Category: Market Action

Market Action

December 21, 2012

Spend-Every-Penny is continuing his heroic efforts to pump up a Canadian housing bubble:

Ottawa has increased by $50-billion the amount of residential mortgages that it is willing to guarantee.

But this time the Canada Mortgage and Housing Corp., the biggest provider of mortgage default insurance, is not getting any. Instead, the additional backing is going only to private-sector players such as Genworth Canada, who will see their maximum raised to $300-billion from $250-billion.

Genworth Canada disclosed the news on Thursday, which helped drive its shares up more than 3% to $22.73.

The mortgate insurance market in this country is dominated by a handful of players including the CMHC, Genworth Canada and Canada Guarantee, with CMHC accounting for the lion’s share. In the interests of fair competition, all are given access to government guarantees.

Yes, here in Canada, lenders can freely compete to see who can suck arse in Ottawa enough to get mortgage guarantees. Auctioning off the guarantees would be uncivilized; especially since there are those who have a rather peculiar take on the necessity of government guarantees:

In the financial institutions legislation we have a requirement that all mortgages over 80% have mortgage insurance, so on the one hand, we have a requirement that a mortgage lender must receive mortgage insurance from either CMHC or a private mortgage insurer in order to take on the mortgage of a Canadian who wishes to purchase a house with a down payment of less than 20%. With that mandatory requirement in legislation, the government would be under an obligation to ensure that mortgage insurance is available.

The Toronto Exchange will be close the regular session at 1pm on December 24. That will allow us members of the highest paid profession on earth to go shopping and complain about how lazy the clerks are.

CMHC has released the Canadian Registered Covered Bond Programs Guide. DBRS notes:

Upon an initial review of the Guide, DBRS expects that the current Canadian covered bond issuers will either amend their existing respective programs or create new programs to comply with the Guide. Given the substantial requirements prescribed in the Guide, DBRS does not expect any new Canadian covered bond issuances over the next few months while the issuers are implementing the changes to existing programs or establishing new programs. DBRS will not assign any final ratings to any proposed new issuances until DBRS has received confirmation that the relevant issuer, the program and series have been registered in accordance with the Guide.

On November 26 I referred to Ontario lawyers’ claims that there were too many lawyers; I was interested to see some American numbers on the topic in a rather whiny Bloomberg article:

The same housing crash that hammered young architects and loan officers also slammed lawyers. Law schools are turning out about 45,000 degree holders a year for about 25,000 full-time positions available to them, according to the National Association for Law Placement Inc. in Washington. The class of 2011 had the lowest placement with law firms, 49.5 percent, in 36 years.

Whiny? Yes, whiny:

Only one-fifth of those who graduated college since 2006 expect greater success than their parents, a Rutgers survey found earlier this year.

Uh … yeah. You’re only six years out of school, chumps, and a rather significant recession got in the way. Call me back in twenty years and then we can discuss your success relative to your parents.

The Canadian preferred share market was hot today, with PerpetualPremiums up 6bp, FixedResets winning 22bp and DeemedRetractibles gaining 18bp. Volatility was good, all positive and heavily skewed towards FixedResets. Volume was average.

HIMIPref™ Preferred Indices
These values reflect the December 2008 revision of the HIMIPref™ Indices

Values are provisional and are finalized monthly
Index Mean
Current
Yield
(at bid)
Median
YTW
Median
Average
Trading
Value
Median
Mod Dur
(YTW)
Issues Day’s Perf. Index Value
Ratchet 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.2271 % 2,485.8
FixedFloater 4.31 % 3.66 % 32,768 17.94 1 -0.0906 % 3,734.8
Floater 2.80 % 2.98 % 59,113 19.77 4 0.2271 % 2,684.0
OpRet 4.63 % 2.21 % 33,145 0.49 4 0.0191 % 2,594.5
SplitShare 4.64 % 4.74 % 57,575 4.39 2 0.0000 % 2,872.4
Interest-Bearing 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.0191 % 2,372.5
Perpetual-Premium 5.25 % 1.62 % 70,802 0.18 30 0.0575 % 2,327.1
Perpetual-Discount 4.85 % 4.87 % 134,669 15.60 4 0.1932 % 2,639.7
FixedReset 4.92 % 2.96 % 228,445 4.31 77 0.2214 % 2,459.4
Deemed-Retractible 4.88 % 0.51 % 116,255 0.39 46 0.1836 % 2,425.8
Performance Highlights
Issue Index Change Notes
TD.PR.G FixedReset 1.02 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-04-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.79
Bid-YTW : 1.54 %
ENB.PR.F FixedReset 1.02 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2018-06-01
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.66
Bid-YTW : 3.53 %
MFC.PR.G FixedReset 1.04 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2016-12-19
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.31
Bid-YTW : 3.02 %
MFC.PR.C Deemed-Retractible 1.08 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 24.44
Bid-YTW : 4.84 %
BNS.PR.Z FixedReset 1.44 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 24.73
Bid-YTW : 3.27 %
Volume Highlights
Issue Index Shares
Traded
Notes
HSB.PR.E FixedReset 82,636 CIBC crossed 12,000 at 26.55; Desjardins crossed 50,000 at the same price.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-06-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.53
Bid-YTW : 2.39 %
BMO.PR.Q FixedReset 55,868 Scotia crossed 48,800 at 24.65.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 24.78
Bid-YTW : 3.25 %
BNS.PR.Q FixedReset 37,545 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 24.91
Bid-YTW : 3.38 %
BMO.PR.N FixedReset 36,564 TD crossed 25,000 at 26.33.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-02-25
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.32
Bid-YTW : 2.36 %
RY.PR.T FixedReset 36,065 Scotia crossed 30,000 at 26.75.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-08-24
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.75
Bid-YTW : 2.28 %
BNS.PR.O Deemed-Retractible 33,450 TD crossed 25,000 at 26.67.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2013-04-26
Maturity Price : 26.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.64
Bid-YTW : 0.35 %
There were 33 other index-included issues trading in excess of 10,000 shares.
Wide Spread Highlights
Issue Index Quote Data and Yield Notes
IAG.PR.E Deemed-Retractible Quote: 26.69 – 27.00
Spot Rate : 0.3100
Average : 0.1929

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-12-31
Maturity Price : 26.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.69
Bid-YTW : 4.34 %

RY.PR.W Perpetual-Premium Quote: 25.66 – 25.94
Spot Rate : 0.2800
Average : 0.1708

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2013-02-24
Maturity Price : 25.25
Evaluated at bid price : 25.66
Bid-YTW : -2.21 %

TCA.PR.X Perpetual-Premium Quote: 52.00 – 52.42
Spot Rate : 0.4200
Average : 0.3409

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2013-10-15
Maturity Price : 50.00
Evaluated at bid price : 52.00
Bid-YTW : 1.62 %

BMO.PR.K Deemed-Retractible Quote: 26.20 – 26.39
Spot Rate : 0.1900
Average : 0.1155

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2013-01-20
Maturity Price : 26.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.20
Bid-YTW : 0.06 %

RY.PR.F Deemed-Retractible Quote: 26.00 – 26.33
Spot Rate : 0.3300
Average : 0.2589

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2013-05-24
Maturity Price : 25.75
Evaluated at bid price : 26.00
Bid-YTW : 2.75 %

HSB.PR.D Deemed-Retractible Quote: 25.83 – 26.07
Spot Rate : 0.2400
Average : 0.1710

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2013-01-30
Maturity Price : 25.50
Evaluated at bid price : 25.83
Bid-YTW : -7.91 %

Market Action

December 20, 2012

An article of mine has been published in the December Advisor’s Edge Report, titled OSFI’s Academic Foray, which discusses a paper published by OSFI titled Evidence for Mean Reversion in Equity Prices, which they explain as:

OSFI has had discussions with some life insurance industry representatives on equity return models that incorporate mean reversion assumptions. This was done as part of its work on the use of internal models to determine capital requirements for segregated fund guarantees.

OSFI has considered the question of whether such assumptions are prudent, and has decided that it will not review requests for approval to use internal models that incorporate mean reversion in equity returns.

The paper “Evidence for Mean Reversion in Equity Prices” accompanying this letter explains the rationale behind OSFI’s decision. It is being released so that industry participants and other stakeholders can better understand OSFI’s views on this subject.

Sadly, as I conclude:

The OSFI paper held great promise to explain to the investing public why it made a particular decision—a practice that allows us to become more familiar with OSFI’s priorities and the underlying philosophy that forms the framework for its decisions. This promise was not fulfilled.

If OSFI wishes to gain credibility as a knowledgeable and effective regulator of the Canadian financial system, it needs to produce analysis at a much higher standard. Both academia and the private sector offer considerable expertise on regulatory practice, and it should be harnessed.

I’ll post a PDF of the article as published and of my footnoted draft version after a decent interval.

ICE wants to buy the NYSE:

IntercontinentalExchange Inc., the 12-year-old energy and commodity futures bourse, agreed to acquire NYSE Euronext (NYX) for cash and stock worth $8.2 billion, moving to take control of the world’s biggest equities market.

IntercontinentalExchange, based in Atlanta, will pay $33.12 a share for the owner of the New York Stock Exchange, 38 percent above yesterday’s closing price, according to a statement today. Both boards approved the proposal and the companies expect to complete the transaction in the second half of 2013. Last year, the U.S. blocked a joint hostile bid by IntercontinentalExchange and Nasdaq OMX Group Inc. (NDAQ) for the New York-based company on concern the combination would dominate U.S. stock listings.

Merging NYSE Euronext, which owns the biggest exchanges by value of listings in the U.S., France and the Netherlands, with the second-largest futures market underscores both the growing importance of derivatives and the diminishing influence of the 220-year-old NYSE. The Big Board, once the benchmark for global free markets, has seen its share of trading in stocks listed on the exchange decline to 21 percent from 82 percent.

Boyd Erman in the Globe reports:

The trend of international consolidation of stock exchanges appears to be not just over, but unravelling.

As part of their planned combination, IntercontinentalExchange (ICE) and NYSE Euronext say they will look to sell their European equity markets, known as Euronext, in an initial public offering.

NYSE and Euronext combined. NYSE Euronext then tried another deal with Deutsche Boerse of Germany. TMX looked to merge with London Stock Exchange Plc. Singapore’s market looked for a tie-up with Australia’s.

For various reasons, most of those deals failed. The only big one that really got done was the creation of NYSE Euronext. And Thursday, management of NYSE declared the experiment over after synergies between the companies had been limited, and the value of Euronext, such as it is, lost within NYSE. ICE executives also pointed to a need to cut down on the number of businesses the companies would run, and regulatory changes that they said make it hard to run an international stock exchange business.

On a conference call to discuss NYSE Euronext’s planned acquisition by ICE, NYSE chief executive officer Duncan Niederauer conceded the Euronext transaction had been a bust.

“We’ve yet to deliver those returns and prove that hypotheses,” he said.

Pension chickens coming home to roost in the US:

A firefighter in Allentown, Pennsylvania, which plans to lease its water system to meet retirement costs, left last year with an annual pension of $99,289, more than double what state law says was due.

The unauthorized benefits, which some cities resort to partly because they prefer pension perks over raises, add to financial burdens lingering from the recession that ended in 2009. Localities in the sixth-most-populous state face $8.5 billion in unfunded pension liabilities, according to the retirement commission.

Audits of Pennsylvania cities that fall under pension restrictions show that 26 percent have given illegal benefits.

One such municipality was Allentown, a city of 119,000 whose plans are 64 percent funded, according to the retirement commission.

