Category: Market Action

Market Action

August 2, 2006

Note that these indices are experimental; the absolute and relative daily values are expected to change in the final version
Index Current Yield (at bid) YTW Average Trading Value Mod Dur (YTW) Issues Day’s Perf. Index Value
Ratchet 4.34% 4.30% 26,351 16.71 2 0% 993.9
Fixed-Floater 4.94% 4.13% 295,668 6.94 6 -0.0065% 1,002.4
Floater 4.61% -11.68% 59,896 6.48 5 -0.2258% 1,001.3
Op. Retract 4.72% 3.06% 78,096 2.71 18 0.1003% 1,000.09
Split-Share 5.01% 3.58% 59,589 2.76 10 -0.0170% 1,002.1
Interest Bearing 6.85% 5.21% 65,069 2.18 7 -0.0916% 1,010.0
Perpetual-Premium 5.30% 4.36% 122,782 3.94 41 -0.0028% 1,006.8
Perpetual-Discount 4.76% 4.80% 385,848 15.84 13 0.0725% 1,007.5
Major Price Changes
Issue Index Change Notes
AL.PR.E Floater -1.62% Volume of 13,375 shares
POW.PR.D PerpetualPremium -1.48% Volume of 11,980 shares
Volume Highlights
Issue Index Volume Notes
TCA.PR.Y PerpetualPremium 45,894  
SLF.PR.B PerpetualDiscount 19,370  
POW.PR.B PerpetualPremium 13,600  
AL.PR.E Floater 13,375 Lost 1.62% on day
BMO.PR.H PerpetualPremium 13,040 shares  

There were five other index-included issues with volume in excess of 10,000 shares.

Market Action

August 1, 2006

Index Current Yield (at bid) YTW Average Trading Value Mod Dur (YTW) Issues Day’s Perf. Index Value
Ratchet 4.57% 4.53% 26,925 16.76 2 -0.1002% 993.9
Fixed-Floater 4.94% 4.21% 305,581 6.85 6 0.00% 1,002.5
Floater 4.60% -14.72% 59,050 6.45 5 0.0085% 1,003.5
Op. Retract 4.72% 2.95% 78,843 2.66 18 0.3122% 999.1
Split-Share 5.01% 3.70% 59,815 2.74 10 0.0457% 1,002.3
Interest Bearing 6.86% 5.15% 65,327 2.19 7 0.1094% 1,010.9
Perpetual-Premium 5.30% 4.33% 123,416 3.98 41 0.0887% 1,006.9
Perpetual-Discount 4.77% 4.80% 392,028 15.84 13 0.1289% 1,006.8
Major Price Changes
Issue Index Change Notes
None!
Volume Highlights
Issue Index Volume Notes
CM.PR.A OpRet 176,467  
BMO.PR.I OpRet 75,517 Anonymous internal cross, 74,500 @ 25.79
BC.PR.C FixedFloater 58,669 See the Change in Terms
BNS.PR.K PerpetualPremium 55,350 RBC crossed 50,000 @ 25.20
TD.PR.M OpRet 49,250 Anonymous internal cross @ 27.55

There were seven other index-included issues with volume in excess of 10,000 shares.

Note that there were changes in index construction today.

Index Construction / Reporting

July 31, 2006 (After Rebalancing)

Index Current Yield (at bid) YTW Average Trading Value Mod Dur (YTW) Issues Day’s Perf. Index Value
Ratchet 4.24% 4.25% 91,756 16.95 2 N/A 994.9
Fixed-Floater 5.23% 4.10% 98,940 8.30 5 N/A 1,002.5
Floater 4.60% -15.57% 59,854 4.60 5 N/A 1,003.4
Op. Retract 4.74% 3.05% 78,683 2.75 18 N/A 996.0
SplitShare 5.02 3.64 60,673 2.81 10 N/A 1,001.8
Interest Bearing 6.86% 5.26% 65,738 2.19 7 N/A 1,009.8
Perpetual Premium 5.30% 4.40% 124,309 3.97 41 N/A 1,006.0
Perpetual Discount 4.77% 4.80% 401,377 15.83 13 N/A 1,005.5
Index Changes
Issue From To Because
PWF.PR.A Floater Scraps Volume
CVF.PR.A SplitShare Scraps Volume
MUH.PR.A SplitShare Scraps Volume
BNA.PR.B SplitShare Scraps Volume
BNA.PR.A SplitShare Scraps Volume
NA.PR.L PerpetualDiscount PerpetualPremium Price
AL.PR.F Scraps Floater Volume

