Category: Issue Comments

Issue Comments

Best and Worst Performers: April 2008

These are total returns, with dividends presumed to have been reinvested at the bid price on the ex-date. The list has been restricted to issues in the HIMIPref™ indices.

Issue Index DBRS Rating Monthly Performance Notes (“Now” means “April 30”)
W.PR.H PerpetualDiscount Pfd-2(low) -4.78% The Westcoast issues are quite volatile. Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 6.15% based on a bid of 22.50 and a limitMaturity.
POW.PR.D PerpetualDiscount Pfd-2(high) -4.52% Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 5.78% based on a bid of 21.77 and a limitMaturity.
TCA.PR.Y PerpetualDiscount Pfd-2(low) -3.41% Weak Pair” with TCA.PR.X, below. Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 5.78% based on a bid of 48.20 and a limitMaturity.
BAM.PR.N PerpetualDiscount Pfd-2(low) -3.39% Weak Pair” with BAM.PR.M. Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 6.72% based on a bid of 17.93 and a limitMaturity.
TCA.PR.X PerpetualDiscount Pfd-2(low) -3.27% Weak Pair” with TCA.PR.Y, above. Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 5.77% based on a bid of 48.27 and a limitMaturity.
BCE.PR.Z FixFloat Pfd-2(low)
[Under Review – Negative]
+3.93%  
BMO.PR.K PerpetualDiscount Pfd-1 +4.44% Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 5.73% based on a bid of 22.91 and a limitMaturity.
BNA.PR.B SplitShare Pfd-2(low) +5.85% Asset coverage of just under 3.2:1 as of April 30 according to the company. Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 8.04% based on a bid of 20.80 and a hardMaturity 2016-3-25 at 25.00. Compare with BNA.PR.C (below) and BNA.PR.A (6.35% TO 2010-9-30).
BNA.PR.C SplitShare Pfd-2(low) +7.36% Asset coverage of just under 3.2:1 as of April 30 according to the company. Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 6.75% based on a bid of 20.71 and a hardMaturity 2019-1-10 at 25.00. Compare with BNA.PR.B (above) and BNA.PR.A (6.35% to 2010-9-30).
FTU.PR.A Split Share (now moved to Scraps) Pfd-3 +8.03% Asset coverage of just under 1.6:1 as of April 30, according to the company. Downgraded to Pfd-3 by DBRS and removed from the HIMIPref™ indices. Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 7.49% based on a bid of 9.16% and a hardMaturity 2012-12-1 at 10.00.
Better Communication, Please!

W.PR.J's Big Price Move

An Assiduous Reader has sent me the following question:

I noticed that this preferred has dropped in price relative to its peers. Would you know whether there is any material change that has happened with it (has it stopped paying its dividend)?

The question was presumably prompted by the 5%+ decline in W.PR.J yesterday.

Information on these issues is harder to come by than it really needs to be, something I have complained about in the past.

DBRS rates the issues as Pfd-2(low). Both issues are cumulative.

As non-financial perpetuals without a particularly large float, these issues can be somewhat volatile – they both made the January 08 Best Performers’ List, while W.PR.H made December 07’s Worst. W.PR.H was transfered to the PerpetualDiscount index in the October 07 Rebalancing.

There’s something odd about the notes for these issues in Duke Energy’s 10-K:

In connection with the Westcoast acquisition in 2002, Spectra Energy assumed preferred and preference shares at Westcoast and Union Gas. These preferred and preference shares at Westcoast and Union Gas totaled $225 million at both December 31, 2007 and 2006. Since these preferred and preference shares are redeemable at the option of holder, as well as Westcoast and Union Gas, these preferred and preference shares do not meet the definition of a mandatorily redeemable instrument under SFAS No. 150 “Accounting for Certain Financial Instruments with Characteristics of both Liabilities and Equity”. As such, these preferred and preference shares are considered contingently redeemable shares and are included in Minority Interests on the Consolidated Balance Sheets.