Here’s a good idea from Facebook:

Facebook said the test will start with a “small number of people” and will charge an unspecified fee to ensure a message gets sent to the main inbox — rather than a lower-priority queue — of another user, even a stranger. Facebook will test different fees, starting initially at about $1 per e-mail, according to a person with knowledge of the matter, who asked not to be identified because pricing is private.

“Several commentators and researchers have noted that imposing a financial cost on the sender may be the most effective way to discourage unwanted messages and facilitate delivery of messages that are relevant and useful,” the Menlo Park, California-based company said on its website.

For years, I’ve advocated a system for eMail whereby users pay $0.01 to send each eMail, and receive $0.01 for each email received; balance remitted or billed by the ISP monthly, balances of less than $10 either way are eliminated without payment.

Most individuals would receive payments, if any. Businesses would probably have to pay something, but $0.01 is a very cheap delivery charge for a legitimate business communication.

You want a spam-less eMail system? That’s how you get a spam-less eMail system. But all the damn hippies chant: ‘The Internet should be free!’ and I don’t think we’ll ever see that on a public system. Hippies destroyed the Internet!

It was a positive day for the Canadian preferred share market, with both PerpetualPremiums and FixedResets gaining 3bp, while DeemedRetractibles won 14bp. Volatility was low. Volume was very high.

HIMIPref™ Preferred Indices
These values reflect the December 2008 revision of the HIMIPref™ Indices

Values are provisional and are finalized monthly
Index Mean
Current
Yield
(at bid)
Median
YTW
Median
Average
Trading
Value
Median
Mod Dur
(YTW)
Issues Day’s Perf. Index Value
Ratchet 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 -0.1600 % 2,480.1
FixedFloater 4.30 % 3.66 % 31,858 17.95 1 0.0453 % 3,738.2
Floater 2.80 % 2.99 % 59,751 19.74 4 -0.1600 % 2,677.9
OpRet 4.63 % 1.92 % 57,831 0.49 4 0.2586 % 2,594.0
SplitShare 4.64 % 4.74 % 58,262 4.39 2 0.1009 % 2,872.4
Interest-Bearing 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.2586 % 2,372.0
Perpetual-Premium 5.25 % 0.65 % 73,718 0.18 30 0.0265 % 2,325.7
Perpetual-Discount 4.86 % 4.88 % 134,163 15.62 4 0.0712 % 2,634.6
FixedReset 4.93 % 3.09 % 231,013 4.31 77 0.0267 % 2,454.0
Deemed-Retractible 4.89 % 2.01 % 116,070 0.39 46 0.1425 % 2,421.4
Performance Highlights
Issue Index Change Notes
IAG.PR.F Deemed-Retractible 1.17 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2015-03-31
Maturity Price : 26.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.88
Bid-YTW : 4.05 %
MFC.PR.H FixedReset 1.55 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2017-03-19
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.18
Bid-YTW : 3.42 %
Volume Highlights
Issue Index Shares
Traded
Notes
HSB.PR.E FixedReset 84,154 National crossed 20,000 at 26.58; Desjardins crossed 50,000 at the same price.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-06-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.50
Bid-YTW : 2.46 %
RY.PR.N FixedReset 81,232 RBC crossed 80,000 at 26.27.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-02-24
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.25
Bid-YTW : 2.33 %
NA.PR.Q FixedReset 52,860 National crossed blocks of 20,000 and 30,000, both at 26.20.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2017-11-15
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.18
Bid-YTW : 2.88 %
ENB.PR.T FixedReset 52,435 Recent new issue.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2042-12-20
Maturity Price : 23.13
Evaluated at bid price : 25.12
Bid-YTW : 3.75 %
ENB.PR.B FixedReset 49,782 TD crossed 12,400 at 25.28.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2042-12-20
Maturity Price : 23.28
Evaluated at bid price : 25.24
Bid-YTW : 3.64 %
BAM.PR.K Floater 49,349 Scotia crossed 25,000 at 17.60.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2042-12-20
Maturity Price : 17.48
Evaluated at bid price : 17.48
Bid-YTW : 3.00 %
There were 55 other index-included issues trading in excess of 10,000 shares.
Wide Spread Highlights
Issue Index Quote Data and Yield Notes
PWF.PR.R Perpetual-Premium Quote: 26.75 – 27.10
Spot Rate : 0.3500
Average : 0.2505

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2021-04-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.75
Bid-YTW : 4.62 %

CIU.PR.C FixedReset Quote: 24.70 – 25.04
Spot Rate : 0.3400
Average : 0.2412

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2042-12-20
Maturity Price : 23.21
Evaluated at bid price : 24.70
Bid-YTW : 2.78 %

MFC.PR.C Deemed-Retractible Quote: 24.18 – 24.59
Spot Rate : 0.4100
Average : 0.3155

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 24.18
Bid-YTW : 4.98 %

ENB.PR.D FixedReset Quote: 25.20 – 25.46
Spot Rate : 0.2600
Average : 0.1685

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2042-12-20
Maturity Price : 23.21
Evaluated at bid price : 25.20
Bid-YTW : 3.63 %

PWF.PR.I Perpetual-Premium Quote: 25.68 – 25.93
Spot Rate : 0.2500
Average : 0.1640

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2013-01-19
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.68
Bid-YTW : -16.10 %

PWF.PR.P FixedReset Quote: 25.13 – 25.35
Spot Rate : 0.2200
Average : 0.1347

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2042-12-20
Maturity Price : 23.41
Evaluated at bid price : 25.13
Bid-YTW : 3.02 %

Market Action

December 19, 2012

There’s a smoking gun in the LIBOR fixing scandal:

According to transcripts released by the U.K. Financial Services Authority today, an employee identified as Trader A led efforts to influence Japanese Yen Libor submissions included paying brokers as much as 15,000 pounds ($24,400) a quarter and offering a payment to another for helping him keep that day’s rate low. Trader A worked at UBS in Tokyo from 2006 to 2009 and directly contacted employees at other banks to influence their submissions at least 80 times.

“I need you to keep it as low as possible,” Trader A wrote to the broker on Sept. 18, 2008, referring to six-month yen Libor. “If you do that … I’ll pay you, you know, $50,000, $100,000… whatever you want … I’m a man of my word,” according to the transcripts.

Between Sept. 19 and Aug. 25, 2008, Trader A and a colleague entered into nine so-called wash trades as a means of rewarding an unidentified broker with more than 170,000 pounds for helping rig the rate. Wash trades are where a trader puts through two or more risk-free trades through a broker which cancel each other out while leading to a payment of brokerage fees to the broker arranging the trade.

For how long will the Greeks tolerate this?

In the Greek mountain town of Kastoria, less than an hour from the Albanian border, Kostas Tsitskos, 88, can’t afford fuel to heat his home against the winter’s cold. So he and his son live in a single bedroom, warmed by a small electric heater.

“One room is enough,” said Tsitskos, who lives on a 734 euro-a-month ($971) pension and doesn’t have the 1,000 euros a month he needs to buy heating oil.

Greece is facing a heating-oil crisis. With an economy that has contracted for five years and an unemployment rate at a record 25 percent, residents in northern Greece can’t heat their homes. Kastoria hasn’t received funds from the central government to warm schools and the mayor said he will close all 53 of them rather than let children freeze, a step already taken in a nearby town. Truckloads of wood are arriving from Bulgaria as families search for alternative fuels.

Canadians shouldn’t get too cocky:

The Canadian economy is expected to pick up speed – a little – by the middle of next year, though external risks still “loom large,” a new forecast said Wednesday.

The country’s gross domestic product will grow 1.8 per cent next year and accelerate to 2.25 per cent in 2014, the International Monetary Fund said in its preliminary assessment of the Canadian economy. That’s down slightly from its October forecast of 2 per cent growth for next year.

It was a mixed day for the Canadian preferred share market, with PerpetualPremiums off 2bp, FixedResets gaining 7bp and DeemedRetractibles up 12bp. Volatility was average, but the highlights are all negative. Volume was quite high – presumably due to traders trying to get ready for year-end before the holiday lull.

PerpetualDiscounts now yield 4.88%, equivalent to 6.34% interest at the standard equivalency factor of 1.3x. Long corporates yield just under 4.3%, so the pre-tax interest-equivalent spread (in this context, the “Seniority Spread”) is now about 205bp, a slight (and perhaps spurious) decline from the 210bp reported December 12.

HIMIPref™ Preferred Indices
These values reflect the December 2008 revision of the HIMIPref™ Indices

Values are provisional and are finalized monthly
Index Mean
Current
Yield
(at bid)
Median
YTW
Median
Average
Trading
Value
Median
Mod Dur
(YTW)
Issues Day’s Perf. Index Value
Ratchet 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.0000 % 2,484.1
FixedFloater 4.31 % 3.66 % 31,817 17.95 1 -1.9120 % 3,736.5
Floater 2.80 % 2.99 % 59,732 19.76 4 0.0000 % 2,682.2
OpRet 4.64 % 2.63 % 54,689 0.49 4 0.0287 % 2,587.3
SplitShare 4.64 % 4.73 % 60,659 4.39 2 -0.0403 % 2,869.5
Interest-Bearing 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.0287 % 2,365.9
Perpetual-Premium 5.25 % 1.69 % 72,532 0.18 30 -0.0220 % 2,325.1
Perpetual-Discount 4.86 % 4.88 % 131,267 15.58 4 -0.1118 % 2,632.7
FixedReset 4.94 % 3.04 % 229,621 4.32 77 0.0681 % 2,453.3
Deemed-Retractible 4.89 % 2.73 % 116,743 0.42 46 0.1190 % 2,417.9
Performance Highlights
Issue Index Change Notes
BAM.PR.G FixedFloater -1.91 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2042-12-19
Maturity Price : 22.58
Evaluated at bid price : 22.06
Bid-YTW : 3.66 %
IFC.PR.C FixedReset -1.44 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2016-09-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.01
Bid-YTW : 3.04 %
PWF.PR.M FixedReset -1.10 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.00
Bid-YTW : 3.08 %
MFC.PR.H FixedReset -1.04 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2017-03-19
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.78
Bid-YTW : 3.82 %
Volume Highlights
Issue Index Shares
Traded
Notes
ENB.PR.T FixedReset 67,547 Recent new issue.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2042-12-19
Maturity Price : 23.11
Evaluated at bid price : 25.06
Bid-YTW : 3.76 %
ENB.PR.F FixedReset 55,118 RBC sold 23,600 to Scotia at 25.43, then crossed 20,500 at the same price.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2042-12-19
Maturity Price : 23.25
Evaluated at bid price : 25.37
Bid-YTW : 3.70 %
HSB.PR.E FixedReset 51,650 Scotia bought 49,100 from RBC at 26.60.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-06-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.53
Bid-YTW : 2.38 %
GWO.PR.J FixedReset 51,094 Scotia crossed blocks of 19,600 and 25,000, both at 26.05.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2013-12-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.01
Bid-YTW : 1.85 %
NA.PR.Q FixedReset 42,547 RBC crossed 16,000 at 26.10.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2017-11-15
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.09
Bid-YTW : 2.95 %
BAM.PR.Z FixedReset 41,600 Scotia crossed 21,400 at 26.18.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2017-12-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.15
Bid-YTW : 3.78 %
There were 46 other index-included issues trading in excess of 10,000 shares.
Wide Spread Highlights
Issue Index Quote Data and Yield Notes
BAM.PR.G FixedFloater Quote: 22.06 – 23.33
Spot Rate : 1.2700
Average : 0.7814

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2042-12-19
Maturity Price : 22.58
Evaluated at bid price : 22.06
Bid-YTW : 3.66 %

TCA.PR.X Perpetual-Premium Quote: 52.00 – 52.66
Spot Rate : 0.6600
Average : 0.4232

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2013-10-15
Maturity Price : 50.00
Evaluated at bid price : 52.00
Bid-YTW : 1.61 %

MFC.PR.H FixedReset Quote: 25.78 – 26.16
Spot Rate : 0.3800
Average : 0.2189

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2017-03-19
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.78
Bid-YTW : 3.82 %

PWF.PR.O Perpetual-Premium Quote: 26.59 – 27.00
Spot Rate : 0.4100
Average : 0.2943

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2016-10-31
Maturity Price : 25.50
Evaluated at bid price : 26.59
Bid-YTW : 4.71 %

MFC.PR.D FixedReset Quote: 26.49 – 26.79
Spot Rate : 0.3000
Average : 0.2158

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-06-19
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.49
Bid-YTW : 2.56 %

GWO.PR.H Deemed-Retractible Quote: 25.20 – 25.45
Spot Rate : 0.2500
Average : 0.1699

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-09-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.20
Bid-YTW : 4.32 %

Market Action

December 18, 2012

As mentioned yesterday, I received a query from an Assiduous Reader asking me to clarify my remarks of December 13 regarding the recent CSA Discussion Paper and Request for Comments on Mutual Fund Fees.

