Archive for April, 2017

April 13, 2017

Thursday, April 13th, 2017
HIMIPref™ Preferred Indices
These values reflect the December 2008 revision of the HIMIPref™ Indices

Values are provisional and are finalized monthly
Index Mean
Current
Yield
(at bid)
Median
YTW
Median
Average
Trading
Value
Median
Mod Dur
(YTW)
Issues Day’s Perf. Index Value
Ratchet 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 -0.0184 % 2,192.3
FixedFloater 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 -0.0184 % 4,022.8
Floater 3.47 % 3.56 % 43,704 18.39 4 -0.0184 % 2,318.3
OpRet 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 -0.2801 % 3,021.1
SplitShare 4.94 % 4.20 % 57,037 0.64 6 -0.2801 % 3,607.9
Interest-Bearing 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 -0.2801 % 2,815.0
Perpetual-Premium 5.28 % -7.34 % 72,848 0.09 23 -0.0186 % 2,791.6
Perpetual-Discount 5.07 % 5.06 % 111,308 15.40 13 0.0032 % 3,006.3
FixedReset 4.33 % 3.88 % 249,860 6.67 94 -0.1192 % 2,386.5
Deemed-Retractible 4.97 % 3.75 % 142,522 0.12 31 -0.0026 % 2,899.4
FloatingReset 2.54 % 3.03 % 52,829 4.53 9 0.0938 % 2,549.4
Performance Highlights
Issue Index Change Notes
TRP.PR.B FixedReset -1.80 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2047-04-13
Maturity Price : 14.76
Evaluated at bid price : 14.76
Bid-YTW : 3.91 %
IAG.PR.G FixedReset -1.40 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 23.27
Bid-YTW : 5.02 %
TRP.PR.C FixedReset -1.27 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2047-04-13
Maturity Price : 16.28
Evaluated at bid price : 16.28
Bid-YTW : 3.88 %
TRP.PR.A FixedReset -1.17 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2047-04-13
Maturity Price : 19.50
Evaluated at bid price : 19.50
Bid-YTW : 3.87 %
CCS.PR.C Deemed-Retractible 1.24 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 24.50
Bid-YTW : 5.38 %
Volume Highlights
Issue Index Shares
Traded
Notes
TRP.PR.H FloatingReset 123,600 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2047-04-13
Maturity Price : 14.12
Evaluated at bid price : 14.12
Bid-YTW : 3.31 %
BMO.PR.C FixedReset 97,788 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2022-05-25
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.70
Bid-YTW : 4.00 %
BNS.PR.O Deemed-Retractible 97,480 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2017-05-26
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 24.99
Bid-YTW : 3.75 %
MFC.PR.R FixedReset 70,082 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2022-03-19
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.98
Bid-YTW : 4.06 %
BMO.PR.B FixedReset 63,868 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2022-02-25
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.67
Bid-YTW : 3.51 %
TD.PF.H FixedReset 57,597 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2021-10-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.41
Bid-YTW : 3.47 %
There were 23 other index-included issues trading in excess of 10,000 shares.
Wide Spread Highlights
Issue Index Quote Data and Yield Notes
IAG.PR.G FixedReset Quote: 23.27 – 23.62
Spot Rate : 0.3500
Average : 0.2483

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 23.27
Bid-YTW : 5.02 %

PVS.PR.D SplitShare Quote: 25.00 – 25.30
Spot Rate : 0.3000
Average : 0.2041

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2021-10-08
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.00
Bid-YTW : 4.64 %

CU.PR.H Perpetual-Premium Quote: 25.75 – 26.11
Spot Rate : 0.3600
Average : 0.2710

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2024-09-01
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.75
Bid-YTW : 4.89 %

NA.PR.W FixedReset Quote: 22.16 – 22.45
Spot Rate : 0.2900
Average : 0.2046

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2047-04-13
Maturity Price : 21.88
Evaluated at bid price : 22.16
Bid-YTW : 3.78 %

IFC.PR.C FixedReset Quote: 22.00 – 22.25
Spot Rate : 0.2500
Average : 0.1661

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 22.00
Bid-YTW : 5.43 %

SLF.PR.H FixedReset Quote: 20.17 – 20.50
Spot Rate : 0.3300
Average : 0.2536

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 20.17
Bid-YTW : 6.18 %

April 12, 2017

Wednesday, April 12th, 2017

PerpetualDiscounts now yield 5.06%, equivalent to 6.58% interest at the standard equivalency factor of 1.3x. Long corporates now yield just a bit more than 3.8% so the pre-tax interest-equivalent spread (in this context, the “Seniority Spread”) is now about 275bp, a slight (and perhaps spurious) widening from the 270bp reported March 29.

HIMIPref™ Preferred Indices
These values reflect the December 2008 revision of the HIMIPref™ Indices

Values are provisional and are finalized monthly
Index Mean
Current
Yield
(at bid)
Median
YTW
Median
Average
Trading
Value
Median
Mod Dur
(YTW)
Issues Day’s Perf. Index Value
Ratchet 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.5537 % 2,192.7
FixedFloater 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.5537 % 4,023.5
Floater 3.47 % 3.56 % 40,361 18.41 4 0.5537 % 2,318.8
OpRet 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.0391 % 3,029.6
SplitShare 4.93 % 4.04 % 57,650 0.65 6 0.0391 % 3,618.0
Interest-Bearing 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.0391 % 2,822.9
Perpetual-Premium 5.28 % -8.91 % 73,787 0.09 23 -0.0287 % 2,792.2
Perpetual-Discount 5.07 % 5.06 % 115,306 15.38 13 -0.0934 % 3,006.2
FixedReset 4.33 % 3.95 % 241,189 6.66 94 0.0984 % 2,389.3
Deemed-Retractible 4.97 % 3.67 % 142,040 0.12 31 -0.0456 % 2,899.5
FloatingReset 2.52 % 3.01 % 53,532 4.53 9 0.0887 % 2,547.0
Performance Highlights
Issue Index Change Notes
SLF.PR.I FixedReset 1.06 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 23.82
Bid-YTW : 4.58 %
PWF.PR.T FixedReset 1.26 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2047-04-12
Maturity Price : 23.02
Evaluated at bid price : 23.39
Bid-YTW : 3.76 %
TRP.PR.C FixedReset 1.54 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2047-04-12
Maturity Price : 16.49
Evaluated at bid price : 16.49
Bid-YTW : 3.90 %
Volume Highlights
Issue Index Shares
Traded
Notes
RY.PR.Q FixedReset 112,655 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2021-05-24
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 27.32
Bid-YTW : 3.28 %
RY.PR.R FixedReset 110,275 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2021-08-24
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 27.50
Bid-YTW : 3.23 %
TRP.PR.B FixedReset 95,650 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2047-04-12
Maturity Price : 15.03
Evaluated at bid price : 15.03
Bid-YTW : 3.92 %
CU.PR.I FixedReset 78,497 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2020-12-01
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.45
Bid-YTW : 2.97 %
MFC.PR.L FixedReset 74,933 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 21.71
Bid-YTW : 5.62 %
NA.PR.X FixedReset 73,592 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2021-05-15
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 27.20
Bid-YTW : 3.17 %
There were 32 other index-included issues trading in excess of 10,000 shares.
Wide Spread Highlights
Issue Index Quote Data and Yield Notes
BIP.PR.D FixedReset Quote: 25.52 – 25.75
Spot Rate : 0.2300
Average : 0.1528

