Category: MAPF

MAPF

MAPF Portfolio Composition: December 2009

Turnover declined somewhat in December to about 40%. This is yet another indication that things are slowly returning to normal – although I still think that spreads to bonds are elevated!

Trades were, as ever, triggered by a desire to exploit transient mispricing in the preferred share market (which may the thought of as “selling liquidity”), rather than any particular view being taken on market direction, sectoral performance or credit anticipation.

MAPF Sectoral Analysis 2009-12-31
HIMI Indices Sector Weighting YTW ModDur
Ratchet 0% N/A N/A
FixFloat 0% N/A N/A
Floater 0% N/A N/A
OpRet 0% N/A N/A
SplitShare 4.2% (-0.1) 8.34% 7.05
Interest Rearing 0% N/A N/A
PerpetualPremium 0.0% (-0.5) N/A N/A
PerpetualDiscount 72.7% (+0.1) 5.97% 13.98
Fixed-Reset 16.6% (-1.6) 3.62% 3.89
Scraps (OpRet) 4.6% (+0.1) 9.77% 5.92
Cash 1.9% (+2.1) 0.00% 0.00
Total 100% 5.74% 11.38
Totals and changes will not add precisely due to rounding. Bracketted figures represent change from November month-end. Cash is included in totals with duration and yield both equal to zero.

The “total” reflects the un-leveraged total portfolio (i.e., cash is included in the portfolio calculations and is deemed to have a duration and yield of 0.00.). MAPF will often have relatively large cash balances, both credit and debit, to facilitate trading. Figures presented in the table have been rounded to the indicated precision.

Credit distribution is:

MAPF Credit Analysis 2009-12-31
DBRS Rating Weighting
Pfd-1 0 (0)
Pfd-1(low) 82.5% (+4.2)
Pfd-2(high) 0.1% (-4.8)
Pfd-2 1.1% (-1.3)
Pfd-2(low) 9.7% (-0.4)
Pfd-3(high) 4.6% (-0.1)
Cash +1.9% (+2.1)
Totals will not add precisely due to rounding. Bracketted figures represent change from November month-end.

The decline in holdings of issues rated Pfd-2(high) was due largely to the sale of HSB.PR.E:

MAPF & HSB.PR.E
Date HSB.PR.E NA.PR.P RY.PR.X RY.PR.R CM.PR.L
11/30
Bid
Bid YTW
28.06
4.02%
27.80
3.86%
27.70
3.85%
27.62
3.68%
27.86
3.88%
12/8 Bot More
28.12
Sold
27.99
     
12.23 Sold
28.05
  Bot
27.95
   
12/24 Sold
28.12
    Bot
27.98
 
12/29 Sold
28.15
      Bot
27.88
12/31
Bid
Bid YTW
28.10
3.71%
28.06
3.72%
28.06
3.63%
28.07
3.35%
27.92
3.55%
Dividends 12/11
Earned
0.4125
      12/23
Missed
0.40625
This table attempts to present fairly the larger elements of a series of trades. Full disclosure of the 2009 trades will be made at the time the audited 2009 Financials are published.

Liquidity Distribution is:

MAPF Liquidity Analysis 2009-12-31
Average Daily Trading Weighting
<$50,000 0.0% (0)
$50,000 – $100,000 0.0% (-5.0)
$100,000 – $200,000 18.9% (+12.0)
$200,000 – $300,000 45.1% (-12.8)
>$300,000 34.0% (+3.5)
Cash +1.9% (+2.1)
Totals will not add precisely due to rounding. Bracketted figures represent change from November month-end.

MAPF is, of course, Malachite Aggressive Preferred Fund, a “unit trust” managed by Hymas Investment Management Inc. Further information and links to performance, audited financials and subscription information are available the fund’s web page. A “unit trust” is like a regular mutual fund, but is sold by offering memorandum rather than prospectus. This is cheaper, but means subscription is restricted to “accredited investors” (as defined by the Ontario Securities Commission) and those who subscribe for $150,000+. Fund past performances are not a guarantee of future performance. You can lose money investing in MAPF or any other fund.

A similar portfolio composition analysis has been performed on the Claymore Preferred Share ETF (symbol CPD) as of August 17 and published in the September PrefLetter. When comparing CPD and MAPF:

  • MAPF credit quality is better
  • MAPF liquidity is a little better
  • MAPF Yield is higher
  • Weightings in
    • MAPF is much more exposed to PerpetualDiscounts
    • MAPF is much less exposed to Operating Retractibles
    • MAPF is more exposed to SplitShares
    • MAPF is less exposed to FixFloat / Floater / Ratchet
    • MAPF weighting in FixedResets is much lower
MAPF

MAPF Performance: November 2009

The fund performaned very well in November, helped by its relatively high concentration in PerpetualDiscount issues but assisted by the usually liquidity-inspired trades between issues.

The fund’s Net Asset Value per Unit as of the close November 30 was $12.5153.

Returns to November 30, 2009
Period MAPF Index CPD
according to
Claymore
One Month +3.72% +2.40% +2.19%
Three Months +0.25% -0.52% +0.33%
One Year +91.67% +35.03% +32.54%
Two Years (annualized) +28.27% +3.33% +2.33% *
Three Years (annualized) +16.06% -0.07%  
Four Years (annualized) +13.62% +1.03%  
Five Years (annualized) +12.14% +1.76%  
Six Years (annualized) +12.59% +2.47%  
Seven Years (annualized) +15.00% +3.20%  
Eight Years (annualized) +12.79% +3.12%  
The Index is the BMO-CM “50”
MAPF returns assume reinvestment of dividends, and are shown after expenses but before fees.
CPD Returns are for the NAV and are after all fees and expenses.
* CPD does not directly report its two-year returns. The figure shown is the product of the current one-year return and the similar figure reported for November 2008
Figures for Omega Preferred Equity (which are after all fees and expenses) for 1-, 3- and 12-months are +2.3%, +0.1% and +31.4%, respectively, according to Morningstar after all fees & expenses
Figures for Jov Leon Frazer Preferred Equity Fund (which are after all fees and expenses) for 1-, 3- and 12-months are N/A, N/A & N/A, respectively, according to Morningstar and the Globe and Mail
Figures for AIC Preferred Income Fund (which are after all fees and expenses) for 1-, 3- and 12-months are +1.7%, -0.4% & N/A, respectively

MAPF returns assume reinvestment of dividends, and are shown after expenses but before fees. Past performance is not a guarantee of future performance. You can lose money investing in Malachite Aggressive Preferred Fund or any other fund. For more information, see the fund’s main page.

I am very pleased with the returns over the past year, but implore Assiduous Readers not to project this level of outperformance for the indefinite future. The year in the preferred share market was filled with episodes of panic and euphoria, together with many new entrants who do not appear to know what they are doing; perfect conditions for a disciplined quantitative approach.

Sometimes everything works … sometimes the trading works, but sectoral shifts overwhelm the increment … sometimes nothing works. The fund seeks to earn incremental return by selling liquidity (that is, taking the other side of trades that other market participants are strongly motivated to execute), which can also be referred to as ‘trading noise’. There have been a lot of strongly motivated market participants in the past year, generating a lot of noise! The conditions of the past year may never be repeated in my lifetime … but the fund will simply attempt to make trades when swaps seem profitable, whether that implies monthly turnover of 10% or 100%.

There’s plenty of room for new money left in the fund. Just don’t expect the current level of outperformance every year, OK? While I will continue to exert utmost efforts to outperform, it should be borne in mind that beating the index by 500bp represents a good year, and there will almost inevitably be periods of underperformance in the future.

The yields available on high quality preferred shares remain elevated, which is reflected in the current estimate of sustainable income.

