Category: Market Action

Market Action

November 29, 2011

S&P had an exciting day, downgrading HSB preferreds as well as a few other important names:

Bank of America Corp. (BAC), Goldman Sachs Group Inc. (GS) and Citigroup Inc. had long-term credit grades reduced to A- from A by Standard & Poor’s after the ratings firm revised criteria for dozens of the world’s biggest lenders.

S&P made the same cut to Morgan Stanley and Bank of America’s Merrill Lynch unit today. JPMorgan Chase & Co. (JPM) was reduced one level to A from A+. S&P upgraded Bank of China Ltd. (3988) and China Construction Bank Corp. to A from A- and maintained the A rating on Industrial & Commercial Bank of China Ltd. (1398), giving all three lenders higher grades than most big U.S. banks.

It was a mixed day for the Canadian preferred share market, with PerpetualDiscounts gaining 21bp, FixedResets down 9bp and DeemedRetractibles off 9bp. Volatility was good, volume was average.

HIMIPref™ Preferred Indices
These values reflect the December 2008 revision of the HIMIPref™ Indices

Values are provisional and are finalized monthly
Index Mean
Current
Yield
(at bid)
Median
YTW
Median
Average
Trading
Value
Median
Mod Dur
(YTW)
Issues Day’s Perf. Index Value
Ratchet 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 -0.0977 % 2,102.3
FixedFloater 4.92 % 4.66 % 28,947 17.06 1 0.1036 % 3,134.0
Floater 3.42 % 3.44 % 149,340 18.60 2 -0.0977 % 2,269.9
OpRet 4.96 % 0.72 % 49,208 1.46 7 -0.1646 % 2,478.8
SplitShare 5.82 % 6.58 % 57,299 5.14 3 -0.4786 % 2,523.2
Interest-Bearing 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 -0.1646 % 2,266.6
Perpetual-Premium 5.57 % 2.51 % 99,834 0.11 13 0.1894 % 2,154.9
Perpetual-Discount 5.31 % 5.17 % 103,577 14.67 17 0.2082 % 2,296.5
FixedReset 5.11 % 3.02 % 214,104 2.46 64 -0.0941 % 2,338.8
Deemed-Retractible 5.06 % 4.44 % 196,609 3.85 46 -0.0900 % 2,214.6
Performance Highlights
Issue Index Change Notes
MFC.PR.B Deemed-Retractible -1.71 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 21.82
Bid-YTW : 6.37 %
CIU.PR.A Perpetual-Discount -1.47 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2041-11-29
Maturity Price : 23.66
Evaluated at bid price : 24.14
Bid-YTW : 4.76 %
GWO.PR.N FixedReset -1.42 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 23.67
Bid-YTW : 3.86 %
GWO.PR.M Deemed-Retractible -1.19 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.79
Bid-YTW : 5.55 %
MFC.PR.C Deemed-Retractible -1.17 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 21.10
Bid-YTW : 6.64 %
SLF.PR.E Deemed-Retractible -1.09 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 20.92
Bid-YTW : 6.72 %
SLF.PR.G FixedReset -1.05 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 23.45
Bid-YTW : 4.15 %
POW.PR.D Perpetual-Discount 1.19 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2041-11-29
Maturity Price : 24.19
Evaluated at bid price : 24.66
Bid-YTW : 5.11 %
GWO.PR.H Deemed-Retractible 1.23 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 23.87
Bid-YTW : 5.57 %
BAM.PR.M Perpetual-Discount 1.32 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2041-11-29
Maturity Price : 23.24
Evaluated at bid price : 23.71
Bid-YTW : 5.06 %
Volume Highlights
Issue Index Shares
Traded
Notes
ENB.PR.D FixedReset 303,480 Recent new issue.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2041-11-29
Maturity Price : 23.13
Evaluated at bid price : 25.10
Bid-YTW : 3.74 %
CM.PR.G Perpetual-Discount 79,262 Desjardins crossed 40,000 at 24.90.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2041-11-29
Maturity Price : 24.57
Evaluated at bid price : 24.90
Bid-YTW : 5.47 %
RY.PR.P FixedReset 58,501 RBC crossed 30,000 at 27.00; Scotia crossed 25,000 at the same price.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-02-24
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.90
Bid-YTW : 2.78 %
CM.PR.E Perpetual-Discount 43,057 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2041-11-29
Maturity Price : 24.70
Evaluated at bid price : 25.00
Bid-YTW : 5.65 %
CU.PR.C FixedReset 37,942 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2041-11-29
Maturity Price : 23.26
Evaluated at bid price : 25.40
Bid-YTW : 3.69 %
MFC.PR.C Deemed-Retractible 27,431 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 21.10
Bid-YTW : 6.64 %
There were 30 other index-included issues trading in excess of 10,000 shares.
Wide Spread Highlights
Issue Index Quote Data and Yield Notes
BAM.PR.R FixedReset Quote: 26.01 – 26.70
Spot Rate : 0.6900
Average : 0.4374

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2041-11-29
Maturity Price : 23.49
Evaluated at bid price : 26.01
Bid-YTW : 3.86 %

GWO.PR.G Deemed-Retractible Quote: 24.70 – 25.23
Spot Rate : 0.5300
Average : 0.3770

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 24.70
Bid-YTW : 5.50 %

RY.PR.H Deemed-Retractible Quote: 26.51 – 26.92
Spot Rate : 0.4100
Average : 0.2785

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2013-05-24
Maturity Price : 26.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.51
Bid-YTW : 4.12 %

CIU.PR.A Perpetual-Discount Quote: 24.14 – 24.60
Spot Rate : 0.4600
Average : 0.3405

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2041-11-29
Maturity Price : 23.66
Evaluated at bid price : 24.14
Bid-YTW : 4.76 %

BMO.PR.N FixedReset Quote: 27.01 – 27.43
Spot Rate : 0.4200
Average : 0.3084

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-02-25
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 27.01
Bid-YTW : 2.83 %

GWO.PR.N FixedReset Quote: 23.67 – 23.95
Spot Rate : 0.2800
Average : 0.1689

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 23.67
Bid-YTW : 3.86 %

Market Action

November 28, 2011

Europe is considering another step towards effective nationalization of the banking system:

Banks in states roiled by Europe’s sovereign-debt crisis may be partly shielded from extra costs when they seek government guarantees, according to two people familiar with the situation.

The European Commission will publish rules on state aid for lenders that may dilute the effect of turmoil in the euro area on the fees that banks have to pay for guarantees on their loans and bonds, said the people who couldn’t be identified because the discussions aren’t public. Under the plans, the formula for setting the fees would reduce the impact of soaring debt- insurance costs for the country giving the backstops, one of the people said.

“Renewed tensions” in financial markets are forcing European Union regulators to extend into 2012 special state aid rules for banks that have allowed governments to inject billions of euros into the industry, said EU Competition Commissioner Joaquin Almunia this month. He said he was planning to “clarify and update the rules on pricing and other conditions.”

I’m not saying that’s necessarily the wrong response – I’m just saying that if it is the right response then banks are just another arm of government.

BRF.PR.A was confirmed at Pfd-3(high) by DBRS:

DBRS has today assigned an Issuer Rating of BBB (high) with a Stable trend to Brookfield Renewable Energy Partners L.P. (BREP) and a rating of BBB (high) with a Stable trend to the Senior Unsecured Debentures and Notes (the Notes) of BRP Finance ULC (BRPF). DBRS has also confirmed the Pfd-3 (high) rating with a Stable trend of Class A Preference Shares, Series 1 (the Prefs) of Brookfield Renewable Power Preferred Equity Inc. (BRPP). The ratings of the Notes of BRPF and the Prefs of BRPP are based on guarantees of the parent company, BREP, and its operating subsidiaries. In addition, the rating on the Senior Unsecured Debentures and Notes of Brookfield Renewable Power Inc. (BRPI) and the Issuer Rating and Income Fund rating of Brookfield Renewable Power Fund (the Fund) have been discontinued. These actions resolve the Under Review with Developing Implications assigned to the ratings of BRPI and the Fund on September 13, 2011.

These rating actions follow the closing of the anticipated business combination (the Transaction) today in which in BREP acquired all of the units of the Fund and the equity interests in all of BRPI’s U.S., Brazilian and Canadian power assets not already owned by the Fund. The Transaction and the expected rating outcomes were described in more detail in the DBRS press release dated September 13, 2011.

It was a mixed, uneventful day for the Canadian preferred share market, with PerpetualDiscounts losing 8bp, FixedResets down 5bp and DeemedRetractibles gaining 4bp. Volatility was negligible; volume was average.

