PrefLetter

September Edition of PrefLetter Released!

The September, 2010, edition of PrefLetter has been released and is now available for purchase as the “Previous edition”. Those who subscribe for a full year receive the “Previous edition” as a bonus.

The September edition contains an appendix reviewing the two major Canadian preferred share passive funds, an index and my own Malachite Aggressive Preferred Fund.

As previously announced, PrefLetter is now available to residents of Alberta, British Columbia and Manitoba, as well as Ontario and to entities registered with the Quebec Securities Commission.

Until further notice, the “Previous Edition” will refer to the September 2010, issue, while the “Next Edition” will be the October, 2010, issue, scheduled to be prepared as of the close October 8 and eMailed to subscribers prior to market-opening on October 12 (Monday October 11 is Thanksgiving!).

PrefLetter is intended for long term investors seeking issues to buy-and-hold. At least one recommendation from each of the major preferred share sectors is included and discussed.

Note: My verbosity has grown by such leaps and bounds that it is no longer possible to deliver PrefLetter as an eMail attachment – it’s just too big for my software! Instead, I have sent passwords – click on the link in your eMail and your copy will download.

Note: The PrefLetter website has a Subscriber Download Feature. If you have not received your copy, try it!

Note: PrefLetter eMails sometimes runs afoul of spam filters. If you have not received your copy within fifteen minutes of a release notice such as this one, please double check your (company’s) spam filtering policy and your spam repository – there are some hints in the post Sympatico Spam Filters out of Control. If it’s not there, contact me and I’ll get you your copy … somehow!

Note: There have been scattered complaints regarding inability to open PrefLetter in Acrobat Reader, despite my practice of including myself on the subscription list and immediately checking the copy received. I have had the occasional difficulty reading US Government documents, which I was able to resolve by downloading and installing the latest version of Adobe Reader. Also, note that so far, all complaints have been from users of Yahoo Mail. Try saving it to disk first, before attempting to open it.

Regulation

BIS Announces Capital Proposals

The Bank for International Settlements has announced:

a substantial strengthening of existing capital requirements and fully endorsed the agreements it reached on 26 July 2010.

The Committee’s package of reforms will increase the minimum common equity requirement from 2% to 4.5%. In addition, banks will be required to hold a capital conservation buffer of 2.5% to withstand future periods of stress bringing the total common equity requirements to 7%.

Under the agreements reached today, the minimum requirement for common equity, the highest form of loss absorbing capital, will be raised from the current 2% level, before the application of regulatory adjustments, to 4.5% after the application of stricter adjustments. This will be phased in by 1 January 2015. The Tier 1 capital requirement, which includes common equity and other qualifying financial instruments based on stricter criteria, will increase from 4% to 6% over the same period. (Annex 1 summarises the new capital requirements.)

The Group of Governors and Heads of Supervision also agreed that the capital conservation buffer above the regulatory minimum requirement be calibrated at 2.5% and be met with common equity, after the application of deductions. The purpose of the conservation buffer is to ensure that banks maintain a buffer of capital that can be used to absorb losses during periods of financial and economic stress. While banks are allowed to draw on the buffer during such periods of stress, the closer their regulatory capital ratios approach the minimum requirement, the greater the constraints on earnings distributions.

A countercyclical buffer within a range of 0% – 2.5% of common equity or other fully loss absorbing capital will be implemented according to national circumstances. The purpose of the countercyclical buffer is to achieve the broader macroprudential goal of protecting the banking sector from periods of excess aggregate credit growth. For any given country, this buffer will only be in effect when there is excess credit growth that is resulting in a system wide build up of risk. The countercyclical buffer, when in effect, would be introduced as an extension of the conservation buffer range.

These capital requirements are supplemented by a non-risk-based leverage ratio that will serve as a backstop to the risk-based measures described above. In July, Governors and Heads of Supervision agreed to test a minimum Tier 1 leverage ratio of 3% during the parallel run period.

Systemically important banks should have loss absorbing capacity beyond the standards announced today and work continues on this issue in the Financial Stability Board and relevant Basel Committee work streams. The Basel Committee and the FSB are developing a well integrated approach to systemically important financial institutions which could include combinations of capital surcharges, contingent capital and bail-in debt. In addition, work is continuing to strengthen resolution regimes.

By “strengthen resolution regimes”, they mean “let regulators pretend they’re bankruptcy judges and eviscerate creditor rights”, but never mind.

The Basel Committee also recently issued a consultative document Proposal to ensure the loss absorbency of regulatory capital at the point of non-viability. Governors and Heads of Supervision endorse the aim to strengthen the loss absorbency of non-common Tier 1 and Tier 2 capital instruments.

The numbers are summarized in the Annex.

US agencies have expressed support:

The U.S. federal banking agencies support the agreement reached at the September 12, 2010, meeting of the G-10 Governors and Heads of Supervision (GHOS).1 This action, in combination with the agreement reached at the July 26, 2010, meeting of GHOS, sets the stage for key regulatory changes to strengthen the capital and liquidity of internationally active banking organizations in the United States and around the world.

No comments from OSFI so far. Maybe they haven’t been told.

Yalman Onaran of Bloomberg reports:

Of the 24 U.S. banks represented on the KBW Bank Index, seven would fall under the new ratios based on calculations using the revised definitions of capital, Keefe, Bruyette & Woods analyst Frederick Cannon said in a Sept. 10 report. Bank of America Corp. and Citigroup Inc., the nation’s No. 1 and No. 3 lenders, would be among those, Cannon estimates. Bank of America would have to hold off paying dividends or buying back shares until the end of 2013, he said.

European banks are less capitalized than U.S. counterparts and may be required to raise more funds under the new Basel rules. Deutsche Bank AG, Germany’s biggest lender, said today it plans to sell at least 9.8 billion euros ($12.5 billion) of stock. Germany’s 10 biggest banks, including Frankfurt-based Deutsche Bank and Commerzbank AG, may need about 105 billion euros in fresh capital because of new regulations, the Association of German Banks estimated on Sept. 6.

The committee has yet to agree on revised calculations of risk-weighted assets, which form the denominator of the capital ratios to be determined this weekend. The implementation details of a short-term liquidity ratio will also be decided by the time G-20 leaders meet, members say. A separate long-term liquidity rule will likely be left to next year.

The two liquidity rules would require banks to hold enough cash and easily cashable assets to meet short-term and long-term liabilities. The long-term requirement has been criticized the most by the banking industry, which claims it would force banks to sell $4 trillion of new debt.

The Basel committee has another meeting scheduled for Sept. 21-22 and said it may gather in October to finish its work.

I can’t help feeling that the emphasis on capital misses the point. Banks did not fail due to insufficient capital, although more is always helpful, obviously. The banks failed, or came close to failing, or were crippled in the panic because:

  • They held concentrated portfolios, particularly of CDOs that, while having a face value of X, had exposure to mortgages of many times that amount since they were comprised of subordinated tranches of structured mortgages
  • Interbank (and inter-near-bank in the case of AIG) exposures were not collateralized and the uncollateralized risk was weighted according to the credit rating of the sovereign of the counterparty’s regulator (i.e., when BMO buys RBC paper, that is risk-weighted as if it has bought Canada paper). Interbank exposures should be penalized by the rules, not encouraged!

I don’t have much time for commentary because this is PrefLetter weekend … but discussion of this will form a big part of future posts, never fear!

PrefLetter

September PrefLetter Now in Preparation!

The markets have closed and the September edition of PrefLetter is now being prepared.

PrefLetter is the monthly newsletter recommending individual issues of preferred shares to subscribers. There is at least one recommendation from every major type of preferred share with investment-grade constituents. The recommendations are taylored for “buy-and-hold” investors.

The September edition will contain an appendix discussing the characteristics of some preferred share funds. The funds are CPD, DPS.UN, my own Malachite Aggressive Preferred Fund and the BMO-CM “50” Index.

Those taking an annual subscription to PrefLetter receive a discount on viewing of my seminars.

PrefLetter is available to residents of Ontario, Alberta, British Columbia and Manitoba as well as Quebec residents registered with their securities commission.

The September issue will be eMailed to clients and available for single-issue purchase with immediate delivery prior to the opening bell on Monday. I will write another post when the new issue has been uploaded to the server … so watch this space carefully if you intend to order “Next Issue” or “Previous Issue”! Until then, the “Next Issue” is the September issue.

Market Action

September 10, 2010

The Market Update will be delayed. TMX DataLinx advises that the “Application is currently unavailable.”

While I have prices that are … pretty close … to the closing quotations, I would rather do a proper update when the exchange restarts its DataLinx product.

Update, 2010-9-11, 2am, and I hope you guys appreciate this: DataLinx came back up about an hour ago.

PerpetualDiscounts continued to charge ahead on the Canadian preferred share market, gaining 35bp total return, while FixedResets slipped down by 4bp. Volume was good.

HIMIPref™ Preferred Indices
These values reflect the December 2008 revision of the HIMIPref™ Indices

