November 2, 2012

There was a good US jobs number:

American employers added more workers than forecast in October and a rush of people entering the labor force pushed the jobless rate higher, according to the last report on the labor market before next week’s presidential election.

Broad-based gains in employment — from car dealers and hospitals to factories and construction sites — indicate consumers are likely to spend more freely and shore up the three-year expansion in the face of a global economic slowdown and political gridlock in Washington over taxes and spending.

Hiring increased by 171,000 workers after a 148,000 gain in September that was bigger than first estimated, Labor Department figures showed today in Washington. October’s increase exceeded the most optimistic forecast in a Bloomberg survey with a median projection of a 125,000 gain. Unemployment rose to 7.9 percent.

Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco President John Williams spoke in defense of QE3 today:

Concern that large-scale asset purchases “might ignite a bout of inflation” are unwarranted because price increases are being held in check by elevated unemployment and an economy that “isn’t operating at full speed,” Williams said.

“Unemployment is — and should be — a central focus of monetary policy right now,” Williams said. “This concentration on getting unemployment down in no way represents a lessening of the importance of price stability,” he said, adding that inflation may slow well below the Fed’s 2 percent goal if the U.S. recovery falters.

Williams said central bank purchases of bonds will help spur U.S. economic growth to 2.5 percent next year and 3.5 percent in 2014 while not fueling inflation.

“Our policy measures are having the desired effects,” Williams said today in remarks prepared for a speech in Salt Lake City. “We have substantial scope to use monetary policy to stimulate the economy without creating too much upward pressure on prices.”

It was a modestly good day for the Canadian preferred share market, with PerpetualPremiums up 9bp, FixedResets flat and DeemedRetractibles gaining 8bp. Volatility was at normal levels, all to the upside with a preponderance of insurance issues. Volume was below average.

HIMIPref™ Preferred Indices
These values reflect the December 2008 revision of the HIMIPref™ Indices

Values are provisional and are finalized monthly
Index Mean
Current
Yield
(at bid)
Median
YTW
Median
Average
Trading
Value
Median
Mod Dur
(YTW)
Issues Day’s Perf. Index Value
Ratchet 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.5756 % 2,471.4
FixedFloater 4.11 % 3.45 % 35,122 18.43 1 0.0000 % 3,912.6
Floater 2.80 % 2.99 % 58,877 19.74 4 0.5756 % 2,668.4
OpRet 4.61 % 0.72 % 42,941 0.61 4 -0.0855 % 2,577.1
SplitShare 5.37 % 4.58 % 63,472 4.47 3 -0.0783 % 2,857.4
Interest-Bearing 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 -0.0855 % 2,356.5
Perpetual-Premium 5.27 % 1.71 % 71,814 0.31 29 0.0889 % 2,314.3
Perpetual-Discount 4.91 % 4.93 % 105,156 15.56 3 0.2347 % 2,593.1
FixedReset 5.00 % 3.02 % 213,547 3.94 74 -0.0042 % 2,444.7
Deemed-Retractible 4.92 % 3.49 % 133,721 1.12 46 0.0772 % 2,392.7
Performance Highlights
Issue Index Change Notes
PWF.PR.M FixedReset 1.00 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.20
Bid-YTW : 2.11 %
GWO.PR.M Deemed-Retractible 1.01 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2015-03-31
Maturity Price : 26.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.98
Bid-YTW : 4.18 %
TRI.PR.B Floater 1.05 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2042-11-02
Maturity Price : 22.00
Evaluated at bid price : 22.23
Bid-YTW : 2.35 %
GWO.PR.P Deemed-Retractible 1.25 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.68
Bid-YTW : 4.60 %
Volume Highlights
Issue Index Shares
Traded
Notes
BNS.PR.Z FixedReset 174,415 Desjardins crossed 150,000 at 25.13.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.08
Bid-YTW : 3.03 %
GWO.PR.J FixedReset 173,896 Desjardins crossed three blocks: 85,000 and two of 42,300 each, all at 26.00.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2013-12-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.04
Bid-YTW : 2.84 %
FTS.PR.H FixedReset 102,944 TD crossed 100,000 at 25.65.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2042-11-02
Maturity Price : 23.65
Evaluated at bid price : 25.60
Bid-YTW : 2.76 %
BAM.PR.M Perpetual-Discount 82,691 RBC crossed blocks of 30,000 shares, 10,000 and 38,100, all at 24.25.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2042-11-02
Maturity Price : 23.98
Evaluated at bid price : 24.27
Bid-YTW : 4.93 %
IGM.PR.B Perpetual-Premium 81,001 RBC crossed 74,000 at 27.45.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-12-31
Maturity Price : 26.00
Evaluated at bid price : 27.39
Bid-YTW : 3.13 %
TD.PR.G FixedReset 65,131 TD crossed 60,300 at 26.55.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-04-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.46
Bid-YTW : 2.26 %
There were 24 other index-included issues trading in excess of 10,000 shares.
Wide Spread Highlights
Issue Index Quote Data and Yield Notes
BMO.PR.K Deemed-Retractible Quote: 26.12 – 26.68
Spot Rate : 0.5600
Average : 0.3322

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2012-12-25
Maturity Price : 26.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.12
Bid-YTW : -0.32 %

W.PR.H Perpetual-Premium Quote: 25.53 – 26.00
Spot Rate : 0.4700
Average : 0.3322

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2013-01-15
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.53
Bid-YTW : -3.53 %

MFC.PR.E FixedReset Quote: 26.23 – 26.48
Spot Rate : 0.2500
Average : 0.1708

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-09-19
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.23
Bid-YTW : 3.28 %

PWF.PR.I Perpetual-Premium Quote: 25.48 – 25.74
Spot Rate : 0.2600
Average : 0.1810

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2012-12-02
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.48
Bid-YTW : -16.09 %

SLF.PR.F FixedReset Quote: 26.47 – 26.73
Spot Rate : 0.2600
Average : 0.1947

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-06-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.47
Bid-YTW : 2.72 %

BNA.PR.E SplitShare Quote: 25.52 – 25.77
Spot Rate : 0.2500
Average : 0.1915

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2017-12-10
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.52
Bid-YTW : 4.58 %

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