According to me, W.PR.H and W.PR.J are issues of 6-million shares each, total $300-million, and are perpetual – this is confirmed by the Westcoast Energy Annual Report available on SEDAR. I have sent the following message to Spectra’s Investor Relations Department:

I write regarding the preferred shares trading as W.PR.H and W.PR.J on the Toronto Stock Exchange. It is my understanding that Spectra pays the dividends on these shares via Westcoast.

(i) You do not appear to be publishing dividend information for these shares on your website – publication of record and payment dates would be very useful. Do you intend to publish this information in the future?

(ii) In your financials, I can find reference only to some preferred shares held to be “redeemable at the option of holder” to the amount of $225-million, whereas these two issues are perpetual and have a total book value of CAD 300-million. How are these obligations reported in your financials?

I have uploaded a couple of charts:

Yesterday’s price action appears to be within normal bounds. I had considered W.PR.J to be quite expensive … I now consider it to be a little bit cheap.

Issue Comments

GPA.PR.A Downgraded to P-4 by S&P

Gatehouse Capital Inc. has announced:

Standard & Poor’s Ratings Services lowered the rating of Global Credit Pref Corp.’s (TSX:GPA.PR.A) preferred shares on April 29 to P-4. The rating on the preferred shares of Global Credit Pref Corp. mirrors the lowering of the rating on the $48,031,000 fixed-rate static portfolio credit linked note issued by The Toronto-Dominion Bank to B.

The Company has exposure to the credit linked note issued by The Toronto-Dominion Bank and held by Global Credit Trust, the return on which is linked to the credit performance of 127 reference entities.

This follows the April 11 Watch Negative and the March 17 downgrade to P-4(high).

Par value is $25.00. The sponsor claims that the NAVPS is $12.27. They closed on the TSX today at 10.11-55, 3×4. Ouch!

There are 1.6+ million shares outstanding. GPA.PR.A is not tracked by HIMIPref™.

Issue Comments

DBRS Downgrades Loblaws but Weston Unaffected

DBRS:

has today downgraded the long-term ratings of Loblaw Companies Limited (Loblaw or the Company) to BBB from BBB (high), maintaining the Negative trend. At the same time, DBRS has downgraded the Company’s short-term rating to R-2 (middle) from R-2 (high) and has changed the trend to Negative from Stable.

The status of the Company’s turnaround plan and most recent operating performance leads DBRS to the conclusion that stabilization of performance at a level that is commensurate with a BBB (high) rating over the course of this year is improbable.

The deteriorating operating performance, combined with the longer time period and mounting risks associated with changes to the turnaround plan and management team, result in a credit risk profile that is no longer consistent with a BBB (high) rating from DBRS.

In terms of outlook, DBRS has placed the trend at Negative as we believe a meaningful recovery will remain challenging, since Loblaw is expected to continue investing in pricing within an increasingly competitive environment.

DBRS’s ratings for George Weston Limited remain unchanged following the rating actions on Loblaw.

They weren’t impressed by the profit increase!

Assiduous Readers will doubtless remember their comment at the time of the Weston downgrade:

With the downgrade of Loblaw’s ratings to BBB (high) and R-2 (high), the ratings for Weston at BBB and R-2 (high) reflect more its operating businesses and less the support from the Loblaw rating. As such, if there is any further deterioration in Loblaw’s long-term rating, it will not necessarily affect the long-term rating of Weston.

Loblaw is currently rated BBB by S&P.

Weston has the following issues outstanding: WN.PR.A WN.PR.B WN.PR.C WN.PR.D WN.PR.E

Issue Comments

RY.PR.H Hits Market – Not as Bad as Expected!

RY.PR.H commenced trading today after being announced last week and did better than I had expected, trading 587,260 shares in a range of 24.65-78, closing at 24.69-74, 10×12.