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2022-03-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.52
Bid-YTW : 4.59 %

BNS.PR.Y FixedReset Quote: 22.45 – 22.65
Spot Rate : 0.2000
Average : 0.1313

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 22.45
Bid-YTW : 4.29 %

SLF.PR.J FloatingReset Quote: 15.92 – 16.23
Spot Rate : 0.3100
Average : 0.2501

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 15.92
Bid-YTW : 8.43 %

CU.PR.C FixedReset Quote: 22.74 – 22.95
Spot Rate : 0.2100
Average : 0.1538

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2047-04-12
Maturity Price : 22.12
Evaluated at bid price : 22.74
Bid-YTW : 3.84 %

ELF.PR.F Perpetual-Discount Quote: 24.88 – 25.05
Spot Rate : 0.1700
Average : 0.1154

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2047-04-12
Maturity Price : 24.62
Evaluated at bid price : 24.88
Bid-YTW : 5.34 %

POW.PR.B Perpetual-Premium Quote: 25.39 – 25.64
Spot Rate : 0.2500
Average : 0.1958

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2017-05-12
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.39
Bid-YTW : -13.56 %

Calculator: FixedResetPremium Tax Effects

Tuesday, April 11th, 2017

Assiduous Reader prefhound recently commented:

With recent strength in the Pref market, some Fixed Resets are priced north of $27 with YTW of 2-4%. What is your take on how sustainable that is and how far up they could go – north of $28?? Negative YTW??.

Two Examples are:
BPO.PR.C $27.35 YTW (first call) of 3.73% when the other BPO fixed resets average 4.86% (including BPO.PR.E, which is also likely to be called).
MFC.PR.O $27.61 YTW (first call) of 2.4% when the other MFC fixed resets average 3.99% (including MFC.PR.R, which is also likely to be called).

I had been thinking of highlighting this, but it took the comment to rouse me from my lethargy.

The interesting thing about FixedResets with very large premia is that there will be some investors who should definitely not hold them in taxable accounts due to differential tax rates. For most taxable investors a normal yield calculation will be just fine, since tax payments on larger-than-normal dividends will be offset by a recovery of taxes on the capital loss on the (presumed) call date – but this approximation is not exact and at worst can be completely wrong.

Some investors might be sitting on massive capital losses; an additional capital loss expected in the future might not be claimable immediately or, in the worst case scenario, at all. These problems were discussed in the post Tax Impact on FixedResetPremium Yields; and John Heinzl was kind enough to quote me in the Globe in his article Beware the tax trap of these tempting preferreds.

A long time ago I published a spreadsheet automating the calculation of tax effects on these issues; I’m pretty sure I noted the link in PrefLetter, but I don’t believe I ever posted about it on PrefBlog.

The calculator is an Excel Spreadsheet and is linked in the right-hand navigation panel under the heading “Calculators”.

So let’s look at four issues – the two highlighted by Prefhound and the two highest priced FixedResets:

Attribute
Attribute BPO.PR.C MFC.PR.O RY.PR.R CWB.PR.C
Bid Price 27.30 27.26 27.50 27.45
Call Price 25.00
Settle Date 2017-4-11
End Date 2021-6-30 2021-6-19 2021-8-24 2021-7-31
Quarterly
Dividend
0.375 0.35 0.34375 0.390625
Cycle 3 3 2 1
Pay Date 30 19 24 30
Include first div? Yes Yes Yes Yes
Reset Date 2021-6-30 2021-6-19 2021-8-24 2021-07-31
Q’ly Div after reset 0.39125 0.378125 0.3675 0.409375
Marginal Div Tax 29.52%
Marginal Cap Gain Tax 23.20%
Results  
Non-Taxable 3.68% 3.36% 3.21% 4.07%
TaxableClaimLoss 2.44% 2.22% 2.10% 2.70%
TaxableNoClaim 1.98% 1.76% 1.62% 2.22%

Tax Data is from Ernst & Young’s calculator, Ontario, 2017, taxable income of $150,000. “Dividend Rate after reset” has been input according to a constant GOC-5 yield of 1.08%, but is irrelevant to the calculation.

So to get back to Prefhound‘s questions: is this sustainable? Well not in the medium- to long-term, obviously, because one must assume that these high-spread, high-price issues are going to be called at the first opportunity. And one must also anticipate the price dropping towards 25.00 with every dividend paid. But the yields are probably sustainable – there are some investors who view issues of this type as substitutes for GICs, given the high call probability, and they’re just fine with 2%+ yields. Could these issues go over $28? Well, I won’t say anything’s impossible, but I consider it unlikely. A lot of people really don’t like paying such a high premium.

April 11, 2017

Tuesday, April 11th, 2017

Interesting story about the effects of mortgage rule changes in the UK – there are some who have borrowed on a floating rate mortgage. This carries a higher rate than a two-year mortgage – for reasons which I do not understand, since the Gilt curve is normal – and they want to switch, but are not allowed to do so because they no longer qualify for a fixed rate mortgage. They’re called mortgage prisoners:

The customer, who asked not to be named, had been stranded on Bank of Scotland’s standard variable rate (SVR) for over four years. He paid thousands of pounds a year in extra payments because the bank refused his requests to move to a cheaper, fixed-rate deal, and fell into arrears at some points.

While fixed mortgage rates have fallen in line with the Bank of England base rate, lenders’ SVRs have remained flat or increased (see chart, below).

Thousands of people who took out mortgages before the financial crisis found they were barred from switching to new fixed-rate mortgages when existing deals ended.

Lenders said rules introduced following the crisis, known as the Mortgage Market Review, meant existing customers now failed stricter “affordability” tests. This led to the bizarre situation where customers, known as mortgage prisoners, were told they couldn’t afford to switch to cheaper rates.

ukmortgagerates_170411
Click for Big

I don’t understand why the inversion exists, given the current gilt curve:

giltcurve_170411
Click for Big

But I have to say one thing … only an unholy alliance of bankers and regulators can produce the phrase ‘you can’t afford to halve your mortgage payments!’

HIMIPref™ Preferred Indices
These values reflect the December 2008 revision of the HIMIPref™ Indices

Values are provisional and are finalized monthly
Index Mean
Current
Yield
(at bid)
Median
YTW
Median
Average
Trading
Value
Median
Mod Dur
(YTW)
Issues Day’s Perf. Index Value
Ratchet 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.4636 % 2,180.6
FixedFloater 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.4636 % 4,001.3
Floater 3.49 % 3.58 % 40,754 18.36 4 0.4636 % 2,306.0
OpRet 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.0196 % 3,028.4
SplitShare 4.93 % 4.21 % 59,998 0.65 6 0.0196 % 3,616.6
Interest-Bearing 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.0196 % 2,821.8
Perpetual-Premium 5.27 % -9.52 % 72,786 0.09 23 0.0034 % 2,793.0
Perpetual-Discount 5.06 % 5.03 % 115,688 15.36 13 -0.1480 % 3,009.0
FixedReset 4.33 % 3.94 % 242,964 6.66 94 -0.0512 % 2,386.9
Deemed-Retractible 4.97 % 3.92 % 143,887 0.12 31 -0.1612 % 2,900.8
FloatingReset 2.52 % 3.10 % 54,299 4.54 9 0.2562 % 2,544.8
Performance Highlights
Issue Index Change Notes
MFC.PR.F FixedReset -1.20 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 15.67
Bid-YTW : 9.15 %
MFC.PR.H FixedReset -1.00 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 24.71
Bid-YTW : 4.47 %
BIP.PR.A FixedReset 1.04 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2047-04-11
Maturity Price : 23.10
Evaluated at bid price : 24.35
Bid-YTW : 4.71 %
SLF.PR.J FloatingReset 1.14 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 15.93
Bid-YTW : 8.42 %
BAM.PR.B Floater 1.22 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2047-04-11
Maturity Price : 13.27
Evaluated at bid price : 13.27
Bid-YTW : 3.58 %
Volume Highlights
Issue Index Shares
Traded
Notes
BAM.PR.X FixedReset 143,727 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2047-04-11
Maturity Price : 17.44
Evaluated at bid price : 17.44
Bid-YTW : 4.19 %
SLF.PR.I FixedReset 122,659 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 23.57
Bid-YTW : 4.74 %
RY.PR.Z FixedReset 117,866 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2047-04-11
Maturity Price : 22.31
Evaluated at bid price : 22.60
Bid-YTW : 3.77 %
BNS.PR.B FloatingReset 106,500 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 24.16
Bid-YTW : 3.00 %
RY.PR.Q FixedReset 64,301 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2021-05-24
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 27.39
Bid-YTW : 3.21 %
TD.PF.H FixedReset 61,993 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2021-10-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.50
Bid-YTW : 3.38 %
There were 30 other index-included issues trading in excess of 10,000 shares.
Wide Spread Highlights
Issue Index Quote Data and Yield Notes
PWF.PR.T FixedReset Quote: 23.10 – 23.44
Spot Rate : 0.3400
Average : 0.2477

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2047-04-11
Maturity Price : 22.74
Evaluated at bid price : 23.10
Bid-YTW : 3.81 %

PWF.PR.A Floater Quote: 14.62 – 14.90
Spot Rate : 0.2800
Average : 0.1999

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2047-04-11
Maturity Price : 14.62
Evaluated at bid price : 14.62
Bid-YTW : 3.26 %

BNS.PR.H FixedReset Quote: 26.45 – 26.66
Spot Rate : 0.2100
Average : 0.1306

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2022-01-26
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.45
Bid-YTW : 3.50 %

MFC.PR.H FixedReset Quote: 24.71 – 24.92
Spot Rate : 0.2100
Average : 0.1318

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 24.71
Bid-YTW : 4.47 %

IFC.PR.A FixedReset Quote: 18.98 – 19.24
Spot Rate : 0.2600
Average : 0.1830

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 18.98
Bid-YTW : 7.04 %

MFC.PR.F FixedReset Quote: 15.67 – 15.88
Spot Rate : 0.2100
Average : 0.1459

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 15.67
Bid-YTW : 9.15 %

TA Outlook Downgraded To Negative By S&P

Tuesday, April 11th, 2017

Standard & Poor’s has announced:

  • •TransAlta Corp.’s (TAC) reduction of contractedness via the expiry of Alberta power purchase agreements in 2018 and 2020 increases the company’s business risk.
  • •TAC’s financial metrics, although improving, may not sufficiently offset the potential increase in business risk.
  • •As a result, we are revising our outlook on the company to negative from stable.


“The outlook revision reflects our view that although TAC’s financial metrics have improved, they might not sufficiently offset the potential increase in business risk as a result of the reduction of contractedness via the expiry of the Alberta power purchase agreements in 2018 and 2020,” said S&P Global Ratings credit analyst Stephen Goltz.

Underpinning TAC’s strong business risk profile is the strength of the company’s contractual framework, in particular Alberta coal PPAs, which currently cover approximately 50% of TAC’s total capacity. The PPAs’ structure has mitigated Alberta’s volatile electricity prices, particularly in the past two years.

The company has made strong inroads into deleveraging its balance sheet amid Alberta’s very difficult power market. For the outlook period we forecast adjusted funds from operations (AFFO)-to-debt to improve to around 20%. However, while financial metrics have improved and are forecast to continue to do so, we see some headwinds that might impede the company’s ability to further raise them to a level that would mitigate the PPAs’ loss. We believe that the difficult operating environment will persist through the outlook period, with power prices likely to remain at their current depressed levels.

The negative outlook reflects our expectation that TAC’s business risk may increase as the company’s Alberta PPAs mature without TAC having an offsetting replacement mechanism that provides equivalent support to business risk or without continued improvement to financial metrics. We forecast that FFO-to-debt will be in the 18%-20% range and that contractedness will fall to about 73% in 2018 and to approximately 35% at the end of 2020 absent replacement contracts.

We could take a negative rating action if we believe that the factors that support a positive comparable rating assessment modifier will not continue. This could result from a reduction of contractedness without the replacement equivalent mechanisms and adjusted FFO-to-debt remaining at about 20%.

Affected issues are TA.PR.D, TA.PR.E, TA.PR.F, TA.PR.H and TA.PR.J.

This announcement follows last’s week’s downgrade to Pfd-3(low) by DBRS.

April 10, 2017

Monday, April 10th, 2017
HIMIPref™ Preferred Indices
These values reflect the December 2008 revision of the HIMIPref™ Indices

Values are provisional and are finalized monthly
Index Mean
Current
Yield
(at bid)
Median
YTW
Median
Average
Trading
Value
Median
Mod Dur
(YTW)
Issues Day’s Perf. Index Value
Ratchet 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.0742 % 2,170.6
FixedFloater 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.0742 % 3,982.9
Floater 3.50 % 3.62 % 40,645 18.26 4 0.0742 % 2,295.4
OpRet 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.1371 % 3,027.8
SplitShare 4.93 % 4.23 % 59,495 0.65 6 0.1371 % 3,615.9
Interest-Bearing 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.1371 % 2,821.2
Perpetual-Premium 5.27 % -7.40 % 73,056 0.09 23 0.3206 % 2,792.9
Perpetual-Discount 5.05 % 5.04 % 116,048 15.35 13 0.8140 % 3,013.4
FixedReset 4.33 % 3.93 % 250,649 6.66 94 0.2841 % 2,388.2
Deemed-Retractible 4.96 % 3.83 % 148,827 0.12 31 0.5189 % 2,905.5
FloatingReset 2.53 % 3.08 % 54,582 4.54 9 0.0576 % 2,538.3
Performance Highlights
Issue Index Change Notes
BNS.PR.D FloatingReset -1.00 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 21.75
Bid-YTW : 4.59 %
MFC.PR.B Deemed-Retractible 1.06 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 23.90
Bid-YTW : 5.42 %
SLF.PR.C Deemed-Retractible 1.06 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 22.85
Bid-YTW : 5.89 %
CU.PR.F Perpetual-Discount 1.06 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2047-04-10
Maturity Price : 22.47
Evaluated at bid price : 22.79
Bid-YTW : 4.98 %
CU.PR.E Perpetual-Discount 1.07 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2047-04-10
Maturity Price : 24.25
Evaluated at bid price : 24.54
Bid-YTW : 5.04 %
TRP.PR.G FixedReset 1.09 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2047-04-10
Maturity Price : 22.95
Evaluated at bid price : 24.12
Bid-YTW : 4.12 %
SLF.PR.E Deemed-Retractible 1.10 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 22.95
Bid-YTW : 5.87 %
SLF.PR.D Deemed-Retractible 1.10 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 22.89
Bid-YTW : 5.86 %
CU.PR.G Perpetual-Discount 1.11 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2047-04-10
Maturity Price : 22.53
Evaluated at bid price : 22.85
Bid-YTW : 4.97 %
CU.PR.C FixedReset 1.11 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2047-04-10
Maturity Price : 22.15
Evaluated at bid price : 22.80
Bid-YTW : 3.83 %
PWF.PR.S Perpetual-Discount 1.13 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2047-04-10
Maturity Price : 23.76
Evaluated at bid price : 24.22
Bid-YTW : 4.94 %
RY.PR.J FixedReset 1.23 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2047-04-10
Maturity Price : 22.90
Evaluated at bid price : 23.88
Bid-YTW : 3.96 %
SLF.PR.B Deemed-Retractible 1.28 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 24.61
Bid-YTW : 5.09 %
CU.PR.H Perpetual-Premium 1.28 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2024-09-01
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.09
Bid-YTW : 4.67 %
EML.PR.A FixedReset 1.28 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2021-04-17
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.85
Bid-YTW : 3.74 %
SLF.PR.A Deemed-Retractible 1.33 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 24.35
Bid-YTW : 5.21 %
PWF.PR.A Floater 1.37 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2047-04-10
Maturity Price : 14.75
Evaluated at bid price : 14.75
Bid-YTW : 3.23 %
POW.PR.D Perpetual-Discount 1.38 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2017-05-10
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.02
Bid-YTW : 3.21 %
CU.PR.D Perpetual-Discount 1.44 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2047-04-10
Maturity Price : 24.45
Evaluated at bid price : 24.74
Bid-YTW : 5.00 %
TRP.PR.B FixedReset 1.50 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2047-04-10
Maturity Price : 14.87
Evaluated at bid price : 14.87
Bid-YTW : 3.96 %
TRP.PR.C FixedReset 1.68 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2047-04-10
Maturity Price : 16.36
Evaluated at bid price : 16.36
Bid-YTW : 3.93 %
SLF.PR.G FixedReset 1.99 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 16.95
Bid-YTW : 8.07 %
Volume Highlights
Issue Index Shares
Traded
Notes
IFC.PR.C FixedReset 134,200 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 22.09
Bid-YTW : 5.38 %
BMO.PR.T FixedReset 116,800 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2047-04-10
Maturity Price : 22.12
Evaluated at bid price : 22.42
Bid-YTW : 3.82 %
BAM.PR.X FixedReset 106,979 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2047-04-10
Maturity Price : 17.51
Evaluated at bid price : 17.51
Bid-YTW : 4.17 %
RY.PR.Z FixedReset 90,225 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2047-04-10
Maturity Price : 22.37
Evaluated at bid price : 22.66
Bid-YTW : 3.75 %
BMO.PR.C FixedReset 80,111 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2022-05-25
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.70
Bid-YTW : 3.99 %
TD.PF.B FixedReset 58,545 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2047-04-10
Maturity Price : 22.23
Evaluated at bid price : 22.56
Bid-YTW : 3.77 %
There were 58 other index-included issues trading in excess of 10,000 shares.
Wide Spread Highlights
Issue Index Quote Data and Yield Notes
TRP.PR.J FixedReset Quote: 27.09 – 27.40
Spot Rate : 0.3100
Average : 0.1780

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2021-05-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 27.09
Bid-YTW : 3.51 %

NA.PR.Q FixedReset Quote: 24.55 – 24.90
Spot Rate : 0.3500
Average : 0.2489

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 24.55
Bid-YTW : 3.91 %

CCS.PR.C Deemed-Retractible Quote: 24.21 – 24.55
Spot Rate : 0.3400
Average : 0.2452

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 24.21
Bid-YTW : 5.56 %

TD.PF.F Perpetual-Premium Quote: 25.46 – 25.73
Spot Rate : 0.2700
Average : 0.1869

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2024-10-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.46
Bid-YTW : 4.59 %

BMO.PR.Y FixedReset Quote: 24.00 – 24.29
Spot Rate : 0.2900
Average : 0.2096

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2047-04-10
Maturity Price : 22.92
Evaluated at bid price : 24.00
Bid-YTW : 3.94 %

PVS.PR.E SplitShare Quote: 26.60 – 26.85
Spot Rate : 0.2500
Average : 0.1702

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2017-05-10
Maturity Price : 26.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.60
Bid-YTW : -15.88 %

April 7, 2017

Saturday, April 8th, 2017

Jobs, jobs, jobs!

U.S. payroll gains slowed in March while the jobless rate unexpectedly dropped to the lowest in almost a decade, suggesting the labor market is returning to a more sustainable pace of progress.

The 98,000 increase followed a 219,000 rise in February that was less than previously estimated, a Labor Department report showed Friday in Washington. The median forecast in a Bloomberg survey of economists called for a 180,000 advance. The unemployment rate fell to 4.5 percent from 4.7 percent, and wage gains slowed to a 2.7 percent year-over-year pace.

The labor-force participation rate, which indicates the share of working-age people who are employed or looking for work, was unchanged at 63 percent. It touched 62.4 percent in 2015, the lowest since the 1970s.

The underemployment rate, a measure that includes those working part-time who would take a full-time job if it were available, fell to 8.9 percent, the lowest since December 2007, from 9.2 percent in February. The number of people working part-time who would prefer a full-time job fell by 151,000 to 5.55 million.

Meanwhile in Canada McJobs, McJobs, McJobs!

The two-faced nature of Canada’s labor market was on full display as employers continued to hire but resisted raising wages.

Canada added 19,400 jobs in March, for an employment gain of 276,400 over the past 12 months, Statistics Canada said Friday from Ottawa. Yet, the pace of annual wage rate increases fell to 1.1 percent, the lowest since the 1990s.

•The average hourly wage rate for all workers was C$26.12 in March. That’s a 1.1 percent raise from a year earlier, which is the slowest pace since 1998. For historical perspective, wage gains have averaged 2.7 percent over the past decade.
•Permanent workers are doing even worse on the wage front. They had a 0.9 percent wage increase in March, which is the lowest in data going back to 1997.
•The weakness in wage gains seems to be an Ontario phenomenon. The province, which has led employment increases over the past year, recorded an annual 0.1 percent increase in wages in March, also the lowest on record.
•The unemployment rate ticked up slightly to 6.7 percent as more people entered the labor force.
•On the brighter side, manufacturing looks like it came back in March, with a gain of 24,400 positions, the most since 2002.
•Also, there was an acceleration in the total number of hours worked in the Canadian economy, which is an indicator of how much income workers generate. That helps offset the wage weakness. Hours worked jumped 1.1 percent during the month, the biggest one-month gain since 2009, following almost three years of practically no growth.

canadawagegrowth
Click for Big

Glass-Steagall may be making a comeback:

The former Goldman Sachs Group Inc. executive who is the top White House economic adviser told lawmakers he could support legislation breaking up the largest U.S. banks, according to people familiar with the matter, a development that bolsters congressional efforts to reinstate the Depression-era Glass-Steagall law.

The comments by Gary Cohn, director of the White House National Economic Council, came in a private meeting with lawmakers on the Senate Banking Committee Wednesday, these people said. His remarks were reported earlier by Bloomberg.

Glass-Steagall was adopted in the 1930s as a way to keep securities businesses separate from taxpayer-insured banks. The separation between lending and investment banking slowly eroded in the latter part of the 20th century, as banks won regulatory exceptions to diversify their businesses.

Since Congress repealed the law in 1999, liberals have pushed for reinstating it, calling such a move a simple way to make the economy more stable by removing a taxpayer backstop from risky activities. Proponents of bringing back the law also say it would diminish the size and political influence of large Wall Street banks.

The 2010 Dodd-Frank regulatory-overhaul law took a half-step toward Glass-Steagall when it mandated the Volcker rule, which bars banks from certain activities unless they are trading on behalf of their customers. Many banks have since closed so-called proprietary trading desks.

I support reimposition of Glass-Steagall – particularly in Canada. The Credit Crunch illustrated the perils of having the payments system too closely integrated with the investment system.

HIMIPref™ Preferred Indices
These values reflect the December 2008 revision of the HIMIPref™ Indices

Values are provisional and are finalized monthly
Index Mean
Current
Yield
(at bid)
Median
YTW
Median
Average
Trading
Value
Median
Mod Dur
(YTW)
Issues Day’s Perf. Index Value
Ratchet 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 2.3163 % 2,169.0
FixedFloater 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 2.3163 % 3,979.9
Floater 3.51 % 3.60 % 41,976 18.32 4 2.3163 % 2,293.7
OpRet 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.0326 % 3,023.7
SplitShare 4.94 % 4.26 % 60,386 0.66 6 0.0326 % 3,610.9
Interest-Bearing 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.0326 % 2,817.4
Perpetual-Premium 5.29 % -5.16 % 73,710 0.09 23 0.2790 % 2,783.9
Perpetual-Discount 5.10 % 5.08 % 114,106 15.32 13 0.6857 % 2,989.1
FixedReset 4.34 % 3.94 % 240,326 6.67 94 0.2982 % 2,381.4
Deemed-Retractible 4.99 % 3.59 % 148,850 0.13 31 0.3173 % 2,890.5
FloatingReset 2.56 % 3.17 % 53,256 4.54 9 0.4837 % 2,536.8
Performance Highlights
Issue Index Change Notes
SLF.PR.G FixedReset -2.52 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 16.62
Bid-YTW : 8.34 %
NA.PR.A FixedReset 1.01 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2021-08-15
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 27.02
Bid-YTW : 3.28 %
GWO.PR.H Deemed-Retractible 1.04 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 24.20
Bid-YTW : 5.40 %
TD.PF.F Perpetual-Premium 1.07 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2024-10-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.62
Bid-YTW : 4.49 %
BAM.PF.D Perpetual-Discount 1.11 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2047-04-07
Maturity Price : 23.33
Evaluated at bid price : 23.76
Bid-YTW : 5.17 %
CU.PR.G Perpetual-Discount 1.12 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2047-04-07
Maturity Price : 22.32
Evaluated at bid price : 22.60
Bid-YTW : 5.02 %
BAM.PR.Z FixedReset 1.13 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2047-04-07
Maturity Price : 23.66
Evaluated at bid price : 24.27
Bid-YTW : 4.17 %
BAM.PR.N Perpetual-Discount 1.14 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2047-04-07
Maturity Price : 22.77
Evaluated at bid price : 23.05
Bid-YTW : 5.17 %
TRP.PR.A FixedReset 1.14 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2047-04-07
Maturity Price : 19.50
Evaluated at bid price : 19.50
Bid-YTW : 3.91 %
TRP.PR.F FloatingReset 1.27 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2047-04-07
Maturity Price : 19.15
Evaluated at bid price : 19.15
Bid-YTW : 3.29 %
GWO.PR.N FixedReset 1.32 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 16.11
Bid-YTW : 8.65 %
TRP.PR.H FloatingReset 1.32 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2047-04-07
Maturity Price : 13.79
Evaluated at bid price : 13.79
Bid-YTW : 3.41 %
BAM.PF.A FixedReset 1.33 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2047-04-07
Maturity Price : 23.95
Evaluated at bid price : 24.33
Bid-YTW : 4.13 %
IAG.PR.A Deemed-Retractible 1.35 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 23.25
Bid-YTW : 5.77 %
BAM.PF.B FixedReset 1.36 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2047-04-07
Maturity Price : 22.80
Evaluated at bid price : 23.14
Bid-YTW : 4.06 %
BAM.PF.E FixedReset 1.41 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2047-04-07
Maturity Price : 22.44
Evaluated at bid price : 23.00
Bid-YTW : 4.05 %
CU.PR.C FixedReset 1.44 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2047-04-07
Maturity Price : 22.00
Evaluated at bid price : 22.55
Bid-YTW : 3.86 %
BAM.PR.T FixedReset 1.71 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2047-04-07
Maturity Price : 20.19
Evaluated at bid price : 20.19
Bid-YTW : 4.25 %
BAM.PR.R FixedReset 1.91 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2047-04-07
Maturity Price : 20.24
Evaluated at bid price : 20.24
Bid-YTW : 4.10 %
BAM.PR.C Floater 2.91 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2047-04-07
Maturity Price : 13.08
Evaluated at bid price : 13.08
Bid-YTW : 3.63 %
BAM.PR.K Floater 2.91 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2047-04-07
Maturity Price : 13.07
Evaluated at bid price : 13.07
Bid-YTW : 3.63 %
BAM.PR.B Floater 3.53 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2047-04-07
Maturity Price : 13.19
Evaluated at bid price : 13.19
Bid-YTW : 3.60 %
Volume Highlights
Issue Index Shares
Traded
Notes
BMO.PR.C FixedReset 207,700 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2022-05-25
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.70
Bid-YTW : 3.99 %
RY.PR.J FixedReset 189,915 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2047-04-07
Maturity Price : 22.75
Evaluated at bid price : 23.59
Bid-YTW : 4.00 %
TRP.PR.K FixedReset 164,560 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2022-05-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.15
Bid-YTW : 4.04 %
BMO.PR.K Deemed-Retractible 103,826 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2017-05-07
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.29
Bid-YTW : -1.67 %
IAG.PR.G FixedReset 79,379 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 23.47
Bid-YTW : 4.92 %
BAM.PF.F FixedReset 79,243 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2047-04-07
Maturity Price : 23.22
Evaluated at bid price : 24.35
Bid-YTW : 4.06 %
There were 53 other index-included issues trading in excess of 10,000 shares.
Wide Spread Highlights
Issue Index Quote Data and Yield Notes
SLF.PR.G FixedReset Quote: 16.62 – 17.02
Spot Rate : 0.4000
Average : 0.2697

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 16.62
Bid-YTW : 8.34 %

EML.PR.A FixedReset Quote: 26.51 – 26.86
Spot Rate : 0.3500
Average : 0.2424

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2021-04-17
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.51
Bid-YTW : 4.09 %

BIP.PR.A FixedReset Quote: 23.90 – 24.24
Spot Rate : 0.3400
Average : 0.2364

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2047-04-07
Maturity Price : 22.90
Evaluated at bid price : 23.90
Bid-YTW : 4.80 %

RY.PR.B Deemed-Retractible Quote: 25.52 – 25.77
Spot Rate : 0.2500
Average : 0.1667

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2017-05-07
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.52
Bid-YTW : -13.37 %

NA.PR.S FixedReset Quote: 22.75 – 22.98
Spot Rate : 0.2300
Average : 0.1500

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2047-04-07
Maturity Price : 22.45
Evaluated at bid price : 22.75
Bid-YTW : 3.86 %

RY.PR.J FixedReset Quote: 23.59 – 23.82
Spot Rate : 0.2300
Average : 0.1558

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2047-04-07
Maturity Price : 22.75
Evaluated at bid price : 23.59
Bid-YTW : 4.00 %

SBC.PR.A To Get Bigger Via Dilution

Thursday, April 6th, 2017

Brompton Group has announced:

Due to the strong performance of its class A shares, Brompton Split Banc Corp. (the “Company”) announces its intention to effect a split of its class A shares (the “Share Split”) and a concurrent private placement of preferred shares (the “Private Placement”). The Company intends to announce the final number of new class A and preferred shares expected to be issued and outstanding as a result of the Share Split and the Private Placement by way of a press release on or about Wednesday, April 12, 2017.

It is the Company’s intention that class A shareholders of record on or about Monday, April 24, 2017 will receive additional class A shares pursuant to the Share Split. The number of preferred shares offered in the Private Placement will be an amount such that following the Share Split there will be an equal number of class A and preferred shares outstanding. The Company expects that the Share Split and the Private Placement will result in an approximately 20% increase in the number of outstanding class A and preferred shares. The Share Split and the Private Placement are subject to regulatory approval.

Following the Share Split, class A shareholders will continue to receive the currently targeted monthly distribution of $0.10 per class A share. As such, existing class A shareholders are expected to be provided with an effective increase in monthly cash distributions equal to approximately 20%, in-line with the expected percentage increase in outstanding class A shares due to the Share Split. The Company provides a distribution reinvestment plan, on a commission-free basis, for class A shareholders that wish to reinvest distributions and realize the benefits of compound growth.

The preferred share equity coverage, as represented by the class A net asset value (“NAV”), is expected to be at least $13.68 following the Share Split(1). As such, following the completion of the Share Split and the Private Placement, the preferred shares are expected to have downside protection from a decline in the value of the Company’s portfolio of approximately 58%. The expected class A NAV is higher than the equity coverage available for the preferred shares: (a) at the inception of the Company, (b) at the time that the current Pfd-3 (high) rating was initially assigned, and (c) at the time the current preferred share dividend rate of $0.45 per annum was originally announced(2). DBRS has confirmed that the rating of the preferred shares will continue to be Pfd-3 (high) following the completion of the Share Split and the Private Placement.

For over 11 years, since inception in November 2005 to March 31, 2017, the class A share have delivered a 12.0% per annum total return based on NAV, outperforming the total return of the S&P/TSX Capped Financials Index by 3.5% per annum and the total return of the S&P/TSX Composite Index by 5.6% per annum(3). Since inception, class A shareholders have received cash distributions of $13.25 per class A share.

Over the last five years to March 31, 2017, the preferred shares have delivered a 4.7% per annum total return based on NAV, outperforming the total return of the S&P/TSX Preferred Share Index by 3.5% per annum with lower volatility(3).

Brompton Split Banc Corp. invests in a portfolio, on an approximately equal weight basis, in common shares of 6 Canadian Banks: Bank of Montreal, Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce, National Bank of Canada, Royal Bank of Canada, The Bank of Nova Scotia and The Toronto-Dominion Bank.

(1) Based on the NAV of the class A shares used to determine the Share Split ratio.
(2) Inception date: November 16, 2005; DBRS assignment of Pfd-3(high) rating: August 27, 2009 (class A NAV: $11.51); current term’s preferred share dividend rate announced September 26, 2012 (class A NAV: $11.33 as at September 24, 2012)
(3) See Standard Performance Data table below. Source: Brompton, Thomson Reuters, as at March 31, 2017

Brompton Split Banc Corp.
Performance to March 31, 2017
1 Yr 3 Yrs 5 Yrs 10 Yrs Incep. (16/11/05)
Class A Shares (TSX:SBC) 47.2% 17.0% 18.7% 10.0% 12.0%
S&P/TSX Capped Financials Index 24.3% 11.0% 13.3% 7.0% 8.5%
S&P/TSX Composite Index 18.6% 5.8% 7.8% 4.7% 6.4%
Preferred Shares (TSX:SBC.PR.A) 4.6% 4.6% 4.7% 5.0% 5.1%
S&P/TSX Preferred Share Index 21.9% 0.6% 1.2% n/a n/a

The performance table is actually rather clever; Assiduous Readers will note that the company does not report the performance of the Whole Units against any of the indices; instead, it is the leveraged-by-definition Capital Units that are measured against the indices – which dramatically improves the results in a rising market!

