Market Action

January 21, 2011

The Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission is forecast to conclude “It’s complicated.”:

The federal commission that investigated the origins of the financial crisis is set to issue three competing conclusions next week.

The Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission’s main report, to be released Jan. 27, is backed only by the panel’s six Democratic appointees. The four Republicans have written two separate dissents, according to a blog post by one of them.

The Democrats’ final report cites a broad swath of failures for the crisis, according to three people who have been briefed on the report or have seen parts of it. They blame greedy bankers and mortgage brokers, lax derivatives oversight, bumbling credit-rating firms, predatory lending, a lack of risk management at banks and decades of deregulation, said the people who spoke on condition of anonymity because the report isn’t yet public.

Though he didn’t give details, Hennessey said he had signed on to a 27-page dissent along fellow Republicans Bill Thomas, the former California congressman who serves as the panel’s vice chairman, and Douglas Holtz-Eakin.

The dissent will “supersede” the preliminary paper that came out last month, Hennessey said on his blog.

Wallison’s report will focus mainly on the government’s housing policy as the cause of the crisis, they said. He also takes aim at how the commission was run, putting blame on the management of its Democratic chairman, Phil Angelides, and not the committee staff, the people added. Wallison’s dissent also criticizes the administrations of Presidents Bill Clinton and George W. Bush for their housing policies, the people said.

The FCIC preliminary dissent was discussed on December 16. The whole thing is just a Rorschach test.

Government Motors is planning to double its subsidy sucking capacity:

After exploring its options, the team settled on doubling capacity for the Volt next year, they said. GM is still evaluating the Volt’s technology for other models.

GM should be able to sell all of its Volt production as long as the government’s $7,500 tax incentive is in place, Hall said. The incentive expires after GM sells 200,000 of the car.

Which makes an interesting juxtaposition with school funding:

U.S. governors and legislatures facing deficits of more than $140 billion are slashing local school budgets, cuts that may mean jammed classrooms, fewer teachers and libraries without librarians.

The Texas Legislature is considering a 13 percent reduction in education funding and South Dakota Governor Dennis Daugaard recommended taking 10 percent out of per-pupil spending. Cuts proposed in those states, and in Kansas, Washington, Ohio and Iowa, come after New Jersey Governor Chris Christie took $820 million away from schools in his current $29.4 billion budget.

and:

Utah Representative Jason Chaffetz said Republicans have contacted bankruptcy attorneys to discuss ways to change the law to allow states to restructure financial obligations such as debts to retirees. He said it hasn’t been decided whether that would mean allowing states to file for bankruptcy.

Chaffetz said he proposed legislation to oppose federal bailouts of pensions.

Goldman sold some 30-year paper:

Goldman Sachs Group Inc. sold $2.5 billion of 30-year debt in its first sale of the securities in more than three years, as investors accept the lowest premiums since April for bank bonds with similar credit grades.

The 6.25 percent notes from the fifth-biggest U.S. bank by assets pay 170 basis points, or 1.7 percentage points, more than similar-maturity Treasuries, according to data compiled by Bloomberg.

The Canadian preferred share market eased off a little on heavy volume, with PerpetualDiscounts down 8bp and FixedResets basically flat.

HIMIPref™ Preferred Indices
These values reflect the December 2008 revision of the HIMIPref™ Indices

