January 21, 2014

Kevin Carmichael and Tara Perkins of the Globe are speculating about the next Superintendent of Financial Institutions:

Mark Zelmer, a former chief of the Bank of Canada’s financial stability department, represents OSFI at the Basel Committee on Banking Supervision, the global club of financial regulators that sets world banking standards, and has been taking on an increasingly public role in recent months.

The other deputy is Andrew Kriegler, who joined OSFI in February, 2013, after more than two decades on Bay Street, most recently as treasurer at Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce.

Another possibility is Robert Kelly, chairman of Canada Mortgage and Housing Corp. and the former chief executive of Wall Street bank BNY Mellon, although he would presumably have to step down from his relatively new post at CMHC because OSFI regulates it.

The choice has added significance because Ottawa’s ranks of financial experts – a strength that helped Canada weather the financial crisis – are thinning quickly.

My guess? The one with least back-bone. As a second choice, the youngest one, who will have the most time to cash in on those lucrative financial sector directorships that ex-Superintendents get appointed to, for some odd reason.

It was a mixed day for the Canadian preferred share market, with PerpetualDiscounts up 34bp, FixedResets off 11bp and DeemedRetractibles gaining 14bp. The lengthy Performance Highlights table is dominated by losing FixedResets with low Issue Reset Spreads. Volume was high.

HIMIPref™ Preferred Indices
These values reflect the December 2008 revision of the HIMIPref™ Indices

Values are provisional and are finalized monthly
Index Mean
Current
Yield
(at bid)
Median
YTW
Median
Average
Trading
Value
Median
Mod Dur
(YTW)
Issues Day’s Perf. Index Value
Ratchet 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.4245 % 2,469.8
FixedFloater 4.47 % 3.71 % 32,847 18.00 1 -0.5150 % 3,796.0
Floater 3.03 % 3.04 % 71,498 19.62 3 0.4245 % 2,666.8
OpRet 4.61 % -0.55 % 78,041 0.08 3 0.0769 % 2,677.0
SplitShare 4.84 % 4.76 % 62,309 4.41 5 0.1120 % 3,031.4
Interest-Bearing 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.0769 % 2,447.8
Perpetual-Premium 5.62 % 3.52 % 124,385 0.12 13 0.1440 % 2,327.2
Perpetual-Discount 5.63 % 5.67 % 169,395 14.41 25 0.3427 % 2,357.6
FixedReset 4.94 % 3.65 % 223,884 3.80 83 -0.1134 % 2,490.6
Deemed-Retractible 5.15 % 4.48 % 168,151 1.98 42 0.1376 % 2,399.7
FloatingReset 2.60 % 2.33 % 256,416 4.31 5 -0.1979 % 2,470.2
Performance Highlights
Issue Index Change Notes
FTS.PR.H FixedReset -1.24 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2044-01-21
Maturity Price : 21.50
Evaluated at bid price : 21.50
Bid-YTW : 3.77 %
SLF.PR.G FixedReset -1.16 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 22.25
Bid-YTW : 4.59 %
TRP.PR.C FixedReset -1.12 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2044-01-21
Maturity Price : 21.63
Evaluated at bid price : 22.05
Bid-YTW : 3.75 %
FTS.PR.G FixedReset -1.06 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2044-01-21
Maturity Price : 22.89
Evaluated at bid price : 24.20
Bid-YTW : 3.90 %
ENB.PR.H FixedReset -1.06 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2044-01-21
Maturity Price : 22.45
Evaluated at bid price : 23.27
Bid-YTW : 4.12 %
PWF.PR.P FixedReset -1.03 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2044-01-21
Maturity Price : 22.72
Evaluated at bid price : 23.05
Bid-YTW : 3.65 %
CIU.PR.C FixedReset 1.10 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2044-01-21
Maturity Price : 21.10
Evaluated at bid price : 21.10
Bid-YTW : 3.75 %
BAM.PR.N Perpetual-Discount 1.12 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2044-01-21
Maturity Price : 19.85
Evaluated at bid price : 19.85
Bid-YTW : 6.05 %
PWF.PR.S Perpetual-Discount 1.34 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2044-01-21
Maturity Price : 21.72
Evaluated at bid price : 22.00
Bid-YTW : 5.47 %
RY.PR.L FixedReset 3.27 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-02-24
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.22
Bid-YTW : -33.06 %
Volume Highlights
Issue Index Shares
Traded
Notes
TRP.PR.E FixedReset 221,998 Recent new issue.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2044-01-21
Maturity Price : 23.07
Evaluated at bid price : 24.86
Bid-YTW : 4.00 %
RY.PR.L FixedReset 93,894 <Will be extended. Yield to Deemed Maturity is 3.78%.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-02-24
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.22
Bid-YTW : -33.06 %
TD.PR.G FixedReset 59,457 Nesbitt crossed 50,000 at 25.24.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-04-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.22
Bid-YTW : 2.30 %
RY.PR.A Deemed-Retractible 55,815 RBC crossed 50,000 at 25.25.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2015-05-24
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.18
Bid-YTW : 4.46 %
TD.PR.E FixedReset 54,367 Nesbitt crossed 50,000 at 25.24.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-04-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.23
Bid-YTW : 2.15 %
BNS.PR.X FixedReset 44,971 Nesbitt crossed 40,000 at 25.24.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-04-25
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.22
Bid-YTW : 2.09 %
There were 49 other index-included issues trading in excess of 10,000 shares.
Wide Spread Highlights
Issue Index Quote Data and Yield Notes
BNS.PR.B FloatingReset Quote: 25.03 – 25.35
Spot Rate : 0.3200
Average : 0.2087

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.03
Bid-YTW : 2.50 %

ELF.PR.H Perpetual-Discount Quote: 23.55 – 23.85
Spot Rate : 0.3000
Average : 0.1986

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2044-01-21
Maturity Price : 23.21
Evaluated at bid price : 23.55
Bid-YTW : 5.87 %

BAM.PR.G FixedFloater Quote: 21.25 – 21.61
Spot Rate : 0.3600
Average : 0.2597

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2044-01-21
Maturity Price : 21.74
Evaluated at bid price : 21.25
Bid-YTW : 3.71 %

BAM.PF.D Perpetual-Discount Quote: 20.42 – 20.70
Spot Rate : 0.2800
Average : 0.1926

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2044-01-21
Maturity Price : 20.42
Evaluated at bid price : 20.42
Bid-YTW : 6.07 %

IAG.PR.G FixedReset Quote: 25.91 – 26.19
Spot Rate : 0.2800
Average : 0.1980

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2017-06-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.91
Bid-YTW : 3.27 %

ENB.PR.H FixedReset Quote: 23.27 – 23.50
Spot Rate : 0.2300
Average : 0.1549

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2044-01-21
Maturity Price : 22.45
Evaluated at bid price : 23.27
Bid-YTW : 4.12 %

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