Archive for April, 2019

New Issue: BMO FixedReset 5.10%+351, NVCC

Monday, April 8th, 2019

The Bank of Montreal has announced:

a domestic public offering of $250 million of Non-Cumulative 5-Year Rate Reset Class B Preferred Shares Series 46 (Non-Viability Contingent Capital (NVCC)) (the “Preferred Shares Series 46”). The offering will be underwritten on a bought-deal basis by a syndicate of underwriters led by BMO Capital Markets. The Bank has granted to the underwriters an option to purchase up to an additional $50 million of the Preferred Shares Series 46 exercisable at any time up to 48 hours before closing.

The Preferred Shares Series 46 will be issued to the public at a price of $25.00 per share. Holders will be entitled to receive non-cumulative preferential fixed quarterly dividends for the initial period to May 25, 2024, as and when declared by the Board of Directors of the Bank, payable in the amount of $0.31875 per share, to yield 5.10 per cent annually.

Subject to regulatory approval, on May 25, 2024 and on May 25 of every fifth year thereafter, the Bank may redeem the Preferred Shares Series 46 in whole or in part at par. On May 25, 2024, the dividend rate will reset and will reset thereafter every five years to be equal to the 5-Year Government of Canada Bond Yield plus 3.51 per cent. Subject to certain conditions, holders may elect to convert any or all of their Preferred Shares Series 46 into an equal number of Non-Cumulative Floating Rate Class B Preferred Shares Series 47 (Non-Viability Contingent Capital (NVCC)) (“Preferred Shares Series 47”) on May 25, 2024, and on May 25 of every fifth year thereafter. Holders of the Preferred Shares Series 47 will be entitled to receive non-cumulative preferential floating rate quarterly dividends, as and when declared by the Board of Directors of the Bank, equal to the then 3-month Government of Canada Treasury Bill Yield plus 3.51 per cent. Subject to certain conditions, holders may elect to convert any or all of their Preferred Shares Series 47 into an equal number of Preferred Shares Series 46 on May 25, 2029, and on May 25 of every fifth year thereafter.

The anticipated closing date is April 17, 2019. The net proceeds from the offering will be used by the Bank for general banking purposes.

They later announced:

that, as a result of strong investor demand for its previously announced domestic public offering of Non-Cumulative 5-year Rate Reset Class B Preferred Shares Series 46 (Non-Viability Contingent Capital (NVCC)) (the “Preferred Shares Series 46”), the size of the offering has been increased to 14 million shares. The gross proceeds of the offering will now be $350 million. As announced earlier today, the offering will be underwritten on a bought deal basis by a syndicate led by BMO Capital Markets.

The anticipated closing date is April 17, 2019. The net proceeds from the offering will be used by the Bank for general banking purposes.

The new issue is somewhat expensive according to Implied Volatility Analysis:

impvol_bmo_190408_withbmopre
Click for Big

Alert Readers will have noticed that the curve has been shifted a bit due to the issue BMO.PR.E, a FixedReset 4.85%+268, NVCC, that commenced trading 2018-09-17 after being announced 2018-09-06 – so let’s try a fitting in which it’s not included.

impvol_bmo_190408_withoutbmopre
Click for Big

According to these analyses, if BMO.PR.E is included in the fitting, the new issue is fairly valued at 24.60, while BMO.PR.E itself has a fair price of 21.14 (as opposed to an actual bid price of 23.00).

If BMO.PR.E is not used to fit the curve, the new issue may be valued at 24.42, while BMO.PR.E is assigned a fair value of 20.80.

It’s interesting to note that the theoretical spread (on a notional non-callable perpetual resettable annuity) is either 345bp or 354bp (depending on whether BMO.PR.E is included), roughly the same as the actual issue spread of 351bp – which means that BMO is basically getting the call options on the issue for free.

April 8, 2019

Monday, April 8th, 2019
HIMIPref™ Preferred Indices
These values reflect the December 2008 revision of the HIMIPref™ Indices

Values are provisional and are finalized monthly
Index Mean
Current
Yield
(at bid)
Median
YTW
Median
Average
Trading
Value
Median
Mod Dur
(YTW)
Issues Day’s Perf. Index Value
Ratchet 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 1.5147 % 2,156.5
FixedFloater 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 1.5147 % 3,957.0
Floater 5.43 % 5.68 % 39,376 14.40 3 1.5147 % 2,280.5
OpRet 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 -0.0941 % 3,288.0
SplitShare 4.87 % 4.69 % 79,975 3.85 8 -0.0941 % 3,926.6
Interest-Bearing 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 -0.0941 % 3,063.7
Perpetual-Premium 5.57 % -12.13 % 86,090 0.09 10 0.1299 % 2,960.6
Perpetual-Discount 5.36 % 5.40 % 74,557 14.80 23 0.1525 % 3,126.9
FixedReset Disc 5.21 % 5.33 % 196,176 15.00 61 -0.2064 % 2,205.4
Deemed-Retractible 5.20 % 5.75 % 93,132 8.16 27 -0.0408 % 3,087.8
FloatingReset 4.22 % 4.23 % 54,210 2.70 5 -0.2248 % 2,410.5
FixedReset Prem 5.06 % 3.58 % 300,513 2.22 22 -0.0776 % 2,586.8
FixedReset Bank Non 1.98 % 3.96 % 134,431 2.72 3 -0.2088 % 2,633.8
FixedReset Ins Non 4.97 % 6.52 % 111,725 8.32 22 -0.5101 % 2,266.9
Performance Highlights
Issue Index Change Notes
NA.PR.G FixedReset Disc -2.52 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-04-08
Maturity Price : 21.35
Evaluated at bid price : 21.64
Bid-YTW : 5.19 %
MFC.PR.M FixedReset Ins Non -2.33 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2030-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 18.48
Bid-YTW : 7.59 %
NA.PR.E FixedReset Disc -2.15 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-04-08
Maturity Price : 20.01
Evaluated at bid price : 20.01
Bid-YTW : 5.33 %
MFC.PR.F FixedReset Ins Non -1.69 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2030-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 14.55
Bid-YTW : 8.94 %
TD.PF.K FixedReset Disc -1.59 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-04-08
Maturity Price : 21.35
Evaluated at bid price : 21.65
Bid-YTW : 5.08 %
TD.PF.I FixedReset Disc -1.29 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-04-08
Maturity Price : 22.35
Evaluated at bid price : 22.95
Bid-YTW : 5.04 %
TRP.PR.A FixedReset Disc -1.28 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-04-08
Maturity Price : 14.62
Evaluated at bid price : 14.62
Bid-YTW : 6.04 %
BMO.PR.D FixedReset Disc -1.26 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-04-08
Maturity Price : 22.20
Evaluated at bid price : 22.69
Bid-YTW : 5.21 %
BAM.PR.X FixedReset Disc -1.26 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-04-08
Maturity Price : 14.12
Evaluated at bid price : 14.12
Bid-YTW : 5.83 %
GWO.PR.N FixedReset Ins Non -1.23 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2030-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 14.47
Bid-YTW : 8.93 %
CM.PR.Q FixedReset Disc -1.23 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-04-08
Maturity Price : 20.15
Evaluated at bid price : 20.15
Bid-YTW : 5.37 %
IFC.PR.A FixedReset Ins Non -1.22 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2030-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 16.25
Bid-YTW : 8.37 %
PVS.PR.F SplitShare -1.19 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2024-09-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 24.95
Bid-YTW : 4.96 %
IAF.PR.G FixedReset Ins Non -1.14 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2030-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 20.75
Bid-YTW : 6.46 %
MFC.PR.J FixedReset Ins Non -1.12 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2030-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 21.11
Bid-YTW : 6.52 %
EMA.PR.H FixedReset Disc -1.12 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-04-08
Maturity Price : 22.72
Evaluated at bid price : 23.78
Bid-YTW : 5.17 %
NA.PR.W FixedReset Disc -1.01 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-04-08
Maturity Price : 17.70
Evaluated at bid price : 17.70
Bid-YTW : 5.43 %
CU.PR.C FixedReset Disc 1.04 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-04-08
Maturity Price : 18.43
Evaluated at bid price : 18.43
Bid-YTW : 5.34 %
CCS.PR.C Deemed-Retractible 1.27 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2030-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 23.17
Bid-YTW : 5.98 %
CM.PR.O FixedReset Disc 1.31 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-04-08
Maturity Price : 18.51
Evaluated at bid price : 18.51
Bid-YTW : 5.29 %
BAM.PR.B Floater 1.41 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-04-08
Maturity Price : 12.24
Evaluated at bid price : 12.24
Bid-YTW : 5.69 %
PWF.PR.A Floater 1.48 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-04-08
Maturity Price : 13.70
Evaluated at bid price : 13.70
Bid-YTW : 5.12 %
HSE.PR.A FixedReset Disc 1.50 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-04-08
Maturity Price : 12.85
Evaluated at bid price : 12.85
Bid-YTW : 6.30 %
BAM.PR.K Floater 1.66 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-04-08
Maturity Price : 12.26
Evaluated at bid price : 12.26
Bid-YTW : 5.68 %
PWF.PR.P FixedReset Disc 3.00 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-04-08
Maturity Price : 14.40
Evaluated at bid price : 14.40
Bid-YTW : 5.38 %
Volume Highlights
Issue Index Shares
Traded
Notes
IGM.PR.B Perpetual-Discount 683,011 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2019-05-08
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 24.97
Bid-YTW : 3.06 %
BMO.PR.C FixedReset Disc 201,575 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-04-08
Maturity Price : 22.90
Evaluated at bid price : 23.89
Bid-YTW : 5.08 %
GWO.PR.S Deemed-Retractible 200,038 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2030-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 24.60
Bid-YTW : 5.50 %
VNR.PR.A FixedReset Prem 179,733 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-04-08
Maturity Price : 23.30
Evaluated at bid price : 25.00
Bid-YTW : 4.35 %
TD.PF.C FixedReset Disc 124,600 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-04-08
Maturity Price : 19.10
Evaluated at bid price : 19.10
Bid-YTW : 5.11 %
RY.PR.H FixedReset Disc 83,500 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-04-08
Maturity Price : 19.03
Evaluated at bid price : 19.03
Bid-YTW : 5.13 %
There were 38 other index-included issues trading in excess of 10,000 shares.
Wide Spread Highlights
Issue Index Quote Data and Yield Notes
TRP.PR.A FixedReset Disc Quote: 14.62 – 15.35
Spot Rate : 0.7300
Average : 0.4948