Calculation of MAPF Sustainable Income Per Unit
Month NAVPU Portfolio
Average
YTW
Leverage
Divisor
Securities
Average
YTW
Sustainable
Income
June, 2007 9.3114 5.16% 1.03 5.01% 0.4665
September 9.1489 5.35% 0.98 5.46% 0.4995
December, 2007 9.0070 5.53% 0.942 5.87% 0.5288
March, 2008 8.8512 6.17% 1.047 5.89% 0.5216
June 8.3419 6.034% 0.952 6.338% $0.5287
September 8.1886 7.108% 0.969 7.335% $0.6006
December, 2008 8.0464 9.24% 1.008 9.166% $0.7375
March 2009 $8.8317 8.60% 0.995 8.802% $0.7633
June 10.9846 7.05% 0.999 7.057% $0.7752
September 12.3462 6.03% 0.998 6.042% $0.7460
November 2009 12.5153 5.92% 1.002 5.908% $0.7394
NAVPU is shown after quarterly distributions.
“Portfolio YTW” includes cash (or margin borrowing), with an assumed interest rate of 0.00%
“Securities YTW” divides “Portfolio YTW” by the “Leverage Divisor” to show the average YTW on the securities held; this assumes that the cash is invested in (or raised from) all securities held, in proportion to their holdings.
“Sustainable Income” is the resultant estimate of the fund’s dividend income per unit, before fees and expenses.

As discussed in the post MAPF Portfolio Composition: November 2009, the fund has a position in the high-yielding split-share BNA.PR.C, about half of which was sold during the month in a swap for the slightly lower-yielding PerpetualDiscount BAM.PR.N. Additionally, the fund has a position in the high-yielding Operating Retractible YPG.PR.B. Both BNA.PR.C and YPG.PR.B are scheduled to mature (or to be retracted) in the future, hence the sustainability of sustainable yield calculated while incorporating their contribution is somewhat suspect, as discussed in August, 2008.

Significant positions were also held in Fixed-Reset issues on November 30; all of which currently have their yields calculated with the presumption that they will be called by the issuers at par at the first possible opportunity. This presents another complication in the calculation of sustainable yield.

However, if the entire portfolio except for the PerpetualDiscounts were to be sold and reinvested in these issues, the yield of the portfolio would be the 6.01% shown in the MAPF Portfolio Composition: November 2009 analysis(which is in excess of the 5.90% index yield on November 30). Given such reinvestment, the sustainable yield would be 12.5153 * 0.0601 = 0.7522 a significant increase from the $0.7433 derived by a similar calculation last month.

Different assumptions lead to different results from the calculation, but the overall positive trend is apparent. I’m very pleased with the results! It will be noted that if there was no trading in the portfolio, one would expect the sustainable yield to be constant (before fees and expenses). The success of the fund’s trading is showing up in

  • the very good performance against the index
  • the long term increases in sustainable income per unit

As has been noted, the fund has maintained a credit quality equal to or better than the index; outperformance is due to constant exploitation of trading anomalies.

Again, there are no predictions for the future! The fund will continue to trade between issues in an attempt to exploit market gaps in liquidity, in an effort to outperform the index and keep the sustainable income per unit – however calculated! – growing.

MAPF

MAPF Portfolio Composition: November 2009

Turnover remained steady in November at about 48%. While activity both this month and last has been much lower than normal throughout the Credit Crunch – particularly since the Lehman bankruptcy brought chaos to the market – it at least marks a return to normalcy.

Trades were, as ever, triggered by a desire to exploit transient mispricing in the preferred share market (which may the thought of as “selling liquidity”), rather than any particular view being taken on market direction, sectoral performance or credit anticipation.

MAPF Sectoral Analysis 2009-11-30
HIMI Indices Sector Weighting YTW ModDur
Ratchet 0% N/A N/A
FixFloat 0% N/A N/A
Floater 0% N/A N/A
OpRet 0% N/A N/A
SplitShare 4.3% (-4.6) 7.90% 7.17
Interest Rearing 0% N/A N/A
PerpetualPremium 0.5% (0) 4.74% 0.57
PerpetualDiscount 72.6% (+5.3) 6.01% 13.90
Fixed-Reset 18.2% (+2.9) 3.90% 3.99
Scraps (OpRet) 4.5% (-0.1) 10.70% 5.84
Cash -0.2% (-3.3) 0.00% 0.00
Total 100% 5.92% 11.39
Totals and changes will not add precisely due to rounding. Bracketted figures represent change from October month-end. Cash is included in totals with duration and yield both equal to zero.

The “total” reflects the un-leveraged total portfolio (i.e., cash is included in the portfolio calculations and is deemed to have a duration and yield of 0.00.). MAPF will often have relatively large cash balances, both credit and debit, to facilitate trading. Figures presented in the table have been rounded to the indicated precision.

Of interest during the month was a swap out of BNA.PR.C into BAM.PR.N, at a take-out of approximately $2.00, executed in numerous small pieces. Approximately half of the position was swapped. This is a lazy little swap that goes back and forth from time to time; the last time was reported in August 2008. The format of the trade analysis at that time will be retained:

Post Mortem: BNA.PR.C / BAM.PR.N Swaps
Date BNA.PR.C BAM.PR.N
August 2008
Trade
Bought
17.25
Sold
16.85
November 2009
Trade
Sold
19.55
Bought
17.60
Dividends Earned about 2/3 of August ’08; Nov ’08; Feb, May, Aug & about 2/3 of Nov; Total ~$1.45 Missed Sep & Dec 08; Missed Mar, Jun, Sep 09; Total ~$1.48
The August ’08 trades were executed in pieces that spanned the BNA.PR.C ex-dividend date; dividends were earned on about 2/3 of the final position
The November ’09 trades were executed in pieces that spanned the BNA.PR.C ex-dividend date; dividends were earned on about 2/3 of the final position
This table attempts to present fairly the aggregate effect of a series of trades. Full disclosure of the 2008 trades is available on the Fund’s main page; full disclosure of the 2009 trades will be made at the time the audited 2009 Financials are published.

As can be seen, the swap has proved immensely profitable, but the long time-span of the holding masks a great deal of excitement! When market movements reduced the portfolio weight of BNA.PR.C to a lower than anticipated number, the position was topped up in December 2008 at 8.65.

Credit distribution is:

MAPF Credit Analysis 2009-11-30
DBRS Rating Weighting
Pfd-1 0 (0)
Pfd-1(low) 78.3% (+4.4)
Pfd-2(high) 4.9% (-0.5)
Pfd-2 2.4% (-0.5)
Pfd-2(low) 10.1% (+0.3)
Pfd-3(high) 4.5% (-0.1)
Cash -0.2% (-3.3)
Totals will not add precisely due to rounding. Bracketted figures represent change from October month-end.

Liquidity Distribution is:

MAPF Liquidity Analysis 2009-10-30
Average Daily Trading Weighting
<$50,000 0.0% (0)
$50,000 – $100,000 5.0% (-3.9)
$100,000 – $200,000 6.9% (-2.2)
$200,000 – $300,000 57.9% (+4.1)
>$300,000 30.5% (+6.2)
Cash -0.2% (-3.3)
Totals will not add precisely due to rounding. Bracketted figures represent change from October month-end.

MAPF is, of course, Malachite Aggressive Preferred Fund, a “unit trust” managed by Hymas Investment Management Inc. Further information and links to performance, audited financials and subscription information are available the fund’s web page. A “unit trust” is like a regular mutual fund, but is sold by offering memorandum rather than prospectus. This is cheaper, but means subscription is restricted to “accredited investors” (as defined by the Ontario Securities Commission) and those who subscribe for $150,000+. Fund past performances are not a guarantee of future performance. You can lose money investing in MAPF or any other fund.