Values are provisional and are finalized monthly
Index Mean
Current
Yield
(at bid)
Median
YTW
Median
Average
Trading
Value
Median
Mod Dur
(YTW)
Issues Day’s Perf. Index Value
Ratchet 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.3557 % 2,061.9
FixedFloater 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.3557 % 3,123.5
Floater 2.94 % 3.46 % 63,060 18.53 3 0.3557 % 2,226.3
OpRet 4.86 % 1.07 % 91,976 0.22 9 0.2437 % 2,371.6
SplitShare 5.96 % -37.45 % 66,895 0.09 2 -0.0822 % 2,361.2
Interest-Bearing 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.2437 % 2,168.6
Perpetual-Premium 5.73 % 5.48 % 125,521 5.37 14 -0.2527 % 1,975.1
Perpetual-Discount 5.61 % 5.70 % 191,659 14.34 63 0.3478 % 1,937.9
FixedReset 5.25 % 3.07 % 268,762 3.32 47 -0.0437 % 2,263.3
Performance Highlights
Issue Index Change Notes
RY.PR.H Perpetual-Premium -2.95 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2040-09-10
Maturity Price : 24.81
Evaluated at bid price : 25.04
Bid-YTW : 5.69 %
TD.PR.S FixedReset -2.63 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2013-08-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.67
Bid-YTW : 2.75 %
HSB.PR.C Perpetual-Discount -1.61 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2040-09-10
Maturity Price : 22.95
Evaluated at bid price : 23.17
Bid-YTW : 5.60 %
HSB.PR.D Perpetual-Discount -1.29 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2040-09-10
Maturity Price : 22.83
Evaluated at bid price : 23.03
Bid-YTW : 5.53 %
IAG.PR.C FixedReset -1.06 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-01-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 27.00
Bid-YTW : 3.59 %
CM.PR.H Perpetual-Discount 1.04 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2040-09-10
Maturity Price : 22.14
Evaluated at bid price : 22.29
Bid-YTW : 5.45 %
RY.PR.W Perpetual-Discount 1.27 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2040-09-10
Maturity Price : 22.92
Evaluated at bid price : 23.14
Bid-YTW : 5.33 %
RY.PR.F Perpetual-Discount 1.38 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2040-09-10
Maturity Price : 21.34
Evaluated at bid price : 21.34
Bid-YTW : 5.26 %
POW.PR.D Perpetual-Discount 1.41 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2040-09-10
Maturity Price : 22.11
Evaluated at bid price : 22.25
Bid-YTW : 5.71 %
SLF.PR.D Perpetual-Discount 1.52 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2040-09-10
Maturity Price : 19.39
Evaluated at bid price : 19.39
Bid-YTW : 5.76 %
SLF.PR.C Perpetual-Discount 2.35 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2040-09-10
Maturity Price : 19.60
Evaluated at bid price : 19.60
Bid-YTW : 5.69 %
Volume Highlights
Issue Index Shares
Traded
Notes
CM.PR.K FixedReset 130,890 RBC crossed three blocks, 11,000 shares, 90,000 and 25,000, all at 27.50.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-08-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 27.30
Bid-YTW : 2.99 %
MFC.PR.A OpRet 128,150 Nesbitt crossed blocks of 23,200 and 87,900, both at 25.00.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Soft Maturity
Maturity Date : 2015-12-18
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 24.96
Bid-YTW : 4.13 %
MFC.PR.B Perpetual-Discount 62,408 Nesbit bought 11,000 from RBC at 19.10 and crossed 31,500 at 19.15.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2040-09-10
Maturity Price : 19.15
Evaluated at bid price : 19.15
Bid-YTW : 6.11 %
RY.PR.E Perpetual-Discount 58,065 TD bought 11,000 from RBC at 21.20.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2040-09-10
Maturity Price : 21.28
Evaluated at bid price : 21.28
Bid-YTW : 5.34 %
CM.PR.L FixedReset 57,283 Desjardins crossed 50,000 at 28.35.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-05-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 28.27
Bid-YTW : 2.99 %
GWO.PR.G Perpetual-Discount 51,628 Nesbitt crossed 39,400 at 22.65.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2040-09-10
Maturity Price : 22.46
Evaluated at bid price : 22.65
Bid-YTW : 5.75 %
There were 39 other index-included issues trading in excess of 10,000 shares.
Issue Comments

BCE Buys CTV

BCE Inc. has announced:

it has agreed to acquire 100% of CTV, the Canadian leader in specialtytelevision, digital media, conventional TV and radio broadcasting.

Bell currently owns a 15% equity position in CTV and will acquire the remaining 85% for $1.3 billion inequity value from The Woodbridge Company Limited, the Toronto-based holding company of the Thomsonfamily; Ontario Teachers Pension Plan; and Torstar Corporation. Including the value of Bell’s present stake,the transaction has an equity value of $1.5 billion. Together with $1.7 billion in proportionate debt, the totaltransaction value is $3.2 billion. The purchase price represents a multiple of 10x proportionate EBITDA,comparable with similar recent media-industry transactions. In a separate transaction, Woodbridge willacquire ownership of the Globe and Mail, in which Bell will continue to retain a 15% equity position.

Video is growing rapidly in popularity among Canadians, who are increasingly moving to mobile, online anddigital TV platforms for video content. Bell already offers Canada’s leading High Definition TV and onlineservices and the most advanced mobile TV products, and is in the process of launching its leading-edgeBell Fibe IPTV (internet protocol television) service in major urban centres. Bell TV now representsapproximately 40% of total residential service revenues, surpassing traditional home phone revenues.Bell is accelerating its wireline and wireless video capabilities with significant new investments in broadbandnetworks, including capital expenditures of almost $3 billion in 2010 alone. Bell is rolling out high-speedfibre to more houses, apartments, condominiums and businesses in Québec and Ontario to support newInternet and TV services and is enhancing its new world-leading HSPA+ wireless network, which alreadyserves 93% of the Canadian population.

“The transaction purchase price represents an attractive standalone valuation for Canada’s leading mediaprovider even before upside opportunities from monetizing CTV’s programming across all of Bell’sbroadband wireless and wireline platforms. This acquisition is entirely consistent with Bell’s shareholdervalue objectives and dividend growth model,” said Siim Vanaselja, Chief Financial Officer for Bell Canadaand BCE. “It is immediately accretive to earnings and to free cash flow before potential synergies, with100% access to CTV cash flows. Bell’s acquisition of CTV will be funded with a new, fully committed bankfacility of $2 billion, $750 million in new BCE common shares that will be issued to Woodbridge, andsurplus cash on hand. The resulting pro forma net leverage of 2x EBITDA is consistent with Bell’s capitalstructure and financial policies. Based on our discussions with the rating agencies, we expect our creditratings to be confirmed.”