Values are provisional and are finalized monthly
Index Mean
Current
Yield
(at bid)
Median
YTW
Median
Average
Trading
Value
Median
Mod Dur
(YTW)
Issues Day’s Perf. Index Value
Ratchet 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.5011 % 2,345.7
FixedFloater 4.79 % 3.48 % 27,089 19.17 1 -0.4384 % 3,554.7
Floater 2.55 % 2.32 % 44,079 21.47 4 0.5011 % 2,532.8
OpRet 4.81 % 3.39 % 65,669 2.29 8 -0.1011 % 2,389.3
SplitShare 5.30 % 1.70 % 465,131 0.88 4 0.0801 % 2,464.2
Interest-Bearing 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 -0.1011 % 2,184.7
Perpetual-Premium 5.64 % 5.00 % 138,510 5.30 20 -0.0824 % 2,031.8
Perpetual-Discount 5.31 % 5.30 % 256,691 14.96 57 -0.0835 % 2,081.4
FixedReset 5.23 % 3.38 % 284,976 3.04 52 -0.0022 % 2,273.9
Performance Highlights
Issue Index Change Notes
GWO.PR.I Perpetual-Discount -1.78 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2041-01-21
Maturity Price : 21.69
Evaluated at bid price : 22.04
Bid-YTW : 5.13 %
GWO.PR.H Perpetual-Discount -1.75 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2041-01-21
Maturity Price : 22.85
Evaluated at bid price : 23.06
Bid-YTW : 5.30 %
TRP.PR.B FixedReset -1.30 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2041-01-21
Maturity Price : 24.92
Evaluated at bid price : 24.97
Bid-YTW : 3.88 %
GWO.PR.G Perpetual-Discount -1.25 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2041-01-21
Maturity Price : 23.43
Evaluated at bid price : 23.71
Bid-YTW : 5.53 %
BAM.PR.H OpRet -1.02 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Soft Maturity
Maturity Date : 2012-03-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.20
Bid-YTW : 5.37 %
IAG.PR.C FixedReset 1.12 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-01-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 27.19
Bid-YTW : 3.26 %
BAM.PR.K Floater 1.30 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2041-01-21
Maturity Price : 18.75
Evaluated at bid price : 18.75
Bid-YTW : 2.81 %
Volume Highlights
Issue Index Shares
Traded
Notes
TRP.PR.C FixedReset 93,594 Nesbitt crossed 55,000 at 25.60; RBC crossed 17,600 at 25.48.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2016-02-29
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.47
Bid-YTW : 3.97 %
RY.PR.F Perpetual-Discount 87,356 Nesbitt crossed blocks of 30,000 and 50,000, both at 23.00.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2041-01-21
Maturity Price : 22.82
Evaluated at bid price : 23.00
Bid-YTW : 4.90 %
FTS.PR.H FixedReset 80,752 TD crossed 15,000 at 25.75; Nesbitt crossed 50,000 at the same price.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2015-07-01
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.75
Bid-YTW : 3.66 %
BMO.PR.P FixedReset 78,839 Nesbitt crossed 60,000 at 27.25.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2015-03-27
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 27.20
Bid-YTW : 3.34 %
TRP.PR.B FixedReset 73,454 National crossed 13,000 at 25.27; RBC crossed 16,600 at 26.07.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2041-01-21
Maturity Price : 24.92
Evaluated at bid price : 24.97
Bid-YTW : 3.88 %
MFC.PR.A OpRet 68,509 Nesbitt crossed 60,000 at 25.80.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Soft Maturity
Maturity Date : 2015-12-18
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.72
Bid-YTW : 3.56 %
There were 60 other index-included issues trading in excess of 10,000 shares.
Miscellaneous News

More on the TMX Close != Last

In the post TMX “Last” != “Close” I pointed out that the data published all over the web overnight does not actually represent closing quotations: it represents “Last” quotations, which differ mainly in that cancellations during the extended trading session can make the quote worse than it really was. In some (rare) cases, they can shift dramatically, if the closing bid (ask) is also the Last Sale Price and it is hit (lifted) by orders exceeding those available to fill it during the extended session (e.g., 25.00-10, 5×5 “Close”, with Last Sale = 25.10, could turn into 25.10-20, 10×5 “Last” if a bid for 1500 at 25.10 came in during the extended session and nothing else happened.

Anyway, as explained, this is important not just for quantitative back-test purposes, but for accounting reasons, as many funds use the “Last” quote thinking it is the same as the “Close” quote, and in any case are required to reconcile to the most recent active market quote for financial statement purposes.

So I asked an accountant – what would be the reconciliation bid for GWO.PR.J on December 2 – And I got this:


Click for big

So Bloomberg is clearly reporting the “Last” – not the “Close” – which is hilarious, as the extreme laziness of most portfolio managers has rendered them helpless and confused without a Bloomberg terminal. As previously explained:

A closing quote is considered to be the quote at the close of the regular trading session at 4pm. Market Maker responsibilities end at 4pm. The actual closing quote at 4pm on Dec.2 for this issue was 27.04 – 27.54.

So are these reconciliations what they purport to be? Does anybody care? Stay tuned!

Update, 2014-5-30: For more, see TMX to Report Closing Quotes … Someday.

Market Action

January 20, 2011

Banks have returned to dominance in credit market trading:

The average difference to buy and sell the 10 most actively-traded U.S. corporate credit-default swaps contracts ballooned to 24.2 basis points in the nine months after Lehman’s bankruptcy, from an average 4.5 basis points in the two years before the collapse, according to data compiled by Bloomberg and London-based CMA. That means a trader after the crisis could have earned an extra $19,700 on a $10 million trade.

“They made hay while the sun shined,” Lewis said. “The total compensation was great at the boutiques when the larger banks couldn’t compete.”

Those margins collapsed as the U.S. government and the Federal Reserve spent, lent or committed $12.8 trillion to unlock capital markets and bail out banks. The average gap between prices to buy and sell credit-default swaps narrowed to an average 7 basis points in 2010, CMA data show.

It was a day of mixed results on heavy volume for the Canadian preferred share market, with PerpetualDiscounts gaining 3bp and FixedResets losing 9bp.

