Market Action

September 3, 2008

The Bank of Canada held the overnight rate steady at 3.00%:

Global inflationary pressures remain elevated, with potential implications for import prices and the dynamics of inflation in Canada. While total CPI inflation has moved above 3 per cent, core inflation has stayed at 1.5 per cent as expected. The temporary factors affecting both of these measures should dissipate over the coming quarters, and the Bank continues to expect that total and core inflation will converge on 2 per cent in the second half of 2009. However, the recent decline in both spot and futures prices for energy means that the spike in total CPI inflation expected between now and the first quarter of 2009 will be lower than projected in July.

Although an argument can be made for a rate cut, it is not clear and compelling. Most of the world’s central banks are tightening or are thinking about it – just today, there are updates on the Fed, the BoE and Indonesia); I don’t think the BoC will swim against the tide without a clear and compelling reason.

The collapse of Ospraie’s flagship hedge fund was mentioned yesterday; there are some rumours that natural gas brought it down while others finger copper.

The Clear Channel LBO debt might be clearing:

Banks led by Deutsche Bank AG are seeking to sell $980 million of Clear Channel Communications Inc. bonds in the biggest sale of leveraged buyout debt since March.

The 10.75 percent, eight-year notes are scheduled to price early next week, said a person familiar with the transaction, who declined to be identified because terms aren’t set. The debt helped to finance the radio-station operator’s buyout by Bain Capital Partners LLC and Thomas H. Lee Partners LP.

… and, perhaps not entirely coincidentally, Blackrock is setting up another vulture fund:

BlackRock Inc., the biggest publicly traded U.S. asset manager, is seeking as much as $3 billion for a fund to buy loans that banks are selling for losses, said two investors with knowledge of the matter.

BlackRock Credit Investors II will invest in leveraged- buyout loans that banks are trying to unload after the collapse of the subprime-mortgage market drove investors away from all but the safest securities, the investors said. Last year, New York- based BlackRock raised $3 billion for its first such fund.

As all Assiduous Readers know, one of my macro-economic fears is that regulators will make all but the most plain-vanilla securities too risky to sell to the usual recipients of their back-dated largesse. This may be happening with municipalities and interest rate swaps:

JPMorgan Chase & Co., under investigation in a federal antitrust probe of derivative sales in the $2.6 trillion municipal bond market, will stop marketing products such as interest-rate swaps to municipalities, a spokeswoman said.

The bank will still arrange derivatives for non-profit organizations and sell commodity derivatives to municipalities, said JPMorgan spokeswoman Kristin Lemkau. Derivatives are contracts whose value is derived from tradeable securities, or linked to future changes in lending costs.

Geez, when the rules change on a backdated basis, people don’t want to play anymore, eh?

Another solid up-day for the PerpetualDiscounts.

