New Issues

New Issue: BNS FixedReset, 4.85%+419, NVCC

The Bank of Nova Scotia has announced:

a domestic public offering of Non-cumulative 5-Year Rate Reset Preferred Shares Series 38 (Non-Viability Contingent Capital (NVCC)) (the “Preferred Shares Series 38”).

Scotiabank has agreed to sell 12 million of Preferred Shares Series 38 to a syndicate of underwriters led by Scotia Capital Inc. on a bought deal basis. Scotiabank has granted the Underwriters an option, exercisable in whole or in part up to 48 hours before closing, to purchase up to an additional 2 million Preferred Shares Series 38 at the same offering price.

Scotiabank will issue Preferred Shares Series 38 priced at $25 per share and holders will be entitled to receive a non-cumulative quarterly fixed dividend, as and when declared by the Board of Directors of Scotiabank, for the initial period ending on and including January 26, 2022 at an annual rate of $1.2125 per share to yield 4.85% per cent annually.

On January 27, 2022 and on January 27 every five years thereafter, Scotiabank may, at its option, with the prior approval of the Superintendent of Financial Institutions (Canada), redeem all or any number of the then outstanding Preferred Shares Series 38 at a redemption price which is equal to par. Thereafter, the dividend rate will reset every five years at a rate equal to 4.19% over the 5-year Government of Canada bond yield. Holders of Preferred Shares Series 38 will, subject to certain conditions, have the right to convert all or any part of their shares to Non-cumulative Floating Rate Preferred Shares Series 39 (Non-Viability Contingent Capital (NVCC)) (the “Preferred Shares Series 39”) of Scotiabank on January 27, 2022 and on January 27 every five years thereafter.

Holders of the Preferred Shares Series 39 will be entitled to receive a non-cumulative quarterly floating dividend at a rate equal to the 3-month Government of Canada Treasury Bill yield plus 4.19%, as and when declared by the Board of Directors of Scotiabank. Holders of Preferred Shares Series 39 will, subject to certain conditions, have the right to convert all or any part of their shares to Preferred Shares Series 38 on January 27, 2027 and on January 27 every five years thereafter.

Closing is expected to occur on or after September 16, 2016. This domestic public offering is part of Scotiabank’s ongoing and proactive management of its Tier 1 capital structure.

Net proceeds from this transaction will be added to Scotiabank’s funds and will be used for general business purposes.

They later announced:

that as a result of strong investor demand for its previously announced domestic public offering of Non-cumulative 5-Year Rate Reset Preferred Shares Series 38 (Non-Viability Contingent Capital (NVCC)) (the “Preferred Shares Series 38”), the size of the offering has been increased to 20 million shares. The gross proceeds of the offering will now be $500 million. The offering will be underwritten by a syndicate of investment dealers led by Scotia Capital Inc.

Closing is expected to occur on or after September 16, 2016. This domestic public offering is part of Scotiabank’s ongoing and proactive management of its Tier 1 capital structure. Scotiabank intends to file a prospectus supplement to its July 7, 2016 base shelf prospectus in respect of this issue.

Net proceeds from this transaction will be added to Scotiabank’s funds and will be used for general business purposes.

This is Scotia’s third NVCC-compliant issue, so we can attempt some very cautious Implied Volatility Analysis:

impVol_BNS_160907
Click for Big

On the one hand, it appears to be fairly priced against the two other NVCC issues, with an Implied Volatility of 9%. However, most other series have Implied Volatility in excess of 20% and therefore show steeper curves when analyzed in this fashion, which suggests either than the new issue is cheap, or the other two issues (BNS.PR.E and BNS.PR.G) are rich. Take your pick! However, the NVCC non-compliant issues are very clearly differentiated from the compliant issues, so that’s something!

Market Action

September 7, 2016

Negative interest rates have a silver lining for some firms!

It’s a sign the world is getting used to negative interest rates when what once seemed bizarre starts looking like the norm.

Consider Switzerland, where more and more companies are taking out insurance policies to protect their cash hoards from theft or damage.

“Because of the low interest rate level, we note increasing demand for insurance solutions for the storage of cash,” said Philipp Surholt at Zurich Insurance Group AG, among underwriters reporting a surge in such requests. “We’re seeing demand for coverage for sums ranging from 100 million to 500 million francs.”

Helvetia Holding AG said it charges about 1,000 francs ($1,020) a year to insure 1 million francs, a fraction of the 7,500 francs a company would pay to park the same amount in a bank for a year — assuming the lender passes on the full charge. But that amount doesn’t include the cost of logistics such as transport or security features like reinforced walls, guards and alarm systems.

Companies need to save a lot on bank fees for cash storage to be economical because, in addition to insurance, they have to assume the costs of managing the money, said Roberto Brunazzi, a spokesman for Baloise Holding AG. He said the company has long offered such coverage “but there has been a noticeable increase and now it’s becoming more commonplace.”

Switzerland’s continued use of high-denomination banknotes adds to the appeal of self-storage: About 1 million francs worth of 1,000-franc bills can fit in a small box.

PerpetualDiscounts now yield 5.12%, equivalent to 6.66% interest at the standard equivalency factor of 1.3x. Long corporates yield a hair over 3.60%, so the pre-tax interest-equivalent spread (in this context, the “Seniority Spread”) is now about 305bp, a slight (and perhaps spurious) widening from the 300bp reported August 31.

HIMIPref™ Preferred Indices
These values reflect the December 2008 revision of the HIMIPref™ Indices

