September 27, 2023

PerpetualDiscounts now yield 7.08%, equivalent to 9.20% interest at the standard equivalency factor of 1.3x. Long corporates yielded 5.63% on 2023-9-15 [BMO is now reporting a different number for the same date than the one they reported last week … this worries me] and since then the closing price has changed from 14.33 to 13.90, a decrease of 300bp in price, with a Duration of 11.99 [again, different from last week’s report for the same day] (BMO doesn’t specify whether this is Macaulay or Modified Duration; I will assume Modified) which implies an increase in yield of about 25bp since 9/15 [?] to 5.88%, so the pre-tax interest-equivalent spread (in this context, the “Seniority Spread”) has narrowed to 330bp from the 350bp reported September 20.

HIMIPref™ Preferred Indices
These values reflect the December 2008 revision of the HIMIPref™ Indices

Values are provisional and are finalized monthly
Index Mean
Current
Yield
(at bid)
Median
YTW
Median
Average
Trading
Value
Median
Mod Dur
(YTW)
Issues Day’s Perf. Index Value
Ratchet 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 -0.4011 % 2,159.6
FixedFloater 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 -0.4011 % 4,142.1
Floater 11.28 % 11.39 % 55,770 8.57 2 -0.4011 % 2,387.1
OpRet 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.5854 % 3,361.5
SplitShare 5.02 % 7.27 % 42,599 2.25 7 0.5854 % 4,014.3
Interest-Bearing 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.5854 % 3,132.1
Perpetual-Premium 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 -0.1567 % 2,480.8
Perpetual-Discount 6.89 % 7.08 % 43,418 12.40 33 -0.1567 % 2,705.2
FixedReset Disc 5.99 % 9.20 % 103,534 10.58 55 -0.6806 % 2,102.9
Insurance Straight 6.87 % 6.96 % 60,837 12.63 17 0.0425 % 2,620.2
FloatingReset 11.67 % 11.82 % 39,600 8.29 1 -0.1408 % 2,280.7
FixedReset Prem 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 -0.6806 % 2,304.7
FixedReset Bank Non 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 -0.6806 % 2,149.6
FixedReset Ins Non 6.59 % 8.61 % 124,865 11.04 11 0.8936 % 2,275.9
Performance Highlights
Issue Index Change Notes
BN.PR.X FixedReset Disc -23.37 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-09-27
Maturity Price : 10.00
Evaluated at bid price : 10.00
Bid-YTW : 14.05 %
RY.PR.S FixedReset Disc -3.03 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-09-27
Maturity Price : 20.46
Evaluated at bid price : 20.46
Bid-YTW : 8.27 %
BIP.PR.F FixedReset Disc -2.35 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-09-27
Maturity Price : 18.70
Evaluated at bid price : 18.70
Bid-YTW : 9.70 %
MFC.PR.C Insurance Straight -1.80 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-09-27
Maturity Price : 16.35
Evaluated at bid price : 16.35
Bid-YTW : 6.95 %
RY.PR.M FixedReset Disc -1.75 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-09-27
Maturity Price : 16.85
Evaluated at bid price : 16.85
Bid-YTW : 9.42 %
BMO.PR.Y FixedReset Disc -1.62 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-09-27
Maturity Price : 17.60
Evaluated at bid price : 17.60
Bid-YTW : 9.27 %
CU.PR.F Perpetual-Discount -1.57 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-09-27
Maturity Price : 16.25
Evaluated at bid price : 16.25
Bid-YTW : 7.02 %
PWF.PR.T FixedReset Disc -1.57 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-09-27
Maturity Price : 18.80
Evaluated at bid price : 18.80
Bid-YTW : 9.03 %
TD.PF.D FixedReset Disc -1.50 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-09-27
Maturity Price : 17.76
Evaluated at bid price : 17.76
Bid-YTW : 9.37 %
TD.PF.E FixedReset Disc -1.39 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-09-27
Maturity Price : 17.75
Evaluated at bid price : 17.75
Bid-YTW : 9.36 %
TD.PF.C FixedReset Disc -1.31 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-09-27
Maturity Price : 17.35
Evaluated at bid price : 17.35
Bid-YTW : 9.25 %
RY.PR.H FixedReset Disc -1.12 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-09-27
Maturity Price : 17.70
Evaluated at bid price : 17.70
Bid-YTW : 9.17 %
TD.PF.A FixedReset Disc -1.10 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-09-27
Maturity Price : 18.01
Evaluated at bid price : 18.01
Bid-YTW : 8.95 %
GWO.PR.P Insurance Straight -1.04 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-09-27
Maturity Price : 19.08
Evaluated at bid price : 19.08
Bid-YTW : 7.13 %
MFC.PR.K FixedReset Ins Non 1.02 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-09-27
Maturity Price : 19.80
Evaluated at bid price : 19.80
Bid-YTW : 8.35 %
MFC.PR.N FixedReset Ins Non 1.23 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-09-27
Maturity Price : 16.50
Evaluated at bid price : 16.50
Bid-YTW : 9.63 %
ELF.PR.F Perpetual-Discount 1.63 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-09-27
Maturity Price : 19.30
Evaluated at bid price : 19.30
Bid-YTW : 7.03 %
IFC.PR.C FixedReset Disc 1.94 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-09-27
Maturity Price : 16.31
Evaluated at bid price : 16.31
Bid-YTW : 9.49 %
MFC.PR.M FixedReset Ins Non 2.16 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-09-27
Maturity Price : 17.01
Evaluated at bid price : 17.01
Bid-YTW : 9.54 %
CM.PR.S FixedReset Disc 2.66 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-09-27
Maturity Price : 19.96
Evaluated at bid price : 19.96
Bid-YTW : 8.14 %
BNS.PR.I FixedReset Disc 2.93 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-09-27
Maturity Price : 21.45
Evaluated at bid price : 21.75
Bid-YTW : 7.87 %
EIT.PR.A SplitShare 3.32 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Soft Maturity
Maturity Date : 2024-03-14
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 24.61
Bid-YTW : 8.73 %
SLF.PR.G FixedReset Ins Non 3.57 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-09-27
Maturity Price : 13.05
Evaluated at bid price : 13.05
Bid-YTW : 9.99 %
GWO.PR.N FixedReset Ins Non 4.08 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-09-27
Maturity Price : 12.51
Evaluated at bid price : 12.51
Bid-YTW : 9.73 %
SLF.PR.C Insurance Straight 6.65 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-09-27
Maturity Price : 17.00
Evaluated at bid price : 17.00
Bid-YTW : 6.59 %
Volume Highlights
Issue Index Shares
Traded
Notes
CU.PR.J Perpetual-Discount 126,300 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-09-27
Maturity Price : 17.10
Evaluated at bid price : 17.10
Bid-YTW : 7.04 %
TD.PF.K FixedReset Disc 106,324 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2023-10-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.16
Bid-YTW : 6.01 %
FTS.PR.J Perpetual-Discount 102,115 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-09-27
Maturity Price : 18.40
Evaluated at bid price : 18.40
Bid-YTW : 6.54 %
POW.PR.G Perpetual-Discount 75,700 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-09-27
Maturity Price : 19.85
Evaluated at bid price : 19.85
Bid-YTW : 7.09 %
TD.PF.B FixedReset Disc 59,260 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-09-27
Maturity Price : 18.20
Evaluated at bid price : 18.20
Bid-YTW : 8.99 %
NA.PR.S FixedReset Disc 56,675 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-09-27
Maturity Price : 18.30
Evaluated at bid price : 18.30
Bid-YTW : 9.20 %
There were 20 other index-included issues trading in excess of 10,000 shares.
Wide Spread Highlights
Issue Index Quote Data and Yield Notes
BN.PR.X FixedReset Disc Quote: 10.00 – 13.10
Spot Rate : 3.1000
Average : 1.6869

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-09-27
Maturity Price : 10.00
Evaluated at bid price : 10.00
Bid-YTW : 14.05 %

RY.PR.N Perpetual-Discount Quote: 20.51 – 22.00
Spot Rate : 1.4900
Average : 0.9867

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-09-27
Maturity Price : 20.51
Evaluated at bid price : 20.51
Bid-YTW : 6.06 %

TD.PF.I FixedReset Disc Quote: 22.75 – 23.91
Spot Rate : 1.1600
Average : 0.7707

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-09-27
Maturity Price : 22.18
Evaluated at bid price : 22.75
Bid-YTW : 7.87 %

