Category: MAPF

MAPF

MAPF Portfolio Composition: October 2009

Turnover slowed markedly in October to about 46%. This is the lowest monthly turnover in 2009 and about one-third of this year’s peak in February – the waves of alternating panic and euphoria are declining!

Trades were, as ever, triggered by a desire to exploit transient mispricing in the preferred share market (which may the thought of as “selling liquidity”), rather than any particular view being taken on market direction, sectoral performance or credit anticipation.

MAPF Sectoral Analysis 2009-10-30
HIMI Indices Sector Weighting YTW ModDur
Ratchet 0% N/A N/A
FixFloat 0% N/A N/A
Floater 0% N/A N/A
OpRet 0% N/A N/A
SplitShare 8.9% (-1.0) 8.09%% 7.14
Interest Rearing 0% N/A N/A
PerpetualPremium 0.5% (-0.1) 6.10% 13.65
PerpetualDiscount 67.3% (-0.2) 6.16% 13.66
Fixed-Reset 15.3% (-1.5) 4.25% 3.96
Scraps (OpRet) 4.6% (-0.5) 10.91% 5.91
Cash 3.1% (+2.9) 0.00% 0.00
Total 100% 6.06% 10.81
Totals and changes will not add precisely due to rounding. Bracketted figures represent change from September month-end. Cash is included in totals with duration and yield both equal to zero.

The “total” reflects the un-leveraged total portfolio (i.e., cash is included in the portfolio calculations and is deemed to have a duration and yield of 0.00.). MAPF will often have relatively large cash balances, both credit and debit, to facilitate trading. Figures presented in the table have been rounded to the indicated precision.

Virtually all trades during the month were intra-sector; that is, there were no major moves back and forth between sectors.

Credit distribution is:

MAPF Credit Analysis 2009-10-30
DBRS Rating Weighting
Pfd-1 0 (0)
Pfd-1(low) 73.9% (+1.1)
Pfd-2(high) 5.4% (-5.1)
Pfd-2 2.9% (+1.3)
Pfd-2(low) 9.8% (-0.1)
Pfd-3(high) 4.6% (-0.5)
Cash +3.1% (+2.9)
Totals will not add precisely due to rounding. Bracketted figures represent change from September month-end.

The decline in Pfd-2(high) holdings is mainly due to selling of HSB.PR.E:

Trades affecting MAPF holdings of HSB.PR.E
October, 2009
Date HSB.PR.E RY.PR.R NA.PR.P RY.PR.P
9/30
(Bid)
27.50 27.76 27.60 27.61
10/1 Sold
27.665
  Bot
27.66
 
10/14 Sold
27.508
    Bot
27.44
10/21 Bot
27.30
  Sold
27.60
 
10/23 Sold
27.54
Bot
27.04
   
10/26 Sold
27.59
Bot
27.00
   
10/30
(Bid)
27.40 26.93 27.42 26.86
Dividends   Missed
0.39
10/22
Earned
$0.41
10/7
Earned
0.39
10/22
Note: This table represents an extract from the trades actually executed. It represents an attempt to show fairly the major trades influencing the change in fund credit quality during October. Swaps shown were not necessarily executed on a 1:1 basis. Full disclosure of trades actually executed will be made simultaneously with the release of the fund’s audited financial statements for 2009.

Note that the swap from RY.PR.R to HSB.PR.E was discussed in the September composition report: that swap was executed at approximately even price, while earning the September dividend on HSB.PR.E of $0.4125. I’d say the round-trip worked out rather well!

Liquidity Distribution is:

MAPF Liquidity Analysis 2009-10-30
Average Daily Trading Weighting
<$50,000 0.0% (0)
$50,000 – $100,000 8.9% (-1.6)
$100,000 – $200,000 9.1% (+9.0)
$200,000 – $300,000 53.8% (+3.6)
>$300,000 24.3% (-14.8)
Cash +3.1% (+2.9)
Totals will not add precisely due to rounding. Bracketted figures represent change from September month-end.

MAPF is, of course, Malachite Aggressive Preferred Fund, a “unit trust” managed by Hymas Investment Management Inc. Further information and links to performance, audited financials and subscription information are available the fund’s web page. A “unit trust” is like a regular mutual fund, but is sold by offering memorandum rather than prospectus. This is cheaper, but means subscription is restricted to “accredited investors” (as defined by the Ontario Securities Commission) and those who subscribe for $150,000+. Fund past performances are not a guarantee of future performance. You can lose money investing in MAPF or any other fund.

A similar portfolio composition analysis has been performed on the Claymore Preferred Share ETF (symbol CPD) as of August 17. When comparing CPD and MAPF:

  • MAPF credit quality is better
  • MAPF liquidity is a little better
  • MAPF Yield is higher
  • Weightings in
    • MAPF is much more exposed to PerpetualDiscounts
    • MAPF is much less exposed to Operating Retractibles
    • MAPF is more exposed to SplitShares
    • MAPF is less exposed to FixFloat / Floater / Ratchet
    • MAPF weighting in FixedResets is much lower
MAPF

MAPF Performance: September 2009

The fund’s long monthly winning streak against the index ground to a halt in September, as the fund underperformed – albeit by a very small amount. As noted in the post Index Performance: September 2009, PerpetualDiscounts eased off after their long run-up; the fund is overweighted in this sector (see MAPF Portfolio Composition: September 2009 and some very nice tactical trades were not enough to overcome the overall market move … this time!

The fund’s Net Asset Value per Unit as of the close September was $12.3462 after a dividend distribution of $0.183304.

Returns to September 30, 2009
Period MAPF Index CPD
according to
Claymore
One Month -1.10% -1.00% -0.57%
Three Months +14.06% +8.34% +5.94%
One Year +61.88% +10.21% +8.41%
Two Years (annualized) +24.84% +1.44%  
Three Years (annualized) +16.39% +0.27%  
Four Years (annualized) +13.69% +1.20%  
Five Years (annualized) +12.34% +1.99%  
Six Years (annualized) +12.86% +2.49%  
Seven Years (annualized) +15.40% +3,15%  
Eight Years (annualized) +12.66% +3.17%  
The Index is the BMO-CM “50”
MAPF returns assume reinvestment of dividends, and are shown after expenses but before fees.
CPD Returns are for the NAV and are after all fees and expenses.
Figures for Omega Preferred Equity (which are after all fees and expenses) for 1-, 3- and 12-months are -0.7%, +7.2% and +8.5%, respectively, according to Morningstar after all fees & expenses
Figures for Jov Leon Frazer Preferred Equity Fund (which are after all fees and expenses) for 1-, 3- and 12-months are N/A, N/A & N/A, respectively, according to Morningstar and the Globe and Mail
Figures for AIC Preferred Income Fund (which are after all fees and expenses) for 1-, 3- and 12-months are -1.0%, +4.3% & N/A, respectively

MAPF returns assume reinvestment of dividends, and are shown after expenses but before fees. Past performance is not a guarantee of future performance. You can lose money investing in Malachite Aggressive Preferred Fund or any other fund. For more information, see the fund’s main page.

I am very pleased with the returns over the recent past, but implore Assiduous Readers not to project this level of outperformance for the indefinite future. The past year in the preferred share market has been filled with episodes of panic and euphoria, together with many new entrants who do not appear to know what they are doing; perfect conditions for a disciplined quantitative approach.

