December 2, 2022

Hey, how about that US jobs report, eh?:

America’s jobs engine kept churning in November, the Labor Department reported Friday, a show of continued demand for workers despite the Federal Reserve’s push to curb inflation by tamping down hiring.

Employers created 263,000 jobs, even as a wave of layoffs in the tech industry made headlines. That was only a slight drop from the revised figure of 284,000 for October.

The unemployment rate was steady at 3.7 percent, while wages have risen 5.1 percent over the year, more than expected.

Friday’s jobs report suggested that hiring in service industries remained solid, and that wages continued to climb at a rapid pace: jumping by 5.1 percent over the past year, far more than economists expected. Wages in service industries picked up by 5.3 percent on an annual basis, much more than the 2.5 percent that was common in the decade leading up to the pandemic.

Another REIT’s looking sick:

Blackstone Inc limited withdrawals from its $69 billion real estate income trust (REIT) on Thursday after receiving too many redemption requests, an unprecedented blow to a franchise that helped it turn into an asset management behemoth.

The curbs in redemptions came because they hit pre-set limits, rather than Blackstone setting the redemption limits on the day. Nonetheless, they fuelled investor concerns about the future of the REIT, which makes up about 17% of Blackstone’s earnings. Blackstone shares ended trading down 7.1% on the news.

Investors in the REIT, which is not publicly traded, have been growing concerned that Blackstone has been slow to adjust the vehicle’s valuation to that of publicly-traded REITs, which have taken a hit amid rising interest rates, a source close to the fund said. Rising interest rates weigh on real estate values because they make financing them more expensive.

Blackstone has reported a 9.3% year-to-date return for its REIT, net of fees, while the publicly-traded REIT index is down 3.02% in the same period.

I have long been amused by the antics of banks and bankers seeking to convince the world they know anything about investment management. Broker research? Ha! Brokers are great for data and reasonable for ideas … but when it comes to actual, actionable investment advice, you’re better off asking the shoe-shine guy in the lobby. Broker research doesn’t exist for the purpose of improving returns; it exists for the purpose of encouraging you to trade, so they’ll just keep throwing out random ideas in the hopes that one will result in a nice little commission.

But even their data needs to be checked, because even the most cursory investment knowledge is heavily siloed in banks, and God forbid that anybody in the bond department know what a P/E ratio is supposed to be. As a result, silly mistakes get made – in addition to silly advice – one of which got passed on to me this morning in a very irate email addressed to IIROC and copied to me:

This time around, their new rollout of Advanced Dashboard is publishing Ex dividend dates that are 1 day prior to the actual event (and indeed so is the dividend payment date). Their web broker system publishes the accurate data.

Needless to say I sold 5k of a pref (TA.pr.d on nov 29) believing it was ex-d when in fact it was not.

Here are screenshots of my watchlist and best I can tell, ALL the ex-d dates are 1 day early.

Oh dear, oh dear, oh dear.

HIMIPref™ Preferred Indices
These values reflect the December 2008 revision of the HIMIPref™ Indices