Market Action

July 31, 2006 (Before Rebalancing)

Index Current Yield (at bid) YTW Average Trading Value Mod Dur (YTW) Issues Day’s Perf. Index Value
Ratchet 4.24% 4.25% 91,756 16.95 2 -0.3005% 994.9
Fixed-Floater 5.23% 4.10% 98,940 8.30 5 -0.2289% 1,002.5
Floater 4.54% -15.03% 58,437 6.43 5 0.0000% 1,003.4
Op. Retract 4.74% 3.05% 78,683 2.75 18 0.0333% 996.0
Split-Share 5.17% 4.00% 47,359 2.77 14 0.1627% 1,001.8
Interest Bearing 6.86% 5.26% 65,738 2.19 7 0.0429% 1,009.8
Perpetual-Premium 5.31% 4.39% 123,668 3.86 40 0.0121% 1,006.0
Perpetual-Discount 4.77% 4.81% 383,145 15.15 14 -0.0314% 1,005.5
Major Price Changes
Issue Index Change Notes
ACO.PR.A OpRet +1.28% 13,777 shares traded
DFN.PR.A SplitShare +1.25% 7,165 shares traded
Volume Highlights
Issue Index Volume Notes
HSB.PR.D PerpetualPremium 53,000  
SLF.PR.C PerpetualDiscount 45,100  
WN.PR.E PerpetualDiscount 24,270  
BNS.PR.K PerpetualPremium 17,825  
GWO.PR.X OpRet 15,192  

There were seven other index-included issues with volume in excess of 10,000 shares.

Market Action

Premium-Perpetual Yield Curve, 2006-07-28

Another yield curve for your edification and amusement!

PerpPrem YTW Curve 2006-07-28

This one is similar in nature to Operating Retractibles yield curve discussed a few days ago, but does have some unique points of interest.

There’s a lot of scatter – more scatter than there really should be, given that the average volume traded is so much greater than the equivalent number for the constituents of the OpRet index. And, one should note, I didn’t plot a point for RY.PR.S, which has a Modified Duration of the YTW scenario of 0.16 Years, and a YTW of -1.82%.

The CM.PR.C and GWO.PR.F look rather expensive, don’t they? I certainly can’t figure out … the CM.PR.C looked good a little while ago, when they were trading in the neighborhood of $26.50 – I can’t say I’m so impressed with them nowadays, closing 7/31 with a quote of 26.76-87.

But the most strange thing by far about this curve is that, while the lower quality credits look to be at a more or less decent spread to their higher-rated peers at the long end (well … relatively long end, anyway!), they seem to be trading through them at the short end, and not by just a little bit.  Which would seem to indicate some opportunity for arbitrage …

What this graph does not, and cannot, convey is the degree of risk implicit in the fact that these are perpetuals … once market prices start to change, the position of each data point on this graph might change substantially – which is why HIMIPref has such concepts as ‘Portfolio Yield’ and ‘Option Doubt’. But as a first approximation, some of the anomalies shown by this plot look pretty juicy, don’t they?

Market Action

July 28, 2006

Index Current Yield (at bid) YTW Average Trading Value Mod Dur (YTW) Issues Day’s Perf. Index Value
Ratchet 4.21% 4.22% 92,290 17.01 2 0.3822% 997.9
Fixed-Floater 5.22 3.92% 99,784 5.17 5 0.1523% 1,004.8
Floater 4.54% -15.02% 59,223 6.43 5 0.1680% 1,003.4
Op. Retract 4.74% 3.19% 78,823 2.76 18 0.0154% 995.6
Split-Share 5.17% 3.93% 47,897 2.85 14 0.1909% 1,000.2
Interest Bearing 6.86% 5.15% 66,114 2.19 7 -0.1801% 1,009.4
Perpetual-Premium 5.32% 4.33% 124,166 3.86 40 0.0947% 1,005.8
Perpetual-Discount 4.77% 4.89% 388,850 15.84 14 0.0881% 1,005.8
Major Price Changes
Issue Index Change Notes
MST.PR.A InterestBearing -1.43% 3,832 shares traded. It was up 1.55% yesterday on 6,088 shares … easy come, easy go.
TDS.PR.B SplitShare +1.91% 900 shares traded. Somebody didn’t want many shares, but they REALLY wanted them. This issue is callable at 28.10 in November and is now quoted at 28.50-65. YTW is -0.03%
Volume Highlights
Issue Index Volume Notes
CM.PR.C PerpetualPremium 204,166 BMO crossed 200,000 @26.84 for delayed delivery.
SLF.PR.B PerpetualPremium 105,942 Gained 0.48% on day.
GWO.PR.G PerpetualPremium 35,570 Scotia bought 20,000 from CIBC @26.00
RY.PR.B PerpetualDiscount 14,000 Is the “Inventory Reduction Sale” over?
MFC.PR.C PerpetualDiscount 12,600  
SLF.PR.C PerpetualDiscount 10,900  