Note that these indices are experimental; the absolute and relative daily values are expected to change in the final version. In this version, index values are based at 1,000.0 on 2006-6-30
Index Mean Current Yield (at bid) Mean YTW Mean Average Trading Value Mean Mod Dur (YTW) Issues Day’s Perf. Index Value
Ratchet N/A N/A N/A N/A 0 N/A N/A
Fixed-Floater 4.59% 4.36% 63,349 16.40 6 +0.0068% 1,113.9
Floater 4.31% 4.37% 51,471 16.59 2 -0.3094% 908.1
Op. Retract 4.93% 4.29% 121,262 2.87 14 +0.0934% 1,055.4
Split-Share 5.33% 5.81% 53,211 4.35 14 +0.0587% 1,045.6
Interest Bearing 6.23% 6.60% 48,536 5.25 2 +0.5143% 1,132.1
Perpetual-Premium 6.16% 5.46% 60,684 2.23 1 0.0000% 1,006.9
Perpetual-Discount 6.03% 6.09% 189,890 13.76 70 +0.1310% 883.6
Major Price Changes
Issue Index Change Notes
BAM.PR.K Floater -1.5971%  
MFC.PR.B PerpetualDiscount -1.4044% Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 5.73% based on a bid of 20.36 and a limitMaturity.
CIU.PR.A PerpetualDiscount -1.0363% Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 6.07% based on a bid of 19.10 and a limitMaturity.
MFC.PR.C PerpetualDiscount +1.0194% Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 5.70% based on a bid of 19.82 and a limitMaturity.
BSD.PR.A InterestBearing +1.0526% Asset coverage of 1.6+:1 as of August 29 according to Brookfield Funds. Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 6.78% based on a bid of 9.60 and a hardMaturity 2015-3-31 at 10.00.
BNS.PR.L PerpetualDiscount +1.1352% Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 5.82% based on a bid of 19.60 and a limitMaturity.
SBC.PR.A SplitShare +1.3972% Asset coverage of 2.0+:1 as of August 28, according to Brompton Group. Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 5.04% based on a bid of 10.16 and a hardMaturity 2012-11-30 at 10.00.
BMO.PR.K PerpetualDiscount +1.5406% Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 6.09% based on a bid of 21.75 and a limitMaturity.
PWF.PR.H PerpetualDiscount +2.5738% Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 5.98% based on a bid of 24.31 and a limitMaturity.
Volume Highlights
Issue Index Volume Notes
IGM.PR.A OpRet 51,994 CIBC crossed 45,000 at 26.50. Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 3.89% based on a bid of 26.28 and a call 2009-7-30 at 26.00.
CM.PR.P PerpetualDiscount 45,950 CIBC crossed 33,700 at 21.25. Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 6.59% based on a bid of 21.18 and a limitMaturity.
BMO.PR.L PerpetualDiscount 36,635 CIBC crossed 35,000 at 24.06. Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 6.07% based on a bid of 24.06 and a limitMaturity.
RY.PR.A PerpetualDiscount 28,700 TD crossed 10,000 at 18.60. Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 6.03% based on a bid of 18.62 and a limitMaturity.
TD.PR.O PerpetualDiscount 27,455 Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 5.80% based on a bid of 21.18 and a limitMaturity.

There were twenty other index-included $25-pv-equivalent issues trading over 10,000 shares today.

Index Construction / Reporting

Index Performance: August 2008

Performance of the HIMIPref™ Indices for August, 2008, was:

Total Return
Index Performance
August 2008
Three Months
to
August 29, 2008
Ratchet N/A N/A
FixFloat +2.14% +7.76%
Floater +2.94% -2.24%
OpRet +1.44% -0.17%
SplitShare +0.86% -1.41%
Interest +0.81% +1.55%
PerpetualPremium +1.30% -1.78%
PerpetualDiscount +3.91% -4.90%
Funds (see below for calculations)
CPD +2.48% -4.09%
DPS.UN +2.63% -4.12%
Index
BMO-CM 50 +2.88% -2.72%

Claymore has published NAV data for its exchange traded fund (CPD) and I have derived the following table:

CPD Return, 1- & 3-month, to August, 2008
Date NAV Distribution Return for Sub-Period Monthly Return
May 30 17.85 0.00    
June 25 17.01 0.2097 -3.53% -4.26%
June 30, 2008 16.88   -0.76%
July 31, 2008 16.50 0.00   -2.25%
August 29 16.91 0.00   +2.48%
Quarterly Return -4.09%

The DPS.UN NAV for August 27 has been published so we may calculate the July returns (approximately!) for this closed end fund:

DPS.UN NAV Return, August-ish 2008
Date NAV Distribution Return for period
Estimated July Stub -0.30%
July 30 $19.48    
August 27 $20.03   +2.82%
Estimated August Stub +0.12%
Estimated August Return +2.63%
CPD had a NAV of $16.45 on July 30 and $16.50 on July 31. The estimated July end-of-month stub period return for CPD was therefore +0.30%, which is subtracted from the DPS.UN period return.
CPD had a NAV of $16.89 on August 27 and $16.91 on August 29. The estimated August end-of-month stub period return for CPD was therefore +0.12%, which is added to the DPS.UN period return.

Now, to see the DPS.UN quarterly NAV approximate return, we refer to the calculations for June and July

DPS.UN NAV Returns, three-month-ish to end-August-ish, 2008
June-ish -3.53%
July-ish -3.16%
August-ish +2.63%
Three-months-ish -4.12%
MAPF

MAPF Portfolio Composition: August, 2008

There was a substantial amount of trading in August, as the resurgence in prices of PerpetualDiscounts in a confused market brought many opportunities to the Fund. Turnover was close to 100% for the month, but a high proportion of these trades were intra-issuer (trades between the CM issues were particularly frequent) and most others were intra-sector (PerpetualDiscounts rose at different rates).

Trades were, as ever, triggered by a desire to exploit transient mispricing in the preferred share market (which may the thought of as “selling liquidity”), rather than any particular view being taken on market direction, sectoral performance or credit anticipation.

MAPF Sectoral Analysis 2008-8-29
HIMI Indices Sector Weighting YTW ModDur
Ratchet 0% N/A N/A
FixFloat 0% N/A N/A
Floater 0% N/A N/A
OpRet 0% N/A N/A
SplitShare 20.5% (+8.9) 8.21% 5.47
Interest Rearing 0% N/A N/A
PerpetualPremium 0.3% (0) 5.41% 2.25
PerpetualDiscount 73.1% (-18.6) 6.35% 13.38
Scraps 0% N/A N/A
Cash +6.0% (+9.6) 0.00% 0.00
Total 100% 6.34% 10.92
Totals and changes will not add precisely due to rounding. Bracketted figures represent change from July month-end. Cash is included in totals with duration and yield both equal to zero.

The “total” reflects the un-leveraged total portfolio (i.e., cash is included in the portfolio calculations and is deemed to have a duration and yield of 0.00.). MAPF will often have relatively large cash balances, both credit and debit, to facilitate trading. Figures presented in the table have been rounded to the indicated precision.

The increase in SplitShares is due to purchases of BNA.PR.C net of a small sale of WFS.PR.A. Assiduous readers will recall that I consider exposure to BNA to be equivalent, for credit risk control purposes, to exposure to BAM. These readers will not be surprised, therefore, to learn that the purchase of BNA.PR.C was not only funded by a sale of BAM.PR.N, but that this trade reversed swaps undertaken last February.

Post Mortem: BNA.PR.C / BAM.PR.N Swaps
Date BNA.PR.C BAM.PR.N
February
Trade
Sold
20.64
Bought
19.07
August
Trade
Bought
17.25
Sold
16.85
August 29
closing bid
bid-YTW
16.88
9.34%
17.06
7.11%
Dividends Missed May & 1/3 of August; Total ~$0.37 Received March & June; Total ~$0.59
The August trades were executed in pieces that spanned the BNA.PR.C ex-dividend date; dividends were earned on about 2/3 of the final position

As may be seen, the February-August swap was immensely profitable: there would have been a loss of $3.02 on the BNA.PR.C had it been held, about 14.6% of the February trading price. Instead, the BAM.PR.N lost $1.63, about 8.5% of the February trading price. The outperformance of BAM.PR.N by 6.1% is massive and leaves an old bond guy like me just shaking his head.

There will be those who will shout that it would have been better to have held cash during this period and lost nothing; but that would be market timing. I cannot predict the overall direction of the market, nor have I ever met anybody who can. The way to make money is to outperform the market whether it goes up or down; in time the rewards will be tangible.

As of month-end, the trade back into BNA.PR.C has not borne fruit – but given the substantial yield pick-up (over 2 points!) I consider it to be only a matter of time before the BNA.PR.C experiences a substantial price increase.

Credit distribution is:

MAPF Credit Analysis 2008-8-29
DBRS Rating Weighting
Pfd-1 46.1% (-21.4)
Pfd-1(low) 27.9% (+14.7)
Pfd-2(high) 0% (0)
Pfd-2 0.5% (0)
Pfd-2(low) 19.4% (-3)
Cash 6.0% (+9.6)
Totals will not add precisely due to rounding. Bracketted figures represent change from July month-end.