Having reviewed my comments, I confess to some surprise that clarification should be required – they seem plain enough to me. But here goes:

i) The CSA is concerned that:

investors have no say in the extent to which their mutual fund assets are used to pay for advisor compensation.

I pointed out that this is like every other product sold to retail. When I buy a can of beans for $2.49 at the grocery story, I have no say in how that $2.49 is split between the producer, the middlemen and the store itself. Why should I? The deal’s right there: $2.49 for a can of beans, take it or leave it. What’s wrong with that? The price is disclosed and the nature of the product is disclosed: it makes no difference to me whether the Chilean farmer who planted and harvested the beans gets a nickel or quarter out of the deal.

Some people, of course, get all worked up about things like this and start “Fair Trade” organizations with the stated intent of increasing the proportion of the retail price paid to the producer, even if this increases the retail price. Well, more power to them! But most people don’t care because the question is totally irrelevant to them.

As far as mutual funds are concerned – the amount to be taken from the fund by the sponsor as management fees is stated in the prospectus and this figure is (as pointed out by Assiduous Reader mclachlan8) widely publicized. What happens to the fees afterwards is irrelevant to the investor.

ii) I found the following bland assertion rather breathtaking:

Using fund assets to pay for trailing commissions could encourage additional sales of the fund. This could increase the fund’s assets under management, which would increase the management fees payable. This creates an actual or a perceived conflict of interest between the mutual fund manufacturer and the fund’s investors. [footnote]

[Footnote reads:] G. Stromberg, supra note 81, at pages 16-17, comments on this conflict of interest as follows: “A result of this perspective is that independent investment fund organizations have increasingly become marketing companies, more focussed on gaining market share than on being investment management companies focussed on managing investment funds for the benefit of the investors in these funds. The major concern that arises from the focus on marketing considerations is whether marketing considerations are prevailing over investment management decisions and resulting in conflicts of interest between the fund manager and the fund investors.

One reason this is breathtaking is lack of a logical connection between the footnote and the text. Ms. Stromberg was concerned about investment management decisions, which do not have anything to do with the level of fees charged.

An example of an investment management decision that could be influenced by marketing considerations is the decision to invest in security XYZ because it was popular with retail; or because it enabled the marketing department to trumpet the holding as a bold example of incisive logic; or some such rationale. If this rationale conflicted with the portfolio manager’s honest opinion of security XYZ as an investment – yes, that’s a clear breach of duty, that’s bad, take them out and shoot them.

But it has nothing to do with the fee charged.

However, the most offensive portion of the chain of thought lies in the implication that fund assets are used to pay trailer fees. This is, generally speaking, false: fund assets are not used to pay trailer fees. Fund assets are used to pay the Management Expense Ratio; once this payment has been received by the fund sponsor, the funds become property of the sponsor and lose their identity as fund assets. And the fund sponsor is perfectly entitled to do whatever it wants with its property.

There are some rare cases in which fund assets are used to pay trailers: for instance, CPD.A differs from CPD in that the former pays a trailer to the advisors of the holder. This is fully disclosed in the prospectus and reported in the financial statements – I fail to see any problem with this. The payments are included in the reported Management Expense Ratio, and investors can take it or leave it, as they see fit. One of the CSA’s proposed changes [# (iii)] envisions all mutual funds having such a carve-out of trailers … but this is a proposed CHANGE, not a reflection of the current state of affairs.

iii) However, the CSA logic becomes even more convoluted – and even more offensive – in the latter part of the paragraph quoted:

This practice could put the mutual fund manufacturer at odds with its statutory duty to act in the best interest of the mutual fund [First Footnote] to the extent the mutual fund manufacturer, rather than the fund and its investors, is the primary beneficiary of the fund’s asset growth. The mutual fund manufacturer must be able to demonstrate that it is acting in the best interests of the mutual fund and its investors, and not itself, when engaging in this practice.[Second Footnote]

[First Footnote reads] See s. 2.1 of National Instrument 81-107 Independent Review Committee for Investment Funds, which requires the manager of the investment fund to (a) act honestly and in good faith, and in the best interests of the investment fund, and (b) exercise the degree of care, diligence and skill that a reasonably prudent person would exercise in comparable circumstances. The Securities Acts of most of the CSA jurisdictions also contain a similar provision.

[Second Footnote reads] A mutual fund manufacturer could demonstrate this, for example, by reducing the management fees and expenses it charges to a mutual fund as its assets grow, thus yielding a benefit to the fund and its investors. Interestingly however, U.S. studies on trailing commissions, known in the U.S. as “12b-1 fees”, have concluded that trailing commissions don’t yield the expected benefit for investors. When 12b-1 fees were originally adopted in the U.S., mutual funds were experiencing net redemptions. The belief was that if fund flows could be attracted through the use of 12b-1 fees, existing investors would benefit through lower expense ratios as assets under management increased. Subsequent U.S. experience has shown this not to be the case with 12b-1 fees increasing expense ratios on a one-for-one basis even as assets under management increase. See S. Collins, The Effect of 12b-1 Plans on Mutual Fund Investors, Revisited (March 2004) ICI working paper, and L. Walsh, The Costs and Benefits to Fund Shareholders of 12b-1 Plans: An Examination of Fund Flows, Expenses and Returns (June 2004) SEC discussion paper available at: http://www.sec.gov/rules/proposed/s70904/lwalsh042604.pdf.

The logic of the part up to and including the first footnote is absurd. It continues the conflation of the roles of portfolio manager and sponsor discussed above. The Portfolio Manager certainly has a fiduciary duty to the fund to exert care and prudence in portfolio management – that much is basic. But this is an entirely separate topic from how much is charged for that Portfolio Manager’s care and prudence.

A criminal lawyer, for instance, owes fiduciary duty to his clients. But we don’t (often) see Clayton Ruby work for free, although I’m sure he does his share of pro bono work in the public interest. As a matter of general principle, most people will attempt to charge whatever the market will bear for their services, regardless of what those services might be. And why not? It’s certainly not unethical to ask your boss for a raise, or to find a better paying job.

The premise underlying the last sentence of the quoted CSA paragraph, leading up to the second footnote, is offensive to any conception of justice: “The mutual fund manufacturer must be able to demonstrate that it is acting in the best interests of the mutual fund and its investors, and not itself, when engaging in this practice.” Since when, in Canada, has it been necessary to prove innocence? I assert that it is the regulators, or aggrieved parties, who bear the onus of proving that the fiduciary duty of the portfolio manager has been breached.

iv) With respect to the part (ii) of the “possible changes”:

ii. A standard class for DIY investors with no or reduced trailing commission
Every mutual fund could have a low-cost ‘execution-only’ series or class of securities available for direct purchase by investors. The lower management fees of this series or class would reflect that no or nominal trailing commissions are paid to advisors, in light of the lack of advice sought by DIY investors who purchase and hold securities of this series or class. This low-cost series or class of securities could be made available to investors through a discount brokerage, or alternatively, be distributed directly by the mutual fund manufacturer, in which case the mutual fund manufacturer would need to be registered as a mutual fund dealer.

As I remarked, it’s not clear how the discount brokerages will bet paid for this service; it’s also not clear what the manufacturers’ responsibility to the clients will be for this additional service, or how (if?) they will get paid.

With respect to the discount brokerages, I mentioned yesterday the sabre-rattling that has commenced in the UK, with the discount brokerage Hargreaves mulling over how it should be paid for its services given the pending illegality of trailer fees in the UK. The UK has already passed the damn law, and the resolution of this question is not clear!

v) My last remark was with respect to:

v. Cap commissions
There could be a maximum limit set on the portion of mutual fund assets that could be used to pay trailing commissions to advisors as a way to mitigate the perceived conflicts of interests and the lack of alignment of advisor compensation and services described in Part V. …

I stated that the level of trailers is “just plain none of the regulators’ damn business.”, and stand by that remark. Disclosure? Sure – that’s regulatorary business. Level? No way.

A further problem with the regulatory proposals with respect to trailers has arisen in the comments to yesterday’s post with respect to fiduciary duty. If fees are charged directly by the advisor to the investor, then the advisor will have a fiduciary duty towards that client. This is basic, and is currently embedded in the securities laws in the case of secondary trading, where a commission is paid with respect to a trade and the advisor has a number of explicit duties with respect to that trade, e.g., to seek best execution and not to front-run the order.

Now, if one feels that stockbrokers should have a fiduciary duty to clients, that’s all well and good – but is best addressed under the heading “Fiduciary Duty” rather than “Trailer Fees”. Many of the CSA suggested changes have the effect of imposing fiduciary duty on advisors without being quite brave enough to say the word – which is already the subject of a completely different set of regulatory proposals anyway.

It was a mildly positive day for the Canadian preferred share market, with PerpetualPremiums up 8bp, FixedResets flat and DeemedRetractibles gaining 2bp. Volatility was low. Volume was average.

