Archive for April, 2009

LFE.PR.A: Dividends on Capital Units Suspended

Friday, April 10th, 2009

Better late than never! Canadian Life Companies Split Corp announced on Dec. 18:

There will not be a distribution paid to the Class A shares for December 31, 2008 as per the Prospectus which states no regular monthly dividends or other distributions will be paid on the Class A shares in any month as long as the net asset value per unit is equal to or less than $15.00. The net asset value as of December 15, 2008 was $13.65.

The NAV on March 31 was $11.69 according to the company.

LFE.PR.A was last mentioned on PrefBlog when it was downgraded to Pfd-4 by DBRS. LFE.PR.A is tracked by HIMIPref™ but was relegated to the “Scraps” index in the March 2009 rebalancing due to credit concerns.

Boston Fed Policy Discussion: Reducing Foreclosures

Friday, April 10th, 2009

I haven’t had much time to look at this Public Policy Discussion Paper, but Christopher L. Foote, Kristopher S. Gerardi, Lorenz Goette, and Paul S. Willen seem to have taken a good look at the data – and listened to it!

It is interesting that the Boston Fed is releasing this paper on Good Friday – could it be that management is not 100% enthralled at the political incorrectness of the conclusions?

Abstract:

This paper takes a skeptical look at a leading argument about what is causing the foreclosure crisis and what should be done to stop it. We use an economic model to focus on two key decisions: the borrower’s choice to default on the mortgage and the lender’s choice on whether to renegotiate or “modify” the loan. The theoretical model and econometric analysis illustrate that “unaffordable” loans, defined as those with high mortgage payments relative to income at origination, are unlikely to be the main reason that borrowers decide to default. Rather, the typical problem appears to be a combination of household income shocks and an unprecedented fall in house prices. Regarding the small number of loan modifications to date, we show, both theoretically and empirically, that the efficiency of foreclosure for investors is a more plausible explanation for the low number of modifications than contract frictions related to securitization agreements between servicers and investors. While investors might be foreclosing when it would be socially efficient to modify, there is little evidence to suggest they are acting against their own interests when they do so. An important implication of our analysis is that policies designed to reduce foreclosures should focus on ameliorating the immediate effects of job loss and other adverse life events, rather than modifying loans to make them more “affordable” on a long-term basis.

… and I was pleased that somebody has finally observed:

Estimates of the total gains to investors from modifying rather than foreclosing can run to $180 billion, more than 1 percent of GDP. It is natural to wonder why investors are leaving so many $500 bills on the sidewalk. While contract frictions are one possible explanation, another is that the gains from loan modifications are in reality much smaller or even nonexistent from the investor’s point of view.

We provide evidence in favor of the latter explanation. First, the typical calculation purporting to show that an investor loses money when a foreclosure occurs does not capture all relevant aspects of the problem. Investors also lose money when they modify mortgages for borrowers who would have repaid anyway, especially if modifications are done en masse, as proponents insist they should be. Moreover, the calculation ignores the possibility that borrowers with modified loans will default again later, usually for the same reason they defaulted in the first place. These two problems are empirically meaningful and can easily explain why servicers eschew modification in favor of foreclosure.

Turning to the data, we find that the evidence of contract frictions is weak, at least if these frictions result from the securitization of the loan.

April Edition of PrefLetter Now in Preparation!

Thursday, April 9th, 2009

The markets have closed and the April edition of PrefLetter is now being prepared.

PrefLetter is the monthly newsletter recommending individual issues of preferred shares to subscribers. There is at least one recommendation from every major type of preferred share with investment-grade constituents (two of them recently added); the recommendations are taylored for “buy-and-hold” investors.

Additionally, those taking an annual subscription to PrefLetter receive a discount on attendance at, or later viewing of, my seminars.

PrefLetter is available to residents of Ontario, British Columbia and Manitoba as well as Quebec residents registered with their securities commission.

The April issue will be eMailed to clients and available for single-issue purchase with immediate delivery prior to the opening bell on Monday. I will write another post on the weekend advising when the new issue has been uploaded to the server … so watch this space carefully if you intend to order “Next Issue” or “Previous Issue”! Until then, the “Next Issue” is the April Issue.

There’s something new on the PrefLetter site: a Subscriber Download facility. Those with an active year’s subscription to PrefLetter can download the previous edition. The primary delivery channel will continue to be eMail and this will not change.

April 9, 2009

Thursday, April 9th, 2009

If Dealbreaker is anything to go by – and I think it is – the latest plan to stimulate an artificial market for highly illiquid and distressed securities will go the way of all the others:

Is it not enough that we are already providing what are effectively failed institutions unbearably low cost capital while the likes of Berkshire Hathaway must wallow in high rates?

