Market Action

August 12, 2014

Remember that Canadian jobs number I gleefully reported on August 8, thrilled to have my prejudices reinforced? Well, it’s been cancelled:

Statistics Canada has pulled Friday’s disappointing jobs report after discovering an error and officials are working to release new estimates by the end of the week.

Those July numbers are wrong but the federal agency is not giving any indication of the size of the mistake.

Ms. [Sylvie] Michaud [Statistics Canada’s Director General of Education, Labour and Income statistics] said that to her knowledge, this is the first time Statistics Canada has ever pulled its Labour Force Survey.

Speaking of numbers, Kevin Carmichael of the Globe highlights two:

At least Fed chair Janet Yellen has been good about telling everyone about the many gauges she’s watching. Two of them, the rate at which companies are hiring and the rate at which workers are quitting, were updated by the Labor Department Tuesday. Unlike the broader unemployment rate, which is returning to a level at which the Fed typically would equate with full employment, these more granular measures of labour market dynamics suggest the U.S. economy is less than fully healed. The data reinforce Ms. Yellen’s argument that higher borrowing costs can wait.

If Ms. Yellen perceived the quit rate as low in March, she remains disappointed today. Adjusted for inflation, the quit rate was 1.8 per cent in June, unchanged from the start of the year. The rate was 1.6 per cent in June, 2013.

Similarly, employers hired 4.83 million people in June, compared with 4.74 million in May, lifting the hiring rate to 3.5 per cent from 3.4 per cent. The quit and hiring rates sunk during the recession and have steadily climbed from those lows. Yet they still are below pre-recession levels. In the years ahead of the Great Recession, the quit rate floated above 2 per cent and the hiring rate was closer to 4 per cent than 3.5 per cent.

Bloomberg has squared its rot for a big boo-hoo-hoo about competition:

John Turner suspected that brokers were encouraging federal workers to ditch their top-flight retirement plan. So he went under cover.

The former U.S. Labor Department economist called representatives at companies such as Bank of America Corp., Charles Schwab Corp. and Wells Fargo & Co. He identified himself as a potential client grappling with what to do with his own nest egg.

Turner thought he knew the right answer: Leave it alone. As a legacy of his government service, he kept his money in the Thrift Savings Plan, considered the gold standard of 401(k)-type programs for its rock-bottom fees. Yet all but one company told him to roll over all his money into individual retirement accounts. On average, stock funds charge almost 50 times more than the government plan.

“It’s a scandal,” said Turner, director of the Pension Policy Center in Washington. “They are trying to sell me an IRA clearly not in my interest. It’s in their interest. They want to get the fees.”

The pitches are persuasive. Workers who leave jobs with the federal government transferred $10 billion last year out of the Thrift Savings Plan. Forty-five percent of participants who left federal service in 2012 removed all of their funds from the plan and closed their accounts by the end of 2013. To investigate this exodus, the government expects to survey departing workers later this year.

The funds offered by the Thrift Savings Plan look pretty good – index funds with rock-bottom fees; definitely a leading option for the core of a portfolio. And I will certainly not risk evisceration in the comments section by suggesting that the external brokers are all altruistic financial geniuses (genii?) whom I would be happy to trust blindly with the Hymas Fortune.

However, it is well known that many, if not most, employees enrolled in sponsored 401(k)’s are idiots. Two very popular strategies are putting the entire amount into the option labelled as having the lowest risk or, my favourite, the “1/N” strategy where, confronted by N choices, the investor puts an equal amount into each of them.

I see that the Thrift Savings Plan offers ‘Lifecycle’ funds, which ” use professionally determined investment mixes that are tailored to meet investment objectives based on various time horizons”. I’m willing to accept that these represent a decent enough investment strategy, but as someone who has produced various elaborations of the Retirement Calculator from Hell, I know that a lot of estimates and approximations go into doing a good job on this kind of stuff, it’s not easy and it’s not particularly generic, given individual’s circumstances, expectations and foibles.

In many cases, I am sure, gullible federal employees have made a dumb move by transferring their money. But I am equally sure that in just as many cases they’ve been smart to transfer, given their own attitudes towards financial markets. What’s better? Cheap, plain-vanilla financial advice that you ignore, or expensive, plain-vanilla financial advice that you follow?

