May 1, 2012

There’s some sabre rattling from the Fed:

Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond President Jeffrey Lacker said the central bank needs to be ready to raise interest rates even if joblessness exceeds 7 percent.

Speaking in an interview today at the Bloomberg Washington Summit hosted by Bloomberg Link, he said the Fed will probably have to raise rates in mid-2013. Adding more monetary stimulus now would raise inflation risks without doing much to boost growth, he said.

Unemployment “could well be above 7 percent, and I think we have to prepare for that,” Lacker said. “I think it’s a misconception to think we have to get unemployment all the way down to five or some number like that before we raise rates.”

Lacker has cast the only dissenting vote at each of the Federal Open Market Committee’s policy meetings this year. He has opposed the Fed’s statement that economic conditions will probably warrant “exceptionally low” levels of the federal funds rate at least through late-2014.

It was a strong day for the Canadian preferred share market, with PerpetualPremiums up 23bp, FixedResets gaining 8bp and DeemedRetractibles winning 39bp. The Performance Highlights table is comprised entirely of winners, with a preponderance of insurance DeemedRetractibles. Volume was high.

HIMIPref™ Preferred Indices
These values reflect the December 2008 revision of the HIMIPref™ Indices

Values are provisional and are finalized monthly
Index Mean
Current
Yield
(at bid)
Median
YTW
Median
Average
Trading
Value
Median
Mod Dur
(YTW)
Issues Day’s Perf. Index Value
Ratchet 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.5455 % 2,535.0
FixedFloater 4.36 % 3.72 % 32,185 17.90 1 1.8692 % 3,617.6
Floater 2.85 % 2.86 % 48,708 20.07 3 0.5455 % 2,737.1
OpRet 4.75 % 2.71 % 53,502 1.13 5 -0.0917 % 2,510.8
SplitShare 5.25 % 4.28 % 68,049 0.62 4 0.0495 % 2,693.5
Interest-Bearing 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 -0.0917 % 2,295.8
Perpetual-Premium 5.44 % 0.69 % 85,182 0.09 25 0.2268 % 2,230.5
Perpetual-Discount 5.08 % 5.06 % 90,690 15.31 8 0.2325 % 2,436.1
FixedReset 5.03 % 2.99 % 186,717 2.17 68 0.0778 % 2,403.0
Deemed-Retractible 4.95 % 3.59 % 187,353 1.58 45 0.3931 % 2,326.2
Performance Highlights
Issue Index Change Notes
SLF.PR.E Deemed-Retractible 1.00 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 23.19
Bid-YTW : 5.55 %
CM.PR.D Perpetual-Premium 1.01 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2012-05-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.13
Bid-YTW : -42.60 %
NA.PR.M Deemed-Retractible 1.01 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2013-05-15
Maturity Price : 26.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.97
Bid-YTW : 1.89 %
PWF.PR.K Perpetual-Discount 1.02 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2042-05-01
Maturity Price : 24.55
Evaluated at bid price : 24.87
Bid-YTW : 4.99 %
BAM.PR.K Floater 1.10 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2042-05-01
Maturity Price : 18.45
Evaluated at bid price : 18.45
Bid-YTW : 2.86 %
IAG.PR.E Deemed-Retractible 1.15 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.40
Bid-YTW : 5.36 %
MFC.PR.C Deemed-Retractible 1.16 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 23.51
Bid-YTW : 5.39 %
BMO.PR.J Deemed-Retractible 1.28 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2012-05-31
Maturity Price : 26.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.04
Bid-YTW : -1.00 %
SLF.PR.D Deemed-Retractible 1.31 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 23.15
Bid-YTW : 5.52 %
SLF.PR.C Deemed-Retractible 1.32 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 23.11
Bid-YTW : 5.54 %
GWO.PR.I Deemed-Retractible 1.41 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 23.81
Bid-YTW : 5.21 %
IAG.PR.F Deemed-Retractible 1.83 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.16
Bid-YTW : 5.39 %
BAM.PR.G FixedFloater 1.87 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2042-05-01
Maturity Price : 22.51
Evaluated at bid price : 21.80
Bid-YTW : 3.72 %
Volume Highlights
Issue Index Shares
Traded
Notes
BAM.PF.A FixedReset 101,450 RBC crossed blocks of 68,300 and 25,000, both at 25.44.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2042-05-01
Maturity Price : 23.22
Evaluated at bid price : 25.40
Bid-YTW : 4.33 %
NA.PR.L Deemed-Retractible 95,584 RBC sold 10,000 to anonymous, 10,000 to TD and 10,500 to Desjardins, all at 25.50. TD crossed 25,000 at 25.49; Desjardins crossed 15,000 at the same price.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2012-06-14
Maturity Price : 25.50
Evaluated at bid price : 25.49
Bid-YTW : 3.59 %
BMO.PR.J Deemed-Retractible 90,041 Desjardins crossed 10,000 at 26.06; RBC crossed blocks of 40,900 and 25,000, both at 26.08.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2012-05-31
Maturity Price : 26.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.04
Bid-YTW : -1.00 %
GWO.PR.M Deemed-Retractible 79,680 RBC bought 25,000 from CIBC at 26.20, then crossed 40,700 at 26.21.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.20
Bid-YTW : 5.26 %
SLF.PR.E Deemed-Retractible 75,432 RBC crossed 65,000 at 23.18.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 23.19
Bid-YTW : 5.55 %
TD.PR.G FixedReset 57,500 Nesbitt crossed 50,000 at 26.80.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-04-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.82
Bid-YTW : 2.51 %
There were 42 other index-included issues trading in excess of 10,000 shares.
Wide Spread Highlights
Issue Index Quote Data and Yield Notes
BAM.PR.K Floater Quote: 18.45 – 18.99
Spot Rate : 0.5400
Average : 0.3883

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2042-05-01
Maturity Price : 18.45
Evaluated at bid price : 18.45
Bid-YTW : 2.86 %

CIU.PR.B FixedReset Quote: 27.25 – 27.71
Spot Rate : 0.4600
Average : 0.3186

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-06-01
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 27.25
Bid-YTW : 2.81 %

FTS.PR.E OpRet Quote: 26.52 – 26.91
Spot Rate : 0.3900
Average : 0.2592

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2013-06-01
Maturity Price : 25.75
Evaluated at bid price : 26.52
Bid-YTW : 2.71 %

FTS.PR.F Perpetual-Premium Quote: 25.22 – 25.49
Spot Rate : 0.2700
Average : 0.1687

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2042-05-01
Maturity Price : 24.91
Evaluated at bid price : 25.22
Bid-YTW : 4.92 %

ELF.PR.F Perpetual-Discount Quote: 24.50 – 24.88
Spot Rate : 0.3800
Average : 0.2914

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2042-05-01
Maturity Price : 24.20
Evaluated at bid price : 24.50
Bid-YTW : 5.44 %

BMO.PR.L Deemed-Retractible Quote: 26.83 – 27.04
Spot Rate : 0.2100
Average : 0.1360

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2013-05-25
Maturity Price : 26.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.83
Bid-YTW : 2.17 %

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