I am among many people who like to ponder the future of employment amidst all the automation nowadays. Not with any apocalyptic bias – it is self-evident that the cost of everything is, ultimately, a labour cost and therefore labour income – but with what I hope is a less jaundiced eye.
I think we may be entering a new era of craftsmanship, in which we have Big Business producing commodities for the masses and small, internet-enabled businesses taking a more careful and individualistic approach. I may be biased in this, because that’s the business model of Hymas Investment Management Inc., but there’s other evidence we’re heading that way.
Consider craft beer:
But it wasn’t too long ago that American beer drinkers were largely limited to what beer buffs call MillCoorWeiser beer—the mass produced American lager most prominently sold under the Budweiser, Miller, and Coors brand names. In their 2015 article, Economists Kenneth G. Elzinga, Carol Tremblay and Victor J. Tremblay (Elzinga et al.) report that prior to 1970 over 99% of the beer consumed in the U.S. was the traditional lager beer produced by the large domestic breweries. Needless to say, it was a bland time for American beer.
Then in 1965, entrepreneur and innovator Fritz Maytag purchased the failing Anchor Brewing Company, located in San Francisco, and the revival of craft beer was under way. Maytag revived the brewery, and according to Elzinga et al. his operation inspired other entrepreneurs to join him in the craft beer renaissance.
And in Toronto:
The number of manufacturing firms has increased in recent years. “We attribute the growth to a lot more micro-manufacturing, as well as the ‘maker movement’” of independent inventors, designers and tinkerers, as well as tech hardware companies, says [manager of entrepreneurship services for Toronto] Mr. [Chris] Rickett.
“Part of making sure manufacturing continues to exist is making sure that people know it is this very creative job opportunity. It needs rebranding, and the maker movement is really good at that.”
What’s more, he says, new tech tools are making it a lot easier to open a manufacturing business.
“It used to be if you wanted to make a product, the process of prototyping that and getting it to market was very long,” he explains. “Now you can prototype it down at the library, using their MakerBot [3-D printer], then put that prototype on Kickstarter and presell the product.”
The upshot is that the timelines and barriers to starting a manufacturing company have been drastically reduced.
HIMIPref™ Preferred Indices These values reflect the December 2008 revision of the HIMIPref™ Indices Values are provisional and are finalized monthly |
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Index | Mean Current Yield (at bid) |
Median YTW |
Median Average Trading Value |
Median Mod Dur (YTW) |
Issues | Day’s Perf. | Index Value |
Ratchet | 0.00 % | 0.00 % | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 1.1660 % | 1,720.6 |
FixedFloater | 0.00 % | 0.00 % | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 1.1660 % | 3,143.2 |
Floater | 4.36 % | 4.51 % | 42,876 | 16.38 | 4 | 1.1660 % | 1,811.5 |
OpRet | 0.00 % | 0.00 % | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | -0.0331 % | 2,899.0 |
SplitShare | 4.83 % | 4.62 % | 41,728 | 2.08 | 6 | -0.0331 % | 3,462.0 |
Interest-Bearing | 0.00 % | 0.00 % | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | -0.0331 % | 2,701.2 |
Perpetual-Premium | 5.35 % | 4.69 % | 76,982 | 0.18 | 23 | -0.0977 % | 2,699.0 |
Perpetual-Discount | 5.13 % | 5.14 % | 96,311 | 15.24 | 15 | -0.2936 % | 2,905.1 |
FixedReset | 4.85 % | 4.20 % | 164,894 | 6.90 | 93 | 0.2227 % | 2,097.0 |
Deemed-Retractible | 5.02 % | 3.50 % | 110,901 | 0.42 | 32 | -0.0420 % | 2,807.6 |
FloatingReset | 2.88 % | 3.72 % | 42,037 | 4.93 | 12 | 0.1688 % | 2,262.7 |
Performance Highlights | |||
Issue | Index | Change | Notes |
FTS.PR.F | Perpetual-Discount | -1.75 % | YTW SCENARIO Maturity Type : Limit Maturity Maturity Date : 2046-10-26 Maturity Price : 23.91 Evaluated at bid price : 24.15 Bid-YTW : 5.14 % |
W.PR.H | Perpetual-Premium | -1.14 % | YTW SCENARIO Maturity Type : Call Maturity Date : 2016-11-25 Maturity Price : 25.00 Evaluated at bid price : 25.22 Bid-YTW : -3.15 % |
FTS.PR.J | Perpetual-Discount | -1.13 % | YTW SCENARIO Maturity Type : Limit Maturity Maturity Date : 2046-10-26 Maturity Price : 23.18 Evaluated at bid price : 23.62 Bid-YTW : 5.08 % |
W.PR.J | Perpetual-Premium | -1.05 % | YTW SCENARIO Maturity Type : Call Maturity Date : 2016-11-25 Maturity Price : 25.00 Evaluated at bid price : 25.36 Bid-YTW : -9.55 % |
SLF.PR.J | FloatingReset | 1.01 % | YTW SCENARIO Maturity Type : Hard Maturity Maturity Date : 2025-01-31 Maturity Price : 25.00 Evaluated at bid price : 12.98 Bid-YTW : 10.89 % |