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-04-08
Maturity Price : 14.62
Evaluated at bid price : 14.62
Bid-YTW : 6.04 %

NA.PR.E FixedReset Disc Quote: 20.01 – 20.50
Spot Rate : 0.4900
Average : 0.3078

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-04-08
Maturity Price : 20.01
Evaluated at bid price : 20.01
Bid-YTW : 5.33 %

MFC.PR.M FixedReset Ins Non Quote: 18.48 – 19.00
Spot Rate : 0.5200
Average : 0.3575

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2030-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 18.48
Bid-YTW : 7.59 %

NA.PR.W FixedReset Disc Quote: 17.70 – 18.12
Spot Rate : 0.4200
Average : 0.2755

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-04-08
Maturity Price : 17.70
Evaluated at bid price : 17.70
Bid-YTW : 5.43 %

CM.PR.Q FixedReset Disc Quote: 20.15 – 20.60
Spot Rate : 0.4500
Average : 0.3065

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-04-08
Maturity Price : 20.15
Evaluated at bid price : 20.15
Bid-YTW : 5.37 %

TD.PF.I FixedReset Disc Quote: 22.95 – 23.35
Spot Rate : 0.4000
Average : 0.3060

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-04-08
Maturity Price : 22.35
Evaluated at bid price : 22.95
Bid-YTW : 5.04 %

IAIS Releases ICS 2.0 Consultation Comments

Friday, April 5th, 2019

The International Association of Insurance Supervisors has released the comments received to its 2018 ICS 2.0 Consultation. Assiduous Readers will remember that the comment period closed at the end of October, 2018 and included the following questions that are critical to the question of Deemed Maturities for Insurance issues:

The consultation document, downloadable from the above page, contains the critical (for our purposes) question:

173. The IAIS is considering whether to set an additional criterion requiring Tier 1 Limited instruments to have a principal loss absorbency mechanism (PLAM). Such mechanisms would provide a means for financial instruments to absorb losses on a going-concern basis through reductions in the principal amount and cancellation of distributions. Without such mechanisms these instruments might only provide going concern loss absorbency through cancellation of distributions.

deemedretractiblequestion_181103
Click for Big

The consultation document, and the files with respondents’ answers to the questions, may be downloaded from the IAIS Insurance Capital Standards page. The ‘critical questions’, ##52-54, are found in Section 6 Reference ICS – Capital resources (public). The IAIS notes that:

The IAIS received 56 submissions in response to the 2018 ICS Consultation Document of which 18 were requested by the respondents to be kept confidential. Therefore, the comments that are posted here publicly are a subset of those that the IAIS will be taking into account as it moves forward with the ICS.

Q52 Section 6 Is a PLAM [Principal Loss Absorbency Mechanism] an appropriate requirement for Tier 1 Limited financial instruments? Please explain any advantages and disadvantages of requiring a PLAM.

There were 17 responses, 8 yes and 9 no.

OSFI answered “No”:

A PLAM is one option considered to assess loss absorbency in a going concern. However, OSFI’s view is that PoNV (point of non viability) loss absorbency could also be considered. Specifically, the IAIS could consider loss absorbency on a going concern basis, as well as on a gone concern basis with contractual or statutory) PoNV triggers. It is possible that an insurer could fail before a PLAM trigger occurs due to the lagging nature of PLAM triggers. Moreover, PLAM triggers could have adverse signalling effects in respect of the financial condition of the issuer, which could precipitate non-viability.

This advocacy of ‘point of non viability loss absorbency’ is consistent with the NVCC rules OSFI has imposed on banks and with its answer to the 2016 consultation. Assiduous readers will remember that I consider the ‘adverse signalling effects’ of a PLAM trigger to be a feature, not a bug; high triggers are good things, and I’m not the only one who says so:

Moreover, high-trigger CoCos would presumably get converted not infrequently which, in terms of reducing myopia in capital markets, would have the merit of reminding holders and issuers about risks in banking.