Some comparables:

RY Perps 4/29
Issue Quote
4/29
Dividend Curve
Price
Pre-tax
Bid-YTW
RY.PR.A 20.01-10 1.1125 20.32 5.57%
RY.PR.B 20.80-88 1.1750 21.37 5.66%
RY.PR.C 20.22-29 1.15 20.88 5.70%
RY.PR.D 19.90-19 1.125 20.46 5.67%
RY.PR.E 19.85-90 1.125 20.44 5.68%
RY.PR.F 19.71-84 1.1125 20.24 5.66%
RY.PR.G 19.88-99 1.125 20.45 5.67%
RY.PR.W 21.88-17 1.225 22.17 5.61%
RY.PR.H 24.69-74 1.4125 24.59 5.75%

Note that “Curve Price” is a static calculation – it assumes that the yield curve will not change in the future. Convexity effects decrease the value of near-par-by-curve-price issues

Those comparing prices with those on announcement date should recall that RY went ex-dividend on April 22, the day after announcement. Cynics might speculate that the announcement of the new issue was actually timed in this manner, to make the calculated current yields of the extant issues lower than otherwise, which would make the calculated current yield of the new issue at issue price look relatively better … so it’s a good thing that PrefBlog readers aren’t cynics, isn’t it?

Issue Comments

BDS.PR.A: Exchange Proposed, Not Redemption

Brompton Group has announced:

BG Income + Growth Split Trust (the “Trust”) announces that the special unitholder meeting previously described in the press release on April 18, 2008 has been advanced to June 9, 2008 to coincide with the meeting date for all other funds contemplated in the fund reorganization. In addition, the preferred securities will not be called in June 2008 as previously announced, but rather holders of the preferred securities will be asked at a meeting of such holders to be held on June 9, 2008 to authorize the exchange of the preferred security into an equivalent security with the same terms in the continuing fund. By exchanging the preferred securities of the Trust into preferred securities of the continuing fund having the same maturity date, coupon and other terms, holders thereof will obtain greater asset coverage as the continuing fund will comprise assets of up to seven funds managed by Brompton. In addition, holders of preferred securities who do not wish to exchange will be given the opportunity to redeem their preferred securities and receive $10.00 therefor.

The previous plan anticipated a forced redemption.

Issue Comments

FTU.PR.A Downgraded to Pfd-3 by DBRS

DBRS:

has today downgraded the Preferred Shares issued by US Financial 15 Split Corp. (the Company) to Pfd-3 from Pfd-2 with a Stable trend. The rating had been placed Under Review with Developing Implications on March 19, 2008.

There is a NAV test that prevents the Manager from paying out Class A Shares distributions if the NAV of the Portfolio is less than $15 per share.

The initial split share structure provided downside protection of 58% to the Preferred Shareholders (after expenses). Although the credit quality of the Portfolio is strong, the NAV of the Portfolio has experienced downward pressure due to its concentration in the financial industry. In the last year, the NAV has dropped from $24.14 per share to $14.19 (as of April 15, 2008), a decline of about 41%. As a result, the current downside protection available to the Preferred Shareholders is approximately 30%.

The redemption date for both classes of shares issued is December 1, 2012.

Downside protection of 30% equates to asset coverage of about 1.4:1.

This is part of DBRS’ mass review of financial splits which, I believe, marks an end (or at least an increased strictness) to what I perceive as their grandfathering of older, looser standards for split shares, discussed last fall.

The question of how to analyze FTU.PR.A has been discussed on PrefBlog, further to my comment in January that a downgrade looked likely. The issue is tracked by HIMIPref™ and comprises part of the SplitShare Index.

Issue Comments

PIC.PR.A Downgraded to Pfd-3(high) by DBRS

DBRS:

has today downgraded the Preferred Shares issued by Mulvihill Premium Canadian Bank (the Company) to Pfd-3 (high) from Pfd-2 with a Stable trend. The rating had been placed Under Review with Developing Implications on March 19, 2008.

