Issue Comments

MFC.PR.F: Convert or Hold?

It will be recalled that MFC.PR.F will reset to 2.178% effective June 20.

Holders of MFC.PR.F have the option to convert to FloatingResets, which will pay 3-month bills plus 141bp on the par value of $25.00. The deadline for notifying the company of the intent to convert is 5:00 p.m. (EDT) on June 6, 2016; but note that this is a company deadline and that brokers will generally set their deadlines a day or two in advance, so there’s not much time to lose if you’re planning to convert! However, if you miss the brokerage deadline they’ll probably do it on a ‘best efforts’ basis if you grovel in a sufficiently entertaining fashion. The ticker for the new FloatingReset, if it is created, will be MFC.PR.P.

The most logical way to analyze the question of whether or not to convert is through the theory of Preferred Pairs, for which a calculator is available. Briefly, a Strong Pair is defined as a pair of securities that can be interconverted in the future (e.g., MFC.PR.F and the FloatingReset that will exist if enough holders convert). Since they will be interconvertible on this future date, it may be assumed that they will be priced identically on this date (if they aren’t then holders will simply convert en masse to the higher-priced issue). And since they will be priced identically on a given date in the future, any current difference in price must be offset by expectations of an equal and opposite value of dividends to be received in the interim. And since the dividend rate on one element of the pair is both fixed and known, the implied average rate of the other, floating rate, instrument can be determined. Finally, we say, we may compare these average rates and take a view regarding the actual future course of that rate relative to the implied rate, which will provide us with guidance on which element of the pair is likely to outperform the other until the next interconversion date, at which time the process will be repeated.

We can show the break-even rates for each FixedReset / FloatingReset Strong Pair graphically by plotting the implied average 3-month bill rate against the next Exchange Date (which is the date to which the average will be calculated).

pairs_FR_160602
Click for Big

The market appears to have a distaste at the moment for floating rate product; all of the implied rates until the next interconversion are lower than the current 3-month bill rate and the averages for investment-grade and junk issues are both well below zero, at -0.65% and -0.22%, respectively! Whatever might be the result of the next few Bank of Canada overnight rate decisions, I suggest that it is unlikely that the average rate over the next five years will be lower than current – but if you disagree, of course, you may interpret the data any way you like.

Since credit quality of each element of the pair is equal to the other element, it should not make any difference whether the pair examined is investment-grade or junk, although we might expect greater variation of implied rates between junk issues on grounds of lower liquidity, and this is just what we see.

If we plug in the current bid price of the MFC.PR.F FixedReset, we may construct the following table showing consistent prices for its soon-to-be-issued FloatingReset counterpart given a variety of Implied Breakeven yields consistent with issues currently trading:

Estimate of FloatingReset (received in exchange for MFC.PR.F) Trading Price In Current Conditions
  Assumed FloatingReset
Price if Implied Bill
is equal to
FixedReset Bid Price Spread 0.00% -1.00% -2.00%
MFC.PR.F 13.83 141bp 13.02 11.97 10.91

Based on current market conditions, I suggest that the FloatingResets that will result from conversion are likely to be cheap and trading below the price of their FixedReset counterparts. Therefore, I recommend that holders of MFC.PR.F continue to hold the issue and not to convert. I will note that, given the apparent cheapness of the FloatingResets, it may be a good trade to swap the FixedReset for the FloatingReset in the market once both elements of each pair are trading and you can – presumably, according to this analysis – do it with a reasonably good take-out in price, rather than doing it through the company on a 1:1 basis. But that, of course, will depend on the prices at that time and your forecast for the path of policy rates over the next five years. There are no guarantees – my recommendation is based on the assumption that current market conditions with respect to the pairs will continue until the FloatingResets commence trading and that the relative pricing of the two new pairs will reflect these conditions.

Note as well that conversion rights are dependent upon at least one million shares of each series being outstanding after giving effect to holders’ instructions; e.g., if only 100,000 shares of MFC.PR.F are tendered for conversion, then no conversions will be allowed; but if only 100,000 shares of MFC.PR.F will remain after the rest are all tendered, then conversion will be mandatory. However, this is relatively rare: all 39 Strong Pairs currently extant have some version of this condition and all but five have both series outstanding.

New Issues

New Issue: NA FixedReset, 5.40%+466, NVCC

National Bank of Canada has announced:

that it has entered into an agreement with a group of underwriters led by National Bank Financial Inc. for the issuance on a bought deal basis of 10 million non-cumulative 5-year rate reset first preferred shares series 36 (non-viability contingent capital (NVCC)) (the “Series 36 Preferred Shares”) at a price of $25.00 per share, to raise gross proceeds of $250 million.

National Bank has granted the underwriters an option to purchase, on the same terms, up to an additional 2 million Series 36 Preferred Shares. This option is exercisable in whole or in part by the underwriters at any time up to two business days prior to closing. The gross proceeds raised under the offering will be $300 million should this option be exercised in full.

The Series 36 Preferred Shares will yield 5.40% annually, payable quarterly, as and when declared by the Board of Directors of National Bank, for the initial period ending August 15, 2021. The first of such dividends, if declared, shall be payable on November 15, 2016. Thereafter, the dividend rate will reset every five years at a level of 466 basis points over the then 5-year Government of Canada bond yield. Subject to regulatory approval, National Bank may redeem the Series 36 Preferred Shares in whole or in part at par on August 15, 2021 and on August 15 every five years thereafter.

Holders of the Series 36 Preferred Shares will have the right to convert their shares into an equal number of non-cumulative floating rate first preferred shares series 37 (non-viability contingent capital (NVCC)) (the “Series 37 Preferred Shares”), subject to certain conditions, on August 15, 2021, and on August 15 every five years thereafter. Holders of the Series 37 Preferred Shares will be entitled to receive quarterly floating dividends, as and when declared by the Board of Directors of National Bank, equal to the 90-day Government of Canada Treasury Bill rate plus 466 basis points.

The net proceeds of the offering will be used for general corporate purposes and added to National Bank’s capital base. The expected closing date is on or about June 13, 2016. National Bank intends to file in Canada a prospectus supplement to its December 1, 2014 base shelf prospectus in respect of this issue.

They later announced:

that as a result of strong investor demand for its previously announced domestic public offering of non-cumulative 5-year rate reset first preferred shares series 36 (non-viability contingent capital (NVCC)) (the “Series 36 Preferred Shares”), the size of the offering has been increased to 16 million shares. The gross proceeds of the offering will now be $400 million. The offering will be underwritten by a syndicate led by National Bank Financial Inc. The expected closing date is on or about June 13, 2016.

The net proceeds of the offering will be used for general corporate purposes and added to National Bank’s capital base.

As has so often been the case recently, using Implied Volatility analysis to determine whether the pricing of this issue is rich or cheap yields ambiguous results:

impVol_NA_160602
Click for Big

The new issue fits in very well with the line determined by the three extant NVCC-compliant issues, but the Implied Volatility is very high. Thus, if one believes that spreads are very high and will eventually regress to more usual levels, one will buy the low-spread low-price issues in order to capture the expected capital gain. However, if one believes that current conditions represent the new normal (with low GOC-5 yields and spreads that are high relative to historical norms) then one will buy the high-spread high-price issues in order to avoid the capital loss that one expects on the low-spread issues as Implied Volatility declines and the curve flattens.

Thanks to Assiduous Readers FletcherLynd, brian and klargenf, who discussed this issue in the comments to New Issue: NA FixedReset, 5.60%+490 (which was NA’s previous new issue).