Whole Unit results are reported to 2016-12-31 end-date in the 2016 Annual Report:

  Since
Inception(1)
  1-Year 3-Year 5-Year 10-Year
Brompton Split Banc Corp. – Class A share(2) 49.8% 16.3% 20.9% 9.4% 11.7%
Brompton Split Banc Corp. – Preferred share(2) 4.6% 4.6% 4.7% 5.1% 5.1%
Brompton Split Banc Corp. – unit(3) 28.5% 11.3% 13.4% 7.3% 8.7%
S&P/TSX Capped Financials Index 24.2% 10.7% 15.0% 6.9% 8.3%
S&P/TSX Composite Index 21.1% 7.1% 8.2% 4.7% 6.3%
(1) Period from November 16, 2005 (commencement of operations) to December 31, 2016.
(2) Based on the Net Asset Value per Class A share and Preferred share and assuming that distributions on the Class A shares and Preferred shares made by the Fund in the periods shown were reinvested (at Net Asset Value per Class A share and Preferred share, respectively) in additional Class A shares and Preferred shares of the Fund.
(3) Based on the Net Asset Value per unit (each unit includes one Class A share and one Preferred share) and assuming that distributions on the units made by the Fund were reinvested (at the Net Asset Value per unit) in additional units of the Fund.

Even this comparison isn’t quite right, since the S&P/TSX Capped Financials Index includes a high weight of insurance issues and the exclusive weighting in banks is a client decision and not a discretionary management decision. One should really simply assume that the Whole Units will basically reflect the return of equally weighted banks less the MER and

The MER per unit, excluding Preferred share distributions (which were covered by the portfolio’s dividend income), was 0.99% for 2016 and 0.97% for 2015. This ratio is more representative of the ongoing efficiency of the administration of the Fund.

Update, 2017-4-11: Details:

Brompton Split Banc Corp. (the “Company”) is pleased to announce the details of the previously announced split of its class A shares (the “Share Split”) and provide an update on the concurrent private placement of preferred shares (the “Private Placement”). The Share Split and the Private Placement remain subject to regulatory approval.

The Company is pleased to announce that class A shareholders of record at the close of business on April 25, 2017 will receive 21 additional class A shares for every 100 class A shares held, pursuant to the Share Split. Following the Share Split, class A shareholders will continue to receive the currently targeted monthly distribution of $0.10 per class A share. The Company provides a distribution reinvestment plan, on a commission-free basis for class A shareholders that wish to reinvest distributions and realize the benefits of compound growth.

Pursuant to the Private Placement, 1,382,784 preferred shares were offered to investors at a price of $10.03 per preferred share. Following the Share Split there will be an equal number of class A and preferred shares outstanding. The Private Placement is scheduled to close on April 25, 2017. The preferred share equity coverage, as represented by the class A net asset value (“NAV”), is approximately $13.77 after giving effect to the Share Split(1). This represents downside protection from a decline in the value of the Company’s portfolio of approximately 58%. DBRS has confirmed that the rating of the preferred shares will continue to be Pfd-3 (high) following the completion of the Share Split and the Private Placement.

Since inception in November 2005 to March 31, 2017, the class A shares have delivered a 12.0% per annum total return based on NAV, outperforming the total return of the S&P/TSX Capped Financials Index by 3.5% per annum and the total return of the S&P/TSX Composite Index by 5.6% per annum (2). Since inception, class A shareholders have received cash distributions of $13.25 per class A share.

Over the last five years to March 31, 2017, the preferred shares have delivered a 4.7% per annum total return based on NAV, outperforming the total return of the S&P/TSX Preferred Share Index by 3.5% per annum with lower volatility(2).

Brompton Split Banc Corp. invests in a portfolio, on an approximately equal weight basis, in common shares of 6 Canadian Banks: Bank of Montreal, Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce, National Bank of Canada, Royal Bank of Canada, The Bank of Nova Scotia and The Toronto-Dominion Bank.

April 6, 2017

Thursday, April 6th, 2017
HIMIPref™ Preferred Indices
These values reflect the December 2008 revision of the HIMIPref™ Indices

Values are provisional and are finalized monthly
Index Mean
Current
Yield
(at bid)
Median
YTW
Median
Average
Trading
Value
Median
Mod Dur
(YTW)
Issues Day’s Perf. Index Value
Ratchet 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.9971 % 2,119.9
FixedFloater 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.9971 % 3,889.8
Floater 3.59 % 3.73 % 42,018 18.04 4 0.9971 % 2,241.7
OpRet 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.1439 % 3,022.7
SplitShare 4.94 % 4.32 % 61,007 0.66 6 0.1439 % 3,609.7
Interest-Bearing 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.1439 % 2,816.5
Perpetual-Premium 5.31 % -3.11 % 73,998 0.09 23 0.1044 % 2,776.2
Perpetual-Discount 5.13 % 5.11 % 114,302 15.28 13 0.0585 % 2,968.7
FixedReset 4.35 % 3.94 % 242,165 6.67 94 0.3221 % 2,374.3
Deemed-Retractible 5.00 % 0.69 % 147,232 0.13 31 0.2497 % 2,881.4
FloatingReset 2.58 % 3.24 % 49,282 4.54 9 0.0831 % 2,524.6
Performance Highlights
Issue Index Change Notes
SLF.PR.I FixedReset 1.03 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 23.64
Bid-YTW : 4.67 %
IFC.PR.C FixedReset 1.06 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 22.03
Bid-YTW : 5.41 %
IAG.PR.G FixedReset 1.08 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 23.50
Bid-YTW : 4.90 %
MFC.PR.F FixedReset 1.15 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 15.88
Bid-YTW : 8.93 %
BIP.PR.A FixedReset 1.18 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2047-04-06
Maturity Price : 22.97
Evaluated at bid price : 24.05
Bid-YTW : 4.76 %
MFC.PR.B Deemed-Retractible 1.25 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 23.49
Bid-YTW : 5.68 %
BAM.PR.C Floater 1.27 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2047-04-06
Maturity Price : 12.71
Evaluated at bid price : 12.71
Bid-YTW : 3.74 %
MFC.PR.C Deemed-Retractible 1.34 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 22.66
Bid-YTW : 6.09 %
BAM.PR.B Floater 1.35 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2047-04-06
Maturity Price : 12.74
Evaluated at bid price : 12.74
Bid-YTW : 3.73 %
BAM.PR.K Floater 1.36 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2047-04-06
Maturity Price : 12.70
Evaluated at bid price : 12.70
Bid-YTW : 3.74 %
Volume Highlights
Issue Index Shares
Traded
Notes
BMO.PR.C FixedReset 322,361 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2022-05-25
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.59
Bid-YTW : 4.08 %
IFC.PR.C FixedReset 156,491 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 22.03
Bid-YTW : 5.41 %
IFC.PR.A FixedReset 142,800 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 18.90
Bid-YTW : 7.07 %
BMO.PR.T FixedReset 138,500 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2047-04-06
Maturity Price : 22.14
Evaluated at bid price : 22.44
Bid-YTW : 3.79 %
MFC.PR.R FixedReset 120,325 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2022-03-19
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.96
Bid-YTW : 4.06 %
TD.PF.C FixedReset 93,966 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2047-04-06
Maturity Price : 22.04
Evaluated at bid price : 22.37
Bid-YTW : 3.77 %
There were 41 other index-included issues trading in excess of 10,000 shares.
Wide Spread Highlights
Issue Index Quote Data and Yield Notes
GWO.PR.N FixedReset Quote: 15.90 – 16.30
Spot Rate : 0.4000
Average : 0.2872