Bell will hold a conference call for financial analysts to discuss its acquisition of CTV today at 9:30amEastern. Media are welcome to participate on a listen-only basis. To participate, please dial (416) 340-8018or toll-free 1-866-223-7781 shortly before the start of the call. A replay will be available for one week bydialing (416) 695-5800 or 1-800-408-3053 and entering pass code 6461260 followed by the number sign.There will also be a live audio webcast of the call available at www.bce.ca/en/news/eventscalendar/webcasts/2010/20100910. The MP3 file will be available for download on this page later in the day.

DBRS has announced that it:

has today confirmed the long- and short-term ratings of BCE Inc. (BCE) and its wholly-owned operating subsidiary, Bell Canada, at A (low) and R-1 (low), following Bell Canada’s announcement today that it will acquire 85% of CTVglobemedia Inc. (CTV) and its television, digital media and radio operations (excluding The Globe and Mail) for $1.3 billion in equity value. The trend on all ratings is Stable.

From a financial perspective, while the acquisition of CTV will slightly weaken Bell Canada’s credit metrics, DBRS believes that the impact will be manageable. DBRS anticipates that while Bell Canada’s gross debt-to-EBITDA is expected to increase from roughly 1.52x (at June 30, 2010), this ratio is not expected to exceed 2.0x with the acquisition of CTV. DBRS does note that the financing of the acquisition of CTV, along with the refinancing of the majority of its existing debt, is expected to be carried out at the Bell Canada level. As such, CTV will support the credit profile of Bell Canada once the transaction closes.

BCE has a plethora of FixedFloaters and Ratchets outstanding. Tracked by HIMIPref™ are: BCE.PR.A, BCE.PR.B, BCE.PR.C, BCE.PR.D, BCE.PR.F, BCE.PR.G, BCE.PR.H, BCE.PR.I, BCE.PR.R, BCE.PR.S, BCE.PR.T, BCE.PR.Y and BCE.PR.Z. Not tracked by HIMIPref™, for no particularly good reason, is BCE.PR.E.

All the tracked issues are relegated to the Scraps index on credit concerns.

Regulation

IIROC Issues Flash Crash Review

The Investment Industry Regulatory Organization of Canada has announced its release of the Review of the Market Events of May 6, 2010:

The factors that contributed to the trading patterns are:

  • The existence of large sell imbalances: A number of the securities showed more sell interest beginning at the opening of trading on May 6 and in some cases the ratio of sell volume to buy volume was upwards of 3:1.
  • Electronic trading activity in the securities: High Frequency Traders (“HFT”) and Electronic Liquidity Providers (“ELP”) were trading in a number of the securities reviewed. Although the definitions of the above terms are open to discussion, we are using these terms to identify fast and relatively dominant electronic traders. The review shows that after the sudden sharp decline in the US indices, a number of HFTs and ELPs quickly withdrew from the Canadian market causing a dramatic and rapid decline in available liquidity. This withdrawal was particularly apparent on the buy side putting further pressure on prices. Some HFT entities remained in the market but predominately on the sell side and we noted markedly reduced liquidity. The withdrawal of HFTs and ELPs was particularly apparent in the heavily traded ETFs that were reviewed. IIROC is aware that some of the ELP and HFTs withdrew from the US market due to their concern about significant latencies in their data feeds from the US markets.
  • “Traditional” market makers were not active in the review securities with the exception of the four highly liquid ETFs. IIROC found that market makers were present and fulfilling their obligations on the other securities reviewed including their oddlot and spread goals.
  • The triggering of Stop Loss Orders: In many cases the triggering of Stop Loss Orders was a major contributor to the deeper price declines experienced by a number of the securities reviewed. The analysis suggests that many of the egregious price declines were due to Stop Loss Order activity from Stop Loss “market” Orders as opposed to Stop Loss “limit” Orders.

No data is presented in the report that support any of the conclusions. Trust your regulators! They’re very smart, and beholden to nobody.

Recommendations are:

  • The CSA and IIROC should review the current market wide circuit breaker to determine if the current trigger levels are appropriate and whether an independent Canadian-based circuit breaker level is required.
  • IIROC along with the CSA should investigate whether single stock circuit breakers in the form of temporary trading halts should be implemented in Canada.
  • All marketplaces should adopt volatility controls and the form and the level of these controls should be reviewed to assess to what degree they ought to be harmonized.
  • All IIROC dealers should consider how to effectively manage Stop Loss Orders in the current high-speed, multi-market environment. IIROC firms should also provide their RRs and clients, including those who enter their orders directly on to the marketplace without personalized advice, with guidance on the use of Stop Loss Orders effectively in a high speed, multimarket environment.
  • IIROC should review the current erroneous and unreasonable price policies and procedures, taking into account the experience of May 6.

Circuit breakers? While my natural inclination is that nothing should get in the way of two parties agreeing to a trade, I can’t really get excited over circuit breakers one way or another anyway. When the market gets as wild as it did during the flash crash, the only sensible thing to do is to go out and get a cup of coffee.

It appears that there will be more regulatory paperwork surrounding Stop Loss orders, but we’ll see how that works out. Anybody stupid enough to use a stop-loss order in the first place isn’t going to be impressed by another piece of paper.

Update: The SEC has approved new circuit breaker and trade-busting rules:

The Securities and Exchange Commission today approved new rules submitted by the national securities exchanges and FINRA to expand a recently-adopted circuit breaker program to include all stocks in the Russell 1000 Index and certain exchange-traded funds. The SEC also approved new exchange and FINRA rules that clarify the process for breaking erroneous trades.

A list of the securities included in the Russell 1000 Index, which was rebalanced on June 25, is available on the Russell website. The list of exchange-traded products included in the pilot is available on the SEC’s website. The SEC anticipates that the exchanges and FINRA will begin implementing the expanded circuit breaker program early next week.

For stocks that are subject to the circuit breaker program, trades will be broken at specified levels depending on the stock price:

  • For stocks priced $25 or less, trades will be broken if the trades are at least 10 percent away from the circuit breaker trigger price.
  • For stocks priced more than $25 to $50, trades will be broken if they are 5 percent away from the circuit breaker trigger price.
  • For stocks priced more than $50, the trades will be broken if they are 3 percent away from the circuit breaker trigger price.

Where circuit breakers are not applicable, the exchanges and FINRA will break trades at specified levels for events involving multiple stocks depending on how many stocks are involved:

  • For events involving between five and 20 stocks, trades will be broken that are at least 10 percent away from the “reference price,” typically the last sale before pricing was disrupted.
  • For events involving more than 20 stocks, trades will be broken that are at least 30 percent away from the reference price.
  • Market Action

    September 9, 2010

    Deutsche Bank is rumoured to be considering a big equity issue:

    Deutsche Bank AG has approached investment banks to assess their interest in managing a stock sale to raise as much as 9 billion euros ($11.4 billion), said three people with knowledge of the discussions.

    Proposed rules under consideration by the Basel Committee on Banking Supervision may also lead banks to raise reserves. Germany’s 10 biggest lenders, including Deutsche Bank and Commerzbank AG, may need about 105 billion euros in fresh capital because of new regulation, the Association of German Banks estimated on Sept. 6.

    The lenders would need to raise that sum to reach an estimated 10 percent Tier 1 capital ratio, a key measure of financial strength, according to Dirk Jaeger, who is responsible for regulatory topics at the group.

    The Swiss are hoping to grab some of the UK hedge fund business:

    Swiss managers rank third in Europe, with 4 percent of the market, behind London’s 75 percent share and Sweden with 5 percent. Brevan Howard Asset Management LLP, Europe’s biggest hedge fund, and third-ranked BlueCrest Capital Management Ltd. have both opened offices in Geneva this year.

    “Heavy competition between cantons has helped to keep tax rates low,” making Switzerland more appealing, Regina Anhorn, one of the study’s authors, said in a presentation in Zurich. “We have seen famous names move part of their institution to Switzerland. We may see many more to come.”

    There are signs that fees charged by Swiss hedge funds fell over the past two years, from a typical 2 percent management fee and a 20 percent share of performance, according to the study. A 1 percent management fee is “increasing in popularity” together with a performance fee of 10 percent, it said.

    A laudatory article about CalPERS new boss highlights the gravity of the US pension committments:

    In 2000, more than half of the 50 states had the funds to cover what they owed. By 2008, that number had shrunk to four — Florida, New York, Washington and Wisconsin — as total unfunded liabilities reached a record $1 trillion, according to a February 2010 report by the Pew Center on the States that uses the latest available data.

    [CalPERS] has earned an annualized 2.88 percent return on its assets through the 10 years ended on June 30, far below the 7.75 percent it must collect every year to meet its obligations to 1.6 million beneficiaries.

    Calpers’s unfunded liabilities amounted to $240 billion as of 2008, leaving it with only half of the assets it needs to make its required payouts, according to a Stanford University study released in April.

    As a group, state retirement systems earned a median 3.4 percent annualized return for the 10 years ended on June 30, according to Wilshire Associates Inc., a Santa Monica, California-based investment consulting firm. That about matches the performance of U.S. Treasury bonds.

    Even if pensions do exploit the latest financial engineering and hit their 8 percent annualized return target, many will run out of money in the next 20 years, beginning with Illinois in 2018, says Joshua Rauh, an associate professor of finance at Northwestern University near Chicago. California would run dry in 2030, he says.

    So who’s going to solve the problem?

    Dear is an unlikely candidate to refashion Calpers’s investment approach. In contrast to past CIOs, he doesn’t have a Ph.D. in economics or experience in managing money on the Street. He’s a one-time labor official who came up through the hurly-burly of state politics in Washington.

    Great move! Perhaps the Maple Leafs should start hiring non-hockey players, too!

    Blair W. Keefe of Tory’s wrote a very good article titled Canada: Financial Institutions Experience Slower Activity In Capital Markets:

    In April, Canadian banks provided a quantitative impact study to OSFI on the implications of the proposed changes for individual institutions. And OSFI submitted data from the study to the Basel Committee in mid-May. Although the submission is confidential, we understand that the Basel III capital rules would have a significant negative impact on the existing capital ratios of the Canadian banks; the data will be analyzed, together with the results from other jurisdictions, and the preliminary findings will be presented to the Basel Committee in July.

    However, no new offerings of innovative Tier 1 capital will be made because such instruments will not be permitted under the Basel III capital rules.9 It is uncertain how long the existing innovative Tier 1 instruments will be grandfathered when the new rules come into force. This is significant, since Canadian financial institutions currently have over C$20 billion in innovative Tier 1 instruments outstanding and they were products favoured by institutional investors.

