Archive for August, 2016

August 4, 2016

Thursday, August 4th, 2016

On July 26 I passed on some support for the thesis that it wasn’t trade that was destroying jobs, it was tech. And now George Anders of Forbes argues that tech isn’t all that bad:

2.Tech’s positive impact on employment is much more striking if we also look at a wide range of white-collar professions where software advances improve individual workers’ productivity to the point that demand for their services soars.

3.A case in point: market research. Turn the clock back to 2010, when cheap, efficient services such as Qualtrics and SurveyMonkey weren’t yet ubiquitous. The U.S. got by with just 262,000 market research analysts and marketing specialists then. Splash in new technology that puts online polling and digital marketing within reach of everyone, and — voila! Employment in this category leaps 93%, to more than 506,000.

4.Another example of software’s ability to generate jobs: event planners. If you need to stuff envelopes and make dozens of phone calls, full-scale event planning is a luxury that only rich people (and Jennifer Lopez’s clients) can afford. Digitize everything, and opportunities increase faster than you can say: “Come to our Thursday night meetup.” Employment in this category has climbed 54%, to 87,400, with the creation of 31,000 net new jobs.

Meanwhile, it appears that vegan food startup Hampton Creek Inc. has been naughty:

In late 2014, fledgling entrepreneur Josh Tetrick persuaded investors to plow $90 million into his vegan food startup Hampton Creek Inc. Tetrick had impressed leading Silicon Valley venture capital firms by getting his eggless Just Mayo product into Walmart, Kroger, Safeway, and other top U.S. supermarkets within about three years of starting his company.

What Tetrick and his team neglected to mention is that the startup undertook a large-scale operation to buy back its own mayo, which made the product appear more popular than it really was. At least eight months before the funding round closed, Hampton Creek executives quietly launched a campaign to purchase mass quantities of Just Mayo from stores, according to five former workers and more than 250 receipts, expense reports, cash advances and e-mails reviewed by Bloomberg. In addition to buying up hundreds of jars of the product across the U.S., contractors were told to call store managers pretending they were customers and ask about Just Mayo.

“We need you in Safeway buying Just Mayo and our new flavored mayos,” Caroline Love, Hampton Creek’s then director of corporate partnership, wrote in an April 2014 e-mail to contract workers known as Creekers. “And we’re going to pay you for this exciting new project! Below is the list of stores that have been assigned to you.” Love’s memo also referenced a key competitor: “The most important next step with Safeway is huge sales out of the gate. This will ensure we stay on the shelf to put an end to Hellmann’s factory-farmed egg mayo, and spread the word to customers that Just Mayo is their new preferred brand. :)”

So the key takeaways, as they’re called in these degenerate days, are:

  • Never trust a vegetarian
  • Especially, never trust anybody who sells “mayo” without eggs in it.

Because that’s what they tried to do:

Hampton Creek Foods Inc., the healthy-food startup backed by investors including Bill Gates, can’t refer to its vegan-friendly sandwich spread as mayonnaise because it doesn’t have eggs in it, U.S. regulators said.

The company’s Just Mayo and Just Mayo Sriracha also contain ingredients that “are not permitted by the standard of identity for mayonnaise, such as modified food starch,” the Food and Drug Administration said in a warning letter to Hampton Creek, whose investors also include Silicon Valley luminaries Peter Thiel and Vinod Khosla. The letter was dated Aug. 12 and was posted online Tuesday.

“The use of the term ‘mayo’ in the product names and the image of an egg may be misleading to consumers because it may lead them to believe that the products are the standardized food, mayonnaise,” the FDA said.

It looks like Carney has new instructions:

In what one bank dubbed a “sledgehammer stimulus,” the BoE cut interest rates 25 basis points to 0.25 per cent and said it would buy 60 billion pounds ($79-billion) of government bonds with newly created money over the next six months.

It also launched two schemes, one to buy 10 billion pounds of high-grade corporate debt and another – potentially worth up to 100 billion pounds – to ensure banks keep lending even after the rate cut.

Finance minister Philip Hammond welcomed the rate cut and said he and Carney had “the tools we need to support the economy as we begin this new chapter and address the challenges ahead.”

HIMIPref™ Preferred Indices
These values reflect the December 2008 revision of the HIMIPref™ Indices

