December 2, 2014

They’re playing a sad song in Australia:

Australia’s economy expanded slower than economists forecast in the third quarter, underscoring the central bank’s decision to keep interest rates at a record low. The currency fell to its lowest since July 2010.

Gross domestic product advanced 0.3 percent from the previous three months, when it rose 0.5 percent, a Bureau of Statistics report released in Sydney today showed. The result compared with a median estimate of a 0.7 percent gain from a Bloomberg News survey of 29 economists.

The Reserve Bank of Australia has kept its benchmark rate unchanged at a record low for 16 months as it seeks to encourage spending by consumers and companies to offset falling mining investment. Australian firms, outside of property, have opted to pay dividends or salt away cash rather than invest in new projects as they wait for higher household demand, which has been damped by an 11-year-high unemployment rate.

and there are funding cuts all over:

Funding cuts at Australia’s leading scientific institution CSIRO have led to world-leading researchers seeing their positions abolished. At least one of these, Dr. San Thang, is so committed to his work that he has continued his role unpaid. What makes the story even more poignant is that at the same time Thang was let go, there was speculation he might share a Nobel Prize in Chemistry.

… and the same tune in Russia:

Russia’s economic crisis deepened as the government acknowledged it’s heading for recession and a former central banker spoke of “some panic” in the financial system as oil prices plunged.

Speaking a day after President Vladimir Putin said Russia is scrapping a proposed $45 billion pipeline to Europe, the government predicted the economy will contract next year and canceled a bond auction. It was also forced to pledge 39.95 billion rubles ($740 million) to support OAO Gazprombank, at least the third lender to secure a capital injection since U.S. and European Union sanctions curbed their ability to borrow.

SBN.PR.A was confirmed at Pfd-3 by DBRS:

Based on the most recent dividend paid on the BNS Shares, the dividend income net of management fees and other expenses is expected to cover approximately 47% of the Preferred Share distributions. Holders of the Class A Shares are expected to receive regular monthly cash distributions in an amount targeted to be 6% per annum on the net asset value of the Class A Shares.

On September 5, 2014, DBRS confirmed the ratings of the Preferred Shares at Pfd-3. Since then, the performance of the Company has been volatile, with downside protection decreasing since the last rating action in September 2014 (50.3% as of November 20, 2014). Despite the drop, downside protection remain at levels typically seen at the Pfd-3 level.

It was a mixed day for the Canadian preferred share market, with PerpetualDiscounts down 18bp, FixedResets off 12bp and DeemedRetractibles gaining 7bp. Volatility was average, dominated by FixedReset losers. Volume was above average.

HIMIPref™ Preferred Indices
These values reflect the December 2008 revision of the HIMIPref™ Indices

Values are provisional and are finalized monthly
Index Mean
Current
Yield
(at bid)
Median
YTW
Median
Average
Trading
Value
Median
Mod Dur
(YTW)
Issues Day’s Perf. Index Value
Ratchet 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.1710 % 2,522.8
FixedFloater 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.1710 % 3,994.1
Floater 2.99 % 3.10 % 62,509 19.41 4 0.1710 % 2,681.9
OpRet 4.40 % -12.64 % 26,659 0.08 2 -0.0391 % 2,758.5
SplitShare 4.28 % 3.85 % 45,402 3.75 5 0.0820 % 3,191.4
Interest-Bearing 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 -0.0391 % 2,522.4
Perpetual-Premium 5.42 % -7.85 % 76,863 0.09 20 -0.0391 % 2,482.4
Perpetual-Discount 5.13 % 5.06 % 113,667 15.37 15 -0.1807 % 2,674.1
FixedReset 4.17 % 3.55 % 177,070 8.51 73 -0.1158 % 2,579.6
Deemed-Retractible 4.97 % -1.97 % 98,743 0.16 40 0.0703 % 2,616.5
FloatingReset 2.53 % 1.20 % 60,844 0.16 5 -0.1252 % 2,551.4
Performance Highlights
Issue Index Change Notes
TRP.PR.B FixedReset -1.79 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2044-12-02
Maturity Price : 18.07
Evaluated at bid price : 18.07
Bid-YTW : 3.70 %
FTS.PR.K FixedReset -1.31 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2044-12-02
Maturity Price : 23.14
Evaluated at bid price : 24.77
Bid-YTW : 3.46 %
SLF.PR.G FixedReset -1.15 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 20.70
Bid-YTW : 5.01 %
GWO.PR.Q Deemed-Retractible 1.19 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.41
Bid-YTW : 4.92 %
Volume Highlights
Issue Index Shares
Traded
Notes
W.PR.J Perpetual-Premium 120,100 Desjardins bought 115,800 from anonymous at 25.18.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2015-01-01
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.24
Bid-YTW : 2.86 %
CU.PR.E Perpetual-Discount 77,000 Nesbitt crossed 75,000 at 24.60.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2044-12-02
Maturity Price : 24.09
Evaluated at bid price : 24.51
Bid-YTW : 5.01 %
TRP.PR.A FixedReset 41,583 Will reset 2014-12-31 to 3.266%
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2044-12-02
Maturity Price : 21.15
Evaluated at bid price : 21.15
Bid-YTW : 3.90 %
BMO.PR.S FixedReset 40,194 Nesbitt crossed 36,700 at 25.52.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2019-05-25
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.50
Bid-YTW : 3.55 %
TRP.PR.D FixedReset 36,067 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2044-12-02
Maturity Price : 23.31
Evaluated at bid price : 25.30
Bid-YTW : 3.65 %
BMO.PR.J Deemed-Retractible 30,335 Nesbitt crossed 25,600 at 25.79.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2015-01-01
Maturity Price : 25.50
Evaluated at bid price : 25.75
Bid-YTW : -6.35 %
There were 36 other index-included issues trading in excess of 10,000 shares.
Wide Spread Highlights
Issue Index Quote Data and Yield Notes
GWO.PR.I Deemed-Retractible Quote: 23.20 – 23.68
Spot Rate : 0.4800
Average : 0.3165

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 23.20
Bid-YTW : 5.41 %

NEW.PR.D SplitShare Quote: 32.69 – 33.45
Spot Rate : 0.7600
Average : 0.6146

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2015-06-26
Maturity Price : 32.07
Evaluated at bid price : 32.69
Bid-YTW : 2.09 %

MFC.PR.H FixedReset Quote: 26.07 – 26.45
Spot Rate : 0.3800
Average : 0.2395

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2017-03-19
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.07
Bid-YTW : 2.58 %

MFC.PR.C Deemed-Retractible Quote: 23.21 – 23.50
Spot Rate : 0.2900
Average : 0.2095

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 23.21
Bid-YTW : 5.43 %

FTS.PR.K FixedReset Quote: 24.77 – 25.00
Spot Rate : 0.2300
Average : 0.1686

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2044-12-02
Maturity Price : 23.14
Evaluated at bid price : 24.77
Bid-YTW : 3.46 %

PWF.PR.L Perpetual-Premium Quote: 25.24 – 25.45
Spot Rate : 0.2100
Average : 0.1510

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2015-10-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.24
Bid-YTW : 4.54 %

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