It is more than despicable that, now that the PPIP looks like it may be an abject failure even before bids have hit the screens, we should see the attempt to throw the problem onto the “dumb money” of the retail investor, while collecting fees, we might add.

Dealbreaker also brings to my attention an adulatory piece on Bernanke’s management style. Bernanke amazes me. There he was, an academic with experience on the board of the Fed, quietly doing his research on the Depression … normally he could look forward to a life of rewarding work and the the respect of a few dozen of his colleagues who knew and understood what he was talking about. Suddenly, he’s in the hotseat, doing the job he’s been training to do all his life, knowing that every decision he makes will be fodder for academia for the next hundred years … lucky man! And we’re lucky to have him.

Another strong day on the market with increasing volume, particularly among the Fixed-Resets. PerpetualDiscounts are now up 4.26% on the month, while FixedResets are up 2.40%. Average Trading Volume of the former continues its gradual decline, but I see no reason to panic as yet. Who knows, maybe some people simply gave up trading for Lent!

HIMIPref™ Preferred Indices
These values reflect the December 2008 revision of the HIMIPref™ Indices

Values are provisional and are finalized monthly
Index Mean
Current
Yield
(at bid)
Median
YTW
Median
Average
Trading
Value
Median
Mod Dur
(YTW)
Issues Day’s Perf. Index Value
Ratchet 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.8015 % 911.5
FixedFloater 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.8015 % 1,474.1
Floater 5.35 % 5.31 % 67,900 15.01 2 0.8015 % 1,138.7
OpRet 5.17 % 4.70 % 143,609 3.89 15 0.4171 % 2,103.9
SplitShare 6.83 % 11.72 % 46,430 5.66 3 0.5836 % 1,691.3
Interest-Bearing 6.11 % 8.52 % 29,038 0.70 1 0.2041 % 1,951.5
Perpetual-Premium 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.5891 % 1,581.0
Perpetual-Discount 6.90 % 7.02 % 148,852 12.61 71 0.5891 % 1,456.1
FixedReset 6.03 % 5.58 % 677,712 13.43 35 0.3419 % 1,868.9
Performance Highlights
Issue Index Change Notes
BMO.PR.H Perpetual-Discount -1.59 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-04-09
Maturity Price : 19.75
Evaluated at bid price : 19.75
Bid-YTW : 6.83 %
TCA.PR.Y Perpetual-Discount -1.46 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-04-09
Maturity Price : 44.57
Evaluated at bid price : 46.02
Bid-YTW : 6.06 %
POW.PR.C Perpetual-Discount -1.11 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-04-09
Maturity Price : 19.63
Evaluated at bid price : 19.63
Bid-YTW : 7.45 %
HSB.PR.C Perpetual-Discount -1.10 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-04-09
Maturity Price : 18.00
Evaluated at bid price : 18.00
Bid-YTW : 7.16 %
CM.PR.I Perpetual-Discount 1.03 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-04-09
Maturity Price : 16.71
Evaluated at bid price : 16.71
Bid-YTW : 7.06 %
TD.PR.A FixedReset 1.11 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-04-09
Maturity Price : 22.82
Evaluated at bid price : 22.86
Bid-YTW : 4.41 %
SLF.PR.B Perpetual-Discount 1.14 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-04-09
Maturity Price : 16.83
Evaluated at bid price : 16.83
Bid-YTW : 7.21 %
TD.PR.C FixedReset 1.15 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-04-09
Maturity Price : 24.49
Evaluated at bid price : 24.54
Bid-YTW : 4.87 %
IAG.PR.C FixedReset 1.29 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-04-09
Maturity Price : 22.74
Evaluated at bid price : 22.79
Bid-YTW : 5.99 %
TD.PR.S FixedReset 1.36 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-04-09
Maturity Price : 22.24
Evaluated at bid price : 22.31
Bid-YTW : 4.16 %
CM.PR.D Perpetual-Discount 1.38 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-04-09
Maturity Price : 20.55
Evaluated at bid price : 20.55
Bid-YTW : 7.02 %
CIU.PR.B FixedReset 1.44 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-07-01
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.79
Bid-YTW : 5.21 %
NA.PR.L Perpetual-Discount 1.50 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-04-09
Maturity Price : 17.61
Evaluated at bid price : 17.61
Bid-YTW : 6.89 %
RY.PR.I FixedReset 1.52 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-04-09
Maturity Price : 23.31
Evaluated at bid price : 23.35
Bid-YTW : 4.34 %
CM.PR.A OpRet 1.57 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2009-05-09
Maturity Price : 25.50
Evaluated at bid price : 25.92
Bid-YTW : -17.52 %
RY.PR.A Perpetual-Discount 1.57 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-04-09
Maturity Price : 18.06
Evaluated at bid price : 18.06
Bid-YTW : 6.27 %
TD.PR.Y FixedReset 1.58 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-04-09
Maturity Price : 22.44
Evaluated at bid price : 22.50
Bid-YTW : 4.25 %
BAM.PR.K Floater 1.64 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-04-09
Maturity Price : 8.04
Evaluated at bid price : 8.04
Bid-YTW : 5.49 %
ELF.PR.F Perpetual-Discount 1.72 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-04-09
Maturity Price : 15.40
Evaluated at bid price : 15.40
Bid-YTW : 8.68 %
BAM.PR.N Perpetual-Discount 1.76 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-04-09
Maturity Price : 13.85
Evaluated at bid price : 13.85
Bid-YTW : 8.68 %
CM.PR.H Perpetual-Discount 1.89 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-04-09
Maturity Price : 17.24
Evaluated at bid price : 17.24
Bid-YTW : 6.99 %
RY.PR.W Perpetual-Discount 1.91 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-04-09
Maturity Price : 19.19
Evaluated at bid price : 19.19
Bid-YTW : 6.50 %
PWF.PR.G Perpetual-Discount 1.95 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-04-09
Maturity Price : 20.95
Evaluated at bid price : 20.95
Bid-YTW : 7.07 %
BNA.PR.C SplitShare 2.12 % Asset coverage of 1.7-:1 as of February 28 according to the company.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2019-01-10
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 12.51
Bid-YTW : 14.07 %
MFC.PR.C Perpetual-Discount 2.14 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-04-09
Maturity Price : 16.20
Evaluated at bid price : 16.20
Bid-YTW : 7.04 %
W.PR.J Perpetual-Discount 2.25 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-04-09
Maturity Price : 20.45
Evaluated at bid price : 20.45
Bid-YTW : 6.90 %
NA.PR.M Perpetual-Discount 2.33 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-04-09
Maturity Price : 21.91
Evaluated at bid price : 22.00
Bid-YTW : 6.82 %
POW.PR.B Perpetual-Discount 2.41 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-04-09
Maturity Price : 18.71
Evaluated at bid price : 18.71
Bid-YTW : 7.20 %
PWF.PR.F Perpetual-Discount 2.49 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-04-09
Maturity Price : 18.95
Evaluated at bid price : 18.95
Bid-YTW : 6.95 %
IAG.PR.A Perpetual-Discount 2.77 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-04-09
Maturity Price : 15.20
Evaluated at bid price : 15.20
Bid-YTW : 7.65 %
MFC.PR.B Perpetual-Discount 2.81 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-04-09
Maturity Price : 16.81
Evaluated at bid price : 16.81
Bid-YTW : 7.01 %
BAM.PR.M Perpetual-Discount 3.61 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-04-09
Maturity Price : 14.06
Evaluated at bid price : 14.06
Bid-YTW : 8.55 %
BAM.PR.J OpRet 3.73 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Soft Maturity
Maturity Date : 2018-03-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 20.02
Bid-YTW : 8.72 %
POW.PR.D Perpetual-Discount 4.20 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-04-09
Maturity Price : 17.85
Evaluated at bid price : 17.85
Bid-YTW : 7.06 %
Volume Highlights
Issue Index Shares
Traded
Notes
HSB.PR.E FixedReset 129,912 Recent new issue.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-07-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.20
Bid-YTW : 6.51 %
MFC.PR.D FixedReset 104,139 TD bought 19,800 from National Bank at 25.10.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-04-09
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.05
Bid-YTW : 6.47 %
GWO.PR.J FixedReset 95,400 TD crossed 75,000 at 24.95.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-04-09
Maturity Price : 24.96
Evaluated at bid price : 25.01
Bid-YTW : 5.15 %
TD.PR.K FixedReset 93,535 Recent new issue.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-08-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.36
Bid-YTW : 5.99 %
BNS.PR.X FixedReset 88,800 RBC crossed 20,000 at 25.72, then another 10,000 at the same price. National crossed 10,000 at 25.70.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-05-25
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.53
Bid-YTW : 5.74 %
RY.PR.X FixedReset 82,370 Recent new issue.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-09-23
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.41
Bid-YTW : 5.96 %
There were 35 other index-included issues trading in excess of 10,000 shares.

April 8, 2009

Wednesday, April 8th, 2009

The SEC has announced that facts don’t matter any more:

The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission will weigh multiple rules to dictate when traders can bet shares will fall, after lawmakers and business groups said short-sellers fueled the financial crisis by targeting banks.

[SEC Chairman Mary] Schapiro said the SEC isn’t aware of any “empirical evidence” that shows the elimination of the uptick rule contributed to falling U.S. stock prices. Still, “many members of the public have come to associate short-selling with that volatility and with a loss of investor confidence,” she said.

… but it might simply be some more political grandstanding:

SEC Commissioner Kathleen Casey, a Republican, questioned whether the agency was pushing forward “merely in a political exercise.” If the SEC fails to justify its actions, the agency risked having any rule challenged and shot down by a federal court, she said.

“Empirical evidence must guide regulatory decisions,” said Casey, who said she supported soliciting public comment on the proposals. “If the commission forgets this principle, the D.C. Circuit stands ready to provide a reminder.”

Another day of good solid gains for preferreds, with PerpetualDiscounts gaining 0.35%, just a hairsbreadth better than Fixed Resets. The former asset class now has pre-tax bid-YTW of 7.06%, equivalent to 9.88% interest after application of the standard 1.4x conversion factor. Long corporates remain as near as dammit to 7.5%, so the pre-tax Interest Equivalent spread is now 238bp.

Volume was good today, dominated by the recent FixedReset issues; MFC.PR.D’s volume is picking up. It’s hard to tell what to think about this issue – the issue size was bumped and the underwriters exercised their greenshoe, but the issue has been trading sub-par since its issue with less volume than one might expect from an issue of this size. Could it be that the underwriters took a basketful into inventory?

For the first time in a while, we close a day without any new Fixed-Reset issues being marketted. It is, I suspect, a rather interesting conundrum; the banks – and insurers! – could probably use some more capital with a 5-year call; but market yields now suggest that a new issue should carry a coupon of less than the recent new issues. Who wants to be the first to try selling an issue with a reduced coupon? As far as I can readily recall, it would be a first for the sector.

HIMIPref™ Preferred Indices
These values reflect the December 2008 revision of the HIMIPref™ Indices

Values are provisional and are finalized monthly
Index Mean
Current
Yield
(at bid)
Median
YTW
Median
Average
Trading
Value
Median
Mod Dur
(YTW)
Issues Day’s Perf. Index Value
Ratchet 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 -1.6970 % 904.3
FixedFloater 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 -1.6970 % 1,462.4
Floater 5.39 % 5.31 % 68,842 15.01 2 -1.6970 % 1,129.7
OpRet 5.19 % 4.79 % 132,960 3.89 15 0.3200 % 2,095.1
SplitShare 6.87 % 11.92 % 46,231 5.67 3 0.6228 % 1,681.5
Interest-Bearing 6.12 % 8.78 % 28,951 0.71 1 1.0309 % 1,947.5
Perpetual-Premium 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.3575 % 1,571.7
Perpetual-Discount 6.94 % 7.06 % 149,733 12.48 71 0.3575 % 1,447.5
FixedReset 6.05 % 5.57 % 685,645 13.42 35 0.3160 % 1,862.5
Performance Highlights
Issue Index Change Notes
BAM.PR.K Floater -1.86 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-04-08
Maturity Price : 7.91
Evaluated at bid price : 7.91
Bid-YTW : 5.58 %
IAG.PR.A Perpetual-Discount -1.79 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-04-08
Maturity Price : 14.79
Evaluated at bid price : 14.79
Bid-YTW : 7.86 %
BAM.PR.B Floater -1.54 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-04-08
Maturity Price : 8.31
Evaluated at bid price : 8.31
Bid-YTW : 5.31 %
STW.PR.A Interest-Bearing 1.03 % Asset coverage of 1.5-:1 as of April 2, based on Capital Unit NAV of 2.47. and 1.99 Capital Units per Preferred.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2009-12-31
Maturity Price : 10.00
Evaluated at bid price : 9.80
Bid-YTW : 8.78 %
W.PR.H Perpetual-Discount 1.04 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-04-08
Maturity Price : 19.50
Evaluated at bid price : 19.50
Bid-YTW : 7.10 %
CM.PR.I Perpetual-Discount 1.10 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-04-08
Maturity Price : 16.54
Evaluated at bid price : 16.54
Bid-YTW : 7.13 %
CL.PR.B Perpetual-Discount 1.11 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-04-08
Maturity Price : 21.85
Evaluated at bid price : 21.85
Bid-YTW : 7.23 %
BNS.PR.Q FixedReset 1.19 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-04-08
Maturity Price : 22.11
Evaluated at bid price : 22.16
Bid-YTW : 4.28 %
BAM.PR.M Perpetual-Discount 1.19 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-04-08
Maturity Price : 13.57
Evaluated at bid price : 13.57
Bid-YTW : 8.86 %
BNS.PR.N Perpetual-Discount 1.24 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-04-08
Maturity Price : 19.61
Evaluated at bid price : 19.61
Bid-YTW : 6.72 %
TD.PR.Y FixedReset 1.37 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-04-08
Maturity Price : 22.10
Evaluated at bid price : 22.15
Bid-YTW : 4.31 %
MFC.PR.A OpRet 1.48 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Soft Maturity
Maturity Date : 2015-12-18
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 24.62
Bid-YTW : 4.42 %
IAG.PR.C FixedReset 1.67 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-04-08
Maturity Price : 22.46
Evaluated at bid price : 22.50
Bid-YTW : 6.06 %
CU.PR.A Perpetual-Discount 2.22 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-04-08
Maturity Price : 22.13
Evaluated at bid price : 22.52
Bid-YTW : 6.52 %
GWO.PR.G Perpetual-Discount 2.32 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-04-08
Maturity Price : 18.50
Evaluated at bid price : 18.50
Bid-YTW : 7.10 %
BAM.PR.J OpRet 2.55 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Soft Maturity
Maturity Date : 2018-03-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 19.30
Bid-YTW : 9.28 %
BNA.PR.C SplitShare 2.77 % Asset coverage of 1.7-:1 as of February 28, according to the company.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2019-01-10
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 12.25
Bid-YTW : 14.38 %
PWF.PR.L Perpetual-Discount 2.77 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-04-08
Maturity Price : 17.79
Evaluated at bid price : 17.79
Bid-YTW : 7.20 %
Volume Highlights
Issue Index Shares
Traded
Notes
HSB.PR.E FixedReset 615,420 New issue settled today.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-07-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.20
Bid-YTW : 6.51 %
TD.PR.K FixedReset 305,543 Recent new issue.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-08-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.28
Bid-YTW : 6.06 %
RY.PR.X FixedReset 230,033 Recent new issue.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-09-23
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.38
Bid-YTW : 5.99 %
BMO.PR.O FixedReset 126,170 Recent new issue.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-06-24
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.60
Bid-YTW : 6.07 %
RY.PR.T FixedReset 123,295 Recent new issue (but only just barely “recent”).
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-04-08
Maturity Price : 23.29
Evaluated at bid price : 25.50
Bid-YTW : 5.77 %
MFC.PR.D FixedReset 75,889 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-04-08
Maturity Price : 24.96
Evaluated at bid price : 25.01
Bid-YTW : 6.48 %
There were 28 other index-included issues trading in excess of 10,000 shares.

HSB.PR.E Closes (Finally!) at Premium on Heavy Volume

Wednesday, April 8th, 2009

HSBC Bank of Canada has announced:

has completed the offering of 10 million Non-Cumulative 5-Year Rate Reset Class 1 Preferred Shares Series E (the “Preferred Shares Series E”), issued at a price of C$25.00 per share to raise gross proceeds of C$250 million. The offering was made through a syndicate of underwriters led by HSBC Securities (Canada) Inc. and Scotia Capital Inc. The underwriters exercised an option to purchase 3 million Preferred Shares Series E in addition to the 7 million shares that they had previously agreed to purchase. The Preferred Shares Series E commenced trading today on the Toronto Stock Exchange under the ticker symbol HSB.PR.E.

This was the Fixed Reset 6.60%+485 issuee that had originally been scheduled to close on March 31 but had to be pulled when S&P downgraded HSBC Holdings, its parent. It would appear that HSBC Canada is much happier about issuing press releases when events proceed as expected! They did not acknowledge the problem until a press release was issued after 8pm on April 1.

To a point, I feel sorry for these guys. The downgrade was beyond the control of the Canada unit and the timing was horrible. But only to a point. There should have been a press release as soon as it was known that there was a problem … but then, HSBC is a huge organization, and nobody ever got anywhere in a huge organization (and many small ones!) by highlighting events that the corporation would rather forget (or, even better, not know in the first place). What do you think caused the credit crisis, anyway?

Be that as it may, the vital statistics for HSB.PR.E are:

HSB.PR.E FixedReset YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-07-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.20
Bid-YTW : 6.51 %

It traded 615,220 shares in a range of 24.98-23 before closing at 25.20-23, 40×6.

IGM Issues 10-Year Debs; in Line with IGM.PR.A

Wednesday, April 8th, 2009

IGM Financial Inc. has announced:

that it has priced the issuance of $375 million principal amount of debentures. The debentures will be offered through a group of agents to be led by BMO Capital Markets and RBC Capital Markets.

The Debentures will be dated April 7, 2009 and will mature April 8, 2019. These debentures will bear interest at a rate of 7.35% per cent per annum payable semi-annually in arrears in equal installments on April 8 and October 8 of each year, commencing on October 8, 2009. The Debentures have been priced to provide a yield to maturity of 7.358% percent.

The senior unsecured credit rating for IGM assigned by S&P is A+ and by DBRS is A (High).

This looks like a reasonable deal compared to the IGM.PR.A retractible (retraction date 2013-6-30). The preferred closed yesterday at 25.85-99, which corresponds to a YTW market of 4.91%-72. When the retractible’s yield is multiplied by the standard equivalency factor of 1.4x, the YTW market becomes 6.87%-61.

Bearing in mind the junior nature of preferreds, shorter term of IGM.PR.A and convexity of the preferred, these issues seem in line with each other.

April 7, 2009

Tuesday, April 7th, 2009

Again, no commentary! Pretty lazy, huh?

HIMIPref™ Preferred Indices
These values reflect the December 2008 revision of the HIMIPref™ Indices

Values are provisional and are finalized monthly
Index Mean
Current
Yield
(at bid)
Median
YTW
Median
Average
Trading
Value
Median
Mod Dur
(YTW)
Issues Day’s Perf. Index Value
Ratchet 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 1.4760 % 919.9
FixedFloater 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 1.4760 % 1,487.6
Floater 5.30 % 5.22 % 69,563 15.15 2 1.4760 % 1,149.2
OpRet 5.21 % 4.80 % 133,844 3.89 15 -0.0767 % 2,088.4
SplitShare 6.92 % 11.96 % 44,802 5.67 3 0.1247 % 1,671.1
Interest-Bearing 6.19 % 10.23 % 30,128 0.71 1 -0.1030 % 1,927.6
Perpetual-Premium 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.2989 % 1,566.1
Perpetual-Discount 6.96 % 7.05 % 150,179 12.47 71 0.2989 % 1,442.4
FixedReset 6.05 % 5.62 % 692,415 13.60 34 0.3591 % 1,856.7
Performance Highlights
Issue Index Change Notes
BAM.PR.J OpRet -1.98 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Soft Maturity
Maturity Date : 2018-03-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 18.82
Bid-YTW : 9.66 %
MFC.PR.A OpRet -1.94 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Soft Maturity
Maturity Date : 2015-12-18
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 24.26
Bid-YTW : 4.68 %
IAG.PR.C FixedReset -1.64 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-04-07
Maturity Price : 22.09
Evaluated at bid price : 22.13
Bid-YTW : 6.17 %
BNA.PR.C SplitShare -1.57 % Asset coverage of 1.7-:1 as of February 28, according to the company.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2019-01-10
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 11.92
Bid-YTW : 14.80 %
BMO.PR.L Perpetual-Discount -1.18 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-04-07
Maturity Price : 20.95
Evaluated at bid price : 20.95
Bid-YTW : 7.05 %
RY.PR.A Perpetual-Discount -1.16 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-04-07
Maturity Price : 17.89
Evaluated at bid price : 17.89
Bid-YTW : 6.33 %
BAM.PR.H OpRet 1.02 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Soft Maturity
Maturity Date : 2012-03-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 23.70
Bid-YTW : 7.83 %
MFC.PR.C Perpetual-Discount 1.02 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-04-07
Maturity Price : 15.77
Evaluated at bid price : 15.77
Bid-YTW : 7.23 %
CM.PR.K FixedReset 1.11 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-04-07
Maturity Price : 22.71
Evaluated at bid price : 22.75
Bid-YTW : 4.76 %
BNA.PR.A SplitShare 1.13 % Asset coverage of 1.7-:1 as of February 28, according to the company.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2010-09-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 23.27
Bid-YTW : 11.96 %
NA.PR.P FixedReset 1.23 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-03-17
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.70
Bid-YTW : 5.82 %
ELF.PR.G Perpetual-Discount 1.25 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-04-07
Maturity Price : 13.76
Evaluated at bid price : 13.76
Bid-YTW : 8.70 %
BMO.PR.H Perpetual-Discount 1.27 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-04-07
Maturity Price : 20.00
Evaluated at bid price : 20.00
Bid-YTW : 6.74 %
POW.PR.C Perpetual-Discount 1.33 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-04-07
Maturity Price : 19.81
Evaluated at bid price : 19.81
Bid-YTW : 7.37 %
GWO.PR.I Perpetual-Discount 1.37 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-04-07
Maturity Price : 15.50
Evaluated at bid price : 15.50
Bid-YTW : 7.33 %
POW.PR.D Perpetual-Discount 1.41 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-04-07
Maturity Price : 17.24
Evaluated at bid price : 17.24
Bid-YTW : 7.30 %
PWF.PR.F Perpetual-Discount 1.50 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-04-07
Maturity Price : 18.50
Evaluated at bid price : 18.50
Bid-YTW : 7.12 %
SLF.PR.B Perpetual-Discount 1.59 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-04-07
Maturity Price : 16.58
Evaluated at bid price : 16.58
Bid-YTW : 7.31 %
NA.PR.N FixedReset 1.93 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-04-07
Maturity Price : 23.64
Evaluated at bid price : 23.71
Bid-YTW : 4.34 %
IAG.PR.A Perpetual-Discount 1.96 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-04-07
Maturity Price : 15.06
Evaluated at bid price : 15.06
Bid-YTW : 7.72 %
BAM.PR.B Floater 2.30 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-04-07
Maturity Price : 8.44
Evaluated at bid price : 8.44
Bid-YTW : 5.22 %
PWF.PR.E Perpetual-Discount 3.50 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-04-07
Maturity Price : 19.59
Evaluated at bid price : 19.59
Bid-YTW : 7.05 %
Volume Highlights
Issue Index Shares
Traded
Notes
RY.PR.X FixedReset 213,950 Recent new issue.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-04-07
Maturity Price : 23.20
Evaluated at bid price : 25.21
Bid-YTW : 6.08 %
TD.PR.K FixedReset 142,605 Recent new issue.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-08-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.28
Bid-YTW : 6.06 %
MFC.PR.D FixedReset 125,984 Scotia crossed 45,000 at 25.00; TD bought 10,000 from CIBC at the same price.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-04-07
Maturity Price : 24.95
Evaluated at bid price : 25.00
Bid-YTW : 6.48 %
BNS.PR.T FixedReset 53,325 Desjardins crossed 10,700 at 25.65.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-05-25
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.65
Bid-YTW : 5.61 %
CM.PR.A OpRet 52,100 Desjardins crossed 47,500 at 25.75.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2009-05-07
Maturity Price : 25.50
Evaluated at bid price : 25.51
Bid-YTW : 0.74 %
RY.PR.T FixedReset 46,029 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-04-07
Maturity Price : 23.29
Evaluated at bid price : 25.50
Bid-YTW : 5.77 %
There were 26 other index-included issues trading in excess of 10,000 shares.

April 6, 2009

Monday, April 6th, 2009

Another day of good solid performance, but volume was off a bit.

HIMIPref™ Preferred Indices
These values reflect the December 2008 revision of the HIMIPref™ Indices

Values are provisional and are finalized monthly
Index Mean
Current
Yield
(at bid)
Median
YTW
Median
Average
Trading
Value
Median
Mod Dur
(YTW)
Issues Day’s Perf. Index Value
Ratchet 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 3.2381 % 906.5
FixedFloater 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 3.2381 % 1,466.0
Floater 5.38 % 5.34 % 69,907 14.96 2 3.2381 % 1,132.5
OpRet 5.20 % 4.80 % 135,112 3.85 15 -0.1601 % 2,090.0
SplitShare 6.93 % 12.78 % 45,046 5.67 3 1.9433 % 1,669.0
Interest-Bearing 6.18 % 10.04 % 29,559 0.71 1 -0.4103 % 1,929.6
Perpetual-Premium 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.2323 % 1,561.5
Perpetual-Discount 6.97 % 7.11 % 151,258 12.41 71 0.2323 % 1,438.1
FixedReset 6.06 % 5.71 % 702,581 13.69 34 0.2138 % 1,850.0
Performance Highlights
Issue Index Change Notes
MFC.PR.C Perpetual-Discount -2.80 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-04-06
Maturity Price : 15.61
Evaluated at bid price : 15.61
Bid-YTW : 7.30 %
CIU.PR.A Perpetual-Discount -1.31 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-04-06
Maturity Price : 17.27
Evaluated at bid price : 17.27
Bid-YTW : 6.77 %
ELF.PR.G Perpetual-Discount -1.16 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-04-06
Maturity Price : 13.59
Evaluated at bid price : 13.59
Bid-YTW : 8.81 %
BNS.PR.K Perpetual-Discount -1.12 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-04-06
Maturity Price : 17.71
Evaluated at bid price : 17.71
Bid-YTW : 6.80 %
BNS.PR.N Perpetual-Discount -1.07 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-04-06
Maturity Price : 19.44
Evaluated at bid price : 19.44
Bid-YTW : 6.78 %
IAG.PR.A Perpetual-Discount -1.01 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-04-06
Maturity Price : 14.77
Evaluated at bid price : 14.77
Bid-YTW : 7.87 %
W.PR.H Perpetual-Discount 1.05 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-04-06
Maturity Price : 19.30
Evaluated at bid price : 19.30
Bid-YTW : 7.17 %
POW.PR.C Perpetual-Discount 1.09 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-04-06
Maturity Price : 19.55
Evaluated at bid price : 19.55
Bid-YTW : 7.47 %
PWF.PR.H Perpetual-Discount 1.11 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-04-06
Maturity Price : 19.97
Evaluated at bid price : 19.97
Bid-YTW : 7.37 %
TD.PR.P Perpetual-Discount 1.13 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-04-06
Maturity Price : 20.00
Evaluated at bid price : 20.00
Bid-YTW : 6.58 %
TD.PR.Q Perpetual-Discount 1.22 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-04-06
Maturity Price : 21.16
Evaluated at bid price : 21.16
Bid-YTW : 6.64 %
POW.PR.D Perpetual-Discount 1.25 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-04-06
Maturity Price : 17.00
Evaluated at bid price : 17.00
Bid-YTW : 7.41 %
TD.PR.E FixedReset 1.26 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-05-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.54
Bid-YTW : 5.71 %
SLF.PR.D Perpetual-Discount 1.32 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-04-06
Maturity Price : 15.31
Evaluated at bid price : 15.31
Bid-YTW : 7.34 %
PWF.PR.I Perpetual-Discount 1.34 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-04-06
Maturity Price : 21.10
Evaluated at bid price : 21.10
Bid-YTW : 7.28 %
RY.PR.H Perpetual-Discount 1.35 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-04-06
Maturity Price : 22.41
Evaluated at bid price : 22.53
Bid-YTW : 6.37 %
PWF.PR.F Perpetual-Discount 1.37 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-04-06
Maturity Price : 18.55
Evaluated at bid price : 18.55
Bid-YTW : 7.25 %
PWF.PR.L Perpetual-Discount 1.37 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-04-06
Maturity Price : 17.72
Evaluated at bid price : 17.72
Bid-YTW : 7.37 %
BMO.PR.M FixedReset 1.58 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-04-06
Maturity Price : 22.43
Evaluated at bid price : 22.50
Bid-YTW : 4.20 %
GWO.PR.G Perpetual-Discount 1.63 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-04-06
Maturity Price : 18.06
Evaluated at bid price : 18.06
Bid-YTW : 7.27 %
PWF.PR.G Perpetual-Discount 1.71 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-04-06
Maturity Price : 20.85
Evaluated at bid price : 20.85
Bid-YTW : 7.24 %
GWO.PR.H Perpetual-Discount 1.72 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-04-06
Maturity Price : 16.60
Evaluated at bid price : 16.60
Bid-YTW : 7.38 %
SLF.PR.A Perpetual-Discount 1.80 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-04-06
Maturity Price : 16.40
Evaluated at bid price : 16.40
Bid-YTW : 7.32 %
IAG.PR.C FixedReset 1.81 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-04-06
Maturity Price : 22.46
Evaluated at bid price : 22.50
Bid-YTW : 6.06 %
BAM.PR.B Floater 1.98 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-04-06
Maturity Price : 8.25
Evaluated at bid price : 8.25
Bid-YTW : 5.34 %
BNA.PR.C SplitShare 3.06 % Asset coverage of 1.7-:1 as of February 28, according to the company.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2019-01-10
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 12.11
Bid-YTW : 14.55 %
PWF.PR.K Perpetual-Discount 3.09 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-04-06
Maturity Price : 18.00
Evaluated at bid price : 18.00
Bid-YTW : 7.04 %
BNA.PR.B SplitShare 3.19 % Asset coverage of 1.7-:1 as of February 28, according to the company.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2016-03-25
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 21.01
Bid-YTW : 8.12 %
BAM.PR.K Floater 4.57 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-04-06
Maturity Price : 8.01
Evaluated at bid price : 8.01
Bid-YTW : 5.50 %
Volume Highlights
Issue Index Shares
Traded
Notes
TD.PR.K FixedReset 219,566 Recent new issue.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-04-06
Maturity Price : 25.13
Evaluated at bid price : 25.18
Bid-YTW : 6.12 %
RY.PR.X FixedReset 130,685 Recent new issue.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-04-06
Maturity Price : 23.18
Evaluated at bid price : 25.15
Bid-YTW : 6.10 %
MFC.PR.D FixedReset 51,811 TD bought 11,700 from Nesbitt at 25.00.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-04-06
Maturity Price : 24.87
Evaluated at bid price : 24.92
Bid-YTW : 6.50 %
BMO.PR.K Perpetual-Discount 47,225 RBC crossed 24,700 at 18.99.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-04-06
Maturity Price : 18.80
Evaluated at bid price : 18.80
Bid-YTW : 7.11 %
CM.PR.M FixedReset 41,560 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2039-04-06
Maturity Price : 25.30
Evaluated at bid price : 25.35
Bid-YTW : 6.19 %
BMO.PR.O FixedReset 41,480 Recent new issue.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-06-24
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.50
Bid-YTW : 6.16 %
There were 20 other index-included issues trading in excess of 10,000 shares.

IIAC Releases 4Q08 Debt Trading Report

Monday, April 6th, 2009

The Investment Industry Association of Canada has released its Debt Market Report for 4Q08.

Corporate issuance has fallen off a cliff:

… and Money Market trading is showing some interesting trends: