July 19, 2024

A day enlivened by the CrowdStrike-Microsoft Outage:

Wall Street’s main indexes fell on Friday, deepening a sell-off driven by tech stocks and mixed earnings, while investors assessed the impact of a global cyber outage that knocked down CrowdStrike’s shares to an over two-month low.

Cybersecurity firm CrowdStrike slumped 11.2 per cent after an update to one of its products appeared to trigger an outage that affected customers using Microsoft’s Windows Operating System, disrupting businesses across sectors.

Major U.S. airlines ordered ground stops citing communication issues, with the Euronext exchange and London Stock Exchange Group’s Workspace news and data platform also facing issues. LSEG later said its data and services were back online.

Microsoft slipped 0.7 per cent to an over one-month low, on track for a four-day decline, driven by a rout in tech stocks.

I’m beginning to think that legislation making software providers with a market share greater than X liable for screw-ups via class actions would be a good idea. Cap the potential liability because otherwise nobody in their right mind would write software, but, by golly, make it hurt! They won’t notice, otherwise.

The culture of not caring about the quality of one’s work is becoming pervasive. I believe it’s related to the growing lack of trust in institutions, but I’ll have to wait until I’m reincarnated with a new career to look into that one properly.

HIMIPref™ Preferred Indices
These values reflect the December 2008 revision of the HIMIPref™ Indices