All I can say about the fund’s relative returns in the past year is … sometimes everything works. The fund seeks to earn incremental return by selling liquidity (that is, taking the other side of trades that other market participants are strongly motivated to execute), which can also be referred to as ‘trading noise’. There have been a lot of strongly motivated market participants in the past year, generating a lot of noise! Things won’t always be this good … but for as long as it lasts the fund will attempt to make hay while the sun shines.

There’s plenty of room for new money left in the fund. Just don’t expect the current level of outperformance every year, OK? While I will continue to exert utmost efforts to outperform, it should be borne in mind that beating the index by 500bp represents a good year, and there will almost inevitably be periods of underperformance in the future.

September’s results were impacted by the overweighting in PerpetualDiscounts, as noted earlier, and by the fact that holdings within this sector were overweighted in insurers. If we look at the change in yields in the sector for the major issuers, we find:

Yield Range Changes
PerpetualDiscounts
September 2009
Issuer Bid-YTW
Range
8/31
Bid-YTW
Range
9/30
Change
(Mid-Mid)
BMO 5.39-58% 5.49-78% +15bp
BNS 5.50-56% 5.46-62% +1bp
CM 5.65-84% 5.76-82% +4bp
GWO 5.62-65% 5.85-93% +25bp
MFC 5.66-76% 5.87-95% +20bp
POW 5.85-97% 5.84-04% +3bp
PWF 5.70-89% 5.77-90% +4bp
RY 5.43-52% 5.47-64% +8bp
SLF 5.64-72% 5.89-02% +28bp
TD 5.41-66% 5.52-72% +8bp

The fund held substantial positions in MFC and SLF PerpetualDiscounts on 8/31, with a lesser holding in GWO. During the month, the position in GWO was increased. The loss due to the decline in SLF issues was mitigated by trading opportunities arising from its disorderly nature:

Trading in SLF Issues
September 2009
(Simplified Extract)
Date SLF.PR.A SLF.PR.B SLF.PR.C SLF.PR.D SLF.PR.E
8/31
Bid
20.80 21.27 19.75 19.70 19.69
9/29 Sold
20.42
Sold
20.65
Bot
18.86
  Bot
18.97
9/30
Trades
Sold
20.31
    Bot
18.71
 
9/30
Closing
Bid
20.30 20.35 18.63 18.65 18.87

Trades such as the above helped mitigate the overall market moves; over time, it is trades such as the above (and those shown in this month’s composition report) that have allowed the fund to outperform its index while remaining fully invested.

The yields available on high quality preferred shares remain elevated, which is reflected in the current estimate of sustainable income.

Calculation of MAPF Sustainable Income Per Unit
Month NAVPU Portfolio
Average
YTW
Leverage
Divisor
Securities
Average
YTW
Sustainable
Income
June, 2007 9.3114 5.16% 1.03 5.01% 0.4665
September 9.1489 5.35% 0.98 5.46% 0.4995
December, 2007 9.0070 5.53% 0.942 5.87% 0.5288
March, 2008 8.8512 6.17% 1.047 5.89% 0.5216
June 8.3419 6.034% 0.952 6.338% $0.5287
September 8.1886 7.108% 0.969 7.335% $0.6006
December, 2008 8.0464 9.24% 1.008 9.166% $0.7375
March 2009 $8.8317 8.60% 0.995 8.802% $0.7633
June 10.9846 7.05% 0.999 7.057% $0.7752
September 2009 12.3462 6.03% 0.998 6.042% $0.7460
NAVPU is shown after quarterly distributions.
“Portfolio YTW” includes cash (or margin borrowing), with an assumed interest rate of 0.00%
“Securities YTW” divides “Portfolio YTW” by the “Leverage Divisor” to show the average YTW on the securities held; this assumes that the cash is invested in (or raised from) all securities held, in proportion to their holdings.
“Sustainable Income” is the resultant estimate of the fund’s dividend income per unit, before fees and expenses.

As discussed in the post MAPF Portfolio Composition: August 2009, the fund has positions in splitShares (almost all BNA.PR.C) and an operating retractible (YPG.PR.B), both of which have high yields that are not sustainable: at some point they will be called or mature and the funds will have to be reinvested. Therefore, both of these positions skew the calculation upwards.. Since the yield on these positions is higher than that of the perpetuals despite the fact that the term is limited, the sustainability of the calculated “sustainable yield” is suspect, as discussed in August, 2008.

Significant positions were also held in Fixed-Reset issues on September 30; all of which currently have their yields calculated with the presumption that they will be called by the issuers at par at the first possible opportunity. It is the increase in exposure to the lower-yielding Fixed-Reset class that accounts for the apparent stall in the increase of sustainable income per unit in the past seven months. In December 2008, FixedReset exposure was zero; it is now 16.8%. Exposure to the extraordinarily high-yielding SplitShare class has also been reduced since December due to credit concerns.

However, if the entire portfolio except for the PerpetualDiscounts were to be sold and reinvested in these issues, the yield of the portfolio would be the 5.91% shown in the September 30 Portfolio Composition analysis (which is in excess of the 5.77% index yield on September 30). Given such reinvestment, the sustainable yield would be 12.3462 * 0.0591 = 0.7297, an increase from the $0.7234 derived by a similar calculation last month.

Different assumptions lead to different results from the calculation, but the overall positive trend is apparent. I’m very pleased with the results! It will be noted that if there was no trading in the portfolio, one would expect the sustainable yield to be constant (before fees and expenses). The success of the fund’s trading is showing up in

  • the very good performance against the index
  • the long term increases in sustainable income per unit

As has been noted, the fund has maintained a credit quality equal to or better than the index; outperformance is due to constant exploitation of trading anomalies.

Again, there are no predictions for the future! The fund will continue to trade between issues in an attempt to exploit market gaps in liquidity, in an effort to outperform the index and keep the sustainable income per unit – however calculated! – growing.

MAPF

MAPF Portfolio Composition: September 2009

Turnover was steady in September at about 65%.

Trades were, as ever, triggered by a desire to exploit transient mispricing in the preferred share market (which may the thought of as “selling liquidity”), rather than any particular view being taken on market direction, sectoral performance or credit anticipation.

MAPF Sectoral Analysis 2009-9-30
HIMI Indices Sector Weighting YTW ModDur
Ratchet 0% N/A N/A
FixFloat 0% N/A N/A
Floater 0% N/A N/A
OpRet 0% N/A N/A
SplitShare 9.9% (-0.5) 7.80%% 7.25
Interest Rearing 0% N/A N/A
PerpetualPremium 0.6% (-0.3) 5.60% 2.51
PerpetualDiscount 67.5% (+0.3) 5.91% 14.07
Fixed-Reset 16.8% (-0.6) 4.25% 4.14
Scraps (OpRet) 5.1% (-0.1) 10.40% 6.03
Cash 0.2% (+1.0) 0.00% 0.00
Total 100% 6.03% 11.23
Totals and changes will not add precisely due to rounding. Bracketted figures represent change from August month-end. Cash is included in totals with duration and yield both equal to zero.