HIMIPref™ Preferred Indices
These values reflect the December 2008 revision of the HIMIPref™ Indices

Values are provisional and are finalized monthly
Index Mean
Current
Yield
(at bid)
Median
YTW
Median
Average
Trading
Value
Median
Mod Dur
(YTW)
Issues Day’s Perf. Index Value
Ratchet 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.0326 % 2,104.3
FixedFloater 4.92 % 4.66 % 28,713 17.05 1 -1.7812 % 3,130.8
Floater 3.42 % 3.44 % 151,838 18.60 2 0.0326 % 2,272.1
OpRet 4.95 % 0.72 % 49,744 1.46 7 0.1484 % 2,482.9
SplitShare 5.79 % 6.40 % 54,694 5.15 3 0.2257 % 2,535.3
Interest-Bearing 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.1484 % 2,270.3
Perpetual-Premium 5.59 % 3.12 % 97,593 0.41 13 0.1008 % 2,150.8
Perpetual-Discount 5.32 % 5.37 % 103,679 14.67 17 -0.0798 % 2,291.7
FixedReset 5.11 % 3.06 % 215,197 2.46 64 -0.0451 % 2,341.0
Deemed-Retractible 5.05 % 4.42 % 197,700 3.84 46 0.0384 % 2,216.6
Performance Highlights
Issue Index Change Notes
BAM.PR.X FixedReset -2.00 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2041-11-28
Maturity Price : 22.75
Evaluated at bid price : 24.01
Bid-YTW : 3.73 %
BAM.PR.G FixedFloater -1.78 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2041-11-28
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 19.30
Bid-YTW : 4.66 %
Volume Highlights
Issue Index Shares
Traded
Notes
ENB.PR.D FixedReset 422,680 Recent new issue.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2041-11-28
Maturity Price : 23.13
Evaluated at bid price : 25.10
Bid-YTW : 3.74 %
BAM.PR.Z FixedReset 140,977 Recent new issue.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2041-11-28
Maturity Price : 23.15
Evaluated at bid price : 25.15
Bid-YTW : 4.42 %
BAM.PR.H OpRet 42,231 TD crossed 40,000 at 25.35.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2011-12-28
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.35
Bid-YTW : 0.01 %
CM.PR.G Perpetual-Discount 41,173 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2041-11-28
Maturity Price : 24.57
Evaluated at bid price : 24.90
Bid-YTW : 5.47 %
CM.PR.E Perpetual-Discount 35,260 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2041-11-28
Maturity Price : 24.70
Evaluated at bid price : 24.99
Bid-YTW : 5.66 %
IAG.PR.E Deemed-Retractible 31,233 TD crossed blocks of 10,000 and 15,000, both at 26.05.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2018-12-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.00
Bid-YTW : 5.26 %
There were 31 other index-included issues trading in excess of 10,000 shares.
Wide Spread Highlights
Issue Index Quote Data and Yield Notes
HSB.PR.C Deemed-Retractible Quote: 24.98 – 25.73
Spot Rate : 0.7500
Average : 0.4794

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 24.98
Bid-YTW : 5.25 %

BMO.PR.O FixedReset Quote: 27.36 – 27.68
Spot Rate : 0.3200
Average : 0.1975

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-05-25
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 27.36
Bid-YTW : 2.59 %

BMO.PR.N FixedReset Quote: 27.15 – 27.44
Spot Rate : 0.2900
Average : 0.1861

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-02-25
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 27.15
Bid-YTW : 2.57 %

BAM.PR.X FixedReset Quote: 24.01 – 24.60
Spot Rate : 0.5900
Average : 0.4881

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2041-11-28
Maturity Price : 22.75
Evaluated at bid price : 24.01
Bid-YTW : 3.73 %

IAG.PR.C FixedReset Quote: 26.27 – 26.70
Spot Rate : 0.4300
Average : 0.3281

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2013-12-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.27
Bid-YTW : 3.41 %

GWO.PR.J FixedReset Quote: 26.45 – 26.74
Spot Rate : 0.2900
Average : 0.2085

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2013-12-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.45
Bid-YTW : 3.60 %

Market Action

November 25, 2011

In today’s cheerful European news, Italy got whacked at a bill auction:

Italy had to pay almost 7 percent to sell six-month bills at an auction today, fanning investor concern that the world’s fourth-biggest borrower may struggle to finance its debt. The euro fell to a seven-week low.

The Italian Treasury paid 6.504 percent to auction 8 billion euros ($10.6 billion) of the debt, almost twice the 3.535 percent a month ago and the highest since August 1997. Italy’s two-year bonds yielded a euro-era record 7.83 percent, almost 50 basis points more than 10-year notes.

The euro extended declines, shedding 0.9 percent to $1.3213, the lowest since Oct. 3. Italy’s FTSE MIB index was the biggest decliner among European benchmarks, shedding 1.3 percent at 3 p.m. in Rome. Banks tumbled with Banca Monte Paschi di Siena SpA (BMPS) dropping 3.9 percent.

S&P downgraded Belgium to AA:

Belgium’s credit rating was cut one step to AA by Standard & Poor’s, which said bank guarantees, lack of policy consensus and slowing growth will make it difficult to reduce the euro region’s fifth-highest debt load.

The rating was lowered from AA+, with a negative outlook, London-based S&P said yesterday in a statement. The action by S&P is the first downgrade for Belgium in almost 13 years and puts its credit ranking on a par with the S&P local-currency ratings of the Czech Republic, Kuwait and Chile.

Belgium’s borrowing costs have surged to the highest level in 11 years in the past two months after the nation’s government agreed to buy Dexia SA’s Belgian bank unit and guarantee part of the crisis-hit lender’s liabilities for 10 years. Investors continued a selloff in Belgian bonds after six-party coalition talks ran aground this week as Liberals and Socialists clashed over how to cut the budget deficit.

TransCanada Corporation and its subsidiary TransCanada Pipelines Ltd., issuers of TRP.PR.A, TRP.PR.B, TRP.PR.C, TCA.PR.X and TCA.PR.Y were confirmed at Pfd-2(low) by DBRS:

DBRS has confirmed the ratings of TransCanada PipeLines Limited (TCPL or the Company) as listed below. DBRS has also confirmed the rating of the Preferred Shares of TransCanada Corporation (TCC) at Pfd-2 (low). The rating of TCC, which owns 100% of TCPL and holds no other material assets, is based on the credit strength of TCPL.

The confirmation reflects the Company’s continued predictable cash flow from its regulated pipelines, which accounted for over 70% of consolidated EBITDA (for the first nine months (9M) of 2011). Pipeline EBITDA is supported by stable earnings that are mostly on a cost-of-service basis and/or contracted, and by incremental earnings contributed by newly constructed pipelines The remaining 30% of EBITDA is mostly contributed by power generation assets (60% in Canada and 40% in the United States). Although EBITDA from power generation is less predictable than the pipeline business, a sizable share of the power output is protected by long-term contracts with creditworthy parties.

Capex over the next two years (excluding the Keystone XL project) is likely to be much lower than the $3.6 billion level of the 12 months ending September 30, 2011. DBRS expects free cash flow to be relatively neutral until the significant capex on Keystone XL or another large project is well underway. As a result, debt levels are expected to remain stable or decrease slightly over the medium term. Combined with higher cash flow expected from newly completed pipeline projects, DBRS expects TCPL’s credit metrics to improve modestly and remain well within the current rating category.

EMA.PR.A was confirmed at Pfd-3(high) by DBRS:

DBRS has today confirmed the Medium-Term Notes and Preferred Shares – Cumulative ratings of Emera Inc. (Emera or the Company) at BBB (high) and Pfd-3 (high), respectively, with Stable trends, based on the strong earnings and cash flows generated by its regulated operations and on Emera’s, reasonable non-consolidated financial profile. The ratings also reflect increasing diversification through the ownership of regulated utilities in different jurisdictions, which reduces dependence on earnings and cash flows from any one entity and reduces volatility of earnings. However, Nova Scotia Power Inc. (NSPI) continues to account for the majority (approximately 70%) of Emera’s consolidated EBIT.

NSI.PR.D was confirmed at Pfd-2(low) by DBRS:

DBRS has today confirmed the ratings of the Unsecured Debentures & Medium-Term Notes, Commercial Paper and Cumulative Preferred Shares of Nova Scotia Power Inc. (NSPI or the Company) at A (low), R-1 (low) and Pfd-2 (low), respectively, all with Stable trends. The ratings reflect stable and predictable regulated cash flows generated by the Company’s regulated monopolistic operations, diverse customer base and a supportive regulatory environment.

INE.PR.A was confirmed at Pfd-3(low) by DBRS:

DBRS has today confirmed the Issuer Rating of BBB (low) and the Preferred Shares rating of Pfd-3 (low) of Innergex Renewable Energy Inc. (Innergex or the Company). Both ratings have Stable trends. The ratings reflect the strength of the Company’s high-quality, low-cost renewable power generating assets, operating under long-term off-take contracts with highly-rated counterparties, and its consistent execution in developing and constructing new generating assets.

Consolidated credit metrics are expected to remain weak for the rating category through the medium term, with EBITDA-to-interest in the 2.3 times (x) to 2.5x range and cash flow-to-debt in the 5% to 8% range. DBRS expects future modest improvement in coverage metrics as assets under construction are completed and enter service. Consolidated debt-to-capital, currently 63%, is expected to increase modestly over the next several years and peak in 2013 to 2014 until new construction assets begin to operate. Most of the consolidated debt (82%) is project-level debt and non-recourse to the Company.

