Issue Comments

GMP.PR.B & GMP.PR.C Remain on Review-Developing with DBRS

DBRS has announced:

that the Under Review with Developing Implications status has been maintained for GMP Capital Inc.’s (GMP or the Company) Cumulative Preferred Shares at Pfd-4 (high). The rating was put Under Review with Developing Implications on June 18, 2019, following the announcement that GMP had agreed to sell substantially all of its capital markets business to Stifel Financial Corp. (Stifel).

On June 17, 2019, GMP announced that it was selling substantially all of its capital markets business to Stifel for a cash consideration of tangible book value of the business plus $45 million, subject to adjustment and pending shareholder and regulatory approval. It was later announced that Harris Fricker, then Chief Executive Officer (CEO) of GMP, and other key personnel agreed to join Stifel. On August 6, 2019, the majority of shareholders voted to approve the sale during a special meeting.

Furthermore, under the leadership of Interim President and CEO, Kish Kapoor, the Company announced that it is in discussions to consolidate the ownership of Richardson GMP. Richardson GMP is the Company’s wealth management joint venture in Canada, which will become a wholly owned subsidiary and the cornerstone of GMP’s business upon closing this second transaction. The acquisition will only take place once the capital markets business transaction closes and is also subject to separate shareholder and regulatory approval.

The rating could be upgraded if GMP’s franchise prospects and its pro forma financials post-transactions are deemed to be stronger as a result of shedding the capital markets businesses, which have been highly volatile and loss-making.

The rating could be downgraded if the transactions fail to be completed as proposed — including if GMP is not able to acquire majority control of Richardson GMP, which might limit its wealth management growth strategy — or if GMP’s credit fundamentals post-transaction are deemed to be weaker.

GMP.PR.B and GMP.PR.C were initially placed on Review-Developing in June, 2019.

GMP.PR.B was issued as a FixedReset, 5.50%+289, that commenced trading 2011-2-22 after being announced 2011-2-1. Notice of extension was published 2016-2-23, followed by the announcement of a reset to 3.611%. I recommended against conversion, but there was a 22% conversion into GMP.PR.C anyway.

As indicated above, GMP.PR.C is a FloatingReset, +289, that came into being in 2016 via a 22% conversion into GMP.PR.C.

Issue Comments

TRP.PR.E To Be Extended

TC Energy Corporation has announced:

that it does not intend to exercise its right to redeem its Cumulative Redeemable First Preferred Shares, Series 9 (Series 9 Shares) on October 30, 2019. As a result, subject to certain conditions, the holders of Series 9 Shares have the right to choose one of the following options with regard to their shares:

to retain any or all of their Series 9 Shares and continue to receive a fixed rate quarterly dividend; or

to convert, on a one-for-one basis, any or all of their Series 9 Shares into Cumulative Redeemable First Preferred Shares, Series 10 (Series 10 Shares) of TC Energy and receive a floating rate quarterly dividend.
The dividend rate applicable to the Series 9 Shares for the five-year period commencing on October 30, 2019 to, but excluding, October 30, 2024 will equal the Government of Canada five-year bond yield on October 1, 2019 plus 2.35 per cent. The dividend rate applicable to the Series 10 Shares for the three-month period commencing on October 30, 2019 to, but excluding, January 30, 2020 will equal the Government of Canada 90-day treasury bill rate on October 1, 2019 plus 2.35 per cent. Both rates will be calculated according to the terms of the prospectus supplement dated January 13, 2014 and announced by way of a news release on October 1, 2019.

Beneficial owners of Series 9 Shares who want to exercise their right of conversion should communicate as soon as possible with their broker or other nominee and ensure that they follow their instructions in order to meet the deadline to exercise such right, which is 5 p.m. (EDT) on October 15, 2019. Any notices received after this deadline will not be valid. As such, it is recommended that this be done well in advance of the deadline in order to provide the broker or other nominee with time to complete the necessary steps.

The foregoing conversions are subject to the conditions that: (i) if TC Energy determines that there would be less than one million Series 9 Shares outstanding after October 30, 2019, then all remaining Series 9 Shares will automatically be converted into Series 10 Shares on a one-for-one basis on October 30, 2019 and (ii) alternatively, if TC Energy determines that there would be less than one million Series 10 Shares outstanding after October 30, 2019, no Series 9 Shares will be converted into Series 10 Shares. In either case, TC Energy will issue a news release to that effect no later than October 23, 2019.

Beneficial owners of Series 9 Shares who do not provide notice or communicate with their broker or other nominee by the deadline will retain their Series 9 Shares and receive the new annual fixed dividend rate applicable to the Series 9 Shares, subject to the conditions stated above.

Holders of the Series 9 Shares and the Series 10 Shares will have the opportunity to convert their shares again on October 30, 2024 and every five years thereafter as long as the shares remain outstanding.

For more information on the terms of, and risks associated with an investment in the Series 9 Shares and the Series 10 Shares, please see the Corporation’s prospectus supplement dated January 13, 2014 which is available on sedar.com or on the Corporation’s website.

TRP.PR.E is a FixedReset, 4.25%+235, that commenced trading 2014-1-20 after being announced 2014-1-13. It is tracked by HIMIPref™ and assigned to the FixedReset-Discount subindex.

I will have more to say once the reset rate is announced October 1.

Issue Comments

DC.PR.B / DC.PR.D : Small Net Conversion To FloatingReset

Dundee Corporation has announced:

that 651,862 of its Cumulative 5-Year Rate Reset First Preference Shares, Series 2 (“Series 2 Shares”) will be converted, on a one for one basis, into Cumulative Floating Rate First Preference Shares, Series 3 (“Series 3 Shares”) of the Company and 349,755 Series 3 Shares will be converted into Series 2 Shares, in each case effective September 30, 2019. As a result, on September 30, 2019, Dundee will have 3,177,278 Series 2 Shares and 2,022,722 Series 3 Shares issued and outstanding, less any Series 2 Shares and Series 3 Shares purchased by the Company for cancellation pursuant to the previously announced normal course issuer bids.

Holders will again have the opportunity to convert their Series 2 Shares into Series 3 or to convert their Series 3 Shares into Series 2 Shares on September 30, 2024, and every five years thereafter as long as the Series 2 Shares and Series 3 Shares remain outstanding.

So that’s a net conversion of just under 6% from DC.PR.B, the FixedReset, to DC.PR.D, the FloatingReset, leaving DC.PR.B with about 61% of the total.

DC.PR.B is a FixedReset, 5.688%+410, that commenced trading 2009-9-15 with a 6.75% coupon after being announced 2009-8-25. It reset to 5.688% effective 2014-09-30. I made no recommendation regarding conversion. Now, DC.PR.B will reset at 5.284% effective September 30, 2019. I recommended retaining, or converting to, DC.PR.B. It is tracked by HIMIPref™ but is relegated to the Scraps – FixedReset (Discount) subindex on credit concerns.

DC.PR.D is a FloatingReset, +410, that came into existence via a partial conversion from DC.PR.B. It is tracked by HIMIPref™ but relegated to the Scraps – FloatingReset subindex on credit concerns.

Issue Comments

DFN.PR.A To Reset To 5.50% On Extension

Quadravest has announced:

Dividend 15 Split Corp. (the “Company”) previously announced on February 21, 2019 it will extend the termination date of the Company a further five year period from December 1, 2019 to December 1, 2024.

In connection with the extension, the Company will amend the dividend entitlement of the DFN.PR.A Preferred Shares (“Preferred Shares”) for the five year renewal period effective December 1, 2019, to pay a fixed cumulative preferential monthly dividend at an annual rate equivalent to 5.5% based on the $10 repayment value. The Preferred Share distribution rate is based on current market rates for preferred shares with similar terms. Preferred shareholders have received a total of $8.11 per share in distributions since inception. The dividend policy for the DFN Class A Shares (“Class A Shares”) will remain unchanged.

In relation to the term extension and the Preferred Share rate increase, the Company has an additional retraction right for those shareholders not wishing to continue holding their investment, allowing existing shareholders to tender one or both classes of Shares and receive a retraction price based on the November 29, 2019 net asset value per unit.

Alternatively, shareholders may sell their shares for the market price at any time, potentially at a higher price than would be achieved through retraction, or shareholders may take no action and continue to hold their shares.

The Company invests in a high quality portfolio of leading Canadian dividend-yielding stocks as follows: Bank of Montreal, Bank of Nova Scotia, Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce, Royal Bank of Canada, TorontoDominion Bank, National Bank of Canada, CI Financial Corp., BCE Inc., Manulife Financial, Enbridge, Sun Life Financial, TELUS Corporation, Thomson Reuters Corporation, TransAlta Corporation, TC Energy Corporation.

DFN.PR.A was first traded 2004-3-16 as a 5.25% Split Share scheduled to mature 2009-12-1. A Special Resolution was proposed in April 2007 to extend term to 2014-12-1 with an unchanged dividend. The proposal was approved and shareholders had a wild ride during the Credit Crunch. There was another term extension approved in June 2013 with the dividend remaining unchanged. The fund then swallowed up CGQ & CGQ.E as well as STQ / STQ.E. The extension to 2024 was announced in February, 2019.

The NAVPU of the Whole Units of the fund is 17.79 as of 2019-09-13. Frequent treasury offerings of Whole Units have increased the size of the company to $864-million as of 2019-8-30.

Issue Comments

DF.PR.A To Reset To 5.75% On Extension

Quadravest has announced:

Dividend 15 Split Corp. II (the “Company”) previously announced on February 21, 2019 it will extend the termination date of the Company a further five year period from December 1, 2019 to December 1, 2024.

In connection with the extension, the Company will amend the dividend entitlement of the DF.PR.A Preferred Shares (“Preferred Shares”) for the five year renewal period effective December 1, 2019, to pay a fixed cumulative preferential monthly dividend at an annual rate equivalent to 5.75% based on the $10 repayment value. The Preferred Share distribution rate is based on current market rates for preferred shares with similar terms. Preferred shareholders have received a total of $6.71 per share in distributions since inception. The dividend policy for the DF Class A Shares (“Class A Shares”) will remain unchanged.

In relation to the term extension and the Preferred Share rate increase, the Company has an additional retraction right for those shareholders not wishing to continue holding their investment, allowing existing shareholders to tender one or both classes of Shares and receive a retraction price based on the November 29, 2019 net asset value per unit. Alternatively, shareholders may sell their shares for the market price at any time, potentially at a higher price than would be achieved through retraction, or shareholders may take no action and continue to hold their shares.

The Company invests in a high quality portfolio of leading Canadian dividend-yielding stocks as follows: Bank of Montreal, Bank of Nova Scotia, Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce, Royal Bank of Canada, Toronto-Dominion Bank, National Bank of Canada, CI Financial Corp., BCE Inc., Manulife Financial, Enbridge, Sun Life Financial, TELUS Corporation, Thomson Reuters Corporation, TransAlta Corporation, TC Energy Corporation.

DF.PR.A was added to the HIMIPref™ universe in May 2008, as a 5.25% Split Share maturing 2014-12-1. It was hammered in the Credit Crunch, but survived and a five year term extension with unchanged dividend was proposed in May 2013 which was approved in June 2013. Notice of extension to 2024 was given in February, 2019

The NAVPU (for Whole Units) was 15.14 as of 2019-9-13. Opportunistic treasury issuance of Whole Units over the years has increased the assets of the fund to $242-million as of 2019-8-30.

Issue Comments

BAM.PF.F : No Conversion To FloatingReset

Brookfield Asset Management Inc. has announced:

that after having taken into account all election notices received by the September 16, 2019 deadline for the conversion of its Cumulative Class A Preference Shares, Series 40 (the “Series 40 Shares”) (TSX: BAM.PF.F) into Cumulative Class A Preference Shares, Series 41 (the “Series 41 Shares”), there were 116,560 Series 40 Shares tendered for conversion, which is less than the one million shares required to give effect to conversions into Series 41 Shares. Accordingly, there will be no conversion of Series 40 Shares into Series 41 Shares, and holders of Series 40 Shares will retain their Series 40 shares.

BAM.PF.F is a FixedReset, 4.50%+286, that commenced trading 2014-6-5 after being announced 2014-5-27. The issue will reset at 4.029% effective October 1, 2019. I recommended against conversion. BAM.PF.F is tracked by HIMIPref™ and is assigned to the FixedReset – Discount subindex.

Issue Comments

EFN.PR.E : No Conversion To FloatingReset

Element Fleet Management Corp. has announced:

that none of its outstanding Cumulative 5-Year Rate Reset Preferred Shares, Series E (the “Series E shares”) will be converted into Cumulative Floating Rate Preferred Shares, Series F (the “Series F shares”) on September 30, 2019.

During the conversion notice period, which commenced on September 3, 2019 and ended at 5:00 p.m. (Toronto time) on September 16, 2019, 90,430 Series E shares were tendered for conversion into Series F shares. In accordance with Section 8.03(a)(iii) of the rights, privileges, restrictions and conditions attaching to the Series E shares, as provided in the Corporation’s restated articles of incorporation dated October 4, 2016, since there would be outstanding on September 30, 2019 less than 500,000 Series F shares, after having taken into account all Series E shares tendered for conversion into Series F shares,

holders of Series E shares who elected to tender their shares for conversion will not have their Series E shares converted into Series F shares on September 30, 2019.

As a result, no Series F shares will be issued in connection with the current conversion privilege.

EFN.PR.E is a FixedReset, 6.40%+472, that was announced 2014-6-2 but not immediately tracked by HIMIPref™ as it was unrated. Coverage commenced in September, 2015 after the company’s preferreds were rated Pfd-3 by DBRS. The extension was announced 2019-8-27. The issue will reset at 5.903% effective September 30, 2019. I recommended against conversion. The issue is tracked by HIMIPref™ and is assigned to the Scraps – FixedReset – Discount subindex.

Market Action

September 19, 2019

HIMIPref™ Preferred Indices
These values reflect the December 2008 revision of the HIMIPref™ Indices