The “total” reflects the un-leveraged total portfolio (i.e., cash is included in the portfolio calculations and is deemed to have a duration and yield of 0.00.). MAPF will often have relatively large cash balances, both credit and debit, to facilitate trading. Figures presented in the table have been rounded to the indicated precision.

Virtually all trades during the month were intra-sector; that is, there were no noticable moves back and forth between sectors.

Credit distribution is:

MAPF Credit Analysis 2009-9-30
DBRS Rating Weighting
Pfd-1 0 (0)
Pfd-1(low) 72.8% (-7.8)
Pfd-2(high) 10.5% (+6.7)
Pfd-2 1.6% (+0.3)
Pfd-2(low) 9.9% (-0.2)
Pfd-3(high) 5.1% (-0.1)
Cash +0.2% (+1.0)
Totals will not add precisely due to rounding. Bracketted figures represent change from August month-end.

Credit quality has declined somewhat (while remaining well in excess of the index average) due largely to the following sequence of trades:

Major Trades Affecting Pfd-1(low)/Pfd-2(high) proportions
Date HSB.PR.E TD.PR.K RY.PR.R
8/31
Closing
Bid
27.91 27.77 27.60
9/3 Bot
27.77
  Sold
27.72
9/16 Sold
27.92
Bot
27.52
 
9/30 Bot
27.46
Sold
27.80
 
9/30
Closing
Bid
27.50 27.81 27.76
Dividends 9/11
0.4125
   
Note: This table represents an extract from the trades actually executed. It represents an attempt to show fairly the major trades influencing the change in fund credit quality during September. Swaps shown were not necessarily executed on a 1:1 basis. Full disclosure of trades actually executed will be made simultaneously with the release of the fund’s audited financial statements for 2009.

Liquidity Distribution is:

MAPF Liquidity Analysis 2009-9-30
Average Daily Trading Weighting
<$50,000 0.0% (-0.3)
$50,000 – $100,000 10.5% (-4.4)
$100,000 – $200,000 0.1% (-2.4)
$200,000 – $300,000 50.2% (+12.5)
>$300,000 39.1% (-6.5)
Cash +0.2% (+1.0)
Totals will not add precisely due to rounding. Bracketted figures represent change from August month-end.

MAPF is, of course, Malachite Aggressive Preferred Fund, a “unit trust” managed by Hymas Investment Management Inc. Further information and links to performance, audited financials and subscription information are available the fund’s web page. A “unit trust” is like a regular mutual fund, but is sold by offering memorandum rather than prospectus. This is cheaper, but means subscription is restricted to “accredited investors” (as defined by the Ontario Securities Commission) and those who subscribe for $150,000+. Fund past performances are not a guarantee of future performance. You can lose money investing in MAPF or any other fund.

A similar portfolio composition analysis has been performed on the Claymore Preferred Share ETF (symbol CPD) as of August 17. When comparing CPD and MAPF:

  • MAPF credit quality is better
  • MAPF liquidity is a little better
  • MAPF Yield is higher
  • Weightings in
    • MAPF is much more exposed to PerpetualDiscounts
    • MAPF is much less exposed to Operating Retractibles
    • MAPF is more exposed to SplitShares
    • MAPF is less exposed to FixFloat / Floater / Ratchet
    • MAPF weighting in FixedResets is much lower
MAPF

MAPF Performance: August 2009

The fund performed well as the preferred share recovery now looks pretty solid. As noted in the report of Index Performance, August 2009, PerpetualDiscounts posted very strong gains over the month, while FixedResets managed to outperform their currently very low expectations.

The fund’s performance was helped by its overweighting in PerpetualDiscount issues, as shown in the post MAPF Portfolio Composition, but managed to outperform even the pure measure of PerpetualDiscount total return due to security selection and frequent trading. This has been accomplished while remaining fully invested in a portfolio with an overall composition that did not change much through the month – which is exactly what I seek to accomplish in managing the fund.

The fund’s Net Asset Value per Unit as of the close August 31 was $12.6695.

Returns to August 31, 2009
Period MAPF Index CPD
according to
Claymore
One Month +7.20% +4.76% +3.08%
Three Months +21.02% +11.18% +8.01%
One Year +58.57% +8.45% +5.88%
Two Years (annualized) +25.09% +1.26%  
Three Years (annualized) +17.39% +0.97%  
Four Years (annualized) +14.41% +1.63%  
Five Years (annualized) +12.79% +2.29%  
Six Years (annualized) +13.65% +2.89%  
Seven Years (annualized) +14.31% +3,38%  
Eight Years (annualized) +13.39% +3.37%  
The Index is the BMO-CM “50”
MAPF returns assume reinvestment of dividends, and are shown after expenses but before fees.
CPD Returns are for the NAV and are after all fees and expenses.
Figures for Omega Preferred Equity (which are after all fees and expenses) for 1-, 3- and 12-months are +3.6%, +10.1% and +6.0%, respectively, according to Morningstar after all fees & expenses
Figures for Jov Leon Frazer Preferred Equity Fund (which are after all fees and expenses) for 1-, 3- and 12-months are N/A, N/A & N/A, respectively, according to Morningstar and the Globe and Mail
Figures for AIC Preferred Income Fund (which are after all fees and expenses) for 1-, 3- and 12-months are +2.8%, +6.2% & N/A, respectively

MAPF returns assume reinvestment of dividends, and are shown after expenses but before fees. Past performance is not a guarantee of future performance. You can lose money investing in Malachite Aggressive Preferred Fund or any other fund. For more information, see the fund’s main page.

I am very pleased with the returns, but implore Assiduous Readers not to project this level of outperformance for the indefinite future. The past year in the preferred share market has been filled with episodes of panic and euphoria, together with many new entrants who do not appear to know what they are doing; perfect conditions for a disciplined quantitative approach.

All I can say about the fund’s relative returns in the past year is … sometimes everything works. The fund seeks to earn incremental return by selling liquidity (that is, taking the other side of trades that other market participants are strongly motivated to execute), which can also be referred to as ‘trading noise’. There have been a lot of strongly motivated market participants in the past year, generating a lot of noise! Things won’t always be this good … but for as long as it lasts the fund will attempt to make hay while the sun shines.

There’s plenty of room for new money left in the fund. Just don’t expect the current level of outperformance every year, OK? While I will continue to exert utmost efforts to outperform, it should be borne in mind that beating the index by 500bp represents a good year, and there will almost inevitably be periods of underperformance in the future.

The yields available on high quality preferred shares remain elevated, which is reflected in the current estimate of sustainable income.

Calculation of MAPF Sustainable Income Per Unit
Month NAVPU Portfolio
Average
YTW
Leverage
Divisor
Securities
Average
YTW
Sustainable
Income
June, 2007 9.3114 5.16% 1.03 5.01% 0.4665
September 9.1489 5.35% 0.98 5.46% 0.4995
December, 2007 9.0070 5.53% 0.942 5.87% 0.5288
March, 2008 8.8512 6.17% 1.047 5.89% 0.5216
June 8.3419 6.034% 0.952 6.338% $0.5287
September 8.1886 7.108% 0.969 7.335% $0.6006
December, 2008 8.0464 9.24% 1.008 9.166% $0.7375
March 2009 $8.8317 8.60% 0.995 8.802% $0.7633
June 10.9846 7.05% 0.999 7.057% $0.7752
August 2009 12.6695 5.85% 1.008 5.804% $0.7353
NAVPU is shown after quarterly distributions.
“Portfolio YTW” includes cash (or margin borrowing), with an assumed interest rate of 0.00%
“Securities YTW” divides “Portfolio YTW” by the “Leverage Divisor” to show the average YTW on the securities held; this assumes that the cash is invested in (or raised from) all securities held, in proportion to their holdings.
“Sustainable Income” is the resultant estimate of the fund’s dividend income per unit, before fees and expenses.