Values are provisional and are finalized monthly
Index Mean
Current
Yield
(at bid)
Median
YTW
Median
Average
Trading
Value
Median
Mod Dur
(YTW)
Issues Day’s Perf. Index Value
Ratchet 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 -0.5168 % 1,679.2
FixedFloater 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 -0.5168 % 3,067.5
Floater 4.89 % 4.67 % 82,578 16.00 4 -0.5168 % 1,767.8
OpRet 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.0634 % 2,888.1
SplitShare 5.04 % 4.38 % 85,148 2.21 5 0.0634 % 3,449.0
Interest-Bearing 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.0634 % 2,691.1
Perpetual-Premium 5.51 % 4.62 % 73,198 2.00 12 -0.0782 % 2,672.2
Perpetual-Discount 5.12 % 5.13 % 102,217 15.04 26 -0.0821 % 2,905.6
FixedReset 5.01 % 4.36 % 142,865 7.06 89 -0.8808 % 2,027.1
Deemed-Retractible 5.02 % 4.79 % 117,822 3.24 32 -0.0928 % 2,798.2
FloatingReset 2.85 % 3.97 % 29,679 5.03 12 -0.1960 % 2,205.8
Performance Highlights
Issue Index Change Notes
BAM.PR.X FixedReset -3.07 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-09-07
Maturity Price : 13.24
Evaluated at bid price : 13.24
Bid-YTW : 4.95 %
BMO.PR.Y FixedReset -2.36 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-09-07
Maturity Price : 20.31
Evaluated at bid price : 20.31
Bid-YTW : 4.30 %
CM.PR.Q FixedReset -2.17 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-09-07
Maturity Price : 19.88
Evaluated at bid price : 19.88
Bid-YTW : 4.44 %
BAM.PF.F FixedReset -2.15 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-09-07
Maturity Price : 20.06
Evaluated at bid price : 20.06
Bid-YTW : 4.69 %
BAM.PR.R FixedReset -2.09 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-09-07
Maturity Price : 15.43
Evaluated at bid price : 15.43
Bid-YTW : 4.92 %
BAM.PR.Z FixedReset -2.07 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-09-07
Maturity Price : 18.94
Evaluated at bid price : 18.94
Bid-YTW : 5.03 %
BAM.PF.A FixedReset -2.02 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-09-07
Maturity Price : 19.45
Evaluated at bid price : 19.45
Bid-YTW : 4.82 %
SLF.PR.H FixedReset -1.93 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 15.79
Bid-YTW : 9.26 %
MFC.PR.J FixedReset -1.92 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 18.40
Bid-YTW : 7.78 %
BAM.PR.T FixedReset -1.79 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-09-07
Maturity Price : 15.40
Evaluated at bid price : 15.40
Bid-YTW : 5.05 %
BMO.PR.Q FixedReset -1.73 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 19.83
Bid-YTW : 6.43 %
BMO.PR.T FixedReset -1.71 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-09-07
Maturity Price : 18.38
Evaluated at bid price : 18.38
Bid-YTW : 4.19 %
TRP.PR.D FixedReset -1.65 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-09-07
Maturity Price : 17.86
Evaluated at bid price : 17.86
Bid-YTW : 4.51 %
BMO.PR.W FixedReset -1.61 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-09-07
Maturity Price : 18.30
Evaluated at bid price : 18.30
Bid-YTW : 4.18 %
TD.PF.E FixedReset -1.61 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-09-07
Maturity Price : 20.81
Evaluated at bid price : 20.81
Bid-YTW : 4.34 %
RY.PR.H FixedReset -1.60 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-09-07
Maturity Price : 18.50
Evaluated at bid price : 18.50
Bid-YTW : 4.19 %
FTS.PR.K FixedReset -1.54 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-09-07
Maturity Price : 17.87
Evaluated at bid price : 17.87
Bid-YTW : 4.05 %
SLF.PR.I FixedReset -1.53 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 17.98
Bid-YTW : 8.12 %
BMO.PR.S FixedReset -1.50 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-09-07
Maturity Price : 18.98
Evaluated at bid price : 18.98
Bid-YTW : 4.16 %
TD.PF.B FixedReset -1.50 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-09-07
Maturity Price : 18.35
Evaluated at bid price : 18.35
Bid-YTW : 4.23 %
CM.PR.O FixedReset -1.48 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-09-07
Maturity Price : 18.69
Evaluated at bid price : 18.69
Bid-YTW : 4.25 %
FTS.PR.J Perpetual-Discount -1.42 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-09-07
Maturity Price : 23.18
Evaluated at bid price : 23.61
Bid-YTW : 5.04 %
BMO.PR.M FixedReset -1.41 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 23.76
Bid-YTW : 3.78 %
BAM.PF.E FixedReset -1.39 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-09-07
Maturity Price : 19.20
Evaluated at bid price : 19.20
Bid-YTW : 4.60 %
TRP.PR.G FixedReset -1.31 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-09-07
Maturity Price : 20.33
Evaluated at bid price : 20.33
Bid-YTW : 4.54 %
CM.PR.P FixedReset -1.29 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-09-07
Maturity Price : 18.30
Evaluated at bid price : 18.30
Bid-YTW : 4.25 %
TD.PF.A FixedReset -1.28 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-09-07
Maturity Price : 18.53
Evaluated at bid price : 18.53
Bid-YTW : 4.19 %
TRP.PR.B FixedReset -1.24 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-09-07
Maturity Price : 11.90
Evaluated at bid price : 11.90
Bid-YTW : 4.19 %
HSE.PR.A FixedReset -1.24 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-09-07
Maturity Price : 11.90
Evaluated at bid price : 11.90
Bid-YTW : 5.06 %
TD.PF.D FixedReset -1.23 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-09-07
Maturity Price : 20.10
Evaluated at bid price : 20.10
Bid-YTW : 4.39 %
TD.PF.C FixedReset -1.19 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-09-07
Maturity Price : 18.34
Evaluated at bid price : 18.34
Bid-YTW : 4.23 %
FTS.PR.G FixedReset -1.16 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-09-07
Maturity Price : 17.85
Evaluated at bid price : 17.85
Bid-YTW : 4.09 %
TRP.PR.H FloatingReset -1.14 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-09-07
Maturity Price : 10.40
Evaluated at bid price : 10.40
Bid-YTW : 4.37 %
MFC.PR.M FixedReset -1.14 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 18.21
Bid-YTW : 7.92 %
RY.PR.Z FixedReset -1.11 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-09-07
Maturity Price : 18.64
Evaluated at bid price : 18.64
Bid-YTW : 4.10 %
RY.PR.M FixedReset -1.11 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-09-07
Maturity Price : 19.53
Evaluated at bid price : 19.53
Bid-YTW : 4.33 %
TRP.PR.F FloatingReset -1.09 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-09-07
Maturity Price : 13.56
Evaluated at bid price : 13.56
Bid-YTW : 4.53 %
FTS.PR.H FixedReset -1.09 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-09-07
Maturity Price : 13.60
Evaluated at bid price : 13.60
Bid-YTW : 4.05 %
BAM.PF.G FixedReset -1.06 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-09-07
Maturity Price : 20.62
Evaluated at bid price : 20.62
Bid-YTW : 4.59 %
MFC.PR.K FixedReset -1.05 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 16.92
Bid-YTW : 8.66 %
NA.PR.S FixedReset -1.05 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-09-07
Maturity Price : 18.85
Evaluated at bid price : 18.85
Bid-YTW : 4.30 %
IFC.PR.C FixedReset -1.05 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 17.91
Bid-YTW : 8.21 %
RY.PR.J FixedReset -1.04 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-09-07
Maturity Price : 19.90
Evaluated at bid price : 19.90
Bid-YTW : 4.36 %
MFC.PR.N FixedReset -1.04 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 18.14
Bid-YTW : 7.92 %
TRP.PR.E FixedReset -1.01 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-09-07
Maturity Price : 18.68
Evaluated at bid price : 18.68
Bid-YTW : 4.37 %
Volume Highlights
Issue Index Shares
Traded
Notes
BIP.PR.C FixedReset 288,259 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2021-09-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.20
Bid-YTW : 5.13 %
FTS.PR.G FixedReset 48,589 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-09-07
Maturity Price : 17.85
Evaluated at bid price : 17.85
Bid-YTW : 4.09 %
IAG.PR.G FixedReset 40,100 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 19.55
Bid-YTW : 7.07 %
BAM.PR.T FixedReset 38,625 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-09-07
Maturity Price : 15.40
Evaluated at bid price : 15.40
Bid-YTW : 5.05 %
RY.PR.M FixedReset 38,575 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-09-07
Maturity Price : 19.53
Evaluated at bid price : 19.53
Bid-YTW : 4.33 %
IFC.PR.A FixedReset 36,700 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 15.13
Bid-YTW : 10.03 %
There were 57 other index-included issues trading in excess of 10,000 shares.
Wide Spread Highlights
Issue Index Quote Data and Yield Notes
BMO.PR.Q FixedReset Quote: 19.83 – 20.25
Spot Rate : 0.4200
Average : 0.2702

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 19.83
Bid-YTW : 6.43 %

CU.PR.I FixedReset Quote: 25.60 – 26.08
Spot Rate : 0.4800
Average : 0.3393

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2020-12-01
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.60
Bid-YTW : 3.92 %

VNR.PR.A FixedReset Quote: 18.50 – 18.80
Spot Rate : 0.3000
Average : 0.1954

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-09-07
Maturity Price : 18.50
Evaluated at bid price : 18.50
Bid-YTW : 4.85 %

BNS.PR.Y FixedReset Quote: 20.43 – 20.66
Spot Rate : 0.2300
Average : 0.1417

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 20.43
Bid-YTW : 5.82 %

PWF.PR.R Perpetual-Premium Quote: 25.44 – 25.64
Spot Rate : 0.2000
Average : 0.1267

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2021-04-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.44
Bid-YTW : 5.24 %

TRP.PR.J FixedReset Quote: 26.16 – 26.39
Spot Rate : 0.2300
Average : 0.1602

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2021-05-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.16
Bid-YTW : 4.46 %

Issue Comments

DGS.PR.A To Get Bigger

Brompton Group has announced:

Dividend Growth Split Corp. (the “Company”) is pleased to announce it is undertaking a treasury offering of class A and preferred shares. The final class A and preferred share offering prices will be determined so as to be non-dilutive to the net asset value per unit of the Company as of the pricing date, as adjusted for dividends and certain expenses to be accrued prior to or upon settlement of the offering.
The Company invests in a portfolio of common shares of high quality, large capitalization companies, which have among the highest dividend growth rates of those companies included in the S&P/TSX Composite Index. Currently, the portfolio consists of common shares of the following 20 companies:

Great-West Lifeco Inc. The Bank of Nova Scotia CI Financial Corp.
Shaw Communications Inc. Industrial Alliance Insurance and Financial Services Inc. Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce
IGM Financial Inc. TELUS Corporation Manulife Financial Corporation
National Bank of Canada Power Corporation of Canada Canadian Utilities Limited
Sun Life Financial Inc. Royal Bank of Canada BCE Inc.
Enbridge Inc. Bank of Montreal The Toronto-Dominion Bank
Rogers Communications Inc. TransCanada Corporation

The investment objectives for the class A shares are to provide holders with regular monthly cash distributions targeted to be $0.10 per class A share and to provide the opportunity for growth in the net asset value per class A share.
The investment objectives for the preferred shares are to provide holders with fixed cumulative preferential quarterly cash distributions, currently in the amount of $0.13125 per preferred share, representing a yield on the original issue price of 5.25% per annum, and to return the original issue price to holders of preferred shares on the Company’s maturity date (November 28, 2019).

The syndicate of agents for the offering is being led by RBC Capital Markets, CIBC and Scotiabank and includes TD Securities Inc. BMO Capital Markets, National Bank Financial Inc., GMP Securities L.P., Canaccord Genuity Corp., Desjardins Securities Inc., Raymond James Ltd., Echelon Wealth Partners Inc., Haywood Securities Inc., Industrial Alliance Securities Inc. and Mackie Research Capital Corporation.

Update, 2016-9-10: Priced and sized:

Dividend Growth Split Corp. (the “Company”) is pleased to announce that the Company’s treasury offering of class A and preferred shares has been priced at $6.75 per class A share and $10.25 per preferred share. The final class A and preferred share offering prices were determined so as to be non-dilutive to the most recently calculated net asset value per unit of the Company, as adjusted for dividends and certain expenses to be accrued prior to or upon settlement of the offering, and voluntary payment of certain costs of the offering by the Manager. Gross proceeds of the offering are expected to be approximately $25 million.

Market Action

September 6, 2016

HIMIPref™ Preferred Indices
These values reflect the December 2008 revision of the HIMIPref™ Indices

Values are provisional and are finalized monthly
Index Mean
Current
Yield
(at bid)
Median
YTW
Median
Average
Trading
Value
Median
Mod Dur
(YTW)
Issues Day’s Perf. Index Value
Ratchet 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.3039 % 1,687.9
FixedFloater 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.3039 % 3,083.4
Floater 4.87 % 4.64 % 85,976 16.07 4 0.3039 % 1,777.0
OpRet 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.1667 % 2,886.3
SplitShare 5.04 % 4.63 % 88,424 2.21 5 0.1667 % 3,446.9
Interest-Bearing 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.1667 % 2,689.4
Perpetual-Premium 5.50 % 4.04 % 74,063 0.15 12 -0.2307 % 2,674.3
Perpetual-Discount 5.11 % 5.11 % 99,865 14.99 26 0.1043 % 2,907.9
FixedReset 4.97 % 4.28 % 140,930 7.08 89 -0.5311 % 2,045.2
Deemed-Retractible 5.02 % 4.70 % 116,445 3.25 32 -0.0483 % 2,800.8
FloatingReset 2.84 % 3.97 % 30,034 5.04 12 -0.4120 % 2,210.1
Performance Highlights
Issue Index Change Notes
SLF.PR.J FloatingReset -3.04 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 12.75
Bid-YTW : 11.04 %
NA.PR.W FixedReset -1.99 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-09-06
Maturity Price : 18.23
Evaluated at bid price : 18.23
Bid-YTW : 4.28 %
MFC.PR.F FixedReset -1.81 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 13.60
Bid-YTW : 10.44 %
RY.PR.M FixedReset -1.69 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-09-06
Maturity Price : 19.75
Evaluated at bid price : 19.75
Bid-YTW : 4.28 %
TD.PF.A FixedReset -1.68 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-09-06
Maturity Price : 18.77
Evaluated at bid price : 18.77
Bid-YTW : 4.14 %
TRP.PR.C FixedReset -1.56 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-09-06
Maturity Price : 13.22
Evaluated at bid price : 13.22
Bid-YTW : 4.25 %
TD.PF.C FixedReset -1.54 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-09-06
Maturity Price : 18.56
Evaluated at bid price : 18.56
Bid-YTW : 4.18 %
BAM.PR.Z FixedReset -1.48 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-09-06
Maturity Price : 19.34
Evaluated at bid price : 19.34
Bid-YTW : 4.92 %
TD.PF.D FixedReset -1.45 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-09-06
Maturity Price : 20.35
Evaluated at bid price : 20.35
Bid-YTW : 4.33 %
CM.PR.Q FixedReset -1.41 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-09-06
Maturity Price : 20.32
Evaluated at bid price : 20.32
Bid-YTW : 4.34 %
BAM.PR.T FixedReset -1.38 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-09-06
Maturity Price : 15.68
Evaluated at bid price : 15.68
Bid-YTW : 4.96 %
RY.PR.Z FixedReset -1.36 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-09-06
Maturity Price : 18.85
Evaluated at bid price : 18.85
Bid-YTW : 4.05 %
SLF.PR.G FixedReset -1.32 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 14.17
Bid-YTW : 9.90 %
RY.PR.H FixedReset -1.31 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-09-06
Maturity Price : 18.80
Evaluated at bid price : 18.80
Bid-YTW : 4.12 %
MFC.PR.G FixedReset -1.29 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 19.18
Bid-YTW : 7.35 %
TD.PF.B FixedReset -1.27 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-09-06
Maturity Price : 18.63
Evaluated at bid price : 18.63
Bid-YTW : 4.17 %
MFC.PR.L FixedReset -1.27 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 17.91
Bid-YTW : 7.94 %
MFC.PR.I FixedReset -1.25 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 19.69
Bid-YTW : 7.04 %
RY.PR.J FixedReset -1.23 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-09-06
Maturity Price : 20.11
Evaluated at bid price : 20.11
Bid-YTW : 4.32 %
TD.PF.E FixedReset -1.21 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-09-06
Maturity Price : 21.15
Evaluated at bid price : 21.15
Bid-YTW : 4.27 %
BAM.PF.B FixedReset -1.20 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-09-06
Maturity Price : 18.16
Evaluated at bid price : 18.16
Bid-YTW : 4.83 %
MFC.PR.H FixedReset -1.18 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 21.00
Bid-YTW : 6.33 %
MFC.PR.N FixedReset -1.13 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 18.33
Bid-YTW : 7.76 %
BAM.PF.A FixedReset -1.10 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-09-06
Maturity Price : 19.85
Evaluated at bid price : 19.85
Bid-YTW : 4.72 %
BAM.PF.G FixedReset -1.09 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-09-06
Maturity Price : 20.84
Evaluated at bid price : 20.84
Bid-YTW : 4.54 %
NA.PR.S FixedReset -1.09 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-09-06
Maturity Price : 19.05
Evaluated at bid price : 19.05
Bid-YTW : 4.26 %
MFC.PR.M FixedReset -1.07 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 18.42
Bid-YTW : 7.75 %
CM.PR.P FixedReset -1.07 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-09-06
Maturity Price : 18.54
Evaluated at bid price : 18.54
Bid-YTW : 4.19 %
CM.PR.O FixedReset -1.04 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-09-06
Maturity Price : 18.97
Evaluated at bid price : 18.97
Bid-YTW : 4.19 %
BIP.PR.A FixedReset -1.03 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-09-06
Maturity Price : 20.10
Evaluated at bid price : 20.10
Bid-YTW : 5.35 %
SLF.PR.I FixedReset -1.03 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 18.26
Bid-YTW : 7.89 %
BAM.PR.R FixedReset -1.01 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-09-06
Maturity Price : 15.76
Evaluated at bid price : 15.76
Bid-YTW : 4.74 %
PWF.PR.K Perpetual-Discount 1.21 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-09-06
Maturity Price : 24.09
Evaluated at bid price : 24.35
Bid-YTW : 5.13 %
FTS.PR.H FixedReset 1.63 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-09-06
Maturity Price : 13.75
Evaluated at bid price : 13.75
Bid-YTW : 4.01 %
Volume Highlights
Issue Index Shares
Traded
Notes
BIP.PR.C FixedReset 60,790 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2021-09-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.22
Bid-YTW : 5.11 %
TD.PF.C FixedReset 35,150 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-09-06
Maturity Price : 18.56
Evaluated at bid price : 18.56
Bid-YTW : 4.18 %
BAM.PR.K Floater 31,420 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-09-06
Maturity Price : 10.34
Evaluated at bid price : 10.34
Bid-YTW : 4.64 %
HSE.PR.A FixedReset 26,115 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-09-06
Maturity Price : 12.05
Evaluated at bid price : 12.05
Bid-YTW : 4.99 %
RY.PR.H FixedReset 25,025 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-09-06
Maturity Price : 18.80
Evaluated at bid price : 18.80
Bid-YTW : 4.12 %
RY.PR.M FixedReset 23,255 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-09-06
Maturity Price : 19.75
Evaluated at bid price : 19.75
Bid-YTW : 4.28 %
There were 27 other index-included issues trading in excess of 10,000 shares.
Wide Spread Highlights
Issue Index Quote Data and Yield Notes
GWO.PR.N FixedReset Quote: 13.98 – 14.35
Spot Rate : 0.3700
Average : 0.2677