The fund does not set any targets for overall credit quality; trades are executed one by one. Variances in overall credit will be constant as opportunistic trades are executed.

Liquidity Distribution is:

MAPF Liquidity Analysis 2008-8-29
Average Daily Trading Weighting
<$50,000 0.6% (0)
$50,000 – $100,000 33.2% (+11.0)
$100,000 – $200,000 50.1% (-8.6)
$200,000 – $300,000 10.0% (-1.9)
>$300,000 0% (-10.2)
Cash 6.0% (+9.6)
Totals will not add precisely due to rounding. Bracketted figures represent change from July month-end.

MAPF is, of course, Malachite Aggressive Preferred Fund, a “unit trust” managed by Hymas Investment Management Inc. Further information and links to performance, audited financials and subscription information are available the fund’s web page. A “unit trust” is like a regular mutual fund, but is sold by offering memorandum rather than prospectus. This is cheaper, but means subscription is restricted to “accredited investors” (as defined by the Ontario Securities Commission) and those who subscribe for $150,000+. Fund past performances are not a guarantee of future performance. You can lose money investing in MAPF or any other fund.

A similar portfolio composition analysis has been performed on CPD as of May month end; it should be noted that the underlying TXPR index has been rebalanced and I have not yet fully analyzed the changes. While the changes affect the allocation to the different sectors, I do not believe the credit or liquidity metrics will have changed much.

  • MAPF credit quality is superior
  • MAPF liquidity is somewhat lower
  • MAPF Yield is higher
  • But … MAPF is more exposed to PerpetualDiscounts
  • MAPF is less exposed to Fixed-Resets
Market Action

September 2, 2008

The most interesting news items of the day got their own posts (TD Capital to Issue Asset-Backed Tier 1 Paper, Swiss Bank Regulator to Impose Assets-to-Capital Multiple Cap, New Issue: TD Fixed-Reset 5.00%+196bp) so there ain’t much left to report!

Ambac got permission to set up a new bond insurer. After all, you can’t just let Buffet get his own way all the time!

PrefBlog’s “Whoopsee!” Department reminds me to link to a Bloomberg story about a hedge fund:

Ospraie Management LLC, the investment firm run by Dwight Anderson, will close its biggest hedge fund after it fell 38.6 percent this year because of losing wagers on commodity stocks, according to a letter to investors.

The Ospraie Fund lost 26.7 percent in August, after a “substantial sell-off in a number of our energy, mining and resource equity holdings,” Anderson, 41, wrote in the letter today.

I don’t know, particularly, why so many of these things are called “Hedge” funds … most of the ones I’ve seen are really “highly leveraged macro-bet” funds. But perhaps I’m just bitter, what with not being able to find funding for my own idea … a hedge fund, really hedge, trading preferred shares could, I am quite confident, make good money for non-taxable investors.

PerpetualDiscounts performed well on a slow day.

Note that these indices are experimental; the absolute and relative daily values are expected to change in the final version. In this version, index values are based at 1,000.0 on 2006-6-30
Index Mean Current Yield (at bid) Mean YTW Mean Average Trading Value Mean Mod Dur (YTW) Issues Day’s Perf. Index Value
Ratchet N/A N/A N/A N/A 0 N/A N/A
Fixed-Floater 4.59% 4.35% 64,461 16.41 6 +0.0204% 1,113.8
Floater 4.30% 4.36% 51,795 16.62 2 -0.0774% 910.9
Op. Retract 4.93% 4.30% 122,167 3.09 14 +0.0004% 1,054.4
Split-Share 5.34% 5.82% 53,926 4.35 14 +0.2006% 1,045.0
Interest Bearing 6.27% 6.69% 47,137 5.24 2 -0.3055% 1,126.3
Perpetual-Premium 6.16% 5.46% 61,494 2.24 1 -0.0394% 1,006.9
Perpetual-Discount 6.04% 6.10% 191,315 13.75 70 +0.1626% 882.5
Major Price Changes
Issue Index Change Notes
HSB.PR.C PerpetualDiscount +1.0086% Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 6.19% based on a bid of 21.03 and a limitMaturity.
CIU.PR.A PerpetualDiscount +1.0471% Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 6.00% based on a bid of 19.30 and a limitMaturity.
CM.PR.H PerpetualDiscount +1.0724% Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 6.46% based on a bid of 18.85 and a limitMaturity.
ELF.PR.F PerpetualDiscount +1.2036% Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 6.98% based on a bid of 19.34 and a limitMaturity.
IAG.PR.A PerpetualDiscount +1.2419% Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 6.15% based on a bid of 18.75 and a limitMaturity.
SLF.PR.E PerpetualDiscount +1.3830% Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 5.91% based on a bid of 19.06 and a limitMaturity.
Volume Highlights
Issue Index Volume Notes
BNS.PR.N PerpetualDiscount 67,830 National Bank crossed 60,000 at 23.05. Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 5.76% based on a bid of 23.08 and a limitMaturity.
RY.PR.B PerpetualDiscount 56,280 RBC crossed 50,000 at 19.65. Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 6.05% based on a bid of 19.60 and a limitMaturity.
CM.PR.I PerpetualDiscount 24,324 Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 6.36% based on a bid of 18.76 and a limitMaturity.
BAM.PR.O OpRet 20,450 Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 7.42% based on a bid of 22.88 and optionCertainty 2013-6-30. Compare with BAM.PR.H (6.10% to 2012-3-30), BAM.PR.I (5.47% to 2013-12-30) and BAM.PR.J (6.28% to 2018-3-30). It’s beginning to look as if the underwriters are finally starting to get this off the books!
RY.PR.A PerpetualDiscount 18,860 Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 6.04% based on a bid of 18.61 and a limitMaturity.

There were ten other index-included $25-pv-equivalent issues trading over 10,000 shares today.

Miscellaneous News

US TIPS: 5-Year Issue in Danger

As reported by Bloomberg, an advisory committee to the Treasury has recommended:

The Committee generally agreed that an increase of average maturity in the TIPS program would be best accomplished by reducing or eliminating 5-year TIPS issuance. There was general agreement that given the excess cost to date and the non-transient liquidity premium of TIPS, inflation indexed secruties over the past 10 years have proven to be a less efficient funding mechanism given Treasury’s objective of the lowest cost of borrowing over time. The Committee also reiterated its previous suggestion of moderating the growth of the program and eliminating 5-year TIPS issuance.

Director Ramanathan responded by stating that Treasury remained committed to the TIPS, but that a moderation in the growth of the program has occurred given the pace of issuance ver the past ten years relative to nominal issuance.

A detailed report is alluded to in the linked minutes, but … I can’t find it! Any help on this will be gratefully appreciated.

The discussion, as reported in the report and the minutes, seems to indicate a conclusion that the liquidity premium paid by Treasury outweighs the inflation risk premium recieved (or, more precisely, not paid) by Treasury. The importance of the liquidity premium is researched by the Cleveland Fed.

Sadly, I have not had a chance to read the BIS Quarterly Review article on inflation-indexed bonds with this conclusion firmly in mind.

Index Construction / Reporting

HIMIPref™ Index Rebalancing: August, 2008

HIMI Index Changes, August 29, 2008
Issue From To Because
FAL.PR.B FixFloat Scraps Volume
PWF.PR.D OpRet Scraps Volume
ACO.PR.A OpRet Scraps Volume
TRI.PR.B Floater Scraps Volume

There were the following intra-month changes:

HIMI Index Changes during August 2008
Issue Action Index Because
RY.PR.K Delete OpRet Redeemed

It was a near-run thing … but despite the good performance of the PerpetualDiscount index, none of the issues made it over par and CL.PR.B remains the sole PerpetualPremium issue outstanding.

Issue Comments

Best & Worst Performers: August, 2008

These are total returns, with dividends presumed to have been reinvested at the bid price on the ex-date. The list has been restricted to issues in the HIMIPref™ indices.

August, 2008
Issue Index DBRS Rating Monthly Performance Notes (“Now” means “August 29”)
BNA.PR.C SplitShare Pfd-2(low) -2.55% Asset coverage of 3.3+:1 as of July 31 according to the company. Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 9.34% based on a bid of 16.88 and a hardMaturity 2019-1-10 at 25.00. Compare with BNA.PR.A (6.17% to call 2009-10-31) and BNA.PR.B (8.88% to 2016-3-25). See also a comparison with BAM perps.
BNA.PR.B SplitShare Pfd-2(low) -1.1520% Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 8.88% based on a bid of 19.71 and a hardMaturity 2016-3-25 at 25.00. See above for comparators.
FTN.PR.A SplitShare Pfd-2 -0.8721% Asset coverage of just under 2.0:1 as of August 15 according to the company. Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 5.68% based on a bid of 9.77 and a hardMaturity 2015-12-1 at 10.00.
FFN.PR.A SplitShare Pfd-2(low) -0.7751% Asset coverage of 1.8+:1 as of August 15 according to the company. Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 5.78% based on a bid of 9.74 and a hardMaturity 2014-12-1 at 10.00.
BAM.PR.O OpRet Pfd-2(low) -0.2183% Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 7.42% based on a bid of 22.85 and optionCertainty 2013-6-30. Compare with BAM.PR.H (5.90% to 2012-3-30), BAM.PR.I (5.44% to 2013-12-30) and BAM.PR.J (6.27% to 2018-3-30).
CM.PR.H PerpetualDiscount Pfd-1 [Trend Negative] +7.3690% Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 6.53% based on a bid of 18.65 and a limitMaturity.
NA.PR.L PerpetualDiscount Pfd-1(low) +7.6471% Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 6.08% based on a bid of 20.13 and a limitMaturity.
PWF.PR.E PerpetualDiscount Pfd-1(low) +7.7452% Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 5.87% based on a bid of 23.51 and a limitMaturity.
CM.PR.I PerpetualDiscount Pfd-1 [Trend Negative] +8.3236% Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 6.40% based on a bid of 18.61 and a limitMaturity.
POW.PR.D PerpetualDiscount Pfd-2(high) +8.5523% Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 6.03% based on a bid of 21.07 and a limitMaturity.

Regulation

TD Capital to Issue Asset-Backed Tier 1 Paper

TD has announced:

that TD Capital Trust III, a subsidiary of TDBFG, and TDBFG have filed a preliminary prospectus with the securities regulatory authorities in each of the provinces and territories of Canada with respect to a proposed public offering of TD Capital Trust III Securities – Series 2008 (“TD CaTS III”). TDBFG anticipates the issuance of TD CaTS III to constitute Tier 1 Capital of TDBFG.

The preliminary prospectus (available on SEDAR) states:

The Initial Trust Assets will consist primarily of Co-Ownership Interests acquired by the Trust under the Sales, Pooling and Servicing Agreements and the Purchase Agreements (each as defined herein). The Trust Assets may consist of Residential Mortgages, Co-Ownership Interests, Mortgage-Backed Securities, Eligible Investments (each as defined herein) and contractual rights in respect of the activities and operations of the Trust (the “Eligible Trust Assets”).

Issue size and coupon has not yet been disclosed.

As with the National Bank issue:

So it’s ASSET-BACKED, not loan backed. This issue simply goes further to show that cumulative coupons to enable the issuance of Loan Based Tier 1 paper are not necessary; OSFI should rescind its ill-advised draft advisory, which rescues the loan-backed structure at the expense of non-cumulativity.

I have made OSFI aware of my views on this matter.

Regulation

Swiss Bank Regulator to Impose Assets-to-Capital Multiple Cap

Bloomberg has reported:

Switzerland’s Federal Banking Commission will go ahead with a plan to cap the amount of assets that UBS AG and Credit Suisse Group AG can accumulate in relation to their capital, Chairman Eugen Haltiner said.