    Finally, with the uncertainty over the ultimate definition of capital and the quantity of capital that will be required, OSFI has been advising institutions that any material redemption of capital instruments should be funded with new capital issuances. In that regard, the aggregate amount of innovative Tier 1 capital that is scheduled to be redeemed on June 30 or December 31 of this year is C$2.1 billion.

    It was a very good day with high volume on the Canadian preferred share market, with PerpetualDiscounts gaining 56bp and FixedResets winning 13bp. MFC issues were again prominent in the volume highlights.

    HIMIPref™ Preferred Indices
    These values reflect the December 2008 revision of the HIMIPref™ Indices

    Values are provisional and are finalized monthly
    Index Mean
    Current
    Yield
    (at bid)
    Median
    YTW
    Median
    Average
    Trading
    Value
    Median
    Mod Dur
    (YTW)
    Issues Day’s Perf. Index Value
    Ratchet 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.6786 % 2,054.6
    FixedFloater 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.6786 % 3,112.4
    Floater 2.95 % 3.49 % 63,995 18.46 3 0.6786 % 2,218.4
    OpRet 4.87 % 1.31 % 93,226 0.22 9 0.1884 % 2,365.8
    SplitShare 5.96 % -36.90 % 69,384 0.09 2 0.1646 % 2,363.2
    Interest-Bearing 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.1884 % 2,163.3
    Perpetual-Premium 5.72 % 5.48 % 131,993 5.38 14 0.3239 % 1,980.1
    Perpetual-Discount 5.63 % 5.72 % 188,892 14.27 63 0.5633 % 1,931.2
    FixedReset 5.25 % 3.08 % 269,674 3.33 47 0.1319 % 2,264.3
    Performance Highlights
    Issue Index Change Notes
    NA.PR.N FixedReset -1.12 % YTW SCENARIO
    Maturity Type : Call
    Maturity Date : 2013-09-14
    Maturity Price : 25.00
    Evaluated at bid price : 26.50
    Bid-YTW : 3.32 %
    CM.PR.H Perpetual-Discount 1.01 % YTW SCENARIO
    Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
    Maturity Date : 2040-09-09
    Maturity Price : 21.75
    Evaluated at bid price : 22.06
    Bid-YTW : 5.50 %
    IAG.PR.C FixedReset 1.04 % YTW SCENARIO
    Maturity Type : Call
    Maturity Date : 2014-01-30
    Maturity Price : 25.00
    Evaluated at bid price : 27.29
    Bid-YTW : 3.24 %
    BNS.PR.L Perpetual-Discount 1.04 % YTW SCENARIO
    Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
    Maturity Date : 2040-09-09
    Maturity Price : 21.40
    Evaluated at bid price : 21.40
    Bid-YTW : 5.33 %
    PWF.PR.F Perpetual-Discount 1.07 % YTW SCENARIO
    Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
    Maturity Date : 2040-09-09
    Maturity Price : 22.50
    Evaluated at bid price : 22.76
    Bid-YTW : 5.84 %
    BAM.PR.R FixedReset 1.13 % YTW SCENARIO
    Maturity Type : Call
    Maturity Date : 2016-07-30
    Maturity Price : 25.00
    Evaluated at bid price : 26.94
    Bid-YTW : 4.09 %
    BAM.PR.B Floater 1.13 % YTW SCENARIO
    Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
    Maturity Date : 2040-09-09
    Maturity Price : 15.21
    Evaluated at bid price : 15.21
    Bid-YTW : 3.49 %
    RY.PR.H Perpetual-Premium 1.18 % YTW SCENARIO
    Maturity Type : Call
    Maturity Date : 2017-06-23
    Maturity Price : 25.00
    Evaluated at bid price : 25.80
    Bid-YTW : 5.17 %
    BAM.PR.K Floater 1.27 % YTW SCENARIO
    Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
    Maturity Date : 2040-09-09
    Maturity Price : 15.20
    Evaluated at bid price : 15.20
    Bid-YTW : 3.49 %
    CM.PR.I Perpetual-Discount 1.35 % YTW SCENARIO
    Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
    Maturity Date : 2040-09-09
    Maturity Price : 21.41
    Evaluated at bid price : 21.70
    Bid-YTW : 5.47 %
    BNS.PR.M Perpetual-Discount 1.42 % YTW SCENARIO
    Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
    Maturity Date : 2040-09-09
    Maturity Price : 21.39
    Evaluated at bid price : 21.39
    Bid-YTW : 5.34 %
    ELF.PR.F Perpetual-Discount 1.67 % YTW SCENARIO
    Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
    Maturity Date : 2040-09-09
    Maturity Price : 21.92
    Evaluated at bid price : 21.92
    Bid-YTW : 6.16 %
    HSB.PR.C Perpetual-Discount 2.39 % YTW SCENARIO
    Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
    Maturity Date : 2040-09-09
    Maturity Price : 23.31
    Evaluated at bid price : 23.55
    Bid-YTW : 5.51 %
    TD.PR.S FixedReset 2.97 % YTW SCENARIO
    Maturity Type : Call
    Maturity Date : 2013-08-30
    Maturity Price : 25.00
    Evaluated at bid price : 27.39
    Bid-YTW : 1.77 %
    ELF.PR.G Perpetual-Discount 3.08 % YTW SCENARIO
    Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
    Maturity Date : 2040-09-09
    Maturity Price : 20.05
    Evaluated at bid price : 20.05
    Bid-YTW : 6.03 %
    HSB.PR.D Perpetual-Discount 3.23 % YTW SCENARIO
    Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
    Maturity Date : 2040-09-09
    Maturity Price : 23.11
    Evaluated at bid price : 23.33
    Bid-YTW : 5.45 %
    Volume Highlights
    Issue Index Shares
    Traded
    Notes
    MFC.PR.C Perpetual-Discount 72,059 YTW SCENARIO
    Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
    Maturity Date : 2040-09-09
    Maturity Price : 18.38
    Evaluated at bid price : 18.38
    Bid-YTW : 6.16 %
    TD.PR.G FixedReset 69,250 TD crossed two blocks of 25,000 each, both at 28.00.
    YTW SCENARIO
    Maturity Type : Call
    Maturity Date : 2014-05-30
    Maturity Price : 25.00
    Evaluated at bid price : 27.97
    Bid-YTW : 3.08 %
    BNS.PR.Y FixedReset 67,365 RBC crossed 38,800 at 25.15.
    YTW SCENARIO
    Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
    Maturity Date : 2040-09-09
    Maturity Price : 25.13
    Evaluated at bid price : 25.18
    Bid-YTW : 3.26 %
    MFC.PR.A OpRet 65,854 YTW SCENARIO
    Maturity Type : Soft Maturity
    Maturity Date : 2015-12-18
    Maturity Price : 25.00
    Evaluated at bid price : 24.99
    Bid-YTW : 4.11 %
    RY.PR.X FixedReset 61,250 rBC crossed 50,000 at 28.07.
    YTW SCENARIO
    Maturity Type : Call
    Maturity Date : 2014-09-23
    Maturity Price : 25.00
    Evaluated at bid price : 28.00
    Bid-YTW : 3.17 %
    TRP.PR.A FixedReset 60,517 rbC crossed blocks of 15,200 and 25,000, both at 26.10.
    YTW SCENARIO
    Maturity Type : Call
    Maturity Date : 2015-01-30
    Maturity Price : 25.00
    Evaluated at bid price : 26.05
    Bid-YTW : 3.52 %
    There were 61 other index-included issues trading in excess of 10,000 shares.
    Market Action

