April 27, 2009

Sheila Bair of the FDIC made a speech today indicating willingness to move towards better risk assessment of banks:

So who should pay for an “anybody can fail” doctrine? Certainly not the taxpayer. As a tax-paying citizen, I don’t favor encouraging foolish behavior. Nor should those costs be borne by the Deposit Insurance Fund, which should continue to be used only for the costs of protecting depositors when banks fail.

A new resolution authority could include assessments on larger firms to fund a reserve that would be tapped to absorb losses for a failure. I believe it’s only fair that the industry that benefits should pay … just as banks pay for deposit insurance.

The assessments could be based on the differential in the cost of capital between smaller institutions — which clearly can fail and thus have higher costs — and their larger competitors. Moreover, we should not base this strictly on size, which might not be perfectly aligned with risk. For example, a large mutual fund that invests in the S&P 500 is not systemic. Risk-based surcharges should be imposed on higher risk behavior. This might include certain derivatives, market making or proprietary trading, and rapid growth. We now have such a risk-based system for the insurance premiums we charge for deposit insurance, and it’s working very well.

My problem with the ideas as stated is that they are not integrated with other elements of bank regulation – which, to be fair, she probably does not want to be seen as encroaching upon. I certainly supported graduated risk premia – we have such a thing in Canada, but it’s a joke: just about everybody qualifies for the lowest premium level. And I support the idea that bank capital requirements should include elements such as a surcharge for size – say, for instance, risk-weighted-assets in excess of $250-billion attract a 10% surcharge – and better differentiation between investment banking (which should penalize buy-and-hold behaviour) and regular banking (which should penalize trading).

However, the FDIC still charges premia based on all deposits, not just insured deposits, which is simply craziness – it reduces the incentive for banks to pay premium rates for non-insured deposits and leaves the FDIC with something of an obligation to make good on the uninsured deposits of a failed bank. Premium reform needs to start there.

These are the germs of good ideas, but to some extent are encroaching on the role of the Fed as US banking regulator. If reform efforts are not to degenerate into intra-regulator cat-fights, Ms. Bair will have to be very careful!

Another good solid day for prefs, with FixedResets slightly outperforming PerpetualDiscounts.

HIMIPref™ Preferred Indices
These values reflect the December 2008 revision of the HIMIPref™ Indices