FTS.PR.M | FixedReset | 1.03 % | YTW SCENARIO Maturity Type : Limit Maturity Maturity Date : 2046-10-26 Maturity Price : 19.60 Evaluated at bid price : 19.60 Bid-YTW : 4.27 % |
BMO.PR.S | FixedReset | 1.08 % | YTW SCENARIO Maturity Type : Limit Maturity Maturity Date : 2046-10-26 Maturity Price : 19.71 Evaluated at bid price : 19.71 Bid-YTW : 4.03 % |
BAM.PR.X | FixedReset | 1.18 % | YTW SCENARIO Maturity Type : Limit Maturity Maturity Date : 2046-10-26 Maturity Price : 14.61 Evaluated at bid price : 14.61 Bid-YTW : 4.36 % |
TRP.PR.H | FloatingReset | 1.23 % | YTW SCENARIO Maturity Type : Limit Maturity Maturity Date : 2046-10-26 Maturity Price : 10.73 Evaluated at bid price : 10.73 Bid-YTW : 4.11 % |
BAM.PR.C | Floater | 1.35 % | YTW SCENARIO Maturity Type : Limit Maturity Maturity Date : 2046-10-26 Maturity Price : 10.50 Evaluated at bid price : 10.50 Bid-YTW : 4.54 % |
PWF.PR.T | FixedReset | 1.78 % | YTW SCENARIO Maturity Type : Limit Maturity Maturity Date : 2046-10-26 Maturity Price : 20.00 Evaluated at bid price : 20.00 Bid-YTW : 3.97 % |
PWF.PR.A | Floater | 2.08 % | YTW SCENARIO Maturity Type : Limit Maturity Maturity Date : 2046-10-26 Maturity Price : 11.80 Evaluated at bid price : 11.80 Bid-YTW : 4.00 % |
Volume Highlights | |||
Issue | Index | Shares Traded |
Notes |
BMO.PR.B | FixedReset | 438,604 | YTW SCENARIO Maturity Type : Call Maturity Date : 2022-02-25 Maturity Price : 25.00 Evaluated at bid price : 25.73 Bid-YTW : 4.27 % |
BIP.PR.B | FixedReset | 256,100 | YTW SCENARIO Maturity Type : Call Maturity Date : 2020-12-31 Maturity Price : 25.00 Evaluated at bid price : 25.68 Bid-YTW : 4.91 % |
RY.PR.E | Deemed-Retractible | 231,800 | YTW SCENARIO Maturity Type : Call Maturity Date : 2016-11-25 Maturity Price : 25.00 Evaluated at bid price : 25.05 Bid-YTW : -2.27 % |
TRP.PR.B | FixedReset | 117,950 | YTW SCENARIO Maturity Type : Limit Maturity Maturity Date : 2046-10-26 Maturity Price : 12.14 Evaluated at bid price : 12.14 Bid-YTW : 4.12 % |
TD.PF.H | FixedReset | 110,954 | YTW SCENARIO Maturity Type : Call Maturity Date : 2021-10-31 Maturity Price : 25.00 Evaluated at bid price : 25.71 Bid-YTW : 4.26 % |
BIP.PR.C | FixedReset | 95,278 | YTW SCENARIO Maturity Type : Call Maturity Date : 2021-09-30 Maturity Price : 25.00 Evaluated at bid price : 25.72 Bid-YTW : 4.81 % |
There were 38 other index-included issues trading in excess of 10,000 shares. |
Wide Spread Highlights | ||
Issue | Index | Quote Data and Yield Notes |
TD.PF.E | FixedReset | Quote: 21.46 – 21.89 Spot Rate : 0.4300 Average : 0.2658 YTW SCENARIO |
TRP.PR.A | FixedReset | Quote: 15.51 – 15.93 Spot Rate : 0.4200 Average : 0.2825 YTW SCENARIO |
SLF.PR.K | FloatingReset | Quote: 16.25 – 16.75 Spot Rate : 0.5000 Average : 0.3997 YTW SCENARIO |
IAG.PR.G | FixedReset | Quote: 20.30 – 20.59 Spot Rate : 0.2900 Average : 0.2007 YTW SCENARIO |
TD.PF.D | FixedReset | Quote: 20.97 – 21.20 Spot Rate : 0.2300 Average : 0.1489 YTW SCENARIO |
MFC.PR.J | FixedReset | Quote: 19.77 – 20.00 Spot Rate : 0.2300 Average : 0.1559 YTW SCENARIO |
Ars Technica has nice article on robotics that you might be interested in reading: http://arstechnica.com/information-technology/2016/10/the-automation-revolution/
Automation, 3D printing, and robotics…I am comfortably agreeable to
http://montreal.ctvnews.ca/federal-relief-possible-for-canada-s-ailing-newspaper-industry-1.3126917
Not!
I’m a fan of craft beer. I also regularly patronize farmers markets which similarly provide high quality (I hope) products from small businesses.
There is a limit to how large a market share these small businesses can capture. Craft beer is at least twice the price of mass market beer. Produce purchased from farmers markets is two to five times the mass market price. I’m willing and able to pay the price premium but anyone who is living from paycheque to paycheque won’t be able to. In my experience that is a very large segment of the population.
I’m willing and able to pay the price premium but anyone who is living from paycheque to paycheque won’t be able to.
I agree; I believe that the bulk of all production (by unit count) will be the heavily automated, cookie-cutter main-lines. But I think all product categories will have a premium segment of some degree that will require a more highly skilled workforce.
Most categories have this now, to a certain extent; you’ve mentioned beer and food. How about shoes? There are a few shoe-menders around nowadays (people laugh when I refer to them as cobblers) but at present a pair of hand-made shoes is a very expensive proposition.
Furniture is another area for budding craftsmen; it would be very nice to see a return to baroque Victorian furniture and intricate inlay.
Naturally, some people will find themselves buying commodities exclusively, while the super-rich will concentrate not just on craft-goods, but the very high end of these craft-goods.