Market Action

October 5, 2017

HIMIPref™ Preferred Indices
These values reflect the December 2008 revision of the HIMIPref™ Indices

Values are provisional and are finalized monthly
Index Mean
Current
Yield
(at bid)
Median
YTW
Median
Average
Trading
Value
Median
Mod Dur
(YTW)
Issues Day’s Perf. Index Value
Ratchet 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 1.2447 % 2,422.0
FixedFloater 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 1.2447 % 4,444.3
Floater 3.77 % 3.92 % 26,640 17.63 4 1.2447 % 2,561.3
OpRet 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 -0.3162 % 3,065.1
SplitShare 4.76 % 4.82 % 80,769 4.40 6 -0.3162 % 3,660.4
Interest-Bearing 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 -0.3162 % 2,856.0
Perpetual-Premium 5.36 % 4.76 % 60,975 2.35 17 0.3168 % 2,803.9
Perpetual-Discount 5.36 % 5.36 % 62,211 14.79 19 0.3634 % 2,926.2
FixedReset 4.28 % 4.37 % 153,498 6.10 99 0.2677 % 2,454.5
Deemed-Retractible 5.11 % 5.60 % 99,695 6.03 30 0.1673 % 2,878.8
FloatingReset 2.85 % 3.00 % 50,817 4.07 8 0.0701 % 2,658.0
Performance Highlights
Issue Index Change Notes
PVS.PR.E SplitShare -1.52 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-10-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.90
Bid-YTW : 4.82 %
TRP.PR.F FloatingReset -1.11 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2047-10-05
Maturity Price : 19.58
Evaluated at bid price : 19.58
Bid-YTW : 3.72 %
BAM.PF.G FixedReset -1.07 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2047-10-05
Maturity Price : 23.02
Evaluated at bid price : 24.00
Bid-YTW : 4.75 %
TRP.PR.B FixedReset 1.08 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2047-10-05
Maturity Price : 15.92
Evaluated at bid price : 15.92
Bid-YTW : 4.62 %
IAG.PR.A Deemed-Retractible 1.11 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 22.80
Bid-YTW : 6.16 %
MFC.PR.F FixedReset 1.14 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 17.80
Bid-YTW : 7.93 %
MFC.PR.M FixedReset 1.15 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 22.91
Bid-YTW : 5.52 %
PWF.PR.R Perpetual-Premium 1.15 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2020-04-30
Maturity Price : 25.25
Evaluated at bid price : 25.50
Bid-YTW : 5.47 %
RY.PR.H FixedReset 1.26 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2047-10-05
Maturity Price : 22.92
Evaluated at bid price : 23.28
Bid-YTW : 4.34 %
POW.PR.D Perpetual-Discount 1.27 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2047-10-05
Maturity Price : 23.69
Evaluated at bid price : 24.00
Bid-YTW : 5.21 %
BAM.PR.B Floater 1.27 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2047-10-05
Maturity Price : 14.38
Evaluated at bid price : 14.38
Bid-YTW : 3.92 %
PWF.PR.E Perpetual-Premium 1.27 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2017-11-04
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.43
Bid-YTW : -3.39 %
HSE.PR.A FixedReset 1.30 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2047-10-05
Maturity Price : 17.12
Evaluated at bid price : 17.12
Bid-YTW : 4.82 %
IAG.PR.G FixedReset 1.30 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 23.30
Bid-YTW : 5.22 %
CM.PR.P FixedReset 1.33 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2047-10-05
Maturity Price : 22.38
Evaluated at bid price : 22.78
Bid-YTW : 4.34 %
NA.PR.S FixedReset 1.38 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2047-10-05
Maturity Price : 23.17
Evaluated at bid price : 23.58
Bid-YTW : 4.45 %
BAM.PR.K Floater 1.42 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2047-10-05
Maturity Price : 14.30
Evaluated at bid price : 14.30
Bid-YTW : 3.94 %
BAM.PR.C Floater 1.42 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2047-10-05
Maturity Price : 14.30
Evaluated at bid price : 14.30
Bid-YTW : 3.94 %
NA.PR.W FixedReset 1.51 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2047-10-05
Maturity Price : 22.39
Evaluated at bid price : 22.80
Bid-YTW : 4.42 %
MFC.PR.J FixedReset 1.53 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 23.96
Bid-YTW : 5.11 %
PWF.PR.S Perpetual-Discount 1.58 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2047-10-05
Maturity Price : 22.73
Evaluated at bid price : 23.11
Bid-YTW : 5.27 %
TRP.PR.C FixedReset 1.60 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2047-10-05
Maturity Price : 17.12
Evaluated at bid price : 17.12
Bid-YTW : 4.57 %
BAM.PR.T FixedReset 2.68 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2047-10-05
Maturity Price : 20.69
Evaluated at bid price : 20.69
Bid-YTW : 4.78 %
Volume Highlights
Issue Index Shares
Traded
Notes
MFC.PR.R FixedReset 189,539 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2022-03-19
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.82
Bid-YTW : 4.11 %
RY.PR.Q FixedReset 160,283 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2021-05-24
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.77
Bid-YTW : 3.61 %
CM.PR.R FixedReset 104,146 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2022-07-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.31
Bid-YTW : 4.07 %
TD.PF.C FixedReset 76,914 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2047-10-05
Maturity Price : 22.44
Evaluated at bid price : 22.87
Bid-YTW : 4.33 %
MFC.PR.H FixedReset 57,205 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 24.85
Bid-YTW : 5.06 %
IFC.PR.A FixedReset 53,716 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 19.56
Bid-YTW : 7.48 %
There were 65 other index-included issues trading in excess of 10,000 shares.
Wide Spread Highlights
Issue Index Quote Data and Yield Notes
TRP.PR.F FloatingReset Quote: 19.58 – 20.39
Spot Rate : 0.8100
Average : 0.6276

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2047-10-05
Maturity Price : 19.58
Evaluated at bid price : 19.58
Bid-YTW : 3.72 %

PVS.PR.E SplitShare Quote: 25.90 – 26.38
Spot Rate : 0.4800
Average : 0.3106

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-10-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.90
Bid-YTW : 4.82 %

BAM.PF.G FixedReset Quote: 24.00 – 24.35
Spot Rate : 0.3500
Average : 0.2141

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2047-10-05
Maturity Price : 23.02
Evaluated at bid price : 24.00
Bid-YTW : 4.75 %

MFC.PR.K FixedReset Quote: 21.97 – 22.47
Spot Rate : 0.5000
Average : 0.3734

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 21.97
Bid-YTW : 6.10 %

MFC.PR.I FixedReset Quote: 24.40 – 24.74
Spot Rate : 0.3400
Average : 0.2334

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 24.40
Bid-YTW : 5.09 %

SLF.PR.G FixedReset Quote: 17.66 – 17.98
Spot Rate : 0.3200
Average : 0.2244

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 17.66
Bid-YTW : 8.26 %

Issue Comments

FFN.PR.A To Get Bigger

Quadravest has announced:

North American Financial 15 Split Corp. (the “Company”) is pleased to announce it has filed a preliminary short form prospectus in each of the provinces of Canada with respect to an offering of Preferred Shares and Class A Shares of the Company. The offering will be co-led by National Bank Financial Inc., CIBC, Scotia Capital Inc., RBC Capital Markets and will also include BMO Capital Markets, Canaccord Genuity Corp., GMP Securities L.P., Raymond James, Desjardins Securities Inc., Echelon Wealth Partners, Industrial Alliance Securities Inc, Mackie Research Capital Corporation and Manulife Securities Incorporated.

