Issue Comments

EPP.PR.A : Inventory Blow-Out Sale!

I have been advised that the underwriters are seeking to get this issue off their books at $21.50.

I mentioned this issue’s new low on July 23. It commenced trading May 25 … bang smack in the middle of the decline in the overall preferred share market.

At 21.50, this issue has a yield in excess of 5.75% … very attractive, but remember that it is rated only Pfd-3(high) by DBRS and should not comprise more than about 5% of a diversified preferred share portfolio.

Update: It should be noted that the issue is rated by S&P as BBB-, or P-2(low) on their Canadian Preferred Share Scale.

Update #2, 3:40pm: I don’t think the underwriters are having a very nice time. Now quoted at 20.30-00, 3×5, with 9,550 shares traded, new low of 20.10. Ouch! CIBC has been on the sell side of the last ten trades. With an annual dividend of $1.2125, a price of 20.21 corresponds to a yield of 6% … grossed up, that’s the equivalent of 8.4% interest!

Market Action

July 24, 2007

Equities got thumped today, both in the US and Canada on profit warnings of various kinds and weak resources.

Of greater importance to the Canadian bond markets was the retail sales number, which was amazingly strong. The expectation that this will lead the Bank of Canada to increase rates boosted the dollar and, presumably, would have whacked bonds had they not benefited from the flight from equities. As it was, bonds were flat-to-downish, underperforming Treasuries substantially, as Treasuries enjoyed the pain in the equity and junk bond market without such countervailing economic data. Higher grade debt is still thought to be insulated from the sub-prime debacle.

Note that these indices are experimental; the absolute and relative daily values are expected to change in the final version. In this version, index values are based at 1,000.0 on 2006-6-30
Index Mean Current Yield (at bid) Mean YTW Mean Average Trading Value Mean Mod Dur (YTW) Issues Day’s Perf. Index Value
Ratchet 5.06% 5.08% 24,649 15.33 2 +0.2478% 1,030.7
Fixed-Floater 4.97% 5.21% 137,594 15.23 8 +0.1867% 1,016.8
Floater 4.86% 2.59% 80,868 11.55 4 -0.0301% 1,048.3
Op. Retract 4.83% 3.98% 85,223 2.93 16 -0.0181% 1,020.9
Split-Share 5.04% 4.51% 110,669 3.90 17 -0.0700% 1,049.4
Interest Bearing 6.18% 6.35% 66,490 4.41 3 +0.1076% 1,042.9
Perpetual-Premium 5.52% 5.15% 116,083 5.38 26 -0.0408% 1,024.4
Perpetual-Discount 5.09% 5.12% 345,040 15.32 38 +0.0577% 972.0
Major Price Changes
Issue Index Change Notes
LFE.PR.A SplitShare -1.3270% Coming back to earth from yesterday. Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 4.47% based on a bid of 10.41 and a hardMaturity 2012-12-01 at 10.00.
BNA.PR.C SplitShare -1.2605% Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 5.14% based on a bid of 23.50 and a hardMaturity 2019-1-10 at 25.00
BAM.PR.N PerpetualDiscount -1.1494% Still no sign of capitulation by the dealers, who I suspect still own a lot of this issue … just a continued decline. I suspect that problems with this issue are weighing down the entire BAM complex – which includes BNA.PR.C (splitShare) and BAM.PR.J (Operating Retractible) … but what do I know? These are all starting to look attractive to me. BAM.PR.N now has a pre-tax bid-YTW of 5.59% based on a bid of 21.50 and a limitMaturity.
BSD.PR.A InterestBearing +1.1640% Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 6.91% based on a bid of 9.56 and a hardMaturity 2015-3-31 at 10.00
Volume Highlights
Issue Index Volume Notes
YPG.PR.B Scraps (would be OpRet but there are credit concerns) 246,550 Issued on June 8. Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 6.20% based on a bid of 23.02 and a softMaturity 2017-6-29 at 25.00. This can be contrasted with YPG bonds … the 5.25% issue due 2016-2-15 yields about 230bp over Canadas, or about 6.90% interest.
PWF.PR.L PerpetualDiscount 113,800 Nesbitt crossed 100,000 at 24.20. Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 5.29% based on a bid of 24.17 and a limitMaturity.
BNS.PR.M PerpetualDiscount 72,110 Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 4.96% based on a bid of 22.75 and a limitMaturity.
SLF.PR.B PerpetualDiscount 24,127 Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 4.97% based on a bid of 24.33 and a limitMaturity.
CU.PR.B PerpetualPremium 21,479 Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 5.63% based on a bid of 25.65 and a call 2012-7-1 at 25.00.
RY.PR.G PerpetualDiscount 21,400 Ex-Dividend today. Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 4.97% based on a bid of 22.60 and a limitMaturity.