HIMIPref™ Preferred Indices
These values reflect the December 2008 revision of the HIMIPref™ Indices

Values are provisional and are finalized monthly
Index Mean
Current
Yield
(at bid)
Median
YTW
Median
Average
Trading
Value
Median
Mod Dur
(YTW)
Issues Day’s Perf. Index Value
Ratchet 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 -0.1462 % 2,334.0
FixedFloater 4.77 % 3.45 % 26,807 19.20 1 -0.3930 % 3,570.3
Floater 2.56 % 2.33 % 44,377 21.36 4 -0.1462 % 2,520.1
OpRet 4.81 % 3.25 % 66,553 2.29 8 -0.0818 % 2,391.7
SplitShare 5.31 % 1.69 % 472,783 0.88 4 -0.1150 % 2,462.2
Interest-Bearing 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 -0.0818 % 2,187.0
Perpetual-Premium 5.64 % 5.10 % 140,005 5.18 20 0.1158 % 2,033.5
Perpetual-Discount 5.31 % 5.29 % 258,372 14.90 57 0.0341 % 2,083.2
FixedReset 5.23 % 3.45 % 288,639 3.05 52 -0.0864 % 2,274.0
Performance Highlights
Issue Index Change Notes
GWO.PR.G Perpetual-Discount -1.64 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2041-01-20
Maturity Price : 23.72
Evaluated at bid price : 24.01
Bid-YTW : 5.46 %
GWO.PR.I Perpetual-Discount -1.45 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2041-01-20
Maturity Price : 22.29
Evaluated at bid price : 22.44
Bid-YTW : 5.05 %
IAG.PR.C FixedReset -1.32 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-01-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.89
Bid-YTW : 3.66 %
BAM.PR.J OpRet -1.08 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Soft Maturity
Maturity Date : 2018-03-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.53
Bid-YTW : 4.47 %
MFC.PR.C Perpetual-Discount -1.01 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2041-01-20
Maturity Price : 21.54
Evaluated at bid price : 21.54
Bid-YTW : 5.29 %
GWO.PR.F Perpetual-Premium 1.19 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2011-10-30
Maturity Price : 25.25
Evaluated at bid price : 25.55
Bid-YTW : 4.72 %
ELF.PR.F Perpetual-Discount 5.21 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2041-01-20
Maturity Price : 22.00
Evaluated at bid price : 22.00
Bid-YTW : 6.07 %
Volume Highlights
Issue Index Shares
Traded
Notes
CM.PR.I Perpetual-Discount 106,394 Nesbitt crossed 49,000 at 23.25; RBC crossed 12,000 at the same price.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2041-01-20
Maturity Price : 23.03
Evaluated at bid price : 23.23
Bid-YTW : 5.07 %
SLF.PR.E Perpetual-Discount 48,879 Nesbitt crossed 26,800 at 21.70 and bought 10,000 from RBC at the same price.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2041-01-20
Maturity Price : 21.37
Evaluated at bid price : 21.65
Bid-YTW : 5.23 %
GWO.PR.N FixedReset 46,420 RBC crossed 36,000 at 24.81.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2041-01-20
Maturity Price : 24.80
Evaluated at bid price : 24.85
Bid-YTW : 3.86 %
BAM.PR.J OpRet 44,943 RBC crossed 38,700 at 26.80.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Soft Maturity
Maturity Date : 2018-03-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.53
Bid-YTW : 4.47 %
PWF.PR.F Perpetual-Discount 43,350 Nesbitt crossed 15,800 at 24.00; RBC crosse 19,000 at 24.05.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2041-01-20
Maturity Price : 23.69
Evaluated at bid price : 24.00
Bid-YTW : 5.48 %
RY.PR.F Perpetual-Discount 43,200 CIBC sold 29,400 to anonymous at 23.00.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2041-01-20
Maturity Price : 22.82
Evaluated at bid price : 23.00
Bid-YTW : 4.90 %
There were 56 other index-included issues trading in excess of 10,000 shares.
Market Action

January 19, 2011

The Bank of Canada has published the January 2011 Monetary Policy Report:

Underlying pressures affecting prices remain subdued, reflecting the considerable
slack in the Canadian economy. Core inflation is projected to edge gradually up to 2 per cent by the end of 2012, as excess supply in the economy is slowly absorbed. Inflation expectations remain well anchored. Total CPI inflation is being boosted temporarily by the effects of provincial indirect taxes, but is expected to converge to the 2 per cent target by the end of 2012.


Click for Big

Click for Big

There are two main upside risks to inflation, relating to higher commodity prices and the possibility of greater-than-projected momentum in the Canadian household sector:

  • The global economy could be stronger than currently anticipated, particularly if measures to moderate demand in emerging-market economies prove insufficient. This could boost commodity prices, which would increase incomes in Canada and support stronger investment activity and household spending.
  • There could be stronger-than-expected momentum in household expenditures in Canada. With exceptionally stimulative financing conditions, borrowing could continue to grow faster than income.

Volume picked up a little as performance slipped on the Canadian preferred share market, with PerpetualDiscounts down 22bp and FixedResets losing 13bp.

PerpetualDiscounts now yield 5.29%, equivalent to 7.41% interest at the standard equivalency factor of 1.4x. As I write this, however, the Canadian Bond Indices website has collywobbles, so you’ll just have to wait for this week’s evaluation of the Seniority Spread.

Update: Long Corporates now yield about 5.5%, so the pre-tax interest-equivalent spread is now about 190bp, down sharply from the 205bp reported January 12.

HIMIPref™ Preferred Indices
These values reflect the December 2008 revision of the HIMIPref™ Indices

Values are provisional and are finalized monthly
Index Mean
Current
Yield
(at bid)
Median
YTW
Median
Average
Trading
Value
Median
Mod Dur
(YTW)
Issues Day’s Perf. Index Value
Ratchet 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 -0.0852 % 2,337.4
FixedFloater 4.75 % 3.43 % 26,377 19.23 1 0.3946 % 3,584.4
Floater 2.56 % 2.35 % 41,074 21.33 4 -0.0852 % 2,523.8
OpRet 4.80 % 3.39 % 65,847 2.29 8 0.1542 % 2,393.6
SplitShare 5.30 % 1.80 % 489,288 0.88 4 -0.2046 % 2,465.1
Interest-Bearing 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.1542 % 2,188.7
Perpetual-Premium 5.64 % 5.22 % 141,826 5.31 20 0.0196 % 2,031.1
Perpetual-Discount 5.31 % 5.29 % 262,772 14.98 57 -0.2239 % 2,082.4
FixedReset 5.23 % 3.42 % 283,343 3.05 52 -0.1294 % 2,275.9
Performance Highlights
Issue Index Change Notes
ELF.PR.F Perpetual-Discount -5.68 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2041-01-19
Maturity Price : 20.91
Evaluated at bid price : 20.91
Bid-YTW : 6.39 %
PWF.PR.P FixedReset -1.47 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2016-03-01
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.40
Bid-YTW : 4.03 %
NA.PR.M Perpetual-Premium -1.21 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2017-06-14
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.39
Bid-YTW : 5.67 %
BAM.PR.P FixedReset -1.11 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-10-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 27.50
Bid-YTW : 4.25 %
TRP.PR.C FixedReset -1.09 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2016-02-29
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.50
Bid-YTW : 3.94 %
SLF.PR.D Perpetual-Discount -1.07 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2041-01-19
Maturity Price : 21.27
Evaluated at bid price : 21.27
Bid-YTW : 5.28 %
BAM.PR.O OpRet 1.09 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Option Certainty
Maturity Date : 2013-06-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.89
Bid-YTW : 3.60 %
CIU.PR.A Perpetual-Discount 1.12 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2041-01-19
Maturity Price : 22.35
Evaluated at bid price : 22.50
Bid-YTW : 5.18 %
Volume Highlights
Issue Index Shares
Traded
Notes
BAM.PR.B Floater 202,576 TD crossed 175,000 at 18.78 and sold 11,300 to Nesbitt at the same price.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2041-01-19
Maturity Price : 18.71
Evaluated at bid price : 18.71
Bid-YTW : 2.82 %
SLF.PR.B Perpetual-Discount 92,046 TD crossed 80,000 at 23.12.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2041-01-19
Maturity Price : 22.90
Evaluated at bid price : 23.12
Bid-YTW : 5.23 %
CM.PR.I Perpetual-Discount 91,353 TD crossed 69,700 at 23.08.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2041-01-19
Maturity Price : 22.90
Evaluated at bid price : 23.09
Bid-YTW : 5.10 %
BNS.PR.M Perpetual-Discount 72,700 TD crossed 25,000 at 23.15.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2041-01-19
Maturity Price : 22.92
Evaluated at bid price : 23.10
Bid-YTW : 4.88 %
BAM.PR.T FixedReset 70,050 Scotia crossed 25,000 at 25.00. TD crossed 15,000 at 24.97.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2041-01-19
Maturity Price : 23.05
Evaluated at bid price : 24.85
Bid-YTW : 4.69 %
TRP.PR.B FixedReset 65,813 Nesbitt crossed 60,000 at 25.45.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2015-07-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.41
Bid-YTW : 3.66 %
There were 49 other index-included issues trading in excess of 10,000 shares.
New Issues

New Issue: BAM FixedReset 4.60%+180

Brookfield Asset Management has announced:

that it has agreed to issue 8,600,000 Preferred Shares, Series 28 on a bought deal basis to a syndicate of underwriters led by TD Securities Inc., CIBC, RBC Capital Markets and Scotia Capital Inc. for distribution to the public. The Preferred Shares, Series 28 will be issued at a price of $25.00 per share, for aggregate gross proceeds of CDN$215,000,000. Holders of the Preferred Shares, Series 28 will be entitled to receive a cumulative quarterly fixed dividend yielding 4.60% annually for the initial period ending June 30, 2017. Thereafter, the dividend rate will be reset every five years at a rate equal to the 5-year Government of Canada bond yield plus 1.80%.