It was another mixed day for the Canadian preferred share market, with PerpetualDiscounts rocketing up 40bp, FixedResets off 1bp and DeemedRetractibles ahead 14bp. Volatility was minimal – surprisingly, I’d say, the PerpetualDiscount win is broadly based. Volume was low.

HIMIPref™ Preferred Indices
These values reflect the December 2008 revision of the HIMIPref™ Indices

Values are provisional and are finalized monthly
Index Mean
Current
Yield
(at bid)
Median
YTW
Median
Average
Trading
Value
Median
Mod Dur
(YTW)
Issues Day’s Perf. Index Value
Ratchet 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.2911 % 2,641.8
FixedFloater 4.17 % 3.41 % 27,469 18.58 1 -0.1754 % 4,156.5
Floater 2.90 % 3.03 % 45,501 19.62 4 0.2911 % 2,731.8
OpRet 4.02 % 0.75 % 76,432 0.08 1 -0.2350 % 2,716.8
SplitShare 4.23 % 3.84 % 62,618 3.96 6 0.0184 % 3,133.2
Interest-Bearing 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 -0.2350 % 2,484.3
Perpetual-Premium 5.49 % -2.88 % 83,086 0.08 19 0.0352 % 2,434.5
Perpetual-Discount 5.22 % 5.20 % 115,239 15.15 17 0.3986 % 2,596.7
FixedReset 4.29 % 3.55 % 198,658 8.57 75 -0.0108 % 2,560.0
Deemed-Retractible 4.98 % 0.10 % 108,713 0.22 42 0.1366 % 2,557.4
FloatingReset 2.65 % 2.04 % 79,825 3.83 6 0.0919 % 2,524.4
Performance Highlights
Issue Index Change Notes
TRP.PR.A FixedReset -1.29 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2044-08-12
Maturity Price : 22.20
Evaluated at bid price : 22.90
Bid-YTW : 3.68 %
FTS.PR.J Perpetual-Discount 1.25 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2044-08-12
Maturity Price : 23.96
Evaluated at bid price : 24.35
Bid-YTW : 4.94 %
Volume Highlights
Issue Index Shares
Traded
Notes
RY.PR.X FixedReset 256,104 Called for redemption August 24.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-09-23
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 24.99
Bid-YTW : 4.86 %
RY.PR.T FixedReset 186,376 Called for redemption August 24.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-09-23
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 24.99
Bid-YTW : 4.86 %
BNS.PR.Q FixedReset 113,366 RBC crossed blocks of 73,800 and 35,300, both at 25.55.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2018-10-25
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.51
Bid-YTW : 3.13 %
TD.PF.B FixedReset 107,090 Recent new issue.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2044-08-12
Maturity Price : 23.16
Evaluated at bid price : 24.99
Bid-YTW : 3.61 %
ENB.PR.N FixedReset 82,467 Scotia crossed blocks of 25,000 shares, 38,500 and 10,000, all at 24.90.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2044-08-12
Maturity Price : 23.19
Evaluated at bid price : 24.91
Bid-YTW : 4.02 %
BNS.PR.A FloatingReset 82,104 RBC crossed 74,500 at 25.64.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-09-11
Maturity Price : 25.50
Evaluated at bid price : 25.67
Bid-YTW : -7.93 %
There were 20 other index-included issues trading in excess of 10,000 shares.
Wide Spread Highlights
Issue Index Quote Data and Yield Notes
RY.PR.G Deemed-Retractible Quote: 25.61 – 25.98
Spot Rate : 0.3700
Average : 0.2570

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-09-11
Maturity Price : 25.50
Evaluated at bid price : 25.61
Bid-YTW : -2.58 %

TRP.PR.A FixedReset Quote: 22.90 – 23.20
Spot Rate : 0.3000
Average : 0.1969

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2044-08-12
Maturity Price : 22.20
Evaluated at bid price : 22.90
Bid-YTW : 3.68 %

FTS.PR.H FixedReset Quote: 21.33 – 21.58
Spot Rate : 0.2500
Average : 0.1536

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2044-08-12
Maturity Price : 21.33
Evaluated at bid price : 21.33
Bid-YTW : 3.50 %