    September 8, 2010

    Nothing happened today.

    It was a strong day on the Canadian preferred share market AGAIN, on good volume AGAIN, with MFC issues featured on the volume table AGAIN. This is getting a little dull. PerpetualDiscounts were up 28bp, while FixedResets gained 8bp, taking the median weighted average yield on the latter class down to 3.06% … creeping slowly towards the magic 3% mark.

    PerpetualDiscounts now yield 5.75%, equivalent to 8.05% interest at the standard equivalency factor of 1.4x. Long Corporates now yield about 5.35%, so the pre-tax interest-equivalent spread (also called the Seniority Spread) now stands at 270bp, a significant tightening from the 280bp reported on September 1, as PerpetualDiscount yields and long corporate yields made small moves in opposite directions.

    HIMIPref™ Preferred Indices
    These values reflect the December 2008 revision of the HIMIPref™ Indices

    Values are provisional and are finalized monthly
    Index Mean
    Current
    Yield
    (at bid)
    Median
    YTW
    Median
    Average
    Trading
    Value
    Median
    Mod Dur
    (YTW)
    Issues Day’s Perf. Index Value
    Ratchet 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.2078 % 2,040.7
    FixedFloater 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.2078 % 3,091.4
    Floater 2.72 % 3.23 % 61,436 19.07 3 0.2078 % 2,203.4
    OpRet 4.88 % 0.87 % 94,676 0.22 9 0.0943 % 2,361.4
    SplitShare 5.97 % -35.61 % 65,905 0.09 2 0.0824 % 2,359.3
    Interest-Bearing 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.0943 % 2,159.3
    Perpetual-Premium 5.74 % 5.54 % 131,411 5.38 14 0.1156 % 1,973.7
    Perpetual-Discount 5.66 % 5.75 % 189,663 14.22 63 0.2831 % 1,920.4
    FixedReset 5.25 % 3.06 % 268,246 3.33 47 0.0750 % 2,261.3
    Performance Highlights
    Issue Index Change Notes
    IAG.PR.C FixedReset -1.03 % YTW SCENARIO
    Maturity Type : Call
    Maturity Date : 2014-01-30
    Maturity Price : 25.00
    Evaluated at bid price : 27.01
    Bid-YTW : 3.58 %
    GWO.PR.M Perpetual-Discount 1.02 % YTW SCENARIO
    Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
    Maturity Date : 2040-09-08
    Maturity Price : 24.54
    Evaluated at bid price : 24.75
    Bid-YTW : 5.87 %
    POW.PR.C Perpetual-Discount 1.22 % YTW SCENARIO
    Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
    Maturity Date : 2040-09-08
    Maturity Price : 24.57
    Evaluated at bid price : 24.93
    Bid-YTW : 5.90 %
    BAM.PR.M Perpetual-Discount 1.47 % YTW SCENARIO
    Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
    Maturity Date : 2040-09-08
    Maturity Price : 20.05
    Evaluated at bid price : 20.05
    Bid-YTW : 6.05 %
    RY.PR.H Perpetual-Premium 1.76 % YTW SCENARIO
    Maturity Type : Call
    Maturity Date : 2017-06-23
    Maturity Price : 25.00
    Evaluated at bid price : 25.50
    Bid-YTW : 5.37 %
    Volume Highlights
    Issue Index Shares
    Traded
    Notes
    MFC.PR.A OpRet 193,380 RBC crossed blocks of 50,000 and 46,600, both at 25.00.
    YTW SCENARIO
    Maturity Type : Soft Maturity
    Maturity Date : 2015-12-18
    Maturity Price : 25.00
    Evaluated at bid price : 24.97
    Bid-YTW : 4.12 %
    MFC.PR.C Perpetual-Discount 112,745 RBC crossed 75,000 at 18.35.
    YTW SCENARIO
    Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
    Maturity Date : 2040-09-08
    Maturity Price : 18.33
    Evaluated at bid price : 18.33
    Bid-YTW : 6.17 %
    GWL.PR.O Perpetual-Premium 82,950 Called for redemption. TD crossed 79,000 at 25.21.
    YTW SCENARIO
    Maturity Type : Call
    Maturity Date : 2010-11-30
    Maturity Price : 25.00
    Evaluated at bid price : 25.23
    Bid-YTW : 3.18 %
    BNS.PR.Y FixedReset 80,175 RBC bought 11,000 from anonymous at 25.25 and the same number from National at the same price. It then bought another 10,000 from National at the same price again.
    YTW SCENARIO
    Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
    Maturity Date : 2040-09-08
    Maturity Price : 25.10
    Evaluated at bid price : 25.15
    Bid-YTW : 3.27 %
    MFC.PR.D FixedReset 69,611 RBC crossed 48,900 at 26.75.
    YTW SCENARIO
    Maturity Type : Call
    Maturity Date : 2014-07-19
    Maturity Price : 25.00
    Evaluated at bid price : 26.73
    Bid-YTW : 4.61 %
    BAM.PR.K Floater 64,000 Nesbitt crossed 60,400 at 15.00.
    YTW SCENARIO
    Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
    Maturity Date : 2040-09-08
    Maturity Price : 15.01
    Evaluated at bid price : 15.01
    Bid-YTW : 3.24 %
    There were 30 other index-included issues trading in excess of 10,000 shares.
    Issue Comments