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 13.98
Bid-YTW : 9.97 %

SLF.PR.G FixedReset Quote: 14.17 – 14.43
Spot Rate : 0.2600
Average : 0.1805

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 14.17
Bid-YTW : 9.90 %

POW.PR.C Perpetual-Premium Quote: 25.44 – 25.65
Spot Rate : 0.2100
Average : 0.1405

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2016-10-06
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.44
Bid-YTW : -5.23 %

TRP.PR.C FixedReset Quote: 13.22 – 13.44
Spot Rate : 0.2200
Average : 0.1510

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-09-06
Maturity Price : 13.22
Evaluated at bid price : 13.22
Bid-YTW : 4.25 %

CU.PR.D Perpetual-Discount Quote: 24.65 – 24.83
Spot Rate : 0.1800
Average : 0.1130

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-09-06
Maturity Price : 24.17
Evaluated at bid price : 24.65
Bid-YTW : 4.98 %

TD.PF.D FixedReset Quote: 20.35 – 20.60
Spot Rate : 0.2500
Average : 0.1839

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-09-06
Maturity Price : 20.35
Evaluated at bid price : 20.35
Bid-YTW : 4.33 %

Issue Comments

ENB Acquiring Spectra: Ratings Effect Unclear

Enbridge Inc. has announced:

Highlights:

  • •Creates largest energy infrastructure company in North America with C$1651 billion (US$127 billion) enterprise value
  • •Anticipated 15 percent annualized dividend increase in 2017 and annual 10-12 percent dividend growth thereafter through 2024. Industry leading secured project and risked development inventory of C$74 billion (US$57 billion) with C$26 billion (US$20 billion) currently in execution
  • •Complementary and diversified asset base to increase customer service offerings and optionality
  • •Enhanced ability to pursue projects that will improve customer access and service
  • •Strengthens investment grade balance sheet
  • •96 percent of cash flow generated by cost-of-service, take-or-pay, or fee-based contracts
  • •Industry-leading total return potential

Enbridge Inc. (TSX:ENB) (NYSE:ENB) (Enbridge) and Spectra Energy Corp (NYSE:SE) (Spectra Energy) today announced that they have entered into a definitive merger agreement under which Enbridge and Spectra Energy will combine in a stock-for-stock merger transaction (the “Transaction”), which values Spectra Energy common stock at approximately C$37 billion (US$28 billion), based on the closing price of Enbridge’s common shares on September 2, 2016. The combination will create the largest energy infrastructure company in North America and one of the largest globally based on a pro-forma enterprise value of approximately C$165 billion (US$127 billion). The Transaction was unanimously approved by the Boards of Directors of both companies and is expected to close in the first quarter of 2017, subject to shareholder and certain regulatory approvals, and other customary conditions.

DBRS has announced that it:

has today placed all ratings of Enbridge Inc. (ENB), Enbridge Income Fund (EIF), Enbridge Pipelines Inc. (EPI), Enbridge Gas Distribution Inc. (EGD) and Enbridge Energy Partners, L.P. (EEP) Under Review with Developing Implications, as follows:

ENB plans a 15% annualized dividend increase in 2017 and annual 10% to 12% dividend growth thereafter through 2024. This is expected to result in a common dividend payout of 50% to 60% of available cash flow from operations (ACFFO), compared with ENB’s current 50% target payout ratio. ENB also plans to divest of approximately $2 billion of non-core assets over the next 12 months to provide additional financial flexibility. Annual run-rate synergies of $540 million (USD 415 million) are expected, the majority of which is expected to be achieved in the latter part of 2018. In addition, approximately $260 million (USD 200 million) of tax savings are anticipated commencing in 2019. On a combined basis, ENB will have a secured project and risked development inventory of $74 billion (USD 56 billion) currently in execution, with a very strong contractual profile.

With respect to the financial risk profile, ENB stated that it expects to fund future growth in a manner that is consistent with maintaining a strong investment-grade credit profile with key target metrics of 15% funds from operations (FFO) to debt and five times debt-to-EBITDA. DBRS notes that both ENB and SEC have significant capex programs over the medium term, with ENB’s being back-end loaded and SEC’s being front-end loaded, with the combination smoothing out the overall pattern somewhat over the 2017 to 2019 period. DBRS expects near-term pressure on ENB’s credit metrics to continue as a result of assumption of SEC’s existing debt and the relatively high near-term capex ($12.9 billion in 2017), partly offset by issuance of substantial common equity. Execution risk with respect to generating expected proceeds from the proposed asset sales is also present.

Spectra’s subsidiary Westcoast got a passing mention from DBRS:

DBRS Limited (DBRS) has today placed the ratings of Spectra Energy Capital, LLC (Spectra Capital, or the Company) and the ratings of the Company’s DBRS-rated subsidiaries Under Review with Developing Implications. The entities covered under this rating action are:

— Westcoast Energy Inc., First Preferred Shares – cumulative, redeemable rated Pfd-2 (low)

DBRS will further review the potential impacts of the Transaction on Spectra Capital’s ratings and the ratings of Company’s DBRS-rated subsidiaries, with an aim to resolve the Under Review – Developing Implications status.

S&P took a more cheerful view:

  • •Diversified energy companies Spectra Energy Corp. and Enbridge Inc. have announced an agreement whereby Enbridge will acquire Spectra in a stock-for-stock merger transaction totaling C$37 billion (US$28 billion). The combined company will be the largest energy company in North America and one of the top five global energy companies based on a pro forma enterprise value of about C$165 billion (US$127 billion).
  • •We are placing our ratings on Spectra and its financing subsidiary Spectra Energy Capital LLC.on CreditWatch with positive implications.
  • •At the same time, we placed the ratings on master limited partnership Spectra Energy Partners LP and operating subsidiary Texas Eastern Transmission L.P. on CreditWatch with positive implications.
  • •We expect to resolve the CreditWatch listing when the transaction closes sometime in the first quarter of 2017, at which time we expect to raise the rating on Spectra Energy Corp. and Spectra Energy Partners and Texas Eastern one notch to ‘BBB+’, which is in line with consolidated group credit profile of Enbridge Inc.


“The CreditWatch listing on Spectra and its operating subsidiaries reflect our expectation that we will raise the ratings in line with those of Enbridge Inc.,” S&P Global Ratings analyst Michael Grande said. “Spectra will become a wholly owned subsidiary of Enbridge, and we expect Spectra’s 2017 consolidated EBITDA of about US$3.2 billion will account for about 40% of the combined company’s pro forma cash flow.”

… and, with respect to Westcoast:

  • •On Sept. 6, Enbridge Inc. announced a merger with Spectra Energy Corp. in a share exchange transaction. When the merger’s completed, Spectra subsidiary Westcoast Energy Inc. will become a wholly owned subsidiary of Enbridge Inc.
  • •We are placing our ratings, including our ‘BBB’ long-term corporate credit rating, on CreditWatch with positive implications.
  • •The CreditWatch placement reflects our view that once completed, Westcoast Energy could be considered core to Enbridge Inc., which would lift the rating.


“The transaction would introduce group support from Enbridge, currently a higher rated entity than existing parent Spectra Energy,” said S&P Global
Ratings credit analyst Gerald Hannochko.

The CreditWatch placement reflects our view that if the transaction closes as expected, Westcoast would likely become core to Enbridge Inc., and the rating and outlook would be equalized with those on Enbridge Inc.

An upgrade is likely if the transaction is completed, and if we assess Westcoast’s group status as core.

Part of the apparent disagreement is that S&P rates Enbridge preferreds as P-2(low) and Westcoast as P-3(high), inverting the ranking of DBRS, which has Enbridge at Pfd-3(high) and Westcoast at Pfd-2(low). Credit ratings are not an exact science!

Affected issues are:

ENB.PF.A, ENB.PF.C, ENB.PF.E, ENB.PF.G, ENB.PR.A, ENB.PR.B, ENB.PR.D, ENB.PR.F, ENB.PR.H, ENB.PR.J, ENB.PR.N, ENB.PR.P, ENB.PR.T, ENB.PR.Y

W.PR.H, W.PR.J, W.PR.K

Update, 2016-9-7: Moody’s affirms Ba1 Preferred rating and maintains negative outlook:

Moody’s Investors Service has affirmed the Baa2 senior unsecured ratings for Enbridge Inc. (Enbridge) and its subsidiaries Enbridge Income Fund (EIF) and Enbridge Energy Limited Partnership (EELP).

“The transaction is credit positive for Enbridge because Spectra brings increased size and scale, and helps create the largest midstream company in North America with a more diverse asset portfolio,” said Gavin MacFarlane, Moody’s Vice President — Senior Credit Officer. “But the company’s combined leverage remains elevated. We are maintaining a negative rating outlook for Enbridge until we see the company execute the transaction, the large capital program in 2017 and deleveraging plans.”

Moody’s maintains a negative rating outlook for Enbridge based on the company’s very high levels of leverage. As of June 2016, Enbridge’s ratio of debt-to-EBITDA was 7.2x, while Spectra’s was about 5.8x and on a combined last twelve months basis their leverage was about 6.7x. The higher combined leverage is owing to the larger size of Enbridge relative to Spectra, as Spectra accounts for roughly 40% of the combined entities’ EBITDA. Moody’s continues to expect the financial metrics of both companies to improve as they progress with their capital programs. At the same time, Enbridge has announced $2 billion of asset monetizations that Moody’s expects will incrementally reduce leverage at ENB. Moody’s views the prospect of asset monetizations as credit positive and considers this as a meaningful change from a financial strategy perspective, as this represents the first time this decade that management has sought to sell assets out of the group to fund its capital program. The combination of the two entities provides more levers for management to pull in order to manage pressure on credit quality.

The negative outlook on ENB reflects its high leverage and execution risk associated with its plan to delever in a timely fashion. ENB has a plan to do so by the end of 2017 and a number of options at its disposal to reduce leverage. However, if the company fails to execute and debt-to-EBITDA of about 5.5x is unlikely to be achieved by the end of FY2017, the company could be downgraded.

MAPF

MAPF Portfolio Composition, August 2016

Turnover plummetted in August to about 3%.

There is extreme segmentation in the marketplace, with OSFI’s NVCC rule changes in February 2011 having had the effect of splitting the formerly relatively homogeneous Straight Perpetual class of preferreds into three parts:

  • Unaffected Straight Perpetuals
  • DeemedRetractibles explicitly subject to the rules (banks)
  • DeemedRetractibles considered by me, but not (yet!) by the market, to be likely to be explicitly subject to the rules in the future (insurers and insurance holding companies)

This segmentation, and the extreme valuation differences between the segments, has cut down markedly on the opportunities for trading.

To make this more clear, it used to be that there were 70-odd Straight Perpetuals and I was more or less indifferent as to which ones I owned (subject, of course, to issuer concentration concerns and other risk management factors). Thus, if any one of these 70 were to go down in price by – say – $0.25, I would quite often have something in inventory that I’d be willing to swap for it. The segmentation means that I am no longer indifferent; in addition to checking the valuation of a potential buy to other Straights, I also have to check its peer group. This cuts down on the potential for trading.

And, of course, the same segmentation has the same effect on trading opportunities between FixedReset issues.

There is no real hope that this situation will be corrected in the near-term. OSFI has indicated that the long-promised “Draft Definition of Capital” for insurers will not be issued “for public consultation in late 2012 or early 2013”, as they fear that it might encourage speculation in the marketplace. It is not clear why OSFI is so afraid of informed speculation, since the constant speculation in the marketplace is currently less informed than it would be with a little bit of regulatory clarity. While the framework has been updated, the modifications focus on the amount of capital required, not the required characteristics of that capital.

As a result of this delay, I have extended the Deemed Maturity date for insurers and insurance holding companies by three years (to 2025-1-31), in the expectation that when OSFI finally does provide clarity, they will allow the same degree of lead-in time for these companies as they did for banks. This had a major effect on the durations of preferred shares subject to the change but, fortunately, not much on their calculated yields as most of these issues were either trading near par when the change was made or were trading at sufficient premium that a par call was expected on economic grounds. However, with the declines in the market over the past nine months, the expected capital gain on redemption of the insurance-issued DeemedRetractibles has become an important component of the calculated yield.

Due to the footdragging by OSFI, I will be extending the DeemedMaturity date for insurance issues by another two years in the near future.

Sectoral distribution of the MAPF portfolio on July 29 was as follows:

MAPF Sectoral Analysis 2016-8-31
HIMI Indices Sector Weighting YTW ModDur
Ratchet 0% N/A N/A
FixFloat 0% N/A N/A
Floater 0% N/A N/A
OpRet 0% N/A N/A
SplitShare 0% N/A N/A
Interest Rearing 0% N/A N/A
PerpetualPremium 0% N/A N/A
PerpetualDiscount 10.2% 5.02% 15.43
Fixed-Reset 71.9% 7.50% 10.14
Deemed-Retractible 0% N/A N/A
FloatingReset 8.0% 10.54% 7.28
Scraps (Various) 9.7% 6.97% 12.95
Cash +0.3% 0.00% 0.00
Total 100% 7.42% 10.70
Totals and changes will not add precisely due to rounding. Cash is included in totals with duration and yield both equal to zero.
DeemedRetractibles are comprised of all Straight Perpetuals (both PerpetualDiscount and PerpetualPremium) issued by BMO, BNS, CM, ELF, GWO, HSB, IAG, MFC, NA, RY, SLF and TD, which are not exchangable into common at the option of the company. These issues are analyzed as if their prospectuses included a requirement to redeem at par on or prior to 2022-1-31 (banks) or 2025-1-3 (insurers and insurance holding companies), in addition to the call schedule explicitly defined. See OSFI Does Not Grandfather Extant Tier 1 Capital, CM.PR.D, CM.PR.E, CM.PR.G: NVCC Status Confirmed and the January, February, March and June, 2011, editions of PrefLetter for the rationale behind this analysis. (all recent editions have a short summary of the argument included in the “DeemedRetractible” section)

Note that the estimate for the time this will become effective for insurers and insurance holding companies was extended by three years in April 2013, due to the delays in OSFI’s providing clarity on the issue.

Calculations of resettable instruments are performed assuming a constant GOC-5 rate of 0.69% and a constant 3-Month Bill rate of 0.55%

The “total” reflects the un-leveraged total portfolio (i.e., cash is included in the portfolio calculations and is deemed to have a duration and yield of 0.00.). MAPF will often have relatively large cash balances, both credit and debit, to facilitate trading. Figures presented in the table have been rounded to the indicated precision.

Credit distribution is:

MAPF Credit Analysis 2016-8-31
DBRS Rating Weighting
Pfd-1 0 (0)
Pfd-1(low) 0 (0)
Pfd-2(high) 29.4%
Pfd-2 34.9%
Pfd-2(low) 35.7%
Pfd-3(high) 1.4%
Pfd-3 4.7%
Pfd-3(low) 3.0%
Pfd-4(high) 0%
Pfd-4 0%
Pfd-4(low) 0%
Pfd-5(high) 0.7%
Pfd-5 0.0%
Cash +0.3%
Totals will not add precisely due to rounding.
The fund holds a position in AZP.PR.C, which is rated P-5(high) by S&P and is unrated by DBRS
A position held in INE.PR.A is not rated by DBRS, but has been included as “Pfd-3” in the above table on the basis of its S&P rating of P-3.
A position held in BIP.PR.A is not rated by DBRS, but has been included as “Pfd-2(low)” in the above table on the basis of its S&P rating of P-2(low).

Liquidity Distribution is:

MAPF Liquidity Analysis 2016-08-31
Average Daily Trading Weighting
<$50,000 12.2%
$50,000 – $100,000 47.4%
$100,000 – $200,000 32.2%
$200,000 – $300,000 1.8%
>$300,000 6.2%
Cash +0.3%
Totals will not add precisely due to rounding.

MAPF is, of course, Malachite Aggressive Preferred Fund, a “unit trust” managed by Hymas Investment Management Inc. Further information and links to performance, audited financials and subscription information are available the fund’s web page. The fund may be purchased either directly from Hymas Investment Management or through a brokerage account at Odlum Brown Limited. A “unit trust” is like a regular mutual fund, but is sold by offering memorandum rather than prospectus. This is cheaper, but means subscription is restricted to “accredited investors” (as defined by the Ontario Securities Commission). Fund past performances are not a guarantee of future performance. You can lose money investing in MAPF or any other fund.

A similar portfolio composition analysis has been performed on the Claymore Preferred Share ETF (symbol CPD) (and other funds) as of August 31, 2012, and published in the October (mainly methodology), November (most funds), and December (ZPR) 2012, PrefLetter. While direct comparisons are difficult due to the introduction of the DeemedRetractible class of preferred share (see above) it is fair to say:

  • MAPF credit quality is better
  • MAPF liquidity is a bit lower
  • MAPF Yield is higher
  • Weightings
    • MAPF is less exposed to Straight Perpetuals (including DeemedRetractibles)
    • MAPF is less exposed to Operating Retractibles
    • MAPF is more exposed to SplitShares
    • MAPF is less exposed to FixFloat / Floater / Ratchet
    • MAPF is overweighted in FixedResets
Market Action

September 2, 2016

Jobs, jobs, jobs!

Good. But not too good.

That is the verdict from economists after the Labor Department reported on Friday that in August employers added 151,000 jobs, the unemployment rate was unchanged at 4.9 percent, and wage gains were modest. It was a solid performance that keeps the economy on track, but not strong enough to push the Federal Reserve to raise its benchmark interest rate when policy makers meet this month.

The jobless rate, based on a separate survey of households, stayed at 4.9 percent, roughly half of what it was seven years ago, and consumer spending remains healthy. But a broader measure of unemployment that includes discouraged and underemployed workers is nearly twice that figure.

Wages have only recently begun to climb. The 12-month increase was a modest 2.4 percent in August, slower than in the previous month but a pace that keeps most workers ahead of inflation.

Bloomberg adds:

Traders are pricing in a 32 percent chance the central bank will raise borrowing costs at its September meeting, down from 34 percent before the jobs data, though the probability earlier slipped as low as 20 percent. The first month with better-than-even odds of a hike is December.

Those wagers have influenced trading with stocks, bonds and the dollar amid a spate of mixed economic data and comments from central bank officials. Financial markets were taken aback on Thursday by weak manufacturing numbers, after other reports pointed to a recovery on the heels of still-robust consumer spending. While Fed Chair Janet Yellen said last week that the case for an increase in borrowing costs has strengthened, wagers on a hike receded even before the jobs figures.

Richmond Fed President Jeffrey Lacker said Friday the message he took from the August data was that “labor markets are continuing to tighten.” He called the report “reasonably strong.”

In a sign of the times, McDonald’s is becoming more corporate:

McDonald’s has long been famous for its small-owner-focused franchise system, in which entrepreneurs with only a store or two would sweat the details of their restaurants, yielding better customer service. Lately, however, the fast-food giant has begun shedding mom and pop owners in favor of bigger operators. Since 2014 the number of U.S. McDonald’s franchise owners has dropped 2.6 percent, while the number of franchised locations has grown 1.2 percent, according to data compiled by researcher FranchiseGrade.com. The chain’s biggest franchisees are getting larger, while those who own five locations or fewer are on the wane.

Getting rid of smaller franchisees allows McDonald’s to speed renovations and the implementation of new technology, such as the self-ordering touchscreens being tested in about 250 locations. Such gear can be expensive, and smaller franchisees often don’t have the capital to pay up—making them less willing to embrace the company’s plans.

There are about 1,842 domestic McDonald’s franchisees who own five restaurants or fewer, compared with 1,930 in 2014, a 4.6 percent drop, the FranchiseGrade.com data show. There’s been about a 12 percent jump, however, in the number of those operating more than 10 stores: 245 now, vs. 218 in 2014. McDonald’s spokeswoman Becca Hary says that stores often end up in the hands of larger operators when smaller ones sell out, but both big and small operators are among its best franchises.

Capital requirements are pretty steep – it’s not a middle-class business environment any more!

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HIMIPref™ Preferred Indices
These values reflect the December 2008 revision of the HIMIPref™ Indices

Values are provisional and are finalized monthly
Index Mean
Current
Yield
(at bid)
Median
YTW
Median
Average
Trading
Value
Median
Mod Dur
(YTW)
Issues Day’s Perf. Index Value
Ratchet 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.1970 % 1,682.8
FixedFloater 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.1970 % 3,074.1
Floater 4.88 % 4.64 % 81,165 16.07 4 0.1970 % 1,771.6
OpRet 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.0000 % 2,881.5
SplitShare 5.05 % 4.35 % 91,930 2.23 5 0.0000 % 3,441.1
Interest-Bearing 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.0000 % 2,684.9
Perpetual-Premium 5.49 % 3.76 % 74,173 0.16 12 -0.0779 % 2,680.4
Perpetual-Discount 5.12 % 5.10 % 99,602 14.96 26 -0.0190 % 2,904.9
FixedReset 4.94 % 4.29 % 141,403 7.23 89 -0.0487 % 2,056.1
Deemed-Retractible 5.01 % 3.68 % 114,064 0.33 32 -0.0939 % 2,802.1
FloatingReset 2.84 % 3.92 % 31,152 5.05 12 0.0304 % 2,219.3
Performance Highlights
Issue Index Change Notes
PWF.PR.P FixedReset -1.69 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-09-02
Maturity Price : 13.39
Evaluated at bid price : 13.39
Bid-YTW : 4.33 %
CCS.PR.C Deemed-Retractible -1.30 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 24.22
Bid-YTW : 5.44 %
MFC.PR.K FixedReset -1.09 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 17.25
Bid-YTW : 8.37 %
IAG.PR.G FixedReset -1.07 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 19.50
Bid-YTW : 7.11 %
GWO.PR.N FixedReset -1.05 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 14.10
Bid-YTW : 9.84 %
MFC.PR.J FixedReset -1.05 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 18.86
Bid-YTW : 7.42 %
PWF.PR.T FixedReset -1.02 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-09-02
Maturity Price : 20.30
Evaluated at bid price : 20.30
Bid-YTW : 3.98 %
VNR.PR.A FixedReset 1.08 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-09-02
Maturity Price : 18.77
Evaluated at bid price : 18.77
Bid-YTW : 4.80 %
RY.PR.H FixedReset 1.33 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-09-02
Maturity Price : 19.05
Evaluated at bid price : 19.05
Bid-YTW : 4.08 %
MFC.PR.G FixedReset 1.41 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 19.43
Bid-YTW : 7.18 %
Volume Highlights
Issue Index Shares
Traded
Notes
TRP.PR.J FixedReset 144,675 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2021-05-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.18
Bid-YTW : 4.42 %
RY.PR.H FixedReset 56,375 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-09-02
Maturity Price : 19.05
Evaluated at bid price : 19.05
Bid-YTW : 4.08 %
TD.PF.C FixedReset 52,600 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-09-02
Maturity Price : 18.85
Evaluated at bid price : 18.85
Bid-YTW : 4.13 %
BAM.PR.K Floater 34,300 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-09-02
Maturity Price : 10.32
Evaluated at bid price : 10.32
Bid-YTW : 4.64 %
RY.PR.J FixedReset 32,700 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-09-02
Maturity Price : 20.36
Evaluated at bid price : 20.36
Bid-YTW : 4.28 %
BNS.PR.Q FixedReset 31,000 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 24.17
Bid-YTW : 3.66 %
There were 14 other index-included issues trading in excess of 10,000 shares.
Wide Spread Highlights
Issue Index Quote Data and Yield Notes
PWF.PR.T FixedReset Quote: 20.30 – 20.78
Spot Rate : 0.4800
Average : 0.3793

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-09-02
Maturity Price : 20.30
Evaluated at bid price : 20.30
Bid-YTW : 3.98 %

GWO.PR.L Deemed-Retractible Quote: 25.56 – 25.98
Spot Rate : 0.4200
Average : 0.3217

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2016-12-31
Maturity Price : 25.50
Evaluated at bid price : 25.56
Bid-YTW : 3.55 %

GWO.PR.F Deemed-Retractible Quote: 25.82 – 26.15
Spot Rate : 0.3300
Average : 0.2554

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2016-10-02
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.82
Bid-YTW : -35.35 %

HSE.PR.A FixedReset Quote: 12.02 – 12.30
Spot Rate : 0.2800
Average : 0.2095

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-09-02
Maturity Price : 12.02
Evaluated at bid price : 12.02
Bid-YTW : 5.03 %

PWF.PR.P FixedReset Quote: 13.39 – 13.65
Spot Rate : 0.2600
Average : 0.1941

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-09-02
Maturity Price : 13.39
Evaluated at bid price : 13.39
Bid-YTW : 4.33 %

CCS.PR.C Deemed-Retractible Quote: 24.22 – 24.56
Spot Rate : 0.3400
Average : 0.2744

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 24.22
Bid-YTW : 5.44 %

Issue Comments

CF.PR.A To Reset At 3.885%

Canaccord Genuity Group Inc. has announced (although not yet on their website):

the applicable dividend rates for its Cumulative 5-Year Rate Reset First Preferred Shares, Series A (the “Series A Preferred Shares”) and its Cumulative Floating Rate First Preferred Shares, Series B (the “Series B Preferred Shares”), further to its press release dated August 12, 2016 announcing that it does not intend to exercise its right to redeem all or any part of the currently outstanding Series A Preferred Shares and, as a result of which, subject to certain conditions, the holders of the Series A Preferred Shares have the right to convert all or any part of their Series A Preferred Shares into Series B Preferred Shares on a one-for-one basis.

With respect to any Series A Preferred Shares that remain outstanding after September 30, 2016, holders thereof will be entitled to receive quarterly fixed, cumulative, preferential cash dividends, if, as and when declared by the Board of Directors of the Company, subject to the provisions of the Business Corporations Act (British Columbia). The dividend rate for the five-year period commencing on October 1, 2016 and ending on and including September 30, 2021 will be 3.885% per annum, being equal to the sum of the five year Government of Canada bond yield determined as of today, plus 3.21%, in accordance with the terms of the Series A Preferred Shares.

With respect to any Series B Preferred Shares that may be issued on September 30, 2016, holders thereof will be entitled to receive quarterly floating rate, cumulative, preferential cash dividends, if, as and when declared by the Board of Directors of the Company, subject to the provisions of the Business Corporations Act (British Columbia). The dividend rate for the three-month period commencing on October 1, 2016 and ending on and including December 31, 2016 will be 3.722% per annum, being equal to the sum of the three-month Government of Canada Treasury Bill yield determined as of today, plus 3.21% (calculated on the basis of the actual number of days elapsed during such quarterly period divided by 365), in accordance with the terms of the Series B Preferred Shares. The quarterly floating dividend rate will be reset every quarter.

Beneficial owners of Series A Preferred Shares who wish to exercise their conversion right should communicate as soon as possible with their broker or other nominee to ensure their instructions are followed for exercising such right on or prior to the deadline for exercise, which is 5:00 p.m. (Toronto time) on September 15, 2016.

The previous notice of extension was reported on PrefBlog.

CF.PR.A is a 5.50%+321 FixedReset that commenced trading 2011-6-23 after being announced 2011-6-6. The reset therefore represents a 29% dividend cut.

As noted, the deadline for notifying the company of a desire to convert is 5:00 p.m. (Toronto time) on September 15, 2016, but note that custodians of your shares will have internal deadlines a day or two earlier. Hence, I will make a recommendation on whether or not to convert on September 12, 2016.

Issue Comments

BPO.PR.R To Reset At 4.155%

Brookfield Office Properties Inc., a subsidiary of Brookfield Property Partners has announced:

that it has determined the fixed dividend rate on its Class AAA Preference Shares, Series R (“Series R Shares”) (TSX: BPO.PR.R) for the five years commencing October 1, 2016 and ending September 30, 2021. If declared, the fixed quarterly dividends on the Series R Shares during that period will be paid at an annual rate of 4.155% ($0.259688 per share per quarter).

Holders of Series R Shares have the right, at their option, exercisable not later than 5:00 p.m. (Toronto time) on September 15, 2016, to convert all or part of their Series R Shares, on a one-for-one basis, into Class AAA Preference Shares, Series S (the “Series S Shares”), effective September 30, 2016.

The quarterly floating rate dividends on the Series S Shares have an annual rate, calculated for each quarter, of 3.48% over the annual yield on three-month Government of Canada treasury bills. The actual quarterly dividend rate in respect of the October 1, 2016 to December 31, 2016 dividend period for the Series S Shares will be 1.0057% (3.99% on an annualized basis) and the dividend, if declared, for such dividend period will be $0.251425 per share, payable on December 30, 2016.

Holders of Series R Shares are not required to elect to convert all or any part of their Series R Shares into Series S Shares.

As provided in the share conditions of the Series R Shares, (i) if Brookfield determines that there would be fewer than 1,000,000 Series R Shares outstanding after September 30, 2016, all remaining Series R Shares will be automatically converted into Series S Shares on a one-for-one basis effective September 30, 2016; and (ii) if Brookfield determines that there would be fewer than 1,000,000 Series S Shares outstanding after September 30, 2016, no Series R Shares will be permitted to be converted into Series S Shares. There are currently 10,000,000 Series R Shares outstanding.

The Toronto Stock Exchange (“TSX”) has conditionally approved the listing of the Series S Shares effective upon conversion. Listing of the Series S Shares is subject to Brookfield fulfilling all the listing requirements of the TSX and, upon approval, the Series S Shares will be listed on the TSX under the trading symbol “BPO.PR.S”.

BPO.PR.R is a 5.10%+348 FixedReset that commenced trading 2011-9-2 after being announced 2011-8-25. The reset therefore represents a 19% cut in dividends.

As noted, the deadline for notifying the company of a desire to convert is 5:00 p.m. (ET) on September 15, 2016, but note that custodians of your shares will have internal deadlines a day or two earlier. Hence, I will make a recommendation on whether or not to convert on September 12, 2016.

Issue Comments

SLF.PR.H To Reset At 2.842%

Sun Life Financial Inc. has announced:

the dividend rates for its Class A Non-Cumulative Rate Reset Preferred Shares Series 10R (the “Series 10R Shares”) and Class A Non-Cumulative Floating Rate Preferred Shares Series 11QR (the “Series 11QR Shares”).

With respect to any Series 10R Shares that remain outstanding after September 30, 2016, commencing as of that date, holders thereof will be entitled to receive non-cumulative preferential cash dividends on a quarterly basis, as and when declared by the Board of Directors of Sun Life Financial and subject to the Insurance Companies Act (Canada). The dividend rate for the five-year period commencing on September 30, 2016 to but excluding September 30, 2021 will be 2.842% per annum or $0.177625 per share per quarter, being equal to the sum of the Government of Canada Yield, as defined in the terms of the Series 10R Shares, on Wednesday, August 31, 2016 plus 2.17%, as determined in accordance with the terms of the Series 10R Shares.

With respect to any Series 11QR Shares that are issued on September 30, 2016, holders thereof will be entitled to receive floating rate non-cumulative preferential cash dividends on a quarterly basis, as and when declared by the Board of Directors of Sun Life Financial and subject to the Insurance Companies Act (Canada), based on a dividend rate equal to the sum of the T-Bill Rate, as defined in the terms of the Series 11QR Shares, plus 2.17% (calculated on the basis of the actual number of days elapsed in such Quarterly Floating Rate Period divided by 365 days), subject to certain adjustments in accordance with the terms of the Series 11QR Shares. The dividend rate for the period commencing on September 30, 2016 to but excluding December 31, 2016 will be equal to 2.682% per annum or $0.169003 per share, as determined in accordance with the terms of the Series 11QR Shares.

Beneficial owners of Series 10R Shares who wish to exercise the right of conversion should communicate as soon as possible with their broker or other nominee and should ensure that their instructions are followed in order to meet the deadline to exercise such right of conversion, which is 5:00 p.m. (ET) on Thursday, September 15, 2016.

An application will be made to list the Series 11QR Shares on the Toronto Stock Exchange.

I previously reported the notice of extension.

SLF.PR.H is a FixedReset, 3.90%+217, that commenced trading 2011-8-12 after being announced 2011-8-4. The reset dividend therefore represents a dividend cut of 27%.

As the issue does not have a NVCC clause, I have followed my current policy and added a Deemed Maturity entry to the call schedule for 2025-1-31 in the expectation that the NVCC rules will be imposed on insurers and insurance holding companies in the reasonably near future.

As noted, the deadline for notifying the company of a desire to convert is 5:00 p.m. (ET) on September 15, 2016, but note that custodians of your shares will have internal deadlines a day or two earlier. Hence, I will make a recommendation on whether or not to convert on September 12, 2016.