Issue Comments

RON.PR.A, RON.PR.B : S&P Rates P-2(low)

Standard & Poor’s has announced:

  • •Mooresville, N.C.-based home improvement retailer Lowe’s Cos. Inc. has completed its previously announced acquisition of Quebec-based RONA Inc. for about C$3.2 billion.
  • •As a result, we are raising our long-term corporate credit rating on RONA to ‘BBB+’ from ‘BB+’ and removing the company from CreditWatch, where we had placed it with positive implications Feb. 3, 2016. The outlook is stable.
  • •At the same time, we are raising our issue-level rating on RONA’s senior unsecured notes to ‘BBB+’ from ‘BB+’ and our rating on its preferred shares to ‘BBB-‘ from ‘B+’.


“In our opinion, RONA’s operations are important to Lowe’s long-term growth strategy,” said S&P Global Ratings credit analyst Alessio Di Francesco. As such, we believe Lowe’s is unlikely to sell RONA and we expect that Lowe’s would likely provide additional liquidity, capital, or risk transfer in most foreseeable circumstances. We believe the 496 stores and nine distribution centers Lowe’s acquired from RONA should improve the competitive position of its Canadian business by increasing its scale and effectively taking out a competitor. Prior to completing this acquisition, Lowe’s had only 42 stores in Canada. Furthermore, RONA offers Lowe’s an important entry into Quebec (almost 25% of the Canadian home improvement market) where Lowe’s previously had no presence.

RON.PR.A and RON.PR.B were last mentioned on PrefBlog when the effective date of the Plan of Arrangement was announced.

DBRS has not yet resolved its Review-Positive of RONA, which was announced when the plan of arrangement was proposed.

Market Action

June 1, 2016

There are some that now believe the US has lost ground as a competitive economy:

The United States was knocked out of the top spot in this year’s ranking of the world’s most competitive countries, a position it had held since 2013.

This according to the annual evaluation by the International Institute for Management Development (IMD), a Switzerland-based private business school whose World Competitiveness Center research group has ranked nations on their competitiveness on the global business stage since 1989.

The United States fell two positions on the annual ranking, supplanted by Hong Kong and Switzerland. Hong Kong’s role as the gateway to the economic might of the Chinese Mainland (which ranked 25 on the list), as well as the rest of Asia, gives it fuel for its economic machine. At the same time it is diversified and therefore safer from economic shocks within the region. But there are other factors at play, says Professor Arturo Bris, director of the IMD World Competitiveness Center.

“Hong Kong has an amazing regulatory system,” Bris told Forbes. “Business-friendly, promoting competition, and at the same time investing in public education. It has built an amazing public sector – which, of course is easy to do in a small economy – but Hong Kong is extremely efficient.”

Switzerland, which jumped two places to settle at No. 2 this year, withstood currency depreciation to surge in 2016. “Exports have increased and capital influx has increased as well and the GDP has grown,” explained Bris. “The Swiss economy has performed well, despite these monetary imbalances.”

. Hungary, for example, has given fiscal incentives to the IT business community, says Bris. “In Hungary, if you are an IT professional, you don’t pay income taxes—same thing in Estonia or Lithuania.” Professionals in Eastern European nations, he added, have played a role in innovations by companies like WhatsApp and Spotify.

The problems with risk-assessment are apparent in fields other than investment:

Millions of Americans are missing out on a chance to avoid debilitating fractures from weakened bones, researchers say, because they are terrified of exceedingly rare side effects from drugs that can help them.

Reports of the drugs’ causing jawbones to rot and thighbones to snap in two have shaken many osteoporosis patients so much that they say they would rather take their chances with the disease. Use of the most commonly prescribed osteoporosis drugs fell by 50 percent from 2008 to 2012, according to a recent paper, and doctors say the trend is continuing.

There is little question that fractures caused by fragile bones are a real problem, particularly for women. A 50-year-old woman has a 50 percent chance of having an osteoporotic fracture in her remaining years. The drugs, meant to be started when bone density falls very low and the chance of a fracture soars, can reduce that risk by half, studies show.

But to many, it matters little that the drugs’ frightening side effects are extremely rare. Estimates are that 10 to 40 in 100,000 osteoporosis patients taking the drugs — including alendronate, ibandronate, risedronate and zoledronate — have sustained broken thighbones. Fewer than one in 100,000 have had the jawbone problem.

“You only need to treat 50 people to prevent a fracture, but you need to treat 40,000 to see an atypical fracture,” said Dr. Clifford J. Rosen, a professor of medicine at Tufts University who has no association with the makers of the drugs.

PerpetualDiscounts now yield 5.50%, equivalent to 7.15% interest at the standard equivalency factor of 1.3x. Long corporates now yield about 3.95%, so the pre-tax interest-equivalent spread is now about 320bp, unchanged from the value reported May 25.

HIMIPref™ Preferred Indices
These values reflect the December 2008 revision of the HIMIPref™ Indices