There were thirteen other $25-equivalent index-included issues trading over 10,000 shares today.

HIMI Preferred Indices

HIMIPref™ Preferred Indices: January, 1999

All indices were assigned a value of 1000.0 as of December 31, 1993.

HIMI Index Values 1999-01-29
Index Closing Value (Total Return) Issues Mean Credit Quality Median YTW Median DTW Median Daily Trading Mean Current Yield
Ratchet 1,573.8 0 0 0 0 0 0
FixedFloater 1,618.7 8 2.00 4.35% 16.2 379M 4.98%
Floater 1,481.9 5 1.80 5.11% 14.7 47M 5.59%
OpRet 1,392.2 31 1.23 4.00% 3.6 67M 6.06%
SplitShare 1,427.3 5 1.40 5.12% 7.0 96M 5.32%
Interest-Bearing 1,392.2 0 0 0 0 0 0
Perpetual-Premium 1,263.3 9 1.33 5.13% 9.8 304M 6.01%
Perpetual-Discount 1,302.9 0 0 0 0 0 0

Index Constitution, 1999-01-29, Pre-rebalancing

Index Constitution, 1999-01-29, Post-rebalancing

Issue Comments

BMO.PR.G Called for Redemption

The Bank of Montreal has announced:

on August 27, 2007, it will redeem all of its Non-Cumulative Class B Preferred Shares Series 4. The redemption price, as provided for in the terms of the issue, is $25.00 per share, together with declared and unpaid dividends to the date of redemption. As the normal quarterly dividend is due on August 25, 2007, the Bank has declared a 2-day stub dividend of $0.006575 per Series 4 share. This results in a total redemption price of $25.006575 per Series 4 share.

This redemption comes at the first opportunity the bank has had to call the issue at par. It was retractible for shares commencing 2008-5-25 and paid $1.20 on $25.00 par value … BMO doesn’t need to pay 4.8% Dividends for its funding.

This issue has been included in the HIMIPref™ “Operating Retractible” index. It was highlighted 2006-10-25 for having a negative Yield-to-Worst

Market Action

July 23, 2007

A dull day for Canadas and Treasuries, so I suppose the “Flight to Quality” theme is no longer operable. We will find out soon what the next three-day-wonder will be! The brokerage houses are claiming that there is no crisis, that everybody should stay calm and, mainly, buy whatever it is they’re selling, much to the astonishment of pundits everywhere.

Also a fairly quiet day for preferreds but, as the volume table shows, there were a fair number of decent-sized crosses. The perpetual EPP.PR.A, issued on May 25 at $25.00 and rated Pfd-3(high), hit a new low of 22.00 and closed at 21.60-00, 2×21. Ouch!

Note that these indices are experimental; the absolute and relative daily values are expected to change in the final version. In this version, index values are based at 1,000.0 on 2006-6-30
Index Mean Current Yield (at bid) Mean YTW Mean Average Trading Value Mean Mod Dur (YTW) Issues Day’s Perf. Index Value
Ratchet 5.10% 5.12% 24,748 15.27 2 +0.0207% 1,028.2
Fixed-Floater 4.98% 5.23% 138,249 15.19 8 +0.0112% 1,014.9
Floater 4.86% 2.59% 82,248 11.56 4 -0.0098% 1,048.6
Op. Retract 4.83% 4.06% 86,138 2.67 16 +0.0292% 1,021.1
Split-Share 5.04% 4.50% 112,371 3.91 17 +0.1553% 1,050.2
Interest Bearing 6.19% 6.34% 66,630 4.41 3 -0.2700% 1,041.8
Perpetual-Premium 5.52% 5.13% 116,765 5.42 26 -0.1116% 1,024.8
Perpetual-Discount 5.08% 5.12% 347,892 15.28 38 +0.1567% 971.4
Major Price Changes
Issue Index Change Notes
LFE.PR.A SplitShare +1.1505% Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 4.17% based on a bid of 10.55 and a hardMaturity 2012-12-01 at 10.00.
Volume Highlights
Issue Index Volume Notes
GWO.PR.X OpRet 77,039 Desjardins crossed 72,100 at 26.85. Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 3.61% based on a bid of 26.65 and a call 2009-10-30 at 26.00. Note that there is some uncertainty about GWO’s capital market plans, despite the clarifying effect of today’s announcement of the GWL.PR.L redemption.
SLF.PR.B PerpetualDiscount 73,690 TD crossed 25,000 at 24.33, then Nesbitt crossed two lots of 20,000 each, both at 24.35. Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 4.97% based on a bid of 24.33 and a limitMaturity.
RY.PR.B PerpetualDiscount 71,575 National Bank crossed 50,000 at 23.52 … possibly a dividend capture/avoidance trade by the players concerned, since today was the last day of cum-dividend trading. Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 5.07% based on a bid of 23.52 and a limitMaturity.
GWO.PR.H PerpetualDiscount 60,050 Nesbitt crossed 50,000 at 23.95. Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 5.11% based on a bid of 23.91 and a limitMaturity.
CM.PR.J PerpetualDiscount 43,580 National Bank crossed 30,000 at 22.50. Now with a pre-tax bid-YTW of 5.02% based on a bid of 22.50 and a limitMaturity.

There were sixteen other $25-equivalent index-included issues trading over 10,000 shares today.

Issue Comments

GWL.PR.L Called for Redemption

The Great-West Life Assurance Company has announced:

its intention to redeem all 2,093,032 Non-Cumulative Preferred Shares, Series L on October 31, 2007 for the cash redemption price of $25.00 per share. The Series L Preferred Shares were issued on November 13, 1997.

GWL.PR.L is a relatively small issue (only 2,093,032 shares outstanding, according to the TSX), but this is an interesting development nevertheless.

This is a fixed-floater that was issued as consideration for the shares of London Insurance Group and have a paid-up capital of only $2.74. There will be a significant Deemed Dividend realized on the redemption of these shares – so holders should consult their personal tax advisors and figure out – pronto! – whether they should be sold instantly or not.

This deemed dividend WILL BE LIABLE FOR TAX irrespective of whether the holder actually got them in exchange for London Insurance shares or bought them yesterday, so pay attention and don’t waste any time before figuring out what this means for you! I’m only saying this once! Those who hold the shares on the redemption date will be putting a massive dividend on their tax returns. If the shares were bought at, say, $25, they will also be entitled to claim an equally massive capital loss. These effects might offset … they might not. CONSULT A TAX ADVISOR!

The timing of the call is not accidental – from the Takeover Document:

Until October 31, 2007, the holders of the GWL Preferred Shares, Series L will be entitled to receive quarterly non-cumulative preferential cash dividends, as and when declared by the Board of Directors of GWL, payable on the last day of January, April, July and October in each year at a rate equal to $0.325 per share to initially yield 5.20 %. The first such dividend, if declared, will be payable on January 31, 1998 in an amount per share equal to $1.30 multiplied by a fraction, the numerator of which is the number of days in the initial dividend period and the denominator of which is 365.

From October 31, 2007 (the ‘‘Floating Rate Period’’), the holders of the GWL Preferred Shares, Series L will be entitled to receive floating non-cumulative cash dividends, as and when declared by the Board of Directors of GWL, payable on the last day of January, April, July and October in each year at a rate in respect of each quarterly dividend period equal to one quarter of the greater of (a) 75% of Prime and (b) 4.50%.

October 31, 2007 was to have been an Exchange Date and these were to have been exchangeable into Series M, a fixed-reset issue … but none of this is applicable any more.

As mentioned by GWO on their site, full details of GWO.PR.L are available on SEDAR – look for “The Great-West Life Assurance Company” “Take-over Bid Circular” date September 11, 1997.

Great-West Lifeco, the parent, will announce second quarter results on August 1. I do hope they will announce the redemption of CL.PR.B … the continued existence of this issue is making my life miserable.
GWL.PR.L is not tracked by HIMIPref™.

Issue Comments

BCX.PR.A : Partial Call for Redemption

BCX Split Corp. has announced:

that it has called 1,521,805 Preferred Shares for cash redemption on August 3, 2007 (in accordance with the Company’s Articles) representing approximately 71.183% of the outstanding Preferred Shares as a result of the special annual retraction of 1,642,307 Capital Shares by the holders thereof. The Preferred Shares shall be redeemed on a pro rata basis, so that each holder of Preferred Shares of record on August 2, 2007 will have approximately 71.183% of their Preferred Shares redeemed. The redemption price for the Preferred Shares will be $15.71 per share.

This issue has not been tracked by HIMIPref™.

Issue Comments

BMT.PR.A : Partial Call for Redemption

BMONT Split Corp. has announced:

that it has called 180,051 Preferred Shares for cash redemption on August 3, 2007 (in accordance with the Company’s Articles) representing approximately 36.364% of the outstanding Preferred Shares as a result of the special annual retraction of 413,492 Capital Shares by the holders thereof. The Preferred Shares shall be redeemed on a pro rata basis, so that each holder of Preferred Shares of record on August 2, 2007 will have approximately 36.364% of their Preferred Shares redeemed. The redemption price for the Preferred Shares will be $27.45 per share.

This issue is tracked by HIMIPref™ but is such a low-volume issue that it is included only in the “Scraps” index.

HIMI Preferred Indices

HIMIPref™ Indices: December, 1998

Scheduling difficulties have been (largely!) resolved and I intend to catch up with index calculation rapidly! 

All indices were assigned a value of 1000.0 as of December 31, 1993.

HIMI Index Values 1998-12-31
Index Closing Value (Total Return) Issues Mean Credit Quality Median YTW Median DTW Median Daily Trading Mean Current Yield
Ratchet 1,538.2 0 0 0 0 0 0
FixedFloater 1,609.1 8 2.00 4.62% 15.4 293M 5.00%
Floater 1,448.4 5 1.80 5.18% 14.4 49M 5.69%
OpRet 1,378.0 30 1.20 4.16% 3.7 76M 6.10%
SplitShare 1,398.7 5 1.39 5.48% 7.0 75M 5.40%
Interest-Bearing 1,378.0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Perpetual-Premium 1,266.1 9 1.33 4.99% 9.9 220M 5.97%
Perpetual-Discount 1,305.8 0 0 0 0 0 0

Index Constitution, 1998-12-31, Pre-rebalancing

Index Constitution, 1998-12-31, Post-rebalancing

Issue Comments

EMP.PR.B Downgraded to Pfd-4(high) by DBRS

DBRS has announced that it:

has today downgraded the long-term debt rating of Empire Company Ltd. (Empire or the Company) to BB (high) from BBB, the Preferred Share rating to Pfd-4 (high) from Pfd-3, and discontinued the short-term rating. The trends remain Negative for the long-term and Preferred Shares ratings.

DBRS placed Empire’s ratings Under Review with Negative Implications on April 27, 2007 following the announcement that Empire and Sobeys Inc. (Sobeys or the Company) had entered into an agreement by which Empire would acquire all of the outstanding common shares of Sobeys that it did not already own for approximately $1.06 billion. Empire previously owned 72.1% of the issued and outstanding shares of Sobeys.

The significant increase in financial leverage, combined with a weaker profitability at Sobeys, has led to DBRS’s two-notch reduction in long-term ratings. The negative trend reflects the challenges involved with reversing the declining profitability and cash flow at Sobeys. DBRS is also concerned with the high level of budgeted capex and/or additional acquisitions that could result in further increases to debt for the consolidated group.

EMP.PR.B is a tiny little issue with 331,900 shares outstanding, total par value $8.3 million, according to the 2006 Annual Report. They pay 75% of prime. The TSX indicates a listing date of July 9, 1982, which illustrates one of my hobby-horses: with floaters you get short-term rates and long-term credit risk.

This issue is not, has not been, and will not be tracked by HIMIPref™ – too small!