A similar portfolio composition analysis has been performed on the Claymore Preferred Share ETF (symbol CPD) as of August 17 and published in the September PrefLetter. When comparing CPD and MAPF:

  • MAPF credit quality is better
  • MAPF liquidity is a little better
  • MAPF Yield is higher
  • Weightings in
    • MAPF is much more exposed to PerpetualDiscounts
    • MAPF is much less exposed to Operating Retractibles
    • MAPF is more exposed to SplitShares
    • MAPF is less exposed to FixFloat / Floater / Ratchet
    • MAPF weighting in FixedResets is much lower
MAPF

MAPF Performance: October, 2009

The fund had sub-par performance in October, affected by its relatively high concentration in PerpetualDiscount issues backed by insurers. However, the month was certainly no disaster, as the fund outperformed DPS.UN and the fund’s trading back and forth between similar issues (see the example in MAPF Portfolio Composition: October 2008) continued to show the value of of selling liquidity.

The fund’s Net Asset Value per Unit as of the close October was $12.0660.

Returns to October 30, 2009
Period MAPF Index CPD
according to
Claymore
One Month -2.27% -1.87% -1.27%
Three Months +3.61% +1.77% +1.20%
One Year +67.71% +17.76% +15.36%
Two Years (annualized) +25.78% +1.69%  
Three Years (annualized) +15.32% -0.57%  
Four Years (annualized) +13.00% +0.81%  
Five Years (annualized) +11.66% +1.44%  
Six Years (annualized) +12.27% +2.13%  
Seven Years (annualized) +14.20% +2.86%  
Eight Years (annualized) +12.16% +2.94%  
The Index is the BMO-CM “50”
MAPF returns assume reinvestment of dividends, and are shown after expenses but before fees.
CPD Returns are for the NAV and are after all fees and expenses.
Figures for Omega Preferred Equity (which are after all fees and expenses) for 1-, 3- and 12-months are -1.4%%, +1.4% and +15.6%, respectively, according to Morningstar after all fees & expenses
Figures for Jov Leon Frazer Preferred Equity Fund (which are after all fees and expenses) for 1-, 3- and 12-months are N/A, N/A & N/A, respectively, according to Morningstar and the Globe and Mail
Figures for AIC Preferred Income Fund (which are after all fees and expenses) for 1-, 3- and 12-months are -1.0%, +0.7% & N/A, respectively

MAPF returns assume reinvestment of dividends, and are shown after expenses but before fees. Past performance is not a guarantee of future performance. You can lose money investing in Malachite Aggressive Preferred Fund or any other fund. For more information, see the fund’s main page.

I am very pleased with the returns over the past year, but implore Assiduous Readers not to project this level of outperformance for the indefinite future. The year in the preferred share market was filled with episodes of panic and euphoria, together with many new entrants who do not appear to know what they are doing; perfect conditions for a disciplined quantitative approach.

Sometimes everything works … sometimes the trading works, but sectoral shifts overwhelm the increment … sometimes nothing works. The fund seeks to earn incremental return by selling liquidity (that is, taking the other side of trades that other market participants are strongly motivated to execute), which can also be referred to as ‘trading noise’. There have been a lot of strongly motivated market participants in the past year, generating a lot of noise! Things won’t always be this good … but for as long as it lasts the fund will attempt to make hay while the sun shines.

There’s plenty of room for new money left in the fund. Just don’t expect the current level of outperformance every year, OK? While I will continue to exert utmost efforts to outperform, it should be borne in mind that beating the index by 500bp represents a good year, and there will almost inevitably be periods of underperformance in the future.

October’s results were impacted by the overweighting in PerpetualDiscounts, as noted earlier. See the post Index Performance: October 2009 for a review of the performance of the different indices; it will be noted that the pre-tax interest-equivalent spread of PerpetualDiscounts over Long Corporates increased to 250bp on October 30 from 215bp on September 30, indicating at the very least that the broader bond market does not share any concerns preferred share investors might have about the future. 250bp is a very large spread, unheard of in the ten years prior to the Credit Crunch, during which the normal range was 100-150bp. In the October edition of PrefLetter, I used some conservative assumptions to demonstrate my belief that 45bp amply covers any excess default risk and that the excess interest-equivalent yield on PerpetualDiscounts covers inflation risk.

The other factor negatively impacting fund performance was the overweighting within the PerpetualDiscount class on insurers. If we look at the change in yields in the sector for the major issuers, we find:

Yield Range Changes
PerpetualDiscounts
October 2009
Issuer Bid-YTW
Range
10/31
Bid-YTW
Range
9/30
Change
(Mid-Mid)
BMO 5.77-96% 5.49-78% +23bp
BNS 5.68-84% 5.46-62% +20bp
CM 5.94-11% 5.76-82% +24bp
GWO 6.07-25% 5.85-93% +27bp
MFC 6.11-14% 5.87-95% +22bp
POW 6.10-39% 5.84-04% +31bp
PWF 5.95-27% 5.77-90% +27bp
RY 5.79-88% 5.47-64% +18bp
SLF 6.08-15% 5.89-02% +16bp
TD 5.77-92% 5.52-72% +23bp

The difference between the two classes of issuer was much smaller in October than it was in September, but is still there. Throughout the month the fund largely maintained its weightings to MFC, SLF and the GWO/PWF/POW group, although there was a certain amount of intra-issuer trading.

The yields available on high quality preferred shares remain elevated, which is reflected in the current estimate of sustainable income.

Calculation of MAPF Sustainable Income Per Unit
Month NAVPU Portfolio
Average
YTW
Leverage
Divisor
Securities
Average
YTW
Sustainable
Income
June, 2007 9.3114 5.16% 1.03 5.01% 0.4665
September 9.1489 5.35% 0.98 5.46% 0.4995
December, 2007 9.0070 5.53% 0.942 5.87% 0.5288
March, 2008 8.8512 6.17% 1.047 5.89% 0.5216
June 8.3419 6.034% 0.952 6.338% $0.5287
September 8.1886 7.108% 0.969 7.335% $0.6006
December, 2008 8.0464 9.24% 1.008 9.166% $0.7375
March 2009 $8.8317 8.60% 0.995 8.802% $0.7633
June 10.9846 7.05% 0.999 7.057% $0.7752
September 12.3462 6.03% 0.998 6.042% $0.7460
October 2009 12.0660 6.06% 0.969 6.254% $0.7546
NAVPU is shown after quarterly distributions.
“Portfolio YTW” includes cash (or margin borrowing), with an assumed interest rate of 0.00%
“Securities YTW” divides “Portfolio YTW” by the “Leverage Divisor” to show the average YTW on the securities held; this assumes that the cash is invested in (or raised from) all securities held, in proportion to their holdings.
“Sustainable Income” is the resultant estimate of the fund’s dividend income per unit, before fees and expenses.

As discussed in the post MAPF Portfolio Composition: September 2009, the fund has positions in splitShares (almost all BNA.PR.C) and an operating retractible (YPG.PR.B), both of which have high yields that are not sustainable: at some point they will be called or mature (or default!) and the funds will have to be reinvested. Therefore, both of these positions skew the calculation upwards.. Since the yield on these positions is higher than that of the perpetuals despite the fact that the term is limited, the sustainability of the calculated “sustainable yield” is suspect, as discussed in August, 2008.

Significant positions were also held in Fixed-Reset issues on October 30; all of which currently have their yields calculated with the presumption that they will be called by the issuers at par at the first possible opportunity. This presents another complication in the calculation of sustainable yield.