As discussed in the post MAPF Portfolio Composition: August 2009, the fund has positions in splitShares (almost all BNA.PR.C) and an operating retractible (YPG.PR.B), both of which have high yields that are not sustainable: at some point they will be called or mature and the funds will have to be reinvested. Therefore, both of these positions skew the calculation upwards.. Since the yield on these positions is higher than that of the perpetuals despite the fact that the term is limited, the sustainability of the calculated “sustainable yield” is suspect, as discussed in August, 2008.

Significant positions were also held in Fixed-Reset issues on August 31; all of which currently have their yields calculated with the presumption that they will be called by the issuers at par at the first possible opportunity. It is the increase in exposure to the lower-yielding Fixed-Reset class that accounts for the apparent stall in the increase of sustainable income per unit in the past seven months. In December 2008, FixedReset exposure was zero; it is now 17.4%. Exposure to the extraordinarily high-yielding SplitShare class has also been reduced since December due to credit concerns.

However, if the entire portfolio except for the PerpetualDiscounts were to be sold and reinvested in these issues, the yield of the portfolio would be the 5.71% shown in the August 31 Portfolio Composition analysis (which is slightly in excess of the 5.66% index yield on August 31). Given such reinvestment, the sustainable yield would be 12.6695 * 0.0571 = 0.7234, a slight decrease from the $0.7256 derived by a similar calculation last month.

The decrease may be attributed to the slight portfolio shift into FixedResets, which did not have such extraordinarily good performance as the PerpetualDiscounts and also yield less going forward.

Different assumptions lead to different results from the calculation, but the overall positive trend is apparent. I’m very pleased with the results! It will be noted that if there was no trading in the portfolio, one would expect the sustainable yield to be constant (before fees and expenses). The success of the fund’s trading is showing up in

  • the very good performance against the index
  • the long term increases in sustainable income per unit

As has been noted, the fund has maintained a credit quality equal to or better than the index; outperformance is due to constant exploitation of trading anomalies.

Again, there are no predictions for the future! The fund will continue to trade between issues in an attempt to exploit market gaps in liquidity, in an effort to outperform the index and keep the sustainable income per unit – however calculated! – growing.

MAPF

MAPF Portfolio Composition: August 2009

Turnover slowed markedly in August to a little under 60%. This was both a normal summer slowdown and the effect of a sharply rising market in PerpetualDiscounts, which often has the effect of lifting all boats equally.

Trades were, as ever, triggered by a desire to exploit transient mispricing in the preferred share market (which may the thought of as “selling liquidity”), rather than any particular view being taken on market direction, sectoral performance or credit anticipation.

MAPF Sectoral Analysis 2009-8-31
HIMI Indices Sector Weighting YTW ModDur
Ratchet 0% N/A N/A
FixFloat 0% N/A N/A
Floater 0% N/A N/A
OpRet 0% N/A N/A
SplitShare 10.4% (+0.3) 7.58%% 7.12
Interest Rearing 0% N/A N/A
PerpetualPremium 0.9% (+0.3) 3.4% 1.76
PerpetualDiscount 67.2% (-4.7) 5.71% 14.40
Fixed-Reset 17.4% (+6.1) 4.03% 4.12
Scraps (OpRet) 5.2% (0) 10.71% 5.98
Cash -0.8% (-1.5) 0.00% 0.00
Total 100% 5.85% 11.45
Totals and changes will not add precisely due to rounding. Bracketted figures represent change from July month-end. Cash is included in totals with duration and yield both equal to zero.

The “total” reflects the un-leveraged total portfolio (i.e., cash is included in the portfolio calculations and is deemed to have a duration and yield of 0.00.). MAPF will often have relatively large cash balances, both credit and debit, to facilitate trading. Figures presented in the table have been rounded to the indicated precision.

The small change in the sectoral distribution was due to some scrappy trades generated by the rapid increase in price of PerpetualDiscounts. In addition to changing yield relationships, this price rise was sufficient to cause the issuer’s redemption option to have an effect on valuation.

Trades Contributing to
the Shift from PerpetualDiscount to FixedReset
August, 2009
Date PWF.PR.F NA.PR.O TD.PR.I RY.PR.R
7/31
Bid
21.20 27.64 27.53 27.47
8/17 Sold
23.10
Bought
27.92
   
8/21   Sold
28.00
Bought
27.75
 
8/25   Sold
27.80
Sold
27.63
Bought
27.50
8/31
Closing Bid
22.93 27.81 27.75 27.60
Dividends
Ex-Date
       
This is an attempt to show fairly the effect of numerous trades in tabular form. The trades shown are not necessarily precise dollar-for-dollar swaps. Trade details will be released on the main MAPF web page in the future.

This is not the most immediately successful sequence of trades reported for MAPF, but it’s hardly a disaster! All I can do is trade the odds and recognize that not every trade will work out.

Credit distribution is:

MAPF Credit Analysis 2009-8-31
DBRS Rating Weighting
Pfd-1 0 (-0.3)
Pfd-1(low) 80.6% (-0.9)
Pfd-2(high) 3.8% (+1.8)
Pfd-2 1.3% (+1.0)
Pfd-2(low) 10.1% (+0.3)
Pfd-3(high) 5.2% (0)
Cash -0.8% (-1.5)
Totals will not add precisely due to rounding. Bracketted figures represent change from July month-end.

So credit quality is essentiall unchanged, while liquidity has improved somewhat:

Liquidity Distribution is:

MAPF Liquidity Analysis 2009-8-31
Average Daily Trading Weighting
<$50,000 0.3% (0)
$50,000 – $100,000 14.9% (+3.7)
$100,000 – $200,000 2.5% (-3.3)
$200,000 – $300,000 37.7% (-11.9)
>$300,000 45.6% (+13.7)
Cash -0.8% (-1.5)
Totals will not add precisely due to rounding. Bracketted figures represent change from June month-end.

MAPF is, of course, Malachite Aggressive Preferred Fund, a “unit trust” managed by Hymas Investment Management Inc. Further information and links to performance, audited financials and subscription information are available the fund’s web page. A “unit trust” is like a regular mutual fund, but is sold by offering memorandum rather than prospectus. This is cheaper, but means subscription is restricted to “accredited investors” (as defined by the Ontario Securities Commission) and those who subscribe for $150,000+. Fund past performances are not a guarantee of future performance. You can lose money investing in MAPF or any other fund.