Holders of Preferred Shares, Series 28 will have the right, at their option, to convert their shares into cumulative Preferred Shares, Series 29, subject to certain conditions, on June 30, 2017 and on June 30 every five years thereafter. Holders of the Preferred Shares, Series 29 will be entitled to receive cumulative quarterly floating dividends at a rate equal to the three-month Government of Canada Treasury Bill yield plus 1.80%.

Brookfield Asset Management has granted the underwriters an over-allotment option, exercisable for a period of 30 days following closing, to purchase up to an additional 1,290,000 Preferred Shares, Series 28 which, if exercised, would increase the gross offering size to $247,250,000. The Preferred Shares will be offered in all provinces of Canada by way of short form prospectus.

The net proceeds of the issue will be used for general corporate purposes, including funding a portion of the company’s acquisition of additional common shares in U.S. mall operator General Growth Properties Inc. The offering is expected to close on or about February 8, 2011.

Brookfield’s announcement of the General Growth Properties share purchase stated:

Brookfield will issue 27.5 million Class A shares valued at $907 million to Fairholme based on stock market prices and pay $804 million in cash from general corporate sources to acquire the General Growth shares.

As very briefly noted yesterday, DBRS noted the deal with Fairholme but didn’t say much. They rate this issue Pfd-2(low).

Update, 2011-1-21: The Break Even Rate Shock on this issue is 195bp.

Update, 2011-1-26: Brookfield has announced:

that it has agreed to issue approximately 15,300,000 Class A Common Shares (“Class A Shares”), on a bought deal basis, to a syndicate of underwriters led by RBC Capital Markets, CIBC World Markets, TD Securities Inc. and Scotia Capital Inc. (the “Underwriters”) at a price of C$32.85 per Class A Share (the “Offering Price”) for aggregate gross proceeds of C$502.6 million (the “Offering”).

In addition, the Company has granted the Underwriters an over-allotment option, exercisable in whole or in part for a period of 30 days following closing, to purchase up to an additional 2,295,000 Class A Shares at the Offering Price, which, if exercised, would increase the gross offering size to C$578.0 million.

The Class A Shares will be offered by way of a short form prospectus to be filed in all of the provinces of Canada and on a private placement basis in the United States pursuant to an exemption from the registration requirements of the United States Securities Act of 1933, as amended.

As previously announced, the Company has acquired 113.3 million common shares of General Growth Properties, Inc. (“GGP”) from The Fairholme Fund for aggregate consideration of approximately US$1.7 billion. The proceeds of the Offering, together with the proceeds of the Company’s previously announced offering of preferred shares, means that the Company’s purchase of the common shares of GGP is financed almost entirely with permanent equity, thoroughly enhancing the Company’s ability to pursue additional investment opportunities. The Offering is expected to close on or about February 15, 2011 and is subject to receipt of all necessary regulatory approvals.

Market Action

January 18, 2011

Brookfield is doubling-up on General Growth.

It was another good day on good volume for the Canadian preferred share market, with PerpetualDiscounts up 13bp and FixedResets gaining 4bp.

HIMIPref™ Preferred Indices
These values reflect the December 2008 revision of the HIMIPref™ Indices

Values are provisional and are finalized monthly
Index Mean
Current
Yield
(at bid)
Median
YTW
Median
Average
Trading
Value
Median
Mod Dur
(YTW)
Issues Day’s Perf. Index Value
Ratchet 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.4278 % 2,339.4
FixedFloater 4.77 % 3.45 % 25,848 19.21 1 0.0000 % 3,570.3
Floater 2.56 % 2.33 % 40,727 21.37 4 0.4278 % 2,526.0
OpRet 4.81 % 3.38 % 65,007 2.29 8 -0.0482 % 2,389.9
SplitShare 5.29 % 1.24 % 506,655 0.89 4 0.2903 % 2,470.1
Interest-Bearing 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 -0.0482 % 2,185.4
Perpetual-Premium 5.64 % 5.31 % 140,837 5.32 20 0.0118 % 2,030.7
Perpetual-Discount 5.30 % 5.29 % 260,890 14.97 57 0.1317 % 2,087.1
FixedReset 5.22 % 3.37 % 281,764 3.05 52 0.0431 % 2,278.9
Performance Highlights
Issue Index Change Notes
CM.PR.D Perpetual-Premium 1.14 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2011-02-17
Maturity Price : 25.50
Evaluated at bid price : 25.62
Bid-YTW : -2.69 %
NA.PR.N FixedReset 1.33 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2013-09-14
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.65
Bid-YTW : 2.58 %
BNA.PR.C SplitShare 1.38 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2019-01-10
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 22.76
Bid-YTW : 5.89 %
Volume Highlights
Issue Index Shares
Traded
Notes
TRP.PR.A FixedReset 107,675 Nesbitt crossed 100,000 at 26.00.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2015-01-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.98
Bid-YTW : 3.62 %
TD.PR.Q Perpetual-Premium 105,300 Scotia crossed 28,000 at 25.75. Desjardins crossed blocks of 31,000 at 25.75 and 45,000 at 25.71.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2017-03-02
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.66
Bid-YTW : 5.09 %
BAM.PR.T FixedReset 102,405 Nebitt crossed 10,000 at 24.98. RBC bought 16,300 from Scotia at 24.99. RBC crossed 21,900 at 25.00, and sold blocks of 11,800 and 12,800 to TD at the same price.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2017-04-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 24.90
Bid-YTW : 4.65 %
BNS.PR.T FixedReset 99,900 TD bought two blocks of 10,000 shares each from Nesbitt at 27.28. Nesbitt crossed 25,000 at 27.28; TD crossed 35,000 at the same price.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-05-25
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 27.24
Bid-YTW : 3.40 %
BMO.PR.M FixedReset 75,260 TD crossed 58,300 at 26.56.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2013-09-24
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.65
Bid-YTW : 2.67 %
IAG.PR.F Perpetual-Premium 74,916 Desjardins crossed 68,500 at 25.90.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2019-04-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.51
Bid-YTW : 5.68 %
There were 44 other index-included issues trading in excess of 10,000 shares.
Market Action

January 17, 2011

It was another good day for the Canadian preferred share market, with PerpetualDiscounts gaining 33bp and FixedResets up 3bp. Volume eased off, but only slightly.

Deeply discounted Straight Perpetuals were the star performers … again.

HIMIPref™ Preferred Indices
These values reflect the December 2008 revision of the HIMIPref™ Indices

Values are provisional and are finalized monthly
Index Mean
Current
Yield
(at bid)
Median
YTW
Median
Average
Trading
Value
Median
Mod Dur
(YTW)
Issues Day’s Perf. Index Value
Ratchet 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.2574 % 2,329.5
FixedFloater 4.77 % 3.45 % 26,174 19.22 1 0.8846 % 3,570.3
Floater 2.57 % 2.35 % 40,114 21.34 4 0.2574 % 2,515.2
OpRet 4.81 % 3.38 % 65,033 2.29 8 0.0337 % 2,391.1
SplitShare 5.31 % 1.24 % 527,696 0.89 4 0.3365 % 2,463.0
Interest-Bearing 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.0337 % 2,186.4
Perpetual-Premium 5.64 % 5.23 % 137,580 5.32 20 0.0609 % 2,030.5
Perpetual-Discount 5.30 % 5.24 % 262,762 14.87 57 0.3312 % 2,084.4
FixedReset 5.22 % 3.36 % 284,906 3.06 52 0.0338 % 2,277.9
Performance Highlights
Issue Index Change Notes
PWF.PR.P FixedReset -1.05 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2016-03-01
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.56
Bid-YTW : 3.89 %
CM.PR.I Perpetual-Discount 1.00 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2041-01-17
Maturity Price : 23.01
Evaluated at bid price : 23.20
Bid-YTW : 5.07 %
RY.PR.G Perpetual-Discount 1.01 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2041-01-17
Maturity Price : 22.82
Evaluated at bid price : 23.00
Bid-YTW : 4.96 %
RY.PR.D Perpetual-Discount 1.05 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2041-01-17
Maturity Price : 22.82
Evaluated at bid price : 23.00
Bid-YTW : 4.96 %
GWO.PR.I Perpetual-Discount 1.15 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2041-01-17
Maturity Price : 22.68
Evaluated at bid price : 22.86
Bid-YTW : 4.95 %
POW.PR.D Perpetual-Discount 1.27 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2041-01-17
Maturity Price : 22.92
Evaluated at bid price : 23.14
Bid-YTW : 5.43 %
RY.PR.N FixedReset 1.57 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-03-26
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 27.83
Bid-YTW : 2.82 %
BAM.PR.R FixedReset 1.58 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2016-07-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.36
Bid-YTW : 4.34 %
SLF.PR.E Perpetual-Discount 1.69 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2041-01-17
Maturity Price : 21.36
Evaluated at bid price : 21.63
Bid-YTW : 5.23 %
CM.PR.J Perpetual-Discount 1.95 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2041-01-17
Maturity Price : 22.77
Evaluated at bid price : 22.95
Bid-YTW : 4.91 %
SLF.PR.A Perpetual-Discount 1.97 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2041-01-17
Maturity Price : 22.56
Evaluated at bid price : 22.76
Bid-YTW : 5.26 %
Volume Highlights
Issue Index Shares
Traded
Notes
PWF.PR.K Perpetual-Discount 208,521 Nesbitt crossed 12,400 at 22.81; RBC crossed 33,800 at 22.95. Nesbitt crossed blocks of 100,000 and 50,000, both at 22.80.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2041-01-17
Maturity Price : 22.56
Evaluated at bid price : 22.75
Bid-YTW : 5.45 %
SLF.PR.A Perpetual-Discount 137,510 TD crossed 37,400 at 22.95; RBC crossed 77,700 at the same price.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2041-01-17
Maturity Price : 22.56
Evaluated at bid price : 22.76
Bid-YTW : 5.26 %
GWO.PR.N FixedReset 132,318 Nesbitt crossed 125,000 at 24.85.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2041-01-17
Maturity Price : 24.70
Evaluated at bid price : 24.75
Bid-YTW : 3.87 %
FTS.PR.E OpRet 130,935 Nesbitt crossed 125,000 at 26.85.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2013-07-01
Maturity Price : 25.75
Evaluated at bid price : 26.75
Bid-YTW : 3.38 %
PWF.PR.O Perpetual-Premium 120,805 RBC crossed 65,700 at 25.01; Nesbitt crossed 50,000 at 25.03.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2018-11-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.01
Bid-YTW : 5.80 %
TD.PR.Q Perpetual-Premium 108,295 Desjardins crossed 100,000 at 25.65.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2017-03-02
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.65
Bid-YTW : 5.09 %
There were 37 other index-included issues trading in excess of 10,000 shares.
Issue Comments