However, if the entire portfolio except for the PerpetualDiscounts were to be sold and reinvested in these issues, the yield of the portfolio would be the 6.16% shown in the October 30 Portfolio Composition analysis (which is in excess of the 6.04% index yield on October 30). Given such reinvestment, the sustainable yield would be 12.0660 * 0.0616 = 0.7433, a significant increase from the $0.7297 derived by a similar calculation last month.

Different assumptions lead to different results from the calculation, but the overall positive trend is apparent. I’m very pleased with the results! It will be noted that if there was no trading in the portfolio, one would expect the sustainable yield to be constant (before fees and expenses). The success of the fund’s trading is showing up in

  • the very good performance against the index
  • the long term increases in sustainable income per unit

As has been noted, the fund has maintained a credit quality equal to or better than the index; outperformance is due to constant exploitation of trading anomalies.

Again, there are no predictions for the future! The fund will continue to trade between issues in an attempt to exploit market gaps in liquidity, in an effort to outperform the index and keep the sustainable income per unit – however calculated! – growing.

MAPF

MAPF Portfolio Composition: October 2009

Turnover slowed markedly in October to about 46%. This is the lowest monthly turnover in 2009 and about one-third of this year’s peak in February – the waves of alternating panic and euphoria are declining!

Trades were, as ever, triggered by a desire to exploit transient mispricing in the preferred share market (which may the thought of as “selling liquidity”), rather than any particular view being taken on market direction, sectoral performance or credit anticipation.

MAPF Sectoral Analysis 2009-10-30
HIMI Indices Sector Weighting YTW ModDur
Ratchet 0% N/A N/A
FixFloat 0% N/A N/A
Floater 0% N/A N/A
OpRet 0% N/A N/A
SplitShare 8.9% (-1.0) 8.09%% 7.14
Interest Rearing 0% N/A N/A
PerpetualPremium 0.5% (-0.1) 6.10% 13.65
PerpetualDiscount 67.3% (-0.2) 6.16% 13.66
Fixed-Reset 15.3% (-1.5) 4.25% 3.96
Scraps (OpRet) 4.6% (-0.5) 10.91% 5.91
Cash 3.1% (+2.9) 0.00% 0.00
Total 100% 6.06% 10.81
Totals and changes will not add precisely due to rounding. Bracketted figures represent change from September month-end. Cash is included in totals with duration and yield both equal to zero.

The “total” reflects the un-leveraged total portfolio (i.e., cash is included in the portfolio calculations and is deemed to have a duration and yield of 0.00.). MAPF will often have relatively large cash balances, both credit and debit, to facilitate trading. Figures presented in the table have been rounded to the indicated precision.

Virtually all trades during the month were intra-sector; that is, there were no major moves back and forth between sectors.

Credit distribution is:

MAPF Credit Analysis 2009-10-30
DBRS Rating Weighting
Pfd-1 0 (0)
Pfd-1(low) 73.9% (+1.1)
Pfd-2(high) 5.4% (-5.1)
Pfd-2 2.9% (+1.3)
Pfd-2(low) 9.8% (-0.1)
Pfd-3(high) 4.6% (-0.5)
Cash +3.1% (+2.9)
Totals will not add precisely due to rounding. Bracketted figures represent change from September month-end.

The decline in Pfd-2(high) holdings is mainly due to selling of HSB.PR.E:

Trades affecting MAPF holdings of HSB.PR.E
October, 2009
Date HSB.PR.E RY.PR.R NA.PR.P RY.PR.P
9/30
(Bid)
27.50 27.76 27.60 27.61
10/1 Sold
27.665
  Bot
27.66
 
10/14 Sold
27.508
    Bot
27.44
10/21 Bot
27.30
  Sold
27.60
 
10/23 Sold
27.54
Bot
27.04
   
10/26 Sold
27.59
Bot
27.00
   
10/30
(Bid)
27.40 26.93 27.42 26.86
Dividends   Missed
0.39
10/22
Earned
$0.41
10/7
Earned
0.39
10/22
Note: This table represents an extract from the trades actually executed. It represents an attempt to show fairly the major trades influencing the change in fund credit quality during October. Swaps shown were not necessarily executed on a 1:1 basis. Full disclosure of trades actually executed will be made simultaneously with the release of the fund’s audited financial statements for 2009.

Note that the swap from RY.PR.R to HSB.PR.E was discussed in the September composition report: that swap was executed at approximately even price, while earning the September dividend on HSB.PR.E of $0.4125. I’d say the round-trip worked out rather well!

Liquidity Distribution is:

MAPF Liquidity Analysis 2009-10-30
Average Daily Trading Weighting
<$50,000 0.0% (0)
$50,000 – $100,000 8.9% (-1.6)
$100,000 – $200,000 9.1% (+9.0)
$200,000 – $300,000 53.8% (+3.6)
>$300,000 24.3% (-14.8)
Cash +3.1% (+2.9)
Totals will not add precisely due to rounding. Bracketted figures represent change from September month-end.

MAPF is, of course, Malachite Aggressive Preferred Fund, a “unit trust” managed by Hymas Investment Management Inc. Further information and links to performance, audited financials and subscription information are available the fund’s web page. A “unit trust” is like a regular mutual fund, but is sold by offering memorandum rather than prospectus. This is cheaper, but means subscription is restricted to “accredited investors” (as defined by the Ontario Securities Commission) and those who subscribe for $150,000+. Fund past performances are not a guarantee of future performance. You can lose money investing in MAPF or any other fund.

A similar portfolio composition analysis has been performed on the Claymore Preferred Share ETF (symbol CPD) as of August 17. When comparing CPD and MAPF:

  • MAPF credit quality is better
  • MAPF liquidity is a little better
  • MAPF Yield is higher
  • Weightings in
    • MAPF is much more exposed to PerpetualDiscounts
    • MAPF is much less exposed to Operating Retractibles
    • MAPF is more exposed to SplitShares
    • MAPF is less exposed to FixFloat / Floater / Ratchet
    • MAPF weighting in FixedResets is much lower
MAPF

MAPF Performance: September 2009

The fund’s long monthly winning streak against the index ground to a halt in September, as the fund underperformed – albeit by a very small amount. As noted in the post Index Performance: September 2009, PerpetualDiscounts eased off after their long run-up; the fund is overweighted in this sector (see MAPF Portfolio Composition: September 2009 and some very nice tactical trades were not enough to overcome the overall market move … this time!

The fund’s Net Asset Value per Unit as of the close September was $12.3462 after a dividend distribution of $0.183304.

Returns to September 30, 2009
Period MAPF Index CPD
according to
Claymore
One Month -1.10% -1.00% -0.57%
Three Months +14.06% +8.34% +5.94%
One Year +61.88% +10.21% +8.41%
Two Years (annualized) +24.84% +1.44%  
Three Years (annualized) +16.39% +0.27%  
Four Years (annualized) +13.69% +1.20%  
Five Years (annualized) +12.34% +1.99%  
Six Years (annualized) +12.86% +2.49%  
Seven Years (annualized) +15.40% +3,15%  
Eight Years (annualized) +12.66% +3.17%  
The Index is the BMO-CM “50”
MAPF returns assume reinvestment of dividends, and are shown after expenses but before fees.
CPD Returns are for the NAV and are after all fees and expenses.
Figures for Omega Preferred Equity (which are after all fees and expenses) for 1-, 3- and 12-months are -0.7%, +7.2% and +8.5%, respectively, according to Morningstar after all fees & expenses
Figures for Jov Leon Frazer Preferred Equity Fund (which are after all fees and expenses) for 1-, 3- and 12-months are N/A, N/A & N/A, respectively, according to Morningstar and the Globe and Mail
Figures for AIC Preferred Income Fund (which are after all fees and expenses) for 1-, 3- and 12-months are -1.0%, +4.3% & N/A, respectively

MAPF returns assume reinvestment of dividends, and are shown after expenses but before fees. Past performance is not a guarantee of future performance. You can lose money investing in Malachite Aggressive Preferred Fund or any other fund. For more information, see the fund’s main page.

I am very pleased with the returns over the recent past, but implore Assiduous Readers not to project this level of outperformance for the indefinite future. The past year in the preferred share market has been filled with episodes of panic and euphoria, together with many new entrants who do not appear to know what they are doing; perfect conditions for a disciplined quantitative approach.

All I can say about the fund’s relative returns in the past year is … sometimes everything works. The fund seeks to earn incremental return by selling liquidity (that is, taking the other side of trades that other market participants are strongly motivated to execute), which can also be referred to as ‘trading noise’. There have been a lot of strongly motivated market participants in the past year, generating a lot of noise! Things won’t always be this good … but for as long as it lasts the fund will attempt to make hay while the sun shines.

There’s plenty of room for new money left in the fund. Just don’t expect the current level of outperformance every year, OK? While I will continue to exert utmost efforts to outperform, it should be borne in mind that beating the index by 500bp represents a good year, and there will almost inevitably be periods of underperformance in the future.

September’s results were impacted by the overweighting in PerpetualDiscounts, as noted earlier, and by the fact that holdings within this sector were overweighted in insurers. If we look at the change in yields in the sector for the major issuers, we find:

Yield Range Changes
PerpetualDiscounts
September 2009
Issuer Bid-YTW
Range
8/31
Bid-YTW
Range
9/30
Change
(Mid-Mid)
BMO 5.39-58% 5.49-78% +15bp
BNS 5.50-56% 5.46-62% +1bp
CM 5.65-84% 5.76-82% +4bp
GWO 5.62-65% 5.85-93% +25bp
MFC 5.66-76% 5.87-95% +20bp
POW 5.85-97% 5.84-04% +3bp
PWF 5.70-89% 5.77-90% +4bp
RY 5.43-52% 5.47-64% +8bp
SLF 5.64-72% 5.89-02% +28bp
TD 5.41-66% 5.52-72% +8bp

The fund held substantial positions in MFC and SLF PerpetualDiscounts on 8/31, with a lesser holding in GWO. During the month, the position in GWO was increased. The loss due to the decline in SLF issues was mitigated by trading opportunities arising from its disorderly nature:

Trading in SLF Issues
September 2009
(Simplified Extract)
Date SLF.PR.A SLF.PR.B SLF.PR.C SLF.PR.D SLF.PR.E
8/31
Bid
20.80 21.27 19.75 19.70 19.69
9/29 Sold
20.42
Sold
20.65
Bot
18.86
  Bot
18.97
9/30
Trades
Sold
20.31
    Bot
18.71
 
9/30
Closing
Bid
20.30 20.35 18.63 18.65 18.87

Trades such as the above helped mitigate the overall market moves; over time, it is trades such as the above (and those shown in this month’s composition report) that have allowed the fund to outperform its index while remaining fully invested.

The yields available on high quality preferred shares remain elevated, which is reflected in the current estimate of sustainable income.

Calculation of MAPF Sustainable Income Per Unit
Month NAVPU Portfolio
Average
YTW
Leverage
Divisor
Securities
Average
YTW
Sustainable
Income
June, 2007 9.3114 5.16% 1.03 5.01% 0.4665
September 9.1489 5.35% 0.98 5.46% 0.4995
December, 2007 9.0070 5.53% 0.942 5.87% 0.5288
March, 2008 8.8512 6.17% 1.047 5.89% 0.5216
June 8.3419 6.034% 0.952 6.338% $0.5287
September 8.1886 7.108% 0.969 7.335% $0.6006
December, 2008 8.0464 9.24% 1.008 9.166% $0.7375
March 2009 $8.8317 8.60% 0.995 8.802% $0.7633
June 10.9846 7.05% 0.999 7.057% $0.7752
September 2009 12.3462 6.03% 0.998 6.042% $0.7460
NAVPU is shown after quarterly distributions.
“Portfolio YTW” includes cash (or margin borrowing), with an assumed interest rate of 0.00%
“Securities YTW” divides “Portfolio YTW” by the “Leverage Divisor” to show the average YTW on the securities held; this assumes that the cash is invested in (or raised from) all securities held, in proportion to their holdings.
“Sustainable Income” is the resultant estimate of the fund’s dividend income per unit, before fees and expenses.

As discussed in the post MAPF Portfolio Composition: August 2009, the fund has positions in splitShares (almost all BNA.PR.C) and an operating retractible (YPG.PR.B), both of which have high yields that are not sustainable: at some point they will be called or mature and the funds will have to be reinvested. Therefore, both of these positions skew the calculation upwards.. Since the yield on these positions is higher than that of the perpetuals despite the fact that the term is limited, the sustainability of the calculated “sustainable yield” is suspect, as discussed in August, 2008.

Significant positions were also held in Fixed-Reset issues on September 30; all of which currently have their yields calculated with the presumption that they will be called by the issuers at par at the first possible opportunity. It is the increase in exposure to the lower-yielding Fixed-Reset class that accounts for the apparent stall in the increase of sustainable income per unit in the past seven months. In December 2008, FixedReset exposure was zero; it is now 16.8%. Exposure to the extraordinarily high-yielding SplitShare class has also been reduced since December due to credit concerns.

However, if the entire portfolio except for the PerpetualDiscounts were to be sold and reinvested in these issues, the yield of the portfolio would be the 5.91% shown in the September 30 Portfolio Composition analysis (which is in excess of the 5.77% index yield on September 30). Given such reinvestment, the sustainable yield would be 12.3462 * 0.0591 = 0.7297, an increase from the $0.7234 derived by a similar calculation last month.

Different assumptions lead to different results from the calculation, but the overall positive trend is apparent. I’m very pleased with the results! It will be noted that if there was no trading in the portfolio, one would expect the sustainable yield to be constant (before fees and expenses). The success of the fund’s trading is showing up in

  • the very good performance against the index
  • the long term increases in sustainable income per unit

As has been noted, the fund has maintained a credit quality equal to or better than the index; outperformance is due to constant exploitation of trading anomalies.

Again, there are no predictions for the future! The fund will continue to trade between issues in an attempt to exploit market gaps in liquidity, in an effort to outperform the index and keep the sustainable income per unit – however calculated! – growing.

MAPF

MAPF Portfolio Composition: September 2009

Turnover was steady in September at about 65%.

Trades were, as ever, triggered by a desire to exploit transient mispricing in the preferred share market (which may the thought of as “selling liquidity”), rather than any particular view being taken on market direction, sectoral performance or credit anticipation.

MAPF Sectoral Analysis 2009-9-30
HIMI Indices Sector Weighting YTW ModDur
Ratchet 0% N/A N/A
FixFloat 0% N/A N/A
Floater 0% N/A N/A
OpRet 0% N/A N/A
SplitShare 9.9% (-0.5) 7.80%% 7.25
Interest Rearing 0% N/A N/A
PerpetualPremium 0.6% (-0.3) 5.60% 2.51
PerpetualDiscount 67.5% (+0.3) 5.91% 14.07
Fixed-Reset 16.8% (-0.6) 4.25% 4.14
Scraps (OpRet) 5.1% (-0.1) 10.40% 6.03
Cash 0.2% (+1.0) 0.00% 0.00
Total 100% 6.03% 11.23
Totals and changes will not add precisely due to rounding. Bracketted figures represent change from August month-end. Cash is included in totals with duration and yield both equal to zero.