The Preferred Shares will be offered at a price of $9.90 per Preferred Share to yield 5.30% and the Class A Shares will be offered at a price of $9.00 per Class A Share to yield 13.33%.

The closing price on the TSX of each of the Preferred Shares and the Class A Shares on October 3, 2017 was $10.09 and $9.19, respectively.

Since inception of the Company, the aggregate dividends declared on the Preferred Shares have been $6.80 per share and the aggregate dividends declared on the Class A Shares have been $11.15 per share, for a combined total of $17.95. All distributions to date have been made in tax advantage eligible Canadian dividends or capital gains dividends.

The net proceeds of the offering will be used by the Company to invest in an actively managed, high quality portfolio consisting of 15 financial services companies made up of Canadian and U.S. issuers as follows:

Bank of Montreal National Bank of Canada Bank of America Corp.
The Bank of Nova Scotia Manulife Financial Corporation Citigroup Inc.
Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce Sun Life Financial Services of Canada Inc. Goldman Sachs Group Inc.
Royal Bank of Canada Great-West Lifeco Inc. JP Morgan Chase & Co.
The Toronto-Dominion Bank CI Financial Corp. Wells Fargo & Co.

The Company’s investment objectives are:
Preferred Shares:
i. to provide holders of the Preferred Shares with fixed, cumulative preferential monthly cash dividends currently in the amount of 5.25% annually, to be set by the Board of Directors annually subject to a minimum of 5.25% until 2019 (set at 5.50% annually effective Dec. 1, 2017); and
ii. on or about the termination date, currently December 1, 2019 (subject to further 5 year extensions thereafter), to pay the holders of the Preferred Shares $10.00 per Preferred Share.

Class A Shares:
i. to provide holders of the Class A Shares with regular monthly cash dividends in an amount to be determined by the Board of the Directors; and
ii. to permit holders to participate in all growth in the net asset value of the Company above $10 per Unit, by paying holders on or about the termination date of December 1, 2019 (subject to further 5 year extensions thereafter) such amounts as remain in the Company after paying $10 per Preferred Share.

The sales period of this overnight offering will end at 9:00 a.m. EST on October 5, 2017. The offering is expected to close on or about October 19, 2017 and is subject to certain closing conditions including approval by the TSX.

So

The Preferred Shares will be offered at a price of $9.90 per Preferred Share to yield 5.30% and the Class A Shares will be offered at a price of $9.00 per Class A Share

… for a total of $18.90 per whole unit, compared to a NAV per whole unit of 17.23 as of 2017-09-29. It’s a great business when it works!

The dividend rate on FFN.PR.A was boosted by 25bp to 5.50% just last week … I suppose that, somehow, this will make the offering easier to sell.

Update, 2017-10-05: The offering was successful:

North American Financial 15 Split Corp. (the “Company”) is pleased to announce it has completed the overnight marketing of up to 3,664,000 Preferred Shares and up to 3,664,000 Class A Shares of the Company. The total proceeds of the offering are expected to be approximately $69.2 million.

Market Action

October 4, 2017

PerpetualDiscounts now yield 5.40%, equivalent to 7.02% interest at the standard equivalency factor of 1.3x. Long corporates now yield a little under 4.10%, so the pre-tax interest-equivalent spread (in this context, the “Seniority Spread” is now about 295bp, a narrowing from the 305bp reported September 27.

HIMIPref™ Preferred Indices
These values reflect the December 2008 revision of the HIMIPref™ Indices

Values are provisional and are finalized monthly
Index Mean
Current
Yield
(at bid)
Median
YTW
Median
Average
Trading
Value
Median
Mod Dur
(YTW)
Issues Day’s Perf. Index Value
Ratchet 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 -0.0511 % 2,392.3
FixedFloater 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 -0.0511 % 4,389.7
Floater 3.82 % 3.97 % 26,672 17.53 4 -0.0511 % 2,529.8
OpRet 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 -0.0132 % 3,074.8
SplitShare 4.74 % 4.51 % 83,434 1.22 6 -0.0132 % 3,672.0
Interest-Bearing 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 -0.0132 % 2,865.0
Perpetual-Premium 5.37 % 4.84 % 59,592 5.77 17 -0.0232 % 2,795.1
Perpetual-Discount 5.38 % 5.40 % 61,738 14.73 19 0.0659 % 2,915.6
FixedReset 4.29 % 4.40 % 150,877 4.61 99 0.2722 % 2,447.9
Deemed-Retractible 5.12 % 5.64 % 99,211 6.03 30 0.2572 % 2,874.0
FloatingReset 2.85 % 3.09 % 51,335 4.06 8 -0.2453 % 2,656.1
Performance Highlights
Issue Index Change Notes
BAM.PR.T FixedReset -2.33 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2047-10-04
Maturity Price : 20.15
Evaluated at bid price : 20.15
Bid-YTW : 4.90 %
IFC.PR.C FixedReset -1.36 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 22.50
Bid-YTW : 5.51 %
TD.PR.T FloatingReset -1.05 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 24.50
Bid-YTW : 3.06 %
TD.PF.A FixedReset 1.05 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2047-10-04
Maturity Price : 22.72
Evaluated at bid price : 23.04
Bid-YTW : 4.38 %
CM.PR.O FixedReset 1.10 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2047-10-04
Maturity Price : 22.56
Evaluated at bid price : 22.91
Bid-YTW : 4.42 %
BMO.PR.S FixedReset 1.21 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2047-10-04
Maturity Price : 22.98
Evaluated at bid price : 23.38
Bid-YTW : 4.40 %
NA.PR.W FixedReset 1.26 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2047-10-04
Maturity Price : 22.15
Evaluated at bid price : 22.46
Bid-YTW : 4.50 %
CM.PR.Q FixedReset 1.28 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2020-07-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 24.46
Bid-YTW : 4.35 %
PWF.PR.T FixedReset 1.50 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2047-10-04
Maturity Price : 23.28
Evaluated at bid price : 23.75
Bid-YTW : 4.40 %
NA.PR.S FixedReset 1.53 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2047-10-04
Maturity Price : 22.86
Evaluated at bid price : 23.26
Bid-YTW : 4.51 %
MFC.PR.C Deemed-Retractible 1.54 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 21.75
Bid-YTW : 6.86 %
SLF.PR.B Deemed-Retractible 1.56 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 22.85
Bid-YTW : 6.33 %
MFC.PR.F FixedReset 1.56 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 17.60
Bid-YTW : 8.10 %
PWF.PR.P FixedReset 1.80 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2047-10-04
Maturity Price : 17.56
Evaluated at bid price : 17.56
Bid-YTW : 4.59 %
MFC.PR.K FixedReset 1.99 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 22.00
Bid-YTW : 6.08 %
Volume Highlights
Issue Index Shares
Traded
Notes
TD.PF.I FixedReset 166,110 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2022-10-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.95
Bid-YTW : 3.90 %
RY.PR.Q FixedReset 137,136 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2021-05-24
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.79
Bid-YTW : 3.58 %
CM.PR.R FixedReset 95,508 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2022-07-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.25
Bid-YTW : 4.13 %
BMO.PR.C FixedReset 65,050 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2022-05-25
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.50
Bid-YTW : 4.16 %
PWF.PR.I Perpetual-Premium 62,928 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2017-11-03
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.68
Bid-YTW : -13.50 %
RY.PR.I FixedReset 55,600 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.00
Bid-YTW : 3.76 %
There were 25 other index-included issues trading in excess of 10,000 shares.
Wide Spread Highlights
Issue Index Quote Data and Yield Notes
BAM.PR.T FixedReset Quote: 20.15 – 20.85
Spot Rate : 0.7000
Average : 0.4336

