Miscellaneous News

Alpha Trading Systems to Offer Dark Pegged Orders

Alpha Group has announced:

that, subject to regulatory approval, Alpha ATS will implement a new trading facility – the Alpha IntraSpread™ facility, during the 4th Quarter of 2010. The Alpha IntraSpread™ facility, a set of new orders offered by Alpha ATS, allows dealers to seek matches within their firm without pre-trade transparency and with guaranteed price improvement upon the National Best Bid and Offer (NBBO) at the moment of the trade. The Alpha IntraSpread™ facility will be available to all dealers that are Subscribers of Alpha and for all symbols traded on Alpha ATS.

Some of the specifics are:

  • Dark orders have no pre-trade transparency as information on Dark orders is not disseminated on any public data feeds.
  • Price of a Dark order is calculated as an offset of the NBBO by adding the price offset to the national best bid for a buy order and subtracting it from the national best offer for a sell order.
  • Price of the Dark order can optionally be capped.
  • Price offset is calculated as a percentage of the NBBO spread with value expressed as 10%, 20%, 30% … 90%, but capped to one standard price increment. If either side of the NBBO is not set, or the NBBO is locked or crossed, Dark orders will not trade.
  • Dark orders trade only with incoming SDL™ orders that are tradable at the calculated price of the Dark order. Dark orders do not trade with each other.

… while SDL orders:

  • SDL™ orders are “immediate-or-cancel” – they trade with eligible Dark orders to the extent possible, and any residual is cancelled. Price can be market or limit.
  • SDL™ orders only trade with Dark orders and do not interact with other transparent orders in the Alpha CLOB. In the first phase of the Alpha IntraSpread™ facility, SDL™ orders only match with Dark orders from the same Subscriber

I do not profess to be an expert on ATS marketting practices, but this appears to be an attempt by Alpha Group to forestall the creation of internal dark pools by its members (or pool the cost of such systems; Alpha is owned by the major dealers) by offering a sub-pennying mechanism in a manner that is smoothly integrated with extant trading systems.

Sub-pennying is a controversial element of the current market microstructure debate. There is an excellent comment letter from Bright Trading Systems that explains how it works (in the States!):

Statistics from the Commission’s Concept Release on Equity Market Structure, state that 17.5% of all trades are internalized by broker-dealers. A more alarming statistic from page 21 of the release states that, “a review of the order routing disclosures required by Rule 606 of Regulation NMS of eight broker-dealers with significant retail customer accounts reveals that nearly 100% of their customer market orders are routed to OTC market makers.” This means that almost every single market order placed in these retail brokerage accounts, is checked by the brokerdealer’s OTC market maker to decide if they can make money by trading against their customer. They can legally trade against their customers as long as they match or beat the National Best Bid and Offer (“NBBO”).

The only time the displayed order on the NBBO is filled from an incoming retail market order, is when the OTC market maker of the broker-dealer passes on the chance to trade against its customer’s order, and there are no undisplayed orders hiding in dark pools in front of the NBBO order. As a result the only retail orders getting through to the publicly displayed NBBO, are the orders that the first two market participants have passed on. If the first two participants have passed on the opportunity to trade against the order, there is a good chance that the incoming market order is on the right side of the market (in the short-term). Hence, the only NBBO orders that are filled are those that are more likely wrong (in the short-term). The displayed liquidity provider is “sub-pennied” when they’re right, filled when they’re wrong. As liquidity providers become discouraged, they will place fewer passive limit orders in the short term and ultimately leave the trading markets. This will lead to less depth in the market and larger spreads, both increasing the cost to investors in the long term.

In their recent update of the status of the market microstructure review the Canadian Securities Administrators stated:

Forum participants discussed the idea of price improvement in dark pools, as well as the concept of sub-penny pricing. Questions were raised whether dark pools should always be required to offer price improvement, how much price improvement is meaningful, and whether sub-penny price improvement is desired or even relevant. It was noted that sub-penny price improvement may only be meaningful for dark pools achieving block sized execution, but is of questionable benefit to the overall market or to the investors for small orders. Participants also discussed the fairness of allowing dark pools to offer sub-penny price improvement while transparent markets are not allowed to offer the same execution opportunities. Some participants felt that sub-penny quoting on visible exchanges would not be desirable, one reason being the impact of increased messaging due to sub-penny pricing and marketplaces’ technology infrastructure costs. We will examine the issue of sub-penny pricing with the goal of assessing how any changes in either printing or quoting in subpennies would impact both the market as a whole, and the individual participants. Additionally, we will consider both transparent and dark markets, and whether principles of fairness would allow both types of venues to offer sub-penny price improvement and printing or execution, or whether different market structure models necessitate different treatment.

Cost concerns are a red herring. If it costs more, charge more. Idiots.

Sub-pennying is annoying, but not a major issue. As previously noted, a value investor has a cost-of-capital advantage on the order of 12% over a high-frequency-trader … if you can’t kick-ass with an advantage like that, you deserve to be hungry, naked and homeless.