BAM.PF.D Perpetual-Discount Quote: 22.05 – 22.35
Spot Rate : 0.3000
Average : 0.2080

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2044-08-12
Maturity Price : 21.76
Evaluated at bid price : 22.05
Bid-YTW : 5.62 %

IAG.PR.G FixedReset Quote: 26.25 – 26.50
Spot Rate : 0.2500
Average : 0.1769

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2017-06-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.25
Bid-YTW : 2.69 %

BAM.PF.A FixedReset Quote: 25.55 – 25.79
Spot Rate : 0.2400
Average : 0.1709

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2018-09-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.55
Bid-YTW : 4.08 %

Market Action

August 11, 2014

Nothing happened today.

It was a mixed day for the Canadian preferred share market, with PerpetualDiscounts down 17bp, FixedResets flat and DeemedRetractibles up 13bp. Volatility was minimal. Volume was low.

HIMIPref™ Preferred Indices
These values reflect the December 2008 revision of the HIMIPref™ Indices

Values are provisional and are finalized monthly
Index Mean
Current
Yield
(at bid)
Median
YTW
Median
Average
Trading
Value
Median
Mod Dur
(YTW)
Issues Day’s Perf. Index Value
Ratchet 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.3757 % 2,634.1
FixedFloater 4.17 % 3.40 % 27,572 18.60 1 0.0000 % 4,163.9
Floater 2.91 % 3.04 % 45,457 19.59 4 0.3757 % 2,723.9
OpRet 4.01 % -2.24 % 73,860 0.08 1 0.2749 % 2,723.2
SplitShare 4.23 % 3.82 % 58,911 3.97 6 0.0397 % 3,132.6
Interest-Bearing 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.2749 % 2,490.1
Perpetual-Premium 5.49 % -1.52 % 82,712 0.08 19 -0.1012 % 2,433.6
Perpetual-Discount 5.24 % 5.20 % 113,988 15.15 17 -0.1738 % 2,586.3
FixedReset 4.29 % 3.56 % 193,251 8.54 75 0.0005 % 2,560.3
Deemed-Retractible 4.99 % -0.44 % 111,433 0.22 42 0.1320 % 2,553.9
FloatingReset 2.65 % 2.04 % 77,289 3.77 6 0.0197 % 2,522.1
Performance Highlights
Issue Index Change Notes
FTS.PR.J Perpetual-Discount -1.60 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2044-08-11
Maturity Price : 23.68
Evaluated at bid price : 24.05
Bid-YTW : 5.01 %
MFC.PR.K FixedReset -1.15 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 24.93
Bid-YTW : 3.83 %
Volume Highlights
Issue Index Shares
Traded
Notes
MFC.PR.E FixedReset 278,811 Called for redemption.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-09-19
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.34
Bid-YTW : 0.47 %
ENB.PR.P FixedReset 169,263 Nesbitt crossed blocks of 100,000 and 50,000, both at 24.35.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2044-08-11
Maturity Price : 22.96
Evaluated at bid price : 24.35
Bid-YTW : 4.02 %
TD.PF.B FixedReset 118,000 Recent new issue.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2044-08-11
Maturity Price : 23.17
Evaluated at bid price : 25.02
Bid-YTW : 3.60 %
RY.PR.I FixedReset 75,717 Scotia crossed blocks of 33,500 and 28,000, both at 25.32.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2019-02-24
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.41
Bid-YTW : 3.11 %
MFC.PR.K FixedReset 45,761 RBC bought 19,200 from National at 24.95.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 24.93
Bid-YTW : 3.83 %
TRP.PR.B FixedReset 27,222 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2044-08-11
Maturity Price : 19.80
Evaluated at bid price : 19.80
Bid-YTW : 3.53 %
There were 19 other index-included issues trading in excess of 10,000 shares.
Wide Spread Highlights
Issue Index Quote Data and Yield Notes
PVS.PR.C SplitShare Quote: 26.13 – 26.95
Spot Rate : 0.8200
Average : 0.5354

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2015-12-10
Maturity Price : 25.50
Evaluated at bid price : 26.13
Bid-YTW : 3.51 %