Values are provisional and are finalized monthly
Index Mean
Current
Yield
(at bid)
Median
YTW
Median
Average
Trading
Value
Median
Mod Dur
(YTW)
Issues Day’s Perf. Index Value
Ratchet 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.5510 % 1,908.6
FixedFloater 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.5510 % 3,502.2
Floater 6.31 % 6.46 % 55,821 13.26 4 0.5510 % 2,018.3
OpRet 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.1016 % 3,383.3
SplitShare 4.66 % 4.49 % 54,955 4.02 7 0.1016 % 4,040.4
Interest-Bearing 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.1016 % 3,152.5
Perpetual-Premium 5.61 % -16.97 % 66,510 0.09 6 0.0000 % 2,985.2
Perpetual-Discount 5.42 % 5.57 % 65,696 14.48 28 0.1266 % 3,163.7
FixedReset Disc 5.58 % 5.65 % 171,666 14.25 73 -0.3500 % 2,056.6
Deemed-Retractible 5.24 % 5.84 % 73,720 7.90 27 0.0396 % 3,144.1
FloatingReset 4.54 % 6.70 % 61,876 7.99 3 -0.8612 % 2,342.9
FixedReset Prem 5.25 % 4.05 % 129,036 1.59 14 -0.0167 % 2,583.8
FixedReset Bank Non 1.97 % 4.32 % 85,170 2.29 3 0.3612 % 2,672.1
FixedReset Ins Non 5.49 % 8.15 % 106,051 7.87 21 -0.6123 % 2,103.4
Performance Highlights
Issue Index Change Notes
SLF.PR.J FloatingReset -3.37 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2030-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 12.89
Bid-YTW : 10.98 %
IFC.PR.A FixedReset Ins Non -3.29 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2030-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 14.10
Bid-YTW : 10.25 %
BAM.PF.B FixedReset Disc -2.31 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-09-19
Maturity Price : 16.94
Evaluated at bid price : 16.94
Bid-YTW : 6.26 %
CM.PR.Q FixedReset Disc -2.30 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-09-19
Maturity Price : 17.88
Evaluated at bid price : 17.88
Bid-YTW : 6.03 %
SLF.PR.G FixedReset Ins Non -1.95 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2030-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 13.10
Bid-YTW : 10.54 %
HSE.PR.E FixedReset Disc -1.93 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-09-19
Maturity Price : 17.75
Evaluated at bid price : 17.75
Bid-YTW : 7.15 %
HSE.PR.G FixedReset Disc -1.89 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-09-19
Maturity Price : 17.66
Evaluated at bid price : 17.66
Bid-YTW : 7.13 %
TRP.PR.C FixedReset Disc -1.69 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-09-19
Maturity Price : 11.60
Evaluated at bid price : 11.60
Bid-YTW : 6.52 %
GWO.PR.T Deemed-Retractible -1.68 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2030-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 23.35
Bid-YTW : 6.03 %
RY.PR.J FixedReset Disc -1.65 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-09-19
Maturity Price : 18.45
Evaluated at bid price : 18.45
Bid-YTW : 5.78 %
BMO.PR.Y FixedReset Disc -1.65 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-09-19
Maturity Price : 18.50
Evaluated at bid price : 18.50
Bid-YTW : 5.73 %
BIP.PR.A FixedReset Disc -1.56 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-09-19
Maturity Price : 17.67
Evaluated at bid price : 17.67
Bid-YTW : 7.17 %
HSE.PR.C FixedReset Disc -1.54 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-09-19
Maturity Price : 16.58
Evaluated at bid price : 16.58
Bid-YTW : 7.02 %
NA.PR.G FixedReset Disc -1.54 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-09-19
Maturity Price : 19.21
Evaluated at bid price : 19.21
Bid-YTW : 5.86 %
GWO.PR.N FixedReset Ins Non -1.51 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2030-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 14.37
Bid-YTW : 9.14 %
MFC.PR.I FixedReset Ins Non -1.41 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2030-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 18.88
Bid-YTW : 7.90 %
TRP.PR.B FixedReset Disc -1.37 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-09-19
Maturity Price : 10.80
Evaluated at bid price : 10.80
Bid-YTW : 6.42 %
GWO.PR.R Deemed-Retractible -1.32 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2030-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 22.40
Bid-YTW : 6.19 %
BMO.PR.E FixedReset Disc -1.26 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-09-19
Maturity Price : 19.55
Evaluated at bid price : 19.55
Bid-YTW : 5.62 %
TD.PF.K FixedReset Disc -1.16 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-09-19
Maturity Price : 19.57
Evaluated at bid price : 19.57
Bid-YTW : 5.52 %
IAF.PR.G FixedReset Ins Non -1.14 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2030-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 19.00
Bid-YTW : 7.57 %
TD.PF.I FixedReset Disc -1.14 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-09-19
Maturity Price : 20.76
Evaluated at bid price : 20.76
Bid-YTW : 5.52 %
TD.PF.A FixedReset Disc -1.12 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-09-19
Maturity Price : 16.82
Evaluated at bid price : 16.82
Bid-YTW : 5.65 %
SLF.PR.I FixedReset Ins Non -1.10 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2030-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 18.05
Bid-YTW : 8.15 %
IFC.PR.C FixedReset Ins Non -1.08 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2030-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 17.35
Bid-YTW : 8.48 %
BAM.PR.K Floater 1.53 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-09-19
Maturity Price : 10.61
Evaluated at bid price : 10.61
Bid-YTW : 6.54 %
BAM.PF.G FixedReset Disc 2.02 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-09-19
Maturity Price : 17.19
Evaluated at bid price : 17.19
Bid-YTW : 6.36 %
Volume Highlights
Issue Index Shares
Traded
Notes
CM.PR.Y FixedReset Disc 211,260 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-09-19
Maturity Price : 23.04
Evaluated at bid price : 24.64
Bid-YTW : 5.25 %
BMO.PR.D FixedReset Disc 135,300 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-09-19
Maturity Price : 21.30
Evaluated at bid price : 21.30
Bid-YTW : 5.49 %
TD.PF.B FixedReset Disc 41,490 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-09-19
Maturity Price : 17.05
Evaluated at bid price : 17.05
Bid-YTW : 5.58 %
BAM.PR.R FixedReset Disc 38,800 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-09-19
Maturity Price : 14.58
Evaluated at bid price : 14.58
Bid-YTW : 6.41 %
MFC.PR.H FixedReset Ins Non 37,000 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2030-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 20.69
Bid-YTW : 6.94 %
TRP.PR.E FixedReset Disc 36,611 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-09-19
Maturity Price : 15.60
Evaluated at bid price : 15.60
Bid-YTW : 6.28 %
There were 38 other index-included issues trading in excess of 10,000 shares.
Wide Spread Highlights
Issue Index Quote Data and Yield Notes
CCS.PR.C Deemed-Retractible Quote: 23.66 – 24.68
Spot Rate : 1.0200
Average : 0.7242