The “total” reflects the un-leveraged total portfolio (i.e., cash is included in the portfolio calculations and is deemed to have a duration and yield of 0.00.). MAPF will often have relatively large cash balances, both credit and debit, to facilitate trading. Figures presented in the table have been rounded to the indicated precision.

Virtually all trades during the month were intra-sector; that is, there were no noticable moves back and forth between sectors.

Credit distribution is:

MAPF Credit Analysis 2009-9-30
DBRS Rating Weighting
Pfd-1 0 (0)
Pfd-1(low) 72.8% (-7.8)
Pfd-2(high) 10.5% (+6.7)
Pfd-2 1.6% (+0.3)
Pfd-2(low) 9.9% (-0.2)
Pfd-3(high) 5.1% (-0.1)
Cash +0.2% (+1.0)
Totals will not add precisely due to rounding. Bracketted figures represent change from August month-end.

Credit quality has declined somewhat (while remaining well in excess of the index average) due largely to the following sequence of trades:

Major Trades Affecting Pfd-1(low)/Pfd-2(high) proportions
Date HSB.PR.E TD.PR.K RY.PR.R
8/31
Closing
Bid
27.91 27.77 27.60
9/3 Bot
27.77
  Sold
27.72
9/16 Sold
27.92
Bot
27.52
 
9/30 Bot
27.46
Sold
27.80
 
9/30
Closing
Bid
27.50 27.81 27.76
Dividends 9/11
0.4125
   
Note: This table represents an extract from the trades actually executed. It represents an attempt to show fairly the major trades influencing the change in fund credit quality during September. Swaps shown were not necessarily executed on a 1:1 basis. Full disclosure of trades actually executed will be made simultaneously with the release of the fund’s audited financial statements for 2009.

Liquidity Distribution is:

MAPF Liquidity Analysis 2009-9-30
Average Daily Trading Weighting
<$50,000 0.0% (-0.3)
$50,000 – $100,000 10.5% (-4.4)
$100,000 – $200,000 0.1% (-2.4)
$200,000 – $300,000 50.2% (+12.5)
>$300,000 39.1% (-6.5)
Cash +0.2% (+1.0)
Totals will not add precisely due to rounding. Bracketted figures represent change from August month-end.

MAPF is, of course, Malachite Aggressive Preferred Fund, a “unit trust” managed by Hymas Investment Management Inc. Further information and links to performance, audited financials and subscription information are available the fund’s web page. A “unit trust” is like a regular mutual fund, but is sold by offering memorandum rather than prospectus. This is cheaper, but means subscription is restricted to “accredited investors” (as defined by the Ontario Securities Commission) and those who subscribe for $150,000+. Fund past performances are not a guarantee of future performance. You can lose money investing in MAPF or any other fund.

A similar portfolio composition analysis has been performed on the Claymore Preferred Share ETF (symbol CPD) as of August 17. When comparing CPD and MAPF:

  • MAPF credit quality is better
  • MAPF liquidity is a little better
  • MAPF Yield is higher
  • Weightings in
    • MAPF is much more exposed to PerpetualDiscounts
    • MAPF is much less exposed to Operating Retractibles
    • MAPF is more exposed to SplitShares
    • MAPF is less exposed to FixFloat / Floater / Ratchet
    • MAPF weighting in FixedResets is much lower
MAPF

MAPF Performance: August 2009

The fund performed well as the preferred share recovery now looks pretty solid. As noted in the report of Index Performance, August 2009, PerpetualDiscounts posted very strong gains over the month, while FixedResets managed to outperform their currently very low expectations.

The fund’s performance was helped by its overweighting in PerpetualDiscount issues, as shown in the post MAPF Portfolio Composition, but managed to outperform even the pure measure of PerpetualDiscount total return due to security selection and frequent trading. This has been accomplished while remaining fully invested in a portfolio with an overall composition that did not change much through the month – which is exactly what I seek to accomplish in managing the fund.

The fund’s Net Asset Value per Unit as of the close August 31 was $12.6695.

Returns to August 31, 2009
Period MAPF Index CPD
according to
Claymore
One Month +7.20% +4.76% +3.08%
Three Months +21.02% +11.18% +8.01%
One Year +58.57% +8.45% +5.88%
Two Years (annualized) +25.09% +1.26%  
Three Years (annualized) +17.39% +0.97%  
Four Years (annualized) +14.41% +1.63%  
Five Years (annualized) +12.79% +2.29%  
Six Years (annualized) +13.65% +2.89%  
Seven Years (annualized) +14.31% +3,38%  
Eight Years (annualized) +13.39% +3.37%  
The Index is the BMO-CM “50”
MAPF returns assume reinvestment of dividends, and are shown after expenses but before fees.
CPD Returns are for the NAV and are after all fees and expenses.
Figures for Omega Preferred Equity (which are after all fees and expenses) for 1-, 3- and 12-months are +3.6%, +10.1% and +6.0%, respectively, according to Morningstar after all fees & expenses
Figures for Jov Leon Frazer Preferred Equity Fund (which are after all fees and expenses) for 1-, 3- and 12-months are N/A, N/A & N/A, respectively, according to Morningstar and the Globe and Mail
Figures for AIC Preferred Income Fund (which are after all fees and expenses) for 1-, 3- and 12-months are +2.8%, +6.2% & N/A, respectively

MAPF returns assume reinvestment of dividends, and are shown after expenses but before fees. Past performance is not a guarantee of future performance. You can lose money investing in Malachite Aggressive Preferred Fund or any other fund. For more information, see the fund’s main page.

I am very pleased with the returns, but implore Assiduous Readers not to project this level of outperformance for the indefinite future. The past year in the preferred share market has been filled with episodes of panic and euphoria, together with many new entrants who do not appear to know what they are doing; perfect conditions for a disciplined quantitative approach.

All I can say about the fund’s relative returns in the past year is … sometimes everything works. The fund seeks to earn incremental return by selling liquidity (that is, taking the other side of trades that other market participants are strongly motivated to execute), which can also be referred to as ‘trading noise’. There have been a lot of strongly motivated market participants in the past year, generating a lot of noise! Things won’t always be this good … but for as long as it lasts the fund will attempt to make hay while the sun shines.

There’s plenty of room for new money left in the fund. Just don’t expect the current level of outperformance every year, OK? While I will continue to exert utmost efforts to outperform, it should be borne in mind that beating the index by 500bp represents a good year, and there will almost inevitably be periods of underperformance in the future.

The yields available on high quality preferred shares remain elevated, which is reflected in the current estimate of sustainable income.

Calculation of MAPF Sustainable Income Per Unit
Month NAVPU Portfolio
Average
YTW
Leverage
Divisor
Securities
Average
YTW
Sustainable
Income
June, 2007 9.3114 5.16% 1.03 5.01% 0.4665
September 9.1489 5.35% 0.98 5.46% 0.4995
December, 2007 9.0070 5.53% 0.942 5.87% 0.5288
March, 2008 8.8512 6.17% 1.047 5.89% 0.5216
June 8.3419 6.034% 0.952 6.338% $0.5287
September 8.1886 7.108% 0.969 7.335% $0.6006
December, 2008 8.0464 9.24% 1.008 9.166% $0.7375
March 2009 $8.8317 8.60% 0.995 8.802% $0.7633
June 10.9846 7.05% 0.999 7.057% $0.7752
August 2009 12.6695 5.85% 1.008 5.804% $0.7353
NAVPU is shown after quarterly distributions.
“Portfolio YTW” includes cash (or margin borrowing), with an assumed interest rate of 0.00%
“Securities YTW” divides “Portfolio YTW” by the “Leverage Divisor” to show the average YTW on the securities held; this assumes that the cash is invested in (or raised from) all securities held, in proportion to their holdings.
“Sustainable Income” is the resultant estimate of the fund’s dividend income per unit, before fees and expenses.