Values are provisional and are finalized monthly
Index Mean
Current
Yield
(at bid)
Median
YTW
Median
Average
Trading
Value
Median
Mod Dur
(YTW)
Issues Day’s Perf. Index Value
Ratchet 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.5666 % 2,388.2
FixedFloater 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.5666 % 4,580.5
Floater 8.38 % 8.47 % 40,375 10.78 2 0.5666 % 2,639.8
OpRet 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 -0.0544 % 3,283.4
SplitShare 5.18 % 7.49 % 47,457 2.78 8 -0.0544 % 3,921.1
Interest-Bearing 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 -0.0544 % 3,059.4
Perpetual-Premium 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.0263 % 2,676.1
Perpetual-Discount 6.36 % 6.51 % 94,871 13.12 34 0.0263 % 2,918.1
FixedReset Disc 5.40 % 7.42 % 90,598 12.21 63 0.3557 % 2,231.9
Insurance Straight 6.35 % 6.44 % 104,207 13.35 18 0.4124 % 2,836.2
FloatingReset 9.29 % 9.62 % 45,345 9.93 2 0.6129 % 2,531.6
FixedReset Prem 6.49 % 6.14 % 413,968 4.19 1 0.1175 % 2,378.9
FixedReset Bank Non 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.3557 % 2,281.4
FixedReset Ins Non 5.39 % 7.55 % 45,098 12.28 14 0.2444 % 2,330.4
Performance Highlights
Issue Index Change Notes
BAM.PR.M Perpetual-Discount -1.89 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-12-02
Maturity Price : 18.69
Evaluated at bid price : 18.69
Bid-YTW : 6.49 %
POW.PR.D Perpetual-Discount -1.77 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-12-02
Maturity Price : 19.45
Evaluated at bid price : 19.45
Bid-YTW : 6.54 %
BMO.PR.S FixedReset Disc -1.59 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-12-02
Maturity Price : 17.91
Evaluated at bid price : 17.91
Bid-YTW : 7.58 %
BAM.PR.Z FixedReset Disc -1.45 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-12-02
Maturity Price : 21.48
Evaluated at bid price : 21.78
Bid-YTW : 7.19 %
BAM.PR.N Perpetual-Discount -1.42 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-12-02
Maturity Price : 18.75
Evaluated at bid price : 18.75
Bid-YTW : 6.47 %
PWF.PR.T FixedReset Disc -1.36 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-12-02
Maturity Price : 18.20
Evaluated at bid price : 18.20
Bid-YTW : 7.64 %
IFC.PR.A FixedReset Ins Non -1.35 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-12-02
Maturity Price : 17.51
Evaluated at bid price : 17.51
Bid-YTW : 7.15 %
FTS.PR.G FixedReset Disc -1.33 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-12-02
Maturity Price : 17.03
Evaluated at bid price : 17.03
Bid-YTW : 7.86 %
BIP.PR.F FixedReset Disc -1.27 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-12-02
Maturity Price : 19.45
Evaluated at bid price : 19.45
Bid-YTW : 7.82 %
POW.PR.B Perpetual-Discount -1.25 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-12-02
Maturity Price : 20.50
Evaluated at bid price : 20.50
Bid-YTW : 6.64 %
BAM.PF.D Perpetual-Discount -1.04 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-12-02
Maturity Price : 19.00
Evaluated at bid price : 19.00
Bid-YTW : 6.59 %
CCS.PR.C Insurance Straight -1.03 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-12-02
Maturity Price : 19.30
Evaluated at bid price : 19.30
Bid-YTW : 6.49 %
MFC.PR.B Insurance Straight 1.07 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-12-02
Maturity Price : 18.95
Evaluated at bid price : 18.95
Bid-YTW : 6.16 %
NA.PR.G FixedReset Disc 1.11 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-12-02
Maturity Price : 21.00
Evaluated at bid price : 21.00
Bid-YTW : 7.13 %
FTS.PR.F Perpetual-Discount 1.11 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-12-02
Maturity Price : 20.04
Evaluated at bid price : 20.04
Bid-YTW : 6.16 %
BAM.PF.I FixedReset Disc 1.11 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-12-02
Maturity Price : 22.14
Evaluated at bid price : 22.70
Bid-YTW : 7.34 %
TRP.PR.G FixedReset Disc 1.13 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-12-02
Maturity Price : 17.00
Evaluated at bid price : 17.00
Bid-YTW : 8.19 %
TRP.PR.F FloatingReset 1.15 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-12-02
Maturity Price : 15.78
Evaluated at bid price : 15.78
Bid-YTW : 9.62 %
BAM.PF.H FixedReset Disc 1.20 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2025-12-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 24.40
Bid-YTW : 6.22 %
BAM.PF.E FixedReset Disc 1.25 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-12-02
Maturity Price : 16.20
Evaluated at bid price : 16.20
Bid-YTW : 8.41 %
GWO.PR.S Insurance Straight 1.39 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-12-02
Maturity Price : 20.40
Evaluated at bid price : 20.40
Bid-YTW : 6.45 %
GWO.PR.R Insurance Straight 1.46 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-12-02
Maturity Price : 18.72
Evaluated at bid price : 18.72
Bid-YTW : 6.42 %
FTS.PR.J Perpetual-Discount 1.47 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-12-02
Maturity Price : 19.35
Evaluated at bid price : 19.35
Bid-YTW : 6.19 %
BAM.PR.K Floater 1.53 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-12-02
Maturity Price : 12.60
Evaluated at bid price : 12.60
Bid-YTW : 8.47 %
RY.PR.M FixedReset Disc 1.63 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-12-02
Maturity Price : 18.70
Evaluated at bid price : 18.70
Bid-YTW : 7.11 %
PWF.PR.S Perpetual-Discount 1.67 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-12-02
Maturity Price : 18.83
Evaluated at bid price : 18.83
Bid-YTW : 6.47 %
BAM.PF.B FixedReset Disc 1.80 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-12-02
Maturity Price : 17.58
Evaluated at bid price : 17.58
Bid-YTW : 8.26 %
GWO.PR.I Insurance Straight 1.87 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-12-02
Maturity Price : 17.95
Evaluated at bid price : 17.95
Bid-YTW : 6.28 %
MFC.PR.F FixedReset Ins Non 1.92 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-12-02
Maturity Price : 13.30
Evaluated at bid price : 13.30
Bid-YTW : 7.68 %
BMO.PR.Y FixedReset Disc 1.93 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-12-02
Maturity Price : 18.45
Evaluated at bid price : 18.45
Bid-YTW : 7.37 %
MFC.PR.C Insurance Straight 1.94 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-12-02
Maturity Price : 18.42
Evaluated at bid price : 18.42
Bid-YTW : 6.13 %
BAM.PR.R FixedReset Disc 2.00 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-12-02
Maturity Price : 14.79
Evaluated at bid price : 14.79
Bid-YTW : 8.47 %
PWF.PF.A Perpetual-Discount 2.45 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-12-02
Maturity Price : 18.00
Evaluated at bid price : 18.00
Bid-YTW : 6.34 %
TRP.PR.E FixedReset Disc 2.63 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-12-02
Maturity Price : 15.60
Evaluated at bid price : 15.60
Bid-YTW : 8.64 %
BAM.PF.A FixedReset Disc 2.91 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-12-02
Maturity Price : 19.82
Evaluated at bid price : 19.82
Bid-YTW : 7.81 %
SLF.PR.H FixedReset Ins Non 2.93 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-12-02
Maturity Price : 15.80
Evaluated at bid price : 15.80
Bid-YTW : 7.55 %
BAM.PR.T FixedReset Disc 4.38 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-12-02
Maturity Price : 15.50
Evaluated at bid price : 15.50
Bid-YTW : 8.21 %
BAM.PF.G FixedReset Disc 6.03 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-12-02
Maturity Price : 16.70
Evaluated at bid price : 16.70
Bid-YTW : 8.42 %
Volume Highlights
Issue Index Shares
Traded
Notes
PWF.PR.L Perpetual-Discount 63,791 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-12-02
Maturity Price : 19.73
Evaluated at bid price : 19.73
Bid-YTW : 6.56 %
PWF.PR.H Perpetual-Discount 63,671 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-12-02
Maturity Price : 21.87
Evaluated at bid price : 22.11
Bid-YTW : 6.59 %
TD.PF.I FixedReset Disc 44,300 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-12-02
Maturity Price : 23.19
Evaluated at bid price : 25.06
Bid-YTW : 6.23 %
PWF.PF.A Perpetual-Discount 43,051 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-12-02
Maturity Price : 18.00
Evaluated at bid price : 18.00
Bid-YTW : 6.34 %
CU.PR.G Perpetual-Discount 35,662 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-12-02
Maturity Price : 17.90
Evaluated at bid price : 17.90
Bid-YTW : 6.34 %
GWO.PR.Y Insurance Straight 31,484 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-12-02
Maturity Price : 17.60
Evaluated at bid price : 17.60
Bid-YTW : 6.41 %
There were 33 other index-included issues trading in excess of 10,000 shares.
Wide Spread Highlights
Issue Index Quote Data and Yield Notes
TRP.PR.E FixedReset Disc Quote: 15.60 – 19.40
Spot Rate : 3.8000
Average : 3.3090

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-12-02
Maturity Price : 15.60
Evaluated at bid price : 15.60
Bid-YTW : 8.64 %

SLF.PR.D Insurance Straight Quote: 18.24 – 18.99
Spot Rate : 0.7500
Average : 0.4594

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-12-02
Maturity Price : 18.24
Evaluated at bid price : 18.24
Bid-YTW : 6.11 %

CU.PR.E Perpetual-Discount Quote: 19.15 – 22.00
Spot Rate : 2.8500
Average : 2.5742

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-12-02
Maturity Price : 19.15
Evaluated at bid price : 19.15
Bid-YTW : 6.45 %

BAM.PR.X FixedReset Disc Quote: 16.74 – 17.75
Spot Rate : 1.0100
Average : 0.7389

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-12-02
Maturity Price : 16.74
Evaluated at bid price : 16.74
Bid-YTW : 7.46 %

TD.PF.K FixedReset Disc Quote: 20.45 – 21.25
Spot Rate : 0.8000
Average : 0.5820

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-12-02
Maturity Price : 20.45
Evaluated at bid price : 20.45
Bid-YTW : 7.12 %

RY.PR.O Perpetual-Discount Quote: 21.81 – 22.65
Spot Rate : 0.8400
Average : 0.6338

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-12-02
Maturity Price : 21.81
Evaluated at bid price : 21.81
Bid-YTW : 5.66 %

2 Responses to “December 2, 2022”

  1. DR says:

    a “mistake” by me no question but wouldn’t be so sure as to call TD’s inaccurate publishing of ex-d dates the same…

  2. stusclues says:

    “This time around, their new rollout of Advanced Dashboard is publishing Ex dividend dates that are 1 day prior to the actual event”

    TD’s Advanced Dashboard is a an excellent trading platform, miles better than RBC Direct with which I am also familiar. However, no one should fully trust secondary information from any source when primary info is readily available from issuers. I use TD’s Advanced Dashboard for its primary purpose – trading.

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