Values are provisional and are finalized monthly
Index Mean
Current
Yield
(at bid)
Median
YTW
Median
Average
Trading
Value
Median
Mod Dur
(YTW)
Issues Day’s Perf. Index Value
Ratchet 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 -0.3057 % 2,177.0
FixedFloater 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 -0.3057 % 4,175.6
Floater 10.65 % 10.85 % 24,540 8.90 2 -0.3057 % 2,406.4
OpRet 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.1573 % 3,510.9
SplitShare 4.76 % 6.59 % 30,697 1.23 6 0.1573 % 4,192.8
Interest-Bearing 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.1573 % 3,271.4
Perpetual-Premium 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 -0.1985 % 2,719.8
Perpetual-Discount 6.33 % 6.47 % 58,053 13.25 28 -0.1985 % 2,965.8
FixedReset Disc 5.13 % 7.02 % 113,749 12.50 49 -0.3038 % 2,635.7
Insurance Straight 6.07 % 6.35 % 65,337 13.40 21 0.0746 % 2,940.5
FloatingReset 9.15 % 8.90 % 28,756 10.47 4 0.2176 % 2,800.0
FixedReset Prem 5.82 % 6.24 % 248,601 2.96 8 0.1038 % 2,537.7
FixedReset Bank Non 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 -0.3038 % 2,694.2
FixedReset Ins Non 5.27 % 6.64 % 89,761 13.07 14 -0.7624 % 2,789.3
Performance Highlights
Issue Index Change Notes
BN.PF.E FixedReset Disc -7.69 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2054-07-19
Maturity Price : 17.40
Evaluated at bid price : 17.40
Bid-YTW : 8.46 %
MFC.PR.Q FixedReset Ins Non -5.34 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2054-07-19
Maturity Price : 21.80
Evaluated at bid price : 22.15
Bid-YTW : 6.80 %
PWF.PR.L Perpetual-Discount -4.24 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2054-07-19
Maturity Price : 18.95
Evaluated at bid price : 18.95
Bid-YTW : 6.77 %
MFC.PR.F FixedReset Ins Non -4.04 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2054-07-19
Maturity Price : 16.40
Evaluated at bid price : 16.40
Bid-YTW : 6.90 %
BN.PR.Z FixedReset Disc -3.31 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2054-07-19
Maturity Price : 20.48
Evaluated at bid price : 20.48
Bid-YTW : 7.79 %
SLF.PR.G FixedReset Ins Non -2.63 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2054-07-19
Maturity Price : 16.65
Evaluated at bid price : 16.65
Bid-YTW : 6.98 %
BN.PF.H FixedReset Disc -2.48 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2054-07-19
Maturity Price : 23.16
Evaluated at bid price : 23.60
Bid-YTW : 7.79 %
BIP.PR.A FixedReset Disc -2.28 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2054-07-19
Maturity Price : 21.83
Evaluated at bid price : 22.33
Bid-YTW : 7.62 %
BN.PF.D Perpetual-Discount -1.40 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2054-07-19
Maturity Price : 18.29
Evaluated at bid price : 18.29
Bid-YTW : 6.78 %
BIP.PR.B FixedReset Disc -1.22 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2054-07-19
Maturity Price : 23.86
Evaluated at bid price : 24.25
Bid-YTW : 7.98 %
BIK.PR.A FixedReset Prem 1.54 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2029-04-01
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.65
Bid-YTW : 6.97 %
FTS.PR.H FixedReset Disc 1.60 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2054-07-19
Maturity Price : 15.25
Evaluated at bid price : 15.25
Bid-YTW : 7.72 %
IFC.PR.A FixedReset Ins Non 1.64 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2054-07-19
Maturity Price : 19.20
Evaluated at bid price : 19.20
Bid-YTW : 6.67 %
PVS.PR.K SplitShare 2.28 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2029-05-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 23.80
Bid-YTW : 5.75 %
Volume Highlights
Issue Index Shares
Traded
Notes
BMO.PR.T FixedReset Disc 326,366 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2054-07-19
Maturity Price : 23.61
Evaluated at bid price : 24.76
Bid-YTW : 5.71 %
PWF.PR.Z Perpetual-Discount 301,734 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2054-07-19
Maturity Price : 20.10
Evaluated at bid price : 20.10
Bid-YTW : 6.44 %
BN.PF.E FixedReset Disc 240,459 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2054-07-19
Maturity Price : 17.40
Evaluated at bid price : 17.40
Bid-YTW : 8.46 %
CU.PR.E Perpetual-Discount 199,735 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2054-07-19
Maturity Price : 19.30
Evaluated at bid price : 19.30
Bid-YTW : 6.46 %
RY.PR.N Perpetual-Discount 191,578 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2054-07-19
Maturity Price : 23.97
Evaluated at bid price : 24.25
Bid-YTW : 5.12 %
SLF.PR.G FixedReset Ins Non 190,686 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2054-07-19
Maturity Price : 16.65
Evaluated at bid price : 16.65
Bid-YTW : 6.98 %
IFC.PR.F Insurance Straight 187,834 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2054-07-19
Maturity Price : 22.14
Evaluated at bid price : 22.14
Bid-YTW : 6.05 %
MFC.PR.F FixedReset Ins Non 178,024 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2054-07-19
Maturity Price : 16.40
Evaluated at bid price : 16.40
Bid-YTW : 6.90 %
BIP.PR.A FixedReset Disc 154,872 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2054-07-19
Maturity Price : 21.83
Evaluated at bid price : 22.33
Bid-YTW : 7.62 %
There were 21 other index-included issues trading in excess of 10,000 shares.
Wide Spread Highlights
Issue Index Quote Data and Yield Notes
BN.PF.E FixedReset Disc Quote: 17.40 – 19.25
Spot Rate : 1.8500
Average : 1.1172

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2054-07-19
Maturity Price : 17.40
Evaluated at bid price : 17.40
Bid-YTW : 8.46 %

PWF.PR.L Perpetual-Discount Quote: 18.95 – 20.50
Spot Rate : 1.5500
Average : 0.8658

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2054-07-19
Maturity Price : 18.95
Evaluated at bid price : 18.95
Bid-YTW : 6.77 %

MFC.PR.Q FixedReset Ins Non Quote: 22.15 – 24.00
Spot Rate : 1.8500
Average : 1.2409

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2054-07-19
Maturity Price : 21.80
Evaluated at bid price : 22.15
Bid-YTW : 6.80 %

IFC.PR.C FixedReset Ins Non Quote: 20.92 – 22.25
Spot Rate : 1.3300
Average : 0.7708