Broadly speaking, Europeans were in favour of PLAM, although some expressed concerns about complexity: China Banking and Insurance Regulatory Commission (CBIRC); European Insurance and Occupational Pensions Authority (EIOPA); Insurance Europe; Bundesanstalt für Finanzdienstleistungsaufsicht (BaFin); General Insurance Association of Japan; Financial Supervisory Service (FSS) & Financial Services Commission (FSC); Legal & General; Association of British Insurers. Comments included EIOPA’s remark:

Requiring a PLAM, i.e. write-down or conversion features, provides a means for the principal of a financial instrument to absorb losses on a going-concern basis. Without such mechanisms these instruments only provide going concern loss absorbency through cancellation of distributions.

Naysayers were dominated by American regulators and firms: Dai-ichi Life Holdings, Inc., American Council of Life Insurers, National Association of Mutual Insurance Companies; Prudential Financial, Inc.; American Property Casualty Insurance Association (APCI); MetLife, Inc; Property Casualty Insurers Association of America (PCI); and the National Association of Insurance Commissioners (NAIC). The Americans have a high degree of concern regarding the continued eligibility of “surplus notes”, as exemplified by the response of the National Association of Mutual Insurance Companies:

PLAM is an addition to the discussion that NAMIC strongly opposes. NAMIC does not see any value in a PLAM requirement. It is simply a way to further complicate the ICS 2.0 providing no value. It seems to be designed to reduce the value of allowing surplus notes to qualify as Tier 1 capital resources.

The elephant in the room is AIG and the European bank bail-outs that left Tier 1 noteholders unscathed, at least relatively. How can anybody say with a straight face that loss absorbency via cessation of dividends is sufficient in the face of those memories?

Q53 Section 6 If a PLAM requirement is not introduced, what amount should be included in ICS capital resources for instruments that qualify as Tier 1 Limited, to reflect going concern loss absorbency? Please explain.

OSFI’s answer is a disgrace:

Capital composition limits address the concerns related to loss absorbency of Tier 1 Limited instruments and therefore their full face amount should be included in the ICS capital resources.

In other words, OSFI would have us believe that since Limited Tier 1 Capital is a limited proportion of the insurers’ high quality capital, it doesn’t really matter whether it’s actually high quality or not. Disgusting.

EIOPA and BaFin stepped into the breach:

Without a PLAM requirement, it is difficult to see how the principal of an instrument absorbs losses in a going concern basis.

Interestingly, the Property Casualty Insurers Association of America (PCI) stated:

In support, PCI cites the response of OSFI-Canada to a similar question in the prior ICS consultation

and quoted in full the dovish response to the 2016 consultation … including the grudging support for a NVCC solution.

Others stated that cessation of distributions worked just fine, e.g., American Property Casualty Insurance Association (APCI):

Tier 1 Limited instruments already provide loss absorbency on a going concern loss basis through cancellation of distributions. Reducing the principal amount of these instruments is only necessary during resolution.

Q54 Section 6 Are there other criteria that could be added to enhance the ability of financial instruments to absorb losses on a going concern and / or on a gone concern basis? Please explain.

OSFI had nothing to say. BaFin and EIOPA had identical answers again:

• In T1, mandatory cancellation of distributions on breach of capital requirement (i.e. a lock-in feature).
• In T2, mandatory deferral of distributions and redemption of principal on breach of capital requirement (i.e. a lock-in feature).
• Requirement for early repurchase (within 5 years from issuance) to be funded out of proceeds of new issuance of
same/higher quality (all tiers).

I don’t quite understand this response. Does “cancellation” mean cancellation forever and ever on T1, as opposed to a temporary “deferral” on T2? How about redemptions? Would such instruments have any rights if the issuer actually did go bankrupt ten years later? And I don’t understand what they mean by an early purchase requirement at all.

So, there you have it. I don’t find anything particularly surprising here; there might be some meaning behind the heavy American participation in this consultation, but an outsider such as myself would be foolish to speculate on just what that meaning might be.

April 5, 2019

Friday, April 5th, 2019

Well, today’s Canadian jobs report wasn’t too encouraging:

Following increases in January and February, employment held steady in March. The unemployment rate remained unchanged at 5.8%.

In the first quarter of 2019, employment rose by 116,000 (+0.6%).

On a year-over-year basis, employment grew by 332,000 (+1.8%), with gains in both full- (+204,000) and part-time (+128,000) work. Over the same period, total hours worked rose by 0.9%.

More people were working in the finance, insurance, real estate, rental and leasing industry, and in public administration. At the same time, employment declined in health care and social assistance; in business, building and other support services; and in accommodation and food services.

The number of employees held steady in March in both the public and private sectors. Self-employment was also virtually unchanged.

Both men and women aged 55 and older posted employment gains in March, while core-aged women experienced declines. At the same time, employment held steady for core-aged men and for youth.

… which didn’t do the loonie much good:

The Canadian dollar weakened to a one-week low against its U.S. counterpart on Friday as domestic data showing an unexpected decline in jobs diminished prospects of the Bank of Canada turning more upbeat on the economy.

A six-month string of employment gains, including blockbuster increases in January and February, had helped bolster investor sentiment for the loonie, offsetting weak gross domestic product data and a slowdown in the global economy that could hurt Canada’s exports.

But that sequence ended in March, as Canada shed 7,200 jobs. Analysts in a Reuters poll had forecast a marginal gain of 1,000.

Perceived chances of an interest-rate cut this year from the central bank nudged up to 40 per cent from 38 per cent before the data, the overnight index swaps market indicated.

Meanwhile, south of the border:

After an unexpectedly weak February — just 20,000 new jobs were initially reported — concerns arose that the remarkable wave of hiring might be ebbing. But employment surged again last month, beating the expectations of most economists with 196,000 new jobs, the Labor Department said Friday.

Even lowly February looked better: The department revised its report upward to 33,000 jobs. And unemployment remained at 3.8 percent in March, while wage growth kept its momentum, ensuring that pay is growing faster than inflation.

For years, even as the economy added jobs and unemployment kept falling, wage increases were lackluster. But employees now appear to be getting solid raises. Hourly wages in March were 3.2 percent higher than a year earlier, slightly lower than the 3.4 percent growth in February but still roughly double the annual inflation rate.

… and Trump continues to lobby the Fed for policy rate cuts and Quantitative Easing:

“Well I personally think the Fed should drop rates,” Mr. Trump said. “I think they really slowed us down. There’s no inflation. I would say in terms of quantitative tightening, it should actually now be quantitative easing. Very little if any inflation. And I think they should drop rates, and they should get rid of quantitative tightening. You would see a rocket ship. Despite that, we’re doing very well.”

HIMIPref™ Preferred Indices
These values reflect the December 2008 revision of the HIMIPref™ Indices

Values are provisional and are finalized monthly
Index Mean
Current
Yield
(at bid)
Median
YTW
Median
Average
Trading
Value
Median
Mod Dur
(YTW)
Issues Day’s Perf. Index Value
Ratchet 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.8847 % 2,124.3
FixedFloater 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.8847 % 3,898.0
Floater 5.51 % 5.77 % 38,868 14.27 3 0.8847 % 2,246.4
OpRet 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.0297 % 3,291.1
SplitShare 4.86 % 4.55 % 83,261 3.85 8 0.0297 % 3,930.3
Interest-Bearing 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.0297 % 3,066.5
Perpetual-Premium 5.53 % -11.65 % 87,427 0.09 10 0.2150 % 2,956.7
Perpetual-Discount 5.36 % 5.41 % 75,215 14.64 23 -0.0168 % 3,122.1
FixedReset Disc 5.19 % 5.25 % 193,224 15.11 61 0.3336 % 2,210.0
Deemed-Retractible 5.19 % 5.74 % 91,188 8.16 27 0.1919 % 3,089.0
FloatingReset 4.21 % 4.08 % 52,982 2.71 5 0.3242 % 2,415.9
FixedReset Prem 5.05 % 3.52 % 294,966 2.23 22 0.1286 % 2,588.8
FixedReset Bank Non 1.98 % 3.81 % 136,116 2.72 3 -0.0557 % 2,639.3
FixedReset Ins Non 4.95 % 6.38 % 112,925 8.35 22 0.3511 % 2,278.6
Performance Highlights
Issue Index Change Notes
CM.PR.O FixedReset Disc -1.19 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-04-05
Maturity Price : 18.27
Evaluated at bid price : 18.27
Bid-YTW : 5.29 %
TRP.PR.A FixedReset Disc -1.07 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-04-05
Maturity Price : 14.81
Evaluated at bid price : 14.81
Bid-YTW : 5.88 %
BAM.PR.X FixedReset Disc 1.06 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-04-05
Maturity Price : 14.30
Evaluated at bid price : 14.30
Bid-YTW : 5.68 %
TD.PF.I FixedReset Disc 1.22 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-04-05
Maturity Price : 22.52
Evaluated at bid price : 23.25
Bid-YTW : 4.92 %
PWF.PR.Q FloatingReset 1.25 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-04-05
Maturity Price : 14.58
Evaluated at bid price : 14.58
Bid-YTW : 5.70 %
SLF.PR.G FixedReset Ins Non 1.30 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2030-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 14.80
Bid-YTW : 8.82 %
TRP.PR.B FixedReset Disc 1.32 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-04-05
Maturity Price : 12.29
Evaluated at bid price : 12.29
Bid-YTW : 5.69 %
SLF.PR.E Deemed-Retractible 1.38 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2030-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 21.35
Bid-YTW : 6.43 %
TRP.PR.K FixedReset Prem 1.39 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2022-05-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.50
Bid-YTW : 4.42 %
PWF.PR.A Floater 1.50 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-04-05
Maturity Price : 13.50
Evaluated at bid price : 13.50
Bid-YTW : 5.19 %
IFC.PR.C FixedReset Ins Non 1.58 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2030-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 19.30
Bid-YTW : 7.04 %
BAM.PR.Z FixedReset Disc 1.73 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-04-05
Maturity Price : 20.55
Evaluated at bid price : 20.55
Bid-YTW : 5.57 %
BAM.PR.R FixedReset Disc 2.15 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-04-05
Maturity Price : 16.64
Evaluated at bid price : 16.64
Bid-YTW : 5.65 %
BAM.PF.E FixedReset Disc 2.56 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-04-05
Maturity Price : 18.05
Evaluated at bid price : 18.05
Bid-YTW : 5.73 %
Volume Highlights
Issue Index Shares
Traded
Notes
CU.PR.E Perpetual-Discount 100,700 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-04-05
Maturity Price : 22.68
Evaluated at bid price : 22.90
Bid-YTW : 5.41 %
W.PR.M FixedReset Prem 98,800 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2021-10-15
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.60
Bid-YTW : 4.16 %
BMO.PR.C FixedReset Disc 76,800 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-04-05
Maturity Price : 22.89
Evaluated at bid price : 23.86
Bid-YTW : 5.04 %
CU.PR.G Perpetual-Discount 70,100 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-04-05
Maturity Price : 21.15
Evaluated at bid price : 21.15
Bid-YTW : 5.39 %
TD.PF.L FixedReset Prem 67,133 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-04-05
Maturity Price : 23.32
Evaluated at bid price : 25.53
Bid-YTW : 4.77 %
MFC.PR.Q FixedReset Ins Non 64,094 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2030-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 21.00
Bid-YTW : 6.51 %
There were 23 other index-included issues trading in excess of 10,000 shares.
Wide Spread Highlights
Issue Index Quote Data and Yield Notes
POW.PR.D Perpetual-Discount Quote: 22.56 – 23.25
Spot Rate : 0.6900
Average : 0.4092

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-04-05
Maturity Price : 22.29
Evaluated at bid price : 22.56
Bid-YTW : 5.55 %

NA.PR.G FixedReset Disc Quote: 22.20 – 23.00
Spot Rate : 0.8000
Average : 0.5760

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-04-05
Maturity Price : 21.79
Evaluated at bid price : 22.20
Bid-YTW : 5.00 %

IAF.PR.G FixedReset Ins Non Quote: 20.99 – 21.60
Spot Rate : 0.6100
Average : 0.3914

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2030-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 20.99
Bid-YTW : 6.28 %

IFC.PR.C FixedReset Ins Non Quote: 19.30 – 19.84
Spot Rate : 0.5400
Average : 0.3689

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2030-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 19.30
Bid-YTW : 7.04 %

BAM.PF.J FixedReset Disc Quote: 24.00 – 24.49
Spot Rate : 0.4900
Average : 0.3411

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-04-05
Maturity Price : 22.88
Evaluated at bid price : 24.00
Bid-YTW : 4.91 %

PWF.PR.A Floater Quote: 13.50 – 13.91
Spot Rate : 0.4100
Average : 0.2765

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-04-05
Maturity Price : 13.50
Evaluated at bid price : 13.50
Bid-YTW : 5.19 %

April 4, 2019

Thursday, April 4th, 2019
HIMIPref™ Preferred Indices
These values reflect the December 2008 revision of the HIMIPref™ Indices

Values are provisional and are finalized monthly
Index Mean
Current
Yield
(at bid)
Median
YTW
Median
Average
Trading
Value
Median
Mod Dur
(YTW)
Issues Day’s Perf. Index Value
Ratchet 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.1611 % 2,105.7
FixedFloater 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.1611 % 3,863.8
Floater 5.56 % 5.80 % 38,740 14.23 3 0.1611 % 2,226.7
OpRet 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.1389 % 3,290.1
SplitShare 4.87 % 4.61 % 83,917 3.85 8 0.1389 % 3,929.1
Interest-Bearing 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.1389 % 3,065.6
Perpetual-Premium 5.54 % -9.58 % 91,023 0.09 10 0.0391 % 2,950.4
Perpetual-Discount 5.35 % 5.41 % 74,113 14.70 23 0.1232 % 3,122.7
FixedReset Disc 5.21 % 5.27 % 195,466 15.14 61 0.2711 % 2,202.6
Deemed-Retractible 5.20 % 5.78 % 94,498 8.17 27 0.0472 % 3,083.1
FloatingReset 4.22 % 4.10 % 52,714 2.71 5 0.3470 % 2,408.1
FixedReset Prem 5.06 % 3.59 % 301,821 2.23 22 0.0384 % 2,585.4
FixedReset Bank Non 1.98 % 3.81 % 141,217 2.73 3 -0.2775 % 2,640.8
FixedReset Ins Non 4.97 % 6.42 % 114,669 8.35 22 -0.0679 % 2,270.6
Performance Highlights
Issue Index Change Notes
EMA.PR.F FixedReset Disc -2.06 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-04-04
Maturity Price : 19.05
Evaluated at bid price : 19.05
Bid-YTW : 5.56 %
SLF.PR.I FixedReset Ins Non -1.85 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2030-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 20.66
Bid-YTW : 6.42 %
SLF.PR.H FixedReset Ins Non -1.14 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2030-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 17.30
Bid-YTW : 7.75 %
TRP.PR.B FixedReset Disc -1.06 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-04-04
Maturity Price : 12.13
Evaluated at bid price : 12.13
Bid-YTW : 5.76 %
TRP.PR.F FloatingReset 1.03 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-04-04
Maturity Price : 14.70
Evaluated at bid price : 14.70
Bid-YTW : 6.16 %
IAF.PR.I FixedReset Ins Non 1.11 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2030-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 21.95
Bid-YTW : 6.10 %
HSE.PR.G FixedReset Disc 1.13 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-04-04
Maturity Price : 19.62
Evaluated at bid price : 19.62
Bid-YTW : 6.46 %
PWF.PR.A Floater 1.14 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-04-04
Maturity Price : 13.30
Evaluated at bid price : 13.30
Bid-YTW : 5.27 %
SLF.PR.J FloatingReset 1.16 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2030-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 14.80
Bid-YTW : 9.11 %
BAM.PR.N Perpetual-Discount 1.19 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-04-04
Maturity Price : 21.20
Evaluated at bid price : 21.20
Bid-YTW : 5.64 %
BAM.PF.G FixedReset Disc 1.25 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-04-04
Maturity Price : 19.50
Evaluated at bid price : 19.50
Bid-YTW : 5.67 %
TD.PF.D FixedReset Disc 1.30 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-04-04
Maturity Price : 21.07
Evaluated at bid price : 21.07
Bid-YTW : 5.15 %
CU.PR.C FixedReset Disc 1.33 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-04-04
Maturity Price : 18.24
Evaluated at bid price : 18.24
Bid-YTW : 5.33 %
IAF.PR.G FixedReset Ins Non 1.34 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2030-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 21.10
Bid-YTW : 6.21 %
BAM.PR.R FixedReset Disc 2.32 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-04-04
Maturity Price : 16.29
Evaluated at bid price : 16.29
Bid-YTW : 5.77 %
Volume Highlights
Issue Index Shares
Traded
Notes
RY.PR.M FixedReset Disc 158,100 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-04-04
Maturity Price : 20.15
Evaluated at bid price : 20.15
Bid-YTW : 5.17 %
CM.PR.T FixedReset Prem 110,500 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-04-04
Maturity Price : 23.27
Evaluated at bid price : 25.35
Bid-YTW : 4.76 %
TRP.PR.K FixedReset Prem 67,399 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2022-05-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.15
Bid-YTW : 4.89 %
CU.PR.I FixedReset Prem 40,600 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2020-12-01
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.60
Bid-YTW : 3.27 %
MFC.PR.B Deemed-Retractible 32,900 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2030-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 22.08
Bid-YTW : 6.21 %
BMO.PR.Z Perpetual-Discount 31,000 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-04-04
Maturity Price : 24.53
Evaluated at bid price : 25.00
Bid-YTW : 5.04 %
There were 18 other index-included issues trading in excess of 10,000 shares.
Wide Spread Highlights
Issue Index Quote Data and Yield Notes
HSE.PR.A FixedReset Disc Quote: 12.75 – 13.45
Spot Rate : 0.7000
Average : 0.4548

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-04-04
Maturity Price : 12.75
Evaluated at bid price : 12.75
Bid-YTW : 6.26 %

EMA.PR.F FixedReset Disc Quote: 19.05 – 19.70
Spot Rate : 0.6500
Average : 0.4172

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-04-04
Maturity Price : 19.05
Evaluated at bid price : 19.05
Bid-YTW : 5.56 %

BAM.PF.E FixedReset Disc Quote: 17.60 – 18.41
Spot Rate : 0.8100
Average : 0.5951

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-04-04
Maturity Price : 17.60
Evaluated at bid price : 17.60
Bid-YTW : 5.88 %

TRP.PR.B FixedReset Disc Quote: 12.13 – 12.77
Spot Rate : 0.6400
Average : 0.4666

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-04-04
Maturity Price : 12.13
Evaluated at bid price : 12.13
Bid-YTW : 5.76 %

BAM.PR.Z FixedReset Disc Quote: 20.20 – 20.70
Spot Rate : 0.5000
Average : 0.3491

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-04-04
Maturity Price : 20.20
Evaluated at bid price : 20.20
Bid-YTW : 5.66 %

BAM.PR.X FixedReset Disc Quote: 14.15 – 14.65
Spot Rate : 0.5000
Average : 0.3540

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-04-04
Maturity Price : 14.15
Evaluated at bid price : 14.15
Bid-YTW : 5.74 %

New Issue: Gold Miners’ Split Corp., 3-Year, 6%

Thursday, April 4th, 2019

Evolve Funds Group Inc. has announced (although not yet on its website):

on behalf of Gold Miners Split Corp. (the “Company”) is pleased to announce that it has filed a preliminary prospectus in relation to an initial public offering (the “Offering”) of preferred shares (the “Preferred Shares”) at a price of $10 per Preferred Share and class A shares (the “Class A Shares”) at a price of $15 per Class A Share.

The Company will invest in a portfolio (the “Portfolio”) comprised primarily of common shares of gold mining issuers included in the S&P/TSX Global Gold Index, the NYSE Arca Gold Miners Index and/or the MVIS Global Junior Gold Miners Index.

The investment objectives for the Preferred Shares are (i) to provide holders of Preferred Shares with cumulative preferential quarterly cash dividends, the amount of which is fixed by the board of directors of the Company in respect of each three-year term of the Company; and (ii) on May 31, 2022 (the “Termination Date”) to pay the holders of the Preferred Shares an amount per Preferred Share equal to $10.00 per Preferred Share (the “Preferred Share Repayment Amount”). The quarterly cash distribution will be $0.15 per Preferred Share ($0.60 per annum), representing a yield of 6.0% per annum on the issue price of $10.00 per Preferred Share until the Termination Date. The Preferred Shares will not be rated.

The investment objectives for the Class A Shares are to provide the holders with the opportunity for capital appreciation through exposure to the Portfolio by paying such holders, on or about the Termination Date, subject to extension for successive terms of three years as determined by the board of directors of the Company, such amounts as remain in the Company on the Termination Date after paying the Preferred Share Repayment Amount to the holders of the Preferred Shares.

Evolve, the manager of the Company, will provide investment advisory services and portfolio management services to the Company.

Prospective purchasers investing in the Company have the option of paying for: (i) Preferred Shares or Class A Shares in cash; or (ii) units comprised of one Preferred Share and one Class A Share or Class A Shares by exchanging securities of issuers listed in the preliminary prospectus (the “Exchange Option”). Prospective purchasers under the Exchange Option are required to deposit their exchange eligible securities prior to 5:00 p.m. (Toronto time) on May 10, 2019, in the manner described in the preliminary prospectus.

The syndicate of agents is being co-led by National Bank Financial Inc. and CIBC World Markets Inc., and includes BMO Nesbitt Burns Inc., RBC Dominion Securities Inc., Scotia Capital Inc., TD Securities Inc., Canaccord Genuity Corp., Industrial Alliance Securities Inc., Raymond James Ltd., Echelon Wealth Partners Inc., GMP Securities L.P., Desjardins Securities Inc., Mackie Research Capital Corporation Manulife Securities Incorporated and Wellington-Altus Private Wealth Inc.

A search on SEDAR finds the document “Gold Miners Split Corp. Apr 3 2019 4:30:13 ET Preliminary long form prospectus – English PDF 2691 K”, which I am not permitted to link to because the Canadian Securities Administrators consider this information to be secret, but which contains the following interesting information:

Currently, the Company will pay, as and when declared by the Board of Directors, a fixed cumulative preferential quarterly dividend of $0.15 per Preferred Share ($0.60 per annum or 6.0% per annum on the issue price of $10.00 per Preferred Share) to holders of Preferred Shares of record on the last business day of each quarter. From and after May 31, 2022, assuming the Termination Date of the Company is then extended beyond May 31, 2022, and in respect of each three-year extension, if any, thereafter, the Board of Directors shall determine the rate of cumulative preferential quarterly dividends to be paid on the Preferred Shares for the ensuing three-year period. Such determination shall be made at least 60 days prior to the extension of the term of the Company, failing which the then-applicable dividend rate shall continue to apply. The dividend rate will be announced by press release.

Holders of Preferred Shares whose Preferred Shares are surrendered for retraction will be entitled to receive a retraction price per Preferred Share (the “Preferred Share Retraction Price”) equal to 96% of the lesser of (i) the NAV per unit consisting of one Preferred Share and one Class A Share (each, a “Unit”) determined as of such Retraction Date, less the cost to the Company of the purchase of a Class A Share for cancellation; and (ii) $10.00.

On the Termination Date or subsequent termination date, a holder of Preferred Shares may retract such Preferred Shares. The Company will provide at least 60 days’ notice to holders of Preferred Shares of such right. The Preferred Shares must be surrendered for retraction by 5:00 p.m. (Toronto time) on the last business day of the month prior to the Termination Date or subsequent termination date, as applicable.

Holders of Class A Shares are entitled to receive any dividends that the Board of Directors may declare subject to the prior rights of the holders of Preferred Shares. If the Company realizes capital gains on the sale of Portfolio Securities and would be liable to pay tax thereon, the Company may declare a capital gains dividend on the Class A Shares.

No dividends or other distributions will be paid on the Class A Shares in any month as long as any dividends on the Preferred Shares are then in arrears or so long as the NAV per Unit is equal to or less than $15.00.

At this time, other than for tax purposes, the Board of Directors does not anticipate declaring dividends in respect of the Class A Shares.

The Preferred Shares will not be rated by any credit rating agency.

As the shares will have no credit rating, they will not be tracked by HIMIPref™ when (if!) issued. As I always point out on such occasions, this is not because I can’t do it myself or because I worship the Credit Rating Agencies, but because a downgrade – or the threat of one – in an agency rating serves wonderfully to concentrate the minds of management and directors, in a way that no amount of fulminating of mine can hope to equal.

Toronto Rock Lacrosse Ticket Giveaway: Update #8

Wednesday, April 3rd, 2019

I have ten nine eight seven six five four two one pair of Toronto Rock Lacrosse tickets to give away! Congratulations to Assiduous Reader LK, who won the tickets to the April 12 game against New England!

I will shortly declare the lucky winner of the playoff tickets. The Rock have clinched a playoff spot, so there will be a game, but the date and time are not yet known … so get your requests in early!

The games take place at the Air Canada Centre Scotiabank Arena and the seats are very good. Just tell me which ones you would like and feel free to enter multiple times. A decision regarding who gets tickets will be made two weeks before each game and I will mail them to the lucky winner; while preference will be given to customers and those who tell me they’ve got a kid who plays lacrosse, anybody can win. If you win and don’t want your name publicized, that’s fine.

The games are:

Toronto Rock Lacrosse Ticket Giveaway
Date Opponent
Friday
2018-12-28
7:30pm
Georgia Swarm
Friday
2019-1-4
7:30pm
Philadelphia Wings
Friday
2019-1-18
7:30pm
Georgia Swarm
Friday
2019-2-1
7:30pm
Saskatchewan Rush
Friday
2019-2-15
7:30pm
San Diego Seals
Saturday
2019-3-16
7:00pm
Rochester Knighthawks
Saturday
2019-3-30
7:00pm
Philadelphia Wings
Friday
2019-4-5
7:30pm
Buffalo Bandits
Friday
2019-4-12
7:30pm
New England Black Wolves
???
???
???
Home Playoff Game #1
There will be one!

The games are a lot of fun. One thing that has impressed me is that these guys’ technical skills are so good they can concentrate on strategy … there are a lot fewer loose balls than I remember from my days of box lacrosse at age 10!

To try your luck at receiving a pair of tickets, just eMail me or comment on this post.

*** Contest rules are subject to change without notice ***
*** I may be entirely capricious in selecting winners

TRP Downgraded by Moody’s

Wednesday, April 3rd, 2019

Moody’s Investors Service has announced that it:

today downgraded the senior unsecured ratings of TransCanada PipeLines Limited (TCPL) to Baa1 from A3.

“TransCanada’s financial profile has been weak for several years,” said Gavin MacFarlane VicePresident/Senior Credit Officer. “The downgrade reflects our expectation that debt to EBITDA will improve from 5.6x at the end of 2018, but remain around 5x in 2019 and 2020.”

Contributing to the weak financial metrics, the company has experienced challenges executing its large capital program leading to delays in EBITDA growth and some cost-overruns. Moody’s recognizes that the company has levers it may utilize to drive a significant improvement in leverage metrics, for example material asset sales, however these have not materialized and are subject to some execution risks. In addition, Moody’s forecasts a decline in the company’s distribution coverage metric, which reduces financial flexibility over the next few years.

TCPL’s Baa1 rating is driven by its predictable and growing cash flow, owing to the regulated and contracted nature of its businesses, and its large size and portfolio diversification benefits. Cash flow is typically underpinned by either cost of service regulation or long term contracts. Offsetting these strengths are weak financial metrics and a large but executable capital program. Moody’s sees financial metrics improving as the company executes a CAD36 billion of capital program over the period 2019-2023 that we expect to be primarily funded with cash flow from operations, assets sales, equity, hybrids and some incremental debt. TCPL’s rating incorporates our expectation that EBITDA will continue to grow towards CAD10 billion from CAD8.9 billion in 2018 and debt will remain close to CAD50 billion. The rating incorporates our expectation that debt to EBITDA will improve from 5.6 to about 5x in 2019.

Our forecasts exclude about CAD20 billion of projects that have not yet been fully committed, for example Keystone XL, and have risks that either make construction uncertain or have a long term spending profile. Large projects like Keystone XL could place pressure on financial metrics during construction.

TransCanada is the ultimate parent holding company of TCPL. TransCanada’s Baa2 issuer rating reflects a 1-notch adjustment below the rating of TCPL as a result of its structural subordination to TCPL. The rated obligations of TransCanada Trust and TransCanada American Investments Ltd reflect a guarantee provided by TCPL. The TransCanada Trust Baa3 rating is two notches lower than TCPL’s Baa1 senior unsecured rating and is consistent with a 2-notch differential Moody’s applies to preferred shares with investment grade companies. The TransCanada Trust notes are guaranteed by TCPL on a subordinated basis however the TransCanada Trust notes have an automatic exchange provision that converts the notes into preferred shares of TCPL in the event of financial distress. The Prime-2 short-term commercial paper rating on TransCanada American Investments Ltd and TCPL USA reflects the guarantee provided by TCPL. NGTL’s Baa1 rating is strongly correlated with that of TCPL based on its strategic importance and TCPL’s position as a key creditor.

Moody’s views the midstream sector, including TCPL, as having moderate risk exposure to carbon transition risks. TCPL’s exposure is indirect as change in commodity prices affect its shippers, which may then have an impact on volumes through its systems and counterparty risks. A key issue for the sector is that regulations can drive competitive changes among basins. TCPL is somewhat insulated from this issue as a result of its diversification.

Affected issues are TRP.PR.A, TRP.PR.B, TRP.PR.C, TRP.PR.D, TRP.PR.E, TRP.PR.F, TRP.PR.G, TRP.PR.H, TRP.PR.I, TRP.PR.J and TRP.PR.K, but note that Moody’s does not actually rate the preferreds.

The story was picked up by the Globe & Mail.

April 3, 2019

Wednesday, April 3rd, 2019

PerpetualDiscounts now yield 5.41%, equivalent to 7.03% interest at the standard equivalency factor of 1.3x. Long corporates now yield 3.67%, so the pre-tax interest-equivalent spread (in this context, the “Seniority Spread”) is now about 335bp, unchanged from the 335bp reported March 27.

HIMIPref™ Preferred Indices
These values reflect the December 2008 revision of the HIMIPref™ Indices

Values are provisional and are finalized monthly
Index Mean
Current
Yield
(at bid)
Median
YTW
Median
Average
Trading
Value
Median
Mod Dur
(YTW)
Issues Day’s Perf. Index Value
Ratchet 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 1.1682 % 2,102.3
FixedFloater 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 1.1682 % 3,857.6
Floater 5.57 % 5.76 % 38,999 14.30 3 1.1682 % 2,223.1
OpRet 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 -0.1040 % 3,285.5
SplitShare 4.87 % 4.67 % 85,008 3.86 8 -0.1040 % 3,923.6
Interest-Bearing 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 -0.1040 % 3,061.4
Perpetual-Premium 5.54 % -8.57 % 91,368 0.09 10 0.0274 % 2,949.2
Perpetual-Discount 5.36 % 5.41 % 72,981 14.68 23 0.2751 % 3,118.8
FixedReset Disc 5.22 % 5.30 % 201,763 15.01 61 0.3942 % 2,196.7
Deemed-Retractible 5.21 % 5.75 % 95,454 8.17 27 -0.0094 % 3,081.7
FloatingReset 4.23 % 4.11 % 53,381 2.72 5 -0.0867 % 2,399.8
FixedReset Prem 5.05 % 3.61 % 305,639 2.21 22 0.1661 % 2,584.5
FixedReset Bank Non 1.97 % 3.88 % 134,964 2.73 3 0.2225 % 2,648.2
FixedReset Ins Non 4.96 % 6.41 % 115,641 8.36 22 0.2337 % 2,272.1
Performance Highlights
Issue Index Change Notes
MFC.PR.C Deemed-Retractible -1.03 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2030-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 21.12
Bid-YTW : 6.59 %
TRP.PR.E FixedReset Disc 1.01 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-04-03
Maturity Price : 17.00
Evaluated at bid price : 17.00
Bid-YTW : 5.74 %
TD.PF.B FixedReset Disc 1.07 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-04-03
Maturity Price : 18.81
Evaluated at bid price : 18.81
Bid-YTW : 5.15 %
BAM.PF.D Perpetual-Discount 1.12 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-04-03
Maturity Price : 21.75
Evaluated at bid price : 21.75
Bid-YTW : 5.67 %
MFC.PR.L FixedReset Ins Non 1.12 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2030-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 18.01
Bid-YTW : 7.59 %
BAM.PR.K Floater 1.18 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-04-03
Maturity Price : 12.00
Evaluated at bid price : 12.00
Bid-YTW : 5.80 %
IFC.PR.C FixedReset Ins Non 1.22 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2030-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 19.13
Bid-YTW : 7.15 %
BAM.PR.T FixedReset Disc 1.23 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-04-03
Maturity Price : 16.50
Evaluated at bid price : 16.50
Bid-YTW : 5.78 %
CU.PR.G Perpetual-Discount 1.24 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-04-03
Maturity Price : 21.27
Evaluated at bid price : 21.27
Bid-YTW : 5.36 %
TRP.PR.G FixedReset Disc 1.32 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-04-03
Maturity Price : 19.25
Evaluated at bid price : 19.25
Bid-YTW : 5.82 %
MFC.PR.I FixedReset Ins Non 1.39 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2030-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 21.83
Bid-YTW : 6.05 %
TRP.PR.J FixedReset Prem 1.40 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2021-05-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.03
Bid-YTW : 3.78 %
TD.PF.E FixedReset Disc 1.42 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-04-03
Maturity Price : 21.46
Evaluated at bid price : 21.46
Bid-YTW : 5.14 %
BAM.PR.M Perpetual-Discount 1.54 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-04-03
Maturity Price : 21.11
Evaluated at bid price : 21.11
Bid-YTW : 5.67 %
TRP.PR.C FixedReset Disc 1.62 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-04-03
Maturity Price : 13.21
Evaluated at bid price : 13.21
Bid-YTW : 5.68 %
BMO.PR.Y FixedReset Disc 1.69 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-04-03
Maturity Price : 21.00
Evaluated at bid price : 21.00
Bid-YTW : 5.08 %
BAM.PR.N Perpetual-Discount 1.70 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-04-03
Maturity Price : 20.95
Evaluated at bid price : 20.95
Bid-YTW : 5.71 %
TRP.PR.A FixedReset Disc 1.70 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-04-03
Maturity Price : 14.95
Evaluated at bid price : 14.95
Bid-YTW : 5.82 %
BAM.PR.X FixedReset Disc 1.85 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-04-03
Maturity Price : 14.28
Evaluated at bid price : 14.28
Bid-YTW : 5.69 %
PWF.PR.A Floater 1.94 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-04-03
Maturity Price : 13.15
Evaluated at bid price : 13.15
Bid-YTW : 5.33 %
PWF.PR.P FixedReset Disc 2.01 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-04-03
Maturity Price : 14.20
Evaluated at bid price : 14.20
Bid-YTW : 5.44 %
Volume Highlights
Issue Index Shares
Traded
Notes
HSE.PR.G FixedReset Disc 83,100 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-04-03
Maturity Price : 19.40
Evaluated at bid price : 19.40
Bid-YTW : 6.53 %
TD.PF.H FixedReset Prem 71,113 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2021-10-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.98
Bid-YTW : 3.61 %
BNS.PR.D FloatingReset 69,275 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 24.42
Bid-YTW : 3.47 %
TRP.PR.D FixedReset Disc 63,630 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-04-03
Maturity Price : 17.25
Evaluated at bid price : 17.25
Bid-YTW : 5.69 %
RY.PR.S FixedReset Disc 61,700 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-04-03
Maturity Price : 21.68
Evaluated at bid price : 22.05
Bid-YTW : 4.74 %
BAM.PR.Z FixedReset Disc 55,100 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-04-03
Maturity Price : 20.10
Evaluated at bid price : 20.10
Bid-YTW : 5.69 %
There were 25 other index-included issues trading in excess of 10,000 shares.
Wide Spread Highlights
Issue Index Quote Data and Yield Notes
HSE.PR.E FixedReset Disc Quote: 19.55 – 20.05
Spot Rate : 0.5000
Average : 0.3059

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-04-03
Maturity Price : 19.55
Evaluated at bid price : 19.55
Bid-YTW : 6.55 %

BAM.PF.E FixedReset Disc Quote: 17.72 – 18.26
Spot Rate : 0.5400
Average : 0.3595

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-04-03
Maturity Price : 17.72
Evaluated at bid price : 17.72
Bid-YTW : 5.84 %

MFC.PR.N FixedReset Ins Non Quote: 18.30 – 18.78
Spot Rate : 0.4800
Average : 0.3383

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2030-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 18.30
Bid-YTW : 7.56 %

SLF.PR.D Deemed-Retractible Quote: 21.12 – 21.49
Spot Rate : 0.3700
Average : 0.2407

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2030-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 21.12
Bid-YTW : 6.51 %

TRP.PR.A FixedReset Disc Quote: 14.95 – 15.42
Spot Rate : 0.4700
Average : 0.3747

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-04-03
Maturity Price : 14.95
Evaluated at bid price : 14.95
Bid-YTW : 5.82 %

SLF.PR.J FloatingReset Quote: 14.63 – 14.99
Spot Rate : 0.3600
Average : 0.2682

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2030-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 14.63
Bid-YTW : 9.25 %

April 2, 2019

Tuesday, April 2nd, 2019
HIMIPref™ Preferred Indices
These values reflect the December 2008 revision of the HIMIPref™ Indices

Values are provisional and are finalized monthly
Index Mean
Current
Yield
(at bid)
Median
YTW
Median
Average
Trading
Value
Median
Mod Dur
(YTW)
Issues Day’s Perf. Index Value
Ratchet 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.3818 % 2,078.0
FixedFloater 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.3818 % 3,813.0
Floater 5.63 % 5.78 % 40,364 14.27 3 0.3818 % 2,197.5
OpRet 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.1091 % 3,289.0
SplitShare 4.87 % 4.65 % 78,992 3.86 8 0.1091 % 3,927.7
Interest-Bearing 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.1091 % 3,064.6
Perpetual-Premium 5.54 % -11.04 % 87,731 0.09 10 0.2078 % 2,948.4
Perpetual-Discount 5.38 % 5.43 % 73,548 14.65 23 0.0168 % 3,110.3
FixedReset Disc 5.24 % 5.31 % 199,449 15.03 61 -0.0511 % 2,188.0
Deemed-Retractible 5.21 % 5.76 % 95,520 8.17 27 0.0236 % 3,081.9
FloatingReset 4.23 % 3.99 % 49,415 2.72 5 -0.0541 % 2,401.9
FixedReset Prem 5.06 % 3.71 % 309,439 2.21 22 -0.1464 % 2,580.2
FixedReset Bank Non 1.98 % 3.94 % 140,488 2.73 3 0.1114 % 2,642.3
FixedReset Ins Non 4.97 % 6.37 % 116,290 8.34 22 -0.0748 % 2,266.8
Performance Highlights
Issue Index Change Notes
GWO.PR.H Deemed-Retractible -1.65 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2030-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 22.71
Bid-YTW : 6.05 %
TRP.PR.J FixedReset Prem -1.46 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2021-05-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.67
Bid-YTW : 4.47 %
IFC.PR.G FixedReset Ins Non -1.43 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2030-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 21.30
Bid-YTW : 6.41 %
CU.PR.G Perpetual-Discount -1.13 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-04-02
Maturity Price : 21.01
Evaluated at bid price : 21.01
Bid-YTW : 5.42 %
TD.PF.E FixedReset Disc -1.12 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-04-02
Maturity Price : 21.16
Evaluated at bid price : 21.16
Bid-YTW : 5.22 %
MFC.PR.L FixedReset Ins Non -1.06 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2030-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 17.81
Bid-YTW : 7.72 %
EMA.PR.H FixedReset Disc 1.01 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-04-02
Maturity Price : 22.82
Evaluated at bid price : 24.00
Bid-YTW : 5.11 %
SLF.PR.J FloatingReset 1.10 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2030-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 14.71
Bid-YTW : 9.18 %
TRP.PR.C FixedReset Disc 1.17 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-04-02
Maturity Price : 13.00
Evaluated at bid price : 13.00
Bid-YTW : 5.77 %
BIP.PR.E FixedReset Disc 1.32 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-04-02
Maturity Price : 21.89
Evaluated at bid price : 22.29
Bid-YTW : 5.62 %
BAM.PF.C Perpetual-Discount 1.87 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-04-02
Maturity Price : 21.25
Evaluated at bid price : 21.25
Bid-YTW : 5.75 %
Volume Highlights
Issue Index Shares
Traded
Notes
SLF.PR.G FixedReset Ins Non 159,900 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2030-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 14.61
Bid-YTW : 8.96 %
PWF.PR.K Perpetual-Discount 79,800 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-04-02
Maturity Price : 22.77
Evaluated at bid price : 23.05
Bid-YTW : 5.45 %
RY.PR.H FixedReset Disc 69,650 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-04-02
Maturity Price : 18.95
Evaluated at bid price : 18.95
Bid-YTW : 5.08 %
TRP.PR.D FixedReset Disc 67,300 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-04-02
Maturity Price : 17.15
Evaluated at bid price : 17.15
Bid-YTW : 5.72 %
GWO.PR.Q Deemed-Retractible 66,300 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2030-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 23.77
Bid-YTW : 5.81 %
PWF.PR.F Perpetual-Discount 58,300 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-04-02
Maturity Price : 23.86
Evaluated at bid price : 24.11
Bid-YTW : 5.53 %
There were 25 other index-included issues trading in excess of 10,000 shares.
Wide Spread Highlights
Issue Index Quote Data and Yield Notes
IFC.PR.E Deemed-Retractible Quote: 23.95 – 24.62
Spot Rate : 0.6700
Average : 0.4948

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2030-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 23.95
Bid-YTW : 5.76 %

GWO.PR.H Deemed-Retractible Quote: 22.71 – 23.15
Spot Rate : 0.4400
Average : 0.2827

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2030-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 22.71
Bid-YTW : 6.05 %

TRP.PR.J FixedReset Prem Quote: 25.67 – 26.10
Spot Rate : 0.4300
Average : 0.2773

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2021-05-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.67
Bid-YTW : 4.47 %

SLF.PR.G FixedReset Ins Non Quote: 14.61 – 15.13
Spot Rate : 0.5200
Average : 0.3767

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2030-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 14.61
Bid-YTW : 8.96 %

TD.PF.J FixedReset Disc Quote: 22.26 – 22.90
Spot Rate : 0.6400
Average : 0.5000

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-04-02
Maturity Price : 21.87
Evaluated at bid price : 22.26
Bid-YTW : 4.94 %

CU.PR.G Perpetual-Discount Quote: 21.01 – 21.38
Spot Rate : 0.3700
Average : 0.2482

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-04-02
Maturity Price : 21.01
Evaluated at bid price : 21.01
Bid-YTW : 5.42 %