Values are provisional and are finalized monthly
Index Mean
Current
Yield
(at bid)
Median
YTW
Median
Average
Trading
Value
Median
Mod Dur
(YTW)
Issues Day’s Perf. Index Value
Ratchet 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 -0.5131 % 972.8
FixedFloater 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 -0.5131 % 1,573.3
Floater 4.51 % 4.52 % 73,738 16.37 2 -0.5131 % 1,215.4
OpRet 5.11 % 4.27 % 141,345 3.85 15 -0.2940 % 2,130.5
SplitShare 6.65 % 8.48 % 47,172 5.62 3 -0.3750 % 1,737.7
Interest-Bearing 6.09 % 8.68 % 27,074 0.65 1 -0.1014 % 1,957.4
Perpetual-Premium 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.2323 % 1,637.0
Perpetual-Discount 6.68 % 6.81 % 141,758 12.83 71 0.2323 % 1,507.7
FixedReset 5.88 % 5.21 % 632,575 4.54 35 0.3303 % 1,919.9
Performance Highlights
Issue Index Change Notes
BAM.PR.J OpRet -4.47 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Soft Maturity
Maturity Date : 2018-03-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 20.30
Bid-YTW : 8.58 %
CIU.PR.A Perpetual-Discount -2.29 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-04-27
Maturity Price : 17.50
Evaluated at bid price : 17.50
Bid-YTW : 6.70 %
NA.PR.L Perpetual-Discount -1.98 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-04-27
Maturity Price : 17.81
Evaluated at bid price : 17.81
Bid-YTW : 6.84 %
BNA.PR.C SplitShare -1.69 % Asset coverage of 1.7+:1 as of March 31 according to the company.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2019-01-10
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 12.83
Bid-YTW : 13.78 %
CL.PR.B Perpetual-Discount -1.54 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-04-27
Maturity Price : 21.86
Evaluated at bid price : 22.35
Bid-YTW : 7.07 %
SLF.PR.A Perpetual-Discount -1.54 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-04-27
Maturity Price : 16.65
Evaluated at bid price : 16.65
Bid-YTW : 7.24 %
CM.PR.P Perpetual-Discount -1.15 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-04-27
Maturity Price : 19.81
Evaluated at bid price : 19.81
Bid-YTW : 7.00 %
BMO.PR.H Perpetual-Discount -1.14 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-04-27
Maturity Price : 20.76
Evaluated at bid price : 20.76
Bid-YTW : 6.52 %
CM.PR.K FixedReset -1.14 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-04-27
Maturity Price : 23.47
Evaluated at bid price : 23.51
Bid-YTW : 4.62 %
POW.PR.A Perpetual-Discount 1.00 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-04-27
Maturity Price : 20.20
Evaluated at bid price : 20.20
Bid-YTW : 7.01 %
POW.PR.D Perpetual-Discount 1.05 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-04-27
Maturity Price : 18.25
Evaluated at bid price : 18.25
Bid-YTW : 6.93 %
BNS.PR.T FixedReset 1.11 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-05-25
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.46
Bid-YTW : 4.95 %
TD.PR.R Perpetual-Discount 1.15 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-04-27
Maturity Price : 21.91
Evaluated at bid price : 22.00
Bid-YTW : 6.41 %
CM.PR.L FixedReset 1.19 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-05-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.31
Bid-YTW : 5.33 %
MFC.PR.C Perpetual-Discount 1.25 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-04-27
Maturity Price : 17.00
Evaluated at bid price : 17.00
Bid-YTW : 6.73 %
PWF.PR.F Perpetual-Discount 1.26 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-04-27
Maturity Price : 19.22
Evaluated at bid price : 19.22
Bid-YTW : 6.88 %
SLF.PR.B Perpetual-Discount 1.29 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-04-27
Maturity Price : 17.25
Evaluated at bid price : 17.25
Bid-YTW : 7.06 %
PWF.PR.L Perpetual-Discount 1.30 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-04-27
Maturity Price : 18.71
Evaluated at bid price : 18.71
Bid-YTW : 6.87 %
POW.PR.B Perpetual-Discount 1.31 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-04-27
Maturity Price : 19.35
Evaluated at bid price : 19.35
Bid-YTW : 6.99 %
TD.PR.P Perpetual-Discount 1.54 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-04-27
Maturity Price : 20.46
Evaluated at bid price : 20.46
Bid-YTW : 6.46 %
W.PR.J Perpetual-Discount 1.61 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-04-27
Maturity Price : 20.83
Evaluated at bid price : 20.83
Bid-YTW : 6.80 %
RY.PR.H Perpetual-Discount 1.81 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-04-27
Maturity Price : 22.87
Evaluated at bid price : 23.01
Bid-YTW : 6.15 %
GWO.PR.I Perpetual-Discount 1.92 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-04-27
Maturity Price : 16.46
Evaluated at bid price : 16.46
Bid-YTW : 6.93 %
RY.PR.C Perpetual-Discount 2.09 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-04-27
Maturity Price : 18.10
Evaluated at bid price : 18.10
Bid-YTW : 6.37 %
ELF.PR.F Perpetual-Discount 2.63 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-04-27
Maturity Price : 16.76
Evaluated at bid price : 16.76
Bid-YTW : 8.00 %
Volume Highlights
Issue Index Shares
Traded
Notes
RY.PR.X FixedReset 87,174 Recent new issue.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-09-23
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.02
Bid-YTW : 5.50 %
HSB.PR.E FixedReset 65,575 Recent new issue.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-07-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.71
Bid-YTW : 6.12 %
GWO.PR.X OpRet 51,241 Scotia crossed 48,300 at 25.13.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Soft Maturity
Maturity Date : 2013-09-29
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.15
Bid-YTW : 4.76 %
MFC.PR.D FixedReset 40,478 Scotia crossed 11,600 at 26.00.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-07-19
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.01
Bid-YTW : 5.95 %
BAM.PR.K Floater 40,100 RBC crossed 25,000 at 8.80.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-04-27
Maturity Price : 8.78
Evaluated at bid price : 8.78
Bid-YTW : 4.52 %
TD.PR.K FixedReset 38,015 Recent new issue.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-08-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.15
Bid-YTW : 5.37 %
There were 31 other index-included issues trading in excess of 10,000 shares.

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