Issue Comments

BMO.PR.N Bid Through 3.00%

About four months ago, on March 26, I noted that RY.PR.R was bid at under 3.00%. It turns out that that was a significant date: March 26 marked a peak in the FixedReset market, which then entered a slump period that I analyzed extensively in the May edition of PrefLetter.

So now BMO.PR.N is bid through 3.00%. This is an interesting issue: it was announced 2008-11-25, very close to the all time low in the PerpetualDiscount market (BMO PerpetualDiscounts were at 8.50%!), and settled in December 2008; it’s a FixedReset, 6.50%+383bp. It closed today bid at 28.30 and is callable at 25.00 on February 25, 2014.

We plug the following data into the Yield-to-Call calculator:
Current Price 28.30
Call Price 25.00
Settlement Date 2010-7-23 (easily disputable – so sue me)
Quarterly Dividend 0.40625
Cycle 2 (FMAN)
Pay Date 25
Include First Dividend 1 = yes (goes ex 7/28; the proximity of the ex-Date might be influencing the price)

And we get IRR = 2.95%, Quarterly compounded yield 2.91%. HIMIPref™ reports 2.98% yield – the difference is due to the month’s grace period that is a bug feature idiosyncracy in the system; of very little import since it’s small AND consistent across issues, but it’s embarrassing because it has to be disclosed every time I discuss yields. One day I’ll change it, never fear.

Another notable fact regarding BMO.PR.N is that it has just been added to TXPR which may be exerting a little upwards pressure on the price.

Two charts have been uploaded for your edification and amusement:

which plot both BMO.PR.N and RY.PR.R from the latter’s issuance in January 2009. Enjoy!

Market Action

July 23, 2010

The European Stwess Tests appear farcical:

European stress tests on 91 banks will take into account bank losses only on government bonds they trade rather than those they hold to maturity, according to a draft European Central Bank document.

“The haircuts are applied to the trading book portfolios only, as no default assumption was considered,” according to a confidential document dated July 22 and titled “EU Stress Test Exercise: Key Messages on Methodological Issues.”

The tests will assume a loss of 23.1 percent on Greek debt, 14 percent of Portuguese bonds, 12.3 percent on Spanish debt, and 4.7 percent on German state debt, according to the document obtained by Bloomberg News. U.K. government bonds will be subject to a 10 percent haircut, and France 5.9 percent.

On cue, Hungary’s problems became more visible:

Standard & Poor’s said it may cut Hungary’s credit rating to junk after the collapse of talks with the International Monetary Fund and European Union. Moody’s Investors Service said it may also lower the country’s grade.

The IMF and EU on July 17 suspended talks with the government without endorsing Prime Minister Viktor Orban’s plans to control the budget deficit. The creditors provided Hungary with a 20 billion-euro ($25.9 billion) rescue package in 2008, which had served to reassure investors.

“We believe that without an EU/IMF program to anchor policy, Hungary is likely to face higher and more volatile funding costs, which in our view could weigh on financial sector balance sheets, the public finances, and economic growth,” S&P said today in a statement.

C-EBS has released the results. The report on the aggregate outcome makes the exercise appear to be rather gentle stwess! Initial reactions to the reports on individual banks are negative – the total capital shortfall is only USD 4.5-billion.

But the best line in the farce comes from a central banker:

ECB Vice President Vitor Constancio called the tests “severe” and explained they didn’t include a scenario of a national default because “we don’t believe there will be a default.”

That’s just great, Vitor! Maybe you’ll be put in charge of the government run credit rating agency the Europeans are thinking about, you know, the ones that will be much nicer to sovereigns than those mean old-style CRAs!

Seems to me that if the bank market is locking up because of fears of chaos after a sovereign default, then you restore confidence by proving the banking system is robust to sovereign default. But reasoning like this isn’t likely to get me appointed to any regulatory positions of note.

Increased regulation of the public markets is having a predictable effect: less public issuance:

The most sweeping regulatory legislation for Wall Street since the Great Depression, signed into law by President Barack Obama on July 21, makes ratings companies vulnerable to lawsuits when underwriters include their assessments in documents used to sell debt. The law subjects firms such as Moody’s Investors Service, Standard & Poor’s and Fitch Ratings to so-called expert liability, meaning they would face the same legal risks as accountants and other parties that participate in bond sales.

Under the new law, issuers weren’t able to obtain permission from ratings firms to include their rankings in their registration filings, according to the SEC.

As a result, sales were held up, said Malcolm Dorris, a senior partner in the securitization group at law firm Dechert LLP. Companies were considering alternatives to the public markets, such as selling in the 144a market, where sales aren’t registered with the SEC, Dorris said.

Ford Motor Co.’s finance arm canceled a planned sale of asset-backed debt, the Wall Street Journal reported July 21 on its website, citing market participants it didn’t name.

There’s an awfully odd senate investigation into Goldman:

Goldman Sachs Group Inc. told U.S. investigators which counterparties it used to hedge the risk that American International Group Inc. would fail, according to three people with knowledge of the matter.