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2047-10-04
Maturity Price : 20.15
Evaluated at bid price : 20.15
Bid-YTW : 4.90 %

TRP.PR.F FloatingReset Quote: 19.80 – 20.40
Spot Rate : 0.6000
Average : 0.4275

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2047-10-04
Maturity Price : 19.80
Evaluated at bid price : 19.80
Bid-YTW : 3.68 %

NA.PR.Q FixedReset Quote: 25.18 – 25.50
Spot Rate : 0.3200
Average : 0.1762

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2017-11-15
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.18
Bid-YTW : 2.06 %

TD.PR.T FloatingReset Quote: 24.50 – 24.85
Spot Rate : 0.3500
Average : 0.2127

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 24.50
Bid-YTW : 3.06 %

HSE.PR.A FixedReset Quote: 16.90 – 17.40
Spot Rate : 0.5000
Average : 0.3744

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2047-10-04
Maturity Price : 16.90
Evaluated at bid price : 16.90
Bid-YTW : 4.88 %

PWF.PR.S Perpetual-Discount Quote: 22.75 – 23.08
Spot Rate : 0.3300
Average : 0.2215

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2047-10-04
Maturity Price : 22.42
Evaluated at bid price : 22.75
Bid-YTW : 5.35 %

Issue Comments

VNR.PR.A : No Conversion to FloatingReset

Valener Inc. has announced:

that, after having taken into account all conversion notices received from holders of its outstanding Cumulative Rate Reset Preferred Shares, Series A (“Series A Shares”) by the September 29, 2017 deadline for the conversion of the Series A Shares into Cumulative Floating Rate Preferred Shares, Series B (“Series B Shares”), less than the 1,000,000 Series A Shares required to give effect to conversions into Series B Shares were tendered for conversion. As a result, none of Valener’s Series A Shares will be converted into Series B Shares on October 15, 2017.

It will be recalled that VNR.PR.A will reset to 4.62% effective 2017-10-15 and will henceforth be referred to as a FixedReset, 4.62%+281. It commenced trading 2012-6-6 as a FixedReset, 4.35%+281, after being announced 2012-5-15. The issue is tracked by HIMIPref™ and has been assigned to the FixedReset subindex.

I recommended against conversion.

Market Action

October 3, 2017

HIMIPref™ Preferred Indices
These values reflect the December 2008 revision of the HIMIPref™ Indices

Values are provisional and are finalized monthly
Index Mean
Current
Yield
(at bid)
Median
YTW
Median
Average
Trading
Value
Median
Mod Dur
(YTW)
Issues Day’s Perf. Index Value
Ratchet 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 -1.0121 % 2,393.5
FixedFloater 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 -1.0121 % 4,391.9
Floater 3.82 % 3.97 % 26,986 17.53 4 -1.0121 % 2,531.1
OpRet 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 -0.0658 % 3,075.2
SplitShare 4.74 % 4.44 % 86,644 1.23 6 -0.0658 % 3,672.5
Interest-Bearing 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 -0.0658 % 2,865.4
Perpetual-Premium 5.37 % 4.90 % 62,042 2.35 17 0.1207 % 2,795.7
Perpetual-Discount 5.38 % 5.40 % 61,775 14.74 19 0.0045 % 2,913.7
FixedReset 4.30 % 4.43 % 147,498 6.14 99 0.1172 % 2,441.3
Deemed-Retractible 5.13 % 5.63 % 99,452 6.03 30 -0.1465 % 2,866.6
FloatingReset 2.84 % 2.89 % 50,989 4.06 8 0.0273 % 2,662.6
Performance Highlights
Issue Index Change Notes
HSE.PR.A FixedReset -2.03 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2047-10-03
Maturity Price : 16.92
Evaluated at bid price : 16.92
Bid-YTW : 4.87 %
SLF.PR.B Deemed-Retractible -1.53 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 22.50
Bid-YTW : 6.59 %
TRP.PR.B FixedReset -1.51 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2047-10-03
Maturity Price : 15.68
Evaluated at bid price : 15.68
Bid-YTW : 4.68 %
MFC.PR.C Deemed-Retractible -1.24 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 21.42
Bid-YTW : 7.11 %
BAM.PR.K Floater -1.19 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2047-10-03
Maturity Price : 14.12
Evaluated at bid price : 14.12
Bid-YTW : 3.99 %
BAM.PR.C Floater -1.19 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2047-10-03
Maturity Price : 14.12
Evaluated at bid price : 14.12
Bid-YTW : 3.99 %
MFC.PR.K FixedReset -1.15 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 21.57
Bid-YTW : 6.40 %
BAM.PR.B Floater -1.11 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2047-10-03
Maturity Price : 14.19
Evaluated at bid price : 14.19
Bid-YTW : 3.97 %
TD.PF.I FixedReset 1.05 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2022-10-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.02
Bid-YTW : 3.84 %
IFC.PR.C FixedReset 1.29 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 22.81
Bid-YTW : 5.29 %
MFC.PR.M FixedReset 1.39 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 22.66
Bid-YTW : 5.69 %
Volume Highlights
Issue Index Shares
Traded
Notes
RY.PR.Q FixedReset 251,886 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2021-05-24
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.82
Bid-YTW : 3.54 %
RY.PR.I FixedReset 121,600 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2019-02-24
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.05
Bid-YTW : 3.67 %
BNS.PR.Y FixedReset 98,323 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 23.14
Bid-YTW : 4.05 %
BMO.PR.Q FixedReset 59,600 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 21.98
Bid-YTW : 5.13 %
CU.PR.E Perpetual-Discount 51,800 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2047-10-03
Maturity Price : 22.65
Evaluated at bid price : 23.05
Bid-YTW : 5.36 %
BAM.PF.J FixedReset 38,880 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2022-12-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.60
Bid-YTW : 4.31 %
There were 21 other index-included issues trading in excess of 10,000 shares.
Wide Spread Highlights
Issue Index Quote Data and Yield Notes
TRP.PR.G FixedReset Quote: 24.00 – 25.00
Spot Rate : 1.0000
Average : 0.5948

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2047-10-03
Maturity Price : 22.95
Evaluated at bid price : 24.00
Bid-YTW : 4.74 %

GWO.PR.L Deemed-Retractible Quote: 25.53 – 26.00
Spot Rate : 0.4700
Average : 0.2809

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2017-12-31
Maturity Price : 25.25
Evaluated at bid price : 25.53
Bid-YTW : 1.24 %

TRP.PR.B FixedReset Quote: 15.68 – 16.14
Spot Rate : 0.4600
Average : 0.2957

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2047-10-03
Maturity Price : 15.68
Evaluated at bid price : 15.68
Bid-YTW : 4.68 %

TD.PF.C FixedReset Quote: 22.73 – 23.15
Spot Rate : 0.4200
Average : 0.2814

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2047-10-03
Maturity Price : 22.35
Evaluated at bid price : 22.73
Bid-YTW : 4.43 %

MFC.PR.C Deemed-Retractible Quote: 21.42 – 21.80
Spot Rate : 0.3800
Average : 0.2620

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 21.42
Bid-YTW : 7.11 %

PVS.PR.D SplitShare Quote: 25.16 – 25.48
Spot Rate : 0.3200
Average : 0.2108

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2021-10-08
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.16
Bid-YTW : 4.44 %

Issue Comments

PPL / VSN Deal Closes; Tickers to Change … Someday

Pembina Pipeline Corporation has announced:

that it has completed its previously announced business combination (the “Transaction”) with Veresen Inc. (TSX: VSN) (“Veresen”) pursuant to a plan of arrangement (the “Arrangement”) under Section 193 of the Business Corporations Act (Alberta) to create one of the largest energy infrastructure companies in Canada.

Pursuant to the Arrangement, Pembina acquired all of the issued and outstanding common shares of Veresen in a transaction valued at approximately $9.4 billion, including the assumption of Veresen’s debt (including subsidiary debt) and preferred shares.

In accordance with the Arrangement, Veresen has been amalgamated with Pembina and the outstanding Veresen preferred shares have been exchanged for Pembina preferred shares with the same terms and conditions, and will be listed on the Toronto Stock Exchange (“TSX”) under the symbols PPL.PR.O (series 15, previously Series A preferred shares of Veresen), PPL.PR.Q (series 17, previously Series C preferred shares of Veresen) and PPL.PR.S (series 19, previously Series E preferred shares of Veresen) within a few days following closing. Dividends on the series 15, 17 and 19 preferred shares will continue to be paid on the last business day of March, June, September and December in each year if, as and when declared by the Board of Directors.

So the changes will be (once the principals get around to it):

VSN to PPL Ticker Conversions
Old Ticker Old Description New Description
Unofficial
New Ticker
VSN.PR.A Veresen Inc. Cumulative Series ‘A’ Pr Pembina Pipeline Corporation Series 15 PPL.PR.O
VSN.PR.C Veresen Inc. Cumulative Series ‘C’ Pr Pembina Pipeline Corporation Series 17 PPL.PR.Q
VSN.PR.E Veresen Inc. Cumulative Series ‘E’ Pr Pembina Pipeline Corporation Series 19 PPL.PR.S

I will provide further details as they are slowly and painstakingly unveiled by the company and the Toronto exchange, to whom this entire affair comes as a complete surprise.

DBRS has discontinued Veresen ratings:

DBRS Limited (DBRS) discontinued the Issuer Rating, Senior Unsecured Notes Rating and Preferred Shares Rating of Veresen Inc. (Veresen or the Company). The rating is being discontinued at the request of the Company following today’s announcement that the previously announced business combination between Veresen and Pembina Pipeline Corporation (Pembina; rated BBB, Stable trend) has been closed pursuant to a plan of arrangement (the Arrangement). Pursuant to the Arrangement, Pembina has acquired all of the issued and outstanding common shares of Veresen in a transaction valued at approximately $9.4 billion, including the assumption of Veresen’s debt (including subsidiary debt) and preferred shares.

They further commented:

In terms of Pembina’s financing of the Acquisition, DBRS notes that the financing is consistent with Pembina’s financing plan at the time of the announcement of the Acquisition in May 2017. The cash portion of the Acquisition is estimated to be approximately $1.5 billion. This will temporarily be financed with Pembina’s credit facilities and then refinanced with a mix of long-term debt, common equity and preferred shares. DBRS continues to hold the view that the Acquisition will modestly weaken Pembina’s financial metrics in the near term. Please see DBRS’s above-referenced press release dated May 1, 2017, for more details.

Market Action

October 2, 2017

HIMIPref™ Preferred Indices
These values reflect the December 2008 revision of the HIMIPref™ Indices

