I don’t, as a rule, like pseudo-analytical notes such as this post. Historical plots implicitly assume that the anything not intrinisic to the plot is constant; and in plotting historical yields there’s an entire economy being ignored which is most emphatically not constant.
But some people like them; I got curious; and Assiduous Readers (after yesterday‘s collapse) will want something cheerful to look at.
So … without further ado, here’s a plot of yields, going back 10 years. PerpetualDiscount yields are from the HIMIPref™ Index; other yields are courtesy of the Bank of Canada. The graphs get cut off at the end of March, 2008, because that’s the data I have convenient for the HIMIPref™ indices; Long Corporates get cut off in mid-2007, because that’s when the Bank stopped getting bond data with permission to redistribute freely.
… and the Perpetual Discount Interest Equivalent Spread against Long Corporates (using a constant equivalency of 1.4x, which is fishy in the extreme):
So folks … we’re bloodied but unbowed! Spreads are (roughly) near a ten year high … recall my note of yesterday that PerpetualDiscounts now have an average yield of 6.00%; interest-equivalent (at 1.4x) of 8.40%; vs. Long Corporates of just under 6.2%.
XCM.PR.A Back in Protection Programme
June 13th, 2008Commerce Split has announced:
The company is a little shy about providing details on its website regarding historical NAVs and precise dates of Protection Plan enforcement. The last instance of PEPP invocation was reported on PrefBlog and appears to have lasted only a week. CM shares closed today at $63.45, a loss of over 9% month-to-date. The unit NAV on May 31 was $12.62, and it was 92% invested … call it $11.60-worth of CM. A nine percent loss on that is worth $1.04 … so it seems reasonable to assume that the XCM unit value is now about $11.60.
XCM.PR.A is not rated by any rating agency and is not tracked by HIMIPref™.
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