BAM.PR.K Floater Quote: 17.30 – 17.90
Spot Rate : 0.6000
Average : 0.3986

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2044-08-11
Maturity Price : 17.30
Evaluated at bid price : 17.30
Bid-YTW : 3.06 %

POW.PR.C Perpetual-Premium Quote: 25.21 – 25.50
Spot Rate : 0.2900
Average : 0.1830

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-09-10
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.21
Bid-YTW : 0.79 %

FTS.PR.J Perpetual-Discount Quote: 24.05 – 24.50
Spot Rate : 0.4500
Average : 0.3710

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2044-08-11
Maturity Price : 23.68
Evaluated at bid price : 24.05
Bid-YTW : 5.01 %

ENB.PR.J FixedReset Quote: 25.24 – 25.49
Spot Rate : 0.2500
Average : 0.1718

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2044-08-11
Maturity Price : 23.27
Evaluated at bid price : 25.24
Bid-YTW : 3.98 %

PWF.PR.P FixedReset Quote: 23.20 – 23.49
Spot Rate : 0.2900
Average : 0.2194

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2044-08-11
Maturity Price : 22.77
Evaluated at bid price : 23.20
Bid-YTW : 3.34 %

New Issues

New Issue: MFC FixedReset, 3.90%+236

Manulife Financial Corporation has announced:

a Canadian public offering of Non-cumulative Rate Reset Class 1 Shares Series 17 (“Series 17 Preferred Shares”). Manulife will issue 10 million Series 17 Preferred Shares priced at $25 per share to raise gross proceeds of $250 million. The offering will be underwritten by a syndicate of investment dealers co-led by Scotia Capital Inc., RBC Capital Markets and TD Securities and is anticipated to qualify as Tier 1 capital for Manulife. The expected closing date for the offering is August 15, 2014. Manulife intends to file a prospectus supplement to its June 23, 2014 base shelf prospectus in respect of this issue.

Holders of the Series 17 Preferred Shares will be entitled to receive a non-cumulative quarterly fixed dividend yielding 3.90 per cent annually, as and when declared by the Board of Directors of Manulife, for the initial period ending December 19, 2019. Thereafter, the dividend rate will be reset every five years at a rate equal to the 5-year Government of Canada bond yield plus 2.36 per cent.

Holders of Series 17 Preferred Shares will have the right, at their option, to convert their shares into Non-cumulative Rate Reset Class 1 Shares Series 18 (“Series 18 Preferred Shares”), subject to certain conditions, on December 19, 2019 and on December 19 every five years thereafter. Holders of the Series 18 Preferred Shares will be entitled to receive non-cumulative quarterly floating dividends, as and when declared by the Board of Directors of Manulife, at a rate equal to the three-month Government of Canada Treasury Bill yield plus 2.36 per cent.

Manulife intends to use the net proceeds from the offering to partially fund the redemption of Manulife’s Non-cumulative Rate Reset Class 1 Shares Series 1 (the “Series 1 Preferred Shares”) on September 19, 2014.

Later, they added:

that as a result of strong investor demand for its previously announced Canadian public offering of Non-cumulative Rate Reset Class 1 Shares Series 17 (“Series 17 Preferred Shares”), the size of the offering has been increased to 14 million shares. The gross proceeds of the offering will now be $350 million. The offering will be underwritten by a syndicate of investment dealers co-led by Scotia Capital Inc., RBC Capital Markets and TD Securities and is anticipated to qualify as Tier 1 capital for Manulife. The expected closing date for the offering is August 15, 2014. Manulife intends to file a prospectus supplement to its June 23, 2014 base shelf prospectus in respect of this issue.

Manulife intends to use the net proceeds from the offering to fund the redemption of Manulife’s Non-cumulative Rate Reset Class 1 Shares Series 1 (the “Series 1 Preferred Shares”) on September 19, 2014.

This issue is priced in-line with extant issues, according to Implied Volatility theory:

ImpVol_MFC_FR_140811
Click for Big

I continue to be puzzled about why the Implied Volatility for MFC FixedResets is so high.

Issue Comments

MFC.PR.E To Be Redeemed

Manulife Financial Corp. has announced:

its intention to redeem all of its outstanding 14,000,000 Non-cumulative Rate Reset Class 1 Shares Series 1 (“Series 1 Preferred Shares”) for cash on September 19, 2014. The Series 1 Preferred Shares are redeemable at Manulife’s option on September 19, 2014, at a redemption price per Series 1 Preferred Share equal to C$25.00 for an aggregate total of C$350 million. Formal notice will be delivered to holders of Series 1 Preferred Shares in accordance with the terms outlined in the share provisions for the Series 1 Preferred Shares.

Separately from the redemption price, the final quarterly dividend of C$0.35 per Series 1 Preferred Share will be paid in the usual manner on September 19, 2014 to shareholders of record on August 19, 2014. After the Series 1 Preferred Shares are redeemed, holders of Series 1 Preferred Shares will cease to be entitled to distributions of dividends and will not be entitled to exercise any rights as holders other than to receive the redemption price.

No surprise here – with an Issue Reset Spread of 323bp, this was rather expensive money for them. They have separately announced their intention to issue at +236.

MFC.PR.E commenced trading 2009-6-3 after being announced 2009-5-25.

PrefLetter

August PrefLetter Released!

The August, 2014, edition of PrefLetter has been released and is now available for purchase as the “Previous edition”. Those who subscribe for a full year receive the “Previous edition” as a bonus.

The regular appendices reporting on DeemedRetractibles and FixedResets are included.

PrefLetter may now be purchased by all Canadian residents.

Until further notice, the “Previous Edition” will refer to the August, 2014, issue, while the “Next Edition” will be the September, 2014, issue, scheduled to be prepared as of the close September 12 and eMailed to subscribers prior to market-opening on September 15.

PrefLetter is intended for long term investors seeking issues to buy-and-hold. At least one recommendation from each of the major preferred share sectors is included and discussed.

Note: My verbosity has grown by such leaps and bounds that it is no longer possible to deliver PrefLetter as an eMail attachment – it’s just too big for my software! Instead, I have sent passwords – click on the link in your eMail and your copy will download.

Note: The PrefLetter website has a Subscriber Download Feature. If you have not received your copy, try it!

Note: PrefLetter eMails sometimes runs afoul of spam filters. If you have not received your copy within fifteen minutes of a release notice such as this one, please double check your (company’s) spam filtering policy and your spam repository – there are some hints in the post Sympatico Spam Filters out of Control. If it’s not there, contact me and I’ll get you your copy … somehow!

Note: There have been scattered complaints regarding inability to open PrefLetter in Acrobat Reader, despite my practice of including myself on the subscription list and immediately checking the copy received. I have had the occasional difficulty reading US Government documents, which I was able to resolve by downloading and installing the latest version of Adobe Reader. Also, note that so far, all complaints have been from users of Yahoo Mail. Try saving it to disk first, before attempting to open it.

Note: There have been other scattered complaints that double-clicking on the links in the “PrefLetter Download” email results in a message that the password has already been used. I have been able to reproduce this problem in my own eMail software … the problem is double-clicking. What happens is the first click opens the link and the second click finds that the password has already been used and refuses to work properly. So the moral of the story is: Don’t be a dick! Single Click!

Note: Assiduous Reader DG informs me:

In case you have any other Apple users: you need to install a free App from the apple store called “FileApp”. It comes with it’s own tutorial and allows you to download and save a PDF file.

Issue Comments

LFE.PR.B Semi-Annual Report 2014

Canadian Life Companies Split Corp has released its Semi-Annual Report to May 31, 2014.

Figures of interest are:

MER: 1.43% of the whole unit value, “presented to reflect the normal operating expenses of the Company excluding
any one time secondary offering expenses.”

Average Net Assets: We need this to calculate portfolio yield. The Total Assets of the fund at year end was $190.0-million, compared to $199.9-million on May 31, so call it an average of $195.0-million. Preferred share dividends of $4,229,154 were paid over the half year at 0.625 p.a., implying average units outstanding of 13.53-million, at an average NAVPU of about $14.05, implies $190.2-million. That’s reasonably good agreement! Say the Average Net Assets are $192.6-million.

Underlying Portfolio Yield: Income received of $2,871,701 divided by average net assets of $194.7-million, multiplied by two because it’s semiannual is 2.98%.

