Even the pretense of independent analysis is being eroded:
Indonesia’s decision to cut business ties with J.P. Morgan Chase & Co. after a downgrade highlights the fine line banks and ratings companies walk.
…
Emerging-country governments often react strongly to sovereign-ratings downgrades, which can raise the cost of borrowing in international capital markets. The offense in this case, though, was a downgrade of Indonesia’s stocks, partly occasioned by Donald Trump’s U.S. election win—a ratings change that the country’s finance ministry said could destabilize the financial system.The ministry responded by ending all partnerships with J.P. Morgan as of Jan. 1, including the bank’s role as a government-appointed primary dealer in certain bond auctions. For a nation to completely cut off a bank that way appears rare. It was a first for Indonesia.
The decision was the product of several run-ins between Southeast Asia’s biggest country and the largest U.S. bank by assets, the ministry’s director of debt portfolio and strategy, Schneider Siahaan, told The Wall Street Journal.
It was the third time a J.P. Morgan ratings call threatened to exacerbate selloffs, Mr. Siahaan said—in 2008 and 2015 Indonesia issued warnings to the bank after its research division downgraded the government’s rupiah bonds—and the government believes J.P. Morgan has a conflict of interest.
PerpetualDiscounts now yield 5.38%, equivalent to 6.99% interest at the standard equivalency factor of 1.3x. Long corporates now yield about 4.05%, so the pre-tax interest-equivalent spread (in this context, the “Seniority Spread”) is now about 295bp, a slight (and perhaps spurious) narrowing from the 300bp reported December 14.
HIMIPref™ Preferred Indices These values reflect the December 2008 revision of the HIMIPref™ Indices Values are provisional and are finalized monthly |
|||||||
Index | Mean Current Yield (at bid) |
Median YTW |
Median Average Trading Value |
Median Mod Dur (YTW) |
Issues | Day’s Perf. | Index Value |
Ratchet | 4.28 % | 5.15 % | 24,381 | 17.71 | 1 | 0.1270 % | 1,815.2 |
FixedFloater | 0.00 % | 0.00 % | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0.8168 % | 3,338.8 |
Floater | 4.14 % | 4.24 % | 55,985 | 16.97 | 4 | 0.8168 % | 1,924.2 |
OpRet | 0.00 % | 0.00 % | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | -0.0594 % | 2,940.2 |
SplitShare | 4.82 % | 4.49 % | 81,960 | 4.24 | 6 | -0.0594 % | 3,511.3 |
Interest-Bearing | 0.00 % | 0.00 % | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | -0.0594 % | 2,739.6 |
Perpetual-Premium | 5.57 % | 4.94 % | 80,287 | 0.09 | 13 | 0.2705 % | 2,684.7 |
Perpetual-Discount | 5.31 % | 5.38 % | 96,238 | 14.78 | 25 | 0.4171 % | 2,798.9 |
FixedReset | 4.62 % | 4.43 % | 233,343 | 6.79 | 96 | 0.9504 % | 2,213.8 |
Deemed-Retractible | 5.13 % | 4.48 % | 134,719 | 3.76 | 32 | 0.5567 % | 2,778.1 |