Values are provisional and are finalized monthly
Index Mean
Current
Yield
(at bid)
Median
YTW
Median
Average
Trading
Value
Median
Mod Dur
(YTW)
Issues Day’s Perf. Index Value
Ratchet 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.8506 % 2,418.0
FixedFloater 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.8506 % 4,436.8
Floater 3.78 % 3.92 % 27,957 17.62 4 0.8506 % 2,557.0
OpRet 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.3435 % 3,077.2
SplitShare 4.74 % 4.43 % 86,595 1.23 6 0.3435 % 3,674.9
Interest-Bearing 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.3435 % 2,867.3
Perpetual-Premium 5.38 % 4.89 % 59,445 5.78 17 0.2520 % 2,792.4
Perpetual-Discount 5.38 % 5.40 % 61,112 14.78 19 0.2110 % 2,913.6
FixedReset 4.30 % 4.45 % 148,870 6.10 99 0.4447 % 2,438.4
Deemed-Retractible 5.13 % 5.69 % 100,003 6.04 30 0.0098 % 2,870.8
FloatingReset 2.84 % 2.88 % 49,922 4.06 8 0.0917 % 2,661.9
Performance Highlights
Issue Index Change Notes
ELF.PR.G Perpetual-Discount 1.01 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2047-10-02
Maturity Price : 22.06
Evaluated at bid price : 22.29
Bid-YTW : 5.33 %
MFC.PR.K FixedReset 1.07 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 21.82
Bid-YTW : 6.20 %
RY.PR.H FixedReset 1.07 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2047-10-02
Maturity Price : 22.37
Evaluated at bid price : 22.70
Bid-YTW : 4.45 %
PWF.PR.F Perpetual-Discount 1.11 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2047-10-02
Maturity Price : 24.43
Evaluated at bid price : 24.67
Bid-YTW : 5.40 %
TRP.PR.A FixedReset 1.11 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2047-10-02
Maturity Price : 20.00
Evaluated at bid price : 20.00
Bid-YTW : 4.57 %
BAM.PR.B Floater 1.13 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2047-10-02
Maturity Price : 14.35
Evaluated at bid price : 14.35
Bid-YTW : 3.92 %
CM.PR.P FixedReset 1.14 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2047-10-02
Maturity Price : 22.00
Evaluated at bid price : 22.25
Bid-YTW : 4.45 %
RY.PR.M FixedReset 1.14 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2047-10-02
Maturity Price : 22.96
Evaluated at bid price : 24.02
Bid-YTW : 4.41 %
BMO.PR.Y FixedReset 1.20 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2047-10-02
Maturity Price : 23.21
Evaluated at bid price : 24.50
Bid-YTW : 4.43 %
BAM.PR.T FixedReset 1.31 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2047-10-02
Maturity Price : 20.82
Evaluated at bid price : 20.82
Bid-YTW : 4.74 %
TD.PF.A FixedReset 1.34 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2047-10-02
Maturity Price : 22.43
Evaluated at bid price : 22.73
Bid-YTW : 4.44 %
NA.PR.W FixedReset 1.47 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2047-10-02
Maturity Price : 21.66
Evaluated at bid price : 22.10
Bid-YTW : 4.56 %
TD.PF.C FixedReset 1.52 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2047-10-02
Maturity Price : 22.33
Evaluated at bid price : 22.70
Bid-YTW : 4.43 %
GWO.PR.N FixedReset 1.64 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 17.40
Bid-YTW : 8.24 %
HSE.PR.A FixedReset 1.71 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2047-10-02
Maturity Price : 17.27
Evaluated at bid price : 17.27
Bid-YTW : 4.78 %
BNS.PR.Y FixedReset 1.85 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 23.17
Bid-YTW : 4.02 %
Volume Highlights
Issue Index Shares
Traded
Notes
VNR.PR.A FixedReset 206,100 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2047-10-02
Maturity Price : 22.28
Evaluated at bid price : 23.00
Bid-YTW : 5.03 %
BMO.PR.C FixedReset 160,600 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2022-05-25
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.45
Bid-YTW : 4.20 %
NA.PR.C FixedReset 153,280 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2022-11-15
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.52
Bid-YTW : 4.32 %
BAM.PF.J FixedReset 54,200 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2022-12-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.51
Bid-YTW : 4.39 %
NA.PR.W FixedReset 52,900 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2047-10-02
Maturity Price : 21.66
Evaluated at bid price : 22.10
Bid-YTW : 4.56 %
BMO.PR.T FixedReset 52,500 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2047-10-02
Maturity Price : 22.20
Evaluated at bid price : 22.51
Bid-YTW : 4.47 %
There were 20 other index-included issues trading in excess of 10,000 shares.
Wide Spread Highlights
Issue Index Quote Data and Yield Notes
IFC.PR.C FixedReset Quote: 22.52 – 22.95
Spot Rate : 0.4300
Average : 0.2888

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 22.52
Bid-YTW : 5.50 %

RY.PR.M FixedReset Quote: 24.02 – 24.40
Spot Rate : 0.3800
Average : 0.2662

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2047-10-02
Maturity Price : 22.96
Evaluated at bid price : 24.02
Bid-YTW : 4.41 %

MFC.PR.L FixedReset Quote: 21.43 – 21.74
Spot Rate : 0.3100
Average : 0.1975

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 21.43
Bid-YTW : 6.45 %

IFC.PR.A FixedReset Quote: 19.50 – 19.78
Spot Rate : 0.2800
Average : 0.1777

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 19.50
Bid-YTW : 7.52 %

MFC.PR.M FixedReset Quote: 22.35 – 22.72
Spot Rate : 0.3700
Average : 0.2875

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 22.35
Bid-YTW : 5.91 %

MFC.PR.J FixedReset Quote: 23.72 – 23.98
Spot Rate : 0.2600
Average : 0.1807

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 23.72
Bid-YTW : 5.26 %

MAPF

MAPF Portfolio Composition: September 2017

Turnover increased slightly to about 11% in a relatively quiet September.

There is extreme segmentation in the marketplace, with OSFI’s NVCC rule changes in February 2011 having had the effect of splitting the formerly relatively homogeneous Straight Perpetual class of preferreds into three parts:

  • Unaffected Straight Perpetuals
  • DeemedRetractibles explicitly subject to the rules (banks)
  • DeemedRetractibles considered by me, but not (yet!) by the market, to be likely to be explicitly subject to the rules in the future (insurers and insurance holding companies)

This segmentation, and the extreme valuation differences between the segments, has cut down markedly on the opportunities for trading.

To make this more clear, it used to be that there were 70-odd Straight Perpetuals and I was more or less indifferent as to which ones I owned (subject, of course, to issuer concentration concerns and other risk management factors). Thus, if any one of these 70 were to go down in price by – say – $0.25, I would quite often have something in inventory that I’d be willing to swap for it. The segmentation means that I am no longer indifferent; in addition to checking the valuation of a potential buy to other Straights, I also have to check its peer group. This cuts down on the potential for trading.

And, of course, the same segmentation has the same effect on trading opportunities between FixedReset issues.

There is no real hope that this situation will be corrected in the near-term. OSFI has indicated that the long-promised “Draft Definition of Capital” for insurers will not be issued “for public consultation in late 2012 or early 2013”, as they fear that it might encourage speculation in the marketplace. It is not clear why OSFI is so afraid of informed speculation, since the constant speculation in the marketplace is currently less informed than it would be with a little bit of regulatory clarity. While the framework has been updated, the modifications focus on the amount of capital required, not the required characteristics of that capital. However, OSFI has recently indicated that it would support a mechanism similar to the NVCC rule for banks, so we may see some developments as the IAIS deliberations regarding insurance capital continue.