SLS.PR.A: Partial Call for Redemption

SL Split Corp. has announced:

that it has called 1,950 Preferred Shares for cash redemption on January 31, 2011 (in accordance with the Company’s Articles) representing approximately 0.210% of the outstanding Preferred Shares as a result of the special annual retraction of 3,900 Capital Shares by the holders thereof. The Preferred Shares shall be redeemed on a pro rata basis, so that each holder of Preferred Shares of record on January 28, 2011 will have approximately 0.210% of their Preferred Shares redeemed. The redemption price for the Preferred Shares will be $25.78 per share.

In addition, holders of a further 94,800 Capital Shares and 47,400 Preferred Shares have deposited such shares concurrently for retraction on January 31, 2011. As a result, a total of 98,700 Capital Shares and 49,350 Preferred Shares, or approximately 5.0551% of both classes of shares currently outstanding, will be redeemed.

Holders of Preferred Shares that are on record for dividends but have been called for redemption will be entitled to receive dividends thereon which have been declared but remain unpaid up to but not including January 31, 2011.

Payment of the amount due to holders of Preferred Shares will be made by the Company on January 31, 2011. From and after January 31, 2011 the holders of Preferred Shares that have been called for redemption will not be entitled to dividends or to exercise any rights in respect of such shares except to receive the amount due on redemption.

SLS.PR.A was last mentioned on PrefBlog when it was upgraded to Pfd-4 by DBRS. SLS.PR.A is not tracked by HIMIPref™.

New Issues

New Issue: REI FixedReset 5.25%+262 Interest (?)

RioCan Real Estate Investment Trust has announced:

that it has reached agreements to issue to the public on a bought deal basis, subject to regulatory approval, 4 million Cumulative Rate Reset Preferred Trust Units, Series A (the “Series A Units”) at a price of $25 per unit for aggregate gross proceeds of $100 million, and $175 million principal amount of Series O senior unsecured debentures (the “Debentures”).

The Series A Units are being issued by a syndicate of underwriters co-led by RBC Capital Markets, Macquarie Capital Markets Canada Ltd. and Scotia Capital. The Series A Units will pay fixed cumulative distributions of $1.3125 per unit per annum, yielding 5.25% per annum, payable on the last day of March, June, September and December of each year, as and when declared by the board of trustees of RioCan, for the initial five-year period ending March 31, 2016. The first quarterly distribution, if declared, shall be payable on March 31, 2011 and shall be $0.2301 per unit, based on the anticipated closing of the Series A Units of January 26, 2011. The distribution rate will be reset on March 31, 2016 and every five years thereafter at a rate equal to the sum of the then five-year Government of Canada bond yield and 2.62%. The Series A Units are redeemable by RioCan, at its option, on March 31, 2016 and on March 31 of every fifth year thereafter.