Business risk factors are low for the rating category. Innergex’s competitive position, asset composition and contractual position are all strong for the BBB (low) rating. Asset diversification and operational expertise also support the investment-grade quality assessment. In addition, the focus on renewable assets minimizes exposure to environmental regulation and is positive for the rating. The Company’s low business risk profile mitigates weaker financial credit metrics. Renewable resources are variable, reducing energy production stability and related cash flows. However, this risk is mainly offset by the geographic diversity of the generating portfolio. Also, the Company has cash-funded reserves at the project level (typically six months of debt service) to smooth variability in cash flows from wind/hydrology resources.

HIMIPref™ Preferred Indices
These values reflect the December 2008 revision of the HIMIPref™ Indices

Values are provisional and are finalized monthly
Index Mean
Current
Yield
(at bid)
Median
YTW
Median
Average
Trading
Value
Median
Mod Dur
(YTW)
Issues Day’s Perf. Index Value
Ratchet 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 -1.2862 % 2,103.6
FixedFloater 4.83 % 4.55 % 28,554 17.19 1 -0.7576 % 3,187.5
Floater 3.42 % 3.44 % 153,962 18.60 2 -1.2862 % 2,271.4
OpRet 4.96 % 3.06 % 51,452 1.47 7 0.1376 % 2,479.2
SplitShare 5.80 % 6.48 % 56,945 5.16 3 0.1696 % 2,529.6
Interest-Bearing 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.1376 % 2,267.0
Perpetual-Premium 5.59 % 3.15 % 98,283 0.27 13 -0.0572 % 2,148.7
Perpetual-Discount 5.31 % 5.19 % 105,139 14.68 17 0.0775 % 2,293.5
FixedReset 5.11 % 3.02 % 217,792 2.47 64 -0.0718 % 2,342.0
Deemed-Retractible 5.05 % 4.40 % 199,515 3.85 46 -0.0262 % 2,215.7
Performance Highlights
Issue Index Change Notes
IAG.PR.F Deemed-Retractible -1.92 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2019-03-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.50
Bid-YTW : 5.51 %
BAM.PR.K Floater -1.67 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2041-11-25
Maturity Price : 15.29
Evaluated at bid price : 15.29
Bid-YTW : 3.47 %
RY.PR.R FixedReset -1.66 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-02-24
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.65
Bid-YTW : 3.22 %
CM.PR.P Deemed-Retractible -1.23 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2012-10-29
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.61
Bid-YTW : 3.23 %
TD.PR.P Deemed-Retractible -1.21 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-11-01
Maturity Price : 25.50
Evaluated at bid price : 26.13
Bid-YTW : 4.39 %
GWO.PR.N FixedReset -1.03 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 24.10
Bid-YTW : 3.59 %
Volume Highlights
Issue Index Shares
Traded
Notes
ENB.PR.D FixedReset 122,050 Recent new issue.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2041-11-25
Maturity Price : 23.13
Evaluated at bid price : 25.10
Bid-YTW : 3.67 %
TD.PR.K FixedReset 38,630 RBC crossed 30,000 at 27.44.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-07-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 27.42
Bid-YTW : 2.67 %
CM.PR.E Perpetual-Discount 32,581 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2041-11-25
Maturity Price : 24.70
Evaluated at bid price : 25.00
Bid-YTW : 5.65 %
CM.PR.G Perpetual-Discount 27,615 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2041-11-25
Maturity Price : 24.58
Evaluated at bid price : 24.91
Bid-YTW : 5.46 %
ENB.PR.B FixedReset 21,897 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2041-11-25
Maturity Price : 23.26
Evaluated at bid price : 25.41
Bid-YTW : 3.65 %
BNS.PR.Z FixedReset 21,893 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 24.96
Bid-YTW : 3.20 %
There were 21 other index-included issues trading in excess of 10,000 shares.
Wide Spread Highlights
Issue Index Quote Data and Yield Notes
RY.PR.R FixedReset Quote: 26.65 – 27.10
Spot Rate : 0.4500
Average : 0.2711

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-02-24
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.65
Bid-YTW : 3.22 %

CM.PR.P Deemed-Retractible Quote: 25.61 – 26.14
Spot Rate : 0.5300
Average : 0.3621

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2012-10-29
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.61
Bid-YTW : 3.23 %

BMO.PR.L Deemed-Retractible Quote: 26.93 – 27.20
Spot Rate : 0.2700
Average : 0.1760

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2013-05-25
Maturity Price : 26.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.93
Bid-YTW : 3.12 %

TD.PR.P Deemed-Retractible Quote: 26.13 – 26.39
Spot Rate : 0.2600
Average : 0.1717

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-11-01
Maturity Price : 25.50
Evaluated at bid price : 26.13
Bid-YTW : 4.39 %

BAM.PR.K Floater Quote: 15.29 – 15.52
Spot Rate : 0.2300
Average : 0.1658

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2041-11-25
Maturity Price : 15.29
Evaluated at bid price : 15.29
Bid-YTW : 3.47 %

POW.PR.A Perpetual-Discount Quote: 25.11 – 25.41
Spot Rate : 0.3000
Average : 0.2372

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2041-11-25
Maturity Price : 24.88
Evaluated at bid price : 25.11
Bid-YTW : 5.65 %

Market Action

November 24, 2011

Today’s cheerful credit news is about Japan:

Standard & Poor’s said Japanese Prime Minister Yoshihiko Noda’s administration hasn’t made progress in tackling the public debt burden, an indication it may be preparing to lower the nation’s sovereign grade.

“Japan’s finances are getting worse and worse every day, every second,” Takahira Ogawa, director of sovereign ratings at S&P in Singapore, said in an interview. Asked if that means he’s closer to cutting Japan, he said it “may be right in saying that we’re closer to a downgrade. But the deterioration has been gradual so far, and it’s not like we’re going to move today.”

Meanwhile, in Europe:

Stocks fell, Italian bonds declined and the cost of insuring European government debt against default rose to a record after German Chancellor Angela Merkel ruled out joint euro-area borrowing.

The yield on Italy’s 10-year bond climbed 14 basis points to 7.11 percent, while similar-maturity French debt yields rose three basis points to 3.72 percent.

Portugal’s bonds fell, with 10-year note yields climbing 90 basis points to 12.21 percent after Fitch Ratings cut the nation’s credit grade one step to BB+, the highest junk status.

Germany’s 10-year bond yield rose as much as 12 basis points to 2.26 percent before trading five basis points higher at 2.20 percent. Two-year note yields increased three basis points to 0.47 percent.

The Royal Canadian Mint’s gold receipt IPO appears to be going very well:

The Royal Canadian Mint raised C$600 million ($573 million) in an initial public offering of securities tied to its gold reserves, more than double its IPO target, according to two people familiar with the sale.

The mint initially sought to raise C$250 million from selling units in Canadian or U.S. dollars at C$20 or $19.29 each, the Ottawa-based firm said. Strong demand from institutional and individual investors drove up the size of the sale, said the people, who declined to be named because terms aren’t public.

Each exchange-traded receipt represents ownership in physical gold bullion held in custody of the Royal Canadian Mint. Proceeds from the sale will be used to buy gold, and the buyers of the receipts will own the metal rather than a stake in the mint, according to an Oct. 28 statement.

Huxley said “History is bunk.” Moody’s says Hungary is junk:

Hungary lost its investment-grade rating at Moody’s Investors Service after 15 years as the Cabinet seeks International Monetary Fund help to boost confidence in the European Union’s most-indebted eastern member.

The foreign- and local-currency bond ratings were cut one step to Ba1, the highest junk-level score, from Baa3, the company said today in a statement. Moody’s, which awarded Hungary its investment grade in 1996, assigned a negative outlook. The country is rated the lowest investment grade at Standard & Poor’s and Fitch Ratings.

The government has scrapped two debt sales and reduced the size of another eight auctions in the last three months as the euro region’s debt crisis deepened. Prime Minister Viktor Orban’s Cabinet on Nov. 17 asked for IMF “insurance” that doesn’t entail a loan and doesn’t impose conditions.

It was a rough day for the Canadian preferred share market, with PerpetualDiscounts losing 24bp, FixedResets down 13bp and DeemedRetractibles off 8bp. Not much volatility. Volume was very light – not unexpectedly, what with the US turkeys.

HIMIPref™ Preferred Indices
These values reflect the December 2008 revision of the HIMIPref™ Indices

Values are provisional and are finalized monthly
Index Mean
Current
Yield
(at bid)
Median
YTW
Median
Average
Trading
Value
Median
Mod Dur
(YTW)
Issues Day’s Perf. Index Value
Ratchet 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 -0.0964 % 2,131.1
FixedFloater 4.80 % 4.51 % 28,451 17.25 1 2.3785 % 3,211.9
Floater 3.38 % 3.41 % 66,017 18.68 2 -0.0964 % 2,301.0
OpRet 4.97 % 1.66 % 51,439 1.47 7 -0.0275 % 2,475.8
SplitShare 5.81 % 6.58 % 59,294 5.16 3 -0.2115 % 2,525.3
Interest-Bearing 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 -0.0275 % 2,263.9
Perpetual-Premium 5.59 % 2.84 % 102,058 0.43 13 -0.1562 % 2,149.9
Perpetual-Discount 5.32 % 5.19 % 101,069 14.68 17 -0.2366 % 2,291.7
FixedReset 5.10 % 3.04 % 218,480 2.48 64 -0.1273 % 2,343.7
Deemed-Retractible 5.05 % 4.39 % 202,643 3.86 46 -0.0777 % 2,216.3
Performance Highlights
Issue Index Change Notes
PWF.PR.E Perpetual-Discount -1.15 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2041-11-24
Maturity Price : 23.85
Evaluated at bid price : 25.01
Bid-YTW : 5.50 %
POW.PR.B Perpetual-Discount -1.08 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2041-11-24
Maturity Price : 24.53
Evaluated at bid price : 24.78
Bid-YTW : 5.46 %
BAM.PR.G FixedFloater 2.38 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2041-11-24
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 19.80
Bid-YTW : 4.51 %
Volume Highlights
Issue Index Shares
Traded
Notes
ENB.PR.D FixedReset 91,050 Recent new issue.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2041-11-24
Maturity Price : 23.13
Evaluated at bid price : 25.10
Bid-YTW : 3.67 %
SLF.PR.H FixedReset 66,200 TD crossed 46,400 at 23.30.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 23.30
Bid-YTW : 4.54 %
CIU.PR.B FixedReset 51,600 Nesbitt crossed 50,000 at 27.45.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-06-01
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 27.09
Bid-YTW : 3.20 %
RY.PR.E Deemed-Retractible 46,681 TD crossed 34,100 at 25.00.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2016-02-24
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.01
Bid-YTW : 4.51 %
CM.PR.G Perpetual-Discount 45,402 Desjardins crossed 25,000 at 24.91.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2041-11-24
Maturity Price : 24.57
Evaluated at bid price : 24.90
Bid-YTW : 5.46 %
BNS.PR.Z FixedReset 36,021 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 24.96
Bid-YTW : 3.20 %
There were 16 other index-included issues trading in excess of 10,000 shares.
Wide Spread Highlights
Issue Index Quote Data and Yield Notes
HSB.PR.E FixedReset Quote: 27.06 – 27.50
Spot Rate : 0.4400
Average : 0.2850

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-06-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 27.06
Bid-YTW : 3.69 %

PWF.PR.E Perpetual-Discount Quote: 25.01 – 25.50
Spot Rate : 0.4900
Average : 0.3533

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2041-11-24
Maturity Price : 23.85
Evaluated at bid price : 25.01
Bid-YTW : 5.50 %

GWO.PR.M Deemed-Retractible Quote: 26.10 – 26.60
Spot Rate : 0.5000
Average : 0.3992

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.10
Bid-YTW : 5.38 %

CIU.PR.B FixedReset Quote: 27.09 – 27.55
Spot Rate : 0.4600
Average : 0.3620

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-06-01
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 27.09
Bid-YTW : 3.20 %

IAG.PR.A Deemed-Retractible Quote: 22.65 – 23.00
Spot Rate : 0.3500
Average : 0.2610

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 22.65
Bid-YTW : 5.81 %

BAM.PR.O OpRet Quote: 25.76 – 26.10
Spot Rate : 0.3400
Average : 0.2513

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Option Certainty
Maturity Date : 2013-06-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.76
Bid-YTW : 3.54 %

Market Action

November 23, 2011

Remember Iceland? The first domino? It’s through the worst of it, according to S&P:

Iceland had its credit rating outlook revised to stable from negative by Standard & Poor’s Ratings Services, which cited economic growth in the country after two years of “severe contraction.”

“Significant headway has been made in restructuring the private-sector balance sheet and we expect the process to be mostly completed by mid-2012,” S&P said. The BBB-/A-3 sovereign ratings were affirmed.

But other dominoes are toppling:

Germany failed to get bids for 35 percent of the 10-year bonds offered for sale today, propelling borrowing costs in Europe higher and the euro lower on concern the region’s debt crisis is driving away investors.

The yield on Germany’s 2.25 percent securities maturing in September 2021 climbed 15 basis points to 2.06 percent at 4:46 p.m. London time.

Belgian 10-year yields surged 41 basis points to 5.48 percent, after reaching 5.53 percent, the highest since November 2000. French 10-year bond yields climbed 16 basis points to 3.69 percent. The yield on Greek two-year notes jumped to more than 120 percent for the first time, before slipping back to 116.59 percent.

Total bids at the auction of securities due in January 2022 amounted to 3.889 billion euros, out of a maximum target for the sale of 6 billion euros, according to Bundesbank data.

Six of the last eight bond sales by Germany have been “technically uncovered,” with fewer bids than the maximum amount on offer, Norbert Aul, a rates strategist at RBC Capital Markets in London, said in an e-mailed note.

Under the German auction system, the central bank retains securities at sales for the secondary market. In today’s offering, the debt agency allotted 3.644 billion euros of the securities, leaving the Bundesbank to retain 2.356 billion euros, or 39 percent of the supply. That’s the highest proportion of unsold debt at a 10-year sale since 1995, according to Bloomberg data. The securities were sold at an average yield of 1.98 percent. In the secondary market, the rate rose to 2.13 percent.

DBRS confirmed Westcoast at Pfd-2(low):

DBRS has today confirmed the Unsecured Debentures, First Preferred Shares and Commercial Paper ratings of Westcoast Energy Inc. (Westcoast or the Company) at A (low), Pfd-2 (low) and R-1 (low), respectively, all with Stable trends.

On a consolidated basis (excluding the intercompany transaction), the Company’s external debt-to-capital ratio (52% at September 30, 2011; 54% at year-end 2008) and cash flow-to-external debt (19% for both the 12 months ending September 30, 2011, and in 2008) were relatively unchanged, while external fixed charges coverage (2.8 times, up from 2.5 times) improved marginally, partly due to contributions from expansions placed in service as noted above.

On a non-consolidated basis, Westcoast’s direct ownership of BCPFS fully supports its ability to meet its direct debt obligations. Its credit metrics are enhanced by cash dividends from several sources, the largest of which is Union Gas, which generate approximately 50% of the Company’s non-consolidated cash flow. Excluding the intercompany transaction, Westcoast’s non-consolidated external debt-to-capital ratio increased to 36% in 2010 from 32% in 2008, while cash flow-to-external debt (25%, up from 16%) and external fixed charges coverage (3.2 times, up from 2.2 times) improved significantly, mainly as a result of contributions from expansions noted above.

TMX DataLinx has collywobbles yet again, so this report is being prepared with Yahoo! data.

It was a rough day for the Canadian preferred share market, with PerpetualDiscounts down 9bp, FixedResets off 12bp and DeemedRetractibles losing 14bp. All five entries in the Performance Highlights table were losers. Volume was average.

PerpetualDiscounts now yield 5.15% (this figure is somewhat distorted by the fact that five of the seventeen issues are actually at a premium now and another two are bang-on par; the index is only rebalanced monthly), equivalent to 6.70% interest at the standard equivalency factor of 1.3x. Long Corporates are now at about 4.75%, so the pre-tax interest-equivalent spread is now about 195bp, tightening a bit (perhaps spuriously) from the 205bp reported November 16.

HIMIPref™ Preferred Indices
These values reflect the December 2008 revision of the HIMIPref™ Indices

Values are provisional and are finalized monthly
Index Mean
Current
Yield
(at bid)
Median
YTW
Median
Average
Trading
Value
Median
Mod Dur
(YTW)
Issues Day’s Perf. Index Value
Ratchet 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 -0.4795 % 2,133.1
FixedFloater 4.91 % 4.65 % 29,609 17.08 1 0.2592 % 3,137.2
Floater 3.37 % 3.39 % 155,972 18.71 2 -0.4795 % 2,303.2
OpRet 4.97 % 2.45 % 52,068 1.48 7 0.0220 % 2,476.5
SplitShare 5.80 % 6.42 % 57,570 5.17 3 0.0988 % 2,530.7
Interest-Bearing 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.0220 % 2,264.5
Perpetual-Premium 5.58 % 0.85 % 103,037 0.13 13 -0.2247 % 2,153.3
Perpetual-Discount 5.31 % 5.15 % 100,427 14.78 17 -0.0917 % 2,297.2
FixedReset 5.10 % 2.97 % 222,055 2.48 64 -0.1184 % 2,346.7
Deemed-Retractible 5.05 % 4.44 % 201,901 3.86 46 -0.1418 % 2,218.0
Performance Highlights
Issue Index Change Notes
SLF.PR.H FixedReset -1.59 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 23.50
Bid-YTW : 4.43 %
ELF.PR.F Perpetual-Discount -1.21 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2041-11-23
Maturity Price : 22.62
Evaluated at bid price : 22.90
Bid-YTW : 5.85 %
TCA.PR.X Perpetual-Premium -1.17 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2013-10-15
Maturity Price : 50.00
Evaluated at bid price : 52.30
Bid-YTW : 3.29 %
CIU.PR.A Perpetual-Discount -1.02 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2041-11-23
Maturity Price : 23.86
Evaluated at bid price : 24.35
Bid-YTW : 4.71 %
GWO.PR.L Deemed-Retractible -1.01 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.55
Bid-YTW : 5.51 %
Volume Highlights
Issue Index Shares
Traded
Notes
ENB.PR.D FixedReset 1,353,175 New issue settled today.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2041-11-23
Maturity Price : 23.13
Evaluated at bid price : 25.10
Bid-YTW : 3.67 %
CM.PR.G Perpetual-Discount 117,120 RBC crossed 50,000 at 24.94; Scotia crossed 30,000 at the same price.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2041-11-23
Maturity Price : 24.57
Evaluated at bid price : 24.90
Bid-YTW : 5.46 %
SLF.PR.F FixedReset 101,400 RBC crossed 100,000 at 26.07.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-06-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.05
Bid-YTW : 4.06 %
ENB.PR.B FixedReset 59,560 Nesbitt crossed 25,000 at 25.45.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2041-11-23
Maturity Price : 23.26
Evaluated at bid price : 25.42
Bid-YTW : 3.65 %
CM.PR.D Perpetual-Premium 42,067 Scotia crossed 30,000 at 25.40.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2012-04-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.36
Bid-YTW : 3.20 %
RY.PR.L FixedReset 41,588 Nesbitt crossed 40,000 at 25.51.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-02-24
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.46
Bid-YTW : 2.92 %
There were 33 other index-included issues trading in excess of 10,000 shares.
Wide Spread Highlights
Issue Index Quote Data and Yield Notes
GWO.PR.M Deemed-Retractible Quote: 26.00 – 26.44
Spot Rate : 0.4400
Average : 0.2887

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.00
Bid-YTW : 5.43 %

BAM.PR.G FixedFloater Quote: 19.34 – 20.12
Spot Rate : 0.7800
Average : 0.6480

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2041-11-23
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 19.34
Bid-YTW : 4.65 %

CIU.PR.A Perpetual-Discount Quote: 24.35 – 24.84
Spot Rate : 0.4900
Average : 0.3595

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2041-11-23
Maturity Price : 23.86
Evaluated at bid price : 24.35
Bid-YTW : 4.71 %

HSB.PR.C Deemed-Retractible Quote: 25.20 – 25.75
Spot Rate : 0.5500
Average : 0.4263

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-06-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.20
Bid-YTW : 5.12 %

TCA.PR.X Perpetual-Premium Quote: 52.30 – 52.60
Spot Rate : 0.3000
Average : 0.2185

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2013-10-15
Maturity Price : 50.00
Evaluated at bid price : 52.30
Bid-YTW : 3.29 %

PWF.PR.L Perpetual-Discount Quote: 24.65 – 24.99
Spot Rate : 0.3400
Average : 0.2609

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2041-11-23
Maturity Price : 24.19
Evaluated at bid price : 24.65
Bid-YTW : 5.20 %

Market Action

November 22, 2011

The SEC’s campaign to create a society of paid informers is proving remarkably successful:

Bounty-hunting corporate tipsters are filing reports of potential wrongdoing with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission at a rate of about seven per day, according to the first progress report from the agency’s new whistle-blower program.

The public snapshot released last week counted 334 tips in the first 50 days after the program — revamped under the Dodd- Frank Act — became fully operational on Aug. 12.

The program gives whistle-blowers a share of proceeds if their tips lead to more than $1 million in penalties. So far, the top three categories of tips are those alleging market manipulation, problems with public disclosure or fraud in offerings.

I hope they’re managing it all right. I’m sure there’s still lots of ex-officers around from the East German STASI – perhaps they can be recruited as case managers.

The Fed’s stress test is … stressful:

The Federal Reserve told the 31 largest U.S. banks to test their loan portfolios and trading books against a deep recession and a European market shock to ensure they have enough capital to withstand losses.

The most severe test scenarios outlined by the Fed today include an unemployment rate of as much as 13 percent, an 8 percent drop in gross domestic product and a 21 percent plunge in home prices.

The Fed will also publish the results of the tests for the 19 largest bank holding companies. Six institutions with large trading operations will have to estimate potential losses from a hypothetical “global market shock,” the Fed said. That shock will be based on market price movements seen during the second half of 2008, it said, and include a scenario involving “sharp market price movements in European sovereign and financial sectors.”

The Fed said it would publish the results of the market shock scenario of the six institutions: Bank of America Corp., Citigroup Inc., Goldman Sachs Group, Inc., JPMorgan Chase & Co., Morgan Stanley and Wells Fargo & Company.

The Fed said it would approve dividend increases and other capital distributions “only for companies whose capital plans are approved by supervisors and are able to demonstrate sufficient financial strength to operate as successful financial intermediaries under stressed macroeconomic and financial market scenarios.”

It was a mild day for the Canadian preferred share market, with PerpetualDiscounts up 2bp, FixedResets gaining 2bp and DeemedRetractibles winning 4bp. The Performance Highlights table was very short, with only three entries. Volume was average.

HIMIPref™ Preferred Indices
These values reflect the December 2008 revision of the HIMIPref™ Indices

Values are provisional and are finalized monthly
Index Mean
Current
Yield
(at bid)
Median
YTW
Median
Average
Trading
Value
Median
Mod Dur
(YTW)
Issues Day’s Perf. Index Value
Ratchet 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.9032 % 2,143.4
FixedFloater 4.92 % 4.66 % 29,980 17.07 1 0.2078 % 3,129.1
Floater 3.36 % 3.37 % 155,697 18.76 2 0.9032 % 2,314.3
OpRet 4.97 % 2.74 % 51,772 1.48 7 0.0330 % 2,475.9
SplitShare 5.81 % 6.47 % 58,198 5.17 3 -0.0141 % 2,528.2
Interest-Bearing 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.0330 % 2,264.0
Perpetual-Premium 5.57 % -0.80 % 101,968 0.12 13 0.1110 % 2,158.1
Perpetual-Discount 5.30 % 5.18 % 101,128 14.76 17 0.0169 % 2,299.3
FixedReset 5.10 % 2.87 % 224,828 2.48 63 0.0218 % 2,349.5
Deemed-Retractible 5.04 % 4.40 % 204,779 3.87 46 0.0401 % 2,221.2
Performance Highlights
Issue Index Change Notes
SLF.PR.G FixedReset -1.14 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 24.22
Bid-YTW : 3.70 %
POW.PR.D Perpetual-Discount -1.05 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2041-11-22
Maturity Price : 23.99
Evaluated at bid price : 24.45
Bid-YTW : 5.15 %
BAM.PR.I OpRet 1.23 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2011-12-22
Maturity Price : 25.25
Evaluated at bid price : 25.58
Bid-YTW : -0.84 %
Volume Highlights
Issue Index Shares
Traded
Notes
MFC.PR.A OpRet 114,737 Anonymous crossed 21,400 at 25.15. Nesbitt crossed 80,000 at the same price.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Soft Maturity
Maturity Date : 2015-12-18
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.16
Bid-YTW : 3.87 %
BNS.PR.Y FixedReset 109,491 Scotia crossed 20,000 at 25.20; Nesbitt crossed 80,000 at the same price.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.17
Bid-YTW : 2.86 %
SLF.PR.I FixedReset 103,025 Recent new issue.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-12-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 24.55
Bid-YTW : 4.42 %
RY.PR.X FixedReset 93,549 Nesbitt sold 31,000 to anonymous at 27.41, then crossed 60,000 at the same price.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-08-24
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 27.34
Bid-YTW : 2.71 %
BAM.PR.Z FixedReset 73,950 Recent new issue.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2041-11-22
Maturity Price : 23.14
Evaluated at bid price : 25.11
Bid-YTW : 4.36 %
TRP.PR.B FixedReset 69,202 Desjardins bought 15,300 from Nesbitt at 25.32, then crossed 30,000 at the same price.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2041-11-22
Maturity Price : 23.40
Evaluated at bid price : 25.33
Bid-YTW : 2.69 %
There were 33 other index-included issues trading in excess of 10,000 shares.
Wide Spread Highlights
Issue Index Quote Data and Yield Notes
NA.PR.N FixedReset Quote: 26.10 – 26.50
Spot Rate : 0.4000
Average : 0.3012

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2013-08-15
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.10
Bid-YTW : 2.84 %

BAM.PR.M Perpetual-Discount Quote: 23.20 – 23.59
Spot Rate : 0.3900
Average : 0.2929

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2041-11-22
Maturity Price : 22.79
Evaluated at bid price : 23.20
Bid-YTW : 5.18 %

POW.PR.D Perpetual-Discount Quote: 24.45 – 24.85
Spot Rate : 0.4000
Average : 0.3037

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2041-11-22
Maturity Price : 23.99
Evaluated at bid price : 24.45
Bid-YTW : 5.15 %

CIU.PR.A Perpetual-Discount Quote: 24.60 – 24.90
Spot Rate : 0.3000
Average : 0.2164

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2041-11-22
Maturity Price : 24.10
Evaluated at bid price : 24.60
Bid-YTW : 4.66 %

BAM.PR.G FixedFloater Quote: 19.29 – 19.85
Spot Rate : 0.5600
Average : 0.5033

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2041-11-22
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 19.29
Bid-YTW : 4.66 %

BNA.PR.E SplitShare Quote: 23.00 – 23.25
Spot Rate : 0.2500
Average : 0.1952

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2017-12-10
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 23.00
Bid-YTW : 6.47 %

Market Action

November 21, 2011

More evidence that the EU should be insisting on a Greek referendum, not forbidding one:

The world’s leading financiers are betting they can prevent bankruptcy in Greece with a bailout deal that will force strict austerity on its citizens, but that plan does not account for stubborn people like Olga Katimertzis.

The 58-year-old has served as a deputy mayor in the Athens suburb of Nea Ionia for more than three decades, and she embodies the way this country has started to fight itself. Wearing an old leather jacket in her chilly office, and chain-smoking cigarettes, she proudly describes how her municipality is offering free legal advice to anybody who refuses to pay new taxes imposed by the central government. Her offices are even organizing human barricades to prevent the electrical utility from disconnecting people who fall behind on their bills.

The MF Global receivership is heating up a little:

MF Global Inc.’s shortfall in U.S. segregated customer accounts may exceed $1.2 billion, more than double what was previously expected, said the trustee overseeing a liquidation of the failed brokerage run by former New Jersey Governor Jon Corzine.

That would mean customer accounts are missing about 22 percent of their total of $5.4 billion. A shortfall of 11 percent had been previously estimated by a person with knowledge of probes into the firm’s collapse. James Giddens, the trustee, said today that forensic accountants and investigators are working “around the clock,” and the estimate may change.

The CFTC and the Securities and Exchange Commission are also investigating cash movements at the firm before the bankruptcy filing. Regulators haven’t located the money.

The estimated amount of the shortfall has fluctuated. Examiners from CME Group Inc., the world’s largest futures exchange, found unexplained wire transfers at MF Global Inc. and a $900 million shortfall in client funds during the weekend the failing broker was talking with possible buyers, a person briefed on the matter said.

I’m still having a hard time taking this seriously. The first thing a liquidator does after being appointed by regulators is vilify ex-management – this not only makes him a hero when he announces he’s got all the money, but keeps him on good terms with the regulator who appointed him, so he’ll be in line for the next appointment as well. I note that the phrases “unexplained wire transfers” and “$900 million shortfall” are indeed in the same sentence in the quoted report, but are not directly connected. Ah, well, we will see!

The US is still not serious about deficit reduction:

A special debt-reduction committee in the U.S. Congress failed to reach agreement, extending partisan gridlock into the 2012 election year and setting the stage for $1.2 trillion in automatic spending cuts.

President Barack Obama blamed Republicans, saying in remarks at the White House they “refused to listen to the voices of reason and compromise.” The president said he would veto any move to avoid the automatic spending cuts that are supposed to start in 2013 as a result of panel’s failure.

Committee co-chairmen Representative Jeb Hensarling of Texas, a Republican, and Senator Patty Murray of Washington, a Democrat, said in an e-mailed statement that “after months of hard work and intense deliberations, we have come to the conclusion today that it will not be possible to make any bipartisan agreement available to the public before the committee’s deadline.”

As we’ve seen in Europe (and as we saw in Canada in 1994) nobody takes deficit reduction seriously until the market starts giving them major problems.

The Star had a good article on milkfare on Sunday, with a link to a restaurant industry website advocating reform, which contained a further link to a Facebook page advocating reform. The comments on the page are dominated by milkfare recipients and their fellow travellers – which only makes sense, considering that the benefits to the few are charged to the many – but I’m engaged in an interesting debate on one of the posts, anyway. Eventually, I hope, all participants on that thread will agree to the rough equation:

Canadian Milk Price = Free Market Price + Cost of Quota + Unearned Rents

… which, since they will insist that Unearned Rents = 0, will resolve to

Canadian Milk Price = Free Market Price + Cost of Quota

at which point maybe we can start getting somewhere. Milkfare was an appalling policy blunder which has only gotten worse since inception: it’s time for the politicians to ‘fess up to the fact that it ain’t working and move to a free market with compensation to farmers for loss of quota value.

Spread the word! What is really needed is a non-partisan campaign during the next election, urging all voters to ask the candidates what they will do to end milkfare. If Ontario gets eightteen more urban seats in the coming redistribution, that can only help the effort!

Wow, man … Cooler-ado is a happenin’ place, you know?:

There are currently 16 states that allow some form of legalized medical marijuana, Bloomberg Businessweek reports in its Nov. 21 edition. Only Colorado allows marijuana businesses to operate as such. It’s the first, and for the moment, only, for-profit marijuana marketplace in the U.S.

Predictably, Colorado is in the midst of a marijuana boom. From 2000, when Colorado voters legalized marijuana for medicinal purposes with Amendment 20, to 2008, Colorado issued roughly 2,000 medical marijuana cards to patients living in the state. By 2011 that number had jumped to over 127,000 paying customers, according to the Colorado Medical Marijuana Registry, and at least 25,000 more have applications pending.

Assiduous Reader BG sends me an interesting article titled Will WiFi Kill Us All, which discusses the long-term health risks associated with heavy exposure to cell ‘phones and WiFi electromagnetic radiation. I don’t buy it myself – I think the author has just experienced a placebo effect – but who knows? Something is behind the explosion in autism, peanut allergies, senile dementia (which may just be because we’re living longer, I don’t know) and alien abductions, but we don’t know what. I subscribe to the “soup theory” myself – simply that we now live in an environment where there’s lots of interesting chemicals and influences which have never existed before. A one-in-a-million chance is pretty minor, but if you take a million of ’em, you’re likely to get burnt.

DBRS confirmed TDS.PR.C at Pfd-2(low).

Today’s report is being made with Yahoo! prices because TMX DataLinx has colly-wobbles again.

It was a down day for the Canadian preferred share market, with PerpetualDiscounts down 1bp, FixedResets off 9bp and DeemedRetractibles losing 12bp. All entries on the Performance Highlights table were losers. Volume was light.

HIMIPref™ Preferred Indices
These values reflect the December 2008 revision of the HIMIPref™ Indices

Values are provisional and are finalized monthly
Index Mean
Current
Yield
(at bid)
Median
YTW
Median
Average
Trading
Value
Median
Mod Dur
(YTW)
Issues Day’s Perf. Index Value
Ratchet 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 -0.3215 % 2,124.2
FixedFloater 4.94 % 4.67 % 29,925 17.05 1 -2.5316 % 3,122.6
Floater 3.39 % 3.41 % 155,025 18.69 2 -0.3215 % 2,293.6
OpRet 4.97 % 3.54 % 51,412 1.48 7 -0.5801 % 2,475.1
SplitShare 5.80 % 6.42 % 57,363 5.17 3 -0.3376 % 2,528.5
Interest-Bearing 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 -0.5801 % 2,263.2
Perpetual-Premium 5.57 % 0.45 % 101,347 0.13 13 -0.0854 % 2,155.7
Perpetual-Discount 5.30 % 5.30 % 102,115 14.76 17 -0.0072 % 2,298.9
FixedReset 5.10 % 2.96 % 225,125 2.48 63 -0.0929 % 2,349.0
Deemed-Retractible 5.04 % 4.37 % 207,206 3.87 46 -0.1230 % 2,220.3
Performance Highlights
Issue Index Change Notes
BAM.PR.G FixedFloater -2.53 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2041-11-21
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 19.25
Bid-YTW : 4.67 %
BAM.PR.I OpRet -1.52 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2012-06-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.27
Bid-YTW : 5.04 %
GWO.PR.M Deemed-Retractible -1.18 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.00
Bid-YTW : 5.43 %
HSB.PR.C Deemed-Retractible -1.10 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.27
Bid-YTW : 5.09 %
PWF.PR.L Perpetual-Discount -1.04 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2041-11-21
Maturity Price : 24.21
Evaluated at bid price : 24.67
Bid-YTW : 5.19 %
BAM.PR.O OpRet -1.03 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Option Certainty
Maturity Date : 2013-06-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.82
Bid-YTW : 3.37 %
CU.PR.C FixedReset -1.02 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2041-11-21
Maturity Price : 23.24
Evaluated at bid price : 25.34
Bid-YTW : 3.63 %
Volume Highlights
Issue Index Shares
Traded
Notes
BNS.PR.R FixedReset 46,926 Nesbitt crossed 43,000 at 26.15.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-01-26
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.05
Bid-YTW : 3.14 %
SLF.PR.I FixedReset 39,650 Recent new issue.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-12-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 24.50
Bid-YTW : 4.44 %
TD.PR.G FixedReset 35,875 RBC crossed 23,000 at 27.25.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-04-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 27.24
Bid-YTW : 2.59 %
BNS.PR.P FixedReset 35,609 Desjardins crossed 10,000 at 25.79; TD crossed 10,000 at 25.75.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2013-04-25
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.74
Bid-YTW : 3.07 %
RY.PR.B Deemed-Retractible 32,561 TD crossed 25,000 at 25.40.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2015-08-24
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.35
Bid-YTW : 4.31 %
TD.PR.K FixedReset 29,275 Nesbitt crossed 25,000 at 27.49.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-07-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 27.43
Bid-YTW : 2.64 %
There were 26 other index-included issues trading in excess of 10,000 shares.
Wide Spread Highlights
Issue Index Quote Data and Yield Notes
PWF.PR.E Perpetual-Discount Quote: 25.22 – 25.85
Spot Rate : 0.6300
Average : 0.3988

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2013-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.22
Bid-YTW : 5.02 %

SLF.PR.H FixedReset Quote: 23.90 – 24.40
Spot Rate : 0.5000
Average : 0.2913

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 23.90
Bid-YTW : 4.22 %

CM.PR.K FixedReset Quote: 26.70 – 27.20
Spot Rate : 0.5000
Average : 0.3124

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-07-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.70
Bid-YTW : 2.85 %

TCA.PR.Y Perpetual-Premium Quote: 52.64 – 53.28
Spot Rate : 0.6400
Average : 0.4776

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-03-05
Maturity Price : 50.00
Evaluated at bid price : 52.64
Bid-YTW : 3.34 %

IAG.PR.F Deemed-Retractible Quote: 25.86 – 26.40
Spot Rate : 0.5400
Average : 0.3857

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.86
Bid-YTW : 5.60 %

BAM.PR.I OpRet Quote: 25.27 – 25.75
Spot Rate : 0.4800
Average : 0.3392

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2012-06-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.27
Bid-YTW : 5.04 %

Market Action

November 18, 2011

There has been an interesting paper published by John (Xuefeng) Jiang, Mary Harris Stanford and Yuan Xie titled Does it Matter Who Pays for Bond Ratings? Historical Evidence:

We test whether Standard and Poor’s (S&P) assigns higher bond ratings after it switches from investor-pay to issuer-pay fees in 1974. Using Moody’s rating for the same bond as a benchmark, we find that when S&P charges investors and Moody’s charges issuers, S&P’s ratings are lower than Moody’s. Once S&P adopts issuer-pay, its ratings increase and no longer differ from Moody’s. More importantly, S&P only assigns higher ratings for bonds that are subject to greater conflicts of interest, measured by higher expected rating fees or lower credit quality. These findings suggest that the issuer-pay model leads to higher ratings.

It was a mildly good day for the Canadian preferred share market, with PerpetualDiscounts up 2bp, FixedResets gaining 4bp and DeemedRetractibles winning 10bp. There were only four entries on the Performance Highlights table, but they were all winners. Volume was extremely low.

HIMIPref™ Preferred Indices
These values reflect the December 2008 revision of the HIMIPref™ Indices

Values are provisional and are finalized monthly
Index Mean
Current
Yield
(at bid)
Median
YTW
Median
Average
Trading
Value
Median
Mod Dur
(YTW)
Issues Day’s Perf. Index Value
Ratchet 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 -0.0643 % 2,131.1
FixedFloater 4.81 % 4.52 % 28,695 17.25 1 0.0000 % 3,203.7
Floater 3.38 % 3.39 % 156,508 18.72 2 -0.0643 % 2,301.0
OpRet 4.94 % 1.98 % 51,820 1.49 7 0.0493 % 2,489.5
SplitShare 5.78 % 6.33 % 55,707 5.18 3 0.6955 % 2,537.1
Interest-Bearing 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.0493 % 2,276.4
Perpetual-Premium 5.57 % -0.61 % 102,124 0.13 13 0.0225 % 2,157.6
Perpetual-Discount 5.30 % 5.31 % 101,968 14.77 17 0.0169 % 2,299.1
FixedReset 5.10 % 2.96 % 225,466 2.49 63 0.0375 % 2,351.1
Deemed-Retractible 5.03 % 4.40 % 206,159 3.65 46 0.1035 % 2,223.0
Performance Highlights
Issue Index Change Notes
ELF.PR.F Perpetual-Discount 1.05 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2041-11-18
Maturity Price : 22.80
Evaluated at bid price : 23.09
Bid-YTW : 5.80 %
HSB.PR.C Deemed-Retractible 1.11 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2013-06-30
Maturity Price : 25.25
Evaluated at bid price : 25.55
Bid-YTW : 4.75 %
BNA.PR.C SplitShare 1.17 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2019-01-10
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 21.59
Bid-YTW : 6.79 %
SLF.PR.E Deemed-Retractible 1.42 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 21.46
Bid-YTW : 6.54 %
Volume Highlights
Issue Index Shares
Traded
Notes
SLF.PR.I FixedReset 54,750 Recent new issue.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-12-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 24.63
Bid-YTW : 4.39 %
RY.PR.R FixedReset 53,400 Scotia crossed 50,000 at 27.00.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-02-24
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 27.00
Bid-YTW : 2.57 %
ENB.PR.B FixedReset 40,059 RBC crossed 12,000 at 25.40.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2041-11-18
Maturity Price : 23.26
Evaluated at bid price : 25.40
Bid-YTW : 3.68 %
CM.PR.E Perpetual-Discount 32,876 TD crossed 10,000 at 25.05.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2041-11-18
Maturity Price : 24.73
Evaluated at bid price : 25.04
Bid-YTW : 5.63 %
CM.PR.G Perpetual-Discount 32,725 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2041-11-18
Maturity Price : 24.52
Evaluated at bid price : 24.85
Bid-YTW : 5.47 %
RY.PR.Y FixedReset 31,621 Scotia crossed 25,000 at 27.40.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-11-24
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 27.45
Bid-YTW : 2.68 %
There were 15 other index-included issues trading in excess of 10,000 shares.
Wide Spread Highlights
Issue Index Quote Data and Yield Notes
BMO.PR.P FixedReset Quote: 26.87 – 27.18
Spot Rate : 0.3100
Average : 0.1843

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2015-02-25
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.87
Bid-YTW : 2.97 %

BAM.PR.K Floater Quote: 15.50 – 15.94
Spot Rate : 0.4400
Average : 0.3345

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2041-11-18
Maturity Price : 15.50
Evaluated at bid price : 15.50
Bid-YTW : 3.42 %

ELF.PR.F Perpetual-Discount Quote: 23.09 – 23.43
Spot Rate : 0.3400
Average : 0.2540

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2041-11-18
Maturity Price : 22.80
Evaluated at bid price : 23.09
Bid-YTW : 5.80 %

POW.PR.D Perpetual-Discount Quote: 24.70 – 24.97
Spot Rate : 0.2700
Average : 0.1849

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2041-11-18
Maturity Price : 24.40
Evaluated at bid price : 24.70
Bid-YTW : 5.11 %

IAG.PR.F Deemed-Retractible Quote: 26.05 – 26.35
Spot Rate : 0.3000
Average : 0.2164

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.05
Bid-YTW : 5.50 %

FTS.PR.G FixedReset Quote: 25.70 – 25.97
Spot Rate : 0.2700
Average : 0.2111

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2041-11-18
Maturity Price : 23.88
Evaluated at bid price : 25.70
Bid-YTW : 3.44 %

Market Action

November 17, 2011

Another synthetic ETF has closed:

Scotia Managed Companies Administration Inc. is pleased to announce that Moneda LatAm Corporate Bond Fund (the “Fund”) has completed an initial public offering (the “Offering”) of 4,559,824 Class A Units and 440,890 Class U Units (collectively, the “Units”) of the Fund at a price of Cdn.$10.00 per Class A Unit and U.S.$10.00 per Class U Unit for gross proceeds of Cdn.$45,598,240 and U.S.$4,408,900, respectively. The Class A Units of the Fund are listed and posted for trading on the Toronto Stock Exchange under the symbol “MLD.UN.” The Class U Units will not be listed on a stock exchange but may be converted into Class A Units on a weekly basis for liquidity purposes.

The Fund is a closed-end investment fund established as a trust under the laws of the Province of Ontario. The Fund has been established to provide holders of Units (the ‘‘Unitholders’’) with investment exposure to a diversified portfolio of fixed income securities of companies located in, or with significant operations in, Latin America, primarily denominated in U.S. dollars. The Fund’s investment objectives are to: (i) preserve and enhance the net asset value of the Fund; and (ii) provide Unitholders with quarterly tax-advantaged distributions consisting primarily of returns of capital, in each case through exposure to the total return performance of the Moneda Deuda Latinoamericana Fondo de Inversion, a U.S.$856 million (as at June 30, 2011) Chilean listed investment fund established in 2000 which is actively managed by Moneda S.A. Administradora de Fondos de Inversion (the “Portfolio Manager”). Moneda Asset Management S.A., the parent company of the Portfolio Manager, was established in 1993 and is a leading independent asset manager headquartered in Santiago, Chile.

HIMIPref™ Preferred Indices
These values reflect the December 2008 revision of the HIMIPref™ Indices

Values are provisional and are finalized monthly
Index Mean
Current
Yield
(at bid)
Median
YTW
Median
Average
Trading
Value
Median
Mod Dur
(YTW)
Issues Day’s Perf. Index Value
Ratchet 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 1.2691 % 2,132.4
FixedFloater 4.81 % 4.52 % 29,108 17.25 1 -1.2994 % 3,203.7
Floater 3.37 % 3.38 % 157,770 18.75 2 1.2691 % 2,302.5
OpRet 4.94 % 0.71 % 52,656 1.49 7 -0.1531 % 2,488.3
SplitShare 5.74 % 6.37 % 55,862 5.12 3 0.0838 % 2,519.6
Interest-Bearing 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 -0.1531 % 2,275.3
Perpetual-Premium 5.57 % -0.81 % 102,833 0.13 13 -0.1542 % 2,157.1
Perpetual-Discount 5.30 % 5.32 % 102,763 14.81 17 0.0894 % 2,298.7
FixedReset 5.10 % 2.93 % 228,313 2.49 63 -0.0599 % 2,350.3
Deemed-Retractible 5.03 % 4.39 % 208,359 3.79 46 -0.1485 % 2,220.7
Performance Highlights
Issue Index Change Notes
BAM.PR.J OpRet -1.44 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-03-31
Maturity Price : 26.00
Evaluated at bid price : 27.36
Bid-YTW : 3.21 %
GWO.PR.N FixedReset -1.41 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 24.50
Bid-YTW : 3.43 %
IAG.PR.F Deemed-Retractible -1.34 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.85
Bid-YTW : 5.60 %
BAM.PR.G FixedFloater -1.30 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2041-11-17
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 19.75
Bid-YTW : 4.52 %
GWO.PR.G Deemed-Retractible -1.00 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 24.69
Bid-YTW : 5.48 %
BAM.PR.N Perpetual-Discount 1.13 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2041-11-17
Maturity Price : 22.81
Evaluated at bid price : 23.21
Bid-YTW : 5.17 %
BAM.PR.K Floater 1.58 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2041-11-17
Maturity Price : 15.47
Evaluated at bid price : 15.47
Bid-YTW : 3.42 %
Volume Highlights
Issue Index Shares
Traded
Notes
TRP.PR.C FixedReset 204,511 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2041-11-17
Maturity Price : 23.45
Evaluated at bid price : 25.73
Bid-YTW : 2.96 %
BNS.PR.N Deemed-Retractible 97,325 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2013-01-29
Maturity Price : 26.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.35
Bid-YTW : 4.10 %
MFC.PR.B Deemed-Retractible 60,962 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 22.19
Bid-YTW : 6.13 %
MFC.PR.C Deemed-Retractible 54,511 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 21.31
Bid-YTW : 6.48 %
CM.PR.K FixedReset 49,503 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-07-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.71
Bid-YTW : 2.82 %
RY.PR.E Deemed-Retractible 45,442 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2016-02-24
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.06
Bid-YTW : 4.44 %
There were 21 other index-included issues trading in excess of 10,000 shares.
Wide Spread Highlights
Issue Index Quote Data and Yield Notes
BAM.PR.J OpRet Quote: 27.36 – 27.90
Spot Rate : 0.5400
Average : 0.3962

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-03-31
Maturity Price : 26.00
Evaluated at bid price : 27.36
Bid-YTW : 3.21 %

HSE.PR.A FixedReset Quote: 25.79 – 26.18
Spot Rate : 0.3900
Average : 0.2539

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2041-11-17
Maturity Price : 23.45
Evaluated at bid price : 25.79
Bid-YTW : 3.15 %

SLF.PR.E Deemed-Retractible Quote: 21.16 – 21.53
Spot Rate : 0.3700
Average : 0.2416

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 21.16
Bid-YTW : 6.72 %

IAG.PR.C FixedReset Quote: 26.51 – 26.88
Spot Rate : 0.3700
Average : 0.2480

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2013-12-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.51
Bid-YTW : 3.64 %

BAM.PR.X FixedReset Quote: 24.51 – 24.90
Spot Rate : 0.3900
Average : 0.2734

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2041-11-17
Maturity Price : 22.95
Evaluated at bid price : 24.51
Bid-YTW : 3.58 %

RY.PR.N FixedReset Quote: 26.94 – 27.29
Spot Rate : 0.3500
Average : 0.2411

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-02-24
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.94
Bid-YTW : 2.67 %

Market Action

November 16, 2011

Sorry about the lateness, folks! My schedule on the 16th and 17th is a little peculiar.

PerpetualDiscounts now yield 5.23%, equivalent to 6.80% interest at the standard equivalency factor of 1.3x. Long corporates now yield about 4.75%, so the pre-tax interest-equivalent spread (also called the Seniority Spread) is now about 205bp.

HIMIPref™ Preferred Indices
These values reflect the December 2008 revision of the HIMIPref™ Indices

Values are provisional and are finalized monthly
Index Mean
Current
Yield
(at bid)
Median
YTW
Median
Average
Trading
Value
Median
Mod Dur
(YTW)
Issues Day’s Perf. Index Value
Ratchet 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 -0.9029 % 2,105.7
FixedFloater 4.75 % 4.14 % 28,858 17.09 1 1.8321 % 3,245.9
Floater 3.42 % 3.42 % 159,118 18.67 2 -0.9029 % 2,273.6
OpRet 4.93 % 0.88 % 53,414 1.50 7 0.0985 % 2,492.1
SplitShare 5.75 % 6.45 % 56,114 5.12 3 0.1399 % 2,517.5
Interest-Bearing 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.0985 % 2,278.8
Perpetual-Premium 5.56 % -0.13 % 101,607 0.15 13 0.0929 % 2,160.4
Perpetual-Discount 5.31 % 5.23 % 106,560 14.81 17 0.0072 % 2,296.6
FixedReset 5.10 % 2.91 % 234,537 2.49 63 0.1326 % 2,351.7
Deemed-Retractible 5.03 % 4.38 % 205,648 3.66 46 0.0774 % 2,224.0
Performance Highlights
Issue Index Change Notes
BAM.PR.K Floater -1.49 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2041-11-16
Maturity Price : 15.23
Evaluated at bid price : 15.23
Bid-YTW : 3.48 %
BAM.PR.N Perpetual-Discount -1.08 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2041-11-16
Maturity Price : 22.60
Evaluated at bid price : 22.95
Bid-YTW : 5.23 %
BAM.PR.G FixedFloater 1.83 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2041-11-16
Maturity Price : 21.37
Evaluated at bid price : 20.01
Bid-YTW : 4.14 %
Volume Highlights
Issue Index Shares
Traded
Notes
ENB.PR.B FixedReset 291,585 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2041-11-16
Maturity Price : 23.26
Evaluated at bid price : 25.42
Bid-YTW : 3.68 %
RY.PR.I FixedReset 100,400 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-02-24
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.20
Bid-YTW : 2.77 %
FTS.PR.C OpRet 76,712 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2011-12-16
Maturity Price : 25.50
Evaluated at bid price : 25.87
Bid-YTW : -14.33 %
FTS.PR.E OpRet 69,304 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2013-06-01
Maturity Price : 25.75
Evaluated at bid price : 27.23
Bid-YTW : 0.88 %
RY.PR.H Deemed-Retractible 67,654 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2013-05-24
Maturity Price : 26.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.75
Bid-YTW : 3.40 %
TD.PR.G FixedReset 66,150 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-04-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 27.31
Bid-YTW : 2.46 %
There were 27 other index-included issues trading in excess of 10,000 shares.
Wide Spread Highlights
Issue Index Quote Data and Yield Notes
BAM.PR.K Floater Quote: 15.23 – 15.69
Spot Rate : 0.4600
Average : 0.2835

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2041-11-16
Maturity Price : 15.23
Evaluated at bid price : 15.23
Bid-YTW : 3.48 %

ELF.PR.G Perpetual-Discount Quote: 20.92 – 21.46
Spot Rate : 0.5400
Average : 0.3857

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2041-11-16
Maturity Price : 20.92
Evaluated at bid price : 20.92
Bid-YTW : 5.75 %

TCA.PR.Y Perpetual-Premium Quote: 52.65 – 53.14
Spot Rate : 0.4900
Average : 0.3533

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-03-05
Maturity Price : 50.00
Evaluated at bid price : 52.65
Bid-YTW : 3.31 %

BAM.PR.N Perpetual-Discount Quote: 22.95 – 23.29
Spot Rate : 0.3400
Average : 0.2390

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2041-11-16
Maturity Price : 22.60
Evaluated at bid price : 22.95
Bid-YTW : 5.23 %

BAM.PR.H OpRet Quote: 25.31 – 25.69
Spot Rate : 0.3800
Average : 0.2884

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2011-12-16
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.31
Bid-YTW : -0.34 %

FTS.PR.H FixedReset Quote: 25.41 – 25.58
Spot Rate : 0.1700
Average : 0.1179

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2041-11-16
Maturity Price : 23.44
Evaluated at bid price : 25.41
Bid-YTW : 2.86 %