A similar portfolio composition analysis has been performed on the Claymore Preferred Share ETF (symbol CPD) as of August 17. When comparing CPD and MAPF:

  • MAPF credit quality is better
  • MAPF liquidity is a little better
  • MAPF Yield is higher
  • Weightings in
    • MAPF is much more exposed to PerpetualDiscounts
    • MAPF is much less exposed to Operating Retractibles
    • MAPF is more exposed to SplitShares
    • MAPF is less exposed to FixFloat / Floater / Ratchet
    • MAPF weighting in FixedResets is much lower
MAPF

MAPF Performance: July 2009

The fund performed well as the preferred share recovery now looks pretty solid. As noted in the report of Index Performance, July 2009, both the FixedReset and PerpetualDiscount posted strong gains, particularly in the latter half of the month following the TXPR Revision.

The fund’s performance was helped by its overweighting in PerpetualDiscount issues, as discussed in the post MAPF Portfolio Composition, but managed to outperform even the pure measure of PerpetualDiscount total return due to security selection and frequent trading. This has been accomplished while remaining fully invested in a portfolio with an overall composition that did not change much through the month – which is exactly what I seek to accomplish in managing the fund.

The fund’s Net Asset Value per Unit as of the close July 31 was $11.8181.

Returns to July 31, 2009
Period MAPF Index CPD
according to
Claymore
One Month +7.59% +4.46% +3.35%
Three Months +21.95% +11.49% +8.96%
One Year +56.59% +6.50% +5.24%
Two Years (annualized) +20.61% -0.79%  
Three Years (annualized) +15.38% -0.30%  
Four Years (annualized) +12.58% +0.54%  
Five Years (annualized) +11.51% ++1.43%  
Six Years (annualized) +12.76% +2.16%  
Seven Years (annualized) +12.85% +2.75%  
Eight Years (annualized) +12.65% +2.91%  
The Index is the BMO-CM “50”
MAPF returns assume reinvestment of dividends, and are shown after expenses but before fees.
CPD Returns are for the NAV and are after all fees and expenses.
Figures for Omega Preferred Equity (which are after all fees and expenses) for 1-, 3- and 12-months are +4.2%, +10.5% and +4.9%, respectively, according to Morningstar after all fees & expenses
Figures for Jov Leon Frazer Preferred Equity Fund (which are after all fees and expenses) for 1-, 3- and 12-months are N/A, N/A & N/A, respectively, according to Morningstar and the Globe and Mail
Figures for AIC Preferred Income Fund (which are after all fees and expenses) for 1-, 3- and 12-months are +2.5%, +4.1% & N/A, respectively

MAPF returns assume reinvestment of dividends, and are shown after expenses but before fees. Past performance is not a guarantee of future performance. You can lose money investing in Malachite Aggressive Preferred Fund or any other fund. For more information, see the fund’s main page.

I am very pleased with the returns, but implore Assiduous Readers not to project this level of outperformance for the indefinite future. The past year in the preferred share market has been filled with episodes of panic and euphoria, together with many new entrants who do not appear to know what they are doing; perfect conditions for a disciplined quantitative approach.

All I can say about the fund’s relative returns in the past year is … sometimes everything works. The fund seeks to earn incremental return by selling liquidity (that is, taking the other side of trades that other market participants are strongly motivated to execute), which can also be referred to as ‘trading noise’. There have been a lot of strongly motivated market participants in the past year, generating a lot of noise! Things won’t always be this good … but for as long as it lasts the fund will attempt to make hay while the sun shines.

A good example of “selling liquidity” is the fund’s accumulation of a position in SLF.PR.B during the month.

Trades Contributing to
the Accumulation of SLF.PR.B
July, 2009
Date SLF.PR.C SLF.PR.E SLF.PR.B
6/30
Bid
16.76 17.03 18.46
7/20 Sold
17.61
  Bought
18.65
7/22 Sold
18.06
  Bought
18.98
7/23 Sold
18.25
Sold
18.87
Bought
19.00
7/31
Closing Bid
18.31 18.51 19.52
Dividends
Ex-Date
     
This is an attempt to show fairly the effect of numerous trades in tabular form. The trades shown are not necessarily precise dollar-for-dollar swaps. Trade details will be released on the main MAPF web page in the future.

It may also be noted that SLF.PR.B still has an elevated yield relative to the average level for the Sun Life PerpetualDiscount issues:

SLF PerpetualDiscounts
Comparison, 2009-7-31
At Closing Bid
Ticker YTW
SLF.PR.A 6.23%
SLF.PR.B 6.24%
SLF.PR.C 6.16%
SLF.PR.D 6.15%
SLF.PR.E 6.16%

I believe that the trading opportunities amongst the SLF PerpetualDiscounts were triggered by a major seller of SLF.PR.A, which had an influence on the other issues that propogated at different rates while also influenced by a broad general demand for PerpetualDiscounts. In support of this hypothisis, I have uploaded three graphs (prepared by my firm’s analytical software, HIMIPref™):

This is mere explanation after the fact, however. At the time of trade, all that really mattered was that the fund could pick up yield by swapping between issues with identical credit quality and almost identical terms.

Another example of profitable trading was discussed as part of the post on portfolio composition.

There’s plenty of room for new money left in the fund. Just don’t expect the current level of outperformance every year, OK? While I will continue to exert utmost efforts to outperform, it should be borne in mind that beating the index by 500bp represents a good year, and there will almost inevitably be periods of underperformance in the future.

The yields available on high quality preferred shares remain elevated, which is reflected in the current estimate of sustainable income.

Calculation of MAPF Sustainable Income Per Unit
Month NAVPU Portfolio
Average
YTW
Leverage
Divisor
Securities
Average
YTW
Sustainable
Income
June, 2007 9.3114 5.16% 1.03 5.01% 0.4665
September 9.1489 5.35% 0.98 5.46% 0.4995
December, 2007 9.0070 5.53% 0.942 5.87% 0.5288
March, 2008 8.8512 6.17% 1.047 5.89% 0.5216
June 8.3419 6.034% 0.952 6.338% $0.5287
September 8.1886 7.108% 0.969 7.335% $0.6006
December, 2008 8.0464 9.24% 1.008 9.166% $0.7375
March 2009 $8.8317 8.60% 0.995 8.802% $0.7633
June 10.9846 7.05% 0.999 7.057% $0.7752
July 2009 11.8181 6.44% 0.993 6.485% $0.7664
NAVPU is shown after quarterly distributions.
“Portfolio YTW” includes cash (or margin borrowing), with an assumed interest rate of 0.00%
“Securities YTW” divides “Portfolio YTW” by the “Leverage Divisor” to show the average YTW on the securities held; this assumes that the cash is invested in (or raised from) all securities held, in proportion to their holdings.
“Sustainable Income” is the resultant estimate of the fund’s dividend income per unit, before fees and expenses.

As discussed in the post MAPF Portfolio Composition: July 2009, the fund has positions in splitShares (almost all BNA.PR.C) and an operating retractible, both of which have high yields that are not sustainable: at some point they will be called or mature and the funds will have to be reinvested. Therefore, both of these positions skew the calculation upwards.. Since the yield on these positions is higher than that of the perpetuals despite the fact that the term is limited, the sustainability of the calculated “sustainable yield” is suspect, as discussed in August, 2008.