As discussed in the post MAPF Portfolio Composition: August 2009, the fund has positions in splitShares (almost all BNA.PR.C) and an operating retractible (YPG.PR.B), both of which have high yields that are not sustainable: at some point they will be called or mature and the funds will have to be reinvested. Therefore, both of these positions skew the calculation upwards.. Since the yield on these positions is higher than that of the perpetuals despite the fact that the term is limited, the sustainability of the calculated “sustainable yield” is suspect, as discussed in August, 2008.

Significant positions were also held in Fixed-Reset issues on August 31; all of which currently have their yields calculated with the presumption that they will be called by the issuers at par at the first possible opportunity. It is the increase in exposure to the lower-yielding Fixed-Reset class that accounts for the apparent stall in the increase of sustainable income per unit in the past seven months. In December 2008, FixedReset exposure was zero; it is now 17.4%. Exposure to the extraordinarily high-yielding SplitShare class has also been reduced since December due to credit concerns.

However, if the entire portfolio except for the PerpetualDiscounts were to be sold and reinvested in these issues, the yield of the portfolio would be the 5.71% shown in the August 31 Portfolio Composition analysis (which is slightly in excess of the 5.66% index yield on August 31). Given such reinvestment, the sustainable yield would be 12.6695 * 0.0571 = 0.7234, a slight decrease from the $0.7256 derived by a similar calculation last month.

The decrease may be attributed to the slight portfolio shift into FixedResets, which did not have such extraordinarily good performance as the PerpetualDiscounts and also yield less going forward.

Different assumptions lead to different results from the calculation, but the overall positive trend is apparent. I’m very pleased with the results! It will be noted that if there was no trading in the portfolio, one would expect the sustainable yield to be constant (before fees and expenses). The success of the fund’s trading is showing up in

  • the very good performance against the index
  • the long term increases in sustainable income per unit

As has been noted, the fund has maintained a credit quality equal to or better than the index; outperformance is due to constant exploitation of trading anomalies.

Again, there are no predictions for the future! The fund will continue to trade between issues in an attempt to exploit market gaps in liquidity, in an effort to outperform the index and keep the sustainable income per unit – however calculated! – growing.

MAPF

MAPF Portfolio Composition: August 2009

Turnover slowed markedly in August to a little under 60%. This was both a normal summer slowdown and the effect of a sharply rising market in PerpetualDiscounts, which often has the effect of lifting all boats equally.

Trades were, as ever, triggered by a desire to exploit transient mispricing in the preferred share market (which may the thought of as “selling liquidity”), rather than any particular view being taken on market direction, sectoral performance or credit anticipation.

MAPF Sectoral Analysis 2009-8-31
HIMI Indices Sector Weighting YTW ModDur
Ratchet 0% N/A N/A
FixFloat 0% N/A N/A
Floater 0% N/A N/A
OpRet 0% N/A N/A
SplitShare 10.4% (+0.3) 7.58%% 7.12
Interest Rearing 0% N/A N/A
PerpetualPremium 0.9% (+0.3) 3.4% 1.76
PerpetualDiscount 67.2% (-4.7) 5.71% 14.40
Fixed-Reset 17.4% (+6.1) 4.03% 4.12
Scraps (OpRet) 5.2% (0) 10.71% 5.98
Cash -0.8% (-1.5) 0.00% 0.00
Total 100% 5.85% 11.45
Totals and changes will not add precisely due to rounding. Bracketted figures represent change from July month-end. Cash is included in totals with duration and yield both equal to zero.

The “total” reflects the un-leveraged total portfolio (i.e., cash is included in the portfolio calculations and is deemed to have a duration and yield of 0.00.). MAPF will often have relatively large cash balances, both credit and debit, to facilitate trading. Figures presented in the table have been rounded to the indicated precision.

The small change in the sectoral distribution was due to some scrappy trades generated by the rapid increase in price of PerpetualDiscounts. In addition to changing yield relationships, this price rise was sufficient to cause the issuer’s redemption option to have an effect on valuation.

Trades Contributing to
the Shift from PerpetualDiscount to FixedReset
August, 2009
Date PWF.PR.F NA.PR.O TD.PR.I RY.PR.R
7/31
Bid
21.20 27.64 27.53 27.47
8/17 Sold
23.10
Bought
27.92
   
8/21   Sold
28.00
Bought
27.75
 
8/25   Sold
27.80
Sold
27.63
Bought
27.50
8/31
Closing Bid
22.93 27.81 27.75 27.60
Dividends
Ex-Date
       
This is an attempt to show fairly the effect of numerous trades in tabular form. The trades shown are not necessarily precise dollar-for-dollar swaps. Trade details will be released on the main MAPF web page in the future.

This is not the most immediately successful sequence of trades reported for MAPF, but it’s hardly a disaster! All I can do is trade the odds and recognize that not every trade will work out.

Credit distribution is:

MAPF Credit Analysis 2009-8-31
DBRS Rating Weighting
Pfd-1 0 (-0.3)
Pfd-1(low) 80.6% (-0.9)
Pfd-2(high) 3.8% (+1.8)
Pfd-2 1.3% (+1.0)
Pfd-2(low) 10.1% (+0.3)
Pfd-3(high) 5.2% (0)
Cash -0.8% (-1.5)
Totals will not add precisely due to rounding. Bracketted figures represent change from July month-end.

So credit quality is essentiall unchanged, while liquidity has improved somewhat:

Liquidity Distribution is:

MAPF Liquidity Analysis 2009-8-31
Average Daily Trading Weighting
<$50,000 0.3% (0)
$50,000 – $100,000 14.9% (+3.7)
$100,000 – $200,000 2.5% (-3.3)
$200,000 – $300,000 37.7% (-11.9)
>$300,000 45.6% (+13.7)
Cash -0.8% (-1.5)
Totals will not add precisely due to rounding. Bracketted figures represent change from June month-end.

MAPF is, of course, Malachite Aggressive Preferred Fund, a “unit trust” managed by Hymas Investment Management Inc. Further information and links to performance, audited financials and subscription information are available the fund’s web page. A “unit trust” is like a regular mutual fund, but is sold by offering memorandum rather than prospectus. This is cheaper, but means subscription is restricted to “accredited investors” (as defined by the Ontario Securities Commission) and those who subscribe for $150,000+. Fund past performances are not a guarantee of future performance. You can lose money investing in MAPF or any other fund.

A similar portfolio composition analysis has been performed on the Claymore Preferred Share ETF (symbol CPD) as of August 17. When comparing CPD and MAPF:

  • MAPF credit quality is better
  • MAPF liquidity is a little better
  • MAPF Yield is higher
  • Weightings in
    • MAPF is much more exposed to PerpetualDiscounts
    • MAPF is much less exposed to Operating Retractibles
    • MAPF is more exposed to SplitShares
    • MAPF is less exposed to FixFloat / Floater / Ratchet
    • MAPF weighting in FixedResets is much lower
MAPF

MAPF Performance: July 2009

The fund performed well as the preferred share recovery now looks pretty solid. As noted in the report of Index Performance, July 2009, both the FixedReset and PerpetualDiscount posted strong gains, particularly in the latter half of the month following the TXPR Revision.

The fund’s performance was helped by its overweighting in PerpetualDiscount issues, as discussed in the post MAPF Portfolio Composition, but managed to outperform even the pure measure of PerpetualDiscount total return due to security selection and frequent trading. This has been accomplished while remaining fully invested in a portfolio with an overall composition that did not change much through the month – which is exactly what I seek to accomplish in managing the fund.