Holders of the Preferred Shares receive fixed cumulative quarterly dividends yielding 5.75% per annum on the par value. The Company aims to provide holders of the Class A Shares with quarterly distributions of $0.20 per share, as well as the opportunity to receive special distributions based on performance of the Company. These distributions have the potential to grind down the net asset value (NAV) of the Portfolio over time.

Although the credit quality of the Banks is strong, the NAV of the Portfolio has experienced downward pressure due to its concentration in the financial industry. In the last year, the NAV has dropped from $27.41 per share to $21.47, and the current downside protection available to the Preferred Shareholders is approximately 30%.

The redemption date for both classes of shares issued is November 1, 2010.

Downside protection of 30% equates to asset coverage of about 1.4:1.

This is part of DBRS’ mass review of financial splits which, I believe, marks an end (or at least an increased strictness) to what I perceive as their grandfathering of older, looser standards for split shares, discussed last fall.

PIC.PR.A was added to the S&P/TSX Preferred Share Index in July, 2007 and removed in December. The issue is tracked by HIMIPref™ and comprises part of the SplitShare Index.

Issue Comments

FFN.PR.A Downgraded to Pfd-2(low) by DBRS

DBRS:

has today downgraded the Preferred Shares issued by Financial 15 Split Corp. II (the Company) to Pfd-2 (low) from Pfd-2 with a Stable trend. The rating had been placed Under Review with Developing Implications on March 19, 2008.

There is a NAV test that prevents the Manager from paying out Class A Shares distributions if the NAV of the Portfolio is less than $15 per share.

The initial split share structure provided downside protection of 58% to the Preferred Shareholders (after expenses). Although the credit quality of the Portfolio is strong, the NAV of the Portfolio has experienced downward pressure due to its concentration in the financial services industry. In the last year, the NAV has dropped from $26.35 per share to $19.27 (as of April 15, 2008), a decline of about 27%. As a result, the current downside protection available to the Preferred Shareholders is approximately 48%.

Downside protection of 48% equates to asset coverage of about 1.9:1.

This is part of DBRS’ mass review of financial splits which, I believe, marks an end (or at least an increased strictness) to what I perceive as their grandfathering of older, looser standards for split shares, discussed last fall.

FFN.PR.A holders approved a term extension about a year ago (and the capital unitholders, I’ll bet, wish they hadn’t!). The issue is tracked by HIMIPref™ and comprises part of the SplitShare Index.

Issue Comments

BMT.PR.A: DBRS Confirms Pfd-2(low)

DBRS has announced:

confirmed the rating for the Preferred Shares issued by BMONT Split Corp. (the Company) at Pfd-2 (low) with a Stable trend. The rating had been placed Under Review with Developing Implications on March 19, 2008.

The holders of the Preferred Shares receive fixed cumulative quarterly distributions equal to 4.5% per annum. The current yield on the BMO Shares provides dividend coverage of approximately 1.7 times. Excess dividends net of all expenses of the Company will be paid as dividends on the Capital Shares or re-invested by the Company in additional BMO Shares as determined by the board of directors of the Company.

The net asset value of the BMO Shares has experienced downward pressure, dropping from $62.49 per share to $46.74 in the last six months, a decline of 25%. The current downside protection available to the Preferred Shareholders is approximately 41%. The confirmation of the Preferred Shares is based on the current level of asset coverage available to cover the Preferred Shares principal, as well as the strong credit quality of BMO (confirmed at AA by DBRS on April 17, 2008).

This is significant – it is the first of the fourteen reviewed financial splits to be confirmed; the other four completed reviews (GBA.PR.A, CBW.PR.A, CIR.PR.A and ASC.PR.A) have all been downgrades.

Downside protection of 41% equates to asset coverage of 1.7:1, which is where it is as of April 17, according to Scotia Managed Companies.. Presumably, the extremely healthy income coverage (also 1.7x) also played an important role in the decision.

BMT.PR.A is tracked by HIMIPref™. It is in the “Scraps” index, due to low volume.