FloatingReset | 2.47 % | 3.45 % | 40,637 | 4.77 | 11 | 0.6687 % | 2,376.9 |
Performance Highlights | |||
Issue | Index | Change | Notes |
TRP.PR.D | FixedReset | 1.01 % | YTW SCENARIO Maturity Type : Limit Maturity Maturity Date : 2047-01-04 Maturity Price : 18.95 Evaluated at bid price : 18.95 Bid-YTW : 4.73 % |
BMO.PR.R | FloatingReset | 1.03 % | YTW SCENARIO Maturity Type : Hard Maturity Maturity Date : 2022-01-31 Maturity Price : 25.00 Evaluated at bid price : 23.54 Bid-YTW : 3.32 % |
GWO.PR.Q | Deemed-Retractible | 1.05 % | YTW SCENARIO Maturity Type : Hard Maturity Maturity Date : 2025-01-31 Maturity Price : 25.00 Evaluated at bid price : 24.15 Bid-YTW : 5.73 % |
TD.PF.A | FixedReset | 1.05 % | YTW SCENARIO Maturity Type : Limit Maturity Maturity Date : 2047-01-04 Maturity Price : 20.22 Evaluated at bid price : 20.22 Bid-YTW : 4.35 % |
GWO.PR.M | Deemed-Retractible | 1.05 % | YTW SCENARIO Maturity Type : Call Maturity Date : 2017-03-31 Maturity Price : 25.50 Evaluated at bid price : 25.87 Bid-YTW : -0.21 % |
SLF.PR.A | Deemed-Retractible | 1.06 % | YTW SCENARIO Maturity Type : Hard Maturity Maturity Date : 2025-01-31 Maturity Price : 25.00 Evaluated at bid price : 22.88 Bid-YTW : 6.14 % |
TRP.PR.E | FixedReset | 1.07 % | YTW SCENARIO Maturity Type : Limit Maturity Maturity Date : 2047-01-04 Maturity Price : 19.86 Evaluated at bid price : 19.86 Bid-YTW : 4.54 % |
PWF.PR.S | Perpetual-Discount | 1.07 % | YTW SCENARIO Maturity Type : Limit Maturity Maturity Date : 2047-01-04 Maturity Price : 22.30 Evaluated at bid price : 22.59 Bid-YTW : 5.39 % |
GWO.PR.G | Deemed-Retractible | 1.08 % | YTW SCENARIO Maturity Type : Hard Maturity Maturity Date : 2025-01-31 Maturity Price : 25.00 Evaluated at bid price : 24.41 Bid-YTW : 5.61 % |
GWO.PR.H | Deemed-Retractible | 1.11 % | YTW SCENARIO Maturity Type : Hard Maturity Maturity Date : 2025-01-31 Maturity Price : 25.00 Evaluated at bid price : 22.84 Bid-YTW : 6.28 % |
GWO.PR.S | Deemed-Retractible | 1.11 % | YTW SCENARIO Maturity Type : Hard Maturity Maturity Date : 2025-01-31 Maturity Price : 25.00 Evaluated at bid price : 24.64 Bid-YTW : 5.52 % |
BAM.PF.G | FixedReset | 1.16 % | YTW SCENARIO Maturity Type : Limit Maturity Maturity Date : 2047-01-04 Maturity Price : 22.14 Evaluated at bid price : 22.61 Bid-YTW : 4.50 % |
RY.PR.Z | FixedReset | 1.17 % | YTW SCENARIO Maturity Type : Limit Maturity Maturity Date : 2047-01-04 Maturity Price : 19.84 Evaluated at bid price : 19.84 Bid-YTW : 4.38 % |
CM.PR.Q | FixedReset | 1.18 % | YTW SCENARIO Maturity Type : Limit Maturity Maturity Date : 2047-01-04 Maturity Price : 21.97 Evaluated at bid price : 22.36 Bid-YTW : 4.30 % |
CU.PR.I | FixedReset | 1.18 % | YTW SCENARIO Maturity Type : Call Maturity Date : 2020-12-01 Maturity Price : 25.00 Evaluated at bid price : 27.43 Bid-YTW : 2.02 % |