As a result of this delay, I have extended the Deemed Maturity date for insurers and insurance holding companies by three years (to 2025-1-31), in the expectation that when OSFI finally does provide clarity, they will allow the same degree of lead-in time for these companies as they did for banks. This had a major effect on the durations of preferred shares subject to the change but, fortunately, not much on their calculated yields as most of these issues were either trading near par when the change was made or were trading at sufficient premium that a par call was expected on economic grounds. However, with the declines in the market over the past nine months, the expected capital gain on redemption of the insurance-issued DeemedRetractibles has become an important component of the calculated yield.

Due to the footdragging by OSFI, I will be extending the DeemedMaturity date for insurance issues by another few years in the near future.

Sectoral distribution of the MAPF portfolio on September 29 was as follows:

MAPF Sectoral Analysis 2017-9-29
HIMI Indices Sector Weighting YTW ModDur
Ratchet 0% N/A N/A
FixFloat 0% N/A N/A
Floater 0% N/A N/A
OpRet 0% N/A N/A
SplitShare 3.7% 4.65% 5.52
Interest Rearing 0% N/A N/A
PerpetualPremium 0% N/A N/A
PerpetualDiscount 14.3% 5.48% 14.70
Fixed-Reset 64.1% 6.75% 6.44
Deemed-Retractible 1.1% 6.99% 6.08
FloatingReset 7.2% 8.28% 6.46
Scraps (Various) 9.4% 6.41% 13.71
Cash +0.2% 0.00% 0.00
Total 100% 6.56% 8.25
Totals and changes will not add precisely due to rounding. Cash is included in totals with duration and yield both equal to zero.
DeemedRetractibles are comprised of all Straight Perpetuals (both PerpetualDiscount and PerpetualPremium) issued by BMO, BNS, CM, ELF, GWO, HSB, IAG, MFC, NA, RY, SLF and TD, which are not exchangable into common at the option of the company. These issues are analyzed as if their prospectuses included a requirement to redeem at par on or prior to 2022-1-31 (banks) or 2025-1-3 (insurers and insurance holding companies), in addition to the call schedule explicitly defined. See OSFI Does Not Grandfather Extant Tier 1 Capital, CM.PR.D, CM.PR.E, CM.PR.G: NVCC Status Confirmed and the January, February, March and June, 2011, editions of PrefLetter for the rationale behind this analysis.

Note that the estimate for the time this will become effective for insurers and insurance holding companies was extended by three years in April 2013, due to the delays in OSFI’s providing clarity on the issue.

Calculations of resettable instruments are performed assuming a constant GOC-5 rate of 1.79% and a constant 3-Month Bill rate of 0.97%

The “total” reflects the un-leveraged total portfolio (i.e., cash is included in the portfolio calculations and is deemed to have a duration and yield of 0.00.). MAPF will often have relatively large cash balances, both credit and debit, to facilitate trading. Figures presented in the table have been rounded to the indicated precision.

Credit distribution is:

MAPF Credit Analysis 2017-9-30
DBRS Rating Weighting
Pfd-1 0
Pfd-1(low) 0
Pfd-2(high) 49.3%
Pfd-2 32.6%
Pfd-2(low) 8.6%
Pfd-3(high) 1.8%
Pfd-3 4.2%
Pfd-3(low) 2.8%
Pfd-4(high) 0%
Pfd-4 0%
Pfd-4(low) 0%
Pfd-5(high) 0.7%
Pfd-5 0.0%
Cash +0.2%
Totals will not add precisely due to rounding.
The fund holds a position in AZP.PR.C, which is rated P-5(high) by S&P and is unrated by DBRS; it is included in the Pfd-5(high) total.
A position held in INE.PR.A is not rated by DBRS, but has been included as “Pfd-3” in the above table on the basis of its S&P rating of P-3.

Liquidity Distribution is:

MAPF Liquidity Analysis 2017-9-29
Average Daily Trading Weighting
<$50,000 30.3%
$50,000 – $100,000 44.1%
$100,000 – $200,000 23.5%
$200,000 – $300,000 0%
>$300,000 1.9%
Cash +0.2%
Totals will not add precisely due to rounding.

MAPF is, of course, Malachite Aggressive Preferred Fund, a “unit trust” managed by Hymas Investment Management Inc. Further information and links to performance, audited financials and subscription information are available the fund’s web page. The fund may be purchased either directly from Hymas Investment Management or through a brokerage account at Odlum Brown Limited. A “unit trust” is like a regular mutual fund, but is sold by offering memorandum rather than prospectus. This is cheaper, but means subscription is restricted to “accredited investors” (as defined by the Ontario Securities Commission). Fund past performances are not a guarantee of future performance. You can lose money investing in MAPF or any other fund.

A similar portfolio composition analysis has been performed on the Claymore Preferred Share ETF (symbol CPD) (and other funds) as of July 31, 2017, and published in the August, 2017, PrefLetter. It is fair to say:

  • MAPF credit quality is much better
  • MAPF liquidity is lower
  • MAPF Yield is higher
  • Weightings
    • MAPF has similar exposure to Straight Perpetuals
      • Much more exposed to PerpetualDiscounts
      • Much less exposed to DeemedRetractibles
      • A little less exposed to PerpetualPremiums
    • Neither portfolio is exposed to Operating Retractibles (there aren’t too many of those any more!)
    • MAPF is more exposed to SplitShares
    • MAPF is a little less exposed to FixFloat / Floater / Ratchet
    • MAPF is a little higher weighted in FixedResets, but has a greater emphasis on lower-spread issues
MAPF

MAPF Performance : September, 2017

Malachite Aggressive Preferred Fund’s Net Asset Value per Unit as of the close September 29, 2017, was $9.7129 after a dividend distribution of 0.084875.

Returns to September 29, 2017
Period MAPF BMO-CM “50” Preferred Share Index TXPR*
Total Return
CPD – according to Blackrock
One Month +0.99% +1.73% +1.36% N/A
Three Months +2.80% +2.34% +1.73% N/A
One Year +25.44% +19.43% +16.46% +16.16%
Two Years (annualized) +16.90% +14.12% +12.43% N/A
Three Years (annualized) +2.46% +1.75% +0.52% +0.19%
Four Years (annualized) +4.21% +2.34% +1.74% N/A
Five Years (annualized) +3.11% +1.97% +1.19% +0.80%
Six Years (annualized) +4.65% +2.71% +2.06% N/A
Seven Years (annualized) +4.38% +3.44% +2.51% N/A
Eight Years (annualized) +5.71% +4.23% +3.30% N/A
Nine Years (annualized) +10.83% +4.88% +3.92% N/A
Ten Years (annualized) +9.29% +3.66% +2.66% +2.15%
Eleven Years (annualized) +8.52% +3.13%    
Twelve Years (annualized) +8.31% +3.21%    
Thirteen Years (annualized) +8.21% +3.36%    
Fourteen Years (annualized) +8.72% +3.48%    
Fifteen Years (annualized) +10.13% +3.72%    
Sixteen Years (annualized) +9.13% +3.70%    
MAPF returns assume reinvestment of distributions, and are shown after expenses but before fees.
The full name of the BMO-CM “50” index is the BMO Capital Markets “50” Preferred Share Index. It is calculated without accounting for fees.
“TXPR” is the S&P/TSX Preferred Share Index. It is calculated without accounting for fees.
CPD Returns are for the NAV and are after all fees and expenses.
Figures for National Bank Preferred Equity Income Fund (formerly Omega Preferred Equity) (which are after all fees and expenses) for 1-, 3- and 12-months are +1.23%, +1.39% and +14.76%, respectively, according to Morningstar after all fees & expenses. Three year performance is +1.65%; five year is +2.14%
Figures for Manulife Preferred Income Class Adv [into which was merged Manulife Preferred Income Fund (formerly AIC Preferred Income Fund)] (which are after all fees and expenses) for 1-, 3- and 12-months are +1.87%, +2.43% & +19.69%, respectively.

It will be noted that AIC Preferred Income Fund was in existence prior to August, 2009, but long term performance figures have been suppressed.

Figures for Horizons Active Preferred Share ETF (HPR) (which are after all fees and expenses) for 1-, 3- and 12-months are +1.83%, +2.38% & +18.69%, respectively. Three year performance is +2.54%, five-year is +2.70%
Figures for National Bank Preferred Equity Fund (formerly Altamira Preferred Equity Fund) are +1.80%, +2.14% and +18.39% for one-, three- and twelve months, respectively. Three year performance is +1.54%.

According to the fund’s fact sheet as of June 30, 2016, the fund’s inception date was October 30, 2015. I do not know how they justify this nonsensical statement, but will assume that prior performance is being suppressed in some perfectly legal manner that somebody at National considers ethical.

The figures for the NAV of BMO S&P/TSX Laddered Preferred Share Index ETF (ZPR) is +21.44% for the past twelve months. Two year performance is +13.64%, three year is -1.78%.
Figures for Natixis Canadian Preferred Share Class (formerly NexGen Canadian Preferred Share Tax Managed Fund) are -%, +% and -% for one-, three- and twelve-months, respectively.
Figures for BMO Preferred Share Fund are +1.10% and +12.64% for the past three- and twelve-months, respectively. Three year performance is -0.37%.
Figures for PowerShares Canadian Preferred Share Index Class, Series F are +20.76% for the past twelve months. The three-year figure is +2.00%; five years is +1.32%
Figures for the First Asset Preferred Share Investment Trust (PSF.UN) are no longer available since the fund has merged with First Asset Preferred Share ETF (FPR)

MAPF returns assume reinvestment of dividends, and are shown after expenses but before fees. Past performance is not a guarantee of future performance. You can lose money investing in Malachite Aggressive Preferred Fund or any other fund. For more information, see the fund’s main page. The fund is available either directly from Hymas Investment Management or through a brokerage account at Odlum Brown Limited.

Obviously, the last twelve months have been superb for both preferred shares in general and the fund in particular, but I think that there is still room for outsized gains. The Seniority Spread (the interest-equivalent yield on reasonably liquid, investment-grade PerpetualDiscounts less the yield on long term corporate bonds) is still quite elevated (chart end-date 2017-9-8):

pl_170908_body_chart_1
Click for Big

… and the relationship between five-year Canada yields and yields on investment-grade FixedResets is also well within what I consider ‘decoupled panic’ territory (chart end-date 2017-8-11):

pl_170908_body_chart_5
Click for Big

In addition, I feel that the yield on five-year Canadas is unsustainably low (it should be the inflation rate plus an increment of … 1%? 1.5%? 2.0%?),and a return to sustainable levels is likely over the medium term.

FixedReset performance on the month was +1.50% vs. PerpetualDiscounts of -0.71% in September, and have strongly outperformed over the past three months:

himi_indexperf_170929
Click for Big

Of course, it’s one thing to say that ‘spreads are unsustainable and so are government yields’ and it’s quite another to forecast just how and when a more economically sustainable environment will take effect. It could be years. There could be a reversal, particularly if Trump’s international trade policies cause a severe recession or even a depression. And, of course, I could be just plain wrong about the sustainability of the current environment.

The Bank of Canada’s policy hike in September undoubtedly had a positive effect on government yields and hence FixedReset expected yields and current returns, but since then expectations of more quick hikes have dampened and an insipid start to the third quarter’s measured economic growth, so as usual the crystal ball for the short term is malfunctioning!

I think that a broad, sustainable rally in FixedResets will require higher five-year Canada yields (or a widespread expectation of them) … and although I’m sure this will happen eventually, it would be foolish to speculate on just when it will happen!

Calculation of MAPF Sustainable Income Per Unit
Month NAVPU Portfolio
Average
YTW
Leverage
Divisor
Securities
Average
YTW
Capital
Gains
Multiplier
Sustainable
Income
per
current
Unit
June, 2007 9.3114 5.16% 1.03 5.01% 1.3240 0.3524
September 9.1489 5.35% 0.98 5.46% 1.3240 0.3773
December, 2007 9.0070 5.53% 0.942 5.87% 1.3240 0.3993
March, 2008 8.8512 6.17% 1.047 5.89% 1.3240 0.3938
June 8.3419 6.034% 0.952 6.338% 1.3240 $0.3993
September 8.1886 7.108% 0.969 7.335% 1.3240 $0.4537
December, 2008 8.0464 9.24% 1.008 9.166% 1.3240 $0.5571
March 2009 $8.8317 8.60% 0.995 8.802% 1.3240 $0.5872
June 10.9846 7.05% 0.999 7.057% 1.3240 $0.5855
September 12.3462 6.03% 0.998 6.042% 1.3240 $0.5634
December 2009 10.5662 5.74% 0.981 5.851% 1.1141 $0.5549
March 2010 10.2497 6.03% 0.992 6.079% 1.1141 $0.5593
June 10.5770 5.96% 0.996 5.984% 1.1141 $0.5681
September 11.3901 5.43% 0.980 5.540% 1.1141 $0.5664
December 2010 10.7659 5.37% 0.993 5.408% 1.0298 $0.5654
March, 2011 11.0560 6.00% 0.994 5.964% 1.0298 $0.6403
June 11.1194 5.87% 1.018 5.976% 1.0298 $0.6453
September 10.2709 6.10%
Note
1.001 6.106% 1.0298 $0.6090
December, 2011 10.0793 5.63%
Note
1.031 5.805% 1.0000 $0.5851
March, 2012 10.3944 5.13%
Note
0.996 5.109% 1.0000 $0.5310
June 10.2151 5.32%
Note
1.012 5.384% 1.0000 $0.5500
September 10.6703 4.61%
Note
0.997 4.624% 1.0000 $0.4934
December, 2012 10.8307 4.24% 0.989 4.287% 1.0000 $0.4643
March, 2013 10.9033 3.87% 0.996 3.886% 1.0000 $0.4237
June 10.3261 4.81% 0.998 4.80% 1.0000 $0.4957
September 10.0296 5.62% 0.996 5.643% 1.0000 $0.5660
December, 2013 9.8717 6.02% 1.008 5.972% 1.0000 $0.5895
March, 2014 10.2233 5.55% 0.998 5.561% 1.0000 $0.5685
June 10.5877 5.09% 0.998 5.100% 1.0000 $0.5395
September 10.4601 5.28% 0.997 5.296% 1.0000 $0.5540
December, 2014 10.5701 4.83% 1.009 4.787% 1.0000 $0.5060
March, 2015 9.9573 4.99% 1.001 4.985% 1.0000 $0.4964
June, 2015 9.4181 5.55% 1.002 5.539% 1.0000 $0.5217
September, 2015 7.8140 6.98% 0.999 6.987% 1.0000 $0.5460
December, 2015 8.1379 6.85% 0.997 6.871% 1.0000 $0.5592
March, 2016 7.4416 7.79% 0.998 7.805% 1.0000 $0.5808
June 7.6704 7.67% 1.011 7.587% 1.0000 $0.5819
September 8.0590 7.35% 0.993 7.402% 1.0000 $0.5965
December, 2016 8.5844 7.24% 0.990 7.313% 1.0000 $0.6278
March, 2017 9.3984 6.26% 0.994 6.298% 1.0000 $0.5919
June 9.5313 6.41% 0.998 6.423% 1.0000 $0.6122
September, 2017 9.7129 6.56% 0.998 6.573% 1.0000 $0.6384
NAVPU is shown after quarterly distributions of dividend income and annual distribution of capital gains.
Portfolio YTW includes cash (or margin borrowing), with an assumed interest rate of 0.00%
The Leverage Divisor indicates the level of cash in the account: if the portfolio is 1% in cash, the Leverage Divisor will be 0.99
Securities YTW divides “Portfolio YTW” by the “Leverage Divisor” to show the average YTW on the securities held; this assumes that the cash is invested in (or raised from) all securities held, in proportion to their holdings.
The Capital Gains Multiplier adjusts for the effects of Capital Gains Dividends. On 2009-12-31, there was a capital gains distribution of $1.989262 which is assumed for this purpose to have been reinvested at the final price of $10.5662. Thus, a holder of one unit pre-distribution would have held 1.1883 units post-distribution; the CG Multiplier reflects this to make the time-series comparable. Note that Dividend Distributions are not assumed to be reinvested.
Sustainable Income is the resultant estimate of the fund’s dividend income per current unit, before fees and expenses. Note that a “current unit” includes reinvestment of prior capital gains; a unitholder would have had the calculated sustainable income with only, say, 0.9 units in the past which, with reinvestment of capital gains, would become 1.0 current units.
DeemedRetractibles are comprised of all Straight Perpetuals (both PerpetualDiscount and PerpetualPremium) issued by BMO, BNS, CM, ELF, GWO, HSB, IAG, MFC, NA, RY, SLF and TD, which are not exchangable into common at the option of the company (definition refined in May, 2011). These issues are analyzed as if their prospectuses included a requirement to redeem at par on or prior to 2022-1-31 (banks) or 2025-1-31 (insurers and insurance holding companies), in addition to the call schedule explicitly defined. See OSFI Does Not Grandfather Extant Tier 1 Capital, CM.PR.D, CM.PR.E, CM.PR.G: Seeking NVCC Status and the January, February, March and June, 2011, editions of PrefLetter for the rationale behind this analysis.

The same reasoning is also applied to FixedResets from these issuers, other than explicitly defined NVCC from banks.

Yields for September, 2011, to January, 2012, were calculated by imposing a cap of 10% on the yields of YLO issues held, in order to avoid their extremely high calculated yields distorting the calculation and to reflect the uncertainty in the marketplace that these yields will be realized. From February to September 2012, yields on these issues have been set to zero. All YLO issues held were sold in October 2012.

These calculations were performed assuming constant contemporary GOC-5 and 3-Month Bill rates, as follows:

Canada Yields Assumed in Calculations
Month-end GOC-5 3-Month Bill
September, 2015 0.78% 0.40%
December, 2015 0.71% 0.46%
March, 2016 0.70% 0.44%
June 0.57% 0.47%
September 0.58% 0.53%
December, 2016 1.16% 0.47%
March, 2017 1.08% 0.55%
June 1.35% 0.69%
September, 2017 1.79% 0.97%

Significant positions were held in NVCC non-compliant regulated FixedReset issues on August 31, 2017; all of these currently have their yields calculated with the presumption that they will be called by the issuers at par prior to 2022-1-31 (banks) or 2025-1-31 (insurers and insurance holding companies) or on a different date (SplitShares) This presents another complication in the calculation of sustainable yield, which also assumes that redemption proceeds will be reinvested at the same rate. It will also be noted that my analysis of likely insurance industry regulation as recently updated is not given much weight by the market.

I will also note that the sustainable yield calculated above is not directly comparable with any yield calculation currently reported by any other preferred share fund as far as I am aware. The Sustainable Yield depends on:
i) Calculating Yield-to-Worst for each instrument and using this yield for reporting purposes;
ii) Using the contemporary value of Five-Year Canadas to estimate dividends after reset for FixedResets. The assumption regarding the five-year Canada rate has become more important as the proportion of low-spread FixedResets in the portfolio has increased.
iii) Making the assumption that deeply discounted NVCC non-compliant issues from both banks and insurers, both Straight and FixedResets will be redeemed at par on their DeemedMaturity date as discussed above.

Issue Comments

NA.PR.Q To Be Redeemed

National Bank of Canada has announced:

its intention to redeem all of its remaining issued and outstanding Non-Cumulative 5-Year Rate Reset First Preferred Shares Series 28 (the “Preferred Shares Series 28”) on November 15, 2017 (the “Redemption Date”).

Pursuant to the share conditions, on the Redemption Date, the Bank may, at its option, redeem the Preferred Shares Series 28 at a price equal to $25.00 per share together with all declared and unpaid dividends. The declared dividends payable on November 15, 2017 will be paid to shareholders of record on October 10, 2017.

Formal notice will be issued to shareholders in accordance with the share conditions. The redemption of the Preferred Shares Series 28 is subject to the approval of the Office of the Superintendent of Financial Institutions and is part of the Bank’s ongoing management of its regulatory capital.

The Bank recommends shareholders consult with their tax advisors to determine the appropriate treatment and impact of the redemption.

NA.PR.Q is a FixedReset, 3.80%+243, that commenced trading 2012-11-7 after being announced 2012-10-30. It has been tracked by HIMIPref™ and assigned to the FixedReset subindex.