The following has been copied from November 23, 2007
I continue to be utterly amazed by the yield on BNA.PR.C, which had yet another rough ride today, down 0.9444% to close at 17.83 bid, yield 8.39% to maturity. 8.39%! Basically, 11.75% interest equivalent!
I confess, I thought for a fleeting moment today that it might be inventory overhang from a barely successful underwriting … but that doesn’t seem to fit the data. They started trading January 10 and hung around at the $25.00 level until early May, when they – quite reasonably – got caught up in the downdraft. Markets were strong in the first part of the year – if the dealers had been left holding the baby, surely they would have, and could have, blown it out the door at $24.00 in, say, March.
The fund has a position in this issue and I’m getting killed on it. But how can it possibly be fairly valued at 160bp over the similar-and-parri-passu BNA.PR.B? On the bright side, looking at the price chart is highly entertaining … I’ve found a new illustration for the word “parabola”.
This ends the copy. The rest is new!
I have thought of a perfectly appalling possibility, predicated by my bewilderment at the difference in yields between BNA.PR.B and BNA.PR.C … is it possible that the market has forgetten that they will mature?
Current Yields of BNA Issues
A bogus calculation that the market might be making |
| |
BNA.PR.B |
BNA.PR.C |
| Dividend |
1.2375 |
1.0875 |
| Bid |
22.25 |
17.83 |
Current
Yield |
5.56% |
6.10% |
It should be noted that Current Yield is a thoroughly bogus calculation – it ignores the amortization of the discount until maturity.
On the basis of Current Yield, the issues are much more equal …. is it at all possible that this is how they’re being traded? I’m grasping at straws here!
I should also note that while the price of the issue suffered on the first trading day, the volume was heavy. This indicates that the underwriting, in terms of getting the issue out the door, was a success, which makes the whole “overhang” theory even more unlikely.
Prefhound in the comments has some interesting things to say, as always. I will be responding in the comments, so stay tuned!
Update, 2007-11-24: Note that there is more discussion about Split-Shares in general and BNA.PR.C in particular in the post (and comments) : SplitShare & OpRet Yields.
Update #2, 2007-11-24: Sometimes I despair. I looked on Hank Cunningham’s blog, In Your Best Interest, and found Blackmont Capital’s Preferred Share Report, which – in the absence of any copyright notice telling me not to – I have uploaded here for wider distribution. Blackmont makes two rather surprising claims in this report:
- that BNA.PR.B is a Perp. False. The prospectus (March 13, 2004 on SEDAR) clearly states: The Company will redeem all outstanding Series 1 Preferred Shares on March 25, 2016 (the ‘‘Redemption Date’’).
- that the yield on BNA.PR.C is 5.85%. False. It appears that they have reported the current yield, being the annual dividend of 1.088 divided by the “last” price of $18.60. They have not accounted for the fact that the issue’s redemption price is $25.00.
The Blackmont report is riddled with errors – just looking at it very casually, I note that they list GWO.PR.E and GWO.PR.X as perpetuals.
Update, 2008-1-23 I have received an inquiry from a Canadian Moneysaver subscriber who asks if the dividends on this issue are cumulative.
First off … let’s check my “information summary site”, PrefInfo … yes they are.
Now, I think this is a well-researched and well-proofread site that dispenses highly accurate information to the yearning masses …. but I still recommend looking at the prospectus before actually plunking any money down. The prospectus is on SEDAR, company name “BAM Split”, dated January, 2007 and we see on the front page:
Holders of the Series 3 Preferred Shares will be entitled to receive quarterly fixed cumulative preferential dividends of $0.2719 per Series 3 Preferred Share.
… and on page four of the PDF (which is also page four of the prospectus):
Holders of the Series 3 Preferred Shares will be entitled to receive quarterly fixed cumulative preferential dividends equal to $0.2719 per Series 3 Preferred Share.
…
Series 3 Preferred Share dividends will be funded from the dividends received on the BAM Shares. Based on the current dividends paid on the BAM Shares, it is expected that the Company will have approximately 1.08 times coverage on the dividends to be paid on all Preferred Shares. As such, the dividends paid on the Series 3 Preferred Shares will constitute ordinary dividends to the holders of the Series 3 Preferred Shares. If for any reason, the dividends received by the Company on the BAM Shares are insufficient to fully fund the Preferred Share dividends, the Company will sell BAM Shares or write covered call options on its BAM Shares to the extent necessary to fund any shortfall.
See ‘‘Dividend Policy’’ and ‘‘Details of Offering — Series 3 Preferred Shares —
Dividends’’.
…. so …. I think it’s fair to say: “Yes. The dividends are cumulative.”