The list was sought by panels reviewing the beneficiaries of New York-based AIG’s $182.3 billion government bailout, said the people, who declined to be identified because the information is private. Goldman Sachs, which received $12.9 billion after the 2008 rescue tied to contracts with the insurer, has said it didn’t need AIG to be rescued because it was hedged against the firm’s failure.

“We want to know the identity of those parties, partly just to know where American taxpayer dollars went, but partly to assess Goldman’s claim,” said Elizabeth Warren, chairman of the Congressional Oversight Panel, in a Senate hearing this week. “We cannot evaluate the credibility of their claim that they had nothing at stake one way or the other in the AIG bailout.”

Goldman Sachs had $10 billion of exposure to AIG when the insurer was rescued in September 2008, offset by $7.5 billion of collateral and swaps, Viniar said. The hedges were one reason that Goldman wouldn’t accept anything less than full payment on the guarantees it purchased from AIG, he said.

It’s not clear to me why this is so important; I suspect its just another instance of Goldman being punished for being the only competently managed investment bank in the world. The politicians need mea culpas and cringing gratitude – and they’re not getting it from GS.

Magna bought out Stronach with a 93% positive vote, despite the efforts of the precious to ensure the world is aware just how precious they are (I think Teachers’ won, having purchased one share so they could be officially offended at the deal. Their beneficiaries should be most upset that management time and money is being spent tilting at other people’s windmills). The vote is good news for readers of financial newspapers, who may hope for an end to the eternal whining of morons who are surprised when their participating debentures – also known as subordinated voting shares – don’t give them much say in the company. ‘But that’s just mean!’ they bleat ‘Business and investing should be a cooperative game, just like we had in kiddiegarter!’

It was a quiet day in the Canadian preferred share market, with PerpetualDiscounts up 1bp and FixedResets gaining 4bp on low volume.

HIMIPref™ Preferred Indices
These values reflect the December 2008 revision of the HIMIPref™ Indices

Values are provisional and are finalized monthly
Index Mean
Current
Yield
(at bid)
Median
YTW
Median
Average
Trading
Value
Median
Mod Dur
(YTW)
Issues Day’s Perf. Index Value
Ratchet 2.85 % 2.93 % 21,580 20.19 1 0.0000 % 2,073.2
FixedFloater 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 -0.0652 % 3,152.5
Floater 2.51 % 2.15 % 41,960 21.97 4 -0.0652 % 2,247.0
OpRet 4.87 % -2.37 % 97,702 0.08 11 0.0813 % 2,344.0
SplitShare 6.28 % 6.16 % 71,582 3.41 2 -0.4315 % 2,206.9
Interest-Bearing 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.0813 % 2,143.4
Perpetual-Premium 5.90 % 5.19 % 106,555 1.81 4 0.0786 % 1,941.8
Perpetual-Discount 5.83 % 5.91 % 183,248 14.02 73 0.0090 % 1,855.6
FixedReset 5.32 % 3.49 % 337,209 3.45 47 0.0435 % 2,223.8
Performance Highlights
Issue Index Change Notes
MFC.PR.C Perpetual-Discount -1.29 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2040-07-23
Maturity Price : 19.08
Evaluated at bid price : 19.08
Bid-YTW : 5.98 %
RY.PR.H Perpetual-Discount -1.11 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2017-06-23
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 24.97
Bid-YTW : 5.62 %
POW.PR.D Perpetual-Discount 1.20 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2040-07-23
Maturity Price : 21.16
Evaluated at bid price : 21.16
Bid-YTW : 5.96 %
RY.PR.W Perpetual-Discount 1.39 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2040-07-23
Maturity Price : 21.63
Evaluated at bid price : 21.90
Bid-YTW : 5.58 %
Volume Highlights
Issue Index Shares
Traded
Notes
CM.PR.M FixedReset 31,900 Scotia crossed 25,000 at 28.00.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-08-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 27.90
Bid-YTW : 3.44 %
SLF.PR.G FixedReset 25,975 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2040-07-23
Maturity Price : 25.35
Evaluated at bid price : 25.40
Bid-YTW : 3.93 %
CM.PR.H Perpetual-Discount 24,594 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2040-07-23
Maturity Price : 20.59
Evaluated at bid price : 20.59
Bid-YTW : 5.86 %
BMO.PR.J Perpetual-Discount 24,510 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2040-07-23
Maturity Price : 20.51
Evaluated at bid price : 20.51
Bid-YTW : 5.58 %
MFC.PR.D FixedReset 22,849 Desjardins crossed 12,000 at 27.75.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-07-19
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 27.72
Bid-YTW : 3.85 %
SLF.PR.C Perpetual-Discount 21,658 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2040-07-23
Maturity Price : 18.70
Evaluated at bid price : 18.70
Bid-YTW : 6.02 %
There were 18 other index-included issues trading in excess of 10,000 shares.
Market Action

July 22, 2010

The Bank of Canada has released a working paper by David Dupuis and Yi Zheng titled A Model of Housing Stock for Canada:

Using an error-correction model (ECM) framework, the authors attempt to quantify the degree of disequilibrium in Canadian housing stock over the period 1961–2008 for the national aggregate and over 1981–2008 for the provinces. They find that, based on quarterly data, the level of housing stock in the long run is associated with population, real per capita disposable income, and real house prices. Population growth (net migration, particularly for the western provinces) is also an important determinant of the short-run dynamics of housing stock, after controlling for serial correlation in the dependent variable. Real mortgage rates, consumer confidence, and a number of other variables identified in the literature are found to play a small role in the short run. The authors’ model suggests that the Canadian housing stock was 2 per cent above its equilibrium level at the end of 2008. There was likely overbuilding, to varying degrees, in Saskatchewan, New Brunswick, British Columbia, Ontario, and Quebec.