Values are provisional and are finalized monthly
Index Mean
Current
Yield
(at bid)
Median
YTW
Median
Average
Trading
Value
Median
Mod Dur
(YTW)
Issues Day’s Perf. Index Value
Ratchet 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 -0.3780 % 1,693.8
FixedFloater 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 -0.3780 % 3,094.2
Floater 4.48 % 4.56 % 63,305 16.24 3 -0.3780 % 1,783.2
OpRet 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 1 -0.0116 % 2,835.8
SplitShare 4.91 % 5.18 % 82,151 4.70 7 -0.0116 % 3,318.4
Interest-Bearing 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 -0.0116 % 2,589.1
Perpetual-Premium 5.63 % 1.21 % 81,870 0.09 9 -0.0305 % 2,612.6
Perpetual-Discount 5.40 % 5.50 % 111,619 14.61 28 0.2377 % 2,712.0
FixedReset 5.07 % 4.60 % 161,720 7.43 87 0.7153 % 2,011.6
Deemed-Retractible 5.12 % 5.34 % 131,192 4.98 33 0.0732 % 2,698.9
FloatingReset 3.15 % 4.98 % 23,748 5.24 17 0.1287 % 2,114.8
Performance Highlights
Issue Index Change Notes
TRP.PR.B FixedReset -1.26 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-06-01
Maturity Price : 11.80
Evaluated at bid price : 11.80
Bid-YTW : 4.43 %
FTS.PR.I FloatingReset 1.00 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-06-01
Maturity Price : 12.10
Evaluated at bid price : 12.10
Bid-YTW : 4.11 %
TD.PF.E FixedReset 1.06 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-06-01
Maturity Price : 20.97
Evaluated at bid price : 20.97
Bid-YTW : 4.42 %
SLF.PR.I FixedReset 1.06 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 19.97
Bid-YTW : 6.66 %
TD.PF.B FixedReset 1.09 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-06-01
Maturity Price : 18.60
Evaluated at bid price : 18.60
Bid-YTW : 4.34 %
BAM.PF.E FixedReset 1.12 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-06-01
Maturity Price : 18.99
Evaluated at bid price : 18.99
Bid-YTW : 4.78 %
HSE.PR.C FixedReset 1.12 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-06-01
Maturity Price : 18.00
Evaluated at bid price : 18.00
Bid-YTW : 5.74 %
MFC.PR.K FixedReset 1.14 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 18.68
Bid-YTW : 7.23 %
SLF.PR.J FloatingReset 1.16 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 13.10
Bid-YTW : 10.40 %
BNS.PR.P FixedReset 1.17 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 24.13
Bid-YTW : 3.76 %
BAM.PF.G FixedReset 1.18 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-06-01
Maturity Price : 20.64
Evaluated at bid price : 20.64
Bid-YTW : 4.71 %
RY.PR.H FixedReset 1.20 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-06-01
Maturity Price : 18.62
Evaluated at bid price : 18.62
Bid-YTW : 4.31 %
BAM.PF.B FixedReset 1.21 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-06-01
Maturity Price : 18.35
Evaluated at bid price : 18.35
Bid-YTW : 4.92 %
CM.PR.O FixedReset 1.24 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-06-01
Maturity Price : 18.85
Evaluated at bid price : 18.85
Bid-YTW : 4.36 %
SLF.PR.G FixedReset 1.24 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 14.68
Bid-YTW : 9.27 %
MFC.PR.F FixedReset 1.24 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 13.85
Bid-YTW : 10.06 %
BMO.PR.Q FixedReset 1.26 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 20.86
Bid-YTW : 5.45 %
TRP.PR.H FloatingReset 1.27 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-06-01
Maturity Price : 10.33
Evaluated at bid price : 10.33
Bid-YTW : 4.40 %
HSE.PR.E FixedReset 1.28 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-06-01
Maturity Price : 19.85
Evaluated at bid price : 19.85
Bid-YTW : 5.64 %
HSE.PR.A FixedReset 1.31 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-06-01
Maturity Price : 11.56
Evaluated at bid price : 11.56
Bid-YTW : 5.47 %
BAM.PR.R FixedReset 1.32 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-06-01
Maturity Price : 15.40
Evaluated at bid price : 15.40
Bid-YTW : 5.11 %
BAM.PR.Z FixedReset 1.33 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-06-01
Maturity Price : 19.86
Evaluated at bid price : 19.86
Bid-YTW : 4.93 %
FTS.PR.G FixedReset 1.37 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-06-01
Maturity Price : 16.98
Evaluated at bid price : 16.98
Bid-YTW : 4.49 %
CU.PR.C FixedReset 1.39 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-06-01
Maturity Price : 18.25
Evaluated at bid price : 18.25
Bid-YTW : 4.45 %
CM.PR.Q FixedReset 1.49 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-06-01
Maturity Price : 20.40
Evaluated at bid price : 20.40
Bid-YTW : 4.44 %
TRP.PR.I FloatingReset 1.51 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-06-01
Maturity Price : 11.45
Evaluated at bid price : 11.45
Bid-YTW : 4.59 %
TRP.PR.E FixedReset 1.59 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-06-01
Maturity Price : 18.54
Evaluated at bid price : 18.54
Bid-YTW : 4.56 %
IAG.PR.G FixedReset 1.67 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 20.64
Bid-YTW : 6.35 %
FTS.PR.M FixedReset 1.71 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-06-01
Maturity Price : 19.07
Evaluated at bid price : 19.07
Bid-YTW : 4.52 %
RY.PR.J FixedReset 1.84 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-06-01
Maturity Price : 19.91
Evaluated at bid price : 19.91
Bid-YTW : 4.48 %
BAM.PR.T FixedReset 1.87 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-06-01
Maturity Price : 15.80
Evaluated at bid price : 15.80
Bid-YTW : 5.10 %
IFC.PR.A FixedReset 1.96 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 16.16
Bid-YTW : 8.98 %
MFC.PR.I FixedReset 2.11 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 21.34
Bid-YTW : 5.95 %
MFC.PR.L FixedReset 2.12 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 19.30
Bid-YTW : 6.86 %
TRP.PR.G FixedReset 2.77 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-06-01
Maturity Price : 19.67
Evaluated at bid price : 19.67
Bid-YTW : 4.81 %
TRP.PR.A FixedReset 2.94 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-06-01
Maturity Price : 15.04
Evaluated at bid price : 15.04
Bid-YTW : 4.70 %
TRP.PR.D FixedReset 3.13 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-06-01
Maturity Price : 18.15
Evaluated at bid price : 18.15
Bid-YTW : 4.60 %
Volume Highlights
Issue Index Shares
Traded
Notes
TRP.PR.J FixedReset 355,584 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2021-05-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.70
Bid-YTW : 4.90 %
TD.PF.G FixedReset 255,403 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2021-04-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.11
Bid-YTW : 4.62 %
RY.PR.R FixedReset 184,693 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2021-08-24
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.39
Bid-YTW : 4.60 %
BNS.PR.G FixedReset 163,173 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2021-07-25
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.22
Bid-YTW : 4.72 %
HSE.PR.A FixedReset 110,600 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-06-01
Maturity Price : 11.56
Evaluated at bid price : 11.56
Bid-YTW : 5.47 %
POW.PR.G Perpetual-Premium 107,180 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2021-04-15
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.43
Bid-YTW : 5.40 %
There were 40 other index-included issues trading in excess of 10,000 shares.
Wide Spread Highlights
Issue Index Quote Data and Yield Notes
GWO.PR.N FixedReset Quote: 14.00 – 14.74
Spot Rate : 0.7400
Average : 0.5557

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 14.00
Bid-YTW : 9.79 %

TD.PR.Z FloatingReset Quote: 21.37 – 21.87
Spot Rate : 0.5000
Average : 0.3366

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 21.37
Bid-YTW : 5.27 %

TRP.PR.H FloatingReset Quote: 10.33 – 11.00
Spot Rate : 0.6700
Average : 0.5214

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-06-01
Maturity Price : 10.33
Evaluated at bid price : 10.33
Bid-YTW : 4.40 %

HSE.PR.C FixedReset Quote: 18.00 – 18.40
Spot Rate : 0.4000
Average : 0.2822

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-06-01
Maturity Price : 18.00
Evaluated at bid price : 18.00
Bid-YTW : 5.74 %

ELF.PR.H Perpetual-Discount Quote: 24.30 – 24.65
Spot Rate : 0.3500
Average : 0.2354

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-06-01
Maturity Price : 23.83
Evaluated at bid price : 24.30
Bid-YTW : 5.72 %

FTS.PR.K FixedReset Quote: 17.31 – 17.65
Spot Rate : 0.3400
Average : 0.2287

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-06-01
Maturity Price : 17.31
Evaluated at bid price : 17.31
Bid-YTW : 4.37 %

Issue Comments

EMA Coverage Discontinued by DBRS

DBRS has announced that it:

has today discontinued the Issuer Rating, Medium-Term Notes and Preferred Shares – Cumulative ratings of Emera Inc. (Emera or the Company). The ratings are being discontinued at the Company’s request. Prior to the rating discontinuation, Emera’s ratings were Under Review with Developing Implications following the announcement that the Company agreed to acquire TECO Energy Incorporated on September 4, 2015.

This follows the announcement by Emera:

that in connection with the proposed offering of unsecured, subordinated notes (the “Hybrid Notes”) of Emera, it has filed a preliminary short form base shelf prospectus (the “Base Shelf”) with the Nova Scotia Securities Commission (the “NSSC”) under the United States / Canada Multijurisdictional Disclosure System and a corresponding shelf registration statement (the “Registration Statement”) with the United States Securities and Exchange Commission (the “SEC”) on Form F-10.

In addition, Emera announced today that: (i) Emera US Finance LP (the “U.S. Notes Issuer”), a limited partnership wholly-owned directly and indirectly by Emera, intends to issue multiple series of United States dollar denominated senior, unsecured notes (the “U.S. Notes”), fully and unconditionally guaranteed by Emera US Holdings Inc., a wholly-owned subsidiary of Emera (“EUSHI”) and Emera (together with EUSHI, the “Guarantors”), pursuant to an offering memorandum; and (ii) Emera intends to issue one or more series of Canadian dollar denominated senior, unsecured notes (the “Canadian Notes”), and may issue Canadian dollar denominated unsecured, subordinated notes, in each case, on a private placement basis in each of the provinces of Canada pursuant to an offering memorandum.

Emera has filed the Base Shelf and Registration Statement relating to the proposed offering of the Hybrid Notes and is separately undertaking the proposed offerings of the U.S. Notes and the Canadian Notes, and may undertake an offering of Canadian dollar denominated unsecured, subordinated notes, to raise up to approximately Cdn$6.6 billion in the aggregate as part of the financing of the previously announced acquisition of TECO Energy, Inc. (“TECO Energy”) by Emera (the “Acquisition”).

Upon the closing of the Acquisition, Emera intends to use the net proceeds from any offering of Hybrid Notes, U.S. Notes and/or Canadian Notes to finance, directly or indirectly, part of the purchase price payable for the Acquisition (including acquisition-related expenses) and to reduce amounts outstanding under the credit facilities established in favour of Emera to fund the purchase price payable for the Acquisition, to the extent any amounts are drawn on such facilities in connection with the Acquisition. If certain of the net proceeds from any offering of Hybrid Notes, U.S. Notes or Canadian Notes are not otherwise required to complete the Acquisition, Emera intends to use such net proceeds for general corporate purposes.

If (i) the Acquisition is not consummated on or prior to the later of December 31, 2016 and the date that is no later than June 30, 2017 if the closing of the Acquisition has been extended by Emera or TECO Energy in accordance with the terms of the agreement and plan of merger relating to the Acquisition (the “Acquisition Agreement”) (as such date may be extended, the “special mandatory redemption triggering date”) or (ii) the Acquisition Agreement is terminated at any time prior to the special mandatory redemption triggering date, then Emera will be required to redeem any Hybrid Notes and may be required to redeem the Canadian Notes and the U.S. Notes Issuer will be required to redeem any U.S. Notes.

Standard & Poor’s has announced:

  • •Nova Scotia-based electric utility Emera Inc. has announced its intention to issue subordinated hybrid notes and senior unsecured notes to finance in part its purchase of TECO Energy.
  • •At the same time, Emera has announced its intention to issue senior unsecured notes in the U.S. through its wholly owned and unconditionally guaranteed subsidiary, Emera US Finance LP.
  • •We are assigning our ‘BBB’ issue-level rating to the senior unsecured notes of Emera and Emera US Finance L.P., and our ‘BBB-‘ issue-level rating to Emera’s subordinated hybrid notes.


S&P Global Ratings today said it assigned its ‘BBB’ issue-level rating to Emera Inc. and Emera US Finance L.P.’s proposed senior unsecured notes. We expect that total issuance between the two entities of senior unsecured notes will be approximately US$3.4 billion. In addition, we have assigned our ‘BBB-‘ issue-level rating to Emera’s proposed subordinated hybrid note issuance. We expect that total issuance of hybrid notes will be up to approximately US$1.25 billion. These issuances are to finance in part Emera’s purchase of TECO Energy.

EMA had been rated Pfd-3(high) by DBRS; it is rated P-2(low) by S&P.

Affected issues are EMA.PR.A, EMA.PR.B, EMA.PR.C, EMA.PR.E and EMA.PR.F.

Issue Comments

DFN.PR.A To Get Bigger

Quadravest has announced:

Dividend 15 Split Corp. (the “Company”) is pleased to announce it has filed a preliminary short form prospectus in each of the provinces of Canada with respect to an offering of Preferred Shares and Class A Shares of the Company. The offering will be co-led by National Bank Financial Inc., CIBC, RBC Capital Markets, and will also include Scotia Capital Inc., TD Securities Inc., BMO Capital Markets, GMP Securities L.P., Canaccord Genuity Corp., Raymond James, Desjardins Securities Inc., Mackie Research Capital Corporation and Manulife Securities Incorporated.

The Preferred Shares will be offered at a price of $10.00 per Preferred Share to yield 5.25% and the Class A Shares will be offered at a price of $10.50 per Class A Share to yield 11.43%. The closing price on the TSX of each of the Preferred Shares and the Class A Shares on May 31, 2016 was $10.16 and $10.87, respectively.

Since inception of the Company, the aggregate dividends declared on the Preferred Shares have been $6.41 per share and the aggregate dividends declared on the Class A Shares have been $18.10 per share (including five special distributions of $0.25 per share, one special distribution of $0.50 per share and one special stock dividend of $1.75 per share), for a combined total of $24.51 per unit. All distributions to date have been made in tax advantage eligible Canadian dividends or capital gains dividends.

The net proceeds of the offering will be used by the Company to invest in an actively managed, high quality portfolio consisting of 15 dividend yielding Canadian companies as follows:

Bank of Montreal Enbridge Inc. TELUS Corporation
The Bank of Nova Scotia Manulife Financial Corp. Thomson-Reuters Corporation
BCE Inc. National Bank of Canada The Toronto-Dominion Bank
Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce Royal Bank of Canada TransAlta Corporation
CI Financial Corp. Sun Life Financial Inc. TransCanada Corporation

The Company’s investment objectives are:
Preferred Shares:
i. to provide holders of the Preferred Shares with fixed, cumulative preferential monthly cash dividends in the amount of 5.25% annually; and
ii. on or about the termination date, currently December 1, 2019 (subject to further 5 year extensions thereafter), to pay the holders of the Preferred Shares $10.00 per Preferred Share.

Class A Shares:
i. to provide holders of the Class A Shares with regular monthly cash dividends currently targeted to be $0.10 per share; and
ii. on or about the termination date, currently December 1, 2019 (subject to further 5 year extensions thereafter) to pay holders of Class A Shares at least the original issue price of those shares.

The sales period of this overnight offering will end at 9:00 a.m. EST on June 2, 2016.

DFN.PR.A was last mentioned on PrefBlog when it successfully concluded a $94-million treasury offering in May, 2015.

Update, 2016-6-13: Raised $47.7-million:

Dividend 15 Split Corp. (the “Company”) is pleased to announce it has completed the overnight marketing of up to 2,328,000 Preferred Shares and up to 2,328,000 Class A Shares of the Company. The total proceeds of the offering are expected to be approximately $47.7 million.

Update, 2016-6-16: Closed:

Dividend 15 Split Corp. (the “Company”) is pleased to announce it has completed the overnight offering of 2,328,000 Preferred Shares and 2,328,000 Class A Shares of the Company. Total proceeds of the offering were $47.7 million, bringing the Company’s net asset to approximately $580.6 million. The shares will trade on the Toronto Stock Exchange under the existing symbols of DFN.PR.A (Preferred Shares) and DFN (Class A Shares).

The Preferred Shares were offered at a price of $10.00 per Preferred Share to yield 5.25% and the Class A Shares were offered at a price of $10.50 per Class A Share to yield 11.43%.

The offering was co-led by National Bank Financial Inc., CIBC, RBC Capital Markets, and also included Scotia Capital Inc., TD Securities Inc., BMO Capital Markets, GMP Securities L.P., Canaccord Genuity Corp., Raymond James, Desjardins Securities Inc., Mackie Research Capital Corporation and Manulife Securities Incorporated.

Market Action

May 31, 2016

Weakness in the Canadian economy late in first quarter is stoking fears of contraction:

Despite the solid growth, the first-quarter result was well below the 2.8 per cent average estimate of economists, and a far cry from forecasts of more than 3 per cent from just a few weeks ago, testament to the disappointingly weak finish to the quarter. March’s real GDP was down 0.2 per cent month over month, even worse than the 0.1-per-cent decline economists had anticipated, marking the second straight month of contraction after a booming start to the year.

In March, the big drag on growth was from the beleaguered energy sector, which slumped 1.5 per cent month over month. A sharp drop in drilling activity sent oil and gas support services down 14 per cent in the month, while oil and gas extraction fell 0.8 per cent. The manufacturing sector dipped 0.2 per cent in March, adding to its 0.9-per-cent slowdown in February. And retail sales fell 1.3 per cent, reversing course after two straight months of gains.

Overall, output from goods-producing industries slumped 0.8 per cent in March, their worst performance in six months. Services-producing industries were flat for the second straight month.

I confess that I’m surprised to see EU boffins say something sensible about the new economy:

European Union governments should not ban services like home-rental site Airbnb or ride-hailing app Uber except as a last resort, the EU says in new guidelines, seeking to rein in a crackdown on the “sharing economy”.

In guidelines seen by Reuters, the European Commission said any restrictions by EU member states on these new online services should be justified and proportionate to the public interest at stake.

“Total bans of an activity constitute a measure of last resort that should be applied only if and where no less restrictive requirements to attain a public interest can be used,” the draft document says.

In the case of room-renting sites like Airbnb, the Commission said banning short-term lets of apartments “appears difficult to justify” when limits on the maximum number of days apartments can be rented out would be more appropriate.

The guidelines will come as good news for the likes of Uber and Airbnb, which have faced outright bans or restrictions in some cities as established industry players complain of unfair competition.

There is fierce competition in the drones market to make the transition from toys to tools:

So Shenzhen-based DJI is pouring money into its development kit, which allows software developers to write their own applications for specific tasks, similar to the way Apple Inc. does for its iPhones.

Up for grabs is a market for aerial mining surveys, pipeline inspection, search and rescue, crop spraying and hundreds of other commercial tasks that’s expected to reach $127 billion by 2020.

Farmers were some of the earliest civil adopters, using drones to identify differences in crop conditions. Yamaha Motor Co. has been dusting crops in Japan with UAVs for more than two decades. With the cost dropping for cargo-carrying drones, DJI and others are building crop-spraying and remote sensing vehicles that can help reduce chemical use and improve yields. It has been estimated that precision agriculture will account for about 80 percent of the U.S. market for commercial UAVs.

The Rwandan government partnered with San Francisco-based Zipline to fly blood bags at 100 kilometers per hour to remote hospitals. Other to watch are Matternet in Menlo Park, California, and startup Flirtey, which said it made the first FAA-approved urban drone delivery of an emergency kit in the U.S. this year.

Steve Denning of Forbes comes up with a provocative but plausible explanation of US malaise:

• A study published in December 2015 by the National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) shows that start-up activity has been slowing down in the United States for about three decades, dropping sharply over the past 10 years. New firms accounted for about 13% of all companies in the late 1980s, but only about 8% two decades later. In the 1980s and 1990s, small number of young, innovative, and dynamic companies grew at very high rates. But in the post-2000 period, startups contributed less to U.S. job creation than they did in earlier decades.

• The Kauffman Foundation reports that the percentage of adults owning a business has been declining since the 1990s, when the foundation first began to track that number.

• A study by the Brookings Institution found that the start-up rate (the number of new companies as a percentage of all firms) has fallen by nearly half since 1978.

A rather more obvious suspect [for the cause of declining entrepreneurship] is the burden of Americans’ $1.2 trillion in student loan debt.

A 2013 report by the think tank Demos found that student debt has a negative effect on income, by making borrowers more risk-averse and discouraging them from moving to another city or taking gambles on new jobs or launching a new business. Even more seriously, student loan borrowers save less early on in their lives, and they tend to be more conservative with their investments, due to constraints on income and credit. When even investing in a home seems too risky, launching a new business is even less likely.

The student debt crisis is transforming the saving, spending and investment behavior of an entire generation, and is transforming the economy along with it. The trend is not a good one.

Through a set of collective missteps, America has opted to put a crushing debt burden on the segment of society that can least afford it and the group that has the most to contribute the future. This is not just a question of social justice: it is nothing less than an issue of national economic survival.

Unless lawmakers across the country take radical action to address the skyrocketing cost of college, and attendant student debt burden, we can expect U.S. entrepreneurship to continue its frightening decline.

Assiduous Readers who are amused at the emergence of Donald Trump and the Angry White Boys in the US should take a look at the Globe & Mail comments section any time there is a story on Vancouver real-estate. There is a huge population of old-stock Canadians who are entitled to a good career and a detached house in Vancouver. Now that the former is getting more elusive and the latter has roared out of reach for most, they are incensed at the crooks from China who have taken it all away from them; I wouldn’t be surprised to see a fringe party emerge in British Columbia in the next little while.

And finally, for your month-end interest and delectation, is the Official TSX Quote for HSE.PR.B:

HSEPRBquote_160531
Click for Big

Yes, you read that right, 10.55-22.00, 1×5. I have not checked whether this lamentable state of affairs is due to inadequate Toronto Stock Exchange reporting or inadequate Toronto Stock Exchange supervision of market-makers.

HIMIPref™ Preferred Indices
These values reflect the December 2008 revision of the HIMIPref™ Indices

Values are provisional and are finalized monthly
Index Mean
Current
Yield
(at bid)
Median
YTW
Median
Average
Trading
Value
Median
Mod Dur
(YTW)
Issues Day’s Perf. Index Value
Ratchet 4.66 % 5.65 % 10,803 17.12 1 1.7544 % 1,700.2
FixedFloater 6.51 % 5.65 % 17,398 16.88 1 1.7422 % 3,106.0
Floater 4.34 % 4.49 % 44,162 16.37 4 -0.6838 % 1,790.0
OpRet 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.0346 % 2,836.1
SplitShare 4.93 % 5.00 % 81,673 3.91 7 0.0346 % 3,318.8
Interest-Bearing 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.0346 % 2,589.4
Perpetual-Premium 5.73 % -15.97 % 84,703 0.09 6 0.1895 % 2,613.4
Perpetual-Discount 5.42 % 5.45 % 104,971 14.57 33 0.0364 % 2,705.6
FixedReset 5.13 % 4.64 % 159,555 7.43 88 0.0614 % 1,997.3
Deemed-Retractible 5.13 % 5.31 % 132,378 4.98 33 -0.0237 % 2,696.9
FloatingReset 3.15 % 5.01 % 23,896 5.25 17 0.2960 % 2,112.1
Performance Highlights
Issue Index Change Notes
TRP.PR.H FloatingReset -3.77 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-05-31
Maturity Price : 10.20
Evaluated at bid price : 10.20
Bid-YTW : 4.45 %
BAM.PR.T FixedReset -2.45 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-05-31
Maturity Price : 15.51
Evaluated at bid price : 15.51
Bid-YTW : 5.20 %
BAM.PR.R FixedReset -1.68 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-05-31
Maturity Price : 15.20
Evaluated at bid price : 15.20
Bid-YTW : 5.18 %
BMO.PR.Y FixedReset -1.45 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-05-31
Maturity Price : 20.40
Evaluated at bid price : 20.40
Bid-YTW : 4.40 %
BAM.PR.C Floater -1.41 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-05-31
Maturity Price : 10.50
Evaluated at bid price : 10.50
Bid-YTW : 4.56 %
TRP.PR.G FixedReset -1.34 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-05-31
Maturity Price : 19.14
Evaluated at bid price : 19.14
Bid-YTW : 4.94 %
MFC.PR.F FixedReset -1.30 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 13.68
Bid-YTW : 10.22 %
BMO.PR.M FixedReset -1.27 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 23.30
Bid-YTW : 4.21 %
BAM.PR.B Floater -1.11 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-05-31
Maturity Price : 10.67
Evaluated at bid price : 10.67
Bid-YTW : 4.49 %
W.PR.J Perpetual-Discount -1.03 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-05-31
Maturity Price : 23.88
Evaluated at bid price : 24.13
Bid-YTW : 5.88 %
BAM.PF.A FixedReset 1.03 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-05-31
Maturity Price : 19.61
Evaluated at bid price : 19.61
Bid-YTW : 4.93 %
BAM.PR.X FixedReset 1.08 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-05-31
Maturity Price : 14.10
Evaluated at bid price : 14.10
Bid-YTW : 4.90 %
BIP.PR.A FixedReset 1.16 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-05-31
Maturity Price : 19.26
Evaluated at bid price : 19.26
Bid-YTW : 5.70 %
MFC.PR.N FixedReset 1.27 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 20.00
Bid-YTW : 6.49 %
FTS.PR.K FixedReset 1.28 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-05-31
Maturity Price : 17.38
Evaluated at bid price : 17.38
Bid-YTW : 4.35 %
TRP.PR.C FixedReset 1.29 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-05-31
Maturity Price : 12.54
Evaluated at bid price : 12.54
Bid-YTW : 4.66 %
SLF.PR.G FixedReset 1.40 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 14.50
Bid-YTW : 9.44 %
GWO.PR.O FloatingReset 1.60 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 13.10
Bid-YTW : 10.24 %
BAM.PR.G FixedFloater 1.74 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-05-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 14.60
Bid-YTW : 5.65 %
BAM.PR.E Ratchet 1.75 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-05-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 14.50
Bid-YTW : 5.65 %
TRP.PR.F FloatingReset 1.84 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-05-31
Maturity Price : 13.85
Evaluated at bid price : 13.85
Bid-YTW : 4.43 %
CIU.PR.C FixedReset 2.08 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-05-31
Maturity Price : 12.25
Evaluated at bid price : 12.25
Bid-YTW : 4.42 %
BMO.PR.Q FixedReset 2.23 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 20.60
Bid-YTW : 5.69 %
PWF.PR.Q FloatingReset 3.12 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-05-31
Maturity Price : 12.90
Evaluated at bid price : 12.90
Bid-YTW : 4.18 %
FTS.PR.I FloatingReset 4.17 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-05-31
Maturity Price : 11.98
Evaluated at bid price : 11.98
Bid-YTW : 4.16 %
Volume Highlights
Issue Index Shares
Traded
Notes
TRP.PR.J FixedReset 114,764 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2021-05-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.70
Bid-YTW : 4.89 %
IFC.PR.A FixedReset 72,625 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 15.85
Bid-YTW : 9.26 %
TD.PF.G FixedReset 63,670 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2021-04-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.13
Bid-YTW : 4.60 %
BNS.PR.G FixedReset 53,485 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2021-07-25
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.18
Bid-YTW : 4.75 %
TD.PR.Y FixedReset 39,900 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 23.25
Bid-YTW : 4.46 %
RY.PR.H FixedReset 38,232 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-05-31
Maturity Price : 18.40
Evaluated at bid price : 18.40
Bid-YTW : 4.37 %
There were 30 other index-included issues trading in excess of 10,000 shares.
Wide Spread Highlights
Issue Index Quote Data and Yield Notes
HSE.PR.B FloatingReset Quote: 10.55 – 12.55
Spot Rate : 2.0000
Average : 1.3418

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-05-31
Maturity Price : 10.55
Evaluated at bid price : 10.55
Bid-YTW : 5.46 %

TRP.PR.B FixedReset Quote: 11.95 – 12.55
Spot Rate : 0.6000
Average : 0.3769

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-05-31
Maturity Price : 11.95
Evaluated at bid price : 11.95
Bid-YTW : 4.37 %

RY.PR.M FixedReset Quote: 19.30 – 19.77
Spot Rate : 0.4700
Average : 0.2957

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-05-31
Maturity Price : 19.30
Evaluated at bid price : 19.30
Bid-YTW : 4.50 %

TD.PF.F Perpetual-Discount Quote: 24.40 – 24.78
Spot Rate : 0.3800
Average : 0.2370

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-05-31
Maturity Price : 24.03
Evaluated at bid price : 24.40
Bid-YTW : 5.06 %

GWO.PR.F Deemed-Retractible Quote: 25.55 – 25.99
Spot Rate : 0.4400
Average : 0.2992

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2016-06-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.55
Bid-YTW : -24.81 %

PWF.PR.P FixedReset Quote: 13.32 – 13.76
Spot Rate : 0.4400
Average : 0.3099

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-05-31
Maturity Price : 13.32
Evaluated at bid price : 13.32
Bid-YTW : 4.49 %

Market Action

May 30, 2016

Treasury markets, such as they were, were weak today:

Ten-year Treasury futures contracts for September delivery slid 14/32, or $4.38 per $1,000 face amount, to 129 9/32 as of 11:07 a.m. in New York, based on electronic trading at the Chicago Board of Trade. It was the biggest decline since May 18.

The odds of a rate increase in June implied by federal funds futures climbed to 34 percent from 30 percent on May 27. They rise to 80 percent by year-end, up from 74 percent three days previously

HIMIPref™ Preferred Indices
These values reflect the December 2008 revision of the HIMIPref™ Indices

Values are provisional and are finalized monthly
Index Mean
Current
Yield
(at bid)
Median
YTW
Median
Average
Trading
Value
Median
Mod Dur
(YTW)
Issues Day’s Perf. Index Value
Ratchet 4.74 % 5.75 % 10,670 17.00 1 -2.0619 % 1,670.9
FixedFloater 6.62 % 5.75 % 17,193 16.75 1 -1.7123 % 3,052.8
Floater 4.31 % 4.43 % 42,538 16.47 4 0.6423 % 1,802.3
OpRet 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.0809 % 2,835.1
SplitShare 4.94 % 5.17 % 80,249 3.92 7 0.0809 % 3,317.6
Interest-Bearing 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.0809 % 2,588.5
Perpetual-Premium 5.74 % -14.66 % 85,844 0.09 6 0.0458 % 2,608.4
Perpetual-Discount 5.42 % 5.46 % 105,283 14.57 33 0.2753 % 2,704.6
FixedReset 5.13 % 4.65 % 164,119 7.41 88 0.3287 % 1,996.1
Deemed-Retractible 5.10 % 5.43 % 131,832 4.86 33 0.2356 % 2,697.6
FloatingReset 3.16 % 5.00 % 25,401 5.25 17 -0.1061 % 2,105.9
Performance Highlights
Issue Index Change Notes
BAM.PR.E Ratchet -2.06 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-05-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 14.25
Bid-YTW : 5.75 %
BAM.PR.G FixedFloater -1.71 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-05-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 14.35
Bid-YTW : 5.75 %
TRP.PR.I FloatingReset -1.32 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-05-30
Maturity Price : 11.25
Evaluated at bid price : 11.25
Bid-YTW : 4.67 %
FTS.PR.I FloatingReset -1.12 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-05-30
Maturity Price : 11.50
Evaluated at bid price : 11.50
Bid-YTW : 4.33 %
SLF.PR.H FixedReset 1.05 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 16.49
Bid-YTW : 8.61 %
BAM.PF.E FixedReset 1.08 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-05-30
Maturity Price : 18.72
Evaluated at bid price : 18.72
Bid-YTW : 4.85 %
IAG.PR.A Deemed-Retractible 1.08 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 21.85
Bid-YTW : 6.50 %
GWO.PR.I Deemed-Retractible 1.10 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 22.10
Bid-YTW : 6.41 %
CU.PR.C FixedReset 1.18 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-05-30
Maturity Price : 18.00
Evaluated at bid price : 18.00
Bid-YTW : 4.51 %
FTS.PR.J Perpetual-Discount 1.34 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-05-30
Maturity Price : 22.37
Evaluated at bid price : 22.66
Bid-YTW : 5.25 %
FTS.PR.F Perpetual-Discount 1.35 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-05-30
Maturity Price : 23.03
Evaluated at bid price : 23.30
Bid-YTW : 5.27 %
CCS.PR.C Deemed-Retractible 1.41 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 22.86
Bid-YTW : 6.27 %
TRP.PR.H FloatingReset 1.44 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-05-30
Maturity Price : 10.60
Evaluated at bid price : 10.60
Bid-YTW : 4.28 %
MFC.PR.G FixedReset 1.46 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 20.15
Bid-YTW : 6.71 %
MFC.PR.N FixedReset 1.54 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 19.75
Bid-YTW : 6.66 %
TRP.PR.C FixedReset 1.64 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-05-30
Maturity Price : 12.38
Evaluated at bid price : 12.38
Bid-YTW : 4.72 %
BAM.PF.G FixedReset 1.65 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-05-30
Maturity Price : 20.34
Evaluated at bid price : 20.34
Bid-YTW : 4.78 %
BAM.PF.B FixedReset 1.68 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-05-30
Maturity Price : 18.15
Evaluated at bid price : 18.15
Bid-YTW : 4.97 %
TRP.PR.B FixedReset 1.71 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-05-30
Maturity Price : 11.90
Evaluated at bid price : 11.90
Bid-YTW : 4.39 %
BMO.PR.T FixedReset 1.83 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-05-30
Maturity Price : 18.34
Evaluated at bid price : 18.34
Bid-YTW : 4.36 %
MFC.PR.M FixedReset 2.00 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 19.90
Bid-YTW : 6.62 %
Volume Highlights
Issue Index Shares
Traded
Notes
TRP.PR.D FixedReset 230,297 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-05-30
Maturity Price : 17.60
Evaluated at bid price : 17.60
Bid-YTW : 4.75 %
CU.PR.C FixedReset 125,286 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-05-30
Maturity Price : 18.00
Evaluated at bid price : 18.00
Bid-YTW : 4.51 %
POW.PR.D Perpetual-Discount 105,800 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-05-30
Maturity Price : 22.70
Evaluated at bid price : 22.94
Bid-YTW : 5.52 %
TD.PF.G FixedReset 48,720 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2021-04-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.15
Bid-YTW : 4.58 %
BMO.PR.K Deemed-Retractible 31,000 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2016-06-29
Maturity Price : 25.25
Evaluated at bid price : 25.60
Bid-YTW : -10.43 %
RY.PR.C Deemed-Retractible 30,706 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2016-06-29
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.20
Bid-YTW : -4.15 %
There were 12 other index-included issues trading in excess of 10,000 shares.
Wide Spread Highlights
Issue Index Quote Data and Yield Notes
POW.PR.G Perpetual-Discount Quote: 25.39 – 26.50
Spot Rate : 1.1100
Average : 0.6385

