June 23, 2022

TXPR closed at 609.84, down 0.70% on the day. Volume today was 2.58-million, third-highest of the past 21 trading days.

CPD closed at 12.24, down 0.08% on the day. Volume was 87,630, above the median of the past 21 trading days.

ZPR closed at 10.22 down 0.58% on the day. Volume of 211,150 was below the median of the past 21 trading days.

Five-year Canada yields were down sharply to 3.21% today; the volatility is amazing:

U.S. Treasury yields fell to their lowest levels in almost two weeks on Thursday, as data from the euro area stoked worries about a sharp slowdown in the global economy.

Euro zone business growth has slowed significantly this month – and by much more than expected – as consumers concerned about soaring bills opted to stay at home and defer purchases to save money, a survey showed on Thursday.

In London trade, the 10-year Treasury yield fell to 3.087 % , its lowest level in almost two weeks. It was down 6 bps on the day and followed sharp falls in bond yields across the euro area.

S&P Global’s flash euro zone Composite Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI), seen as a good gauge of overall economic health, slumped to 51.9 in June from 54.8 in May, far below the 54.0 predicted in a Reuters poll.

Since hitting its highest since 2011 early last week, the benchmark 10-year Treasury yield has tumbled around 40 bps, highlighting investor uncertainty in the wake of aggressive monetary tightening from the Federal Reserve

There’s a lot of weeping and wailing about how abnormally high interests rates are right now:

Rising rates could bake higher expenses into family finances for years. With a fixed-rate mortgage, you are locking in today’s higher payments in for whatever term you choose. From that perspective, the familiar old five-year fixed rate mortgage doesn’t look great.

Higher mortgage costs also make houses less affordable to buy, which is itself a retirement problem. In no way does a home guarantee a financially secure retirement. But if you do own one, you have a valuable asset to sell in order to free up money for retirement costs like care provided through in-home services or nursing homes.

A return to normal inflation levels and an interest rate reversal would help avert this crisis, but we have a broader affordability problem to contend with in the form of lifestyle inflation.

I don’t get it. I don’t see anything abnormal at all about GOC-5 yields in the 3.00%-3.50% range when inflation is at 2% (or at least is projected to be there, according to the Canada Break-Even Inflation Rate). What I think is abnormal is fourteen years of ridiculously low yields, negative real yields, even negative NOMINAL yields, for heavens sake. Hell, it used to be that a negative yield on US Treasury Bills was breathlessly mentioned in textbooks as a gross aberation that only existed fleetingly due to special conditions in the Great Depression. And after reading this factoid, you checked it with a puzzled frown. Now, not so much.

HIMIPref™ Preferred Indices
These values reflect the December 2008 revision of the HIMIPref™ Indices

Values are provisional and are finalized monthly
Index Mean
Current
Yield
(at bid)
Median
YTW
Median
Average
Trading
Value
Median
Mod Dur
(YTW)
Issues Day’s Perf. Index Value
Ratchet 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.1024 % 2,502.9
FixedFloater 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.1024 % 4,800.5
Floater 4.97 % 4.98 % 50,100 15.55 3 0.1024 % 2,766.5
OpRet 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 -0.5919 % 3,438.3
SplitShare 4.95 % 6.04 % 43,939 3.16 8 -0.5919 % 4,106.1
Interest-Bearing 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 -0.5919 % 3,203.7
Perpetual-Premium 6.06 % 6.14 % 78,594 13.60 2 -0.6173 % 2,854.8
Perpetual-Discount 6.03 % 6.15 % 66,956 13.68 34 -0.4489 % 3,077.0
FixedReset Disc 4.70 % 6.41 % 121,105 13.48 57 -0.5125 % 2,483.6
Insurance Straight 6.02 % 6.07 % 87,547 13.82 19 0.3741 % 2,989.4
FloatingReset 5.93 % 6.30 % 50,870 13.48 2 -2.8702 % 2,581.9
FixedReset Prem 5.09 % 5.57 % 135,830 1.97 9 0.0485 % 2,592.8
FixedReset Bank Non 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 -0.5125 % 2,538.8
FixedReset Ins Non 4.60 % 6.39 % 76,328 13.60 15 -1.4767 % 2,610.2
Performance Highlights
Issue Index Change Notes
IFC.PR.C FixedReset Disc -10.09 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-06-23
Maturity Price : 18.36
Evaluated at bid price : 18.36
Bid-YTW : 7.10 %
MIC.PR.A Perpetual-Discount -8.78 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-06-23
Maturity Price : 19.75
Evaluated at bid price : 19.75
Bid-YTW : 6.88 %
TRP.PR.E FixedReset Disc -7.31 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-06-23
Maturity Price : 17.00
Evaluated at bid price : 17.00
Bid-YTW : 7.86 %
GWO.PR.N FixedReset Ins Non -4.96 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-06-23
Maturity Price : 13.40
Evaluated at bid price : 13.40
Bid-YTW : 7.15 %
MFC.PR.N FixedReset Ins Non -4.62 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-06-23
Maturity Price : 18.79
Evaluated at bid price : 18.79
Bid-YTW : 6.93 %
PWF.PR.P FixedReset Disc -4.27 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-06-23
Maturity Price : 14.12
Evaluated at bid price : 14.12
Bid-YTW : 7.31 %
TRP.PR.F FloatingReset -3.25 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-06-23
Maturity Price : 16.06
Evaluated at bid price : 16.06
Bid-YTW : 6.30 %
TRP.PR.A FixedReset Disc -3.13 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-06-23
Maturity Price : 15.50
Evaluated at bid price : 15.50
Bid-YTW : 7.79 %
MFC.PR.M FixedReset Ins Non -3.00 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-06-23
Maturity Price : 19.40
Evaluated at bid price : 19.40
Bid-YTW : 6.85 %
CU.PR.G Perpetual-Discount -2.98 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-06-23
Maturity Price : 18.53
Evaluated at bid price : 18.53
Bid-YTW : 6.14 %
MFC.PR.F FixedReset Ins Non -2.83 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-06-23
Maturity Price : 14.77
Evaluated at bid price : 14.77
Bid-YTW : 6.87 %
RY.PR.M FixedReset Disc -2.81 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-06-23
Maturity Price : 20.07
Evaluated at bid price : 20.07
Bid-YTW : 6.55 %
PWF.PF.A Perpetual-Discount -2.66 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-06-23
Maturity Price : 18.30
Evaluated at bid price : 18.30
Bid-YTW : 6.26 %
SLF.PR.J FloatingReset -2.48 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-06-23
Maturity Price : 15.75
Evaluated at bid price : 15.75
Bid-YTW : 5.60 %
IFC.PR.A FixedReset Ins Non -2.40 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-06-23
Maturity Price : 19.13
Evaluated at bid price : 19.13
Bid-YTW : 6.38 %
MFC.PR.L FixedReset Ins Non -2.38 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-06-23
Maturity Price : 18.85
Evaluated at bid price : 18.85
Bid-YTW : 6.89 %
BIP.PR.F FixedReset Disc -2.32 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-06-23
Maturity Price : 23.11
Evaluated at bid price : 23.54
Bid-YTW : 6.39 %
RY.PR.H FixedReset Disc -2.16 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-06-23
Maturity Price : 20.40
Evaluated at bid price : 20.40
Bid-YTW : 6.46 %
CU.PR.H Perpetual-Discount -2.06 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-06-23
Maturity Price : 21.40
Evaluated at bid price : 21.40
Bid-YTW : 6.21 %
BAM.PR.T FixedReset Disc -2.03 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-06-23
Maturity Price : 16.93
Evaluated at bid price : 16.93
Bid-YTW : 7.37 %
MFC.PR.K FixedReset Ins Non -2.00 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-06-23
Maturity Price : 21.07
Evaluated at bid price : 21.07
Bid-YTW : 6.39 %
BIP.PR.A FixedReset Disc -1.87 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-06-23
Maturity Price : 20.50
Evaluated at bid price : 20.50
Bid-YTW : 7.58 %
GWO.PR.S Insurance Straight -1.82 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-06-23
Maturity Price : 21.00
Evaluated at bid price : 21.00
Bid-YTW : 6.29 %
RY.PR.N Perpetual-Discount -1.69 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-06-23
Maturity Price : 22.91
Evaluated at bid price : 23.26
Bid-YTW : 5.31 %
CU.PR.C FixedReset Disc -1.67 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-06-23
Maturity Price : 21.15
Evaluated at bid price : 21.15
Bid-YTW : 6.55 %
PVS.PR.K SplitShare -1.51 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2029-05-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 22.80
Bid-YTW : 6.09 %
TRP.PR.D FixedReset Disc -1.45 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-06-23
Maturity Price : 18.30
Evaluated at bid price : 18.30
Bid-YTW : 7.46 %
BIP.PR.E FixedReset Disc -1.40 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-06-23
Maturity Price : 22.57
Evaluated at bid price : 23.17
Bid-YTW : 6.62 %
CU.PR.D Perpetual-Discount -1.29 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-06-23
Maturity Price : 19.93
Evaluated at bid price : 19.93
Bid-YTW : 6.22 %
BAM.PF.G FixedReset Disc -1.26 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-06-23
Maturity Price : 18.85
Evaluated at bid price : 18.85
Bid-YTW : 7.30 %
PVS.PR.G SplitShare -1.23 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Option Certainty
Maturity Date : 2026-02-28
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 24.10
Bid-YTW : 6.11 %
BAM.PR.R FixedReset Disc -1.22 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-06-23
Maturity Price : 16.94
Evaluated at bid price : 16.94
Bid-YTW : 7.26 %
SLF.PR.H FixedReset Ins Non -1.13 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-06-23
Maturity Price : 17.45
Evaluated at bid price : 17.45
Bid-YTW : 6.79 %
POW.PR.G Perpetual-Discount -1.08 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-06-23
Maturity Price : 22.71
Evaluated at bid price : 23.00
Bid-YTW : 6.09 %
FTS.PR.M FixedReset Disc -1.06 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-06-23
Maturity Price : 19.65
Evaluated at bid price : 19.65
Bid-YTW : 6.94 %
TRP.PR.C FixedReset Disc -1.04 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-06-23
Maturity Price : 13.26
Evaluated at bid price : 13.26
Bid-YTW : 7.72 %
IFC.PR.G FixedReset Ins Non -1.03 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-06-23
Maturity Price : 21.68
Evaluated at bid price : 22.10
Bid-YTW : 6.46 %
BIP.PR.B FixedReset Prem -1.00 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2025-12-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 24.75
Bid-YTW : 5.82 %
BAM.PF.D Perpetual-Discount 1.02 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-06-23
Maturity Price : 19.85
Evaluated at bid price : 19.85
Bid-YTW : 6.21 %
GWO.PR.M Insurance Straight 1.05 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-06-23
Maturity Price : 23.69
Evaluated at bid price : 24.00
Bid-YTW : 6.06 %
BAM.PR.Z FixedReset Disc 1.06 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-06-23
Maturity Price : 23.00
Evaluated at bid price : 23.75
Bid-YTW : 6.42 %
CCS.PR.C Insurance Straight 1.15 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-06-23
Maturity Price : 21.02
Evaluated at bid price : 21.02
Bid-YTW : 5.98 %
GWO.PR.Y Insurance Straight 1.16 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-06-23
Maturity Price : 18.32
Evaluated at bid price : 18.32
Bid-YTW : 6.18 %
RY.PR.Z FixedReset Disc 1.22 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-06-23
Maturity Price : 20.75
Evaluated at bid price : 20.75
Bid-YTW : 6.34 %
GWO.PR.R Insurance Straight 1.34 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-06-23
Maturity Price : 19.60
Evaluated at bid price : 19.60
Bid-YTW : 6.16 %
POW.PR.A Perpetual-Discount 1.39 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-06-23
Maturity Price : 23.06
Evaluated at bid price : 23.32
Bid-YTW : 6.01 %
POW.PR.D Perpetual-Discount 1.45 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-06-23
Maturity Price : 21.00
Evaluated at bid price : 21.00
Bid-YTW : 5.97 %
MFC.PR.B Insurance Straight 1.80 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-06-23
Maturity Price : 19.75
Evaluated at bid price : 19.75
Bid-YTW : 5.93 %
CM.PR.O FixedReset Disc 2.18 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-06-23
Maturity Price : 21.05
Evaluated at bid price : 21.05
Bid-YTW : 6.33 %
BMO.PR.T FixedReset Disc 2.52 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-06-23
Maturity Price : 20.71
Evaluated at bid price : 20.71
Bid-YTW : 6.34 %
Volume Highlights
Issue Index Shares
Traded
Notes
CM.PR.R FixedReset Disc 810,300 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2022-07-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.20
Bid-YTW : 3.23 %
BMO.PR.T FixedReset Disc 103,700 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-06-23
Maturity Price : 20.71
Evaluated at bid price : 20.71
Bid-YTW : 6.34 %
TD.PF.A FixedReset Disc 81,575 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-06-23
Maturity Price : 20.71
Evaluated at bid price : 20.71
Bid-YTW : 6.31 %
BMO.PR.W FixedReset Disc 50,600 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-06-23
Maturity Price : 20.70
Evaluated at bid price : 20.70
Bid-YTW : 6.33 %
PWF.PF.A Perpetual-Discount 42,951 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-06-23
Maturity Price : 18.30
Evaluated at bid price : 18.30
Bid-YTW : 6.26 %
RY.PR.H FixedReset Disc 42,587 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-06-23
Maturity Price : 20.40
Evaluated at bid price : 20.40
Bid-YTW : 6.46 %
There were 25 other index-included issues trading in excess of 10,000 shares.
Wide Spread Highlights
Issue Index Quote Data and Yield Notes
MIC.PR.A Perpetual-Discount Quote: 19.75 – 22.83
Spot Rate : 3.0800
Average : 1.7463

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-06-23
Maturity Price : 19.75
Evaluated at bid price : 19.75
Bid-YTW : 6.88 %

BAM.PF.B FixedReset Disc Quote: 20.06 – 22.54
Spot Rate : 2.4800
Average : 1.5901

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-06-23
Maturity Price : 20.06
Evaluated at bid price : 20.06
Bid-YTW : 7.07 %

BAM.PR.T FixedReset Disc Quote: 16.93 – 20.05
Spot Rate : 3.1200
Average : 2.2684

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-06-23
Maturity Price : 16.93
Evaluated at bid price : 16.93
Bid-YTW : 7.37 %

IFC.PR.C FixedReset Disc Quote: 18.36 – 20.44
Spot Rate : 2.0800
Average : 1.3675

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-06-23
Maturity Price : 18.36
Evaluated at bid price : 18.36
Bid-YTW : 7.10 %

TRP.PR.E FixedReset Disc Quote: 17.00 – 19.50
Spot Rate : 2.5000
Average : 1.8099

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-06-23
Maturity Price : 17.00
Evaluated at bid price : 17.00
Bid-YTW : 7.86 %

RY.PR.J FixedReset Disc Quote: 21.50 – 23.10
Spot Rate : 1.6000
Average : 0.9593

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-06-23
Maturity Price : 21.50
Evaluated at bid price : 21.50
Bid-YTW : 6.39 %

3 Responses to “June 23, 2022”

  1. Nestor says:

    i’m with you on this James. nominal rates need to be above the rate of inflation. what’s been happening has been criminal to savers. but of course, there are no consequences to central bankers or politicians if they screw everything up. nobody goes to jail. nobody is fined. print print print and keep rates low. don’t worry, be happy people. someone else pays.

  2. Nestor says:

    and sorry, i don’t want to sound like a complainer. i’ve made money in this environment. you have to invest in reality .. BUT…

    these extraordinarily low rates just cause a misallocation of resources. money flooding into real estate bidding up prices, zombie companies are kept alive when they should have gone under. boards borrow money to buy shares, give themselves stock options, and when something happens, the taxpayer is supposed to foot the bill (airlines come to mind).

    sigh.

  3. skeptical says:

    And despite this short term inflation hoopla, things will go back to usual…low rates, asset inflation, zombie companies etc.
    Because fixing the economy in real way would require too much introspection, change and pain. The process will continue until it can’t. Are we there yet? Who knows.
    But every pain point reached so far has been met with even greater stimulus and doubling/tripling down on the status quo.
    Their plan is to quickly quash inflation and then go back to cutting rates.
    That’s the realist in me.

    The real optimist hopes that things do fall apart and we get a rational order where the cost of money is real so that the nonsense and rubbish peddled in names of innovation disappear.
    But I’m dreaming.

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