The Bank of Canada also released the July 2010 Monetary Policy Report – good solid stuff, but nothing particularly noteworthy or interesting.

Volume was down a bit in the Canadian preferred share market, but still good, as PerpetualDiscounts came in with another solid gain of 15bp, while FixedResets gained 4bp, taking the yield on the latter class below 3.50%. This is the 12th-lowest yield on record for this index.

HIMIPref™ Preferred Indices
These values reflect the December 2008 revision of the HIMIPref™ Indices

Values are provisional and are finalized monthly
Index Mean
Current
Yield
(at bid)
Median
YTW
Median
Average
Trading
Value
Median
Mod Dur
(YTW)
Issues Day’s Perf. Index Value
Ratchet 2.84 % 2.92 % 22,470 20.22 1 -0.2375 % 2,073.2
FixedFloater 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.0000 % 3,154.6
Floater 2.51 % 2.15 % 43,489 21.97 4 0.0000 % 2,248.4
OpRet 4.88 % -1.59 % 100,711 0.09 11 0.1452 % 2,342.1
SplitShare 6.26 % 6.13 % 74,530 3.41 2 0.1513 % 2,216.5
Interest-Bearing 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.1452 % 2,141.6
Perpetual-Premium 5.91 % 5.29 % 106,655 1.81 4 -0.0491 % 1,940.3
Perpetual-Discount 5.84 % 5.89 % 182,359 14.03 73 0.1548 % 1,855.4
FixedReset 5.32 % 3.48 % 343,407 3.45 47 0.0408 % 2,222.8
Performance Highlights
Issue Index Change Notes
HSB.PR.D Perpetual-Discount -1.57 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2040-07-22
Maturity Price : 21.31
Evaluated at bid price : 21.31
Bid-YTW : 5.93 %
CM.PR.K FixedReset -1.45 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-08-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.50
Bid-YTW : 3.70 %
ELF.PR.F Perpetual-Discount 1.18 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2040-07-22
Maturity Price : 20.50
Evaluated at bid price : 20.50
Bid-YTW : 6.52 %
RY.PR.B Perpetual-Discount 2.17 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2040-07-22
Maturity Price : 21.10
Evaluated at bid price : 21.10
Bid-YTW : 5.57 %
Volume Highlights
Issue Index Shares
Traded
Notes
RY.PR.Y FixedReset 101,870 Nesbitt bought 12,300 from Scotia at 27.49 and 10,000 from National at 27.50. Nesbitt crossed 40,000 at 27.50.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-12-24
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 27.50
Bid-YTW : 3.55 %
TD.PR.Y FixedReset 64,715 Nesbitt sold 20,000 to anonymous at 26.15; Desjardins crossed 35,600 at the same price.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2013-11-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.14
Bid-YTW : 3.55 %
IAG.PR.C FixedReset 52,900 Nesbitt crossed 50,000 at 27.50.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-01-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 27.35
Bid-YTW : 3.48 %
GWO.PR.I Perpetual-Discount 50,600 TD crossed 50,000 at 19.40.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2040-07-22
Maturity Price : 19.32
Evaluated at bid price : 19.32
Bid-YTW : 5.89 %
MFC.PR.E FixedReset 39,042 Nesbitt crossed 25,000 at 26.85.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-10-19
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.75
Bid-YTW : 3.95 %
CM.PR.L FixedReset 36,613 Nesbitt bought 16,500 from CIBC at 27.99.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-05-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 27.76
Bid-YTW : 3.42 %
There were 36 other index-included issues trading in excess of 10,000 shares.
Issue Comments

FIG.PR.A: Capital Unit Distributions Suspended

Faircourt Asset Management Inc. has announced:

that in accordance with the terms of the Trust Indenture governing the Preferred Securities and the maintenance of a minimum 1.4 times asset coverage to be maintained by the Trust, dated November 17, 2004, the monthly distribution on the Trust Unit (TSX: FIG.UN) will be suspended until further notice. The Trust’s ability to continue variable distributions, as announced on April 19, 2010, is dependent on market conditions, the results of the annual redemption, and the Trust’s asset coverage levels and would be evaluated by the Manager on a monthly basis.

This announcement does not affect the quarterly distributions related to the Preferred Securities of either Trust (TSX: FIG.PR.A).

Faircourt Income & Growth Split Trust is designed to provide levered exposure to a portfolio comprised of Income Trusts, North American Dividend Paying Equities, as well as other income generating securities.

Acuity Investment Management Inc. is the Investment Advisor for Faircourt Income & Growth Split Trust.

Acuity is best known for holding income trusts in “Acuity Fixed Income Fund”, but the performance of FIG.UN (-15.24% p.a. annualized since inception, vs. a benchmark of +6.96%) is also worthy of note.

FIG.PR.A was last mentioned on PrefBlog when it was announced that warrant exercise in June was minimal. FIG.PR.A is tracked by HIMIPref™, but is relegated to the Scraps index on credit concerns.

Market Action

July 21, 2010

Nothing happened today. How dull.

Continued good volume in the Canadian preferred share market, a PerpetualDiscounts squeaked out a win of 1bp, while FixedResets were up 9bp, edging their median weighted average yield a little closer to 3.50%.

PerpetualDiscounts now yield 5.90%, equivalent to 8.26% interest at the standard equivalency factor of 1.4x. Long corporates now yield 5.6%, so the pre-tax interest-equivalent spread (also called the Seniority Spread) is now about 265bp, a significant tightening from the 280bp reported on July 14.

HIMIPref™ Preferred Indices
These values reflect the December 2008 revision of the HIMIPref™ Indices

Values are provisional and are finalized monthly
Index Mean
Current
Yield
(at bid)
Median
YTW
Median
Average
Trading
Value
Median
Mod Dur
(YTW)
Issues Day’s Perf. Index Value
Ratchet 2.82 % 2.90 % 23,397 20.26 1 0.0000 % 2,078.1
FixedFloater 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.2200 % 3,154.6
Floater 2.51 % 2.15 % 42,290 21.97 4 0.2200 % 2,248.4
OpRet 4.89 % -0.38 % 102,180 0.08 11 -0.2754 % 2,338.7
SplitShare 6.27 % 5.02 % 75,410 0.08 2 0.1732 % 2,213.1
Interest-Bearing 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 -0.2754 % 2,138.5
Perpetual-Premium 5.90 % 5.28 % 106,544 1.81 4 0.0491 % 1,941.2
Perpetual-Discount 5.83 % 5.90 % 182,356 14.04 73 0.0106 % 1,852.6
FixedReset 5.31 % 3.53 % 333,251 3.46 47 0.0940 % 2,221.9
Performance Highlights
Issue Index Change Notes
RY.PR.B Perpetual-Discount -1.78 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2040-07-21
Maturity Price : 20.94
Evaluated at bid price : 20.94
Bid-YTW : 5.71 %
BAM.PR.I OpRet -1.53 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2010-08-20
Maturity Price : 25.50
Evaluated at bid price : 25.70
Bid-YTW : -0.38 %
PWF.PR.K Perpetual-Discount 1.03 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2040-07-21
Maturity Price : 20.69
Evaluated at bid price : 20.69
Bid-YTW : 6.01 %
TRP.PR.A FixedReset 1.09 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2015-01-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.91
Bid-YTW : 3.80 %
SLF.PR.G FixedReset 1.19 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2040-07-21
Maturity Price : 25.55
Evaluated at bid price : 25.60
Bid-YTW : 3.90 %
ELF.PR.G Perpetual-Discount 1.66 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2040-07-21
Maturity Price : 18.40
Evaluated at bid price : 18.40
Bid-YTW : 6.51 %
Volume Highlights
Issue Index Shares
Traded
Notes
CM.PR.K FixedReset 111,472 RBC crossed 22,500 at 26.96. Desjardins crossed blocks of 49,800 and 25,000, both at the same price.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-08-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.89
Bid-YTW : 3.30 %
MFC.PR.D FixedReset 84,422 RBC crossed 20,000 at 27.68; National crossed 25,000 at 27.74.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-07-19
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 27.69
Bid-YTW : 3.88 %
TRP.PR.C FixedReset 71,120 Recent new issue.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2040-07-21
Maturity Price : 23.14
Evaluated at bid price : 25.05
Bid-YTW : 3.96 %
IAG.PR.A Perpetual-Discount 63,320 TD crossed three blocks, 25,000 shares, 14,100 and 18,500, all at 19.35.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2040-07-21
Maturity Price : 19.35
Evaluated at bid price : 19.35
Bid-YTW : 6.01 %
TD.PR.A FixedReset 62,370 RBC crossed blocks of 25,000 and 36,000, both at 26.20.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-03-02
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.11
Bid-YTW : 3.61 %
MFC.PR.E FixedReset 53,444 National crossed 25,000 at 26.89, then bought 11,000 from anonymous at 26.90.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-10-19
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.87
Bid-YTW : 3.83 %
There were 45 other index-included issues trading in excess of 10,000 shares.
Market Action

July 20, 2010

Fabulous Fabio is fighting the SEC fraud charges:

Fabrice Tourre, the Goldman Sachs Group Inc. executive director sued by the Securities and Exchange Commission for fraud, disputed the claims and said he relied on his firm’s legal and compliance department.

The firm is cooperating in the SEC’s investigation of Tourre, 31, who remains an employee. He is on leave, with legal expenses being paid by New York-based Goldman Sachs.

“The purported claims against Mr. Tourre and the allegations upon which they are based are improperly vague, ambiguous and confusing, and omit critical facts,” the filing said. “Mr. Tourre, a French citizen and engineer by training, reasonably relied on Goldman Sachs’ institutional process to ensure adequate legal review and disclosure of material information, and cannot be held liable for any alleged failings of that process.”In the filing, Tourre said he was aware that Paulson “was considering taking some or all of the short side” of the transaction. He added that the offering document for the CDO contained all relevant information for investors, including the complete portfolio of assets, the fact that no one was purchasing the equity portion of the deal and that a Goldman Sachs affiliate had a short interest and could transfer that interest.

“The portion of the offering document prepared by ACA and for which ACA assumed sole responsibility states that ACA will ‘select the Initial Reference Portfolio,’” the filing said.

Senator Tom Coburn, a Republican from Oklahoma who serves on the Permanent Subcommittee on Investigations, repeatedly questioned Tourre and other Goldman Sachs executives on why the firm decided to release Tourre’s e-mails, including some that seemed unrelated to the hearing.

“If I worked for Goldman Sachs, I’d be real worried that somebody has made a decision, ‘he’s going to be a whipping boy, he’s the guy that’s getting hung out to dry,’” Coburn told Blankfein during the hearing.

So there’s nothing too surprising in all this, other than the fact that a politician made an intelligent comment in the final paragraph.

It is of interest that Goldman is continuing to pay Tourre’s legal expenses. It is quite common for regulators to claim that paying legal expenses for an employee constitutes lack of cooperation, therefore leaving the fall guy facing hundreds of government lawyers on the government payroll all by himself. Lucky for Tourre, that doesn’t yet appear to be the case in this instance.

I am glad that somebody (namely, Tourre) has finally brought to light the startling news that Goldman has a legal and a compliance department who were involved in the issue. Am I the only other person in the entire world who has wondered why, if Goldman-the-firm did such a Very Bad Thing, that only one single employee has been charged? Am I the only other person in the entire world who has noticed the total lack of SEC interest in going after all the people who signed off on the deal?

It’s a farce, a ridiculous farce, just another piece of regulatory extortion and political theatre. The fact that one guy who did a good job is at jeopardy of losing his reputation and entire career in the process doesn’t bother the apparatchiks at the SEC.

A day of mixed results on good volume for the Canadian preferred share market, with PerpetualDiscounts gaining 15bp and FixedResets down 7bp.

HIMIPref™ Preferred Indices
These values reflect the December 2008 revision of the HIMIPref™ Indices

Values are provisional and are finalized monthly
Index Mean
Current
Yield
(at bid)
Median
YTW
Median
Average
Trading
Value
Median
Mod Dur
(YTW)
Issues Day’s Perf. Index Value
Ratchet 2.82 % 2.90 % 23,574 20.27 1 -0.2370 % 2,078.1
FixedFloater 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.1439 % 3,147.7
Floater 2.29 % 1.97 % 40,386 22.45 4 0.1439 % 2,243.5
OpRet 4.87 % -0.15 % 102,744 0.09 11 0.2442 % 2,345.2
SplitShare 6.28 % 6.17 % 77,870 3.42 2 0.2169 % 2,209.3
Interest-Bearing 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.2442 % 2,144.4
Perpetual-Premium 5.91 % 5.27 % 107,805 1.82 4 0.3648 % 1,940.3
Perpetual-Discount 5.84 % 5.90 % 189,056 14.03 73 0.1481 % 1,852.4
FixedReset 5.32 % 3.57 % 337,483 3.46 47 -0.0655 % 2,219.8
Performance Highlights
Issue Index Change Notes
POW.PR.D Perpetual-Discount -1.19 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2040-07-20
Maturity Price : 20.75
Evaluated at bid price : 20.75
Bid-YTW : 6.07 %
ENB.PR.A Perpetual-Discount 1.02 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2040-07-20
Maturity Price : 24.60
Evaluated at bid price : 24.85
Bid-YTW : 5.61 %
MFC.PR.C Perpetual-Discount 1.31 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2040-07-20
Maturity Price : 19.30
Evaluated at bid price : 19.30
Bid-YTW : 5.91 %
BAM.PR.I OpRet 1.36 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2010-08-19
Maturity Price : 25.50
Evaluated at bid price : 26.10
Bid-YTW : -18.45 %
HSB.PR.D Perpetual-Discount 1.64 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2040-07-20
Maturity Price : 21.65
Evaluated at bid price : 21.65
Bid-YTW : 5.84 %
Volume Highlights
Issue Index Shares
Traded
Notes
IAG.PR.E Perpetual-Discount 98,341 TD crossed 89,400 at 24.70.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2040-07-20
Maturity Price : 24.54
Evaluated at bid price : 24.75
Bid-YTW : 6.12 %
GWO.PR.J FixedReset 65,768 Nesbitt bought 10,000 from RBC at 27.10 and 20,000 from anonymous at the same price. RBC crossed 20,300 at 27.18.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-01-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 27.10
Bid-YTW : 3.57 %
TD.PR.A FixedReset 65,125 RBC crossed blocks of 35,000 and 28,000, both at 26.20.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-03-02
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.14
Bid-YTW : 3.57 %
PWF.PR.P FixedReset 64,750 Recent new issue.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2040-07-20
Maturity Price : 23.27
Evaluated at bid price : 25.45
Bid-YTW : 3.92 %
BNS.PR.P FixedReset 61,476 Scotia crossed 53,500 at 26.10.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2013-05-25
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.15
Bid-YTW : 3.23 %
TD.PR.G FixedReset 60,814 Nesbitt bought 30,000 from anonymous at 27.87. National crossed 25,000 at 27.60.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-05-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 27.60
Bid-YTW : 3.36 %
There were 47 other index-included issues trading in excess of 10,000 shares.
Canada Prime

BoC Hikes Overnight Rate by 25bp to 0.75%, Prime Follows

The Bank of Canada has announced:

The Bank expects the economic recovery in Canada to be more gradual than it had projected in its April MPR, with growth of 3.5 per cent in 2010, 2.9 per cent in 2011, and 2.2 per cent in 2012. This revision reflects a slightly weaker profile for global economic growth and more modest consumption growth in Canada. The Bank anticipates that business investment and net exports will make a relatively larger contribution to growth.

Inflation in Canada has been broadly in line with the Bank’s April projection. While the Bank now expects the economy to return to full capacity at the end of 2011, two quarters later than had been anticipated in April, the underlying dynamics for inflation are little changed. Both total CPI and core inflation are expected to remain near 2 per cent throughout the projection period. The Bank will look through the transitory effects on inflation of changes to provincial indirect taxes.

Reflecting all of these factors, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 3/4 per cent. This decision leaves considerable monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.

Prime followed:

New Issues

New Issue: FFH FixedReset 5.00%+256

Fairfax Financial Holdings has announced:

that it will issue in Canada 8 million Preferred Shares, Series G at a price of $25.00 per share, for aggregate gross proceeds of $200 million, on a bought deal basis to a syndicate of Canadian underwriters.

Holders of the Preferred Shares, Series G will be entitled to receive a cumulative quarterly fixed dividend yielding 5.0% annually for the initial five year period ending September 30, 2015. Thereafter, the dividend rate will be reset every five years at a rate equal to the then current 5-year Government of Canada bond yield plus 2.56%.

Holders of Preferred Shares, Series G will have the right, at their option, to convert their shares into Preferred Shares, Series H, subject to certain conditions, on September 30, 2015, and on September 30 every five years thereafter. Holders of the Preferred Shares, Series H will be entitled to receive cumulative quarterly floating dividends at a rate equal to the then current three-month Government of Canada Treasury Bill yield plus 2.56%.

Fairfax has granted the underwriters an option, exercisable in whole or in part at any time up to 9:00 am on the date that is two business days prior to the closing date, to purchase an additional 2 million Preferred Shares, Series G at the same offering price for additional gross proceeds of $50 million.

Fairfax intends to use the net proceeds of the offering to augment its cash position, to increase short term investments and marketable securities held at the holding company level, to retire outstanding debt and other corporate obligations from time to time, and for general corporate purposes. The offering is expected to close on or about July 28, 2010.

Market Action

July 19, 2010

BIS has released a Countercyclical capital buffer proposal:

The countercyclical capital buffer will work by giving each jurisdiction the ability to use their judgement to extend the size of the minimum buffer range established by the capital conservation buffer.

Under this proposal, buffer add-on decisions would be preannounced by 12 months to give banks time to meet the additional capital requirements before they take effect, while reductions in the buffer would take effect immediately to help to reduce the risk of the supply of credit being constrained by regulatory capital requirements.

A buffer range is established above the regulatory minimum Tier 1 capital requirement and capital distribution constraints will be imposed on the bank when capital levels fall within this range. The constraints imposed only relate to distributions, not the fundamental operations of the bank.

The distribution constraints imposed on banks when their capital levels fall into the range increase as the banks’ capital levels approach the minimum requirement. By design, the constraints imposed on banks with capital levels at the top of the range would be minimal. This reflects an expectation that banks’ capital levels will from time to time fall into this range. The Basel Committee does not wish to impose constraints for entering the range that would be so restrictive as to result in the range being viewed as establishing a new minimum capital requirement.

The table below illustrates how it is proposed that the capital conservation buffer operates using discrete bands. The numbers in the table are illustrative as the proposal still needs to be calibrated. Using the table as an example, the buffer range is divided into quartiles. If a bank suffers losses such that its capital level falls into the second quartile above the minimum requirement then the bank would be required to conserve 80% of its earnings in the subsequent financial year9 (ie payout no more than 20% in terms of dividends, share buybacks and discretionary bonus payments). If the bank wants to make payments in excess of the constraints imposed by this regime, it would have the option of raising capital in the private sector equal to the amount above the constraint which they wish to distribute. This would be discussed with the bank’s supervisor as part of the capital planning process.

Perhaps stung by IMF criticism of the pace of reforms, BIS has released a statement of progress highlighting their consultation paper on countercyclical buffers discussed above and inchoate proposals for contingent capital:

The Committee also reviewed proposals for the role of “gone concern” contingent capital in the regulatory capital framework and will issue shortly a proposal for consultation. It continues to assess proposals on contingent capital from a “going concern” perspective.

Themis Trading reports that internet gamers take their avocation more seriously than the average investment manager takes their fiduciary duty … and opines that this is a good thing:

Today we just got a call from a firm that sells specialized computing hardware for the online gaming industry. Apparently there are folks who play Call of Duty version XYZ, or whatever game, professionally for money, and these guys need faster speed. Anyways, this firm sells computer servers that are sitting in liquid, so that they are cooler, and can be faster. The gaming professionals buy these servers for this reason. This firm bragged to us that they just sold their server to a High Frequency Trading firm for the first time, and thought we might want one too.

Is this what are markets have come to?

Are the capital markets really about making sure that these guys can turn the markets into a giant arms race, where everyone has to pay up for liquid-submersible computers and co-location rents just so that they can get fair access to the same bids and offers?

Moody’s cut Ireland a notch to Aa2.

The EU Stwess Tests will be published on June 23.

There was good volume on the Canadian preferred share market today, as PerpetualDiscounts gained 11bp and FixedResets lost 3bp.

HIMIPref™ Preferred Indices
These values reflect the December 2008 revision of the HIMIPref™ Indices

Values are provisional and are finalized monthly
Index Mean
Current
Yield
(at bid)
Median
YTW
Median
Average
Trading
Value
Median
Mod Dur
(YTW)
Issues Day’s Perf. Index Value
Ratchet 2.81 % 2.89 % 23,625 20.29 1 0.2375 % 2,083.1
FixedFloater 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 -0.2479 % 3,143.2
Floater 2.29 % 1.96 % 39,759 22.47 4 -0.2479 % 2,240.3
OpRet 4.88 % 1.64 % 103,036 0.28 11 -0.0778 % 2,339.4
SplitShare 6.29 % 6.16 % 77,073 3.42 2 0.1303 % 2,204.5
Interest-Bearing 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 -0.0778 % 2,139.2
Perpetual-Premium 5.93 % 5.64 % 108,551 1.82 4 -0.0394 % 1,933.2
Perpetual-Discount 5.84 % 5.91 % 187,209 14.01 73 0.1090 % 1,849.6
FixedReset 5.31 % 3.54 % 327,793 3.46 47 -0.0253 % 2,221.3
Performance Highlights
Issue Index Change Notes
ENB.PR.A Perpetual-Discount -1.20 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2040-07-19
Maturity Price : 24.29
Evaluated at bid price : 24.60
Bid-YTW : 5.66 %
GWO.PR.F Perpetual-Discount 1.11 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2040-07-19
Maturity Price : 24.35
Evaluated at bid price : 24.70
Bid-YTW : 6.02 %
IGM.PR.B Perpetual-Discount 1.12 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2040-07-19
Maturity Price : 24.25
Evaluated at bid price : 24.45
Bid-YTW : 6.05 %
BMO.PR.H Perpetual-Discount 1.26 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2040-07-19
Maturity Price : 23.09
Evaluated at bid price : 24.15
Bid-YTW : 5.52 %
MFC.PR.C Perpetual-Discount 1.87 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2040-07-19
Maturity Price : 19.05
Evaluated at bid price : 19.05
Bid-YTW : 5.98 %
Volume Highlights
Issue Index Shares
Traded
Notes
TD.PR.E FixedReset 134,850 RBC crossed three blocks, of 30,000 shares, 40,000 and 50,000, all at 27.64.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-05-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 27.59
Bid-YTW : 3.37 %
SLF.PR.G FixedReset 63,210 Nesbitt bought 10,000 from Scotia at 25.60.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2040-07-19
Maturity Price : 25.48
Evaluated at bid price : 25.53
Bid-YTW : 3.91 %
TD.PR.C FixedReset 55,765 RBC crossed 50,000 at 27.01.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-03-02
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.88
Bid-YTW : 3.31 %
PWF.PR.I Perpetual-Discount 52,900 RBC crossed 50,000 at 24.84.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2040-07-19
Maturity Price : 24.46
Evaluated at bid price : 24.85
Bid-YTW : 6.05 %
RY.PR.X FixedReset 41,979 RBC bought 12,300 from Nesbitt at 27.75, then crossed 24,300 at the same price.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-09-23
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 27.76
Bid-YTW : 3.68 %
TD.PR.O Perpetual-Discount 31,721 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2040-07-19
Maturity Price : 21.55
Evaluated at bid price : 21.55
Bid-YTW : 5.65 %
There were 39 other index-included issues trading in excess of 10,000 shares.