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2021-04-15
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.39
Bid-YTW : 5.43 %

BAM.PR.E Ratchet Quote: 14.25 – 15.14
Spot Rate : 0.8900
Average : 0.6597

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-05-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 14.25
Bid-YTW : 5.75 %

SLF.PR.G FixedReset Quote: 14.30 – 14.80
Spot Rate : 0.5000
Average : 0.3335

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 14.30
Bid-YTW : 9.62 %

TD.PF.A FixedReset Quote: 18.51 – 18.98
Spot Rate : 0.4700
Average : 0.3117

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-05-30
Maturity Price : 18.51
Evaluated at bid price : 18.51
Bid-YTW : 4.37 %

GWO.PR.O FloatingReset Quote: 13.00 – 13.95
Spot Rate : 0.9500
Average : 0.8241

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 13.00
Bid-YTW : 10.46 %

GWO.PR.N FixedReset Quote: 14.06 – 14.50
Spot Rate : 0.4400
Average : 0.3246

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 14.06
Bid-YTW : 9.85 %

Market Action

May 27, 2017

Janet Yellen did some modest sabre-rattling:

Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen said the ongoing improvement in the U.S. economy would warrant another interest rate increase “in the coming months,” stopping short of giving an explicit hint that the central bank would act in June.

“It’s appropriate — and I’ve said this in the past — for the Fed to gradually and cautiously increase our overnight interest rate over time,” Yellen said Friday during remarks at Harvard University in Cambridge, Massachusetts. “Probably in the coming months such a move would be appropriate.”

“The economy is continuing to improve,” she said in a discussion with Harvard economics professor Gregory Mankiw. She added that she expects “inflation will move up over the next couple of years to our 2 percent objective,” provided headwinds holding down price pressures, including energy prices and a stronger dollar, stabilize alongside an improving labor market.

Several regional Fed presidents, ranging from Boston Fed President Eric Rosengren to San Francisco’s John Williams, have in recent weeks urged financial market participants to take more seriously the chances of a rate hike in the next two months, pointing to continued signs of steady if unspectacular growth in the U.S. economy and the waning of risks posed by global economic and financial conditions.

hikeChance_160527
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HIMIPref™ Preferred Indices
These values reflect the December 2008 revision of the HIMIPref™ Indices

Values are provisional and are finalized monthly
Index Mean
Current
Yield
(at bid)
Median
YTW
Median
Average
Trading
Value
Median
Mod Dur
(YTW)
Issues Day’s Perf. Index Value
Ratchet 4.64 % 5.62 % 10,825 17.16 1 0.7328 % 1,706.1
FixedFloater 6.51 % 5.65 % 17,890 16.89 1 3.5461 % 3,106.0
Floater 4.34 % 4.46 % 42,921 16.43 4 1.6321 % 1,790.8
OpRet 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 -0.0489 % 2,832.8
SplitShare 4.94 % 5.18 % 80,930 3.92 7 -0.0489 % 3,314.9
Interest-Bearing 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 -0.0489 % 2,586.4
Perpetual-Premium 5.74 % -14.32 % 86,088 0.09 6 0.1375 % 2,607.2
Perpetual-Discount 5.44 % 5.54 % 106,458 14.53 33 0.2040 % 2,697.2
FixedReset 5.15 % 4.65 % 165,326 7.42 88 0.4436 % 1,989.5
Deemed-Retractible 5.10 % 5.61 % 129,747 4.99 33 0.1107 % 2,691.2
FloatingReset 3.17 % 4.99 % 25,906 5.26 17 0.0215 % 2,108.1
Performance Highlights
Issue Index Change Notes
PWF.PR.Q FloatingReset -3.69 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-05-27
Maturity Price : 12.52
Evaluated at bid price : 12.52
Bid-YTW : 4.33 %
IAG.PR.A Deemed-Retractible -1.79 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 21.90
Bid-YTW : 6.65 %
HSE.PR.B FloatingReset -1.40 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-05-27
Maturity Price : 10.60
Evaluated at bid price : 10.60
Bid-YTW : 5.46 %
BMO.PR.T FixedReset -1.37 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-05-27
Maturity Price : 18.01
Evaluated at bid price : 18.01
Bid-YTW : 4.41 %
BNS.PR.R FixedReset -1.27 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 23.35
Bid-YTW : 4.60 %
CIU.PR.C FixedReset -1.23 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-05-27
Maturity Price : 12.00
Evaluated at bid price : 12.00
Bid-YTW : 4.47 %
MFC.PR.M FixedReset -1.22 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 19.51
Bid-YTW : 6.88 %
BAM.PF.G FixedReset 1.06 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-05-27
Maturity Price : 20.01
Evaluated at bid price : 20.01
Bid-YTW : 4.84 %
TRP.PR.F FloatingReset 1.18 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-05-27
Maturity Price : 13.61
Evaluated at bid price : 13.61
Bid-YTW : 4.53 %
BAM.PF.E FixedReset 1.20 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-05-27
Maturity Price : 18.52
Evaluated at bid price : 18.52
Bid-YTW : 4.88 %
BAM.PR.X FixedReset 1.23 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-05-27
Maturity Price : 14.02
Evaluated at bid price : 14.02
Bid-YTW : 4.89 %
BAM.PF.A FixedReset 1.26 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-05-27
Maturity Price : 19.29
Evaluated at bid price : 19.29
Bid-YTW : 4.98 %
BMO.PR.Q FixedReset 1.30 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 20.26
Bid-YTW : 5.98 %
TRP.PR.G FixedReset 1.31 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-05-27
Maturity Price : 19.30
Evaluated at bid price : 19.30
Bid-YTW : 4.88 %
TRP.PR.H FloatingReset 1.36 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-05-27
Maturity Price : 10.45
Evaluated at bid price : 10.45
Bid-YTW : 4.37 %
BAM.PF.B FixedReset 1.36 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-05-27
Maturity Price : 17.85
Evaluated at bid price : 17.85
Bid-YTW : 5.03 %
TD.PF.D FixedReset 1.46 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-05-27
Maturity Price : 20.10
Evaluated at bid price : 20.10
Bid-YTW : 4.48 %
NA.PR.Q FixedReset 1.47 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 24.15
Bid-YTW : 4.08 %
BAM.PR.B Floater 1.51 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-05-27
Maturity Price : 10.73
Evaluated at bid price : 10.73
Bid-YTW : 4.46 %
BAM.PR.K Floater 1.92 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-05-27
Maturity Price : 10.61
Evaluated at bid price : 10.61
Bid-YTW : 4.51 %
HSE.PR.E FixedReset 1.92 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-05-27
Maturity Price : 19.62
Evaluated at bid price : 19.62
Bid-YTW : 5.68 %
BAM.PF.F FixedReset 1.99 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-05-27
Maturity Price : 19.95
Evaluated at bid price : 19.95
Bid-YTW : 4.83 %
BIP.PR.B FixedReset 2.30 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2020-12-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.19
Bid-YTW : 5.22 %
IFC.PR.A FixedReset 2.58 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 15.91
Bid-YTW : 9.16 %
BNS.PR.Y FixedReset 2.60 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 20.51
Bid-YTW : 5.58 %
BNS.PR.Z FixedReset 2.72 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 20.41
Bid-YTW : 5.98 %
BAM.PR.Z FixedReset 3.01 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-05-27
Maturity Price : 19.50
Evaluated at bid price : 19.50
Bid-YTW : 4.99 %
BAM.PR.T FixedReset 3.21 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-05-27
Maturity Price : 15.75
Evaluated at bid price : 15.75
Bid-YTW : 5.08 %
BAM.PR.G FixedFloater 3.55 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-05-27
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 14.60
Bid-YTW : 5.65 %
BAM.PR.C Floater 3.82 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-05-27
Maturity Price : 10.60
Evaluated at bid price : 10.60
Bid-YTW : 4.51 %
Volume Highlights
Issue Index Shares
Traded
Notes
TRP.PR.J FixedReset 91,027 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2021-05-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.70
Bid-YTW : 4.88 %
TD.PF.G FixedReset 86,663 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2021-04-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.12
Bid-YTW : 4.59 %
BNS.PR.G FixedReset 58,250 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2021-07-25
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.15
Bid-YTW : 4.76 %
BAM.PF.H FixedReset 57,633 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2020-12-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.07
Bid-YTW : 4.18 %
BAM.PR.M Perpetual-Discount 43,100 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-05-27
Maturity Price : 20.83
Evaluated at bid price : 20.83
Bid-YTW : 5.80 %
MFC.PR.F FixedReset 41,095 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 13.85
Bid-YTW : 10.01 %
There were 23 other index-included issues trading in excess of 10,000 shares.
Wide Spread Highlights
Issue Index Quote Data and Yield Notes
GWO.PR.M Deemed-Retractible Believe it or not, the actual quote for GWO.PR.M, sold to me at an enormous price by the Exchange, was 25.55-55.13, 8×2. See the picture below for proof! I have not checked whether this lamentable state of affairs is due to inadequate Toronto Stock Exchange reporting or inadequate Toronto Stock Exchange supervision of market-makers.