MFC.PR.M FixedReset Ins Non Quote: 17.01 – 18.00
Spot Rate : 0.9900
Average : 0.6415

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-09-27
Maturity Price : 17.01
Evaluated at bid price : 17.01
Bid-YTW : 9.54 %

TD.PF.E FixedReset Disc Quote: 17.75 – 18.85
Spot Rate : 1.1000
Average : 0.7640

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-09-27
Maturity Price : 17.75
Evaluated at bid price : 17.75
Bid-YTW : 9.36 %

BIK.PR.A FixedReset Disc Quote: 20.88 – 21.75
Spot Rate : 0.8700
Average : 0.6355

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2053-09-27
Maturity Price : 20.88
Evaluated at bid price : 20.88
Bid-YTW : 9.86 %

11 Responses to “September 27, 2023”

  1. JClay says:

    I have noted for some time that you use a “standard” 1.3 multiplier to adjust for the tax rate differential on dividends vs. interest income. However, as a BC resident in the highest tax bracket of 53.5%, I note that the actual multiplier is 1.3647, making dividend income even more attractive. Where does the “standard 1.3” multiplier come from? Are Ontario tax rates and/or tax treatment of dividends that much different than BC?

  2. peet says:

    Have a look at

    https://www.ey.com/en_ca/tax/tax-calculators

    and you’ll see there’s quite a bit of variation across Canada for the “equivalency factor” for the top tax bracket. 1.3 seems like a decent compromise.

    Saskatchewan is around 1.6!

  3. CaddilacMan says:

    Thanks Peet, that’s a useful site

  4. JClay says:

    peet, I think you are doing the math incorrectly if you think Saskatchewan is 1.6. I calculate Saskatchewan being 1.34019 using the top tax rate for 2023.

    The equivalency factor is not simply the ratio of the tax rates on Dividends vs. interest income. It is calculated as (1-D)/(1-I), where D is the dividend tax rate and I is the interest tax rate, both expressed as decimals. So for Saskatchewan, the math is (1-.2964) / (1-.475) = 1.34019. So earning $100.00 in dividend income will leave you with the same after-tax income as earning $134.02 of interest income.

  5. jiHymas says:

    https://www.ey.com/en_ca/tax/tax-calculators

    Thanks Peet, that’s a useful site

    It can also be found linked on PrefBlog’s right-hand navigation panel, after all the links to articles, under the heading “Calculators > Tax Calculator”

  6. DR says:

    Jclay,
    also a bc resident and to me has seemed like a dirty secret the treatment of dividends out here. even more remarkable than the equivalency is just how much a couple, with joint accounts (or early gifting to adult children/dependents), can make without paying much if anything

  7. peet says:

    Jclay, you’re absolutely right of course …and I wasn’t thinking, I apologize.

  8. fsabbagh says:

    Hi DR,

    Can you please explain “(or early gifting to adult children/dependents), can make without paying much if anything” ?

    Is this for BC only? How about QC?

  9. DR says:

    yes, would be same in any province. i am not a fan of trusts as to me they are effectively “anti-trusts” (ie you set one up because you don’t trust your children!)

    so for those of us providing ongoing support to adult children, rather than give them my after tax money, we just gifted them each a small stack from which they can earn their own dividends to help with cost of living.

    no point having a lengthy conversation about pitfalls of doing so and assisting adult children however. well aware of the pros and cons.

  10. […] Spread (between long-term corporate bonds and interest-equivalent PerpetualDiscounts) was 390bp as of 2023-9-27 (although this is based on suspect data from BMO) (chart end-date 2023-9-8) […]

  11. […] PerpetualDiscounts now yield 7.16%, equivalent to 9.31% interest at the standard equivalency factor of 1.3x. Long corporates yielded 5.74% on 2023-9-30 (sic) and since then (by which I think they meant 2023-9-29) the closing price has changed from 13.93 to 13.65, a decrease of 201bp in price, with a Duration of 11.91 (BMO doesn’t specify whether this is Macaulay or Modified Duration; I will assume Modified) which implies an increase in yield of about 17bp since 9/29 [?] to 5.91%, so the pre-tax interest-equivalent spread (in this context, the “Seniority Spread”) has widened to 340bp from the 330bp reported September 27. […]

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