The fund’s Net Asset Value per Unit as of the close July 31 was $11.8181.

Returns to July 31, 2009
Period MAPF Index CPD
according to
Claymore
One Month +7.59% +4.46% +3.35%
Three Months +21.95% +11.49% +8.96%
One Year +56.59% +6.50% +5.24%
Two Years (annualized) +20.61% -0.79%  
Three Years (annualized) +15.38% -0.30%  
Four Years (annualized) +12.58% +0.54%  
Five Years (annualized) +11.51% ++1.43%  
Six Years (annualized) +12.76% +2.16%  
Seven Years (annualized) +12.85% +2.75%  
Eight Years (annualized) +12.65% +2.91%  
The Index is the BMO-CM “50”
MAPF returns assume reinvestment of dividends, and are shown after expenses but before fees.
CPD Returns are for the NAV and are after all fees and expenses.
Figures for Omega Preferred Equity (which are after all fees and expenses) for 1-, 3- and 12-months are +4.2%, +10.5% and +4.9%, respectively, according to Morningstar after all fees & expenses
Figures for Jov Leon Frazer Preferred Equity Fund (which are after all fees and expenses) for 1-, 3- and 12-months are N/A, N/A & N/A, respectively, according to Morningstar and the Globe and Mail
Figures for AIC Preferred Income Fund (which are after all fees and expenses) for 1-, 3- and 12-months are +2.5%, +4.1% & N/A, respectively

MAPF returns assume reinvestment of dividends, and are shown after expenses but before fees. Past performance is not a guarantee of future performance. You can lose money investing in Malachite Aggressive Preferred Fund or any other fund. For more information, see the fund’s main page.

I am very pleased with the returns, but implore Assiduous Readers not to project this level of outperformance for the indefinite future. The past year in the preferred share market has been filled with episodes of panic and euphoria, together with many new entrants who do not appear to know what they are doing; perfect conditions for a disciplined quantitative approach.

All I can say about the fund’s relative returns in the past year is … sometimes everything works. The fund seeks to earn incremental return by selling liquidity (that is, taking the other side of trades that other market participants are strongly motivated to execute), which can also be referred to as ‘trading noise’. There have been a lot of strongly motivated market participants in the past year, generating a lot of noise! Things won’t always be this good … but for as long as it lasts the fund will attempt to make hay while the sun shines.

A good example of “selling liquidity” is the fund’s accumulation of a position in SLF.PR.B during the month.

Trades Contributing to
the Accumulation of SLF.PR.B
July, 2009
Date SLF.PR.C SLF.PR.E SLF.PR.B
6/30
Bid
16.76 17.03 18.46
7/20 Sold
17.61
  Bought
18.65
7/22 Sold
18.06
  Bought
18.98
7/23 Sold
18.25
Sold
18.87
Bought
19.00
7/31
Closing Bid
18.31 18.51 19.52
Dividends
Ex-Date
     
This is an attempt to show fairly the effect of numerous trades in tabular form. The trades shown are not necessarily precise dollar-for-dollar swaps. Trade details will be released on the main MAPF web page in the future.

It may also be noted that SLF.PR.B still has an elevated yield relative to the average level for the Sun Life PerpetualDiscount issues:

SLF PerpetualDiscounts
Comparison, 2009-7-31
At Closing Bid
Ticker YTW
SLF.PR.A 6.23%
SLF.PR.B 6.24%
SLF.PR.C 6.16%
SLF.PR.D 6.15%
SLF.PR.E 6.16%

I believe that the trading opportunities amongst the SLF PerpetualDiscounts were triggered by a major seller of SLF.PR.A, which had an influence on the other issues that propogated at different rates while also influenced by a broad general demand for PerpetualDiscounts. In support of this hypothisis, I have uploaded three graphs (prepared by my firm’s analytical software, HIMIPref™):

This is mere explanation after the fact, however. At the time of trade, all that really mattered was that the fund could pick up yield by swapping between issues with identical credit quality and almost identical terms.

Another example of profitable trading was discussed as part of the post on portfolio composition.

There’s plenty of room for new money left in the fund. Just don’t expect the current level of outperformance every year, OK? While I will continue to exert utmost efforts to outperform, it should be borne in mind that beating the index by 500bp represents a good year, and there will almost inevitably be periods of underperformance in the future.

The yields available on high quality preferred shares remain elevated, which is reflected in the current estimate of sustainable income.

Calculation of MAPF Sustainable Income Per Unit
Month NAVPU Portfolio
Average
YTW
Leverage
Divisor
Securities
Average
YTW
Sustainable
Income
June, 2007 9.3114 5.16% 1.03 5.01% 0.4665
September 9.1489 5.35% 0.98 5.46% 0.4995
December, 2007 9.0070 5.53% 0.942 5.87% 0.5288
March, 2008 8.8512 6.17% 1.047 5.89% 0.5216
June 8.3419 6.034% 0.952 6.338% $0.5287
September 8.1886 7.108% 0.969 7.335% $0.6006
December, 2008 8.0464 9.24% 1.008 9.166% $0.7375
March 2009 $8.8317 8.60% 0.995 8.802% $0.7633
June 10.9846 7.05% 0.999 7.057% $0.7752
July 2009 11.8181 6.44% 0.993 6.485% $0.7664
NAVPU is shown after quarterly distributions.
“Portfolio YTW” includes cash (or margin borrowing), with an assumed interest rate of 0.00%
“Securities YTW” divides “Portfolio YTW” by the “Leverage Divisor” to show the average YTW on the securities held; this assumes that the cash is invested in (or raised from) all securities held, in proportion to their holdings.
“Sustainable Income” is the resultant estimate of the fund’s dividend income per unit, before fees and expenses.

As discussed in the post MAPF Portfolio Composition: July 2009, the fund has positions in splitShares (almost all BNA.PR.C) and an operating retractible, both of which have high yields that are not sustainable: at some point they will be called or mature and the funds will have to be reinvested. Therefore, both of these positions skew the calculation upwards.. Since the yield on these positions is higher than that of the perpetuals despite the fact that the term is limited, the sustainability of the calculated “sustainable yield” is suspect, as discussed in August, 2008.

Significant positions were also held in Fixed-Reset issues on July 31; all of which currently have their yields calculated with the presumption that they will be called by the issuers at par at the first possible opportunity. It is the increase in exposure to the lower-yielding Fixed-Reset class that accounts for the apparent stall in the increase of sustainable income per unit in the past seven months. In December 2008, FixedReset exposure was zero; it is now 11.3%. Exposure to the extraordinarily high-yielding SplitShare class has also been reduced since December due to credit concerns.

However, if the entire portfolio except for the PerpetualDiscounts were to be sold and reinvested in these issues, the yield of the portfolio would be the 6.14% shown in the July 31 Portfolio Composition analysis (which is in excess of the 6.06% index yield on July 31). Given such reinvestment, the sustainable yield would be 11.8181 * 0.0614 = $0.7256, an increase from the $0.7228 derived by a similar calculation last month.

Different assumptions lead to different results from the calculation, but the overall positive trend is apparent. I’m very pleased with the results! It will be noted that if there was no trading in the portfolio, one would expect the sustainable yield to be constant (before fees and expenses). The success of the fund’s trading is showing up in

  • the very good performance against the index
  • the long term increases in sustainable income per unit

As has been noted, the fund has maintained a credit quality equal to or better than the index; outperformance is due to constant exploitation of trading anomalies.

Again, there are no predictions for the future! The fund will continue to trade between issues in an attempt to exploit market gaps in liquidity, in an effort to outperform the index and keep the sustainable income per unit – however calculated! – growing.