    CIU Becomes Pure Regulated Utility

    Canadian Utilities (CU) and Canadian Utilities Inc. (CIU) have announced:

    that their Boards of Directors have approved the transfer of Alberta Power (2000) Ltd. from CU Inc. to ATCO Power Ltd., a wholly-owned subsidiary of Canadian Utilities Limited.

    Alberta Power (2000) Ltd. owns the 670 MW Battle River Generating Station and has a 50 per cent stake in the 760 MW Sheerness Generating Station. The transfer allows Canadian Utilities Limited to align its ownership of its power generation assets under ATCO Power Ltd. and its rate regulated utility assets under CU Inc. ATCO Electric, ATCO Gas and ATCO Pipelines will continue to be owned and financed by CU Inc.

    CU Inc., a wholly owned subsidiary of Canadian Utilities Limited, is an Alberta-based corporation with assets of approximately $6.7 billion and more than 4,100 employees. As a result of this transfer, CU Inc. will be comprised of rate regulated utility operations in pipelines, natural gas and electricity transmission and distribution.

    DBRS has announced that it:

    today confirmed the ratings of CU Inc. (CUI) as follows: Unsecured Debentures & Medium-Term Notes at A (high), Commercial Paper at R-1 (low) and Cumulative Preferred Shares at Pfd-2 (high), all with Stable trends.

    DBRS expects the transfer to result in a modest reduction in CUI’s level of business risk as a result of exiting the power generation business.

    DBRS also views the transfer as resulting in a modest increase in CUI’s level of financial risk. With the loss of APL2000’s EBITDA contribution, DBRS would expect the transfer to result in a modest weakening of CUI’s adjusted credit coverage metrics (i.e., on a pro forma basis for 2009, EBITDA-to-interest would be approximately 0.3 times lower).

    Overall, the increase in financial risk is offset by the reduction in business risk, and as such, there is no impact on CUI’s ratings.

    CIU has two issues of preferreds outstanding: CIU.PR.A (a PerpetualDiscount) and CIU.PR.B (a FixedReset). Both are tracked by HIMIPref™.

    Canada Prime

    BoC Increases O/N Rate 25bp to 1.00%; Prime Follows

    The Bank of Canada has announced:

    that it is raising its target for the overnight rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly 1 1/4 per cent and the deposit rate is 3/4 per cent.

    The Bank now expects the economic recovery in Canada to be slightly more gradual than it had projected in its July Monetary Policy Report (MPR), largely reflecting a weaker profile for U.S. activity. Inflation in Canada has been broadly in line with the Bank’s expectations and its dynamics are essentially unchanged.

    Against this backdrop, the Bank decided to increase its target for the overnight rate to 1 per cent. As a result of monetary policy measures taken since April, financial conditions in Canada have tightened modestly but remain exceptionally stimulative. This is consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in an environment of significant excess supply in Canada.

    Any further reduction in monetary policy stimulus would need to be carefully considered in light of the unusual uncertainty surrounding the outlook.

    Bloomberg comments:

    The increase was the bank’s third since June, and most economists, including Durocher, now forecast Governor Mark Carney will keep the rate at 1 percent until April.

    Prime followed: