February 8, 2011

There is talk of a merger between the TMX and the London Stock Exchange:

London Stock Exchange Group Plc is in advanced talks to purchase TMX Group Inc., owner of the Toronto Stock Exchange, to create the world’s eighth-largest exchange operator by market value.

LSE plans to issue stock according to a ratio that is similar to the companies’ relative market values, according to e-mailed statements. LSE would control 56 percent of the combined entity given its market capitalization of 2.42 billion British pounds ($3.89 billion) and TMX’s C$3 billion ($3.01 billion), according to data compiled by Bloomberg.

The exchanges will have headquarters in London and Toronto and maintain their current regulators, according to their e- mailed statements. Management of the merged company will be drawn from “a balance of leaders from both organizations,” the statements said.

Trading of TMX Group was halted, according to exchange data sent at 4:24 p.m. Toronto time today. The company is scheduled to report quarterly financial results tomorrow.

The guy who owns The Tea Emporium in First Canadian Place must be ecstatic.

DBRS has commented on the SEC’s Credit Rating Standardization Study:

This provision requires the Commission to study the feasibility and desirability of standardizing credit rating terminology and standardizing and streamlining certain quantitative measures under four broad topics.[Footnote] Within one year of enactment of the Dodd-Frank Act, the Commission must submit to Congress a report containing the findings of the study and the Commission’s recommendations, if any, with respect to the study.

DBRS suggests that credit rating standardization is neither desirable nor feasible. In short, DBRS endorses the views expressed by the American Securitization Forum on this matter.

Footnote: The four broad areas are: (1) standardizing credit ratings terminology, so that all credit rating agencies issue credit ratings using identical terms; (2) standardizing the market stress conditions under which ratings are evaluated; (3) requiring a quantitative correspondence between credit ratings and a range of default probabilities and loss expectations under standardized conditions of economic stress; and (4) standardizing credit rating terminology across asset classes, so that named ratings correspond to a standard range of default probabilities and expected losses independent of asset class and issuing entity.

I haven’t been following this at all, but the whole project seems ill-advised to me at first glance. As an investor, I want a broad range of opinions, particularly in relation to market stress and economic stress. The whole point seems to be to quantify your guesses down to four decimal places; the type of project beloved of bureaucracy.

Robert Shiller doubts the ‘better living through better regulation’ story:

Robert Shiller, the Yale professor who correctly predicted the 1987 stock market collapse and the recent U.S. housing market meltdown, said Canada’s robust financial health compared to other nations is largely due to a random run-up in oil prices in the midst of the global financial crisis.

“It’s a major export for Canada and it went to US$140 a barrel in 2008, right when Canada needed it,” Prof. Shiller said in an interview Tuesday.

“It seems that if the country didn’t have that boost from oil, it would have done worse than the United States,” Prof. Shiller said.

The market came down a bit after yesterday’s euphoric response to the OSFI ruling, with PerpetualDiscounts flat, FixedResets down 29bp and DeemedRetractibles down 31bp. Volume was heavy.

HIMIPref™ Preferred Indices
These values reflect the December 2008 revision of the HIMIPref™ Indices

Values are provisional and are finalized monthly
Index Mean
Current
Yield
(at bid)
Median
YTW
Median
Average
Trading
Value
Median
Mod Dur
(YTW)
Issues Day’s Perf. Index Value
Ratchet 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 -0.1070 % 2,396.5
FixedFloater 4.79 % 3.50 % 22,073 19.08 1 0.0000 % 3,553.1
Floater 2.50 % 2.29 % 43,689 21.53 4 -0.1070 % 2,587.6
OpRet 4.82 % 3.79 % 64,667 2.24 8 -0.1447 % 2,383.5
SplitShare 5.30 % 1.69 % 314,722 0.83 4 0.0600 % 2,466.3
Interest-Bearing 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 -0.1447 % 2,179.5
Perpetual-Premium 5.74 % 5.36 % 118,719 2.54 9 0.0088 % 2,033.8
Perpetual-Discount 5.55 % 5.62 % 128,750 14.43 15 0.0000 % 2,108.5
FixedReset 5.24 % 3.76 % 169,672 3.06 54 -0.2907 % 2,260.5
Deemed-Retractible 5.22 % 5.26 % 432,187 8.28 53 -0.3085 % 2,074.8
Performance Highlights
Issue Index Change Notes
CM.PR.J Deemed-Retractible -1.63 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 23.56
Bid-YTW : 5.24 %
MFC.PR.B Deemed-Retractible -1.52 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 22.65
Bid-YTW : 5.99 %
RY.PR.F Deemed-Retractible -1.46 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 23.66
Bid-YTW : 5.10 %
RY.PR.D Deemed-Retractible -1.17 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 23.64
Bid-YTW : 5.16 %
GWO.PR.J FixedReset -1.11 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-01-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.75
Bid-YTW : 3.73 %
RY.PR.G Deemed-Retractible -1.04 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 23.68
Bid-YTW : 5.14 %
SLF.PR.A Deemed-Retractible -1.02 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 23.25
Bid-YTW : 5.71 %
HSB.PR.C Deemed-Retractible 1.49 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 24.51
Bid-YTW : 5.44 %
Volume Highlights
Issue Index Shares
Traded
Notes
BAM.PR.X FixedReset 206,559 New issue settled today
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2041-02-08
Maturity Price : 22.99
Evaluated at bid price : 24.70
Bid-YTW : 4.55 %
BMO.PR.O FixedReset 199,060 Nesbitt crossed 50,000 at 27.76; Desjardins crossed 135,000 at the same price.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-06-24
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 27.62
Bid-YTW : 3.20 %
TCA.PR.Y Perpetual-Premium 139,750 Nesbitt crossed blocks of 110,000 and 26,500, both at 50.50.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-04-04
Maturity Price : 50.00
Evaluated at bid price : 50.45
Bid-YTW : 5.36 %
BNS.PR.M Deemed-Retractible 131,195 Nesbitt crossed 25,000 at 23.85 and 12,300 at 23.86, followed by another 50,000 at 23.85.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 23.84
Bid-YTW : 5.10 %
BMO.PR.N FixedReset 91,668 Desjardins crossed three blocks, two of 20,000 and one of 50,000, all at 27.55.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-03-27
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 27.51
Bid-YTW : 3.04 %
NA.PR.N FixedReset 49,500 Desjardins crossed blocks of 29,300 and 19,000, both at 26.40.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2013-09-14
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.33
Bid-YTW : 3.16 %
There were 59 other index-included issues trading in excess of 10,000 shares.
Wide Spread Highlights
Issue Index Quote Data and Yield Notes
MFC.PR.B Deemed-Retractible Quote: 22.65 – 23.12
Spot Rate : 0.4700
Average : 0.3030

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 22.65
Bid-YTW : 5.99 %

TRP.PR.A FixedReset Quote: 26.10 – 26.45
Spot Rate : 0.3500
Average : 0.2348

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2015-01-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.10
Bid-YTW : 3.56 %

IAG.PR.F Deemed-Retractible Quote: 25.50 – 25.74
Spot Rate : 0.2400
Average : 0.1351

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2019-04-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.50
Bid-YTW : 5.73 %

RY.PR.G Deemed-Retractible Quote: 23.68 – 23.90
Spot Rate : 0.2200
Average : 0.1246

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 23.68
Bid-YTW : 5.14 %

CM.PR.J Deemed-Retractible Quote: 23.56 – 23.81
Spot Rate : 0.2500
Average : 0.1546

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 23.56
Bid-YTW : 5.24 %

TD.PR.G FixedReset Quote: 26.78 – 27.07
Spot Rate : 0.2900
Average : 0.1994

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-05-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.78
Bid-YTW : 4.08 %

Leave a Reply

You must be logged in to post a comment.