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2030-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 23.66
Bid-YTW : 5.71 %

GWO.PR.T Deemed-Retractible Quote: 23.35 – 23.99
Spot Rate : 0.6400
Average : 0.4399

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2030-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 23.35
Bid-YTW : 6.03 %

BAM.PF.B FixedReset Disc Quote: 16.94 – 17.30
Spot Rate : 0.3600
Average : 0.2260

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-09-19
Maturity Price : 16.94
Evaluated at bid price : 16.94
Bid-YTW : 6.26 %

GWO.PR.R Deemed-Retractible Quote: 22.40 – 22.80
Spot Rate : 0.4000
Average : 0.2852

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2030-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 22.40
Bid-YTW : 6.19 %

GWO.PR.M Deemed-Retractible Quote: 25.61 – 26.02
Spot Rate : 0.4100
Average : 0.2992

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2019-10-19
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.61
Bid-YTW : -24.10 %

RY.PR.P Perpetual-Premium Quote: 25.46 – 25.74
Spot Rate : 0.2800
Average : 0.1923

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2024-02-24
Maturity Price : 25.25
Evaluated at bid price : 25.46
Bid-YTW : 5.11 %

Issue Comments

FixedReset Prospectuses Are Imprecise!

As we all know, FixedResets will reset their dividend every five years based on the Government of Canada Five Year yield (“GOC-5 rate” or “GOC-5 yield”) and therefore the prospectus for each issue needs to include information regarding exactly how that yield is determined.

The prospectus for ALA.PR.G (chosen because I can link to it!) contains typical language with respect to this process:

“Bloomberg Screen GCAN5YR Page” means the display designated as page “GCAN5YR” on the Bloomberg Financial L.P. service (or such other page as may replace the GCAN5YR page on that service) for purposes of displaying Government of Canada bond yields.

“Government of Canada Yield” on any date means the yield to maturity on such date (assuming semi-annual compounding) of a Canadian dollar denominated non-callable Government of Canada bond with a term to maturity of five years as quoted as of 10:00 a.m. (Toronto time) on such date and that appears on he Bloomberg Screen GCAN5YR Page on such date; provided that if such rate does not appear on the Bloomberg Screen GCAN5YR Page on such date, then the Government of Canada Yield shall mean the arithmetic average of the yields quoted to AltaGas by two registered Canadian investment dealers selected by AltaGas as being the annual yield to maturity on such date, compounded semi-annually, that a non-callable Government of Canada bond would carry if issued, in Canadian dollars, at 100% of its principal amount on such date with a term to maturity of five years.

I am not aware of any material differences in the definitions between prospectuses.

So this sounds pretty good, right? The GOC-5 yield will be calculated by an independent third party with no ambiguity and complete verifiability, right? Wrong.

As noted in the post Reset Calculation Oddity for 2019-9-30 / 2019-10-1, the following four issues had the GOC-5 rate underlying their dividends recalculated by their issuers on September 3:

Basis Comparison of Resets
Ticker Issue Reset Spread Announced Rate Implied GOC-5 Yield Screenshot
ALA.PR.G 306bp 4.242% 1.182% LINK
EFN.PR.E 472bp 5.903% 1.183% LINK
BAM.PF.F 286bp 4.029% 1.169% LINK
DC.PR.B 410bp 5.284% 1.184% LINK

The AltaGas screenshot shows they made a slight mistake: the time of the screenshot is 10:00:18, so they missed their proper time by 18 seconds, although they could argue that the prospectus only uses four significant figures and therefore their calculation is completely OK. However, each of the other screenshots shows a genuine effort being made to determine just what exactly the GOC-5 rate was at 10:00:00.00000 and each methodology resulted in a different answer.

Four companies, four identically specified calculations, four different answers.

I will be the first to agree that the variance is minor: the spread between the highest and lowest measurement is only 1.5bp and that’s not a lot. On a typical issue size of $250-million, that comes to $37,500 annually or $187,500 over the full five years. On a per-share basis, a 1.5bp yield difference comes to $0.00375 p.a., slightly less than two cents over the full five years.

But that’s not the point. First, the prospectus should specify the yield to be used in a completely precise manner. To quote again from the representative language of the ALA.PR.G prospectus:

“Annual Fixed Dividend Rate” means, for any Subsequent Fixed Rate Period, the annual rate of interest (expressed as a percentage rounded to the nearest one hundred thousandth of one percent (with 0.000005% being rounded up)) equal to the sum of the Government of Canada Yield on the applicable Fixed Rate Calculation Date and 3.06%.

What’s the point of being so horrifyingly precise about the rounding of the Annual Fixed Dividend Rate when the underlying figure is nowhere near that precisely measured?

In addition, once this becomes widely known, what’s to prevent a company from determining the GOC-5 yield in as many ways as their Bloomberg users can invent and choosing the lowest answer?

Clearly, the Bloomberg methodology is not adequate for the task of determining a precise, public, third-party figure and the procedure needs to be changed. The first alternative that leaps to mind is the Bank of Canada’s bond yield reporting:

Selected benchmark bond yields are based on mid-market closing yields of selected Government of Canada bond issues that mature approximately in the indicated terms. The bond issues used are not necessarily the ones with the remaining time to maturity that is the closest to the indicated term and may differ from other sources. The selected 2-, 5-, 10-, or 30-year issues are generally changed when a building benchmark bond is adopted by financial markets as a benchmark, typically after the last auction for that bond.

Yes, it’s not quite the same thing and yes, there might be a perceived problem if the benchmark changes near the time of calculation (typically, new benchmarks will trade to yield less than the ‘off the run’ issues they supersede). I don’t care. I want something precise, public (certainly more public than a subscription to a Bloomberg terminal!) and prepared by an independent third party. If somebody has a better idea, let’s hear it.

Market Action

September 18, 2019

So, the Fed cut by a quarter:

Information received since the Federal Open Market Committee met in July indicates that the labor market remains strong and that economic activity has been rising at a moderate rate. Job gains have been solid, on average, in recent months, and the unemployment rate has remained low. Although household spending has been rising at a strong pace, business fixed investment and exports have weakened. On a 12-month basis, overall inflation and inflation for items other than food and energy are running below 2 percent. Market-based measures of inflation compensation remain low; survey-based measures of longer-term inflation expectations are little changed.

Consistent with its statutory mandate, the Committee seeks to foster maximum employment and price stability. In light of the implications of global developments for the economic outlook as well as muted inflation pressures, the Committee decided to lower the target range for the federal funds rate to 1-3/4 to 2 percent. This action supports the Committee’s view that sustained expansion of economic activity, strong labor market conditions, and inflation near the Committee’s symmetric 2 percent objective are the most likely outcomes, but uncertainties about this outlook remain. As the Committee contemplates the future path of the target range for the federal funds rate, it will continue to monitor the implications of incoming information for the economic outlook and will act as appropriate to sustain the expansion, with a strong labor market and inflation near its symmetric 2 percent objective.

In determining the timing and size of future adjustments to the target range for the federal funds rate, the Committee will assess realized and expected economic conditions relative to its maximum employment objective and its symmetric 2 percent inflation objective. This assessment will take into account a wide range of information, including measures of labor market conditions, indicators of inflation pressures and inflation expectations, and readings on financial and international developments.

Voting for the monetary policy action were Jerome H. Powell, Chair, John C. Williams, Vice Chair; Michelle W. Bowman; Lael Brainard; Richard H. Clarida; Charles L. Evans; and Randal K. Quarles. Voting against the action were James Bullard, who preferred at this meeting to lower the target range for the federal funds rate to 1-1/2 to 1-3/4 percent; and Esther L. George and Eric S. Rosengren, who preferred to maintain the target range at 2 percent to 2-1/4 percent.

The voting was interesting, with two hawks and one dove dissenting, which underscores the uncertainty that prevails globally. Of course, there’s there’s one guy who’s never uncertain:

“Jay Powell and the Federal Reserve Fail Again. No “guts,” no sense, no vision! A terrible communicator!,” Mr. Trump said in a tweet shortly after the Fed’s announcement, referring to Jerome H. Powell, the Fed Chair.

Equities fell initially, and then:

But stocks reversed their slide during Powell’s news conference following the policy decision, during which he said the Fed is closely monitoring economic data, trade and global growth risks, but did not see imminent recession, or think the central bank would cut rates to negative territory.

U.S. Treasury yields dipped following Powell’s remarks.

Benchmark 10-year notes last rose 7/32 in price to yield 1.7909%, from 1.814% late on Tuesday. The 30-year bond last rose 23/32 in price to yield 2.2471%, from 2.28% late on Tuesday.

The dollar strengthened following the Fed’s rate cut. The dollar index rose 0.28%, with the euro down 0.36% to $1.1031.

And in the frozen north:

The Canadian dollar weakened to a two-week low against its U.S. counterpart on Wednesday as oil prices fell and after the U.S. Federal Reserve was less dovish than some investors had anticipated.

Canadian government bond prices were higher across a flatter
yield curve. The two-year rose 2.5 Canadian cents to yield 1.598% and the 10-year was up 15 Canadian cents to yield 1.433%.

The 10-year yield touched its lowest intraday since Sept. 12 at 1.409%.

PerpetualDiscounts now yield 5.57%, equivalent to 7.24% interest at the standard equivalency factor of 1.3x. Long corporates now yield 3.48%, so the pre-tax interest-equivalent spread (in this context, the “Seniority Spread”) has plunged to 375bp from the 415bp reported September 11.

HIMIPref™ Preferred Indices
These values reflect the December 2008 revision of the HIMIPref™ Indices

Values are provisional and are finalized monthly
Index Mean
Current
Yield
(at bid)
Median
YTW
Median
Average
Trading<
br>Value
Median
Mod Dur
(YTW)
Issues Day’s Perf. Index Value
Ratchet 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.0
0
0 -1.1797 % 1,898.2
FixedFloater 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 -1.1797 % 3,483.0
Floater 6.35 % 6.47 % 56,467 13.25 4 -1.1797 % 2,007.3
OpRet 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 -0.1014 % 3,379.9
SplitShare 4.66 % 4.61 % 56,797 4.02 7 -0.1014 % 4,036.3
Interest-Bearing 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 -0.1014 % 3,149.3
Perpetual-Premium 5.61 % -14.96 % 68,907 0.09 6 0.0130 % 2,985.2
Perpetual-Discount 5.42 % 5.57 % 62,979 14.48 28 0.2229 % 3,159.7
FixedReset Disc 5.56 % 5.63 % 173,943 14.2
6
73 -0.4811 % 2,063.8
Deemed-Retractible 5.24 % 5.84 % 74,629 7.91 27 0.2207 % 3,142.8
FloatingReset 4.50 % 6.70 % 61,966 8.04 3 0.0588 % 2,363.2
FixedReset Prem<
/td>

5.25 % 4.00 % 126,743 1.60 14 0.0112 % 2,584.3
FixedReset Bank Non 1.98 % 4.46 % 85,862 2.29 3 -0.2632 % 2,662.5
FixedReset Ins Non 5.46 % 8.01 % 107,184 7.90 21 -0.3479 % 2,116.3
Performance Highlights
Issue Index Change Notes
BAM.PF.G FixedReset Disc -4.48 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-09-18
Maturity Price : 16.85
Evaluated at bid price : 16.85
Bid-YTW : 6.48 %
BAM.PF.E FixedReset Disc -2.23 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-09-18
Maturity Price : 15.75
Evaluated at bid price : 15.75
Bid-YTW : 6.49 %
RY.PR.M FixedReset Disc -2.00 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-09-18
Maturity Price : 18.13
Evaluated at bid price : 18.13
Bid-YTW : 5.70 %
HSE.PR.A FixedReset Disc -1.90 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-09-18
Maturity Price : 11.35
Evaluated at bid price : 11.35
Bid-YTW : 6.95 %
PWF.PR.A Floater -1.84 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-09-18
Maturity Price : 11.76
Evaluated at bid price : 11.76
Bid-YTW : 5.95 %
BIP.PR.F FixedReset Disc -1.81 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-09-18
Maturity Price : 21.39
Evaluated at bid price : 21.70
Bid-YTW : 5.89 %
TD.PF.B FixedReset Disc -1.73 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-09-18
Maturity Price : 17.05
Evaluated at bid price : 17.05
Bid-YTW : 5.58 %
TD.PF.A FixedReset Disc -1.62 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-09-18
Maturity Price : 17.01
Evaluated at bid price : 17.01
Bid-YTW : 5.59 %
NA.PR.G FixedReset Disc -1.61 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-09-18
Maturity Price : 19.51
Evaluated at bid price : 19.51
Bid-YTW : 5.77 %
RY.PR.S FixedReset Disc -1.60 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-09-18
Maturity Price : 19.67
Evaluated at bid price : 19.67
Bid-YTW : 5.28 %
RY.PR.Z FixedReset Disc -1.53 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-09-18
Maturity Price : 17.33
Evaluated at bid price : 17.33
Bid-YTW : 5.41 %
SLF.PR.H FixedReset Ins Non -1.45 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2030-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 15.62
Bid-YTW : 9.17 %
CM.PR.S FixedReset Disc -1.44 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-09-18
Maturity Price : 18.50
Evaluated at bid price : 18.50
Bid-YTW : 5.59 %
TD.PF.E FixedReset Disc -1.42 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-09-18
Maturity Price : 19.46
Evaluated at bid price : 19.46
Bid-YTW : 5.65 %
MFC.PR.Q FixedReset Ins Non -1.41 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2030-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 18.20
Bid-YTW : 8.35 %
BAM.PR.B Floater -1.39 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-09-18
Maturity Price : 10.64
Evaluated at bid price : 10.64
Bid-YTW : 6.52 %
EMA.PR.C FixedReset Disc -1.38 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-09-18
Maturity Price : 17.90
Evaluated at bid price : 17.90
Bid-YTW : 6.07 %
IAF.PR.I FixedReset Ins Non -1.33 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2030-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 19.30
Bid-YTW : 7.75 %
BMO.PR.S FixedReset Disc -1.30 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-09-18
Maturity Price : 17.50
Evaluated at bid price : 17.50
Bid-YTW : 5.54 %
CM.PR.P FixedReset Disc -1.29 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-09-18
Maturity Price : 16.10
Evaluated at bid price : 16.10
Bid-YTW : 5.91 %
NA.PR.W FixedReset Disc -1.25 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-09-18
Maturity Price : 15.85
Evaluated at bid price : 15.85
Bid-YTW : 6.00 %
BAM.PR.R FixedReset Disc -1.15 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-09-18
Maturity Price : 14.58
Evaluated at bid price : 14.58
Bid-YTW : 6.40 %
CM.PR.R FixedReset Disc -1.12 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-09-18
Maturity Price : 21.20
Evaluated at bid price : 21.20
Bid-YTW : 5.74 %
BNS.PR.I FixedReset Disc -1.07 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-09-18
Maturity Price : 20.30
Evaluated at bid price : 20.30
Bid-YTW : 5.21 %
MFC.PR.J FixedReset Ins Non -1.05 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2030-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 18.80
Bid-YTW : 7.97 %
BAM.PR.K Floater -1.04 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-09-18
Maturity Price : 10.45
Evaluated at bid price : 10.45
Bid-YTW : 6.64 %
MFC.PR.N FixedReset Ins Non -1.01 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2030-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 15.76
Bid-YTW : 9.53 %
BMO.PR.E FixedReset Disc -1.00 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-09-18
Maturity Price : 19.80
Evaluated at bid price : 19.80
Bid-YTW : 5.55 %
PWF.PR.T FixedReset Disc 1.46 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-09-18
Maturity Price : 17.40
Evaluated at bid price : 17.40
Bid-YTW : 5.78 %
GWO.PR.T Deemed-Retractible 1.50 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2030-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 23.75
Bid-YTW : 5.81 %
GWO.PR.S Deemed-Retractible 1.63 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2030-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 24.29
Bid-YTW : 5.63 %
Volume Highlights
Issue Index Shares
Traded
Notes
RY.PR.Q FixedReset Prem 70,400 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2021-05-24
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.70
Bid-YTW : 4.00 %
HSE.PR.C FixedReset Disc 37,023 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-09-18
Maturity Price : 16.84
Evaluated at bid price : 16.84
Bid-YTW : 6.91 %
RY.PR.S FixedReset Disc 29,500 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-09-18
Maturity Price : 19.67
Evaluated at bid price : 19.67
Bid-YTW : 5.28 %
MFC.PR.R FixedReset Ins Non 26,200 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2030-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 23.99
Bid-YTW : 5.75 %
SLF.PR.J FloatingReset 24,400 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2030-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 13.34
Bid-YTW : 10.54 %
IFC.PR.A FixedReset Ins Non 22,229 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2030-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 14.58
Bid-YTW : 9.81 %
There were 21 other index-included issues trading in excess of 10,000 shares.
Wide Spread Highlights
Issue Index Quote Data and Yield Notes
BNS.PR.D FloatingReset Quote: 24.50 – 24.99
Spot Rate : 0.4900
Average : 0.3522


YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 24.50
Bid-YTW : 3.67 %
TD.PF.E FixedReset Disc Quote: 19.46 – 19.86
Spot Rate : 0.4000
Average : 0.2848


YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-09-18
Maturity Price : 19.46
Evaluated at bid price : 19.46
Bid-YTW : 5.65 %
MFC.PR.B Deemed-Retractible Quote: 21.60 – 22.04
Spot Rate : 0.4400
Average : 0.3286


YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2030-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 21.60
Bid-YTW : 6.51 %
BAM.PR.B Floater Quote: 10.64 – 10.90
Spot Rate : 0.2600
Average : 0.1545


YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-09-18
Maturity Price : 10.64
Evaluated at bid price : 10.64
Bid-YTW : 6.52 %
BAM.PR.X FixedReset Disc Quote: 12.79 – 13.19
Spot Rate : 0.4000
Average : 0.2982


YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-09-18
Maturity Price : 12.79
Evaluated at bid price : 12.79
Bid-YTW : 6.29 %
TD.PF.B FixedReset Disc Quote: 17.05 – 17.38
Spot Rate : 0.3300
Average : 0.2285


YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2049-09-18
Maturity Price : 17.05
Evaluated at bid price : 17.05
Bid-YTW : 5.58 %