Significant positions were also held in Fixed-Reset issues on July 31; all of which currently have their yields calculated with the presumption that they will be called by the issuers at par at the first possible opportunity. It is the increase in exposure to the lower-yielding Fixed-Reset class that accounts for the apparent stall in the increase of sustainable income per unit in the past seven months. In December 2008, FixedReset exposure was zero; it is now 11.3%. Exposure to the extraordinarily high-yielding SplitShare class has also been reduced since December due to credit concerns.

However, if the entire portfolio except for the PerpetualDiscounts were to be sold and reinvested in these issues, the yield of the portfolio would be the 6.14% shown in the July 31 Portfolio Composition analysis (which is in excess of the 6.06% index yield on July 31). Given such reinvestment, the sustainable yield would be 11.8181 * 0.0614 = $0.7256, an increase from the $0.7228 derived by a similar calculation last month.

Different assumptions lead to different results from the calculation, but the overall positive trend is apparent. I’m very pleased with the results! It will be noted that if there was no trading in the portfolio, one would expect the sustainable yield to be constant (before fees and expenses). The success of the fund’s trading is showing up in

  • the very good performance against the index
  • the long term increases in sustainable income per unit

As has been noted, the fund has maintained a credit quality equal to or better than the index; outperformance is due to constant exploitation of trading anomalies.

Again, there are no predictions for the future! The fund will continue to trade between issues in an attempt to exploit market gaps in liquidity, in an effort to outperform the index and keep the sustainable income per unit – however calculated! – growing.

MAPF

MAPF Portfolio Composition: July 2009

Trading activity eased slightly in July, with portfolio turnover of about 100%, while the market extended its gains.

Trades were, as ever, triggered by a desire to exploit transient mispricing in the preferred share market (which may the thought of as “selling liquidity”), rather than any particular view being taken on market direction, sectoral performance or credit anticipation.

MAPF Sectoral Analysis 2009-7-31
HIMI Indices Sector Weighting YTW ModDur
Ratchet 0% N/A N/A
FixFloat 0% N/A N/A
Floater 0% N/A N/A
OpRet 0% N/A N/A
SplitShare 10.1% (-0.6) 8.99%% 7.01
Interest Rearing 0% N/A N/A
PerpetualPremium 0.6% (+0.6) 5.49% 2.64
PerpetualDiscount 71.9 (-0.3) 6.14% 13.69
Fixed-Reset 11.3% (-0.2) 4.18% 4.22
Scraps (OpRet) 5.2% (-0.4) 11.59% 6.00
Cash +0.7% (+0.6) 0.00% 0.00
Total 100% 6.44% 11.37
Totals and changes will not add precisely due to rounding. Bracketted figures represent change from June month-end. Cash is included in totals with duration and yield both equal to zero.

The “total” reflects the un-leveraged total portfolio (i.e., cash is included in the portfolio calculations and is deemed to have a duration and yield of 0.00.). MAPF will often have relatively large cash balances, both credit and debit, to facilitate trading. Figures presented in the table have been rounded to the indicated precision.

Not much change in the sectoral distribution!

Credit distribution is:

MAPF Credit Analysis 2009-7-31
DBRS Rating Weighting
Pfd-1 0.3% (-0.1)
Pfd-1(low) 81.5% (+14.3)
Pfd-2(high) 2.0% (-11.8)
Pfd-2 0.3% (+0.3)
Pfd-2(low) 9.8% (-3.4)
Pfd-3(high) 5.2% (-0.4)
Cash +0.7% (+0.6)
Totals will not add precisely due to rounding. Bracketted figures represent change from June month-end.

The shift from Pfd-2(high) to Pfd-1(low) is attributable to sale of some POW issues (Pfd-2(high)) in the PerpetualDiscount sector to fund the purchase of GWO PerpetualDiscounts (Pfd-1(low)):

Trades Contributing to
the Shift from Pfd-2(high) to Pfd-1(low)
July, 2009
Date POW.PR.B GWO.PR.H GWO.PR.G
6/30
Bid
20.10 18.70 20.61
7/16 Sold
20.43
Bought
18.75
 
7/17 Sold
20.46
Bought
18.75
 
7/23 Sold
20.96
  Bought
20.50
7/24 Sold
21.00
  Bought
20.75
7/31
Closing Bid
21.45 20.10 21.78
Dividends
Ex-Date
     
This is an attempt to show fairly the effect of numerous trades in tabular form. The trades shown are not necessarily precise dollar-for-dollar swaps. Trade details will be released on the main MAPF web page in the future.

The fund does not set any targets for overall credit quality; trades are executed one by one. Variances in overall credit will be constant as opportunistic trades are executed. The overall credit quality of the portfolio is now superior to the credit quality of CPD at August month-end (when adjusted for the downgrades of BCE and the banks).

Claymore provides the following ratings breakdown:

Ratings Breakdown
as of 12/31/08
Pfd-1 61.15%
Pfd-2 23.26%
Pfd-3 15.60%

Three events have occurred since the Dec. 31 calculation date of CPD’s credit quality:

Liquidity Distribution is:

MAPF Liquidity Analysis 2009-7-31
Average Daily Trading Weighting
<$50,000 0.3% (-3.0)
$50,000 – $100,000 11.2% (-10.0)
$100,000 – $200,000 5.8% (-20.1)
$200,000 – $300,000 49.6% (+34.5)
>$300,000 31.9% (-1.6%)
Cash +0.7% (+0.6)
Totals will not add precisely due to rounding. Bracketted figures represent change from June month-end.

There is no real pattern to the increase in liquidity experienced this month. For instance, a positions in SLF.PR.C (ATV = 167,986) and SLF.PR.E (ATV = 185,774) were swapped into SLF.PR.B (ATV = 239,639). The trades from POW to GWO (partially noted above) also contributed to the increase, as did trades from BPO into YPG.

MAPF is, of course, Malachite Aggressive Preferred Fund, a “unit trust” managed by Hymas Investment Management Inc. Further information and links to performance, audited financials and subscription information are available the fund’s web page. A “unit trust” is like a regular mutual fund, but is sold by offering memorandum rather than prospectus. This is cheaper, but means subscription is restricted to “accredited investors” (as defined by the Ontario Securities Commission) and those who subscribe for $150,000+. Fund past performances are not a guarantee of future performance. You can lose money investing in MAPF or any other fund.

A similar portfolio composition analysis has been performed on The Claymore Preferred Share ETF (symbol CPD) as of August 29. When comparing CPD and MAPF:

  • MAPF credit quality is better
  • MAPF liquidity is similar (although CPD now has a lot of entries in the ‘super-heavy’ >300,000 class)
  • MAPF Yield is higher
  • Weightings in
    • MAPF is more exposed to PerpetualDiscounts
    • MAPF is much less exposed to Operating Retractibles
    • MAPF is more exposed to SplitShares
    • MAPF is less exposed to FixFloat / Floater / Ratchet
    • MAPF weighting in FixedResets is much lower
MAPF

MAPF Performance: June 2009

The fund performed well in another month of recovery for the preferred share market. As noted in the report of Index Performance, June 2009, both the FixedReset and PerpetualDiscount now have positive total return over the past years – rather a back-handed compliment, but it’s a lot better than has been the case lately!

Fund performance was hurt by the underweighting in FixedReset issues noted in MAPF Portfolio Composition: June 2009, as well as an underweighting in lower quality issues (which also outperformed), but these allocation hurdles were handsomely overcome by security selection and trading within the actual portfolio.

Note that the passive funds (DPS.UN and CPD) both have relatively high weightings in Pfd-3-tier issues; as shown in the uploaded chart, these “Credit Class 3” issues have tightened massively recently. Note that in the chart, the Credit Class 3 spread is shown as a spread against Credit Class 2; while the Credit Class 2 spread is shown as a spread against Credit Class 1.

The fund’s Net Asset Value per Unit as of the close June 30 was $10.9846 after a dividend distribution of $0.168846 per unit.

Returns to June 30, 2009
Period MAPF Index CPD
according to
Claymore
One Month +4.93% +1.60% +1.38%
Three Months +26.29% +13.49% +12.77%
One Year +42.19% -0.18% -0.47%
Two Years (annualized) +16.60% -2.28%  
Three Years (annualized) +12.69% -1.63%  
Four Years (annualized) +10.60% -0.55%  
Five Years (annualized) +10.44% +0.82%  
Six Years (annualized) +12.04% +1.39%  
Seven Years (annualized) +11.32% +2.31%  
Eight Years (annualized) +11.82% +2.41%  
The Index is the BMO-CM “50”
MAPF returns assume reinvestment of dividends, and are shown after expenses but before fees.
CPD Returns are for the NAV and are after all fees and expenses.
Figures for Omega Preferred Equity (which are after all fees and expenses) for 1-, 3- and 12-months are 2.0%, 12.7% and -1.0%%, respectively, according to Morningstar after all fees & expenses
Figures for Jov Leon Frazer Preferred Equity Fund (which are after all fees and expenses) for 1-, 3- and 12-months are N/A, N/A & N/A, respectively, according to Morningstar and the Globe and Mail
Figures for AIC Preferred Income Fund (which are after all fees and expenses) for 1-, 3- and 12-months are +0.7%, N/A & N/A, respectively

MAPF returns assume reinvestment of dividends, and are shown after expenses but before fees. Past performance is not a guarantee of future performance. You can lose money investing in Malachite Aggressive Preferred Fund or any other fund. For more information, see the fund’s main page.

I am very pleased with the returns, but implore Assiduous Readers not to project this level of outperformance for the indefinite future. The past year in the preferred share market has been filled with episodes of panic and euphoria, together with many new entrants who do not appear to know what they are doing; perfect conditions for a disciplined quantitative approach. While I will continue to exert utmost efforts to outperform, it should be borne in mind that beating the index by 500bp represents a good year, and there will almost inevitably be periods of underperformance in the future.

The outperformance of the fund is almost – not quite! – embarrassing. You will find no shortage of people who will be willing to state flatly that it is not possible to achieve such returns without incredible risks; there will be others who deprecate the size of the fund and say that trading in size would eliminate every scrap of outperformance. These are the same things I kept hearing when I was trading Canada bonds for pension funds. All I can do is point to my portfolio composition, financial statements & trading records and state that I see lots of silly prices on the Exchange that I can’t take full advantage of because I’ve reached my position limits. There’s plenty of room for new money left in the fund. Just don’t expect index+4237bp every year, OK?

The yields available on high quality preferred shares remain elevated, which is reflected in the current estimate of sustainable income.

Calculation of MAPF Sustainable Income Per Unit
Month NAVPU Portfolio
Average
YTW
Leverage
Divisor
Securities
Average
YTW
Sustainable
Income
June, 2007 9.3114 5.16% 1.03 5.01% 0.4665
September 9.1489 5.35% 0.98 5.46% 0.4995
December, 2007 9.0070 5.53% 0.942 5.87% 0.5288
March, 2008 8.8512 6.17% 1.047 5.89% 0.5216
June 8.3419 6.034% 0.952 6.338% $0.5287
September 8.1886 7.108% 0.969 7.335% $0.6006
December, 2008 8.0464 9.24% 1.008 9.166% $0.7375
March 2009 $8.8317 8.60% 0.995 8.802% $0.7633
June 2009 10.9846 7.05% 0.999 7.057% $0.7752
NAVPU is shown after quarterly distributions.
“Portfolio YTW” includes cash (or margin borrowing), with an assumed interest rate of 0.00%
“Securities YTW” divides “Portfolio YTW” by the “Leverage Divisor” to show the average YTW on the securities held; this assumes that the cash is invested in (or raised from) all securities held, in proportion to their holdings.
“Sustainable Income” is the resultant estimate of the fund’s dividend income per unit, before fees and expenses.

As discussed in the post MAPF Portfolio Composition: May 2009, the fund has positions in splitShares (almost all BNA.PR.C) and an operating retractible, both of which have high yields that are not sustainable: at some point they will be called or mature and the funds will have to be reinvested. Therefore, both of these positions skew the calculation upwards.. Since the yield on thes positions is higher than that of the perpetuals despite the fact that the term is limited, the sustainability of the calculated “sustainable yield” is suspect, as discussed in August, 2008.

Significant positions were also held in Fixed-Reset issues on June 30; all of which currently have their yields calculated with the presumption that they will be called by the issuers at par at the first possible opportunity. It is the increase in exposure to the lower-yielding Fixed-Reset class that accounts for the apparent stall in the increase of sustainable income per unit in the past six months. In December 2008, FixedReset exposure was zero; it is now 11.5%. Exposure to the extraordinarily high-yielding SplitShare class has also been reduced due to credit concerns.

However, if the entire portfolio except for the PerpetualDiscounts were to be sold and reinvested in these issues, the yield of the portfolio would be the 6.58% shown in the June 30 Portfolio Composition analysis (which is in excess of the 6.36% index yield on June 30). Given such reinvestment, the sustainable yield would be 10.9846 * 0.0658 = $0.7228, an increase from the $0.7154 derived by a similar calculation last month, despite the negative effects on the calculation of having distributed the accumulated dividends.

Different assumptions lead to different calculations, but the overall positive trend is apparent. I’m very pleased with the results! It will be noted that if there was no trading in the portfolio, one would expect the sustainable yield to be constant (before fees and expenses). The success of the fund’s trading is showing up in

  • the very good performance against the index
  • the long term increases in sustainable income per unit

As has been noted, the fund has maintained a credit quality equal to or better than the index; outperformance is due to constant exploitation of trading anomalies.

Again, there are no predictions for the future! The fund will continue to trade between issues in an attempt to exploit market gaps in liquidity, in an effort to outperform the index and keep the sustainable income per unit – however calculated! – growing.

MAPF

MAPF Portfolio Composition: June 2009

Trading activity increased in June, with portfolio turnover of about 130%, as the market extended its gains.

Trades were, as ever, triggered by a desire to exploit transient mispricing in the preferred share market (which may the thought of as “selling liquidity”), rather than any particular view being taken on market direction, sectoral performance or credit anticipation.

MAPF Sectoral Analysis 2009-6-30
HIMI Indices Sector Weighting YTW ModDur
Ratchet 0% N/A N/A
FixFloat 0% N/A N/A
Floater 0% N/A N/A
OpRet 0% N/A N/A
SplitShare 10.7% (-0.4) 10.25% 6.99
Interest Rearing 0% N/A N/A
PerpetualPremium 0.0% N/A N/A
PerpetualDiscount 72.2 (+2.4) 6.58% 13.13
Fixed-Reset 11.5% (-1.0) 4.85% 4.28
Scraps (OpRet) 5.6% (-0.6) 11.54% 5.27
Cash +0.1% (-0.5) 0.00% 0.00
Total 100% 7.05% 11.00
Totals and changes will not add precisely due to rounding. Bracketted figures represent change from May month-end. Cash is included in totals with duration and yield both equal to zero.

The “total” reflects the un-leveraged total portfolio (i.e., cash is included in the portfolio calculations and is deemed to have a duration and yield of 0.00.). MAPF will often have relatively large cash balances, both credit and debit, to facilitate trading. Figures presented in the table have been rounded to the indicated precision.

Not much change in the sectoral distribution!

Credit distribution is:

MAPF Credit Analysis 2009-6-30
DBRS Rating Weighting
Pfd-1 0.4% (-40.0)
Pfd-1(low) 67.2% (+43.4)
Pfd-2(high) 13.6% (+4.1)
Pfd-2 0% (0)
Pfd-2(low) 13.2% (-6.5)
Pfd-3(high) 5.6% (-0.6)
Cash +0.1% (-0.5)
Totals will not add precisely due to rounding. Bracketted figures represent change from May month-end.

The dramatic change in reported credit quality is largely due to the DBRS Mass Downgrade of Banks. At month-end, the fund held positions affected by this change summarized as follows:

MAPF Month-End Positions
Affect by DBRS Mass Downgrade
Old
Rating
New
Rating
Fraction of
Portfolio
Pfd-1 Pfd-1(low) 24.4%
Pfd-1 Pfd-2(high) 2.5%

Of the remainder, a significant contributor was a series of trades in the FixedReset sector:

Trades Contributing to
the Shift from Pfd-1 to Pfd-1(low)
June, 2009
Date HSB.PR.E CM.PR.M BMO.PR.O MFC.PR.D
5/29
Bid
26.65 26.68 26.76 26.56
6/3 Sold
26.92
Bought
26.85
   
6/11 Sold
26.93
  Bought
27.02
 
6/25   Sold
26.93
  Bought
26.55
6/30     Sold
27.56
Bought
27.10
6/30
Closing Bid
27.36 27.00 27.44 27.01
Dividends
Ex-Date
0.3762
6/11
0.65445
6/25
   
This is an attempt to show fairly the effect of numerous trades in tabular form. The trades shown are not necessarily precise dollar-for-dollar swaps. Trade details will be released on the main MAPF web page shortly.

The fund does not set any targets for overall credit quality; trades are executed one by one. Variances in overall credit will be constant as opportunistic trades are executed. The overall credit quality of the portfolio is now superior to the credit quality of CPD at August month-end (when adjusted for the downgrades of BCE and the banks).

Claymore provides the following ratings breakdown:

Ratings Breakdown
as of 12/31/08
Pfd-1 61.15%
Pfd-2 23.26%
Pfd-3 15.60%

Two events have occurred since the Dec. 31 calculation date of CPD’s credit quality:

Liquidity Distribution is:

MAPF Liquidity Analysis 2009-6-30
Average Daily Trading Weighting
<$50,000 3.3% (+1.4)
$50,000 – $100,000 22.2% (+3.1)
$100,000 – $200,000 25.9% (-5.7)
$200,000 – $300,000 15.1% (-16.4)
>$300,000 33.5% (+18.0)
Cash +0.1% (-0.5)
Totals will not add precisely due to rounding. Bracketted figures represent change from May month-end.

MAPF is, of course, Malachite Aggressive Preferred Fund, a “unit trust” managed by Hymas Investment Management Inc. Further information and links to performance, audited financials and subscription information are available the fund’s web page. A “unit trust” is like a regular mutual fund, but is sold by offering memorandum rather than prospectus. This is cheaper, but means subscription is restricted to “accredited investors” (as defined by the Ontario Securities Commission) and those who subscribe for $150,000+. Fund past performances are not a guarantee of future performance. You can lose money investing in MAPF or any other fund.

A similar portfolio composition analysis has been performed on The Claymore Preferred Share ETF (symbol CPD) as of August 29. When comparing CPD and MAPF:

  • MAPF credit quality is better
  • MAPF liquidity is similar
  • MAPF Yield is higher
  • Weightings in
    • MAPF is more exposed to PerpetualDiscounts
    • MAPF is much less exposed to Operating Retractibles
    • MAPF is more exposed to SplitShares
    • MAPF is less exposed to FixFloat / Floater / Ratchet
    • MAPF weighting in FixedResets is similar
MAPF

Questions on MAPF and PrefLetter

I received a query today regarding the fund I offer, Malachite Aggressive Preferred Fund, and on PrefLetter, my monthly newsletter recommending preferred share issues of all classes to buy-and-hold retail investors.

A couple of quick questions as I consider your fund or letter:

– How do you balance the pref letter recommendations with with the buying/selling for the fund and any segregated accounts you control?

– Is there enough liquidity in the issues that you recommend or is there price movement soon after you issue the monthly letter?

Balancing Recommendations

PrefLetter is prepared after the close on the second Friday of each month according to the closing quotations and delivered to subscribers prior to the opening on the following Monday. The fact that the market is closed during the preparation of recommendations helps to reduce conflict between the two sets of duties.

Additionally, PrefLetter is oriented towards long term investment, while assets under management are more trading oriented. While there is necessarily a great deal of overlap between the two methods used to rank potential purchases, this overlap is not total. Briefly, PrefLetter is more yield oriented, while discretionary assets are more pricing-discrepency oriented.

Beyond that, I can only offer my integrity. When I do a job for somebody, I do the best job I can.

Sufficient Liquidity

It varies. The turnover in the issues recommended in PrefLetter is about 50% per issue; and those issues losing their status as top-of-the-list have rarely become unwise investments due to price movements or credit changes, they’ve just become less good than the issues chosen to replace them.

While some issues that are dropped might experience their change very shortly after publication, others just slowly drift off the list. Sometimes this is due to trades that other managers are executing on the market … if a manager wants to sell something and his dealer can’t find a counterparty with whom to cross the block, they will sometimes put in an iceberg order to execute it in pieces; that is, there may be a sell order of 100,000 shares entered with the exchange, but only 1,000 shares at a time will show on the board.

These icebergs are generally at attractive prices; the seller may know as well as I do that the issue is cheap to its comparables, but it doesn’t matter to him: he has to sell! Buyers at this attractive price are essentially selling him liquidity, charging him X cents for the service they are doing of taking it off his hands.

And when I make the recommendation, I have no way of knowing whether there ar 99,000 or 1,000 shares left in the total order: that’s the point of an iceberg!

Another technique seen recently is more labour intensive for the seller: there was an issue recommended recently for which there was, for practical purposes, no large offer on the board. However, whenever a limit bid was placed in excess of the seller’s price, he would hit that bid (this might have been an algorithmic trade).

In short, it depends on the vagaries of the market, but recommendations are reasonably stable and I provide alternatives where possible – similar issues from the same issuer – that increase the effective life of each recommendation.