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 15.90
Bid-YTW : 8.85 %

TD.PF.F Perpetual-Premium Quote: 25.35 – 25.64
Spot Rate : 0.2900
Average : 0.1897

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2024-10-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.35
Bid-YTW : 4.66 %

TRP.PR.F FloatingReset Quote: 18.91 – 19.15
Spot Rate : 0.2400
Average : 0.1518

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2047-04-06
Maturity Price : 18.91
Evaluated at bid price : 18.91
Bid-YTW : 3.33 %

CU.PR.C FixedReset Quote: 22.23 – 22.63
Spot Rate : 0.4000
Average : 0.3150

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2047-04-06
Maturity Price : 21.79
Evaluated at bid price : 22.23
Bid-YTW : 3.92 %

POW.PR.B Perpetual-Premium Quote: 25.17 – 25.44
Spot Rate : 0.2700
Average : 0.1868

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2017-05-06
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.17
Bid-YTW : -4.46 %

SLF.PR.J FloatingReset Quote: 15.75 – 16.05
Spot Rate : 0.3000
Average : 0.2170

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 15.75
Bid-YTW : 8.61 %

April 5, 2017

Wednesday, April 5th, 2017
HIMIPref™ Preferred Indices
These values reflect the December 2008 revision of the HIMIPref™ Indices

Values are provisional and are finalized monthly
Index Mean
Current
Yield
(at bid)
Median
YTW
Median
Average
Trading
Value
Median
Mod Dur
(YTW)
Issues Day’s Perf. Index Value
Ratchet 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 -0.3249 % 2,098.9
FixedFloater 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 -0.3249 % 3,851.4
Floater 3.62 % 3.78 % 41,769 17.93 4 -0.3249 % 2,219.6
OpRet 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 -0.1306 % 3,018.3
SplitShare 4.95 % 4.31 % 60,842 0.67 6 -0.1306 % 3,604.6
Interest-Bearing 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 -0.1306 % 2,812.4
Perpetual-Premium 5.28 % -3.77 % 71,886 0.09 23 0.0390 % 2,773.3
Perpetual-Discount 5.12 % 5.09 % 114,429 15.23 13 0.1045 % 2,967.0
FixedReset 4.36 % 3.98 % 239,498 6.67 94 0.0846 % 2,366.7
Deemed-Retractible 5.02 % 0.96 % 147,161 0.14 31 0.0237 % 2,874.2
FloatingReset 2.57 % 3.24 % 50,332 4.53 9 -0.0315 % 2,522.5
Performance Highlights
Issue Index Change Notes
NA.PR.A FixedReset -1.22 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2021-08-15
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.83
Bid-YTW : 3.78 %
NA.PR.W FixedReset 1.04 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2047-04-05
Maturity Price : 21.95
Evaluated at bid price : 22.25
Bid-YTW : 3.86 %
PWF.PR.P FixedReset 1.17 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2047-04-05
Maturity Price : 16.40
Evaluated at bid price : 16.40
Bid-YTW : 4.02 %
BAM.PR.X FixedReset 1.73 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2047-04-05
Maturity Price : 17.10
Evaluated at bid price : 17.10
Bid-YTW : 4.24 %
Volume Highlights
Issue Index Shares
Traded
Notes
BNS.PR.H FixedReset 1,619,838 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2022-01-26
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.11
Bid-YTW : 3.79 %
PVS.PR.B SplitShare 390,500 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2019-01-10
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.11
Bid-YTW : 4.31 %
BMO.PR.C FixedReset 172,080 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2022-05-25
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.57
Bid-YTW : 4.09 %
BNS.PR.Q FixedReset 142,200 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 24.64
Bid-YTW : 3.30 %
BMO.PR.L Deemed-Retractible 140,325 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2017-05-25
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.32
Bid-YTW : 0.96 %
HSE.PR.G FixedReset 118,064 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2047-04-05
Maturity Price : 23.13
Evaluated at bid price : 24.44
Bid-YTW : 4.65 %
There were 34 other index-included issues trading in excess of 10,000 shares.
Wide Spread Highlights
Issue Index Quote Data and Yield Notes
NA.PR.A FixedReset Quote: 26.83 – 27.29
Spot Rate : 0.4600
Average : 0.2677

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2021-08-15
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.83
Bid-YTW : 3.78 %

EML.PR.A FixedReset Quote: 26.52 – 26.88
Spot Rate : 0.3600
Average : 0.2172

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2021-04-17
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.52
Bid-YTW : 4.07 %

BAM.PR.K Floater Quote: 12.53 – 12.83
Spot Rate : 0.3000
Average : 0.2082

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2047-04-05
Maturity Price : 12.53
Evaluated at bid price : 12.53
Bid-YTW : 3.79 %

BAM.PR.B Floater Quote: 12.57 – 12.87
Spot Rate : 0.3000
Average : 0.2137

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2047-04-05
Maturity Price : 12.57
Evaluated at bid price : 12.57
Bid-YTW : 3.78 %

CM.PR.Q FixedReset Quote: 23.53 – 23.80
Spot Rate : 0.2700
Average : 0.1946

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2047-04-05
Maturity Price : 22.70
Evaluated at bid price : 23.53
Bid-YTW : 4.00 %

BAM.PR.R FixedReset Quote: 19.72 – 19.96
Spot Rate : 0.2400
Average : 0.1718

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2047-04-05
Maturity Price : 19.72
Evaluated at bid price : 19.72
Bid-YTW : 4.21 %