Quote: 25.55 – 27.55
Spot Rate : 2.0000
Average : 1.1139

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2018-03-31
Maturity Price : 25.25
Evaluated at bid price : 25.55
Bid-YTW : 5.62 %

PWF.PR.T FixedReset Quote: 21.56 – 22.67
Spot Rate : 1.1100
Average : 0.6563

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-05-27
Maturity Price : 21.27
Evaluated at bid price : 21.56
Bid-YTW : 3.83 %

BAM.PF.G FixedReset Quote: 20.01 – 20.87
Spot Rate : 0.8600
Average : 0.5903

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-05-27
Maturity Price : 20.01
Evaluated at bid price : 20.01
Bid-YTW : 4.84 %

CM.PR.Q FixedReset Quote: 20.06 – 20.65
Spot Rate : 0.5900
Average : 0.3605

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-05-27
Maturity Price : 20.06
Evaluated at bid price : 20.06
Bid-YTW : 4.49 %

PWF.PR.Q FloatingReset Quote: 12.52 – 13.39
Spot Rate : 0.8700
Average : 0.6542

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-05-27
Maturity Price : 12.52
Evaluated at bid price : 12.52
Bid-YTW : 4.33 %

BAM.PR.Z FixedReset Quote: 19.50 – 19.95
Spot Rate : 0.4500
Average : 0.3057

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2046-05-27
Maturity Price : 19.50
Evaluated at bid price : 19.50
Bid-YTW : 4.99 %

GWOPRM_160527
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Press Clippings

This borrowing-to-invest strategy is no slam dunk

John Heinzl was kind enough to quote me in his piece This borrowing-to-invest strategy is no slam dunk, which discusses a couple’s proposal to take out a home-equity loan and invest the proceeds in ZPR, the BMO Laddered Preferred Share Index ETF:

If you look up ZPR’s distribution history, however, you’ll see that the monthly payout has been dropping. At the start of 2014 it was 5.3 cents, a year later it was 4.8 cents and currently it’s 4.5 cents. The reason: ZPR holds a basket of rate-reset preferred shares, many of which have cut their dividends because of a steep drop in the five-year Government of Canada bond yield that is used to set the dividends on these shares.

Barring a rebound in bond yields, ZPR’s distribution could fall even further as more rate-reset preferred shares cut their dividends, says James Hymas, president of Hymas Investment Management. Assuming the five-year Canada yield remains at its current level of about 0.8 per cent, the “implied current yield” of ZPR’s underlying portfolio is just 4.74 per cent, according to a BMO document dated April 29. After deducting the ETF’s management expense ratio of 0.5 per cent, ZPR’s net implied yield to investors is about 4.24 per cent, Mr. Hymas says.

That’s not nearly as attractive as the 5.6-per-cent yield for ZPR advertised on BMO’s website.

The document mentioned in the article is available here … for now! Hat tip to MikeFreedom49? on the Financial Wisdom Forum for bringing this document to my attention.

This is probably a good place to make two other points.

First, the document states that the duration of ZPR is 3.11 years, with a footnote indicating that:

Duration is a measure of sensitivity to changes in interest rates. For example, a 5 year duration means the value will decrease by 5% if interest rates rise 1% and increase in value by 5% if interest rates fall 1%. Generally, the higher the duration the more volatile the price will be when interest rates change.

This assertion of a 3.11 year duration without any qualifiers is irresponsible, reckless and wrong. Such an answer in the current environment can only be derived by pegging the price on the next reset date at an arbitrary level – it could be the current price, it could be $25.00, it could be anything you like, as long as it’s presumed to be a value unaffected by market yields. These are perpetual instruments trading below par; their duration in the current environment is better in the 20 to 25 year range (with respect to spreads) … or it could even be negative (if we assume yield-to-perpetuity will be constant in the face of a changing 5-year Canada rate)! . Holders of ZPR – and other FixedResets – over the past two years will doubtless be happy to confirm that the price volatility they have experienced far exceeds what they might have expected from an investment with a 3.11 year duration.

Classical bond mathematics is a very useful tool for examining preferred shares, but must be accompanied by a very cautious and explicit statement of assumptions and these assumptions should be disclosed.

Secondly, I note that BMO touts the fund as being “Low to Medium Risk”, which I feel confident will be considered laughable by those who have suffered through the woes of the preferred share market for the past two years.

The whole concept of these risk assessments, with their mandatory reporting on the “Fund Facts” statements is under constant attack by those with even a smidgen of knowledge about risk (which leaves out the regulators), so I won’t go into this further except to say I’d love to see how they justify their claim!

Finally, here’s a chart of expected changes in the dividends of Fixed Resets for which the YTW scenario is perpetuity, taken from the May, 2016, edition of PrefLetter:

PL_160520_App_FR_Chart_30
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