HIMIPref™ Preferred Indices
These values reflect the December 2008 revision of the HIMIPref™ Indices

Values are provisional and are finalized monthly
Index Mean
Current
Yield
(at bid)
Median
YTW
Median
Average
Trading
Value
Median
Mod Dur
(YTW)
Issues Day’s Perf. Index Value
Ratchet 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.0934 % 2,484.1
FixedFloater 4.22 % 3.58 % 32,141 18.11 1 -1.1429 % 3,809.3
Floater 2.80 % 2.99 % 59,979 19.76 4 0.0934 % 2,682.2
OpRet 4.65 % 2.61 % 53,765 0.50 4 -0.2103 % 2,586.6
SplitShare 4.64 % 4.71 % 59,896 4.40 2 -0.0403 % 2,870.7
Interest-Bearing 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 -0.2103 % 2,365.2
Perpetual-Premium 5.24 % 1.61 % 71,581 0.80 30 0.0767 % 2,325.6
Perpetual-Discount 4.85 % 4.88 % 132,374 15.59 4 -0.0406 % 2,635.7
FixedReset 4.94 % 2.99 % 228,049 4.32 77 -0.0045 % 2,451.6
Deemed-Retractible 4.90 % 2.69 % 117,019 0.42 46 0.0169 % 2,415.0
Performance Highlights
Issue Index Change Notes
BAM.PR.G FixedFloater -1.14 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2042-12-18
Maturity Price : 22.89
Evaluated at bid price : 22.49
Bid-YTW : 3.58 %
FTS.PR.H FixedReset 1.35 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2042-12-18
Maturity Price : 23.68
Evaluated at bid price : 25.59
Bid-YTW : 2.72 %
Volume Highlights
Issue Index Shares
Traded
Notes
ENB.PR.T FixedReset 290,771 Recent new issue.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2042-12-18
Maturity Price : 23.11
Evaluated at bid price : 25.05
Bid-YTW : 3.76 %
MFC.PR.J FixedReset 144,095 Recent new issue.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2018-03-19
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.36
Bid-YTW : 3.74 %
POW.PR.C Perpetual-Premium 124,480 TD crossed 94,000 at 25.55.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2013-01-17
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.60
Bid-YTW : -10.69 %
POW.PR.D Perpetual-Premium 122,320 TD crossed 109,300 at 25.25.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-10-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.27
Bid-YTW : 4.92 %
SLF.PR.G FixedReset 62,610 National crossed 50,000 at 24.30.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 24.32
Bid-YTW : 3.55 %
BMO.PR.K Deemed-Retractible 44,010 Scotia crossed 30,000 at 26.32.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2013-01-17
Maturity Price : 26.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.32
Bid-YTW : -5.92 %
There were 34 other index-included issues trading in excess of 10,000 shares.
Wide Spread Highlights
Issue Index Quote Data and Yield Notes
BAM.PR.C Floater Quote: 17.50 – 18.50
Spot Rate : 1.0000
Average : 0.5788

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2042-12-18
Maturity Price : 17.50
Evaluated at bid price : 17.50
Bid-YTW : 2.99 %

GWO.PR.I Deemed-Retractible Quote: 24.56 – 24.85
Spot Rate : 0.2900
Average : 0.1927

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 24.56
Bid-YTW : 4.74 %

MFC.PR.E FixedReset Quote: 26.20 – 26.46
Spot Rate : 0.2600
Average : 0.1737

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-09-19
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.20
Bid-YTW : 2.79 %

TD.PR.I FixedReset Quote: 26.79 – 27.00
Spot Rate : 0.2100
Average : 0.1432

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-07-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.79
Bid-YTW : 2.26 %

MFC.PR.C Deemed-Retractible Quote: 24.10 – 24.29
Spot Rate : 0.1900
Average : 0.1262

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 24.10
Bid-YTW : 5.02 %

BAM.PR.J OpRet Quote: 26.56 – 26.73
Spot Rate : 0.1700
Average : 0.1117

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-03-31
Maturity Price : 26.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.56
Bid-YTW : 3.33 %

Market Action

December 17, 2012

The patron saint of lapdogs is getting a little tarnish on his halo:

There has been quiet talk for some time that Bank of Canada Governor Mark Carney was seriously considering a run at the Liberal leadership but, until this weekend, it was only in the form of whispers.

A Globe report, however, has revealed that Mr. Carney had serious discussions with Liberal party insiders on his ability to defeat Justin Trudeau in a leadership campaign and even stayed at Liberal MP Scott Brison’s house for a period of time – a likely violation of the bank’s conflict of interest guidelines. If true, the allegations reveal a serious lack of judgment and threatens to taint one of the country’s most vital institutions.

I think Carney has done plenty to taint it already – in acting as a stalking horse for his political masters. But our hero can do no wrong:

The Bank of Canada says it’s assessed Mark Carney’s family stay over at the seaside home of the Liberal Party finance critic this past summer and decided he was not in a conflict of interest for accepting this hospitality.

The Official Opposition NDP pointed out, however, that its finance critic could only get a phone call from the Bank of Canada governor when she asked for a meeting.

I mentioned the regulatory proposals on trailer fees on December 13 and will have more to say – in response to a query from an Assiduous Reader – shortly. In the mean-time, there’s a dogfight brewing in the UK:

Peter Hargreaves made himself a billionaire by selling mutual funds through his discount broker, Hargreaves Lansdown Plc. (HL/) Now, as planned rules threaten his business model, he intends to raid fund managers’ profits.

Hargreaves built the firm into the U.K.’s biggest retail broker, the country’s equivalent of Charles Schwab Corp. (SCHW), by selling funds and charging money managers rather than clients. Starting in 2014, U.K. brokers will have to charge clients directly, a move analysts say jeopardizes the firm’s 64 percent profit margin. Hargreaves says funds must eat the cost.

“All the groups are sitting there, smug, thinking we’re getting 0.75 percent and we’re not going to give Hargreaves anything anymore,” Hargreaves, 66, said in an interview at his office in Bristol, western England, where he started the firm in his spare bedroom 30 years ago. “That’s not going to happen. They need to bear some of it.”

The Financial Services Authority, the U.K. regulator, plans to ban brokers from receiving cash from money managers and require investors to pay brokerage fees directly to bolster transparency in an industry where costs are more than double those in the U.S. Hargreaves Landsown has increased earnings sixfold since 2007, and the stock has climbed 65 percent this year in London trading, making it the second-best performer in the FTSE 100 Index. (UKX) Still, the shares have slipped 7 percent this month on concern the rule change will crimp earnings.

Hargreaves plans to introduce charges to replace the payments, called trail commission in the U.K., which would either be an annual fee based on the value of clients’ assets, a charge for each trade or a combination of the two. He declined to give more details on his pricing plans before the FSA approves the rules. The fees, which he called “competitive,” will probably apply to existing clients’ funds, he said.

A custodial fee charged by discount brokerages will be interesting, to say the least, regardless of how much sense it makes. Geez, I can hear the howls from the DIY guys already … ‘you mean I have to pay as much to hold my ETF (and my common stocks? and my GICs?) as others do to hold their 2.5% MER mutual funds? What?’

What else can we think of by way of unintended consequences? How about tied selling? “Sorry, buddy, but we will no longer allow you to buy ABC funds through your DEF account, because there’s nothing in it for us. We offer DEF funds only.” or how about “If you want to buy the ABC funds, you have to open a ‘Wonder-Gizmo ABC Account’. It’s quite expensive, I’m afraid, and charges have to be paid in person and in cash at our Tuktoyuktuq branch. Here, fill out these forms.”

It was a mixed day for the Canadian preferred share market, with PerpetualPremiums gaining 5bp, FixedResets down 8bp and DeemedRetractibles up 13bp. Volatility was average, but entirely negative. Volume was high.

HIMIPref™ Preferred Indices
These values reflect the December 2008 revision of the HIMIPref™ Indices

Values are provisional and are finalized monthly
Index Mean
Current
Yield
(at bid)
Median
YTW
Median
Average
Trading
Value
Median
Mod Dur
(YTW)
Issues Day’s Perf. Index Value
Ratchet 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.2408 % 2,481.8
FixedFloater 4.18 % 3.53 % 30,288 18.21 1 -1.0870 % 3,853.3
Floater 2.80 % 2.99 % 62,065 19.76 4 0.2408 % 2,679.7
OpRet 4.64 % 2.44 % 51,760 0.50 4 0.0383 % 2,592.1
SplitShare 4.64 % 4.69 % 59,438 4.40 2 0.5474 % 2,871.8
Interest-Bearing 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.0383 % 2,370.2
Perpetual-Premium 5.24 % 1.52 % 72,670 0.80 30 0.0503 % 2,323.9
Perpetual-Discount 4.85 % 4.88 % 133,787 15.59 4 0.0305 % 2,636.7
FixedReset 4.94 % 2.99 % 229,760 4.32 77 -0.0772 % 2,451.8
Deemed-Retractible 4.90 % 1.70 % 117,749 0.40 46 0.1260 % 2,414.6
Performance Highlights
Issue Index Change Notes
FTS.PR.H FixedReset -1.67 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2042-12-17
Maturity Price : 23.57
Evaluated at bid price : 25.25
Bid-YTW : 2.78 %
BAM.PR.G FixedFloater -1.09 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2042-12-17
Maturity Price : 23.08
Evaluated at bid price : 22.75
Bid-YTW : 3.53 %
MFC.PR.D FixedReset -1.05 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-06-19
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.35
Bid-YTW : 2.92 %
Volume Highlights
Issue Index Shares
Traded
Notes
ENB.PR.T FixedReset 80,245 Recent new issue.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2042-12-17
Maturity Price : 23.11
Evaluated at bid price : 25.04
Bid-YTW : 3.76 %
BNS.PR.Y FixedReset 54,798 Nesbitt bought 10,000 from CIBC at 24.05.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 24.03
Bid-YTW : 3.33 %
CU.PR.C FixedReset 53,512 RBC crossed 50,000 at 26.25.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2017-06-01
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.24
Bid-YTW : 2.87 %
BAM.PR.B Floater 52,612 National bought 38,900 from Nesbitt at 38,900.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2042-12-17
Maturity Price : 17.52
Evaluated at bid price : 17.52
Bid-YTW : 2.99 %
NA.PR.K Deemed-Retractible 50,113 Called for redemption.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2013-01-16
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.19
Bid-YTW : 2.83 %
BAM.PR.C Floater 44,189 Nesbitt bought 40,000 from National at 17.51.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2042-12-17
Maturity Price : 17.50
Evaluated at bid price : 17.50
Bid-YTW : 2.99 %
There were 39 other index-included issues trading in excess of 10,000 shares.
Wide Spread Highlights
Issue Index Quote Data and Yield Notes
MFC.PR.G FixedReset Quote: 25.90 – 26.90
Spot Rate : 1.0000
Average : 0.5382

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2016-12-19
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.90
Bid-YTW : 3.44 %

FTS.PR.H FixedReset Quote: 25.25 – 25.72
Spot Rate : 0.4700
Average : 0.2656

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2042-12-17
Maturity Price : 23.57
Evaluated at bid price : 25.25
Bid-YTW : 2.78 %

IAG.PR.G FixedReset Quote: 25.67 – 26.00
Spot Rate : 0.3300
Average : 0.2053

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2017-06-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.67
Bid-YTW : 3.63 %

ELF.PR.H Perpetual-Premium Quote: 26.00 – 26.28
Spot Rate : 0.2800
Average : 0.1723

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2021-04-17
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.00
Bid-YTW : 5.07 %

W.PR.J Perpetual-Premium Quote: 25.50 – 25.70
Spot Rate : 0.2000
Average : 0.1240

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2013-01-16
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.50
Bid-YTW : -6.88 %

BNS.PR.Z FixedReset Quote: 24.48 – 24.67
Spot Rate : 0.1900
Average : 0.1199

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 24.48
Bid-YTW : 3.39 %

Market Action

December 14, 2012

Northern Securities is under the gun:

Following an expedited hearing held on December 14, 2012, in Toronto, Ontario with notice to Northern Securities Inc. (NSI) and with NSI’s consent, a Hearing Panel of the Investment Industry Regulatory Organization of Canada (IIROC) imposed the following terms and conditions on NSI’s continued approval and Membership:

1. By no later than the close of business on December 31, 2012, NSI must have a fully executed agreement with one or more Dealer Members to assign its client accounts, by bulk transfer, that would result in the transfer of all of NSI’s client accounts from NSI’s carrying broker, Penson Financial Services Canada (“Penson”) by the close of business on January 15, 2013.

2. If NSI does not have a fully executed agreement within the time prescribed in paragraph 1, NSI agrees to assign all of its client accounts to Penson forthwith.

3. As of the close of business on December 31, 2012, as a condition of its continuing approval and Membership, NSI shall (a) cease any sales and advisory activity for retail or institutional customers; and (b) restrict its activities to mergers and acquisitions, research and corporate finance.

4. Notwithstanding paragraph 3, NSI may seek approval from IIROC for any other registrable activities and must seek approval for any change in business set out in paragraph 3.

Intact Financial, proud issuer of IFC.PR.A and IFC.PR.C, has been confirmed by DBRS:

DBRS Limited (DBRS) has today confirmed Intact Financial Corporation’s (Intact or the Company) Issuer Rating at A (low), its Senior Unsecured Debt at A (low) and its Non-Cumulative Preferred Shares at Pfd-2 (low). The trends are Stable. The Company’s operating subsidiaries continue to be among the strongest performers in the Canadian property and casualty (P&C) insurance industry in terms of underwriting profit and overall profitability.

With the acquisition of AXA and Jevco, the Company has increased its financial leverage ratio to 27.8%, which is above the top end of our comfort zone for this particular rating category. (While the Company restricts its leverage target to a debt ratio of 20%, the DBRS methodology uses a total debt ratio that includes both debt and preferred shares with a 15% to 25% range for the “A” category). However, the successful integration of the acquired operations, the full realization of synergies and the Company’s ability to pay down debt according to its longer-term funding plan provides continuing confidence in the Company’s financial management. Fixed charge coverage ratios at just below ten times in the most recent nine month period are well above the threshold for the rating category, reflecting the Company’s strong profitability. The Company has indicated that it will retain more of this internally generated capital and use some of it to pay down some of the acquisition debt to help reduce financial leverage. Should Intact not succeed in reducing its financial leverage over the next few years to levels acceptable for an “A”-rated company in this industry, there would be downward pressure on the Company’s ratings.

FBS.PR.C has been confirmed by DBRS at Pfd-2(low):

DBRS has today confirmed the rating of the Class C Preferred Shares, Series 1 (the Preferred Shares) issued by 5Banc Split Inc. (the Company) at Pfd-2 (low). Approximately 2.58 million Preferred Shares were issued at $10 each on December 15, 2011, following the redemption of the Class B Preferred Shares in accordance with their original terms as part of a share capital reorganization. The final redemption date for the Preferred Shares is December 15, 2016.

The downside protection available to holders of the Preferred Shares as of December 6, 2012, is 61.5%. The confirmation of the rating of the Preferred Shares is based primarily on the level of downside protection and dividend coverage available, as well as on the high credit quality and consistency of dividend distributions on the underlying names in the Portfolio.

The main constraints to the rating are the following:

(1) The downside protection provided to holders of the Preferred Shares is dependent on the value of the shares in the Portfolio.
(2) Volatility of price and changes in the dividend policies of the Canadian banks may result in significant reductions in downside protection from time to time.
(3) The concentration of the entire Portfolio is in the Canadian financial services industry.

There were uneven gains in the Canadian preferred share market today, with PerpetualPremiums gaining 1bp, FixedResets winning 20bp and DeemedRetractibles up 3bp. Volatility was minimal. Volume was below average.

HIMIPref™ Preferred Indices
These values reflect the December 2008 revision of the HIMIPref™ Indices

Values are provisional and are finalized monthly
Index Mean
Current
Yield
(at bid)
Median
YTW
Median
Average
Trading
Value
Median
Mod Dur
(YTW)
Issues Day’s Perf. Index Value
Ratchet 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.0937 % 2,475.8
FixedFloater 4.13 % 3.48 % 30,257 18.30 1 -0.2169 % 3,895.7
Floater 2.81 % 3.00 % 61,129 19.75 4 0.0937 % 2,673.2
OpRet 4.64 % 2.25 % 51,022 0.51 4 0.0000 % 2,591.1
SplitShare 4.66 % 4.72 % 61,879 4.41 2 -0.3636 % 2,856.2
Interest-Bearing 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.0000 % 2,369.3
Perpetual-Premium 5.25 % 1.58 % 73,260 0.20 30 0.0064 % 2,322.7
Perpetual-Discount 4.85 % 4.87 % 101,087 15.62 4 0.0508 % 2,635.9
FixedReset 4.93 % 3.02 % 230,909 4.33 77 0.1971 % 2,453.6
Deemed-Retractible 4.91 % 2.25 % 115,335 0.43 46 0.0279 % 2,411.6
Performance Highlights
Issue Index Change Notes
TD.PR.E FixedReset 4.47 % Not a “real” move – the market maker simply woke up after yesterday‘s nap.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-04-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.65
Bid-YTW : 1.92 %
Volume Highlights
Issue Index Shares
Traded
Notes
POW.PR.D Perpetual-Premium 156,200 TD crossed 150,000 at 25.25.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-10-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.27
Bid-YTW : 4.89 %
BAM.PR.B Floater 120,781 National crossed 115,000 at 17.50.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2042-12-14
Maturity Price : 17.45
Evaluated at bid price : 17.45
Bid-YTW : 3.00 %
BAM.PR.C Floater 117,007 National crossed 115,000 at 17.50.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2042-12-14
Maturity Price : 17.48
Evaluated at bid price : 17.48
Bid-YTW : 3.00 %
BNS.PR.R FixedReset 77,125 National crossed blocks of 19,300 and 49,800, both at 25.15.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.19
Bid-YTW : 3.44 %
RY.PR.H Deemed-Retractible 69,300 Scotia crossed 40,000 at 26.65; TD crossed 25,000 at the same price.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2013-05-24
Maturity Price : 26.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.66
Bid-YTW : 0.32 %
CM.PR.K FixedReset 59,693 Scotia crossed 50,000 at 26.42.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-07-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.41
Bid-YTW : 2.24 %
There were 26 other index-included issues trading in excess of 10,000 shares.
Wide Spread Highlights
Issue Index Quote Data and Yield Notes
BNS.PR.M Deemed-Retractible Quote: 26.29 – 26.94
Spot Rate : 0.6500
Average : 0.3739

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2013-01-13
Maturity Price : 26.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.29
Bid-YTW : -2.86 %

BNA.PR.C SplitShare Quote: 24.12 – 24.39
Spot Rate : 0.2700
Average : 0.1748

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2019-01-10
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 24.12
Bid-YTW : 5.08 %

PWF.PR.M FixedReset Quote: 26.00 – 26.36
Spot Rate : 0.3600
Average : 0.2746

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.00
Bid-YTW : 3.04 %

IGM.PR.B Perpetual-Premium Quote: 26.40 – 26.75
Spot Rate : 0.3500
Average : 0.2759

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2018-12-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.40
Bid-YTW : 4.99 %

SLF.PR.E Deemed-Retractible Quote: 24.01 – 24.22
Spot Rate : 0.2100
Average : 0.1433

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 24.01
Bid-YTW : 5.05 %

BMO.PR.H Deemed-Retractible Quote: 25.31 – 25.49
Spot Rate : 0.1800
Average : 0.1171

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2013-02-25
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.31
Bid-YTW : 0.47 %

Market Action

December 13, 2012

Yesterday we learned that IIROC is very concerned about “layering”, a term which they did not define.

Fortunately, a real regulator commissioned a study, High frequency trading, information, and profits, by Jonathan A. Brogaard, which addresses this question:

Layering
Layering is an illegitimate strategy by which a malevolent trader places hidden orders on one side of the market, and then puts in displayed orders on the other side so as to deceive other traders into thinking that the price is moving in a given direction. Once the hidden orders have been crossed and a trade occurs, the malevolent trader withdraws his displayed orders. This is illegal and at least one firm, Trillium Trading, has been caught engaging in it (FINRA, 2010).

For example, if a trader wants to buy a stock at 10.01, but its current bid is 10.02 and its ask is 10.03, it may put in a limit order to buy (a bid) at 10.01 that is hidden (or displayed). It will then place several limit orders to sell (offers) at a slightly higher price, say 10.05. Others will see that there is strong selling pressure and will subsequently adjust their bids and offers lower. Once the offer price hits 10.01 there will be a trade. The trader will have bought the stock for 10.01 and will withdraw his offer quotes.

The FINRA settlement with Trillium is in picture format, so I won’t quote from it.

Felix Salmon points out:

What Trillium did is market manipulation, to be sure, and it deserves a fine. But it’s a bit of a stretch to paint this as the first battle in the war against high-frequency traders — not least because there isn’t actually anything particularly high-frequency about what Trillium was doing.

Yes, Finra does say that Trillium’s layering was an “improper high frequency trading strategy”. But fundamentally it was about misdirection, rather than speed.

But the victims are the people (or algorithms) who thought there was a naive trader posting public buy orders, and wanted to trade against that order. It’s hard to feel a lot of sympathy for them.

Frankly, I don’t feel any sympathy for them and, equally frankly, I don’t understand why layering is considered illegal. It’s misdirection, sure. So what? The layerers are putting up actionable trades that can get executed. The only people who get hurt are those who are (a) too clever by half and (b) not trading on fundamentals.

It all gets back to my insistence that anything that doesn’t necessarily hurt a fundamental trader should almost always be perfectly legal. Let us say, for instance, that I want to buy 10,000 shares of ABC.PR.A at 25.05 but the market’s really thin: 25.00-10, with not much size on the 25.10 offer and not much behind it.

Some might say I should put in a bid for 10,000 at 25.05, since that’s what I want to do, but we can disregard that advice. I’m not going to write a put option for 10,00 shares mid-market for free! No, I might bid 1,000 at 25.01. Maybe 25.00. Who knows, maybe even only 24.95, outside the market, if there isn’t much of a bid. I mean, hell, if I’m the only one willing to supply liquidity, why shouldn’t I get paid for it?

So along comes the the horrible, horrible layering guy. He wants to buy at 25.00. So he puts in an offer for 10,000 shares at 25.05 to drive the price down. So I lift his offer (maybe with a pounce algorithm, if I happen to be using such a a facility) – thank you very much! I’ve got my trade done and, to the extent that I am an “informed trader”, I’m probably going to make some money and he’s probably going to lose some.

Why does IIROC have such a prejudice against informed traders? Why is IIROC so eager to protect speculative cowboys at the expense of fundamental traders?

To be fair, there are opposing views:

Say a stock is trading at $25/share. Looking at the Level II ladder, on the buy side you can see many shares at $25, $24.99, $24.98, $24.97, $24.96, waiting to execute. As a daytrader, you make an offer to buy at say $25.97, believing that there really are buyers at these levels and that the market is currently heavily traded. Your trade is filled but just as that happens, you see the offers to buy literally evaporate. These were phony to begin with, and in truth, the security was really thinly traded, not heavily traded at all. Now you have difficulty exiting your trade and you end up taking a loss.

But look at that … “in truth, the security was really thinly traded”. Well, if you don’t know anything about the stock you’re trading other than a one-time snapshot of the market, I suggest you should get burnt. Note the author’s profession:

Barbara Cohen CIO, Shadowtraders, and professional day trader, specializes in teaching students how they can be trading futures with their own trading system and trading strategies.

It would seem that at least a partial explanation for her opposition is that the HFT guys are simply better at the job than are her students.

And look what passes for brilliant innovation among the old-money crowd! As mentioned on 2012-2-8, RBC received a good dose of breathless adoration for it’s THOR execution product. And what does THOR do, one might ask? According to the product sheet:

Latency normalization is an important factor in securing liquidity and obtaining best execution.
• THOR’s synchronization logic compensates for timing differentials across North America, minimizing cancellation windows for high-frequency trading algorithms; this significantly reduces information leakage, leading to higher fill rates.

So the programme staggers the sending times to minimize the difference in the exchange’s receiving times, thereby minimizing the window in which the Evil HFT Layerer can cancel his misdirecting order. May I be excused for thinking that this idea is a teensy-weeny little bit obvious? As well as resulting from a simple reverse-engineering investigation, rather than breaking new ground?

The LIBOR hand-wringing is heating up again:

The conspiracy wasn’t confined to low-level employees. Senior managers at RBS, Britain’s largest publicly owned lender, knew banks were systematically rigging Libor as early as August 2007, transcripts of phone conversations obtained by Bloomberg show. Some traders colluded with counterparts at other banks to boost profits from interest-rate futures by aligning their submissions. Members of the close-knit group knew each other from working at the same firms or going on trips organized by interdealer brokers such as ICAP Plc (IAP) to Chamonix, a French ski resort, or the Monaco Grand Prix.

Regulators have known since at least August 2007 that banks were using artificially low Libor submissions to appear healthier than they were. That month, a Barclays employee in London e-mailed the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, questioning the numbers that other banks were inputting, according to transcripts published by the New York Fed.

Nine months later, Tim Bond, then head of asset allocation at Barclays’s investment bank, publicly described the Libor figures as “divorced from reality,” saying in a Bloomberg Television interview that firms were routinely misstating their borrowing costs to avoid the perception they were facing stress.

The New York Fed and the Bank of England say they didn’t act because they had no responsibility for oversight of Libor. That fell to the British Bankers’ Association, the industry lobbying group that created the rate and largely ignored recommendations from central bankers after 2008 to change the way the benchmark is computed. Regulators also were preoccupied with the biggest financial crisis since the Great Depression, and forcing banks to be honest about their Libor submissions might have revealed they were paying penalty rates to borrow.

Here’s deposit insurance with a vengeance:

The European Commission plans to propose the bank resolution mechanism in 2013, EU leaders said in a statement after the meeting.

The resolution mechanism “will be based on contributions by the financial sector” and will contain backstops that will “be fiscally neutral over the medium term, by ensuring that public assistance is recouped by means of ex-post levies on the financial industry,” the leaders said in the statement.

Penalizing good banks for the sins of bad banks and their lackadaisical regulators? How can this possibly be justified? And why isn’t 500 years of bankruptcy law good enough? I’m still waiting for an answer to that last one.

As part of the continuing effort to ensure that the experience and wisdom of Canadian regulators is properly venerated and applied to the questions of the day, the CSA has released DISCUSSION PAPER AND REQUEST FOR COMMENT 81-407: MUTUAL FUND FEES. I was most interested in Figure 11.


Click for Big

At present, mutual fund manufacturers may fund increased trailing commissions to advisors by simply allocating a greater portion of the management fees they earn to the payment of these commissions. While overall fund costs do not increase in this scenario, investors have no say in the extent to which their mutual fund assets are used to pay for advisor compensation.

Oh, the horror! Imagine that! Mutual Funds are just like every single other product sold to retail, including vegetables and beer!

Using fund assets to pay for trailing commissions could encourage additional sales of the fund. This could increase the fund’s assets under management, which would increase the management fees payable. This creates an actual or a perceived conflict of interest between the mutual fund manufacturer and the fund’s investors.83 This practice could put the mutual fund manufacturer at odds with its statutory duty to act in the best interest of the mutual fund84 to the extent the mutual fund manufacturer, rather than the fund and its investors, is the primary beneficiary of the fund’s asset growth. The mutual fund manufacturer must be able to demonstrate that it is acting in the best interests of the mutual fund and its investors, and not itself, when engaging in this practice.85

I find this rather breathtaking; not just in the bland assertion that charging for services rendered “could” be a conflict of interest, but in the implication of the last sentence, in which the manufacturers are obliged to prove they are not crooks.

So now we get to the grand finale:

Some possible changes include:
i. Advisor services to be specified and provided in exchange for trailing commissions
ii. A standard class for DIY investors with no or reduced trailing commission
Every mutual fund could have a low-cost ‘execution-only’ series or class of securities available for direct purchase by investors. The lower management fees of this series or class would reflect that no or nominal trailing commissions are paid to advisors, in light of the lack of advice sought by DIY investors who purchase and hold securities of this series or class. This low-cost series or class of securities could be made available to investors through a discount brokerage, or alternatively, be distributed directly by the mutual fund manufacturer, in which case the mutual fund manufacturer would need to be registered as a mutual fund dealer.
iii. Trailing commission component of management fees to be unbundled and charged/disclosed as a separate assetbased fee
iv. A separate series or class of funds for each purchase option
v. Cap commissions There could be a maximum limit set on the portion of mutual fund assets that could be used to pay trailing commissions to advisors as a way to mitigate the perceived conflicts of interests and the lack of alignment of advisor compensation and services described in Part V. This could be achieved by imposing a cap on the separate asset-based fee discussed in option iii above. Trailing commissions could further be plainly labelled or described as “ongoing sales commissions” in mutual fund disclosure documents, thus providing greater transparency for investors of their main purpose.

In addition or as an alternative to a cap on trailing commissions at the mutual fund level, there could be a cap imposed on the aggregate sales charge, that is, the sum of any initial sales charge and “ongoing sales commission” that could be paid by an individual investor at the account level over the length of a mutual fund investment. Once the cap is reached, the investor’s holdings could be automatically converted to a series or class of securities of the mutual fund not bearing an ongoing assetbased sales charge. This would bring certainty to an investor as to the maximum sales commission payable.

The U.S. imposes caps on commissions paid by mutual fund investors. These caps are imposed through a prohibition on advisors who are members of FINRA from offering or selling shares of any investment company if the sales charges described in the prospectus are excessive. “Excessive” is determined by reference to specific sales charge limits prescribed under FINRA’s business conduct rules.157 Those same rules similarly impose limits on trailing commission rates for both load158 and no-load investment companies.159

vi. Implement additional standards or duties for advisors

vii. Discontinue the practice of advisor compensation being set by mutual fund manufacturers

With respect to (ii), it’s not clear how the discount brokerages will get paid. Earth to CSA: no pay, no work. It’s also not clear just what the manufacturor’s responsibilities will be in the event they are registered to sell securities direct. I suspect it means lots and lots of jobs for ex-regulators.

With respect to (v), it’s just plain none of the regulators’ damn business.

I think all the specified regulatory make-work projects are completely nuts myself, but I am well aware that others will differ. Those others may wish to know:

VIII. COMMENT PROCESS
We welcome feedback on the issues raised and the potential regulatory options discussed in this paper. We invite all interested parties to make written submissions. Submissions received by April 12, 2013 will be considered.

DBRS confirmed BAM Split at Pfd-2(low) (proud issuer of BNA.PR.B, BNA.PR.C, BNA.PR.D and BNA.PR.E):

The Pfd-2 (low) ratings of the Class AA Preferred Shares are primarily based on the downside protection and dividend coverage available to the Class AA Preferred Shares.

The main constraints to the ratings are the following:

(1) The downside protection available to holders of the Class AA Preferred Shares depends solely on the market value of the BAM Shares held in the Portfolio, which will fluctuate over time.

(2) There is a lack of diversification as the Portfolio is entirely made up of BAM Shares.

(3) Changes in the dividend policy of BAM may result in reductions in Class AA Preferred Shares dividend coverage.

(4) As the BAM Shares pay dividends in U.S. dollars, the Company is exposed to foreign currency risk relating to the Canadian-U.S. exchange rate, specifically the appreciation of the Canadian dollar vs. the U.S. dollar. This may have a negative impact on the dividend coverage ratio of the Class AA Preferred Shares as these dividends are paid in Canadian dollars.

(5) Downside protection available to the Class AA Preferred Shares may be negatively affected by the retraction of the Junior Preferred Shares.

Oddly, there was no mention of the credit quality of BAM itself in the DBRS press release. According to the DBRS SplitShare methodology:

The importance of credit quality in a portfolio increases as the diversifi cation of the portfolio decreases. To be included as a single name in a split share portfolio, a company should be diversified in its business operations by product and by geography. The rating on preferred shares with exposure to single-name portfolios will generally not exceed the rating on the preferred shares of the underlying company since the downside protection is dependent entirely on the value of the common shares of that company.

S&P dropped a bomb on bank preferreds:

  • •We believe that the Canadian banking sector is encountering incremental pressure from headwinds facing the Canadian economy, which is heightening economic risk in the banking system. We also believe that industry risk for the Canadian banking sector is increasing. We expect that intensifying competition for loans and deposits will lead to pressure on profitability growth, especially in banks’ retail businesses.
  • •We are therefore lowering our issuer credit ratings by one notch on The Bank of Nova Scotia, Central 1 Credit Union, Caisse centrale Desjardins, Home Capital Group Inc., Laurentian Bank of Canada, and National Bank of Canada. The outlook is stable.
  • •We are affirming our issuer credit ratings and stable outlooks on Bank of Montreal (and BMO Financial), Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce, and Manulife Bank of Canada. We have lowered the related stand-alone credit profiles (SACPs) for these institutions by one notch, however.
  • •We are also affirming our issuer credit ratings on Royal Bank of Canada and The Toronto-Dominion Bank, and revising the respective outlooks to stable from negative.
  • •We are also affirming our issuer credit rating with a negative outlook on HSBC Bank Canada, which reflect those on its parent.

It was a strikingly mixed day for the Canadian preferred share market, with PerpetualPremiums up 10bp, FixedResets off 5bp and DeemedRetractibles gaining 15bp. Volatility was low. Volume was high and the highlights are exclusively FixedResets.

HIMIPref™ Preferred Indices
These values reflect the December 2008 revision of the HIMIPref™ Indices

Values are provisional and are finalized monthly
Index Mean
Current
Yield
(at bid)
Median
YTW
Median
Average
Trading
Value
Median
Mod Dur
(YTW)
Issues Day’s Perf. Index Value
Ratchet 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 -0.1837 % 2,473.5
FixedFloater 4.12 % 3.48 % 30,010 18.32 1 -0.3459 % 3,904.1
Floater 2.81 % 3.00 % 61,994 19.73 4 -0.1837 % 2,670.7
OpRet 4.64 % 2.00 % 51,684 0.51 4 -0.3336 % 2,591.1
SplitShare 4.65 % 4.72 % 61,904 4.41 2 0.0809 % 2,866.6
Interest-Bearing 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 -0.3336 % 2,369.3
Perpetual-Premium 5.25 % 1.70 % 72,110 0.20 30 0.0994 % 2,322.5
Perpetual-Discount 4.86 % 4.86 % 133,287 15.63 4 0.1222 % 2,634.6
FixedReset 4.94 % 3.02 % 233,276 4.33 77 -0.0460 % 2,448.8
Deemed-Retractible 4.91 % 2.25 % 115,789 0.44 46 0.1550 % 2,410.9
Performance Highlights
Issue Index Change Notes
TD.PR.E FixedReset -4.17 % Not real – the market maker just fell asleep, that’s all. The issue traded 5,850 shares in a range of 26.45-60, so this is just another example of inexcusable sloppiness.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-04-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.51
Bid-YTW : 5.28 %
Volume Highlights
Issue Index Shares
Traded
Notes
SLF.PR.F FixedReset 158,700 Desjardins crossed 150,000 at 26.45.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-06-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.36
Bid-YTW : 2.22 %
HSB.PR.E FixedReset 152,025 RBC crossed 145,000 at 26.50.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-06-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.55
Bid-YTW : 2.30 %
ENB.PR.T FixedReset 118,825 Recent new issue.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2042-12-13
Maturity Price : 23.10
Evaluated at bid price : 25.02
Bid-YTW : 3.70 %
BAM.PR.P FixedReset 94,176 Nesbitt crossed 50,000 at 26.80; TD crossed 24,200 at the same price; Desjardins crossed 12,000 at the same price again.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-09-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.70
Bid-YTW : 2.92 %
BNS.PR.Q FixedReset 75,131 Nesbitt crossed 48,300 at 24.80.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 24.86
Bid-YTW : 3.32 %
CIU.PR.C FixedReset 73,800 Nesbit sold 15,000 to Desjardins at 24.81, crossed 36,400 at 24.84, and sold 10,000 to RBC at 24.84.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2042-12-13
Maturity Price : 23.24
Evaluated at bid price : 24.80
Bid-YTW : 2.69 %
There were 40 other index-included issues trading in excess of 10,000 shares.
Wide Spread Highlights
Issue Index Quote Data and Yield Notes
TD.PR.E FixedReset Quote: 25.51 – 26.55
Spot Rate : 1.0400
Average : 0.5817

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-04-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.51
Bid-YTW : 5.28 %

BAM.PR.C Floater Quote: 17.44 – 17.99
Spot Rate : 0.5500
Average : 0.3545

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2042-12-13
Maturity Price : 17.44
Evaluated at bid price : 17.44
Bid-YTW : 3.00 %

MFC.PR.A OpRet Quote: 25.75 – 26.23
Spot Rate : 0.4800
Average : 0.2970

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2013-06-19
Maturity Price : 25.50
Evaluated at bid price : 25.75
Bid-YTW : 2.00 %

BAM.PR.P FixedReset Quote: 26.70 – 27.10
Spot Rate : 0.4000
Average : 0.2652

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-09-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.70
Bid-YTW : 2.92 %

IGM.PR.B Perpetual-Premium Quote: 26.38 – 26.69
Spot Rate : 0.3100
Average : 0.1946

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2018-12-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.38
Bid-YTW : 5.00 %

TD.PR.G FixedReset Quote: 26.41 – 26.64
Spot Rate : 0.2300
Average : 0.1300

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-04-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.41
Bid-YTW : 2.60 %

Market Action

December 12, 2012

IIROC has published a study of HFT titled The HOT Study: Phases I and II of IIROC’s Study of High Frequency Trading Activity on Canadian Equity Marketplaces:

Despite the absence of a clear definition, HFT is of concern to many stakeholders in the Canadian equity marketplace:
• Retail investors complain that their bids and offers are often continuously bettered by the minimum tick size, forcing them to cross the spread by entering market orders to execute a trade;

So retail investors attempting to get paid for supplying liquidity to the marketplace find out that somebody else can supply it cheaper. BooHooHoo.

• Institutional investors, and inventory traders providing liquidity to them, are concerned that algorithms with a technological advantage prey on their large orders, negatively impacting their transaction prices and trading costs;

So market participants with brains manage to out-trade salesmen with big smiles. BooHooHoo.

• Traditional market makers complain they are unable to compete with high frequency electronic liquidity providers (“ELP”);

So the buggy-whip boys can’t compete with nerdy little geeks who didn’t even go to the right schools. BooHooHoo.

• Regulators are concerned with the heightened possibility of spoofing, layering, quote stuffing and other potentially manipulative activity; and

Finally! A point that might, possibly, in some alternate universe, be of concern. You can’t spoof or manipulate somebody who trades on fundamentals – in fact, any attempt to do so is just as likely to provide a fundamental trader with an opportunity as otherwise. Why are the regulators so concerned about protecting idiots who don’t trade on fundamentals? Why are the regulators so upset that sometimes the gamers get outgamed?

• Participants are impacted by increased messaging rates incurring costs for processing and storing data.

Well, that’s the participants’ problem, isn’t it? Just part of that nasty little thing called “competition”, that the regulators are determined to stamp out so the financial marketplace can become a cooperative game where we all help each other, just like in kiddy-school. At any rate, if the exchanges consider it to be a problem (or a potential source of competitive advantage) they can always start charging for each order placed, regardless of whether or not it’s filled.

IIROC, eh? They’re good at awarding single-source contracts to insiders … at thinking things through, not so much.

The Press Release highlights the findings:

Key Findings of Phases I and II — Trading by the Study Group

  • • HOT traders:
    • o represent 11% of User IDs
    • o account for 22% of trading volume, 32% of dollar value, 42% of trades and 94% of all order messages sent
    • o trade 36% of all Canadian share volume traded in US inter-listed securities
    • o trade 60% of all Canadian trading in ETFs and ETNs
  • • HOT users trade:
    • o a larger percentage of total dark activity than displayed market activity
    • o anonymously more often than other market participants
    • o passively approximately 66% of the time
    • o over 90% of their activity through seven IIROC Dealer Members
    • o 23% of their volume within the same broker1 – generally more than retail users and less than other users (excluding retail)
    • o predominantly liquid TSX-listed securities priced over $1.00
    • o more in TSX 60 Index securities than in other TSX-listed securities
    • o primarily outside of the Opening or Market on Close trading sessions
  • • HOT Users earned $250,000 more per day in rebates than they paid in fees. All other participants earned more rebates than HOT Users; however these other participants paid $462,000 more per day in fees than they earned in rebates.
  • • 40% of HOT Users were identified as DMA (as opposed to non-DMA).
  • • HOT DMA Users:
    • o were responsible for the majority of trading by all HOT Users
    • o that were categorized as “Fast” (44% of HOT DMA Users) were responsible for 91% of HOT DMA Users’ share volume
    • o have lower order-to-trade ratios when compared with non-DMA HOT Users
  • • Average order-to-trade ratio is higher in ETF trading for all HOT Users, but particularly for the non-DMA groups.
  • • By all measures, HOT clients (DMA and non-DMA) are more active in common shares and HOT non-DMA (inventory and other) are more active in ETFs/ETNs.

The FOMC statement was interesting:

To support continued progress toward maximum employment and price stability, the Committee expects that a highly accommodative stance of monetary policy will remain appropriate for a considerable time after the asset purchase program ends and the economic recovery strengthens. In particular, the Committee decided to keep the target range for the federal funds rate at 0 to 1/4 percent and currently anticipates that this exceptionally low range for the federal funds rate will be appropriate at least as long as the unemployment rate remains above 6-1/2 percent, inflation between one and two years ahead is projected to be no more than a half percentage point above the Committee’s 2 percent longer-run goal, and longer-term inflation expectations continue to be well anchored. The Committee views these thresholds as consistent with its earlier date-based guidance. In determining how long to maintain a highly accommodative stance of monetary policy, the Committee will also consider other information, including additional measures of labor market conditions, indicators of inflation pressures and inflation expectations, and readings on financial developments. When the Committee decides to begin to remove policy accommodation, it will take a balanced approach consistent with its longer-run goals of maximum employment and inflation of 2 percent.

The Canadian preferred share market drifted slightly upwards today, with PerpetualPremiums and DeemedRetractibles gaining 2bp and FixedResets winning 6bp. Volatility was minimal. Volume was average, but made notable by significant trading in the BAM floaters.

PerpetualDiscounts now yield 4.87%, equivalent to 6.33% interest at the standard equivalency factor of 1.3x. Long corporates now yield about 4.25%, so the pre-tax interest-equivalent spread (in this context, the “Seniority Spread”) is now about 210bp, a slight (and perhaps spurious) decline from the 215bp reported December 5.

HIMIPref™ Preferred Indices
These values reflect the December 2008 revision of the HIMIPref™ Indices

Values are provisional and are finalized monthly
Index Mean
Current
Yield
(at bid)
Median
YTW
Median
Average
Trading
Value
Median
Mod Dur
(YTW)
Issues Day’s Perf. Index Value
Ratchet 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 -0.0083 % 2,478.1
FixedFloater 4.11 % 3.46 % 29,202 18.35 1 0.6090 % 3,917.7
Floater 2.80 % 2.99 % 57,383 19.76 4 -0.0083 % 2,675.7
OpRet 4.62 % 1.81 % 35,823 0.51 4 0.0569 % 2,599.7
SplitShare 4.65 % 4.71 % 62,597 4.41 2 0.0405 % 2,864.3
Interest-Bearing 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.0569 % 2,377.2
Perpetual-Premium 5.25 % 2.14 % 73,055 0.38 30 0.0187 % 2,320.2
Perpetual-Discount 4.86 % 4.87 % 134,646 15.61 4 0.0139 % 2,631.4
FixedReset 4.94 % 2.95 % 230,818 4.34 77 0.0640 % 2,449.9
Deemed-Retractible 4.91 % 3.17 % 115,934 0.68 46 0.0230 % 2,407.2
Performance Highlights
Issue Index Change Notes
GWO.PR.N FixedReset -1.90 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 23.22
Bid-YTW : 3.86 %
Volume Highlights
Issue Index Shares
Traded
Notes
MFC.PR.J FixedReset 281,692 Recent new issue.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2018-03-19
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.25
Bid-YTW : 3.82 %
BAM.PR.K Floater 172,050 Nesbitt crossed 150,000 at 17.50.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2042-12-12
Maturity Price : 17.36
Evaluated at bid price : 17.36
Bid-YTW : 3.02 %
BAM.PR.B Floater 160,822 Nesbitt crossed 150,000 at 17.50.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2042-12-12
Maturity Price : 17.50
Evaluated at bid price : 17.50
Bid-YTW : 2.99 %
RY.PR.T FixedReset 136,250 RBC crossed 119,800 at 26.75.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-08-24
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.76
Bid-YTW : 2.22 %
SLF.PR.G FixedReset 103,828 Desjardins crossed 95,800 at 24.30.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 24.27
Bid-YTW : 3.51 %
BMO.PR.M FixedReset 96,184 National crossed 70,000 at 24.76.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 24.81
Bid-YTW : 3.19 %
There were 29 other index-included issues trading in excess of 10,000 shares.
Wide Spread Highlights
Issue Index Quote Data and Yield Notes
BAM.PR.K Floater Quote: 17.36 – 18.10
Spot Rate : 0.7400
Average : 0.5562

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2042-12-12
Maturity Price : 17.36
Evaluated at bid price : 17.36
Bid-YTW : 3.02 %

FTS.PR.E OpRet Quote: 27.12 – 27.50
Spot Rate : 0.3800
Average : 0.2807

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2013-06-01
Maturity Price : 25.75
Evaluated at bid price : 27.12
Bid-YTW : -5.98 %

GWO.PR.N FixedReset Quote: 23.22 – 23.45
Spot Rate : 0.2300
Average : 0.1307

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 23.22
Bid-YTW : 3.86 %

CIU.PR.B FixedReset Quote: 26.64 – 26.90
Spot Rate : 0.2600
Average : 0.1626

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-06-01
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.64
Bid-YTW : 2.31 %

HSE.PR.A FixedReset Quote: 25.78 – 26.03
Spot Rate : 0.2500
Average : 0.1529

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2042-12-12
Maturity Price : 23.58
Evaluated at bid price : 25.78
Bid-YTW : 2.92 %

HSB.PR.D Deemed-Retractible Quote: 25.82 – 26.10
Spot Rate : 0.2800
Average : 0.1838

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2013-01-30
Maturity Price : 25.50
Evaluated at bid price : 25.82
Bid-YTW : -6.20 %

Market Action

December 11, 2012

What’s going on with Northern Securities, IIROC and Penson?:

9. NSI advised IIROC Staff that it was considering the following three options to address the pending wind down of Penson:
i. Retain a new carrying broker;
ii. Enter into an omnibus arrangement with an existing carrying broker or self-clearing firm and administer certain back office functions itself;
iii. Enter into a business amalgamation or a sale.

10. On November 23, 2012, IIROC Staff advised NSI that NSI’s failure to enter into a new introducing-carrying arrangement or to demonstrate progress toward an alternative arrangement would soon result in such financial and operating difficulty for NSI that NSI cannot be permitted to continue to operate without risk of imminent harm to NSI’s clients.

11. IIROC Staff also advised NSI that if it did not enter into a binding agreement for either a new introducing-carrying arrangement or a business combination with a self-clearing Dealer Member by December 7, 2012, then IIROC Staff would proceed to an expedited hearing to seek appropriate remedies from an IIROC Hearing Panel.

It was a mixed day for the Canadian preferred share market, with PerpetualPremiums gaining 6bp, FixedResets down 3bp and DeemedRetractibles off 2bp. Volatility was low. Volume was heavy.

HIMIPref™ Preferred Indices
These values reflect the December 2008 revision of the HIMIPref™ Indices

Values are provisional and are finalized monthly
Index Mean
Current
Yield
(at bid)
Median
YTW
Median
Average
Trading
Value
Median
Mod Dur
(YTW)
Issues Day’s Perf. Index Value
Ratchet 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.0133 % 2,478.3
FixedFloater 4.13 % 3.48 % 28,122 18.30 1 -0.4762 % 3,894.0
Floater 2.79 % 3.01 % 56,494 19.63 4 0.0133 % 2,675.9
OpRet 4.60 % 1.03 % 35,270 0.48 4 0.0569 % 2,598.3
SplitShare 4.65 % 4.72 % 64,652 4.41 2 0.3247 % 2,863.1
Interest-Bearing 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.0569 % 2,375.9
Perpetual-Premium 5.25 % 1.83 % 74,102 0.38 30 0.0601 % 2,319.8
Perpetual-Discount 4.83 % 4.87 % 132,848 15.61 4 0.0304 % 2,631.0
FixedReset 4.94 % 2.95 % 219,461 4.34 77 -0.0298 % 2,448.4
Deemed-Retractible 4.91 % 2.52 % 119,262 0.45 46 -0.0152 % 2,406.6
Performance Highlights
Issue Index Change Notes
TRP.PR.C FixedReset -1.04 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2042-12-11
Maturity Price : 23.57
Evaluated at bid price : 25.67
Bid-YTW : 2.79 %
Volume Highlights
Issue Index Shares
Traded
Notes
ENB.PR.T FixedReset 249,620 Recent new issue.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2042-12-11
Maturity Price : 23.10
Evaluated at bid price : 25.02
Bid-YTW : 3.70 %
MFC.PR.J FixedReset 140,025 Recent new issue.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.11
Bid-YTW : 3.91 %
TD.PR.O Deemed-Retractible 106,124 Nesbitt crossed 100,000 at 25.85.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2013-01-10
Maturity Price : 25.50
Evaluated at bid price : 25.83
Bid-YTW : -4.40 %
ENB.PR.B FixedReset 103,159 TD crossed 73,600 at 25.24; Nesbitt bought 10,000 from National at 25.25.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2042-12-11
Maturity Price : 23.28
Evaluated at bid price : 25.24
Bid-YTW : 3.57 %
POW.PR.G Perpetual-Premium 101,380 Nesbitt crossed 100,000 at 27.15.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2020-04-15
Maturity Price : 25.25
Evaluated at bid price : 27.02
Bid-YTW : 4.58 %
TD.PR.I FixedReset 78,652 RBC crossed 67,600 at 26.85.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-07-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.84
Bid-YTW : 2.11 %
There were 43 other index-included issues trading in excess of 10,000 shares.
Wide Spread Highlights
Issue Index Quote Data and Yield Notes
BAM.PR.K Floater Quote: 17.50 – 18.10
Spot Rate : 0.6000
Average : 0.3548

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2042-12-11
Maturity Price : 17.50
Evaluated at bid price : 17.50
Bid-YTW : 3.03 %

TRP.PR.C FixedReset Quote: 25.67 – 25.99
Spot Rate : 0.3200
Average : 0.1784

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2042-12-11
Maturity Price : 23.57
Evaluated at bid price : 25.67
Bid-YTW : 2.79 %

PWF.PR.M FixedReset Quote: 26.03 – 26.36
Spot Rate : 0.3300
Average : 0.2250

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.03
Bid-YTW : 2.91 %

PWF.PR.P FixedReset Quote: 25.12 – 25.35
Spot Rate : 0.2300
Average : 0.1665

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2042-12-11
Maturity Price : 23.40
Evaluated at bid price : 25.12
Bid-YTW : 2.95 %

BMO.PR.K Deemed-Retractible Quote: 26.16 – 26.27
Spot Rate : 0.1100
Average : 0.0707

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2013-01-10
Maturity Price : 26.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.16
Bid-YTW : 0.25 %

POW.PR.C Perpetual-Premium Quote: 25.51 – 25.65
Spot Rate : 0.1400
Average : 0.1052

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2013-01-10
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.51
Bid-YTW : -7.73 %

Market Action

December 10, 2012

The US has shaken down HSBC & Standard Chartered:

HSBC (HSBA) Holdings Plc will pay at least $1.9 billion in a deferred prosecution agreement that settles U.S. probes of money laundering tied to Europe’s largest bank, a person familiar with the matter said, making it the largest such accord ever.

Yesterday, Standard Chartered Plc (STAN), Britain’s second-largest bank by market value, agreed to pay $327 million in fines after regulators alleged it violated U.S. sanctions with Iran.

As far as I can tell from the Senate REPORT: U.S. Vulnerabilities to Money Laundering, Drugs, and Terrorist Financing: HSBC Case History, the problem was that they did not create enough paper:

An outside auditor hired by HBUS has so far identified, from 2001 to 2007, more than 28,000 undisclosed, OFAC sensitive transactions that were sent through HBUS involving $19.7 billion. Of those 28,000 transactions, nearly 25,000 involved Iran, while 3,000 involved other prohibited countries or persons. The review has characterized nearly 2,600 of those transactions, including 79 involving Iran, and with total assets of more than $367 million, as “Transactions of Interest” requiring additional analysis to determine whether violations of U.S. law occurred. While the aim in many of those cases may have been to avoid the delays associated with the OFAC filter and individualized reviews, rather than to facilitate prohibited transactions, actions taken by HSBC affiliates to circumvent OFAC safeguards may have facilitated transactions on behalf of terrorists, drug traffickers, or other wrongdoers. While HBUS insisted, when asked, that HSBC affiliates provide fully transparent transaction information, when it obtained evidence that some affiliates were acting to circumvent the OFAC filter, HBUS failed to take decisive action to confront those affiliates and put an end to the conduct. HBUS’ experience demonstrates the strong measures that the U.S. affiliate of a global bank must take to prevent affiliates from circumventing OFAC prohibitions.

It was a directionless day for the Canadian preferred share market, with PerpetualPremiums up 4bp while FixedResets and DeemedRetractibles both gained 1bp. Volatility was low. Volume was average.

HIMIPref™ Preferred Indices
These values reflect the December 2008 revision of the HIMIPref™ Indices

Values are provisional and are finalized monthly
Index Mean
Current
Yield
(at bid)
Median
YTW
Median
Average
Trading
Value
Median
Mod Dur
(YTW)
Issues Day’s Perf. Index Value
Ratchet 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.0133 % 2,477.9
FixedFloater 4.11 % 3.47 % 27,743 18.34 1 0.0000 % 3,912.6
Floater 2.79 % 3.00 % 56,227 19.64 4 0.0133 % 2,675.5
OpRet 4.60 % 1.97 % 48,654 0.52 4 -0.1231 % 2,596.8
SplitShare 4.67 % 4.75 % 64,641 4.42 2 -0.0608 % 2,853.9
Interest-Bearing 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 -0.1231 % 2,374.5
Perpetual-Premium 5.26 % 1.75 % 71,809 0.82 30 0.0356 % 2,318.4
Perpetual-Discount 4.83 % 4.87 % 127,243 15.62 4 -0.0708 % 2,630.2
FixedReset 4.94 % 3.03 % 221,169 4.34 77 0.0055 % 2,449.1
Deemed-Retractible 4.91 % 3.24 % 117,205 0.86 46 0.0051 % 2,407.0
Performance Highlights
Issue Index Change Notes
SLF.PR.A Deemed-Retractible -1.05 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 24.50
Bid-YTW : 5.02 %
IFC.PR.C FixedReset 1.15 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2016-09-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.50
Bid-YTW : 2.77 %
Volume Highlights
Issue Index Shares
Traded
Notes
TD.PR.S FixedReset 116,203 Nesbitt bought three blocks from TD, of 14,000 shares, 10,200 and 15,000, all at 24.84, then crossed 31,600 at 24.85.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 24.84
Bid-YTW : 3.17 %
NA.PR.K Deemed-Retractible 101,103 Desjardins crossed 90,300 at 25.20.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2013-01-09
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.18
Bid-YTW : 1.95 %
TD.PR.Y FixedReset 83,165 TD crossed 62,600 at 24.84.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 24.90
Bid-YTW : 3.29 %
BMO.PR.M FixedReset 66,278 Nesbitt crossed blocks of 35,000 and 15,000, both at 24.75.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 24.74
Bid-YTW : 3.23 %
ENB.PR.T FixedReset 53,117 Recent new issue.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2042-12-10
Maturity Price : 23.10
Evaluated at bid price : 25.01
Bid-YTW : 3.70 %
BMO.PR.Q FixedReset 48,444 TD crossed 15,300 at 24.77.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 24.77
Bid-YTW : 3.19 %
There were 29 other index-included issues trading in excess of 10,000 shares.
Wide Spread Highlights
Issue Index Quote Data and Yield Notes
BAM.PR.C Floater Quote: 17.58 – 18.58
Spot Rate : 1.0000
Average : 0.5591

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2042-12-10
Maturity Price : 17.58
Evaluated at bid price : 17.58
Bid-YTW : 3.01 %

TCA.PR.X Perpetual-Premium Quote: 51.92 – 52.95
Spot Rate : 1.0300
Average : 0.6847

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2013-10-15
Maturity Price : 50.00
Evaluated at bid price : 51.92
Bid-YTW : 1.75 %

CU.PR.C FixedReset Quote: 26.16 – 26.48
Spot Rate : 0.3200
Average : 0.1790

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2017-06-01
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.16
Bid-YTW : 2.93 %

BNA.PR.E SplitShare Quote: 25.15 – 25.54
Spot Rate : 0.3900
Average : 0.2635

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2017-12-10
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.15
Bid-YTW : 4.75 %

CM.PR.D Perpetual-Premium Quote: 25.80 – 26.00
Spot Rate : 0.2000
Average : 0.1273

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2013-01-09
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.80
Bid-YTW : -23.34 %

GWO.PR.H Deemed-Retractible Quote: 24.97 – 25.22
Spot Rate : 0.2500
Average : 0.1833

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-09-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 24.97
Bid-YTW : 4.79 %