Holders of Series A Units will have the right to reclassify all or any part of their units as Cumulative Floating Rate Preferred Trust Units, Series B (the “Series B Units”), subject to certain conditions, on March 31, 2016 and on March 31 of every fifth year thereafter. Such reclassification privilege may be subject to certain tax considerations (to be disclosed in the prospectus supplement). Holders of Series B Units will be entitled to receive a cumulative quarterly floating distribution at a rate equal to the sum of the then 90-day Government of Canada Treasury Bill yield plus 2.62%, as and when declared by the board of trustees of RioCan.

DBRS Limited (“DBRS”) has assigned a preliminary rating of Pfd-3 (High) for the Series A Units. It is a condition of closing that Standard & Poor’s, a division of the McGraw Hill Companies, Inc. (“S&P”) assign a rating of P-3 (High) for the Series A Units.

RioCan has granted the underwriters an over-allotment option exercisable in whole or in part at any time up to 30 days after closing, to purchase up to an additional 1 million Series A Units at the issue price which, if fully exercised, would result in additional gross proceeds of $25 million.

The Debentures are being issued by a syndicate of underwriters co-led by RBC Capital Markets, CIBC and TD Securities. The Debentures will carry a coupon rate of 4.499% and will mature on January 21, 2016. RioCan has granted the underwriters an option, exercisable at any time up to 48 hours prior to the closing of the Debenture offering, to purchase a further $25 million principal amount of Debentures at the same terms as set forth above.

RioCan will use a portion the proceeds from these offerings to redeem its $180 million 8.33% Series L senior unsecured debentures due April 3, 2014 and the balance for general trust purposes.

The offerings are being made under RioCan’s amended and restated base shelf prospectus dated December 21, 2010. The terms of each of the offerings will be described in prospectus supplements to be filed with Canadian securities regulators. The offering of Series A Units is expected to close on or about January 26, 2011. The Debenture offering is expected to close on or about January 21, 2011.

The debenture issue was later upsized to $225-million.

I believe that this is an interest-bearing issue, although I have not yet seen that spelt out in so many years. I’ll confirm when I see the final prospectus.

DBRS rates it Pfd-3(high).

Update, 2011-1-19: S&P rates it P-3(high).

Update, 2011-1-20: TIM KILADZE of the Globe & Mail reports:

In RioCan’s case, distributions will be taxed as income, not as dividends. That matters, because income is taxed at a higher rate. But the preferred units will be treated just like RioCan’s regular trust units, so a portion of the distributions will be treated as a return of capital. REITs often distribute more than their net incomes because depreciation skews their bottom lines (property values usually go up, not down), and the amount overpaid allows investors to get a better tax treatment.

PrefLetter

January Edition of PrefLetter Released!

The January, 2011, edition of PrefLetter has been released and is now available for purchase as the “Previous edition”. Those who subscribe for a full year receive the “Previous edition” as a bonus.

The January edition discusses the recent sharp increase in PerpetualDiscount prices, and the origins of this move in the new Basel III bank regulations.

As previously announced, PrefLetter is now available to residents of Alberta, British Columbia and Manitoba, as well as Ontario and to entities registered with the Quebec Securities Commission.

Until further notice, the “Previous Edition” will refer to the January, 2011, issue, while the “Next Edition” will be the February, 2011, issue, scheduled to be prepared as of the close February 11 and eMailed to subscribers prior to market-opening on February 14.

PrefLetter is intended for long term investors seeking issues to buy-and-hold. At least one recommendation from each of the major preferred share sectors is included and discussed.

Note: My verbosity has grown by such leaps and bounds that it is no longer possible to deliver PrefLetter as an eMail attachment – it’s just too big for my software! Instead, I have sent passwords – click on the link in your eMail and your copy will download.

Note: The PrefLetter website has a Subscriber Download Feature. If you have not received your copy, try it!

Note: PrefLetter eMails sometimes runs afoul of spam filters. If you have not received your copy within fifteen minutes of a release notice such as this one, please double check your (company’s) spam filtering policy and your spam repository – there are some hints in the post Sympatico Spam Filters out of Control. If it’s not there, contact me and I’ll get you your copy … somehow!

Note: There have been scattered complaints regarding inability to open PrefLetter in Acrobat Reader, despite my practice of including myself on the subscription list and immediately checking the copy received. I have had the occasional difficulty reading US Government documents, which I was able to resolve by downloading and installing the latest version of Adobe Reader. Also, note that so far, all complaints have been from users of Yahoo Mail. Try saving it to disk first, before attempting to open it.

Note: There have been other scattered complaints that double-clicking on the links in the “PrefLetter Download” email results in a message that the password has already been used. I have been able to reproduce this problem in my own eMail software … the problem is double-clicking. What happens is the first click opens the link and the second click finds that the password has already been used and refuses to work properly. So the moral of the story is: Don’t be a dick! Single Click!