Category: MAPF

MAPF

MAPF Performance: February 2009

In a poor month for preferreds, the fund was able to eke out a slight degree of outperformance against its benchmark index. This is actually better than it sounds, given the fund’s overweighting in PerpetualDiscounts, but the value-added as part of trading did show up in the estimation of sustainable income, which increased again this month.

Returns to February 27, 2009
Period MAPF Index CPD
according to
Claymore
One Month -1.43% -1.52% -1.15%
Three Months +27.43% +8.94% +9.30%
One Year -0.25% -16.55% -17.26%
Two Years (annualized) +1.63% -10.57%  
Three Years (annualized) +3.28% -5.81%  
Four Years (annualized) +3.87% -3.46%  
Five Years (annualized) +4.92% -2.07%  
Six Years (annualized) +8.79% -0.18%  
Seven Years (annualized) +7.65% +0.15%  
The Index is the BMO-CM “50”
CPD Returns are for the NAV and are after all fees and expenses.
Figures for Omega Preferred Equity (which are after all fees and expenses) for 1-, 3- and 12-months are -1.7%, +7.3% and -16.4%, respectively, according to Morningstar

Returns assume reinvestment of dividends, and are shown after expenses but before fees. Past performance is not a guarantee of future performance. You can lose money investing in Malachite Aggressive Preferred Fund or any other fund. For more information, see the fund’s main page.

The yields available on high quality preferred shares remain elevated, which is reflected in the current estimate of sustainable income.

Calculation of MAPF Sustainable Income Per Unit
Month NAVPU Portfolio
Average
YTW
Leverage
Divisor
Securities
Average
YTW
Sustainable
Income
June, 2007 9.3114 5.16% 1.03 5.01% 0.4665
September 9.1489 5.35% 0.98 5.46% 0.4995
December, 2007 9.0070 5.53% 0.942 5.87% 0.5288
March, 2008 8.8512 6.17% 1.047 5.89% 0.5216
June 8.3419 6.034% 0.952 6.338% $0.5287
September 8.1886 7.108% 0.969 7.335% $0.6006
December, 2008 8.0464 9.24% 0.992 9.166% $0.7375
February 2009 $8.7600 8.89% 1.010 8.802% $0.7711
NAVPU is shown after quarterly distributions.
“Portfolio YTW” includes cash (or margin borrowing), with an assumed interest rate of 0.00%
“Securities YTW” divides “Portfolio YTW” by the “Leverage Divisor” to show the average YTW on the securities held; this assumes that the cash is invested in (or raised from) all securities held, in proportion to their holdings.
“Sustainable Income” is the best available estimate of the fund’s dividend income per unit, before fees and expenses.

As discussed in the post MAPF Portfolio Composition: February 2009, the fund has positions in splitShares (almost all BNA.PR.C) and an operating retractible (YPG.PR.B), both of which skew the calculation. Since the yield on thes positions is higher than that of the perpetuals despite the fact that the term is limited, the sustainability of the calculated “sustainable yield” is suspect, as discussed in August.

Additionally, the calculated yield for the fixed-floater in the portfolio, BCE.PR.I, depends on the presumed value of Canada Prime (3.00%) and the percentage of Canada Prime paid on par value (100%); both of these figures may change. Prime is, in fact, now only 2.50% – while this change will affect the calculation of sustainable yield, this issue has a fixed yield until August 1, 2011.

However, if the entire portfolio except for the PerpetualDiscounts were to be sold and reinvested in these issues, the yield of the portfolio would be the 7.82% shown in the February 27 Portfolio Composition analysis (which is in excess of the 7.29% index yield on February 27). Given such reinvestment, the sustainable yield would be 8.7600 * 0.0782 = $0.6850, an increase from the $0.6470 derived by a similar calculation last month.

Different assumptions lead to different calculations, but the overall positive trend is apparent. I’m very pleased with the results! It will be noted that if there was no trading in the portfolio, one would expect the sustainable yield to be constant (before fees and expenses). The success of the fund’s trading is showing up in

  • the very good performance against the index
  • the long term increases in sustainable income per unit

As has been noted, the fund has maintained a credit quality equal to or better than the index; outperformance is due to constant exploitation of trading anomalies.

Again, there are no predictions for the future! The fund will continue to trade between issues in an attempt to exploit market gaps in liquidity, in an effort to outperform the index and keep the sustainable income per unit – however calculated! – growing.

MAPF

MAPF Portfolio Composition: February 2009

Trading was relatively heavy in February, with portfolio turnover of about 135%, as the market showed an increasing distaste for insurers that eventually spread to banks by month-end. The huge issuance of bank Fixed-Resets ceased during the month, but MFC led the way with an issue that proved wildly popular towards month-end, followed by three bank announcements as quarterly results were unveiled.

Trades were, as ever, triggered by a desire to exploit transient mispricing in the preferred share market (which may the thought of as “selling liquidity”), rather than any particular view being taken on market direction, sectoral performance or credit anticipation.

MAPF Sectoral Analysis 2009-2-27
HIMI Indices Sector Weighting YTW ModDur
Ratchet 0% N/A N/A
FixFloat 0% (-9.9) N/A N/A
Floater 0% N/A N/A
OpRet 0% N/A N/A
SplitShare 10.3% (-1.9) 15.35% 6.45
Interest Rearing 0% N/A N/A
PerpetualPremium 0.0% (0) N/A N/A
PerpetualDiscount 72.8% (+1.3) 7.82% 11.62
Fixed-Reset 9.3% (+2,1) 6.45% 13.01
Scraps (FixFloat) 4.2% (+4.2) 6.97% 13.86
Scraps (OpRet) 4.1% (+4.1) 16.75% 5.71
Scraps (SplitShare) 0.3% (+0.3) 14.70% 3.31
Cash -1.0% (-0.2) 0.00% 0.00
Total 100% 8.89% 11.16
Totals and changes will not add precisely due to rounding. Bracketted figures represent change from January month-end. Cash is included in totals with duration and yield both equal to zero.

The “total” reflects the un-leveraged total portfolio (i.e., cash is included in the portfolio calculations and is deemed to have a duration and yield of 0.00.). MAPF will often have relatively large cash balances, both credit and debit, to facilitate trading. Figures presented in the table have been rounded to the indicated precision.

The fund’s credit quality was affected by the downgrade of BCE, which did not have a great effect on its price. However, as a precautionary measure, holdings in this name were reduced by a partial swap into YPG.PR.B, an operating retractible also rated Pfd-3(high) by DBRS which is currently trading with an extraordinary yield. Both issues will be swapped into higher grade names as opportunities to do so on an attractive basis permit.

While I am not thrilled at the presence of Pfd-3(high) names in the portfolio, the total exposure and the exposure to individual names is well within reasonable limits and the credit quality of the portfolio remains higher than that of the benchmark indices.

Credit distribution is:

MAPF Credit Analysis 2009-2-29
DBRS Rating Weighting
Pfd-1 32.7% (-27.7)
Pfd-1(low) 31.3% (+25.2)
Pfd-2(high) 9.3% (0)
Pfd-2 0% (-0.4)
Pfd-2(low) 19.1% (-5.5)
Pfd-3(high) 8.3% (+8.3)
Pfd-3(low) 0.3% (+0.3)
Cash -1.0% (-0.2)
Totals will not add precisely due to rounding. Bracketted figures represent change from January month-end.

The fund does not set any targets for overall credit quality; trades are executed one by one. Variances in overall credit will be constant as opportunistic trades are executed. The overall credit quality of the portfolio is now superior to the credit quality of CPD at August month-end (when adjusted for the downgrade of BCE).

Claymore provides the following ratings breakdown:

Ratings Breakdown
as of 12/31/08
Pfd-1 61.15%
Pfd-2 23.26%
Pfd-3 15.60%

Two events have occurred since the Dec. 31 calculation date of CPD’s credit quality:

The other event impacting MAPF’s credit quality was a wholesale move into insurers, with the fund taking positions in SLF, GWO, IAG and ELF. The trading is too “messy” to present fairly in a table (the move itself was done in pieces; after the move was made there were many opportunities to swap between issues of the same name), so I will content myself with an illustration of the yields of the most liquid CM perpetualDiscount (CM.PR.H) vs. the most liquid SLF perpetualDiscount (SLF.PR.A):

Trade details will be published with the semi-annual report to unitholders, due in July.

Liquidity Distribution is:

MAPF Liquidity Analysis 2009-2-27
Average Daily Trading Weighting
<$50,000 0.5% (0)
$50,000 – $100,000 19.4% (+5.9)
$100,000 – $200,000 16.7% (-23.2)
$200,000 – $300,000 31.2% (+10.8)
>$300,000 33.2% (+6.7)
Cash -1.0% (-0.2)
Totals will not add precisely due to rounding. Bracketted figures represent change from January month-end.

MAPF is, of course, Malachite Aggressive Preferred Fund, a “unit trust” managed by Hymas Investment Management Inc. Further information and links to performance, audited financials and subscription information are available the fund’s web page. A “unit trust” is like a regular mutual fund, but is sold by offering memorandum rather than prospectus. This is cheaper, but means subscription is restricted to “accredited investors” (as defined by the Ontario Securities Commission) and those who subscribe for $150,000+. Fund past performances are not a guarantee of future performance. You can lose money investing in MAPF or any other fund.

A similar portfolio composition analysis has been performed on The Claymore Preferred Share ETF (symbol CPD) as of August 29. When comparing CPD and MAPF:

  • MAPF credit quality is better
  • MAPF liquidity is higher
  • MAPF Yield is higher
  • Weightings in
    • PerpetualDiscounts is similar
    • MAPF is much less exposed to Operating Retractibles
    • MAPF is more exposed to SplitShares
    • FixFloat / Floater / Ratchet is similar
    • MAPF is slightly less exposed to Fixed-Resets
MAPF

MAPF Performance: January 2009

The fund was able to post superb performance in January, greatly in excess of its benchmark. In fact, all I need to do to have a great year is to break even for the next eleven months!

For clients, I must say that I am relieved that absolute return has finally joined relative return in the black.

Returns to January 30, 2009
Period MAPF Index CPD
according to
Claymore
One Month +10.45% +3.98% N/A%
Three Months +17.34% -1.22% N/A%
One Year +4.86% -13.84% N/A
Two Years (annualized) +2.71% -9.68%  
Three Years (annualized) +3.66% -5.26%  
Four Years (annualized) +4.18% -3.15%  
Five Years (annualized) +5.63% -1.65%  
Six Years (annualized) +8.95% 0.00%  
Seven Years (annualized) +8.05% +0.40%  
The Index is the BMO-CM “50”
CPD Returns are for the NAV and are after all fees and expenses.

Returns assume reinvestment of dividends, and are shown after expenses but before fees. Past performance is not a guarantee of future performance. You can lose money investing in Malachite Aggressive Preferred Fund or any other fund. For more information, see the fund’s main page.

All I can say is … don’t expect this every month, folks! Extreme inefficiency in the preferred share market made trading highly profitable and returns were also enhanced by receipt of retraction proceeds from the split-shares WFS.PR.A and FFN.PR.A

When it works, it really, really works!

The yields available on high quality preferred shares remain elevated, which is reflected in the current estimate of sustainable income.

Calculation of MAPF Sustainable Income Per Unit
Month NAVPU Portfolio
Average
YTW
Leverage
Divisor
Securities
Average
YTW
Sustainable
Income
June, 2007 9.3114 5.16% 1.03 5.01% 0.4665
September 9.1489 5.35% 0.98 5.46% 0.4995
December, 2007 9.0070 5.53% 0.942 5.87% 0.5288
March, 2008 8.8512 6.17% 1.047 5.89% 0.5216
June 8.3419 6.034% 0.952 6.338% $0.5287
September 8.1886 7.108% 0.969 7.335% $0.6006
December, 2008 8.0464 9.24% 0.992 9.166% $0.7375
January 2009 8.8875 8.17% 1.008 8.105% $0.7203
NAVPU is shown after quarterly distributions.
“Portfolio YTW” includes cash (or margin borrowing), with an assumed interest rate of 0.00%
“Securities YTW” divides “Portfolio YTW” by the “Leverage Divisor” to show the average YTW on the securities held; this assumes that the cash is invested in (or raised from) all securities held, in proportion to their holdings.
“Sustainable Income” is the best available estimate of the fund’s dividend income per unit, before fees and expenses.

As discussed in the post MAPF Portfolio Composition: January 2009, the fund has positions in splitShares, which complicate the calculation greatly. Since the yield is, by and large, higher than that of the perpetuals despite the fact that the term is limited, the sustainability of the calculated “sustainable yield” is suspect, as discussed in August.

Additionally, the calculated yield for the fixed-floater in the portfolio, BCE.PR.I, depends on the presumed value of Canada Prime (3.00%) and the percentage of Canada Prime paid on par value (100%); both of these figures may change. Prime did, in fact, change this month and the presumed future dividend payments for BCE.PR.I changed from $25 * 0.035 = 0.875 to $25 * 0.03 = 0.75. This effect accounted for the bulk of the decline in estimated sustainable income … but frankly, I’m happy that trading in the fund was effective in offsetting the negative effects on the calculation of reducing the holdings of high-yielding short-term instruments, the split shares.

However, if the entire portfolio except for the PerpetualDiscounts were to be sold and reinvested in these issues, the yield of the portfolio would be the 7.28% shown in the January 30 Portfolio Composition analysis (which is in excess of the 6.85% index yield on January 30). Given such reinvestment, the sustainable yield would be 8.8875 * 0.0728 = $0.6470, an increase from the $0.6027 derived by a similar calculation last month.

Different assumptions lead to different calculations, but the overall positive trend is apparent. I’m very pleased with the results! It will be noted that if there was no trading in the portfolio, one would expect the sustainable yield to be constant (before fees and expenses). The success of the fund’s trading is showing up in

  • the very good performance against the index
  • the long term increases in sustainable income per unit

As has been noted, the fund has maintained a credit quality equal to or better than the index; outperformance is due to constant exploitation of trading anomalies.

The fixed-floater postion discussed last month remains – but is much more profitable than it was

Post-Mortem on BCE.PR.I Purchase
Date BCE.PR.I SLF.PR.E BMO.PR.K NA.PR.L
Nov. 28 17.00 13.60 16.75 15.00
Dec. 22 Bought
13.00
Sold
12.50
   
Dec 23 Bought
13.03
  Sold
15.50
Sold
14.36
Closing Bid
Dec 31
13.50 15.18 18.51 15.58
Closing Bid
Jan. 30
15.80 15.48 19.58 17.66
Dividend
Effects
December
Earned
$0.29
None None None
Dividend
Effects
January
None None None Missed $0.30

So, again, there are no predictions for the future. The fund will continue to trade between issues in an attempt to exploit market gaps in liquidity, in an effort to outperform the index and keep the sustainable income per unit – however calculated! – growing.

MAPF

MAPF Portfolio Composition: January 2009

Trading was relatively heavy in January, with portfolio turnover of about 120%, as the late-December rally continued for the first half of the month and then settled in for a more traditional grind. The market was also affected by heavy issuance of Fixed-Resets, many of which had their issue sizes bumped upwards to meet investor demand. These Fixed-Reset issues seem to have found a new level for the initial fixed rate: 6.25% which is much more interesting than the 5.00% of last year. While still rather expensive as a class, the newer issues are at the point where they are becoming competitive with straight perpetuals.

Trades were, as ever, triggered by a desire to exploit transient mispricing in the preferred share market (which may the thought of as “selling liquidity”), rather than any particular view being taken on market direction, sectoral performance or credit anticipation.

MAPF Sectoral Analysis 2009-1-30
HIMI Indices Sector Weighting YTW ModDur
Ratchet 0% N/A N/A
FixFloat 9.9% (+0.7) 6.95% 13.87
Floater 0% N/A N/A
OpRet 0% N/A N/A
SplitShare 12.2% (-20.8) 14.89% 6.32
Interest Rearing 0% N/A N/A
PerpetualPremium 0.0% (0) N/A N/A
PerpetualDiscount 71.5% (+12.9) 7.28% 12.27
Fixed-Reset 7.2%% (+7.2) 6.34% 13.45
Cash -0.8% (0) 0.00% 0.00
Total 100% 8.17% 11.82
Totals and changes will not add precisely due to rounding. Bracketted figures represent change from December month-end. Cash is included in totals with duration and yield both equal to zero.

The “total” reflects the un-leveraged total portfolio (i.e., cash is included in the portfolio calculations and is deemed to have a duration and yield of 0.00.). MAPF will often have relatively large cash balances, both credit and debit, to facilitate trading. Figures presented in the table have been rounded to the indicated precision.

Positions held in the split-share corporations WFS.PR.A and FTN.PR.A were tendered for their monthly retraction in mid-December and retraction proceeds were received in mid-January. The retraction was highly profitable.

The fund’s closing position in the Fixed-Reset BNS.PR.X arrived by a circuitous route:

Post-Mortem on BNS.PR.X Purchase
Date BNS.PR.X TD.PR.E NA.PR.O BMO.PR.L BMO.PR.K
Dec. 31 N/A N/A N/A 19.62 18.51
Jan. 14     Bought
24.85
Sold
21.75
Sold
19.76
Jan. 21   Bought
25.07
Sold
25.00
   
Jan. 30 Bought
24.91
Sold
25.04
     
Closing Bid
Jan. 30
24.90 25.02 24.90 21.35 19.60
Dividend
Effects
None None None None None

Perhaps not the most profitable sequence of trades ever presented on this website, but they did a reasonable job of protecting the capital gains earned at mid-month! It should be noted that HIMIPref™ works by comparing like securities to like and is very cautious when swapping between classes … the impetus of initial trade was only partially direct analysis that NA.PR.O was more attractive than BMO.PR.K & BMO.PR.L; a major driving force of the trade was that the NA issue when taken relative to other fixed-resets was more attractive than the BMO issues relative to other PerpetualDiscounts.

Credit distribution is:

MAPF Credit Analysis 2009-1-30
DBRS Rating Weighting
Pfd-1 60.4% (+4.3)
Pfd-1(low) 6.1% (+3.0)
Pfd-2(high) 9.3% (+9.3)
Pfd-2
(held)
0.4 (-10.9)
Pfd-2(low)
(held)
24.6 (-5.8)
Cash -0.8% (0)
Totals will not add precisely due to rounding. Bracketted figures represent change from December month-end.

The fund does not set any targets for overall credit quality; trades are executed one by one. Variances in overall credit will be constant as opportunistic trades are executed. The overall credit quality of the portfolio is now superior to the credit quality of CPD at August month-end.

The lowest rated issues in the portfolio are BCE.PR.I and BNA.PR.C. The latter issue is an entirely reasonable credit; a split share secured by shares of BAM.A with asset coverage that continues to be about 1.8:1.

Liquidity Distribution is:

MAPF Liquidity Analysis 2009-1-30
Average Daily Trading Weighting
<$50,000 0.5% (-0.1)
$50,000 – $100,000 13.5% (+3.0)
$100,000 – $200,000
(held)
39.9% (-2.7)
$200,000 – $300,000 20.4% (+10.1)
>$300,000 26.5% (+9.6)
Cash -0.8% (0)
Totals will not add precisely due to rounding. Bracketted figures represent change from December month-end.

MAPF is, of course, Malachite Aggressive Preferred Fund, a “unit trust” managed by Hymas Investment Management Inc. Further information and links to performance, audited financials and subscription information are available the fund’s web page. A “unit trust” is like a regular mutual fund, but is sold by offering memorandum rather than prospectus. This is cheaper, but means subscription is restricted to “accredited investors” (as defined by the Ontario Securities Commission) and those who subscribe for $150,000+. Fund past performances are not a guarantee of future performance. You can lose money investing in MAPF or any other fund.

A similar portfolio composition analysis has been performed on The Claymore Preferred Share ETF (symbol CPD) as of August 29. When comparing CPD and MAPF:

  • MAPF credit quality is better
  • MAPF liquidity is higher
  • MAPF Yield is higher
  • Weightings in
    • PerpetualDiscounts is similar
    • MAPF is much less exposed to Operating Retractibles
    • MAPF is more exposed to SplitShares
    • FixFloat / Floater / Ratchet is similar
    • MAPF is slightly less exposed to Fixed-Resets
MAPF

MAPF Performance: December 2008

Sometimes everything works.

There are times – such as June of this year – when everything goes wrong. The market doesn’t just behave in a manner differently from that expected by quantitative models, but differently from basic common sense. All you can do at such times is review your models, review your assumptions, review your application … and if everything seems all right, sit tight! It will happen occasionally; no permanent harm is done unless you’re a leveraged forced seller, as were the quants in August ’07.

But sometimes the market cooperates enthusiastically, being just inefficient enough to allow a trade to be put on and then snapping back to normalcy to allow a profitable reversal. That’s what happened in December:

Returns to December 31, 2008
Period MAPF Index CPD
according to
Claymore
One Month +17.05% +6.39% +7.08%
Three Months +0.21% -12.74% -11.62%
One Year -3.85% -16.42% -17.20%
Two Years (annualized) -2.74% -11.45%  
Three Years (annualized) +0.37% -6.49%  
Four Years (annualized) +1.73% -4.01%  
Five Years (annualized) +3.96% -2.08%  
Six Years (annualized) +8.39% -0.57%  
Seven Years (annualized) +7.33% +0.12%  
The Index is the BMO-CM “50”
CPD Returns are for the NAV and are after all fees and expenses.

Returns assume reinvestment of dividends, and are shown after expenses but before fees. Past performance is not a guarantee of future performance. You can lose money investing in Malachite Aggressive Preferred Fund or any other fund. For more information, see the fund’s main page.

All I can say is … don’t expect this every month, folks! My indices – and my records of external indices – go back to 1993-12-31; the worst month according to the HIMIPref™ PerpetualDiscount index and the “BMO-CM 50” was November, 2008. The best month in that period, by both measures, was December, 2008. The mood swing of the market exacerbated normal inefficiency and made huge bargains available that were promptly resold at ludicrous profit.

When it works, it really, really works!

The yields available on high quality preferred shares remain elevated, which is reflected in the current estimate of sustainable income.

Calculation of MAPF Sustainable Income Per Unit
Month NAVPU Portfolio
Average
YTW
Leverage
Divisor
Securities
Average
YTW
Sustainable
Income
June, 2007 9.3114 5.16% 1.03 5.01% 0.4665
September 9.1489 5.35% 0.98 5.46% 0.4995
December, 2007 9.0070 5.53% 0.942 5.87% 0.5288
March, 2008 8.8512 6.17% 1.047 5.89% 0.5216
June 8.3419 6.034% 0.952 6.338% $0.5287
September 8.1886 7.108% 0.969 7.335% $0.6006
December, 2008 8.0464 9.24% 0.992 9.166% $0.7375
NAVPU is shown after quarterly distributions.
“Portfolio YTW” includes cash (or margin borrowing), with an assumed interest rate of 0.00%
“Securities YTW” divides “Portfolio YTW” by the “Leverage Divisor” to show the average YTW on the securities held; this assumes that the cash is invested in (or raised from) all securities held, in proportion to their holdings.
“Sustainable Income” is the best available estimate of the fund’s dividend income per unit, before fees and expenses.

As discussed in the post MAPF Portfolio Composition: December 2008, the fund has positions in splitShares, which complicate the calculation greatly. Since the yield is, by and large, higher than that of the perpetuals despite the fact that the term is limited, the sustainability of the calculated “sustainable yield” is suspect, as discussed in August. Additionally, the calculated yield for the fixed-floater in the portfolio, BCE.PR.I, depends on the presumed value of Canada Prime (3.50%) and the percentage of Canada Prime paid on par value (100%); both of these figures may change.

However, if the entire portfolio except for the PerpetualDiscounts were to be sold and reinvested in these issues, the yield of the portfolio would be the 7.49% currently shown for the PerpetualDiscounts segment of the portfolio and the sustainable yield would be calculated as $8.0464 * 7.49% = $0.6027, significantly less than the figure calculated above, but still an increase from last month’s adjusted figure and continuing the long-term upward trend.

Additionally, the bulk of SplitShares held at month end were tendered for retraction; the remainder is almost entirely BNA.PR.C which does not mature until 2019, so the fat yield will be enjoyed for some time yet!

It will be noted that if there was no trading in the portfolio, one would expect the sustainable yield to be constant (before fees and expenses). The success of the fund’s trading is showing up in

  • the very good performance against the index
  • the long term increases in sustainable income per unit

As has been noted, the fund has maintained a credit quality equal to or better than the index; outperformance is due to constant exploitation of trading anomalies.

Trading in December was frenetic, with portfolio turnover of about 200%. Many of these trades were not just intra-sector, but intra-issuer; that is, between similar issues of the same issuer, notably the PerpetualDiscount issues of CM, BMO and SLF. These trades were, in aggregate, highly profitable.

Of interest is the position held in November of FFN.PR.A. Readers will remember that I mourned the fact that it had been unprofitable to month-end, but that sad situation was rectified in December:

A major trade was executed from PerpetualDiscounts into SplitShares when – against all reason – the split share with a short term maturity and well-buffered against default underperformed the PerpetualDiscount index. This trade – into FFN.PR.A; discussed in the post on portfolio composition – is not yet profitable, but I am confident that it will become so in the near future.

Post-Mortem on the FFN.PR.A Trade
Date BMO.PR.H
(see Note)
FFN.PR.A FTN.PR.A WFS.PR.A BNA.PR.C
Nov 19 Sold
18.05
Bought
6.40
     
Nov 28
Closing Bid
17.02 5.63      
Dec 8   Sold
7.00
Bought
6.91
   
Dec 10   Sold
7.25
  Bought
7.90
 
Dec 12   Sold
7.00
    Bought
8.65
Dec 31
Closing Bid
18.52 7.56 8.16 8.99 8.75
All trades were “scrappy”; that is, not performed on a one-issue-into-one-issue swap basis. This is particularly true of the purchase of FFN.PR.A; many issues were sold to cover the cost.

Readers will also remember the November 24 trade from WFS.PR.A to FBS.PR.B; to continue that table:

Post-Mortem
WFS.PR.A to FBS.PR.B
Date WFS.PR.A FBS.PR.B
10/31 7.71
Yield: 16.57%
8.70
Yield: 9.99%
Trade, 11/24
Net of Commission
Sold
7.735
Bought
7.024
11/28 7.80
Yield: 16.59%
No Dividends
7.49
Yield: 15.39%
Earned Dividend $0.11875
Trade
Dec 8
Bought
8.06
Sold
8.18
Note that trades were not performed on a one-to-one swap basis and that prices reflect a best-effort to show an average. Trade detail will be published in the coming year

2008 has been a tumultuous year, with declines in prices unparalleled in recent memory. The fund has not escaped unscathed, but has greatly outperformed its benchmark while remaining fully invested at all times. Enormous volatility in the market aggravated the normal inefficiency, particularly in the third quarter and provided the fund with ample opportunites for favourable trading.

And now we will see what 2009 brings…

MAPF

MAPF Portfolio Composition: December 2008

Trading was frenzied in December as a hesitant rally in PerpetualDiscounts was swamped by a wave of tax-loss selling and then skyrocketted after the selling pressure lifted. Meanwhile, SplitShares enjoyed a sharp recovery from their November trough and BCE issues (which comprised the whole of the FixFloat index until the month-end rebalancing) reacted very badly to news of the failure of the BCE / Teachers’ Deal:

Trades were, as ever, triggered by a desire to exploit transient mispricing in the preferred share market (which may the thought of as “selling liquidity”), rather than any particular view being taken on market direction, sectoral performance or credit anticipation.

MAPF Sectoral Analysis 2008-12-31
HIMI Indices Sector Weighting YTW ModDur
Ratchet 0% N/A N/A
FixFloat 9.2% (+9.2) 8.50% 12.22
Floater 0% N/A N/A
OpRet 0% N/A N/A
SplitShare
(normal)
12.3% (-21.1) 17.01% 5.55
SplitShare
(tendered)
20.7% (+20.7) 9.52% 3.79
Interest Rearing 0% N/A N/A
PerpetualPremium 0.0% (0) N/A N/A
PerpetualDiscount 58.6% (-7.9) 7.49% 12.00
Scraps 0% N/A N/A
Cash -0.8% (-0.9) 0.00% 0.00
Total 100% 9.24% 9.62
Totals and changes will not add precisely due to rounding. Bracketted figures represent change from October month-end. Cash is included in totals with duration and yield both equal to zero.

The “total” reflects the un-leveraged total portfolio (i.e., cash is included in the portfolio calculations and is deemed to have a duration and yield of 0.00.). MAPF will often have relatively large cash balances, both credit and debit, to facilitate trading. Figures presented in the table have been rounded to the indicated precision.

Positions held in WFS.PR.A and FTN.PR.A were tendered for their monthly retraction on their final dates (as per the fund’s sub-custodian): Dec 18 & Dec 11, respectively. I expect these retractions to be profitable, but not as profitable as they seemed at the time, since the market closed much of the gap between the trading price and the estimated retraction price between the tender date and the retraction dates of December 31:


Click Image for full-size PDF

Still, that’s the price you pay for caution! My very rough estimate of the retraction prices are $9.60 for WFS.PR.A and $8.32 for FTN.PR.A, but much depends on what price the issuer paid for the capital units required to make matched pairs.

Many readers will be more interested in the fixed-floater position: BCE.PR.I was purchased in two pieces on December 22 and December 23, following news that the normal course issuer bid would be restricted to 5% of outstanding common (which gives some comfort that the company will remain investment grade) and the DBRS pronouncement that Bell Canada (the operating subsidiary) is under credit review positive. These pieces of reassurance and the continued collapse of the share price (see chart above for fixed-floater total return) tipped the scales.

Post-Mortem on BCE.PR.I Purchase
Date BCE.PR.I SLF.PR.E BMO.PR.K NA.PR.L
Nov. 28 17.00 13.60 16.75 15.00
Dec. 22 Bought
13.00
Sold
12.50
   
Dec 23 Bought
13.03
  Sold
15.50
Sold
14.36
Closing Bid
Dec 31
13.50 15.18 18.51 15.58
Dividend
Effects
Earned
$0.29
None None None

I mourn the absence of the PerpetualDiscounts which were swapped into the BCE.PR.I, but that’s life! I will note that on January 2, BCE.PR.I closed with a bid of $14.71 having traded as high as $15.49 on the day … so I won’t throw away the valuation model just yet! I will note that these trades have decreased the mis-match between the fund and the index.

Credit distribution is:

MAPF Credit Analysis 2008-12-31
DBRS Rating Weighting
Pfd-1 56.1% (-0.6)
Pfd-1(low) 3.1% (-7.4)
Pfd-2(high) 0% (0)
Pfd-2
(held)
2.0% (+1.6)
Pfd-2
(tendered for retraction)
9.3% (+9.3)
Pfd-2(low)
(held)
19.0% (-13.3)
Pfd-2(low)
(tendered for retraction)
11.4% (+11.4)
Cash -0.8% (-0.9)
Totals will not add precisely due to rounding. Bracketted figures represent change from November month-end.

The fund does not set any targets for overall credit quality; trades are executed one by one. Variances in overall credit will be constant as opportunistic trades are executed. The overall credit quality of the portfolio is now roughly equal to the credit quality of CPD at August month-end.

The lowest rated issues in the portfolio are the previously discussed BCE.PR.I and BNA.PR.C. The latter issue is an entirely reasonable credit; a split share secured by shares of BAM.A with asset coverage of about 1.8:1. In fact, the fund topped up its holdings of BNA.PR.C in December … the price has continued weak, but the yield of approximately 19% is very hard to resist! I will note that given a price of $9.00 for BNA.PR.C the asset coverage of the market price is approximately 5:1 … so I consider the investment well secured!

Liquidity Distribution is:

MAPF Liquidity Analysis 2008-12-31
Average Daily Trading Weighting
<$50,000 0.6% (-10.5)
$50,000 – $100,000
(held)
1.2% (-31.0)
$50,000 – $100,000
(tendered for retraction)
9.3% (+9.3)
$100,000 – $200,000
(held)
31.2% (+30.2)
$100,000 – $200,000
(tendered for retraction)
11.4% (+11.4)
$200,000 – $300,000 30.3% (+10.0)
>$300,000 16.9% (-15.3)
Cash -0.8% (-0.9)
Totals will not add precisely due to rounding. Bracketted figures represent change from November month-end.

MAPF is, of course, Malachite Aggressive Preferred Fund, a “unit trust” managed by Hymas Investment Management Inc. Further information and links to performance, audited financials and subscription information are available the fund’s web page. A “unit trust” is like a regular mutual fund, but is sold by offering memorandum rather than prospectus. This is cheaper, but means subscription is restricted to “accredited investors” (as defined by the Ontario Securities Commission) and those who subscribe for $150,000+. Fund past performances are not a guarantee of future performance. You can lose money investing in MAPF or any other fund.

A similar portfolio composition analysis has been performed on The Claymore Preferred Share ETF (symbol CPD) as of August 29. When comparing CPD and MAPF:

  • MAPF credit quality is similar
  • MAPF liquidity is higher
  • MAPF Yield is higher
  • Weightings in
    • PerpetualDiscounts is similar
    • MAPF is less exposed to Fixed-Resets and Operating Retractibles
    • MAPF is more exposed to SplitShares
    • FixFloat / Floater / Ratchet is similar
MAPF

MAPF Performance: November 2008

The fund handsomely outperfomed its benchmark in November, but was dragged down by an unprecedented decline in preferred share prices. The immense volatility of the market is leading to most unusual trading opportunities.

How bad and how unprecedented was November? The BMOCM-50 Index was down 10.70%. Taking data from the BMOCM-50, I can say it was the worst month I have on record, with records beginning on December 31, 1992. And, you might well ask, what was the second-worst month? October 2008, down 8.16%. Third-worst? August, 1998 (Russian crisis) down a mere 4.51%.

In fact, of the twelve worst months since 1992-12-31, six have been in the last year.

The fund’s price at November 28, 2008 was $7.0106, after expenses, but before fees (which are billed individually to each client).

Returns to November 28, 2008
Period MAPF Index CPD
according to
Claymore
One Month -9.24% -10.70% -11.06%
Three Months -17.07% -20.11% -19.85%
One Year -14.15% -20.93% -22.79%
Two Years (annualized) -9.69% -14.04%  
Three Years (annualized) -4.55% -8.29%  
Four Years (annualized) -1.92% -5.19%  
Five Years (annualized) +1.23% -3.03%  
Six Years (annualized) +5.62% -1.33%  
Seven Years (annualized) +4.56% -0.78%  
The Index is the BMO-CM “50”
CPD Returns are for the NAV and are after all fees and expenses.

Returns assume reinvestment of dividends, and are shown after expenses but before fees. Past performance is not a guarantee of future performance. You can lose money investing in Malachite Aggressive Preferred Fund or any other fund. For more information, see the fund’s main page.

The yields available on high quality preferred shares remain elevated, which is reflected in the current estimate of sustainable income.

Calculation of MAPF Sustainable Income Per Unit
Month NAVPU Portfolio
Average
YTW
Leverage
Divisor
Securities
Average
YTW
Sustainable
Income
June, 2007 9.3114 5.16% 1.03 5.01% 0.4665
September 9.1489 5.35% 0.98 5.46% 0.4995
December, 2007 9.0070 5.53% 0.942 5.87% 0.5288
March, 2008 8.8512 6.17% 1.047 5.89% 0.5216
June 8.3419 6.034% 0.952 6.338% $0.5287
September 8.1886 7.108% 0.969 7.335% $0.6006
November, 2008 7.0106 11.000% 1.001 11.001% $0.7712
NAVPU is shown after quarterly distributions.
“Portfolio YTW” includes cash (or margin borrowing), with an assumed interest rate of 0.00%
“Securities YTW” divides “Portfolio YTW” by the “Leverage Divisor” to show the average YTW on the securities held; this assumes that the cash is invested in (or raised from) all securities held, in proportion to their holdings.
“Sustainable Income” is the best available estimate of the fund’s dividend income per unit, before fees and expenses.

The fund has positions in three “Split Share” preferreds – terribly out of fashion at this time and trading at yields higher than the perpetuals – which, as explained in August results in the calculation being rendered somewhat suspect. If these positions were sold – at the closing bid on 11/28 – and all cash reinvested in rest of the portfolio, the resultant portfolio would yield 8.22% and the estimated sustainable dividend per unit (before fees and expenses) would be $0.5763; significantly less than the figure calculated above, but still an increase from last month’s adjusted figure and continuing the long-term upward trend.

The current situation whereby investment-grade SplitShare preferreds yield more than PerpetualDiscounts cannot last forever, and it may be anticipated that the calculated Sustainable will fall towards the adjusted figure of $0.5763 … the current calculation assumes that the yield will last forever, rather than the two or three years remaining until the maturity of the SplitShares. On the other hand, it is possible – unlikely, perhaps, in the current climate, but possible – that the yield on the split shares will fall so rapidly that profits may be taken as a capital gain in the near term and reinvested at sustainable yields close to the assumed level of 8.22%, which would lock in the currently estimated sustainable yield. I am not sure how the analysis may be best presented; perhaps at some point I will recalculate all the data using a sustainable yield equal to the PerpetualDiscount index.

It will be noted that if there was no trading in the portfolio, one would expect the sustainable yield to be constant (before fees and expenses). The success of the fund’s trading is showing up in

  • the very good performance against the index
  • the long term increases in sustainable income per unit

As has been noted, the fund has maintained a credit quality equal to or better than the index; outperformance is due to constant exploitation of trading anomalies.

Trading in November continued to be heavy, with portfolio turnover at about 175%. Most of these trades were not just intra-sector, but intra-issuer; that is, between similar issues of the same issuer, notably the PerpetualDiscount issues of CM, BMO and SLF. These trades were, in aggregate, highly profitable.

A major trade was executed from PerpetualDiscounts into SplitShares when – against all reason – the split share with a short term maturity and well-buffered against default underperformed the PerpetualDiscount index. This trade – into FFN.PR.A; discussed in the post on portfolio composition – is not yet profitable, but I am confident that it will become so in the near future.

Of greater interest – and greater profitability, so far – was the November 24 trade from WFS.PR.A to FBS.PR.B:

Post-Mortem
WFS.PR.A to FBS.PR.B
Date WFS.PR.A FBS.PR.B
10/31 7.71
Yield: 16.57%
8.70
Yield: 9.99%
Trade, 11/24
Net of Commission
7.735 7.024
11/28 7.80
Yield: 16.59%
No Dividends
7.49
Yield: 15.39%
Earned Dividend $0.11875

The position in WFS.PR.A was largely established in July, with smaller purchases and sales since then. The largest single day’s trade was a purchase of 6,800 shares on July 9, funded by a sale of GWO.PR.G:

Post-Mortem:
GWO.PR.G to WFS.PR.A
Date GWO.PR.G WFS.PR.A
Trade
2008-7-9
Sold
21.31
Bought
9.08
Closing
Bid
11/24
14.51 7.88
Dividends Missed
$0.325
Earned
$0.13125

Most satisfactory! It should be noted that trades both in and out of GWO.PR.G have been performed against different issues as the market allowed in the interim.

At some point – and I won’t guess when that time will be! – the market will cease its decline and, probably, return to its normal levels of between 100bp and 150bp above long term corporates, which in turn will return to more normal levels against long term Canadas. This could happen extremely quickly and attempting to time the market is folly. At the moment, however, people are scared, the market is sloppy and trading opportunities abound.

The absolute performance of the fund is terrible, but the performance relative to the index and tradeable benchmark is superb. The sustainable yield – however calculated – is increasing. As the market recovers – or even stabilizes! – the steady drip, drip, drip of dividends will make itself felt in long-term returns.

MAPF

MAPF Portfolio Composition, November 2008

Trading was heavy in November as a disorderly decline in a confused market brought many opportunities to the Fund, although there was a decline from October’s extraordinary level of activity.

Trades were, as ever, triggered by a desire to exploit transient mispricing in the preferred share market (which may the thought of as “selling liquidity”), rather than any particular view being taken on market direction, sectoral performance or credit anticipation.

MAPF Sectoral Analysis 2008-11-28
HIMI Indices Sector Weighting YTW ModDur
Ratchet 0% N/A N/A
FixFloat 0% N/A N/A
Floater 0% N/A N/A
OpRet 0% N/A N/A
SplitShare 33.4% (+12.3) 16.57% 4.24
Interest Rearing 0% N/A N/A
PerpetualPremium 0.0% (0) N/A N/A
PerpetualDiscount 66.5% (-8.4) 8.22% 11.15
Scraps 0% N/A N/A
Cash +0.1% (-3.8) 0.00% 0.00
Total 100% 11.00% 8.83
Totals and changes will not add precisely due to rounding. Bracketted figures represent change from October month-end. Cash is included in totals with duration and yield both equal to zero.

The “total” reflects the un-leveraged total portfolio (i.e., cash is included in the portfolio calculations and is deemed to have a duration and yield of 0.00.). MAPF will often have relatively large cash balances, both credit and debit, to facilitate trading. Figures presented in the table have been rounded to the indicated precision.

The proportion of SplitShares held increased as the fund took a position in FFN.PR.A on November 19, following a preciptuous price decline.

FFN.PR.A was one of November’s worst performers:

Asset coverage of 1.4+:1 as of November 14 according to the company. Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 17.40% based on a bid of 5.63 and a hardMaturity 2014-12-1 at 10.00. XFN may be used as a proxy (albeit not a terribly good one) for the holdings and is down 7.2% since Nov. 14, so estimate the month-end asset coverage as $13.00. Given that the ask price of the FFN capital units was 4.10 at month-end, this implies a retraction price of $8.43 … although retractions are tricky with this issue in this environment because the company requires ten notice days prior to the month-end retraction valuation date. Still, it’s tempting!

Although the asset coverage of the preferred share’s obligations is only about 1.3:1, the coverage of the capital invested is over 2:1. Additionally, the estimated retraction – as of November 28 – is very attractive, providing a large, immediate profit. The fly in the ointment regarding retraction is the lengthy notice period – ten days – required prior to the retraction date; this problem is exacerbated by all the holidays in December. The fund may elect to retract its holding of FFN.PR.A, but a decision will not be made until the last minute!

Sadly, this has been an unprofitable trade to date, but the enormous yield, good asset coverage (relative to invested capital) and favourable retraction possibility means my only regret is missing the bottom by a few days!

Credit distribution is:

MAPF Credit Analysis 2008-11-28
DBRS Rating Weighting
Pfd-1 56.7% (-18.5)
Pfd-1(low) 10.5% (+10.2)
Pfd-2(high) 0% (0)
Pfd-2 0.4% (0)
Pfd-2(low) 32.3% (+12.2)
Cash 0.1% (-3.8)
Totals will not add precisely due to rounding. Bracketted figures represent change from October month-end.

The fund does not set any targets for overall credit quality; trades are executed one by one. Variances in overall credit will be constant as opportunistic trades are executed. The overall credit quality of the portfolio is now roughly equal to the credit quality of CPD at August month-end. The fund has a position in FBS.PR.B, currently under review-negative by DBRS and the position in FFN.PR.A is vulnerable, but is should be noted that while the asset coverage relative to obligations is under pressure, the asset coverage relative to invested capital remains comfortable.

MAPF Split Share Positions
(Major)
Asset coverage
Ticker NAVPU
11/28
(Estimate)
Preferred
Obligation
Asset
Coverage
(Obligation)
MAPF
Book Price
Asset
Coverage
(Invested
Capital)
FBS.PR.B $12.09 $10.00 1.2+:1 $7.02 1.7+:1
FFN.PR.A $13.05 $10.00 1.3+:1 $6.43 2.0+:1
BNA.PR.C $45.82 $25.00 1.8+:1 $17.25 2.7-:1
FBS.PR.B NAVPU $11.28 11/27, XFN has increased 7.2% in interim
FFN.PR.A NAVPU $14.06 11/14, XFN has declined 7.2% in interim
BNA.PR.C, approximately 2.4 shares of BAM.A per unit; BAM.A closed at 19.09 11/28

Liquidity Distribution is:

MAPF Liquidity Analysis 2008-11-28
Average Daily Trading Weighting
<$50,000 11.1% (+9.5)
$50,000 – $100,000 33.2% (+4.7)
$100,000 – $200,000 1.0% (-29.4)
$200,000 – $300,000 21.3% (+2.8)
>$300,000 33.2% (+15.2)
Cash 0.1% 3.9% (-3.8)
Totals will not add precisely due to rounding. Bracketted figures represent change from October month-end.

MAPF is, of course, Malachite Aggressive Preferred Fund, a “unit trust” managed by Hymas Investment Management Inc. Further information and links to performance, audited financials and subscription information are available the fund’s web page. A “unit trust” is like a regular mutual fund, but is sold by offering memorandum rather than prospectus. This is cheaper, but means subscription is restricted to “accredited investors” (as defined by the Ontario Securities Commission) and those who subscribe for $150,000+. Fund past performances are not a guarantee of future performance. You can lose money investing in MAPF or any other fund.

A similar portfolio composition analysis has been performed on The Claymore Preferred Share ETF (symbol CPD) as of August 29. When comparing CPD and MAPF:

  • MAPF credit quality is similar
  • MAPF liquidity is somewhat higher
  • MAPF Yield is higher
  • But … MAPF is more exposed to PerpetualDiscounts and SplitShares
  • MAPF is less exposed to Fixed-Resets and Operating Retractibles
MAPF

MAPF Performance: October, 2008

The fund handsomely outperfomed its benchmark in October, but was dragged down by an unprecedented decline in preferred share prices. The immense volatility of the market is leading to most unusual trading opportunities.

The fund’s price at October 31 was $7.7247, after expenses, but before fees (which are billed individually to each client).

Returns to October 31, 2008
Period MAPF Index CPD
according to
Claymore
One Month -5.67% -8.16% -7.21%
Three Months -3.27% -7.96% -7.68%
One Year -5.67% -12.19% -13.12%
Two Years (annualized) -4.37% -8.64%  
Three Years (annualized) -0.94% -4.28%  
Four Years (annualized) +0.86% -2.27%  
Five Years (annualized) +3.62% -0.74%  
Six Years (annualized) +7.11% +0.56%  
Seven Years (annualized) +5.89% +0.98%  
The Index is the BMO-CM “50”
CPD Returns are for the NAV and are after all fees and expenses.

Returns assume reinvestment of dividends, and are shown after expenses but before fees. Past performance is not a guarantee of future performance. You can lose money investing in Malachite Aggressive Preferred Fund or any other fund. For more information, see the fund’s main page.

The yields available on high quality preferred shares remain elevated, which is reflected in the current estimate of sustainable income.

Calculation of MAPF Sustainable Income Per Unit
Month NAVPU Portfolio
Average
YTW
Leverage
Divisor
Securities
Average
YTW
Sustainable
Income
June, 2007 9.3114 5.16% 1.03 5.01% 0.4665
September 9.1489 5.35% 0.98 5.46% 0.4995
December, 2007 9.0070 5.53% 0.942 5.87% 0.5288
March, 2008 8.8512 6.17% 1.047 5.89% 0.5216
June 8.3419 6.034% 0.952 6.338% $0.5287
September 8.1886 7.108% 0.969 7.335% $0.6006
October, 2008 7.7247 8.553% 0.961 8.900% $0.6875
NAVPU is shown after quarterly distributions.
“Portfolio YTW” includes cash (or margin borrowing), with an assumed interest rate of 0.00%
“Securities YTW” divides “Portfolio YTW” by the “Leverage Divisor” to show the average YTW on the securities held; this assumes that the cash is invested in (or raised from) all securities held, in proportion to their holdings.
“Sustainable Income” is the best available estimate of the fund’s dividend income per unit, before fees and expenses.

The fund has positions in two “Split Share” preferreds – terribly out of fashion at this time and trading at yields higher than the perpetuals – which, as explained in August results in the calculation being rendered somewhat suspect. If these positions were sold – at the closing bid on 10/31 – and all cash reinvested in rest of the portfolio, the resultant portfolio would yield 7.19% and the estimated sustainable dividend per unit (before fees and expenses) would be $0.5554; significantly less than the figure calculated above, but still an increase from last month’s adjusted figure and continuing the long-term upward trend.

It will be noted that if there was no trading in the portfolio, one would expect the sustainable yield to be constant (before fees and expenses). The success of the fund’s trading is showing up in

  • the very good performance against the index
  • the long term increases in sustainable income per unit

At some point – and I won’t guess when that time will be! – the market will cease its decline and, probably, return to its normal levels of between 100bp and 150bp above long term corporates, which in turn will return to more normal levels against long term Canadas. At the moment, however, people are scared, the market is sloppy and trading opportunities abound.

As has been noted, the fund maintains a credit quality superior to the index; outperformance is due to constant exploitation of trading anomalies.

MAPF

MAPF Portfolio Composition, October 2008

Trading was heavy in October as a disorderly decline in a confused market brought many opportunities to the Fund. Turnover was approximately 200% for the month, but a high proportion of these trades were intra-issuer (trades between the CM issues were particularly frequent) and most others were intra-sector (PerpetualDiscounts rose at different rates).

Trades were, as ever, triggered by a desire to exploit transient mispricing in the preferred share market (which may the thought of as “selling liquidity”), rather than any particular view being taken on market direction, sectoral performance or credit anticipation.

MAPF Sectoral Analysis 2008-10-31
HIMI Indices Sector Weighting YTW ModDur
Ratchet 0% N/A N/A
FixFloat 0% N/A N/A
Floater 0% N/A N/A
OpRet 0% N/A N/A
SplitShare 21.1% (+2.6) 14.95% 4.45
Interest Rearing 0% N/A N/A
PerpetualPremium 0.0% (-0.3) N/A N/A
PerpetualDiscount 74.9% (-3.1) 7.19% 12.34
Scraps 0% N/A N/A
Cash +3.9% (+0.8) 0.00% 0.00
Total 100% 8.55% 10.20
Totals and changes will not add precisely due to rounding. Bracketted figures represent change from September month-end. Cash is included in totals with duration and yield both equal to zero.

The “total” reflects the un-leveraged total portfolio (i.e., cash is included in the portfolio calculations and is deemed to have a duration and yield of 0.00.). MAPF will often have relatively large cash balances, both credit and debit, to facilitate trading. Figures presented in the table have been rounded to the indicated precision.

The proportion of SplitShares held was due to a small trade executed to maximize holdings of WFS.PR.A when the price declined in early October. A post-mortem of this trade is:

Post-Mortem: BMO.PR.H to WFS.PR.A
  BMO.PR.H WFS.PR.A
9/30
Prices
21.10 9.00
Trade
10/7
Net of
Commission
20.97 8.22
10/31
Prices
19.03 7.71
Dividends
October
Missed
Dividend
0.33125
No
Dividend

So the return of BMO.PR.H since the trade has been -7.67% (including the dividend) while the return of WFS.PR.A has been -6.20%. Thus far, the trade has been successful.

The decline in price of WFS.PR.A is probably due to concerns over credit quality. Asset coverage over the period, according to Mulvihill has been:

WFS.PR.A Credit Quality
Date Asset
Coverage
September 30 1.546:1
October 9 1.324:1
October 16 1.382:1
October 23 1.360:1

As of June 30, according to Mulvihill, the underlying portfolio for WFS was:

  • Canada, 35.9%
  • United States, 23.3%
  • International, 23.0%
  • Cash & Other, 17.8%

Of the 93.2% of total assets held in equities, 17.6% was hedged with put options.

WFS.PR.A has a scheduled maturity of 2011-6-30, so the remaining term is just 2 years & 8 months. The price should be supported by a valuable monthly retraction privilege – but this is not happening for reasons I don’t understand. As a count against the position, it should be noted that DBRS has the issue under Credit Review Negative and it may be downgraded from its current Pfd-2(low) rating.

Credit distribution is:

MAPF Credit Analysis 2008-10-31
DBRS Rating Weighting
Pfd-1 75.2% (+20.5)
Pfd-1(low) 0.3% (-20.4)
Pfd-2(high) 0% (-3.5)
Pfd-2 0.4% (-0.1)
Pfd-2(low) 20.1% (+3.7)
Cash 3.9% (+0.8)
Totals will not add precisely due to rounding. Bracketted figures represent change from September month-end.

The fund does not set any targets for overall credit quality; trades are executed one by one. Variances in overall credit will be constant as opportunistic trades are executed.

The improvement in credit quality was driven largely by movement out of PWF and GWO issues (which comprised 18.7% of the portfolio on 9/30) into BMO (from 7.3% of the portfolio to 25.5%). BMO issues were hit by weakness in the latter part of the month and these quality improvements have not yet borne fruit: the quality spread continued to narrow to the point where the lower quality issues are trading at even-yield (or through!) the higher quality issues. On the positive side, there has been significant opportunity for trading amongst the BMO issues, so the effort has not been a total loss.

Liquidity Distribution is:

MAPF Liquidity Analysis 2008-10-31
Average Daily Trading Weighting
<$50,000 0.6% (0)
$50,000 – $100,000 28.5% (+1.5)
$100,000 – $200,000 30.4% (-24.4)
$200,000 – $300,000 18.5% (+4.1)
>$300,000 18.0% (+18.0)
Cash 3.9% (+0.8)
Totals will not add precisely due to rounding. Bracketted figures represent change from September month-end.

MAPF is, of course, Malachite Aggressive Preferred Fund, a “unit trust” managed by Hymas Investment Management Inc. Further information and links to performance, audited financials and subscription information are available the fund’s web page. A “unit trust” is like a regular mutual fund, but is sold by offering memorandum rather than prospectus. This is cheaper, but means subscription is restricted to “accredited investors” (as defined by the Ontario Securities Commission) and those who subscribe for $150,000+. Fund past performances are not a guarantee of future performance. You can lose money investing in MAPF or any other fund.

A similar portfolio composition analysis has been performed on The Claymore Preferred Share ETF (symbol CPD) as of August 29. When comparing CPD and MAPF:

  • MAPF credit quality is superior
  • MAPF liquidity is somewhat higher
  • MAPF Yield is higher
  • But … MAPF is more exposed to PerpetualDiscounts and SplitShares
  • MAPF is less exposed to Fixed-Resets and Operating Retractibles