“We are going ahead with the leverage ratio,” Haltiner said in an interview at a conference in Zurich today. The commission has received the banks’ replies to its proposal and is now discussing details, such as an exact definition of the ratio, he added. “We plan to introduce the new rules by the end of the year at the latest.”

Haltiner declined to say how high the new capital requirement may be. The U.K. Financial Services Authority may also be considering tighter capital requirements for banks, he said.

“We had a good dialogue with the FSA and their first reaction was that capital wasn’t the first priority because the problems of U.K. banks were on the liquidity side,” he said. “In the meantime, the FSA is also reconsidering capital requirements.”

Risk-weighted capital rules “made a mess in the end” because they didn’t require capital to be held against assets such as subprime mortgages, relying purely on bonds’ ratings, Haltiner said. UBS, which took more than $43 billion of subprime- related writedowns, had to raise almost $28 billion of capital from shareholders and investors in Singapore and the Middle East this year.

This is important. As far as I am aware, only Canada and the US currently impose an Assets-to-Capital Multiple Cap (in the US, it’s called the leverage ratio), but it now appears as if this belt-and-suspenders approach to bank regulation is catching on … at least a little bit.

The post Bank Regulation: The Assets to Capital Multiple includes a chart from the IMF showing just how extreme the leverage of UBS and Credit Suisse became.

This is a good policy move. At present there is no official information on the Swiss regulator’s website.

New Issues

New Issue: TD Fixed-Reset 5.00%+196bp

TD Bank has announced:

it has entered into an agreement with a group of underwriters led by TD Securities Inc. for an issue of 8 million non-cumulative 5-Year Rate Reset Class A Preferred Shares, Series AA (the “Series AA Shares”), carrying a face value of $25.00 per share, to raise gross proceeds of $ 200 million.

TDBFG intends to file in Canada a prospectus supplement to its January 11, 2007 base shelf prospectus in respect of this issue.

TDBFG has also granted the underwriters an option to purchase, on the same terms, up to an additional 2 million Series AA Shares. This option is exercisable in whole or in part by the underwriters at any time up to two business days prior to closing. The maximum gross proceeds raised under the offering will be $250 million should this option be exercised in full.

The Series AA Shares will yield 5.00% annually, payable quarterly, as and when declared by the Board of Directors of TDBFG, for the initial period ending January 31, 2014. Thereafter, the dividend rate will reset every five years at a level of 196 basis points over the then five-year Government of Canada bond yield.

Holders of the Series AA Shares will have the right to convert their shares into non-cumulative Floating Rate Class A Preferred Shares, Series AB (the “Series AB Shares”), subject to certain conditions, on January 31, 2014, and on January 31st every five years thereafter. Holders of the Series AA Shares will be entitled to receive quarterly floating dividends, as and when declared by the Board of Directors of TDBFG, equal to the three-month Government of Canada Treasury Bill yield plus 196 basis points.

The issue is anticipated to qualify as Tier 1 capital for TDBFG and the expected closing date is September 12, 2008.

Issue: Toronto-Dominion Bank (The) Non-Cumulative 5-Year Rate Reset Class A Preferred Shares, Series AA

Size: 8-million shares (=$200-million), greenshoe for another 2-million shares (=$50-million prior to closing.

Ratings: DBRS, Pfd-1; S&P, P-1(Low); Moody’s, Aa2

Dividend: 5.00% p.a., paid quarterly, reset every exchange date to 5-Year Canadas +196bp.

Exchange Dates: January 31, 2014 and every five years thereafter.

Exchange: Exchangeable to and from Series AB, which pays 90-day T-Bills + 196bp, reset quarterly.

Redemption: Series AA (the fixed) are redeemable (at issuer’s option, remember!) every exchange date at $25.00. Series AB (the floater) are redeemable every exchange date at $25.00 and at $25.50 at all other times.

So now there are ten … and I will have to redeem my intention to add these Fixed-Reset thingies to the HIMIPref™ universe … this would have to happen at month-end! I’ll aim for next Monday, the 8th.