the impact on the financial risk profile is uncertain since the financing plan has not been finalized.

The focus of DBRS’s analysis is on Fortis’ non-consolidated capital structure (parent level) and cash flow from the subsidiaries to the parent to service the parent’s debt and corporate expenses. On a non-consolidated basis, the cash flow-to-interest expense ratio was strong at 9.17 times in 9M2013, while debt-to-capital was approximately 21%. DBRS notes that the non-consolidated leverage of 21% is slightly above the acceptable range for a holding company with respect to DBRS’s one-notch criteria. However, this increase is expected to be temporary and the leverage will fall in-line with the current rating category following the completion of the Waneta project. Currently, it is uncertain as to how Fortis plannts to finance the proposed Acquisition. As a result, DBRS has placed the ratings of Fortis Under Review with Developing Implications. DBRS will further review the Company’s financing plan when it is finalized. Upon final review, if the Company finances the proposed Acquisition or any cost overruns of its current projects in such a way that its non-consolidated debt-to-capital structure is significantly above 20% and its other non-consolidated credit metrics deteriorate significantly without corrective action within a reasonable time frame, then negative rating action is likely to occur.

Fortis Inc. has several preferred issues trading on the Toronto Exchange: FTS.PR.E (OperatingRetractible); FTS.PR.F and FTS.PR.J (PerpetualDiscount); and FTS.PR.G, FTS.PR.H and FTS.PR.K (FixedReset).

A life preserver for rising interest rates

Tuesday, December 10th, 2013

Andrew Allentuck was kind enough to quote me in his Investment Executive piece, A life preserver for rising interest rates:

“[Floaters] are not a one-way street and can just as readily generate price losses if spreads open up,” says James Hymas, president of Hymas Investment Management Inc., a Toronto-based firm that specializes in fixed-income investing. “The spreads can open up for the specific issue, for any category of issuer that ranks below the Government of Canada or because an issuer has subordinated the floater [or, indeed, any other bond] by issuing more debt or more senior debt.”

One very important point to note is that even though floaters usually are short-term notes, they have been issued as long-dated obligations in the past. Says Hymas: “Where an investor holds a long-dated floater, there’s more time for credit-quality issues to arise. In that case, rate resets will matter less than quality deterioration and potential decline in liquidity if holders rush to sell and overwhelm buyers. This is all potential, but it did happen in 2008.”

December 10, 2013

Tuesday, December 10th, 2013

I have mentioned before my admiration of the US regulatory governance model in which dissent is encouraged and publicized. SEC Commissioner Daniel M. Gallagher is outraged that the Volcker Rule has been finalized:

Regulators, including those that, like the SEC, are purportedly independent, have been commanded to “err on the side of doing a little more, and then correct it if you’ve gone too far” in implementing the mandates of Dodd-Frank.[3]

The nonchalant suggestion to “err on the side of” overregulation is fully in line with the staggering level of hubris reflected throughout this joint rulemaking process, which has culminated with a purely political insistence on a pre-year end vote. In contradiction of our procedural rules for voting on major rule releases, including the longstanding guideline that Commissioners should be given thirty days to review a draft before a vote, we were given in early November not the draft final rule itself, but 18 separate documents that we were told would make up the final rule, along with two lists of “interagency staff-level open issues.” On the evening of November 27th, the night before Thanksgiving and less than two weeks before today’s vote, we were presented with revised versions of those documents as well as a reminder that the “back-end” sections were still being negotiated and would be sent separately. Not until five days ago did we have anything even resembling a voting draft, giving us less than a week to review the nearly one thousand pages of the adopting rule. In short, under intense pressure to meet an utterly artificial, wholly political end-of-year deadline, this Commission is effectively being told that we have to vote for the final rule so we can find out what’s in it.

Even in the era of never letting a serious crisis go to waste, however, the mere fact that proprietary trading makes a segment of our policy establishment nervous[7] surely is not sufficient justification to potentially destroy the market-making system central to the liquidity and proper functioning of our capital markets. Years from now, I fear, financial historians will marvel at how the Dodd-Frank Act forced regulators to proactively disadvantage American financial institutions as well as the strength and integrity of our capital markets to address such tangential – at best – matters as conflict minerals, resource extraction, and proprietary trading, but gave a complete pass to the main cause of the financial crisis — decades worth of disastrous federal housing policy.

Meanwhile, Commissioner Luis A. Aguilar demontrated again his complete lack of comprehension of the concept of principal trading:

Moreover, proprietary trading by banks poses investor protection risks. For example, as highlighted by Senator Merkley and Senator Levin, banks that engage in proprietary trading may gather information from their clients’ investment activities and exploit them.[5] Indeed, banks have, in the past, created and marketed products that were secretly designed to fail;[6] or used client trading information against client interests.[7]

S&P has a nice monograph out titled Digging Deeper Into The U.S. Preferred Market.

Exhibit 4 charts the 10-year correlation of preferred securities, as represented by the S&P U.S Preferred Stock Index, to other asset classes. It is important to note that preferred securities exhibit higher correlation with high-yield bonds and equities, which are more sensitive to credit, and lower correlation with investment-grade corporate and municipal bonds, which are more sensitive to interest rate risk. … Data from Sept. 30, 2003 to Sept. 30, 2013.

Correlations can vary greatly over time; it would have been more useful to provide rolling five-year correlations. The US preferred share index is about 85% financials. They consider slightly over half of the index to be investment grade.

It was a mixed day for the Canadian preferred share market, with PerpetualDiscounts off 9bp, FixedResets gaining 19bp and DeemedRetractibles down 21bp. The Performance Highlights index is fairly lengthy, with numerous bounce-backs from yesterday’s excesses – particularly BAM issues, which dominated both the winning side of the Performance Highlights table and the volume highlights. Volume was very high.

HIMIPref™ Preferred Indices
These values reflect the December 2008 revision of the HIMIPref™ Indices

Values are provisional and are finalized monthly
Index Mean
Current
Yield
(at bid)
Median
YTW
Median
Average
Trading
Value
Median
Mod Dur
(YTW)
Issues Day’s Perf. Index Value
Ratchet 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 -0.3549 % 2,513.0
FixedFloater 4.41 % 3.68 % 40,301 17.94 1 -0.9651 % 3,807.6
Floater 2.95 % 2.98 % 62,551 19.71 3 -0.3549 % 2,713.4
OpRet 4.62 % -2.30 % 77,591 0.08 3 0.0642 % 2,662.0
SplitShare 4.90 % 4.76 % 75,444 4.52 5 0.3005 % 2,986.7
Interest-Bearing 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.0642 % 2,434.1
Perpetual-Premium 5.62 % 5.46 % 136,268 4.32 13 -0.1313 % 2,299.3
Perpetual-Discount 5.66 % 5.69 % 167,759 14.31 25 -0.0898 % 2,320.7
FixedReset 5.00 % 3.53 % 231,908 3.29 82 0.1871 % 2,471.8
Deemed-Retractible 5.13 % 4.24 % 193,678 1.40 42 -0.2135 % 2,401.4
FloatingReset 2.62 % 2.32 % 328,381 4.42 5 0.0870 % 2,465.7
Performance Highlights
Issue Index Change Notes
IAG.PR.A Deemed-Retractible -1.62 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 21.30
Bid-YTW : 6.49 %
BAM.PF.B FixedReset -1.61 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2043-12-10
Maturity Price : 22.93
Evaluated at bid price : 24.40
Bid-YTW : 4.46 %
GWO.PR.I Deemed-Retractible -1.56 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 21.41
Bid-YTW : 6.32 %
POW.PR.B Perpetual-Discount -1.21 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2043-12-10
Maturity Price : 23.33
Evaluated at bid price : 23.61
Bid-YTW : 5.75 %
ELF.PR.G Perpetual-Discount -1.20 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2043-12-10
Maturity Price : 20.65
Evaluated at bid price : 20.65
Bid-YTW : 5.85 %
BNS.PR.Z FixedReset -1.00 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 23.66
Bid-YTW : 4.17 %
ENB.PR.B FixedReset 1.00 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2043-12-10
Maturity Price : 22.98
Evaluated at bid price : 24.15
Bid-YTW : 4.27 %
RY.PR.T FixedReset 1.10 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-08-24
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.65
Bid-YTW : 2.95 %
MFC.PR.I FixedReset 1.18 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2017-09-19
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.62
Bid-YTW : 3.68 %
BAM.PR.N Perpetual-Discount 1.21 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2043-12-10
Maturity Price : 19.29
Evaluated at bid price : 19.29
Bid-YTW : 6.29 %
BAM.PF.C Perpetual-Discount 1.30 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2043-12-10
Maturity Price : 19.50
Evaluated at bid price : 19.50
Bid-YTW : 6.36 %
ENB.PR.D FixedReset 1.40 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2043-12-10
Maturity Price : 22.81
Evaluated at bid price : 23.95
Bid-YTW : 4.27 %
BAM.PF.D Perpetual-Discount 1.55 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2043-12-10
Maturity Price : 19.65
Evaluated at bid price : 19.65
Bid-YTW : 6.37 %
TRP.PR.A FixedReset 2.04 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2043-12-10
Maturity Price : 23.48
Evaluated at bid price : 24.00
Bid-YTW : 3.89 %
GWO.PR.N FixedReset 2.15 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 21.40
Bid-YTW : 4.91 %
SLF.PR.G FixedReset 2.45 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 22.15
Bid-YTW : 4.71 %
Volume Highlights
Issue Index Shares
Traded
Notes
BAM.PR.M Perpetual-Discount 117,043 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2043-12-10
Maturity Price : 19.16
Evaluated at bid price : 19.16
Bid-YTW : 6.34 %
BAM.PR.N Perpetual-Discount 90,807 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2043-12-10
Maturity Price : 19.29
Evaluated at bid price : 19.29
Bid-YTW : 6.29 %
BAM.PF.C Perpetual-Discount 85,702 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2043-12-10
Maturity Price : 19.50
Evaluated at bid price : 19.50
Bid-YTW : 6.36 %
BAM.PF.D Perpetual-Discount 75,382 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2043-12-10
Maturity Price : 19.65
Evaluated at bid price : 19.65
Bid-YTW : 6.37 %
FTS.PR.H FixedReset 64,580 Nesbitt crossed 35,000 at 21.15.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2043-12-10
Maturity Price : 21.01
Evaluated at bid price : 21.01
Bid-YTW : 3.99 %
ENB.PR.T FixedReset 63,816 Nesbitt crossed 12,400 at 24.00.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2043-12-10
Maturity Price : 22.70
Evaluated at bid price : 23.88
Bid-YTW : 4.37 %
There were 54 other index-included issues trading in excess of 10,000 shares.
Wide Spread Highlights
Issue Index Quote Data and Yield Notes
ELF.PR.F Perpetual-Discount Quote: 22.66 – 23.14
Spot Rate : 0.4800
Average : 0.3437

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2043-12-10
Maturity Price : 22.40
Evaluated at bid price : 22.66
Bid-YTW : 5.94 %

GWO.PR.I Deemed-Retractible Quote: 21.41 – 21.78
Spot Rate : 0.3700
Average : 0.2516

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 21.41
Bid-YTW : 6.32 %

PWF.PR.F Perpetual-Discount Quote: 23.35 – 23.67
Spot Rate : 0.3200
Average : 0.2170

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2043-12-10
Maturity Price : 23.09
Evaluated at bid price : 23.35
Bid-YTW : 5.69 %

CM.PR.G Perpetual-Premium Quote: 25.02 – 25.23
Spot Rate : 0.2100
Average : 0.1309

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2043-12-10
Maturity Price : 24.70
Evaluated at bid price : 25.02
Bid-YTW : 5.46 %

POW.PR.B Perpetual-Discount Quote: 23.61 – 23.89
Spot Rate : 0.2800
Average : 0.2017

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2043-12-10
Maturity Price : 23.33
Evaluated at bid price : 23.61
Bid-YTW : 5.75 %

POW.PR.D Perpetual-Discount Quote: 22.48 – 22.76
Spot Rate : 0.2800
Average : 0.2025

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2043-12-10
Maturity Price : 22.14
Evaluated at bid price : 22.48
Bid-YTW : 5.64 %

December 9, 2013

Monday, December 9th, 2013

No commentary today! I’m learning all about SMTP as part of the PrefLetter server migration!

The Canadian preferred share market took a pasting today, perhaps due to investors worrying over the weekend about the US jobs number and risk of tapering, but oddly the very lengthy Performance Highlights table is led downwards by low-coupon FixedResets, that one might think would fare relatively better given a general rise in interest rates. Volume was extremely high.

HIMIPref™ Preferred Indices
These values reflect the December 2008 revision of the HIMIPref™ Indices

Values are provisional and are finalized monthly
Index Mean
Current
Yield
(at bid)
Median
YTW
Median
Average
Trading
Value
Median
Mod Dur
(YTW)
Issues Day’s Perf. Index Value
Ratchet 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.4692 % 2,522.0
FixedFloater 4.37 % 3.66 % 39,710 18.03 1 -3.0735 % 3,844.7
Floater 2.94 % 2.98 % 63,572 19.71 3 0.4692 % 2,723.0
OpRet 4.62 % -2.46 % 77,309 0.08 3 -0.0128 % 2,660.3
SplitShare 4.91 % 4.76 % 75,944 4.52 5 0.2198 % 2,977.7
Interest-Bearing 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 -0.0128 % 2,432.6
Perpetual-Premium 5.61 % 5.52 % 134,550 4.21 13 -0.0351 % 2,302.4
Perpetual-Discount 5.66 % 5.67 % 164,512 14.32 25 -0.5324 % 2,322.8
FixedReset 5.01 % 3.66 % 233,335 3.30 82 -0.4897 % 2,467.2
Deemed-Retractible 5.12 % 4.23 % 195,183 1.40 42 -0.2460 % 2,406.5
FloatingReset 2.63 % 2.33 % 332,080 4.42 5 -0.0316 % 2,463.6
Performance Highlights
Issue Index Change Notes
GWO.PR.N FixedReset -3.63 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 20.95
Bid-YTW : 5.15 %
SLF.PR.G FixedReset -3.48 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 21.62
Bid-YTW : 4.98 %
BAM.PR.G FixedFloater -3.07 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2043-12-09
Maturity Price : 22.23
Evaluated at bid price : 21.76
Bid-YTW : 3.66 %
TRP.PR.A FixedReset -2.85 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2043-12-09
Maturity Price : 22.98
Evaluated at bid price : 23.52
Bid-YTW : 3.97 %
BAM.PF.A FixedReset -2.19 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2043-12-09
Maturity Price : 23.19
Evaluated at bid price : 25.04
Bid-YTW : 4.61 %
PWF.PR.P FixedReset -2.08 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2043-12-09
Maturity Price : 22.75
Evaluated at bid price : 23.06
Bid-YTW : 3.83 %
GWO.PR.H Deemed-Retractible -2.06 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 22.30
Bid-YTW : 6.21 %
ELF.PR.H Perpetual-Discount -1.94 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2043-12-09
Maturity Price : 23.00
Evaluated at bid price : 23.31
Bid-YTW : 5.99 %
MFC.PR.I FixedReset -1.86 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2017-09-19
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.32
Bid-YTW : 4.02 %
ENB.PR.B FixedReset -1.81 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2043-12-09
Maturity Price : 22.87
Evaluated at bid price : 23.91
Bid-YTW : 4.32 %
ENB.PR.D FixedReset -1.75 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2043-12-09
Maturity Price : 22.66
Evaluated at bid price : 23.62
Bid-YTW : 4.35 %
ELF.PR.G Perpetual-Discount -1.74 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2043-12-09
Maturity Price : 20.90
Evaluated at bid price : 20.90
Bid-YTW : 5.78 %
GWO.PR.R Deemed-Retractible -1.73 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 22.15
Bid-YTW : 6.24 %
GWO.PR.I Deemed-Retractible -1.54 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 21.75
Bid-YTW : 6.13 %
ELF.PR.F Perpetual-Discount -1.52 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2043-12-09
Maturity Price : 22.41
Evaluated at bid price : 22.67
Bid-YTW : 5.93 %
BAM.PR.R FixedReset -1.51 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2043-12-09
Maturity Price : 23.63
Evaluated at bid price : 25.52
Bid-YTW : 4.15 %
ENB.PR.F FixedReset -1.50 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2043-12-09
Maturity Price : 22.66
Evaluated at bid price : 23.66
Bid-YTW : 4.45 %
PWF.PR.K Perpetual-Discount -1.49 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2043-12-09
Maturity Price : 22.10
Evaluated at bid price : 22.44
Bid-YTW : 5.57 %
BAM.PR.X FixedReset -1.44 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2043-12-09
Maturity Price : 21.48
Evaluated at bid price : 21.84
Bid-YTW : 4.40 %
MFC.PR.H FixedReset -1.42 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2017-03-19
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.62
Bid-YTW : 3.77 %
IFC.PR.C FixedReset -1.40 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2016-09-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.31
Bid-YTW : 4.05 %
FTS.PR.J Perpetual-Discount -1.37 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2043-12-09
Maturity Price : 21.91
Evaluated at bid price : 22.26
Bid-YTW : 5.36 %
MFC.PR.F FixedReset -1.22 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 21.78
Bid-YTW : 5.00 %
GWO.PR.Q Deemed-Retractible -1.19 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 23.25
Bid-YTW : 6.02 %
PWF.PR.S Perpetual-Discount -1.14 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2043-12-09
Maturity Price : 21.47
Evaluated at bid price : 21.75
Bid-YTW : 5.58 %
NA.PR.Q FixedReset -1.13 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2017-11-15
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.46
Bid-YTW : 3.38 %
RY.PR.T FixedReset -1.09 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-08-24
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.37
Bid-YTW : 4.54 %
GWO.PR.G Deemed-Retractible -1.06 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 23.25
Bid-YTW : 6.07 %
BAM.PF.D Perpetual-Discount -1.02 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2043-12-09
Maturity Price : 19.35
Evaluated at bid price : 19.35
Bid-YTW : 6.47 %
BNA.PR.C SplitShare 1.87 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2019-01-10
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 23.95
Bid-YTW : 5.34 %
Volume Highlights
Issue Index Shares
Traded
Notes
ENB.PR.Y FixedReset 119,810 Desjardines crossed 100,000 at 23.40.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2043-12-09
Maturity Price : 22.46
Evaluated at bid price : 23.40
Bid-YTW : 4.38 %
TD.PR.G FixedReset 116,375 Scotia crossed blocks of 75,000 and 25,000, both at 25.48.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-04-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.48
Bid-YTW : 2.93 %
FTS.PR.F Perpetual-Discount 108,475 TD crossed 100,000 at 23.35.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2043-12-09
Maturity Price : 23.06
Evaluated at bid price : 23.35
Bid-YTW : 5.27 %
TRP.PR.B FixedReset 78,770 Nesbitt crossed 40,000 at 20.34.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2043-12-09
Maturity Price : 20.30
Evaluated at bid price : 20.30
Bid-YTW : 3.89 %
FTS.PR.H FixedReset 67,630 Nesbitt crossed 35,000 at 21.15.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2043-12-09
Maturity Price : 21.06
Evaluated at bid price : 21.06
Bid-YTW : 3.98 %
ENB.PR.T FixedReset 59,959 Nesbitt crossed 12,400 at 24.00.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2043-12-09
Maturity Price : 22.68
Evaluated at bid price : 23.85
Bid-YTW : 4.38 %
There were 71 other index-included issues trading in excess of 10,000 shares.
Wide Spread Highlights
Issue Index Quote Data and Yield Notes
GWO.PR.N FixedReset Quote: 20.95 – 21.76
Spot Rate : 0.8100
Average : 0.4904

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 20.95
Bid-YTW : 5.15 %

SLF.PR.G FixedReset Quote: 21.62 – 22.30
Spot Rate : 0.6800
Average : 0.4005

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 21.62
Bid-YTW : 4.98 %

TRP.PR.A FixedReset Quote: 23.52 – 24.17
Spot Rate : 0.6500
Average : 0.4215

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2043-12-09
Maturity Price : 22.98
Evaluated at bid price : 23.52
Bid-YTW : 3.97 %

BAM.PR.X FixedReset Quote: 21.84 – 22.54
Spot Rate : 0.7000
Average : 0.4716

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2043-12-09
Maturity Price : 21.48
Evaluated at bid price : 21.84
Bid-YTW : 4.40 %

BAM.PF.A FixedReset Quote: 25.04 – 25.63
Spot Rate : 0.5900
Average : 0.3708

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2043-12-09
Maturity Price : 23.19
Evaluated at bid price : 25.04
Bid-YTW : 4.61 %

ENB.PR.D FixedReset Quote: 23.62 – 24.03
Spot Rate : 0.4100
Average : 0.2570

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2043-12-09
Maturity Price : 22.66
Evaluated at bid price : 23.62
Bid-YTW : 4.35 %

DBRS Discontinues Rating of RY.PR.W

Monday, December 9th, 2013

DBRS has announced that it:

has today discontinued its rating of Royal Bank of Canada’s (RBC) Non-Cumulative First Preferred Shares, Series W (Series W). DBRS had placed the Series W, which is convertible to common equity at the issuer’s option, Under Review with Negative Implications on August 17, 2011.

This action follows the application of the updated “DBRS Criteria: Rating Bank Capital Securities – Subordinated, Hybrid, Preferred & Contingent Capital Securities,” which was released earlier today. In the updated criteria, the ratings principles for contingent capital instruments (CoCo) indicate that DBRS may not rate CoCo instruments in cases where their triggers are inadequately defined, where they have poorly specified mechanisms for conversion or where the probabilities of their activation are difficult to predict and not closely tied to the issuer’s credit position. If the level of difficulty in assessing these risks is high enough, DBRS may be unable to assign a rating to the instrument.

Because the trigger for conversion into common equity is inadequately defined, DBRS has concluded it is unable to assign a rating to the Series W. Although DBRS believes conversion of the Series W is not likely, the lack of trigger control has led DBRS to conclude the instrument cannot be rated under the updated criteria. This action does not reflect any change in DBRS’s view of RBC’s credit profile and is not related to any issuer-specific credit events.

The Review-Negative was reported on PrefBlog.

As previously noted on PrefBlog, S&P does not discriminate between RY.PR.W and other RY preferred issues.

CM.PR.D, CM.PR.E and CM.PR.G Downgraded to Pfd-2 by DBRS

Monday, December 9th, 2013

DBRS has announced that it:

has today downgraded three convertible Non-Cumulative Class A Preferred Shares, Series 26, 27 and 29 of Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce (CIBC) to Pfd-2 from Pfd-1 (low). The Under Review with Negative Implications status has been removed and the trends are Stable. This action follows the release earlier today of the updated “DBRS Criteria: Rating Bank Capital Securities – Subordinated, Hybrid, Preferred & Contingent Capital Securities.”

DBRS had placed the Series 26, 27 and 29 preferred shares, which at the time were convertible to common equity at the issuer’s option, Under Review with Negative Implications on August 17, 2011. Subsequently, CIBC irrevocably passed control of the trigger to the Office of the Superintendent of Financial Institutions (OSFI) to be used only for a non-viability event under OSFI’s capital guidelines. As a result, OSFI confirmed the three series as non-viability contingent capital (NVCC) qualifying instruments.

Under the updated criteria, DBRS has determined that the OSFI NVCC trigger represents a very remote conversion probability and consequently DBRS has rated these instruments Pfd-2, which is the equivalent of four notches below CIBC’s intrinsic assessment of AA (low).

This action does not reflect any change in DBRS’s view of CIBC’s credit profile and is not related to any issuer-specific credit events.

Other rating actions taken today as a result of the criteria update are being published separately.

DBRS has published the DBRS Criteria: Rating Bank Capital Securities – Subordinated, Hybrid, Preferred & Contingent Capital Securities:

a) Notching for Preferred Securities Relative to Intrinsic Assessment

Preferred shares are equity instruments that typically pay fixed dividends or floating rate dividends linked to certain index rates. These instruments generally rank above common equity and below the various forms of sub-debt. As preferred dividends have to be approved by the Board of Directors for each payment period, preferred dividends can be halted without resulting in a default on a bank’s debt. Typically, such a halt in dividends has to be preceded by a halt in payment of dividends on common equity.

Certain hybrid instruments can be converted to preferred shares under certain conditions. Typically, these conditions are specified to occur when a bank is under significant stress and its capital position has weakened severely. DBRS treats these instruments like preferred shares in terms of notching.

As preferred shares are equity, various governments during the current crisis have acted to have banks that are under some stress exchange these instruments to bolster their common equity. In some cases, this step has been accomplished through voluntary exchanges. In other cases, banks have engaged in forced exchanges, which DBRS considers tantamount to default. In some cases, preferred shares have been wiped out. This process has helped to bolster these banks’ common equity and helped them avoid being put into receivership. Thus, while senior debt and even subordinated debt have continued to pay as agreed, preferred shares have been subject to greater risk of default. Accordingly, preferred shares and instruments that convert to preferreds are notched from the IA and the notching is wider than for sub debt. Reflecting this increased risk, preferreds are notched by three notches from a bank’s intrinsic assessment.

While the base notching as discussed above is the starting point for rating bank preferred shares, DBRS policy permits wider notching than this base notching to reflect any unique characteristics of individual banks. Various factors may be considered. Notching could be increased by a weaker capital structure, including a higher proportion of preferred shares. Actions taken to reduce or halt common dividends (recognizing that these actions are the first buffer) could also increase notching. Other unique stresses within the domestic financial system, such as expected actions by external parties (regulators, governments) could also add notches.

b) Higher Risk of Nonpayment or Loss on Bank Preferreds Compared to Corporate Preferreds

Compared to other corporate issuers, banks are highly leveraged and may face greater losses relative to the size of their capital bases. Banks therefore may more readily resort to actions to generate common equity; including halting preferred dividends combined with exchange offers. In some cases, regulators or government authorities may require banks to take adverse action against preferreds as a condition of receiving support. Differences in the regimes for resolving distressed banks are also a factor, as these regimes often differ from the bankruptcy laws governing distressed corporates, particularly in giving the resolution authority more powers during resolution. Such actions can include halting preferred dividends or forced exchanges for common shares and/or cash2. Given these differences, DBRS typically notches bank preferred share securities three notches rather than the two notches typically used for non-banking entities.

Due to the NVCC status, S&P downgraded CM.PR.D and CM.PR.E in 2011 (it does not rate CM.PR.G). The action of DBRS in placing the issues on Watch-Negative was reported on PrefBlog.

CM.PR.D, CM.PR.E and CM.PR.G are all tracked by HIMIPref™ all are included in the PerpetualPremium (not DeemedRetractible!) subindex.