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2054-07-19
Maturity Price : 20.92
Evaluated at bid price : 20.92
Bid-YTW : 6.83 %

IFC.PR.E Insurance Straight Quote: 21.55 – 23.22
Spot Rate : 1.6700
Average : 1.2408

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2054-07-19
Maturity Price : 21.55
Evaluated at bid price : 21.55
Bid-YTW : 6.10 %

CU.PR.C FixedReset Disc Quote: 20.70 – 21.88
Spot Rate : 1.1800
Average : 0.8193

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2054-07-19
Maturity Price : 20.70
Evaluated at bid price : 20.70
Bid-YTW : 6.99 %

5 Responses to “July 19, 2024”

  1. Prefhound says:

    James:

    I see RY issued a new institutional NVCC Fixed Reset Pref (see press release from July 17 below) at an initial 6.698% with a reset spread of 3.4%! Although institutional, new issues should breathe some life into the Pref market. After 3 RY Pref redemptions in 2024 of issues with Reset Spreads of 2.21 to 2.38% in favour of LRCNs, 3.4% seems a little shocking and would seem to cast some doubt on potential redemption of RY.PR.J in May 2025 (Reset Spread = 2.74%).

    Your thoughts?
    Is this going to back up an LRCN – i.e. a sale to ComputerShare?
    Is the “pretend debt” of LRCN model breaking down?
    Is this somehow cheaper than a public pref issue?
    What is the yield premium for a non-marketable Pref?
    Implications for other outstanding RY Prefs?

    Thanks
    Prefhound

    Royal Bank of Canada announces Institutional NVCC Preferred Share Issue

    TORONTO, July 17, 2024 – Royal Bank of Canada (TSX: RY) and (NYSE: RY) today announced a domestic public offering of Non-Cumulative 5-Year Fixed Rate Reset First Preferred Shares, Series BW (“Preferred Shares Series BW”).

    Royal Bank of Canada will issue to certain institutional investors 600 thousand Preferred Shares Series BW priced at $1,000 per share to raise gross proceeds of $600 million.

    The Preferred Shares Series BW will yield 6.698 per cent annually, payable semi-annually, as and when declared by the Board of Directors of Royal Bank of Canada, for the initial period ending November 24, 2029. Thereafter, the dividend rate will reset every five years at a rate equal to 3.40 per cent over the 5-year Government of Canada bond yield.

    Subject to regulatory approval, the bank may redeem the Preferred Shares Series BW in whole or in part at par, during the period from October 24, 2029 to and including November 24, 2029 and during the period from October 24 to and including November 24 every five years thereafter, on not less than 15 days and not more than 60 days’ notice.

  2. IrateAR says:

    My understanding is that if an LRCN does not make payments the recourse is that institutional prefs are delivered to the note owners. To be confident that there will be a functioning market for these prefs the regulators require that the banks issue a certain amount of institutional prefs as a proof of concept based on the quantity of LRCN desired.

    So it’s the opposite – in general the issuance of an institutional pref is a sign the banks are wanting to issue more LRCNs and are if anything more likely to redeem the existing retail prefs.

    Institutional prefs do yield a higher spread than retail due to the lack of liquidity and institutions being pickier. 3.4% is not an unusual spread for them. It’s a cost the bank takes to get access to LRCNs.

    (Not an expert so details may be wrong but I think this is broadly correct)

  3. Nestor says:

    is it a matter of time before more insurance co’s start doing the same thing? issuing LRCN’s and redeeming prefs? I think Manulife did this in 2021 once. but the insurance co’s haven’t after. food for thought..

  4. IrateAR says:

    They have less resets than perps and some of them are really low spreads… looks like MFC.PR.M and MFC.PR.N are the only reset candidates in the next couple years. Those probably not but possible I guess.

    Most of the perps were issued when rates were lower so I don’t think they’re appealing to redeem but if rates move lower could see it.

  5. Nestor says:

    thanks Irate.. makes sense.

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