There were no other index-included issues with volume in excess of 10,000 shares.

My more observant readers will have noticed that the “Perpetual” index has been split into “Premium” and “Discount”. With a bi-modal distribution of index characteristics, the averages didn’t make a lot of sense. I don’t really know if this will be a permanent change – I’ll have to see what happens over time, when I get around to writing and testing automated index preparation software. If there aren’t any discount perpetuals in my database, for instance, I’m not sure what I’ll do or how meaningfully I’ll be able to present the results. Stay tuned!

Market Action

July 27, 2006

Index Current Yield (at bid) YTW Average Trading Value Mod Dur (YTW) Issues Day’s Perf. Index Value
Ratchet 4.21% 4.22% 93,792 17.01 2 -0.3969% 994.1
Fixed-Floater 5.23% 3.92% 101,384 7.48 5 0.3426% 1,003.3
Floater 4.55% -13.57% 59,955 6.44 5 0.0163% 1,001.8
Op. Retract 4.74% 3.35% 79,575 2.94 18 0.0154% 995.5
Split-Share 5.18% 4.17% 48,195 3.02 14 -0.2103% 998.3
Interest Bearing 6.85% 5.05% 66,536 2.20 7 0.1540% 1,011.2
Perpetual 5.19% 4.50% 191,523 6.93 54 0.0509% 1,004.9
Major Price Changes
Issue Index Change Notes
DFN.PR.A SplitShares -1.66% 9,500 shares traded
BCE.PR.A FixedFloater +1.34% 2,900 shares trade. It went ex-dividend today … did someone forget?
MST.PR.A SplitShares 1.55% 6,088 shares traded. Gapped from 10.30-40 to 10.46-50
Volume Highlights
Issue Index Volume Notes
SLF.PR.C Perpetual 135,540 70,000 share internal cross by BMO @24.15; BMO bought 61,600 shares from Dundee at 24.15 in seven trades in last few minutes of session.
HSB.PR.D Perpetual 126,750 BMO internal cross of 125,000 shares @26.00
BNS.PR.K Perpetual 110,040 BMO crossed 100,000 shares @25.20
TD.PR.O Perpetual 105,900 BMO crossed 100,000 @25.20
PWF.PR.A Floater 103,625 BMO crossed 100,000 @25.30

There were 15 issues with volume in excess of 10,000 shares.

Market Action

July 26, 2006

Index Current Yield (at bid) YTW Average Trading Value Mod Dur (YTW) Issues Day’s Perf. Index Value
Ratchet 4.17% 4.19% 96,309 17.05 2 +0.0200% 998.0
Fixed-Floater 5.19% 4.17% 99,950 11.2 5 0.0004% 999.8
Floater 4.55% -12.93% 60,535 6.45 5 -0.2771% 1,001.6
Op. Retract 4.74% 3.40% 79,912 2.99 18 0.0305% 995.3
Split-Share 5.16% 4.11% 48,834 2.96 14 0.1034% 1,000.4
Interest Bearing 6.85% 5.06% 67,184 2.20 7 -0.1400% 1,009.6
Perpetual 5.19% 4.53% 193,028 6.98 54 0.1018% 1,004.4
Major Price Changes
Issue Index Change Notes
AL.PR.E Floater -1.05% 1,800 shares traded
Volume Highlights
Issue Index Volume Notes
RY.PR.W Perpetual 176,230 Jennings crossed 147,500 @25.35
CM.PR.C Perpetual 110,378 BMO bought 100,000 from Scotia @26.90, which was the closing bid. At this price, the YTW of this issue is 2.54%
MFC.PR.B Perpetual 46,730 BMO crossed 44,000 @ 24.55
SLF.PR.B Perpetual 45,550  
PIC.PR.A SplitShare 21,925  
BNS.PR.K Perpetual 12,255  

There were 13 issues with volume in excess of 10,000 shares.

Market Action

July 25, 2006

Index Current Yield (at bid) YTW Average Trading Value Mod Dur (YTW) Issues Day’s Perf. Index Value
Ratchet 4.16% 4.17% 100,269 17.09 2 +0.0802% 997.8
Fixed-Floater 5.19% 4.16% 100,032 13.50 5 0.2057% 999.8
Floater 4.54% -15.19% 61,553 6.45 5 0.0407% 1,004.4
Op. Retract 4.74% 3.35% 80,532 2.98 18 0.1594% 995.0
Split-Share 5.17% 4.18% 48,741 3.03 14 -0.0569% 999.4
Interest Bearing 6.85% 5.02% 66,919 2.21 7 0.2830% 1,011.1
Perpetual 5.19% 4.57% 194,134 7.01 54 0.1012% 1,003.4
Major Price Changes
Issue Index Change Notes
BNA.PR.B SplitShare -1.00% 1,600 shares traded
WN.PR.B OpRet +1.50% 2,741 shares traded … YTW is now only 3.29%
HSB.PR.D Perpetual +1.17% 5,600 shares traded – RBC bought all day. A retail broker getting excited, maybe?
Volume Highlights
Issue Index Volume Notes
MFC.PR.C Perpetual 263,565 Gained 0.25% on day
BC.PR.C Fixed Floater 167,749 Gained 0.32% on day
CM.PR.C Perpetual 114,690 BMO bought 10,000 from Scotia @26.91, then crossed 68,550 @27.00 on delayed delivery. The YTW at the closing bid of 26.91 is only 2.50% pretax.

There were 20 issues with volume in excess of 10,000 shares.

Market Action

July 24, 2006

Index Current Yield (at bid) YTW Average Trading Value Mod Dur (YTW) Issues Day’s Perf. Index Value
Ratchet 4.14% 4.16% 103,936 17.13 2 +0.0802% 997.0
Fixed-Floater 5.20% 4.17% 95,964 13.49 5 0.0869% 997.8
Floater 4.54% -15.38% 61,155 6.43 5 0.2491% 1,004.0
Op. Retract 4.75% 3.48% 80,782 2.99 18 -0.0679% 993.4
Split-Share 5.17% 4.23% 49,600 3.10 14 -0.0009% 999.9
Interest Bearing 6.87% 5.30% 66,930 2.21 7 -0.0233% 1,008.2
Perpetual 5.20% 4.61% 195,623 7.02 54 0.0520% 1,002.4
Major Price Changes
Issue Index Change Notes
TDS.PR.B SplitShare -1.05% 2,990 shares traded, which was enough to blow through the bid. Some traded at 28.01, a penny above the 52-week low, but it closed at 28.25-49. Not much size on the bid, though!
Volume Highlights
Issue Index Volume Notes
WN.PR.E Perpetual 304,550 Huge volume for a pref! But 300,000 of this was an internal cross [both sides of the trade were controlled by the same asset manager] by BMO @24.00.
RY.PR.W Perpetual 258,700 Second day of good volume. 175,000 was an internal cross by BMO @25.40; 38,100 was a CSH Cross by Global (cash trade, not three-day-settlement) @25.88; and 38,100 (presumably the same 38,100) was a cross by Global @25.57. Closed at 25.31-56. Man, did the purchaser of that CSH transaction get screwed! Perhaps it was a buy-in notice?
SLF.PR.C Perpetual 179,650 175,000 internal cross by BMO @24.02
TD.PR.M OpRet 175,500 175,000 internal cross by BMO @27.30
TD.PR.O Perpetual 112,700 100,000 internal cross by BMO @25.25

A busy day for BMO, if no-one else! If they were able to charge a nickel a share on the crosses, then they went home with a warm, fuzzy feeling. Somebody’s rejigging his pref portfolio!

RY.PR.A closed at 24.18-25, while RY.PR.B ended at 24.45-50, so perhaps things are beginning to normalize a little … at least so far as that particular pair is concerned!

 There were 20 issues with volume in excess of 10,000 shares.

 Update, 2006-07-27: Just realized! The ex-date for the RY.PR.W was July 24, so the purchaser of the CSH – settled RY.PR.W got the dividend of $0.30625.