July 5, 2024

Jobs, jobs, jobs!

Employers delivered another solid month of hiring in June, the Labor Department reported on Friday, adding 206,000 jobs in the 42nd consecutive month of job growth.

At the same time, the unemployment rate ticked up one-tenth of a point to 4.1 percent, up from 4 percent and surpassing 4 percent for the first time since November 2021.

Wage gains have also been moderating. Average hourly earnings rose 0.3 percent in June from the previous month, and 3.9 percent from a year earlier, compared with a 4.1 percent year-over-year change in May. But in good news for workers, pay gains have been outpacing inflation for about a year.

The market response to the report on Friday was muted, with stocks rising modestly. Yields on government bonds fell, however, reflecting traders’ increasing confidence that the Federal Reserve will begin cutting interest rates.

Roughly three-quarters of the job gains in the June report came from health care, social assistance and government. A few other industries produced scant increases, and some, including manufacturing and retail, shed jobs overall.

… and in the frozen North:

Canada’s unemployment rate rose to a 29-month high of 6.4 per cent, data showed on Friday, highlighting that people might be losing jobs as the labour market struggles to absorb a rapidly swelling population.

The jobs report, which also showed that youth unemployment reached almost a decade high barring the pandemic years, prompted money markets to increase bets of a rate cut by the Bank of Canada this month to around 56 per cent from 40 per cent a day earlier.

Canada lost a net 1,400 jobs in June, Statistics Canada said, against analysts’ predictions of 22,500 job gains, in further indications of weakness in economic conditions.

Yields on the Canadian government’s two-year bonds dropped by 9.1 basis points to 3.961 per cent after the jobs report.

The average hourly wage growth of permanent employees accelerated to an annual rate of 5.6 per cent from 5.2 per cent in May. The pay growth rate – closely tracked by the Bank of Canada (BoC) because of its effect on inflation – was the fastest since 5.7 per cent in December.

In June, jobs were shed in full-time work, while part-time positions were added in the month.

Employment in the goods sector increased by a net 12,600 jobs, mostly in agriculture, while the services sector lost a net 14,100 jobs, led by transportation and warehousing and Information, culture and recreation.

HIMIPref™ Preferred Indices
These values reflect the December 2008 revision of the HIMIPref™ Indices

Values are provisional and are finalized monthly
Index Mean
Current
Yield
(at bid)
Median
YTW
Median
Average
Trading
Value
Median
Mod Dur
(YTW)
Issues Day’s Perf. Index Value
Ratchet 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.7532 % 2,168.5
FixedFloater 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.7532 % 4,159.1
Floater 10.70 % 10.81 % 26,505 8.97 2 0.7532 % 2,396.9
OpRet 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 -0.3572 % 3,477.1
SplitShare 4.81 % 6.68 % 31,206 1.26 6 -0.3572 % 4,152.4
Interest-Bearing 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 -0.3572 % 3,239.9
Perpetual-Premium 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.0996 % 2,695.1
Perpetual-Discount 6.39 % 6.55 % 51,307 13.11 28 0.0996 % 2,938.8
FixedReset Disc 5.16 % 7.03 % 111,630 12.11 49 0.0668 % 2,619.2
Insurance Straight 6.17 % 6.40 % 58,709 13.34 21 0.2990 % 2,894.2
FloatingReset 9.34 % 9.24 % 33,644 10.21 4 0.2074 % 2,763.8
FixedReset Prem 5.79 % 6.28 % 244,134 3.00 8 0.1083 % 2,549.2
FixedReset Bank Non 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.0668 % 2,677.4
FixedReset Ins Non 5.08 % 6.91 % 97,719 12.96 14 1.1691 % 2,798.3
Performance Highlights
Issue Index Change Notes
PWF.PR.P FixedReset Disc -8.75 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2054-07-05
Maturity Price : 14.08
Evaluated at bid price : 14.08
Bid-YTW : 8.66 %
BN.PR.X FixedReset Disc -4.48 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2054-07-05
Maturity Price : 16.00
Evaluated at bid price : 16.00
Bid-YTW : 8.27 %
PWF.PR.L Perpetual-Discount -3.06 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2054-07-05
Maturity Price : 19.02
Evaluated at bid price : 19.02
Bid-YTW : 6.85 %
CU.PR.I FixedReset Disc -2.50 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2054-07-05
Maturity Price : 21.77
Evaluated at bid price : 22.25
Bid-YTW : 7.96 %
BN.PR.T FixedReset Disc -2.11 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2054-07-05
Maturity Price : 16.20
Evaluated at bid price : 16.20
Bid-YTW : 8.54 %
IFC.PR.E Insurance Straight -1.90 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2054-07-05
Maturity Price : 20.65
Evaluated at bid price : 20.65
Bid-YTW : 6.35 %
PWF.PR.G Perpetual-Discount -1.54 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2054-07-05
Maturity Price : 22.12
Evaluated at bid price : 22.40
Bid-YTW : 6.72 %
PVS.PR.K SplitShare -1.49 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2029-05-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 23.10
Bid-YTW : 6.40 %
PVS.PR.J SplitShare -1.28 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2028-02-29
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 23.20
Bid-YTW : 6.80 %
SLF.PR.J FloatingReset -1.02 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2054-07-05
Maturity Price : 17.40
Evaluated at bid price : 17.40
Bid-YTW : 8.93 %
NA.PR.S FixedReset Disc 1.01 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2054-07-05
Maturity Price : 22.79
Evaluated at bid price : 24.02
Bid-YTW : 6.39 %
CCS.PR.C Insurance Straight 1.04 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2054-07-05
Maturity Price : 19.42
Evaluated at bid price : 19.42
Bid-YTW : 6.49 %
RY.PR.N Perpetual-Discount 1.12 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2054-07-05
Maturity Price : 23.98
Evaluated at bid price : 24.28
Bid-YTW : 5.10 %
GWO.PR.P Insurance Straight 1.20 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2054-07-05
Maturity Price : 21.00
Evaluated at bid price : 21.00
Bid-YTW : 6.49 %
FTS.PR.G FixedReset Disc 1.32 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2054-07-05
Maturity Price : 21.53
Evaluated at bid price : 21.53
Bid-YTW : 6.92 %
BN.PR.K Floater 1.42 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2054-07-05
Maturity Price : 11.42
Evaluated at bid price : 11.42
Bid-YTW : 10.81 %
CU.PR.C FixedReset Disc 1.48 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2054-07-05
Maturity Price : 20.60
Evaluated at bid price : 20.60
Bid-YTW : 7.21 %
FFH.PR.J FloatingReset 1.55 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2054-07-05
Maturity Price : 19.60
Evaluated at bid price : 19.60
Bid-YTW : 9.80 %
GWO.PR.I Insurance Straight 1.69 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2054-07-05
Maturity Price : 18.00
Evaluated at bid price : 18.00
Bid-YTW : 6.30 %
POW.PR.A Perpetual-Discount 1.90 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2054-07-05
Maturity Price : 21.50
Evaluated at bid price : 21.50
Bid-YTW : 6.55 %
BN.PR.R FixedReset Disc 2.17 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2054-07-05
Maturity Price : 16.50
Evaluated at bid price : 16.50
Bid-YTW : 8.40 %
TD.PF.D FixedReset Disc 4.96 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2054-07-05
Maturity Price : 22.98
Evaluated at bid price : 23.51
Bid-YTW : 6.63 %
IFC.PR.A FixedReset Ins Non 6.41 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2054-07-05
Maturity Price : 18.75
Evaluated at bid price : 18.75
Bid-YTW : 7.03 %
MFC.PR.N FixedReset Ins Non 7.54 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2054-07-05
Maturity Price : 21.24
Evaluated at bid price : 21.24
Bid-YTW : 6.91 %
Volume Highlights
Issue Index Shares
Traded
Notes
TD.PF.B FixedReset Prem 220,821 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2024-08-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.14
Bid-YTW : 5.56 %
BMO.PR.T FixedReset Disc 60,977 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2054-07-05
Maturity Price : 23.86
Evaluated at bid price : 24.85
Bid-YTW : 5.91 %
BN.PF.D Perpetual-Discount 54,325 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2054-07-05
Maturity Price : 18.21
Evaluated at bid price : 18.21
Bid-YTW : 6.79 %
BN.PR.B Floater 27,790 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2054-07-05
Maturity Price : 11.32
Evaluated at bid price : 11.32
Bid-YTW : 10.90 %
CM.PR.O FixedReset Disc 25,015 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2024-08-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 24.91
Bid-YTW : 5.93 %
BN.PR.R FixedReset Disc 24,940 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2054-07-05
Maturity Price : 16.50
Evaluated at bid price : 16.50
Bid-YTW : 8.40 %
There were 7 other index-included issues trading in excess of 10,000 shares.
Wide Spread Highlights
Issue Index Quote Data and Yield Notes
PWF.PR.L Perpetual-Discount Quote: 19.02 – 20.64
Spot Rate : 1.6200
Average : 1.0989

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2054-07-05
Maturity Price : 19.02
Evaluated at bid price : 19.02
Bid-YTW : 6.85 %

PWF.PR.P FixedReset Disc Quote: 14.08 – 15.68
Spot Rate : 1.6000
Average : 1.0881

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2054-07-05
Maturity Price : 14.08
Evaluated at bid price : 14.08
Bid-YTW : 8.66 %

CU.PR.I FixedReset Disc Quote: 22.25 – 23.55
Spot Rate : 1.3000
Average : 0.9415

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2054-07-05
Maturity Price : 21.77
Evaluated at bid price : 22.25
Bid-YTW : 7.96 %

BN.PR.X FixedReset Disc Quote: 16.00 – 16.85
Spot Rate : 0.8500
Average : 0.5688

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2054-07-05
Maturity Price : 16.00
Evaluated at bid price : 16.00
Bid-YTW : 8.27 %

PVS.PR.K SplitShare Quote: 23.10 – 23.85
Spot Rate : 0.7500
Average : 0.4801

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2029-05-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 23.10
Bid-YTW : 6.40 %

BMO.PR.Y FixedReset Disc Quote: 23.75 – 25.00
Spot Rate : 1.2500
Average : 1.0258

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2054-07-05
Maturity Price : 23.24
Evaluated at bid price : 23.75
Bid-YTW : 6.44 %

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