Values are provisional and are finalized monthly
Index Mean
Current
Yield
(at bid)
Median
YTW
Median
Average
Trading
Value
Median
Mod Dur
(YTW)
Issues Day’s Perf. Index Value
Ratchet 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.2847 % 1,695.1
FixedFloater 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.2847 % 3,096.6
Floater 4.84 % 4.58 % 84,705 16.14 4 0.2847 % 1,784.6
OpRet 4.84 % 1.11 % 51,101 0.08 1 0.0396 % 2,847.0
SplitShare 5.07 % 4.84 % 100,480 2.28 5 0.5525 % 3,398.3
Interest-Bearing 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.5525 % 2,651.5
Perpetual-Premium 5.42 % -15.06 % 78,530 0.09 12 0.2443 % 2,716.1
Perpetual-Discount 5.12 % 5.00 % 106,812 14.85 26 0.4046 % 2,894.3
FixedReset 4.92 % 4.17 % 150,406 7.13 89 0.6541 % 2,069.3
Deemed-Retractible 4.97 % 2.28 % 117,317 0.09 32 0.3486 % 2,806.4
FloatingReset 2.92 % 4.26 % 30,993 5.12 11 0.9122 % 2,178.4
Performance Highlights
Issue Index Change Notes
TRP.PR.F FloatingReset -1.09 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-08-04
Maturity Price : 13.65
Evaluated at bid price : 13.65
Bid-YTW : 4.51 %
TRP.PR.A FixedReset 1.01 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-08-04
Maturity Price : 15.05
Evaluated at bid price : 15.05
Bid-YTW : 4.55 %
RY.PR.Z FixedReset 1.04 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-08-04
Maturity Price : 19.45
Evaluated at bid price : 19.45
Bid-YTW : 3.88 %
BMO.PR.Z Perpetual-Premium 1.06 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2024-08-25
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.70
Bid-YTW : 4.57 %
BAM.PR.T FixedReset 1.09 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-08-04
Maturity Price : 15.75
Evaluated at bid price : 15.75
Bid-YTW : 4.87 %
RY.PR.H FixedReset 1.10 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-08-04
Maturity Price : 19.27
Evaluated at bid price : 19.27
Bid-YTW : 3.98 %
CU.PR.E Perpetual-Discount 1.14 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-08-04
Maturity Price : 24.34
Evaluated at bid price : 24.82
Bid-YTW : 4.99 %
BMO.PR.T FixedReset 1.16 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-08-04
Maturity Price : 19.15
Evaluated at bid price : 19.15
Bid-YTW : 3.98 %
BNS.PR.A FloatingReset 1.17 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 23.34
Bid-YTW : 3.83 %
BAM.PF.F FixedReset 1.17 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-08-04
Maturity Price : 20.69
Evaluated at bid price : 20.69
Bid-YTW : 4.50 %
CU.PR.G Perpetual-Discount 1.20 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-08-04
Maturity Price : 22.52
Evaluated at bid price : 22.81
Bid-YTW : 5.00 %
CU.PR.D Perpetual-Discount 1.22 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-08-04
Maturity Price : 24.33
Evaluated at bid price : 24.81
Bid-YTW : 5.00 %
TD.PR.S FixedReset 1.24 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 23.64
Bid-YTW : 3.80 %
FTS.PR.M FixedReset 1.26 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-08-04
Maturity Price : 20.12
Evaluated at bid price : 20.12
Bid-YTW : 4.17 %
BNS.PR.B FloatingReset 1.26 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 22.44
Bid-YTW : 4.26 %
BAM.PF.B FixedReset 1.27 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-08-04
Maturity Price : 18.41
Evaluated at bid price : 18.41
Bid-YTW : 4.71 %
BMO.PR.Q FixedReset 1.27 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 19.95
Bid-YTW : 6.25 %
BNS.PR.C FloatingReset 1.29 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 22.80
Bid-YTW : 4.12 %
BMO.PR.Y FixedReset 1.29 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-08-04
Maturity Price : 21.14
Evaluated at bid price : 21.14
Bid-YTW : 4.09 %
TD.PF.F Perpetual-Discount 1.31 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2024-10-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.55
Bid-YTW : 4.61 %
BMO.PR.W FixedReset 1.33 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-08-04
Maturity Price : 19.07
Evaluated at bid price : 19.07
Bid-YTW : 3.97 %
FTS.PR.G FixedReset 1.33 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-08-04
Maturity Price : 18.26
Evaluated at bid price : 18.26
Bid-YTW : 4.04 %
FTS.PR.H FixedReset 1.34 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-08-04
Maturity Price : 14.36
Evaluated at bid price : 14.36
Bid-YTW : 3.85 %
BMO.PR.S FixedReset 1.40 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-08-04
Maturity Price : 19.58
Evaluated at bid price : 19.58
Bid-YTW : 3.99 %
GRP.PR.A SplitShare 1.50 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2016-09-03
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.63
Bid-YTW : -8.32 %
SLF.PR.J FloatingReset 1.67 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 12.80
Bid-YTW : 10.95 %
RY.PR.M FixedReset 1.68 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-08-04
Maturity Price : 20.55
Evaluated at bid price : 20.55
Bid-YTW : 4.07 %
BMO.PR.R FloatingReset 1.70 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 22.73
Bid-YTW : 3.94 %
HSE.PR.C FixedReset 1.83 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-08-04
Maturity Price : 18.95
Evaluated at bid price : 18.95
Bid-YTW : 5.25 %
HSE.PR.G FixedReset 1.97 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-08-04
Maturity Price : 20.69
Evaluated at bid price : 20.69
Bid-YTW : 5.22 %
TRP.PR.B FixedReset 2.34 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-08-04
Maturity Price : 12.27
Evaluated at bid price : 12.27
Bid-YTW : 4.07 %
NA.PR.W FixedReset 2.41 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-08-04
Maturity Price : 18.72
Evaluated at bid price : 18.72
Bid-YTW : 4.13 %
IFC.PR.A FixedReset 2.44 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 15.55
Bid-YTW : 9.47 %
HSE.PR.E FixedReset 2.48 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-08-04
Maturity Price : 20.66
Evaluated at bid price : 20.66
Bid-YTW : 5.25 %
NA.PR.S FixedReset 2.54 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-08-04
Maturity Price : 19.35
Evaluated at bid price : 19.35
Bid-YTW : 4.15 %
BAM.PR.S FloatingReset 3.40 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-08-04
Maturity Price : 14.89
Evaluated at bid price : 14.89
Bid-YTW : 4.79 %
Volume Highlights
Issue Index Shares
Traded
Notes
BIP.PR.C FixedReset 368,831 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2021-09-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.38
Bid-YTW : 5.05 %
MFC.PR.L FixedReset 72,450 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 18.70
Bid-YTW : 7.39 %
BAM.PR.R FixedReset 66,003 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-08-04
Maturity Price : 15.97
Evaluated at bid price : 15.97
Bid-YTW : 4.70 %
TRP.PR.D FixedReset 54,375 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-08-04
Maturity Price : 17.75
Evaluated at bid price : 17.75
Bid-YTW : 4.49 %
BNS.PR.N Deemed-Retractible 33,500 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2016-09-03
Maturity Price : 25.25
Evaluated at bid price : 25.65
Bid-YTW : -12.83 %
RY.PR.Z FixedReset 29,580 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-08-04
Maturity Price : 19.45
Evaluated at bid price : 19.45
Bid-YTW : 3.88 %
There were 25 other index-included issues trading in excess of 10,000 shares.
Wide Spread Highlights
Issue Index Quote Data and Yield Notes
MFC.PR.O FixedReset Quote: 27.05 – 27.47
Spot Rate : 0.4200
Average : 0.2670

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2021-06-19
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 27.05
Bid-YTW : 3.92 %

HSE.PR.C FixedReset Quote: 18.95 – 19.38
Spot Rate : 0.4300
Average : 0.2925

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-08-04
Maturity Price : 18.95
Evaluated at bid price : 18.95
Bid-YTW : 5.25 %

TRP.PR.H FloatingReset Quote: 10.35 – 10.85
Spot Rate : 0.5000
Average : 0.3706

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-08-04
Maturity Price : 10.35
Evaluated at bid price : 10.35
Bid-YTW : 4.39 %

EML.PR.A FixedReset Quote: 26.22 – 26.55
Spot Rate : 0.3300
Average : 0.2196

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2021-04-17
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.22
Bid-YTW : 4.68 %

ELF.PR.G Perpetual-Discount Quote: 22.44 – 22.83
Spot Rate : 0.3900
Average : 0.2825

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-08-04
Maturity Price : 22.16
Evaluated at bid price : 22.44
Bid-YTW : 5.33 %

HSE.PR.G FixedReset Quote: 20.69 – 21.07
Spot Rate : 0.3800
Average : 0.2762

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-08-04
Maturity Price : 20.69
Evaluated at bid price : 20.69
Bid-YTW : 5.22 %

DBRS Places VSN On Review-Negative

Thursday, August 4th, 2016

Veresen Inc. has announced:

it will pursue the sale of its power generation business and will suspend its Premium Dividend™ and Dividend Reinvestment Plan. Proceeds from the divestiture will be invested to develop Veresen’s significant inventory of contracted capital projects in the core natural gas and NGL infrastructure business.

Divestiture of Power Business and Funding Strategy

Veresen’s power business, which consists of approximately 625 MW of primarily renewable and gas-fired generation, is expected to contribute EBITDA of approximately $100 million in 2016 and had asset level debt financing of $382 million at June 30, 2016. Veresen has engaged TD Securities Inc. as the company’s sole financial advisor on the divestiture of the power business.

Veresen intends to initially apply the proceeds of the sale of the power business to reduce its debt outstanding and subsequently fund the remaining equity component of projects currently under construction through 2018. At the end of the second quarter, approximately $535 million of the aggregate $1.4 billion of capital required to complete Veresen’s existing capital projects had been incurred, with a remaining equity component of approximately $350 to $450 million. The enhanced funding plan will meaningfully improve the company’s balance sheet strength at closing, eliminating the need for external equity financing for these projects and increasing growth on a per share basis.

Dividend and Suspension of DRIP

Veresen’s Board of Directors has confirmed the annualized dividend rate of $1.00 per Common Share. As a result of the growth and diversification of Veresen’s businesses over the last five years, the dividend is now underpinned entirely by distributable cash from take-or-pay and fee-for-service businesses with a weighted average contract life of over eight years.

In response, DBRS has announced that it:

has today placed the Issuer Rating, Senior Unsecured Notes rating and Preferred Share rating of Veresen Inc. (Veresen or the Company) Under Review with Negative Implications. The rating actions follow the Company’s announcement that it will pursue the sale of its power generation business and will suspend its Premium Dividend and Dividend Reinvestment Plan (DRIP) from August 2016. Proceeds from the divestiture of the power business will be invested to develop Veresen’s significant inventory of approximately CAD 1.4 billion of contracted capital projects in the core natural gas and natural gas liquids infrastructure business. The Company will also maintain its current dividend payout.

DBRS believes that the above-noted announcement is negative with respect to Veresen’s business risk profile.

DBRS notes that Veresen had previously planned to fund its share of the large capital expenditure program at Veresen Midstream by raising equity through its DRIP. Veresen’s decision to suspend the DRIP and maintain its high dividend payout is expected to erode the Company’s equity base from current levels, resulting in higher non-consolidated leverage. The net proceeds from the proposed sale of power assets after repaying related subsidiary level debt (CAD 382 million at June 30, 2016) are expected to fund Veresen’s large capital expenditure program. Although, this results in an initial reduction in leverage, Veresen will likely need incremental borrowings to fund its capex and dividend commitments going forward. As a result, the Company’s non-consolidated credit metrics are likely to be weak in the medium term.

Overall, DBRS believes that the weakness in Veresen’s business risk profile will not be mitigated by any meaningful improvement in the Company’s financial risk profile and will likely result in lower ratings. DBRS recognizes that there are execution risks related to the sale of the power business, and any delays in the execution and change in market conditions could affect the Company’s financial risk profile. Consequently, DBRS has placed Versen’s ratings Under Review with Negative Implications. DBRS expects any downgrade of the Company’s ratings to be one notch. DBRS will further review the details relating to the sale of the power business as they become available, with a view to resolving the Under Review with Negative Implications status.

Affected issues are VSN.PR.A, VSN.PR.C and VSN.PR.E.

August 3, 2016

Wednesday, August 3rd, 2016

Bloomberg published some vignettes of those affected by the Vancouver property bubble:

One of those benefiting is a luxury car dealership run by Caleb Kwok, 37, general sales manager at Vancouver’s MCL Motor Cars. It’s selling Bentleys, Jaguars, Aston Martins and Range Rovers so fast that it has had to extend its hours and boosted staff by nearly a third.

“For not being a real big-time city, there sure are a lot of luxury cars in Vancouver,” Kwok says as he walks around the downtown showroom where a special edition, C$250,000 Range Rover SVAutobiography with two-tone paint, reclining rear seats, and tray tables for drinks is about to be driven off by a customer.

She listed it in April for C$1.288 million, appealing to local Chinese buyers with the lucky number eight. Within 24 hours, four bids came in. They sold within just a few days to a young family for C$1.5 million, no conditions.

“It was surreal,” the retired Air Canada flight attendant said from a boat near her new home in Qualicum Beach, a town of 10,000 people on Vancouver Island a 1-1/2 hour-ferry ride from the city. “It happened so fast. You can’t believe how many people have done the same—moved to Qualicum and the islands. People are flooding in from the mainland with cash in their pocket.”

She bought her new house for less than half of what she got for her old one, part of the flow of “halfers” from Vancouver, as brokers call them. The new property is double the size at 4,000 square feet and has five bedrooms, a view of the water, and half an acre of garden.

And the Canadian economy is getting more dependent upon a distorted housing market:

Canada is in the midst of one of its weakest expansions ever, and only the housing boom keeps it from getting worse.

That’s one of the key takeaways from Friday’s GDP report. Two years since oil prices started plunging, Canada’s economy is almost completely reliant for growth on bank lending and the hot Vancouver and Toronto housing markets.

Real estate and financial services now account for 20 percent of the economy, levels not seen in the data since the early 1960s. That could be a problem, with household debt at a record and policy makers scrambling to slow price gains that are making homes unaffordable for all but the wealthiest buyers.

CanRealEstateGDP
Click for Big

Well … I won’t say it makes a crash inevitable, but I’ll say that’s a red flag!

West coast readers will be pleased to learn that I have solved the problem of Vancouver housing affordability:

Calgary’s housing market is bracing for more pain as persistently weak oil prices, mounting layoffs and slowing population growth continue to keep buyers on the sidelines.

Home resales in the city fell 12.6 per cent in July from the same time last year, the Calgary Real Estate Board reported. It was the 20th consecutive month of annualized sales declines as purchases of detached homes dropped to their lowest level since 1996.

“We’ve certainly got a softer market than we did a year ago,” said Diane Scott, a broker with Royal LePage.

Benchmark resale prices dropped 4.2 per cent from last July and were down more than 5 per cent from their peak in October, 2014. Detached home prices fell 3.4 per cent from last year to $502,300.

Among condos, a surge of new listings has left the market with more than six months’ worth of supply, pushing the benchmark price down 6.6 per cent from a year earlier to $277,000. Condo sales were down 21 per cent from a year earlier and were 53 per cent below peak levels in 2014.

You’re welcome. It has been hypothesized that real-estate is a source of strength for the dollar:

Toss in the rest of the country, which certainly attracts some foreign buying despite having generally much less exciting conditions than the Vancouver and Toronto markets, and “maybe total flows into Canadian real estate is $2-billion [a month], and maybe even slightly higher,” [Nomura Securities foreign-exchange strategist] Mr. [Charles] St-Arnaud said via e-mail.

To put it in perspective, net inflows of foreign investment in Canadian securities (stocks, bonds and the like), which certainly have a significant effect on the currency, have averaged about $15-billion a month this year. Inflows from the export of energy products – always a big deal for currency traders, who grossly oversimplify the Canadian dollar as a petro-currency and thus reflexively link its value closely with the price of oil – have been about $5-billion a month. The foreign inflows in the housing market might not be big enough to be driving the currency’s gains this year (up 12 per cent against the U.S. dollar since mid-January), but in a year when Canada’s overall exports have generally struggled (down 3.4 per cent year over year), they are big enough to be providing meaningful support.

HIMIPref™ Preferred Indices
These values reflect the December 2008 revision of the HIMIPref™ Indices

Values are provisional and are finalized monthly
Index Mean
Current
Yield
(at bid)
Median
YTW
Median
Average
Trading
Value
Median
Mod Dur
(YTW)
Issues Day’s Perf. Index Value
Ratchet 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.4110 % 1,690.3
FixedFloater 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.4110 % 3,087.8
Floater 4.86 % 4.58 % 87,995 16.12 4 0.4110 % 1,779.5
OpRet 4.85 % 1.43 % 51,275 0.08 1 0.0000 % 2,845.9
SplitShare 5.09 % 5.27 % 98,745 4.54 5 0.2247 % 3,379.6
Interest-Bearing 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.2247 % 2,636.9
Perpetual-Premium 5.43 % -11.76 % 78,799 0.09 12 0.1288 % 2,709.5
Perpetual-Discount 5.14 % 5.07 % 107,856 14.84 26 0.3215 % 2,882.6
FixedReset 4.95 % 4.23 % 150,115 7.04 89 0.5439 % 2,055.9
Deemed-Retractible 4.99 % 3.58 % 119,070 0.09 32 0.1657 % 2,796.6
FloatingReset 2.95 % 4.44 % 30,944 5.12 11 0.0000 % 2,158.7
Performance Highlights
Issue Index Change Notes
IFC.PR.A FixedReset -1.94 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 15.18
Bid-YTW : 9.82 %
NA.PR.Q FixedReset 1.03 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 24.50
Bid-YTW : 3.65 %
BAM.PR.N Perpetual-Discount 1.04 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-08-03
Maturity Price : 22.12
Evaluated at bid price : 22.40
Bid-YTW : 5.35 %
BAM.PF.E FixedReset 1.04 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-08-03
Maturity Price : 19.46
Evaluated at bid price : 19.46
Bid-YTW : 4.48 %
HSE.PR.E FixedReset 1.05 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-08-03
Maturity Price : 20.16
Evaluated at bid price : 20.16
Bid-YTW : 5.38 %
BAM.PR.B Floater 1.07 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-08-03
Maturity Price : 10.41
Evaluated at bid price : 10.41
Bid-YTW : 4.58 %
CM.PR.O FixedReset 1.10 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-08-03
Maturity Price : 19.35
Evaluated at bid price : 19.35
Bid-YTW : 4.06 %
BMO.PR.M FixedReset 1.10 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 23.82
Bid-YTW : 3.64 %
BAM.PF.A FixedReset 1.12 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-08-03
Maturity Price : 19.78
Evaluated at bid price : 19.78
Bid-YTW : 4.68 %
BAM.PF.G FixedReset 1.17 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-08-03
Maturity Price : 20.83
Evaluated at bid price : 20.83
Bid-YTW : 4.49 %
NA.PR.S FixedReset 1.18 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-08-03
Maturity Price : 18.87
Evaluated at bid price : 18.87
Bid-YTW : 4.25 %
HSE.PR.G FixedReset 1.20 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-08-03
Maturity Price : 20.29
Evaluated at bid price : 20.29
Bid-YTW : 5.33 %
BAM.PF.B FixedReset 1.22 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-08-03
Maturity Price : 18.18
Evaluated at bid price : 18.18
Bid-YTW : 4.77 %
FTS.PR.G FixedReset 1.24 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-08-03
Maturity Price : 18.02
Evaluated at bid price : 18.02
Bid-YTW : 4.09 %
FTS.PR.K FixedReset 1.28 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-08-03
Maturity Price : 18.26
Evaluated at bid price : 18.26
Bid-YTW : 4.00 %
CM.PR.Q FixedReset 1.36 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-08-03
Maturity Price : 20.90
Evaluated at bid price : 20.90
Bid-YTW : 4.18 %
MFC.PR.J FixedReset 1.37 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 19.94
Bid-YTW : 6.68 %
TD.PF.E FixedReset 1.41 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-08-03
Maturity Price : 21.35
Evaluated at bid price : 21.65
Bid-YTW : 4.11 %
SLF.PR.G FixedReset 1.45 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 14.70
Bid-YTW : 9.38 %
BAM.PF.F FixedReset 1.49 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-08-03
Maturity Price : 20.45
Evaluated at bid price : 20.45
Bid-YTW : 4.55 %
TRP.PR.C FixedReset 1.51 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-08-03
Maturity Price : 12.79
Evaluated at bid price : 12.79
Bid-YTW : 4.34 %
VNR.PR.A FixedReset 1.59 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-08-03
Maturity Price : 17.88
Evaluated at bid price : 17.88
Bid-YTW : 4.96 %
HSE.PR.A FixedReset 1.61 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-08-03
Maturity Price : 12.00
Evaluated at bid price : 12.00
Bid-YTW : 5.03 %
SLF.PR.I FixedReset 1.63 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 19.32
Bid-YTW : 7.15 %
TRP.PR.B FixedReset 1.70 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-08-03
Maturity Price : 11.99
Evaluated at bid price : 11.99
Bid-YTW : 4.16 %
IAG.PR.G FixedReset 1.83 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 20.00
Bid-YTW : 6.82 %
HSE.PR.C FixedReset 1.92 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-08-03
Maturity Price : 18.61
Evaluated at bid price : 18.61
Bid-YTW : 5.35 %
Volume Highlights
Issue Index Shares
Traded
Notes
BIP.PR.C FixedReset 270,113 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2021-09-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.37
Bid-YTW : 5.06 %
FTS.PR.E OpRet 84,702 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Option Certainty
Maturity Date : 2016-09-02
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.28
Bid-YTW : 1.43 %
NA.PR.W FixedReset 84,425 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-08-03
Maturity Price : 18.28
Evaluated at bid price : 18.28
Bid-YTW : 4.23 %
TD.PF.G FixedReset 64,432 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2021-04-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.99
Bid-YTW : 3.68 %
TRP.PR.J FixedReset 63,038 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2021-05-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.56
Bid-YTW : 4.31 %
RY.PR.R FixedReset 58,343 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2021-08-24
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.93
Bid-YTW : 3.77 %
There were 28 other index-included issues trading in excess of 10,000 shares.
Wide Spread Highlights
Issue Index Quote Data and Yield Notes
IFC.PR.A FixedReset Quote: 15.18 – 15.67
Spot Rate : 0.4900
Average : 0.2752

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 15.18
Bid-YTW : 9.82 %

POW.PR.B Perpetual-Discount Quote: 25.49 – 25.94
Spot Rate : 0.4500
Average : 0.2935

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2016-09-02
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.49
Bid-YTW : -14.38 %

BMO.PR.Y FixedReset Quote: 20.87 – 21.29
Spot Rate : 0.4200
Average : 0.2826

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-08-03
Maturity Price : 20.87
Evaluated at bid price : 20.87
Bid-YTW : 4.14 %

NA.PR.W FixedReset Quote: 18.28 – 18.68
Spot Rate : 0.4000
Average : 0.2720

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-08-03
Maturity Price : 18.28
Evaluated at bid price : 18.28
Bid-YTW : 4.23 %

POW.PR.A Perpetual-Premium Quote: 25.64 – 25.99
Spot Rate : 0.3500
Average : 0.2253

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2016-09-02
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.64
Bid-YTW : -20.53 %

BNS.PR.A FloatingReset Quote: 23.07 – 23.40
Spot Rate : 0.3300
Average : 0.2083

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 23.07
Bid-YTW : 4.06 %

BPO Preferreds Guaranteed by BPY: Review-Developing, Says DBRS

Wednesday, August 3rd, 2016

Brookfield Office Properties has announced (although not yet on their website):

that BPY and other related entities of BPY have provided full and unconditional guarantees (the “Guarantees”) for all of the Company’s Class AAA Preference Shares (the “Preference Shares”) and all of the debt securities of the Company issued pursuant to its indenture dated December 8, 2009 (the “Debt Securities”).

At the time of entering into the Guarantees, the Company had C$2,363 million of Preference Shares outstanding and C$350 million principal amount of Debt Securities outstanding. As a result of the Guarantees, the Company has received an exemption from the requirements to file certain continuous disclosure documents with Canadian securities regulators, including financial statements, on the basis that holders of the Preference Shares and the Debt Securities will have access to certain continuous disclosure filings on BPY as the guarantor. Certain financial information of the Company will be included in the consolidated summary financial information in BPY’s consolidated annual financial statements and interim reports going forward. This will simplify the Company’s reporting requirements and reduce costs.

Each of the Guarantees will terminate (subject to any existing rights or claims at the time of such termination) upon, among other things, the date that no Preference Shares or Debt Securities, respectively, are outstanding. A copy of the Guarantees have been filed on SEDAR under the profile of the Company. Investors should refer to that filing for the complete terms of the Guarantees.

In response, DBRS has announced that it:

has today placed the ratings of Brookfield Office Properties Inc.’s (Brookfield or the Company) Senior Unsecured Notes and Cumulative Redeemable Preferred Shares, Class AAA (Preferred Shares) Under Review with Developing Implications. This rating action follows the announcement yesterday that Brookfield Property Partners (BPY) and other related entities of BPY will provide full and unconditional guarantees for all of Brookfield’s Senior Unsecured Notes ($350 million in principal amounts) and all of Brookfield’s Preferred Shares ($2.4 billion outstanding) at the time of entering into the guarantees.

DBRS will review the implications of the announcement and assess the credit risk profile of BPY, which is an indirect holding company of Brookfield, against the DBRS methodology, “Rating Holding Companies and Their Subsidiaries” (January 2016). DBRS will also review the guarantee documents for Brookfield’s Senior Unsecured Notes and Preferred Shares against the DBRS Criteria “Guarantees and Other Forms of Support” (February 2016). DBRS aims to resolve the Under Review status over the next several weeks.

Affected issues are: BPO.PR.A, BPO.PR.C, BPO.PR.J, BPO.PR.K, BPO.PR.N, BPO.PR.P, BPO.PR.R, BPO.PR.T, BPO.PR.W BPO.PR.X and BPO.PR.Y.

It is interesting to see another company reduce its reporting obligations by having its parent reporting issuer provide a guarantee. RONA recently did the same with a guarantee from Lowe’s.

BIP.PR.C Strong On Excellent Volume

Wednesday, August 3rd, 2016

Brookfield Infrastructure has announced:

the completion of its previously announced issue of Cumulative Class A Preferred Limited Partnership Units, Series 5 (“Series 5 Preferred Units”) in the amount of $250,000,000. The offering was underwritten by a syndicate led by TD Securities Inc., CIBC Capital Markets, RBC Capital Markets, and Scotiabank.

Brookfield Infrastructure issued 10,000,000 Series 5 Preferred Units at a price of $25.00 per unit, for total gross proceeds of $250,000,000. Holders of the Series 5 Preferred Units will be entitled to receive a cumulative quarterly fixed distribution yielding 5.35% annually for the initial period ending September 30, 2021. Thereafter, the distribution rate will be reset every five years at a rate equal to the greater of: (i) the 5-year Government of Canada bond yield plus 4.64%, and (ii) 5.35%. The Series 5 Preferred Units will commence trading on the Toronto Stock Exchange this morning under the ticker symbol BIP.PR.C.

BIP.PR.C is a FixedReset 5.35%+464M535 issue announced 2016-7-25. It will be remembered that distributions from this issue are not Eligible Dividends, but will be a mixture of Return of Capital and Ordinary Income, in proportions that will change from year to year.

The issue traded 1,330,574 shares today in a range of 25.31-45 before closing at 25.37-38, 10×133.

This issue will be tracked by HIMIPref™ and has been assigned to the FixedReset subindex. Vital statistics are:

BIP.PR.C FixedReset YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2021-09-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.37
Bid-YTW : 5.06 %

August 2, 2016

Wednesday, August 3rd, 2016
HIMIPref™ Preferred Indices
These values reflect the December 2008 revision of the HIMIPref™ Indices

Values are provisional and are finalized monthly
Index Mean
Current
Yield
(at bid)
Median
YTW
Median
Average
Trading
Value
Median
Mod Dur
(YTW)
Issues Day’s Perf. Index Value
Ratchet 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 -0.1962 % 1,683.4
FixedFloater 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 -0.1962 % 3,075.2
Floater 4.88 % 4.63 % 87,783 16.06 4 -0.1962 % 1,772.2
OpRet 4.85 % 1.38 % 47,478 0.08 1 -0.0791 % 2,845.9
SplitShare 5.11 % 5.35 % 99,441 4.55 5 0.0723 % 3,372.0
Interest-Bearing 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.0723 % 2,631.0
Perpetual-Premium 5.44 % -11.50 % 79,113 0.09 12 0.1322 % 2,706.0
Perpetual-Discount 5.16 % 5.08 % 105,797 14.77 26 0.1962 % 2,873.4
FixedReset 4.98 % 4.30 % 151,305 7.04 89 0.2505 % 2,044.7
Deemed-Retractible 4.99 % 4.79 % 119,051 3.30 32 0.3097 % 2,792.0
FloatingReset 2.95 % 4.34 % 30,989 5.13 11 0.1612 % 2,158.7
Performance Highlights
Issue Index Change Notes
BAM.PR.S FloatingReset -2.71 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-08-02
Maturity Price : 14.35
Evaluated at bid price : 14.35
Bid-YTW : 4.97 %
TRP.PR.A FixedReset -1.33 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-08-02
Maturity Price : 14.80
Evaluated at bid price : 14.80
Bid-YTW : 4.63 %
BAM.PR.X FixedReset -1.29 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-08-02
Maturity Price : 13.81
Evaluated at bid price : 13.81
Bid-YTW : 4.67 %
BAM.PR.T FixedReset -1.09 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-08-02
Maturity Price : 15.49
Evaluated at bid price : 15.49
Bid-YTW : 4.95 %
BIP.PR.A FixedReset 1.01 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-08-02
Maturity Price : 20.00
Evaluated at bid price : 20.00
Bid-YTW : 5.41 %
MFC.PR.N FixedReset 1.01 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 18.96
Bid-YTW : 7.33 %
MFC.PR.G FixedReset 1.02 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 19.85
Bid-YTW : 6.94 %
CU.PR.F Perpetual-Discount 1.08 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-08-02
Maturity Price : 22.15
Evaluated at bid price : 22.47
Bid-YTW : 5.07 %
GWO.PR.S Deemed-Retractible 1.09 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.97
Bid-YTW : 4.79 %
BNS.PR.Q FixedReset 1.10 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 23.96
Bid-YTW : 3.75 %
FTS.PR.H FixedReset 1.21 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-08-02
Maturity Price : 14.23
Evaluated at bid price : 14.23
Bid-YTW : 3.88 %
GWO.PR.I Deemed-Retractible 1.23 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 23.08
Bid-YTW : 5.75 %
PWF.PR.T FixedReset 1.28 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-08-02
Maturity Price : 20.63
Evaluated at bid price : 20.63
Bid-YTW : 3.85 %
GWO.PR.P Deemed-Retractible 1.37 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2020-03-31
Maturity Price : 25.25
Evaluated at bid price : 25.86
Bid-YTW : 4.80 %
SLF.PR.I FixedReset 1.39 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 19.01
Bid-YTW : 7.38 %
VNR.PR.A FixedReset 1.44 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-08-02
Maturity Price : 17.60
Evaluated at bid price : 17.60
Bid-YTW : 5.04 %
BNS.PR.R FixedReset 1.50 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 24.37
Bid-YTW : 3.67 %
MFC.PR.M FixedReset 1.87 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 19.07
Bid-YTW : 7.31 %
PWF.PR.P FixedReset 2.02 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-08-02
Maturity Price : 13.63
Evaluated at bid price : 13.63
Bid-YTW : 4.17 %
SLF.PR.H FixedReset 4.07 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 16.37
Bid-YTW : 8.74 %
Volume Highlights
Issue Index Shares
Traded
Notes
BIP.PR.C FixedReset 1,330,574 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2021-09-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.37
Bid-YTW : 5.06 %
TRP.PR.B FixedReset 61,000 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-08-02
Maturity Price : 11.79
Evaluated at bid price : 11.79
Bid-YTW : 4.23 %
BMO.PR.K Deemed-Retractible 45,759 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2016-09-01
Maturity Price : 25.25
Evaluated at bid price : 25.32
Bid-YTW : -2.15 %
RY.PR.A Deemed-Retractible 44,978 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2016-09-01
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.10
Bid-YTW : -3.64 %
CM.PR.O FixedReset 44,813 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-08-02
Maturity Price : 19.14
Evaluated at bid price : 19.14
Bid-YTW : 4.10 %
MFC.PR.G FixedReset 40,213 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 19.85
Bid-YTW : 6.94 %
There were 26 other index-included issues trading in excess of 10,000 shares.
Wide Spread Highlights
Issue Index Quote Data and Yield Notes
TD.PF.E FixedReset Quote: 21.35 – 21.88
Spot Rate : 0.5300
Average : 0.3306

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-08-02
Maturity Price : 21.35
Evaluated at bid price : 21.35
Bid-YTW : 4.19 %

RY.PR.L FixedReset Quote: 25.26 – 25.59
Spot Rate : 0.3300
Average : 0.2011

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.26
Bid-YTW : 3.52 %

BAM.PR.S FloatingReset Quote: 14.35 – 15.10
Spot Rate : 0.7500
Average : 0.6284

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-08-02
Maturity Price : 14.35
Evaluated at bid price : 14.35
Bid-YTW : 4.97 %

FTS.PR.J Perpetual-Discount Quote: 23.90 – 24.24
Spot Rate : 0.3400
Average : 0.2416

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-08-02
Maturity Price : 23.44
Evaluated at bid price : 23.90
Bid-YTW : 5.03 %

TRP.PR.B FixedReset Quote: 11.79 – 12.20
Spot Rate : 0.4100
Average : 0.3133

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-08-02
Maturity Price : 11.79
Evaluated at bid price : 11.79
Bid-YTW : 4.23 %

FTS.PR.F Perpetual-Discount Quote: 24.85 – 25.15
Spot Rate : 0.3000
Average : 0.2044

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-08-02
Maturity Price : 24.60
Evaluated at bid price : 24.85
Bid-YTW : 5.00 %

BCE.PR.I / BCE.PR.J: Ratchet Proportion Increases 35 Points To 58%

Tuesday, August 2nd, 2016

BCE Inc. has announced:

that 5,081,951 of its 10,754,990 fixed-rate Cumulative Redeemable First Preferred Shares, Series AI (“Series AI Preferred Shares”) have been tendered for conversion on August 1, 2016, on a one-for-one basis, into floating-rate Cumulative Redeemable First Preferred Shares, Series AJ (“Series AJ Preferred Shares”). In addition, 276,845 of its 3,245,010 Series AJ Preferred Shares have been tendered for conversion on August 1, 2016, on a one-for-one basis, into Series AI Preferred Shares. Consequently, on August 1, 2016, BCE will have 5,949,884 Series AI Preferred Shares and 8,050,116 Series AJ Preferred Shares issued and outstanding. The Series AI Preferred Shares and the Series AJ Preferred Shares will continue to be listed on the Toronto Stock Exchange under the symbols BCE.PR.I and BCE.PR.J, respectively.

The Series AI Preferred Shares will pay on a quarterly basis, for the five-year period beginning on August 1, 2016, as and when declared by the Board of Directors of BCE, a fixed cash dividend based on an annual fixed dividend rate of 2.75%.

The Series AJ Preferred Shares will continue to pay a monthly floating adjustable cash dividend for the five-year period beginning on August 1, 2016, as and when declared by the Board of Directors of BCE. The monthly floating adjustable dividend for any particular month will continue to be calculated based on the prime rate for such month and using the Designated Percentage for such month representing the sum of an adjustment factor (based on the market price of the Series AJ Preferred Shares in the preceding month) and the Designated Percentage for the preceding month.

The issues closed the day at 13.45-64 (BCE.PR.I) and 13.95-10 (BCE.PR.J), resulting in an implied Canada Prime breakeven rate of 3.25%. This is consistent with other FixedFloater / RatchetRate Strong Pairs and up from the mid-July break-even rate of about 3.00%. Assiduous Readers will remember that I advised converting to, or continuing to hold, BCE.PR.J

MAPF Performance: July 2016

Monday, August 1st, 2016

Malachite Aggressive Preferred Fund’s Net Asset Value per Unit as of the close July 29, 2016, was $7.9489

Returns to July 29, 2016
Period MAPF BMO-CM “50” Index TXPR
Total Return
CPD – according to Blackrock
One Month +3.63% +3.65% +3.61% N/A
Three Months +3.71% +2.96%% +3.49% N/A
One Year -6.29% -2.18% -2.41% -2.98%
Two Years (annualized) -8.49% -6.70% -7.05% N/A
Three Years (annualized) -2.89% -3.29% -3.26% -3.67%
Four Years (annualized) -1.70% -2.05% -2.35% N/A
Five Years (annualized) -0.81% -0.78% -1.07% -1.51%
Six Years (annualized) +1.78% +1.41% +0.77%  
Seven Years (annualized) +3.63% +2.58% +1.77%  
Eight Years (annualized) +9.12% +3.06% +2.27%  
Nine Years (annualized) +7.18% +1.82% +1.04%  
Ten Years (annualized) +7.02% +1.71%    
Eleven Years (annualized) +6.80% +1.83%    
Twelve Years (annualized) +6.84% +2.10%    
Thirteen Years (annualized) +7.75% +2.39%    
Fourteen Years (annualized) +8.14% +2.67%    
Fifteen Years (annualized) +7.58% +2.49%    
MAPF returns assume reinvestment of distributions, and are shown after expenses but before fees.
CPD Returns are for the NAV and are after all fees and expenses.
Figures for National Bank Preferred Equity Income Fund (formerly Omega Preferred Equity) (which are after all fees and expenses) for 1-, 3- and 12-months are +3.33%, +3.31% and -2.14%, respectively, according to Morningstar after all fees & expenses. Three year performance is -1.54%; five year is +0.08%
Figures for Manulife Preferred Income Class Adv [into which was merged Manulife Preferred Income Fund (formerly AIC Preferred Income Fund)] (which are after all fees and expenses) for 1-, 3- and 12-months are +4.69%, +3.72% & -4.50%, respectively. It will be noted that AIC Preferred Income Fund was in existence prior to August, 2009, but long term performance figures have been suppressed.
Figures for Horizons Active Preferred Share ETF (which are after all fees and expenses) for 1-, 3- and 12-months are +3.40%, +3.23% & -1.08%, respectively. Three year performance is -1.89%, five-year is +0.21%
Figures for National Bank Preferred Equity Fund (formerly Altamira Preferred Equity Fund) are -%, +% and -% for one-, three- and twelve months, respectively. Three year performance is -%

According to the fund’s fact sheet as of June 30, 2016, the fund’s inception date was October 30, 2015. I do not know how they justify this nonsensical statement, but will assume that prior performance is being suppressed in some perfectly legal manner.

The figure for BMO S&P/TSX Laddered Preferred Share Index ETF is -6.68% for twelve months. Two year performance is -12.26%, three year is -7.34%.
Figures for NexGen Canadian Preferred Share Tax Managed Fund (Dividend Tax Credit Class, the best performing) are -%, +% and -% for one-, three- and twelve-months, respectively.
Figures for BMO Preferred Share Fund are +3.25% and -2.67% for the past three- and twelve-months, respectively.
Figures for PowerShares Canadian Preferred Share Index Class, Series F are -1.10% for the past twelve months. The three-year figure is -3.60%; five years is -2.23%
Figures for the First Asset Preferred Share Investment Trust (PSF.UN) are +1.80%, +1.58% and -14.38% for the past one, three and twelve months, respectively. The two-, three-, four- and five-year figures are -14.57%, -9.39%, -7.03% and -5.46%, respectively.

MAPF returns assume reinvestment of dividends, and are shown after expenses but before fees. Past performance is not a guarantee of future performance. You can lose money investing in Malachite Aggressive Preferred Fund or any other fund. For more information, see the fund’s main page. The fund is available either directly from Hymas Investment Management or through a brokerage account at Odlum Brown Limited.

Calculation of MAPF Sustainable Income Per Unit
Month NAVPU Portfolio
Average
YTW
Leverage
Divisor
Securities
Average
YTW
Capital
Gains
Multiplier
Sustainable
Income
per
current
Unit
June, 2007 9.3114 5.16% 1.03 5.01% 1.3240 0.3524
September 9.1489 5.35% 0.98 5.46% 1.3240 0.3773
December, 2007 9.0070 5.53% 0.942 5.87% 1.3240 0.3993
March, 2008 8.8512 6.17% 1.047 5.89% 1.3240 0.3938
June 8.3419 6.034% 0.952 6.338% 1.3240 $0.3993
September 8.1886 7.108% 0.969 7.335% 1.3240 $0.4537
December, 2008 8.0464 9.24% 1.008 9.166% 1.3240 $0.5571
March 2009 $8.8317 8.60% 0.995 8.802% 1.3240 $0.5872
June 10.9846 7.05% 0.999 7.057% 1.3240 $0.5855
September 12.3462 6.03% 0.998 6.042% 1.3240 $0.5634
December 2009 10.5662 5.74% 0.981 5.851% 1.1141 $0.5549
March 2010 10.2497 6.03% 0.992 6.079% 1.1141 $0.5593
June 10.5770 5.96% 0.996 5.984% 1.1141 $0.5681
September 11.3901 5.43% 0.980 5.540% 1.1141 $0.5664
December 2010 10.7659 5.37% 0.993 5.408% 1.0298 $0.5654
March, 2011 11.0560 6.00% 0.994 5.964% 1.0298 $0.6403
June 11.1194 5.87% 1.018 5.976% 1.0298 $0.6453
September 10.2709 6.10%
Note
1.001 6.106% 1.0298 $0.6090
December, 2011 10.0793 5.63%
Note
1.031 5.805% 1.0000 $0.5851
March, 2012 10.3944 5.13%
Note
0.996 5.109% 1.0000 $0.5310
June 10.2151 5.32%
Note
1.012 5.384% 1.0000 $0.5500
September 10.6703 4.61%
Note
0.997 4.624% 1.0000 $0.4934
December, 2012 10.8307 4.24% 0.989 4.287% 1.0000 $0.4643
March, 2013 10.9033 3.87% 0.996 3.886% 1.0000 $0.4237
June 10.3261 4.81% 0.998 4.80% 1.0000 $0.4957
September 10.0296 5.62% 0.996 5.643% 1.0000 $0.5660
December, 2013 9.8717 6.02% 1.008 5.972% 1.0000 $0.5895
March, 2014 10.2233 5.55% 0.998 5.561% 1.0000 $0.5685
June 10.5877 5.09% 0.998 5.100% 1.0000 $0.5395
September 10.4601 5.28% 0.997 5.296% 1.0000 $0.5540
December, 2014 10.5701 4.83% 1.009 4.787% 1.0000 $0.5060
March, 2015 9.9573 4.99% 1.001 4.985% 1.0000 $0.4964
June, 2015 9.4181 5.55% 1.002 5.539% 1.0000 $0.5217
September, 2015 7.8140 6.98% 0.999 6.987% 1.0000 $0.5460
December, 2015 8.1379 6.85% 0.997 6.871% 1.0000 $0.5592
March, 2016 7.4416 7.79% 0.998 7.805% 1.0000 $0.5808
June 7.6704 7.67% 1.011 7.587% 1.0000 $0.5819
July, 2016 7.9489 7.59% 1.009 7.522% 1.0000 $0.5979
NAVPU is shown after quarterly distributions of dividend income and annual distribution of capital gains.
Portfolio YTW includes cash (or margin borrowing), with an assumed interest rate of 0.00%
The Leverage Divisor indicates the level of cash in the account: if the portfolio is 1% in cash, the Leverage Divisor will be 0.99
Securities YTW divides “Portfolio YTW” by the “Leverage Divisor” to show the average YTW on the securities held; this assumes that the cash is invested in (or raised from) all securities held, in proportion to their holdings.
The Capital Gains Multiplier adjusts for the effects of Capital Gains Dividends. On 2009-12-31, there was a capital gains distribution of $1.989262 which is assumed for this purpose to have been reinvested at the final price of $10.5662. Thus, a holder of one unit pre-distribution would have held 1.1883 units post-distribution; the CG Multiplier reflects this to make the time-series comparable. Note that Dividend Distributions are not assumed to be reinvested.
Sustainable Income is the resultant estimate of the fund’s dividend income per current unit, before fees and expenses. Note that a “current unit” includes reinvestment of prior capital gains; a unitholder would have had the calculated sustainable income with only, say, 0.9 units in the past which, with reinvestment of capital gains, would become 1.0 current units.
DeemedRetractibles are comprised of all Straight Perpetuals (both PerpetualDiscount and PerpetualPremium) issued by BMO, BNS, CM, ELF, GWO, HSB, IAG, MFC, NA, RY, SLF and TD, which are not exchangable into common at the option of the company (definition refined in May, 2011). These issues are analyzed as if their prospectuses included a requirement to redeem at par on or prior to 2022-1-31 (banks) or 2025-1-31 (insurers and insurance holding companies), in addition to the call schedule explicitly defined. See OSFI Does Not Grandfather Extant Tier 1 Capital, CM.PR.D, CM.PR.E, CM.PR.G: Seeking NVCC Status and the January, February, March and June, 2011, editions of PrefLetter for the rationale behind this analysis.

The same reasoning is also applied to FixedResets from these issuers, other than explicitly defined NVCC from banks.

Yields for September, 2011, to January, 2012, were calculated by imposing a cap of 10% on the yields of YLO issues held, in order to avoid their extremely high calculated yields distorting the calculation and to reflect the uncertainty in the marketplace that these yields will be realized. From February to September 2012, yields on these issues have been set to zero. All YLO issues held were sold in October 2012.

These calculations were performed assuming constant contemporary GOC-5 and 3-Month Bill rates, as follows:

Canada Yields Assumed in Calculations
Month-end GOC-5 3-Month Bill
September, 2015 0.78% 0.40%
December, 2015 0.71% 0.46%
March, 2016 0.70% 0.44%
June, 2016 0.57% 0.47%
July, 2016 0.65% 0.51%

Significant positions were held in NVCC non-compliant regulated FixedReset issues on June 30, 2016; all of these currently have their yields calculated with the presumption that they will be called by the issuers at par prior to 2022-1-31 (banks) or 2025-1-31 (insurers and insurance holding companies) or on a different date (SplitShares) This presents another complication in the calculation of sustainable yield, which also assumes that redemption proceeds will be reinvested at the same rate.

I will also note that the sustainable yield calculated above is not directly comparable with any yield calculation currently reported by any other preferred share fund as far as I am aware. The Sustainable Yield depends on:
i) Calculating Yield-to-Worst for each instrument and using this yield for reporting purposes;
ii) Using the contemporary value of Five-Year Canadas to estimate dividends after reset for FixedResets. The assumption regarding the five-year Canada rate has become more important as the proportion of low-spread FixedResets in the portfolio has increased.
iii) Making the assumption that deeply discounted NVCC non-compliant issues from both banks and insurers, both Straight and FixedResets will be redeemed at par on their DeemedMaturity date as discussed above.