HSE.PR.E | FixedReset | 1.18 % | YTW SCENARIO Maturity Type : Limit Maturity Maturity Date : 2047-01-04 Maturity Price : 22.45 Evaluated at bid price : 23.06 Bid-YTW : 5.06 % |
EML.PR.A | FixedReset | 1.19 % | YTW SCENARIO Maturity Type : Call Maturity Date : 2021-04-17 Maturity Price : 25.00 Evaluated at bid price : 26.46 Bid-YTW : 4.22 % |
MFC.PR.R | FixedReset | 1.20 % | YTW SCENARIO Maturity Type : Call Maturity Date : 2022-03-19 Maturity Price : 25.00 Evaluated at bid price : 25.40 Bid-YTW : 4.65 % |
TD.PF.E | FixedReset | 1.22 % | YTW SCENARIO Maturity Type : Limit Maturity Maturity Date : 2047-01-04 Maturity Price : 22.52 Evaluated at bid price : 23.29 Bid-YTW : 4.25 % |
BIP.PR.A | FixedReset | 1.22 % | YTW SCENARIO Maturity Type : Limit Maturity Maturity Date : 2047-01-04 Maturity Price : 21.28 Evaluated at bid price : 21.56 Bid-YTW : 5.43 % |
MFC.PR.J | FixedReset | 1.27 % | YTW SCENARIO Maturity Type : Hard Maturity Maturity Date : 2025-01-31 Maturity Price : 25.00 Evaluated at bid price : 22.25 Bid-YTW : 5.55 % |
FTS.PR.H | FixedReset | 1.27 % | YTW SCENARIO Maturity Type : Limit Maturity Maturity Date : 2047-01-04 Maturity Price : 14.30 Evaluated at bid price : 14.30 Bid-YTW : 4.55 % |
PWF.PR.A | Floater | 1.31 % | YTW SCENARIO Maturity Type : Limit Maturity Maturity Date : 2047-01-04 Maturity Price : 12.41 Evaluated at bid price : 12.41 Bid-YTW : 3.85 % |
BMO.PR.Z | Perpetual-Discount | 1.38 % | YTW SCENARIO Maturity Type : Limit Maturity Maturity Date : 2047-01-04 Maturity Price : 24.53 Evaluated at bid price : 24.94 Bid-YTW : 5.05 % |
TRP.PR.H | FloatingReset | 1.41 % | YTW SCENARIO Maturity Type : Limit Maturity Maturity Date : 2047-01-04 Maturity Price : 12.26 Evaluated at bid price : 12.26 Bid-YTW : 3.48 % |
SLF.PR.I | FixedReset | 1.42 % | YTW SCENARIO Maturity Type : Hard Maturity Maturity Date : 2025-01-31 Maturity Price : 25.00 Evaluated at bid price : 22.07 Bid-YTW : 5.69 % |
GWO.PR.N | FixedReset | 1.46 % | YTW SCENARIO Maturity Type : Hard Maturity Maturity Date : 2025-01-31 Maturity Price : 25.00 Evaluated at bid price : 14.58 Bid-YTW : 9.96 % |
BMO.PR.Y | FixedReset | 1.53 % | YTW SCENARIO Maturity Type : Limit Maturity Maturity Date : 2047-01-04 Maturity Price : 22.06 Evaluated at bid price : 22.50 Bid-YTW : 4.28 % |
MFC.PR.I | FixedReset | 1.54 % | YTW SCENARIO Maturity Type : Hard Maturity Maturity Date : 2025-01-31 Maturity Price : 25.00 Evaluated at bid price : 23.12 Bid-YTW : 5.24 % |
MFC.PR.F | FixedReset | 1.54 % | YTW SCENARIO Maturity Type : Hard Maturity Maturity Date : 2025-01-31 Maturity Price : 25.00 Evaluated at bid price : 14.52 Bid-YTW : 10.07 % |
RY.PR.J | FixedReset | 1.57 % | YTW SCENARIO Maturity Type : Limit Maturity Maturity Date : 2047-01-04 Maturity Price : 21.68 Evaluated at bid price : 21.94 Bid-YTW : 4.40 % |
BMO.PR.W | FixedReset | 1.58 % | YTW SCENARIO Maturity Type : Limit Maturity Maturity Date : 2047-01-04 Maturity Price : 19.92 Evaluated at bid price : 19.92 Bid-YTW : 4.35 % |
RY.PR.H | FixedReset | 1.68 % | YTW SCENARIO Maturity Type : Limit Maturity Maturity Date : 2047-01-04 Maturity Price : 19.99 Evaluated at bid price : 19.99 Bid-YTW : 4.39 % |
BAM.PF.A | FixedReset | 1.68 % | YTW SCENARIO Maturity Type : Limit Maturity Maturity Date : 2047-01-04 Maturity Price : 21.45 Evaluated at bid price : 21.79 Bid-YTW : 4.69 % |
BAM.PR.X | FixedReset | 1.70 % | YTW SCENARIO Maturity Type : Limit Maturity Maturity Date : 2047-01-04 Maturity Price : 15.51 Evaluated at bid price : 15.51 Bid-YTW : 4.81 % |
MFC.PR.G | FixedReset | 1.72 % | YTW SCENARIO Maturity Type : Hard Maturity Maturity Date : 2025-01-31 Maturity Price : 25.00 Evaluated at bid price : 22.52 Bid-YTW : 5.54 % |
TRP.PR.B | FixedReset | 1.78 % | YTW SCENARIO Maturity Type : Limit Maturity Maturity Date : 2047-01-04 Maturity Price : 13.69 Evaluated at bid price : 13.69 Bid-YTW : 4.36 % |
BAM.PF.F | FixedReset | 1.82 % | YTW SCENARIO Maturity Type : Limit Maturity Maturity Date : 2047-01-04 Maturity Price : 22.08 Evaluated at bid price : 22.42 Bid-YTW : 4.55 % |
BMO.PR.S | FixedReset | 1.82 % | YTW SCENARIO Maturity Type : Limit Maturity Maturity Date : 2047-01-04 Maturity Price : 20.70 Evaluated at bid price : 20.70 Bid-YTW : 4.32 % |
BAM.PF.B | FixedReset | 1.83 % | YTW SCENARIO Maturity Type : Limit Maturity Maturity Date : 2047-01-04 Maturity Price : 20.07 Evaluated at bid price : 20.07 Bid-YTW : 4.79 % |
BAM.PR.T | FixedReset | 1.83 % | YTW SCENARIO Maturity Type : Limit Maturity Maturity Date : 2047-01-04 Maturity Price : 17.83 Evaluated at bid price : 17.83 Bid-YTW : 4.87 % |
HSE.PR.C | FixedReset | 1.84 % | YTW SCENARIO Maturity Type : Limit Maturity Maturity Date : 2047-01-04 Maturity Price : 21.83 Evaluated at bid price : 22.10 Bid-YTW : 4.89 % |
CM.PR.O | FixedReset | 1.87 % | YTW SCENARIO Maturity Type : Limit Maturity Maturity Date : 2047-01-04 Maturity Price : 20.20 Evaluated at bid price : 20.20 Bid-YTW : 4.37 % |
BAM.PF.E | FixedReset | 1.88 % | YTW SCENARIO Maturity Type : Limit Maturity Maturity Date : 2047-01-04 Maturity Price : 21.09 Evaluated at bid price : 21.09 Bid-YTW : 4.55 % |
NA.PR.S | FixedReset | 1.89 % | YTW SCENARIO Maturity Type : Limit Maturity Maturity Date : 2047-01-04 Maturity Price : 19.97 Evaluated at bid price : 19.97 Bid-YTW : 4.51 % |
PWF.PR.P | FixedReset | 1.93 % | YTW SCENARIO Maturity Type : Limit Maturity Maturity Date : 2047-01-04 Maturity Price : 14.76 Evaluated at bid price : 14.76 Bid-YTW : 4.55 % |
RY.PR.M | FixedReset | 1.96 % | YTW SCENARIO Maturity Type : Limit Maturity Maturity Date : 2047-01-04 Maturity Price : 21.61 Evaluated at bid price : 21.89 Bid-YTW : 4.29 % |
TRP.PR.C | FixedReset | 1.99 % | YTW SCENARIO Maturity Type : Limit Maturity Maturity Date : 2047-01-04 Maturity Price : 14.32 Evaluated at bid price : 14.32 Bid-YTW : 4.53 % |
MFC.PR.M | FixedReset | 2.00 % | YTW SCENARIO Maturity Type : Hard Maturity Maturity Date : 2025-01-31 Maturity Price : 25.00 Evaluated at bid price : 20.86 Bid-YTW : 6.37 % |
CM.PR.P | FixedReset | 2.10 % | YTW SCENARIO Maturity Type : Limit Maturity Maturity Date : 2047-01-04 Maturity Price : 19.91 Evaluated at bid price : 19.91 Bid-YTW : 4.33 % |
IAG.PR.G | FixedReset | 2.16 % | YTW SCENARIO Maturity Type : Hard Maturity Maturity Date : 2025-01-31 Maturity Price : 25.00 Evaluated at bid price : 23.21 Bid-YTW : 5.13 % |
MFC.PR.N | FixedReset | 2.20 % | YTW SCENARIO Maturity Type : Hard Maturity Maturity Date : 2025-01-31 Maturity Price : 25.00 Evaluated at bid price : 20.92 Bid-YTW : 6.26 % |
PWF.PR.T | FixedReset | 2.26 % | YTW SCENARIO Maturity Type : Limit Maturity Maturity Date : 2047-01-04 Maturity Price : 21.27 Evaluated at bid price : 21.27 Bid-YTW : 4.29 % |
IFC.PR.C | FixedReset | 2.39 % | YTW SCENARIO Maturity Type : Hard Maturity Maturity Date : 2025-01-31 Maturity Price : 25.00 Evaluated at bid price : 21.38 Bid-YTW : 5.81 % |
TRP.PR.A | FixedReset | 2.46 % | YTW SCENARIO Maturity Type : Limit Maturity Maturity Date : 2047-01-04 Maturity Price : 16.68 Evaluated at bid price : 16.68 Bid-YTW : 4.67 % |
SLF.PR.H | FixedReset | 2.50 % | YTW SCENARIO Maturity Type : Hard Maturity Maturity Date : 2025-01-31 Maturity Price : 25.00 Evaluated at bid price : 18.07 Bid-YTW : 7.72 % |
TRP.PR.G | FixedReset | 2.58 % | YTW SCENARIO Maturity Type : Limit Maturity Maturity Date : 2047-01-04 Maturity Price : 22.15 Evaluated at bid price : 22.68 Bid-YTW : 4.46 % |
MFC.PR.L | FixedReset | 2.60 % | YTW SCENARIO Maturity Type : Hard Maturity Maturity Date : 2025-01-31 Maturity Price : 25.00 Evaluated at bid price : 20.51 Bid-YTW : 6.45 % |
HSE.PR.A | FixedReset | 2.61 % | YTW SCENARIO Maturity Type : Limit Maturity Maturity Date : 2047-01-04 Maturity Price : 13.77 Evaluated at bid price : 13.77 Bid-YTW : 5.05 % |
MFC.PR.K | FixedReset | 2.69 % | YTW SCENARIO Maturity Type : Hard Maturity Maturity Date : 2025-01-31 Maturity Price : 25.00 Evaluated at bid price : 20.23 Bid-YTW : 6.61 % |
TRP.PR.F | FloatingReset | 2.71 % | YTW SCENARIO Maturity Type : Limit Maturity Maturity Date : 2047-01-04 Maturity Price : 15.55 Evaluated at bid price : 15.55 Bid-YTW : 3.78 % |
IFC.PR.A | FixedReset | 3.34 % | YTW SCENARIO Maturity Type : Hard Maturity Maturity Date : 2025-01-31 Maturity Price : 25.00 Evaluated at bid price : 17.92 Bid-YTW : 7.87 % |
Volume Highlights | |||
Issue | Index | Shares Traded |
Notes |
MFC.PR.R | FixedReset | 308,863 | YTW SCENARIO Maturity Type : Call Maturity Date : 2022-03-19 Maturity Price : 25.00 Evaluated at bid price : 25.40 Bid-YTW : 4.65 % |
PWF.PR.P | FixedReset | 166,100 | YTW SCENARIO Maturity Type : Limit Maturity Maturity Date : 2047-01-04 Maturity Price : 14.76 Evaluated at bid price : 14.76 Bid-YTW : 4.55 % |
BMO.PR.T | FixedReset | 159,177 | YTW SCENARIO Maturity Type : Limit Maturity Maturity Date : 2047-01-04 Maturity Price : 19.72 Evaluated at bid price : 19.72 Bid-YTW : 4.43 % |
TD.PF.C | FixedReset | 139,560 | YTW SCENARIO Maturity Type : Limit Maturity Maturity Date : 2047-01-04 Maturity Price : 19.85 Evaluated at bid price : 19.85 Bid-YTW : 4.42 % |
TRP.PR.D | FixedReset | 126,330 | YTW SCENARIO Maturity Type : Limit Maturity Maturity Date : 2047-01-04 Maturity Price : 18.95 Evaluated at bid price : 18.95 Bid-YTW : 4.73 % |
TD.PF.H | FixedReset | 64,765 | YTW SCENARIO Maturity Type : Call Maturity Date : 2021-10-31 Maturity Price : 25.00 Evaluated at bid price : 25.80 Bid-YTW : 4.36 % |
There were 40 other index-included issues trading in excess of 10,000 shares. |
Wide Spread Highlights | ||
Issue | Index | Quote Data and Yield Notes |
RY.PR.M | FixedReset | Quote: 21.89 – 22.90 Spot Rate : 1.0100 Average : 0.5910 YTW SCENARIO |
CU.PR.I | FixedReset | Quote: 27.43 – 28.05 Spot Rate : 0.6200 Average : 0.3712 YTW SCENARIO |
SLF.PR.G | FixedReset | Quote: 15.45 – 16.00 Spot Rate : 0.5500 Average : 0.3382 YTW SCENARIO |
BNS.PR.Q | FixedReset | Quote: 24.58 – 24.95 Spot Rate : 0.3700 Average : 0.2072 YTW SCENARIO |
BNS.PR.Y | FixedReset | Quote: 21.34 – 21.77 Spot Rate : 0.4300 Average : 0.2787 YTW SCENARIO |
BAM.PF.G | FixedReset | Quote: 22.61 – 22.92 Spot Rate : 0.3100 Average : 0.2133 YTW SCENARIO |
BCE.PR.L Posted for Trading: No Trades
Wednesday, January 4th, 2017As previously announced the FloatingReset BCE.PR.L was posted for trading today, as a result of a partial exchange from BCE.PR.K which reset at 2.954%.
There were no trades, due to gross inefficiencies in the system and sheer boneheadedness that result from the banks having a hegemony over the Canadian financial system.
There was, however, a bid, from which we can calculate some vital statistics:
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2047-01-03
Maturity Price : 12.77
Evaluated at bid price : 12.77
Bid-YTW : 4.55 %
BCE.PR.L will be tracked by HIMIPref™, but relegated to the Scraps index on credit concerns. It will reset quarterly to pay 3-month bills plus 188bp on the par value of $25.00.
The new BCE.PR.K / BCE.PR.L Strong Pair allows us to add another point to the Break-even T-Bill Rate Chart:
Click for Big
Market sentiment is still very strongly against issues that reset quarterly, as the average break-even T-Bill rate is now -0.64% for investment grade pairs and -0.66% for junk. It’s hard to imagine a depression quite so extreme!
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