April 18, 2013

So how much of what we think we know is actually a silly error?

In the world of economic luminaries, it doesn’t get much bigger than Reinhart and Rogoff, whose work has had enormous influence in one of the biggest economic policy debates of the age.

Reinhart and Rogoff have admitted to a “coding error” in the spreadsheet that meant some countries were omitted from their calculations. But the economists denied they selectively omitted data or that they used a questionable methodology.

“It is sobering that such an error slipped into one of our papers despite our best efforts to be consistently careful,” they said in a joint statement. “We do not, however, believe this regrettable slip affects in any significant way the central message of the paper or that in our subsequent work.”

Certainly, false advertising should not be condoned. But banning somebody from the industry for life seems a little extreme:

According to the SEC’s order instituting settled administrative proceedings against Tandon, he represented to CalPERS in May 2008 that Simran met explicit AUM requirements and managed at least $200 million as of Dec. 31, 2007. In fact, Simran managed approximately $80 million at that time. Evidence indicates that Tandon was aware that Simran did not meet the CalPERS requirements for AUM.

According to the SEC’s order, Tandon violated Sections 206(1), 206(2), and 207 of the Investment Advisers Act of 1940. Tandon neither admitted nor denied the findings, and agreed to be barred from the securities industry and pay disgorgement of $20,018, prejudgment interest of $1,680, and a penalty of $100,000.

Well, at least another SEC lawyer got another notch in his belt.

DGS.PR.A was confirmed by DBRS at Pfd-3:

The net asset value (NAV) of the Company dropped shortly after the last rating confirmation in May 2012, but has been increasing since June. As of April 11, 2013, the downside protection available to the Preferred Shares is approximately 42.5% and the dividend coverage ratio is approximately 1.0 times. The Pfd-3 rating of the Preferred Shares is based primarily on the downside protection available and the additional protection provided by an asset coverage test, which does not permit any distributions to holders of the Class A Shares if the NAV of the Company falls below $15.

It was a modestly down day for the Canadian preferred share market, with PerpetualPremiums down 7bp, FixedResets off 3bp and DeemedRetractibles losing 8bp. Volatility was modest. Volume was high.

HIMIPref™ Preferred Indices
These values reflect the December 2008 revision of the HIMIPref™ Indices

Values are provisional and are finalized monthly
Index Mean
Current
Yield
(at bid)
Median
YTW
Median
Average
Trading
Value
Median
Mod Dur
(YTW)
Issues Day’s Perf. Index Value
Ratchet 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 -0.2306 % 2,581.1
FixedFloater 4.00 % 3.23 % 32,972 18.70 1 1.3220 % 4,109.2
Floater 2.70 % 2.88 % 87,766 20.05 4 -0.2306 % 2,786.9
OpRet 4.80 % 0.19 % 59,115 0.17 5 -0.2005 % 2,609.4
SplitShare 4.80 % 4.02 % 129,771 4.13 5 0.1414 % 2,964.4
Interest-Bearing 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 -0.2005 % 2,386.1
Perpetual-Premium 5.18 % 3.03 % 82,415 0.86 32 -0.0671 % 2,379.8
Perpetual-Discount 4.83 % 4.82 % 174,423 15.75 4 0.0101 % 2,691.6
FixedReset 4.93 % 2.86 % 241,862 3.58 80 -0.0271 % 2,502.9
Deemed-Retractible 4.87 % 3.54 % 128,204 0.59 44 -0.0785 % 2,451.2
Performance Highlights
Issue Index Change Notes
BAM.PR.K Floater -2.76 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2043-04-18
Maturity Price : 17.64
Evaluated at bid price : 17.64
Bid-YTW : 2.99 %
FTS.PR.E OpRet -1.01 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2013-06-01
Maturity Price : 25.75
Evaluated at bid price : 26.41
Bid-YTW : -10.82 %
BAM.PR.G FixedFloater 1.32 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2043-04-18
Maturity Price : 22.86
Evaluated at bid price : 23.76
Bid-YTW : 3.23 %
BAM.PR.C Floater 2.68 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2043-04-18
Maturity Price : 18.00
Evaluated at bid price : 18.00
Bid-YTW : 2.93 %
Volume Highlights
Issue Index Shares
Traded
Notes
ENB.PR.F FixedReset 187,140 Desjardins crossed blocks of 25,000 shares, 100,000 and 30,000, all at 25.95.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2018-06-01
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.85
Bid-YTW : 3.40 %
CU.PR.F Perpetual-Premium 152,601 Scotia crossed blocks of 24,800 and 50,000, both at 25.54. Desjardins crossed 30,000 at the same price; National crossed 28,000 at the same price again.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2022-06-01
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.53
Bid-YTW : 4.29 %
FTS.PR.C OpRet 109,100 RBC crossed 35,000 at 25.45. National crossed two blocks of 35,000 each, both at 25.45.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2013-06-01
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.34
Bid-YTW : 0.10 %
PWF.PR.S Perpetual-Premium 74,772 Scotia crossed blocks of 52,800 and 15,000, both at 25.45.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2022-04-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.40
Bid-YTW : 4.59 %
BAM.PF.A FixedReset 41,660 Desjardins sold 13,300 to anonymous at 26.71. Nesbitt bought 14,700 from National at 26.74.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2018-09-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.69
Bid-YTW : 3.20 %
RY.PR.G Deemed-Retractible 41,100 Scotia crossed 40,000 at 25.84.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2016-05-24
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.84
Bid-YTW : 3.59 %
There were 48 other index-included issues trading in excess of 10,000 shares.
Wide Spread Highlights
Issue Index Quote Data and Yield Notes
BAM.PR.K Floater Quote: 17.64 – 18.16
Spot Rate : 0.5200
Average : 0.3334

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2043-04-18
Maturity Price : 17.64
Evaluated at bid price : 17.64
Bid-YTW : 2.99 %

TCA.PR.Y Perpetual-Premium Quote: 51.00 – 51.50
Spot Rate : 0.5000
Average : 0.3222

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-03-05
Maturity Price : 50.00
Evaluated at bid price : 51.00
Bid-YTW : 3.03 %

BAM.PR.G FixedFloater Quote: 23.76 – 24.40
Spot Rate : 0.6400
Average : 0.4743

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2043-04-18
Maturity Price : 22.86
Evaluated at bid price : 23.76
Bid-YTW : 3.23 %

PWF.PR.M FixedReset Quote: 25.80 – 26.15
Spot Rate : 0.3500
Average : 0.2201

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.80
Bid-YTW : 1.64 %

TRI.PR.B Floater Quote: 23.90 – 24.55
Spot Rate : 0.6500
Average : 0.5319

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2043-04-18
Maturity Price : 23.63
Evaluated at bid price : 23.90
Bid-YTW : 2.18 %

MFC.PR.C Deemed-Retractible Quote: 24.58 – 24.90
Spot Rate : 0.3200
Average : 0.2111

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 24.58
Bid-YTW : 4.75 %

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