Income Coverage: Net investment income of $1,873,801 (after adding back warrant subscription fees) divided by preferred share dividends of $4,229,154 is a rather low 44% – but consistent with the figure for 2013.

Issue Comments

FTN.PR.A Semi-Annual Report 2014

Financial 15 Split Corp has released its Semi-Annual Report to May 31, 2014.

Figures of interest are:

MER: 1.60% of the whole unit value, “presented to reflect the normal operating expenses of the Company excluding any one time secondary offering expenses.”

Average Net Assets: We need this to calculate portfolio yield. The Total Assets of the fund at year end was $185.2-million, compared to $209.3-million on May 31, so call it an average of $197.2-million. Preferred share dividends of $3,219,876 were paid over the half year at 0.525 p.a., implying average units outstanding of 12.27-million, at an average NAVPU of about $15.75, implies $193.2-million. That’s reasonably good agreement! Say the Average Net Assets are $194.7-million.

Underlying Portfolio Yield: Income received of $2,687,593 divided by average net assets of $194.7-million, multiplied by two because it’s semiannual is 2.76%.

Income Coverage: Net investment income of $1,015,649 divided by preferred share dividends of $3,219,876 is a very low 32%.

The Income Coverage is substantially lower than the calculation performed from the 2013 Annual Report. This may be related to their issuance of $34.5-million in units last January.

Issue Comments

DF.PR.A Semi-Annual Report

Dividend 15 Split Corp. II has released its Semi-Annual Report to May 31, 2014.

Figures of interest are:

MER: 1.30% of the whole unit value, “to reflect the normal operating expenses of the Company excluding any one time secondary offering expenses.”.

Average Net Assets: We need this to calculate portfolio yield. The Total Assets of the fund at year end was $115.6-million, compared to $153.2-million on May 31, so call it an average of $134.4-million. Preferred share dividends of $1,997,813 were paid over the half year at 0.525 p.a., implying average units outstanding of 7.61-million, at an average NAVPU of about $16.7, implies $127.1-million. That’s reasonably good agreement! Say the Average Net Assets are $130.8-million.

Underlying Portfolio Yield: Income received of $1,969,925 divided by average net assets of $130.8-million, multiplied by two because it’s semiannual is 3.01%.

Income Coverage: Net investment income of $1,104,941 divided by preferred share dividends of $1,997,813 is 55%.

Note that both the calculated portfolio yield and the income coverage are less than what was calculated according to the 2013 Annual Report; there may have been a delay in investing the proceeds of their issuance. We will have to wait and see what the 2014 Annual Report brings.

Issue Comments

FFN.PR.A Completes Overnight Offering

Quadravest has announced:

Financial 15 Split Corp. II (the “Company”) is pleased to announce it has completed an overnight offering of 1,955,000 Preferred Shares and 1,955,000 Class A Shares. Total gross proceeds of the offering were $35.2 million, bringing the Company’s net assets to approximately $124.5 million. The shares will trade on the Toronto Stock Exchange under the existing symbols of FFN.PR.A (Preferred shares) and FFN (Class A shares).

The Preferred Shares were offered at a price of $10.00 per Preferred Share to yield 5.25% on the issue price, and the Class A Shares were offered at a price of $8.00 per Class A Share targeting to yield 15% annually based on the current distribution policy.

The offering was co-led by National Bank Financial Inc., CIBC, RBC Capital Markets and also included BMO Capital Markets, GMP Securities L.P., Canaccord Genuity Corp. and Raymond James.

The net proceeds of the secondary offering will be used by the Company to invest in a high quality portfolio consisting of 15 financial services companies made up of Canadian and U.S. issuers as follows:

Bank of Montreal National Bank of Canada Bank of America Corp.
The Bank of Nova Scotia Manulife Financial Corporation Citigroup Inc.
Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce Sun Life Financial Services of Canada Goldman Sachs Group Inc.
Royal Bank of Canada Great-West Lifeco Inc. JP Morgan Chase & Co.
The Toronto-Dominion Bank CI Financial Corp. Wells Fargo & Co.

FFN.PR.A was last mentioned on PrefBlog when shareholders voted for a term extension last May.

Issue Comments

S&P Sets Outlook-Negative on Canadian Banks

Standard & Poor’s has announced:

Standard & Poor’s Ratings Services today said that it revised its outlooks to negative from stable on almost all Canadian banks to which we have ascribed ratings uplift for potential extraordinary government support in a crisis. We base this rating action on our view that the announcement of a proposed bail-in policy regime might lead us to lower ratings on the banks within two years. We are revising our outlooks on Royal Bank of Canada (RBC), Toronto-Dominion Bank (TD Bank), The Bank of Nova Scotia (Scotiabank), Bank of Montreal (BMO), Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce (CIBC), and National Bank of Canada (NBC).

“The outlook revision reflects our expectation of reduced potential for extraordinary government support arising from implementation of the proposed new elements of the resolution framework for Canadian banks,” said Standard & Poor’s credit analyst Tom Connell.

We incorporate the potential for extraordinary government support in our ratings on the seven largest Canadian financial institutions. We evaluate the potential for extraordinary government support through an assessment of a bank’s systemic importance, in conjunction with our view of the government’s willingness and capacity to support one or more banks during a crisis. We assess seven Canadian financial institutions as having “high” or “moderate” systemic importance. We also assess Canada as being “supportive,” which is the middle of three categories in our framework for evaluating the tendency of a government to bail out a financial institution. The issuer credit ratings on the large Canadian financial institutions include either one notch (RBC, TD Bank, Scotiabank, NBC, and Caisse Centrale Desjardins) or two notches (BMO and CIBC) of uplift due to the potential for extraordinary government support.

This notching reflects our belief that the Canadian government, like other governments around the world, would face strong incentives to support a large institution in a crisis to preserve financial market stability. We base this on the size and interconnectedness of these banks, their importance to the economy, and the potential for the failure of one institution to destabilize the system as a whole. We believe there is a moderately high likelihood that the Canadian government would intervene to preempt a large bank’s failure.

We might reclassify the Canadian government’s tendency to support a bank as “uncertain” from the current “supportive” category. We note that taxpayer protection is a primary goal of the bail-in policy, as the consultation document’s title reflects. We expect the Canadian government will take a pragmatic approach that balances policy goals and makes use of whatever options are available in the event of an impending bank failure. Canada has not prohibited capital injections to a distressed bank, but does include a capital injection from a federal or provincial government as a trigger event for the conversion of nonviability capital instruments and of bail-in debt. For jurisdictions we view as having an uncertain tendency to support banks, we do not apply any ratings uplift from a bank’s stand-alone credit profile, regardless of the bank’s systemic importance.

Alternatively, we could reduce our assessment of the systemic importance of some or all Canadian banks, to “moderate” or “low.” This could arise if we conclude that the array of resolution tools, including the bail-in option, would have the potential to materially reduce the potential for a bank failure to destabilize the financial system. For banks we view as having low systemic importance, we do not apply any uplift for extraordinary government support. For banks that we believe have moderate systemic importance, we would limit uplift of extraordinary support to one notch at most (assuming we view the government as supportive).

This announcement by S&P mirrors a a similar announcement by Moody’s last month.

Affected issues are
BNS.PR.A, BNS.PR.B, BNS.PR.C, BNS.PR.L, BNS.PR.M, BNS.PR.N, BNS.PR.O, BNS.PR.P, BNS.PR.Q, BNS.PR.R, BNS.PR.Y, BNS.PR.Z

BMO.PR.J, BMO.PR.K, BMO.PR.L, BMO.PR.M, BMO.PR.P, BMO.PR.Q, BMO.PR.R, BMO.PR.S, BMO.PR.T, BMO.PR.W

CM.PR.D, CM.PR.E, CM.PR.G, CM.PR.O

NA.PR.L, NA.PR.M, NA.PR.Q, NA.PR.S

RY.PR.A, RY.PR.B, RY.PR.C, RY.PR.D, RY.PR.E, RY.PR.F, RY.PR.G, RY.PR.H, RY.PR.I, RY.PR.K, RY.PR.L, RY.PR.T, RY.PR.W, RY.PR.X, RY.PR.Y, RY.PR.Z

TD.PR.O, TD.PR.P, TD.PR.Q, TD.PR.R, TD.PR.S, TD.PR.T, TD.PR.Y, TD.PR.Z, TD.PF.A, TD.PF.B