Month: February 2017

Market Action

February 14, 2017

Wow. Toshiba might be going down:

The chaos at Toshiba, the Japanese corporate giant, deepened Tuesday, with its chairman resigning and the company saying it would book a $6.3 billion loss related to its U.S. nuclear business.

Then, after the stock market had closed, Toshiba said that it would take a $6.3 billion hit related to Westinghouse’s acquisition in December of Stone & Webster, a nuclear construction business, from Chicago Bridge & Iron in December.

Analysts are now speculating about the possibility that Toshiba, which employs almost 200,000 people in Japan and has significant investments in the United States, will have to file for bankruptcy.

Toshiba, which bought a majority stake in Pennsylvania-based nuclear power company Westinghouse in 2006, earlier said that it had received internal information late last month about irregularities during the acquisition. It had learned that controls at Westinghouse had been “insufficient” and that the company had used “inappropriate pressure” to make the acquisition.

“We concluded on Monday afternoon that we need further research on the internal reporting . . . and its impact on financial results,” the company said in a statement, adding that its lawyers and an independent auditing firm were still poring over the details.

HIMIPref™ Preferred Indices
These values reflect the December 2008 revision of the HIMIPref™ Indices

Values are provisional and are finalized monthly
Index Mean
Current
Yield
(at bid)
Median
YTW
Median
Average
Trading
Value
Median
Mod Dur
(YTW)
Issues Day’s Perf. Index Value
Ratchet 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.3798 % 2,006.4
FixedFloater 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.3798 % 3,681.6
Floater 3.76 % 3.95 % 48,314 17.49 4 0.3798 % 2,121.7
OpRet 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.0588 % 2,972.6
SplitShare 4.70 % 4.17 % 58,127 0.79 4 0.0588 % 3,549.9
Interest-Bearing 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.0588 % 2,769.7
Perpetual-Premium 5.43 % -1.72 % 70,961 0.09 16 0.0489 % 2,730.3
Perpetual-Discount 5.16 % 5.14 % 104,046 15.08 22 -0.0146 % 2,915.3
FixedReset 4.50 % 4.16 % 216,553 6.73 97 -0.2478 % 2,288.9
Deemed-Retractible 5.03 % 0.45 % 133,450 0.13 31 -0.1015 % 2,838.6
FloatingReset 2.49 % 3.20 % 45,810 4.68 9 -0.0054 % 2,449.4
Performance Highlights
Issue Index Change Notes
BAM.PF.E FixedReset -1.64 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2047-02-14
Maturity Price : 21.88
Evaluated at bid price : 22.19
Bid-YTW : 4.28 %
GWO.PR.N FixedReset -1.44 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 15.04
Bid-YTW : 9.62 %
BAM.PR.R FixedReset -1.35 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2047-02-14
Maturity Price : 19.00
Evaluated at bid price : 19.00
Bid-YTW : 4.40 %
BAM.PF.A FixedReset -1.03 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2047-02-14
Maturity Price : 22.66
Evaluated at bid price : 23.05
Bid-YTW : 4.41 %
BAM.PF.F FixedReset -1.01 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2047-02-14
Maturity Price : 22.78
Evaluated at bid price : 23.51
Bid-YTW : 4.29 %
RY.PR.M FixedReset -1.01 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2047-02-14
Maturity Price : 22.13
Evaluated at bid price : 22.63
Bid-YTW : 4.05 %
HSE.PR.A FixedReset 1.81 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2047-02-14
Maturity Price : 15.18
Evaluated at bid price : 15.18
Bid-YTW : 4.55 %
Volume Highlights
Issue Index Shares
Traded
Notes
IFC.PR.C FixedReset 102,439 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 21.44
Bid-YTW : 5.85 %
IFC.PR.A FixedReset 81,454 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 18.18
Bid-YTW : 7.73 %
RY.PR.W Perpetual-Discount 75,435 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2017-03-16
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.00
Bid-YTW : 3.29 %
IAG.PR.G FixedReset 74,139 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 22.97
Bid-YTW : 5.32 %
BIP.PR.D FixedReset 52,691 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2047-02-14
Maturity Price : 23.18
Evaluated at bid price : 25.09
Bid-YTW : 4.92 %
BAM.PF.B FixedReset 49,340 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2047-02-14
Maturity Price : 21.42
Evaluated at bid price : 21.75
Bid-YTW : 4.37 %
There were 35 other index-included issues trading in excess of 10,000 shares.
Wide Spread Highlights
Issue Index Quote Data and Yield Notes
TRP.PR.H FloatingReset Quote: 13.12 – 13.45
Spot Rate : 0.3300
Average : 0.2492

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2047-02-14
Maturity Price : 13.12
Evaluated at bid price : 13.12
Bid-YTW : 3.36 %

RY.PR.P Perpetual-Premium Quote: 25.61 – 25.85
Spot Rate : 0.2400
Average : 0.1642

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2025-02-24
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.61
Bid-YTW : 4.89 %

HSE.PR.C FixedReset Quote: 22.95 – 23.17
Spot Rate : 0.2200
Average : 0.1447

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2047-02-14
Maturity Price : 22.42
Evaluated at bid price : 22.95
Bid-YTW : 4.67 %

TRP.PR.F FloatingReset Quote: 16.71 – 17.05
Spot Rate : 0.3400
Average : 0.2669

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2047-02-14
Maturity Price : 16.71
Evaluated at bid price : 16.71
Bid-YTW : 3.61 %

W.PR.K FixedReset Quote: 25.80 – 26.05
Spot Rate : 0.2500
Average : 0.1784

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2021-01-15
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.80
Bid-YTW : 4.50 %

PVS.PR.E SplitShare Quote: 26.30 – 26.54
Spot Rate : 0.2400
Average : 0.1749

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2017-03-16
Maturity Price : 26.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.30
Bid-YTW : 3.63 %

PrefLetter

February, 2017, PrefLetter Released!

The February, 2017, edition of PrefLetter has been released and is now available for purchase as the “Previous edition”. Those who subscribe for a full year receive the “Previous edition” as a bonus.

PrefLetter may now be purchased by all Canadian residents.

Until further notice, the “Previous Edition” will refer to the February, 2017, issue, while the “Next Edition” will be the March, 2017, issue, scheduled to be prepared as of the close March 10 and eMailed to subscribers prior to market-opening on March 13.

PrefLetter is intended for long term investors seeking issues to buy-and-hold. At least one recommendation from each of the major preferred share sectors is included and discussed.

Note: My verbosity has grown by such leaps and bounds that it is no longer possible to deliver PrefLetter as an eMail attachment – it’s just too big for my software! Instead, I have sent passwords – click on the link in your eMail and your copy will download.

Note: The PrefLetter website has a Subscriber Download Feature. If you have not received your copy, try it!

Note: PrefLetter eMails sometimes runs afoul of spam filters. If you have not received your copy within fifteen minutes of a release notice such as this one, please double check your (company’s) spam filtering policy and your spam repository – there are some hints in the post Sympatico Spam Filters out of Control. If it’s not there, contact me and I’ll get you your copy … somehow!

Note: There have been scattered complaints regarding inability to open PrefLetter in Acrobat Reader, despite my practice of including myself on the subscription list and immediately checking the copy received. I have had the occasional difficulty reading US Government documents, which I was able to resolve by downloading and installing the latest version of Adobe Reader. Also, note that so far, all complaints have been from users of Yahoo Mail. Try saving it to disk first, before attempting to open it.

Note: There have been other scattered complaints that double-clicking on the links in the “PrefLetter Download” email results in a message that the password has already been used. I have been able to reproduce this problem in my own eMail software … the problem is double-clicking. What happens is the first click opens the link and the second click finds that the password has already been used and refuses to work properly. So the moral of the story is: Don’t be a dick! Single Click!

Note: Assiduous Reader DG informs me:

In case you have any other Apple users: you need to install a free App from the apple store called “FileApp”. It comes with it’s own tutorial and allows you to download and save a PDF file.

However, Assiduous Reader Adrian informs me in the comments to the January 2015 release:

Some nitpicking for DG:
FileApp costs $1.19 in the Apple Store.

But Adrian2 now advises:

Well, as of now, FileApp is free (again?).

So cross your fingers!

Market Action

February 13, 2017

Preferred shares? There’s drone news to report!

Dubai has tested a Chinese prototype of a self-driving hover-taxi, its transport authority said on Monday, with the aim of introducing the aerial vehicle in the emirate by July.

The test of the one-man electric vehicle comes as the city state in the United Arab Emirates seeks to ensure a quarter of its means of transport are self-driving by 2030.

The EHang 184 can travel on a programmed course at 100 kilometres an hour (60 mph) at an altitude of 300 metres (1,000 feet), the authority said in a statement. The new version has an endurance of about 30 minute flying time. This is about 30 mile range. The drones can handle a flier and a small bag weighing up to a combined total of 220 pounds.

A passenger simply needs to select a destination for the autonomous taxi to take off, fly the route and touch down in the chosen spot monitored by a ground control center, it said.

The EHang 184 is very similar to a multicopter UAV with an X8 configuration.

HIMIPref™ Preferred Indices
These values reflect the December 2008 revision of the HIMIPref™ Indices

Values are provisional and are finalized monthly
Index Mean
Current
Yield
(at bid)
Median
YTW
Median
Average
Trading
Value
Median
Mod Dur
(YTW)
Issues Day’s Perf. Index Value
Ratchet 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.0800 % 1,998.8
FixedFloater 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.0800 % 3,667.7
Floater 3.78 % 3.97 % 47,430 17.45 4 0.0800 % 2,113.7
OpRet 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.0196 % 2,970.8
SplitShare 4.70 % 4.53 % 54,030 4.14 4 0.0196 % 3,547.8
Interest-Bearing 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.0196 % 2,768.1
Perpetual-Premium 5.43 % -1.91 % 75,103 0.09 16 0.0612 % 2,728.9
Perpetual-Discount 5.15 % 5.17 % 103,808 15.09 22 0.0914 % 2,915.7
FixedReset 4.48 % 4.14 % 216,888 6.73 97 0.2235 % 2,294.6
Deemed-Retractible 5.03 % 0.24 % 135,057 0.13 31 -0.0277 % 2,841.4
FloatingReset 2.49 % 3.24 % 47,269 4.68 9 0.1618 % 2,449.6
Performance Highlights
Issue Index Change Notes
TRP.PR.A FixedReset 1.29 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2047-02-13
Maturity Price : 18.08
Evaluated at bid price : 18.08
Bid-YTW : 4.27 %
CU.PR.C FixedReset 1.53 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2047-02-13
Maturity Price : 21.51
Evaluated at bid price : 21.84
Bid-YTW : 3.98 %
TRP.PR.H FloatingReset 3.36 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2047-02-13
Maturity Price : 13.22
Evaluated at bid price : 13.22
Bid-YTW : 3.34 %
Volume Highlights
Issue Index Shares
Traded
Notes
BAM.PR.K Floater 170,890 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2047-02-13
Maturity Price : 12.02
Evaluated at bid price : 12.02
Bid-YTW : 3.97 %
TD.PF.H FixedReset 159,626 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2021-10-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.89
Bid-YTW : 4.11 %
SLF.PR.D Deemed-Retractible 74,764 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 22.25
Bid-YTW : 6.35 %
MFC.PR.B Deemed-Retractible 64,724 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 23.31
Bid-YTW : 5.87 %
IAG.PR.G FixedReset 57,393 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 22.90
Bid-YTW : 5.37 %
TRP.PR.K FixedReset 56,636 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2022-05-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.78
Bid-YTW : 4.23 %
There were 30 other index-included issues trading in excess of 10,000 shares.
Wide Spread Highlights
Issue Index Quote Data and Yield Notes
GWO.PR.N FixedReset Quote: 15.26 – 15.79
Spot Rate : 0.5300
Average : 0.3531

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 15.26
Bid-YTW : 9.41 %

CCS.PR.C Deemed-Retractible Quote: 23.80 – 24.24
Spot Rate : 0.4400
Average : 0.3299

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 23.80
Bid-YTW : 5.90 %

TRP.PR.F FloatingReset Quote: 16.74 – 17.00
Spot Rate : 0.2600
Average : 0.1869

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2047-02-13
Maturity Price : 16.74
Evaluated at bid price : 16.74
Bid-YTW : 3.60 %

BMO.PR.Z Perpetual-Premium Quote: 25.40 – 25.60
Spot Rate : 0.2000
Average : 0.1288

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2024-08-25
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.40
Bid-YTW : 4.75 %

BNS.PR.D FloatingReset Quote: 21.35 – 21.55
Spot Rate : 0.2000
Average : 0.1330

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 21.35
Bid-YTW : 4.76 %

BIP.PR.A FixedReset Quote: 23.15 – 23.35
Spot Rate : 0.2000
Average : 0.1356

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2047-02-13
Maturity Price : 22.49
Evaluated at bid price : 23.15
Bid-YTW : 5.02 %

Issue Comments

MFC.PR.H To Be Extended

Manulife Financial Corporation has announced:

that it does not intend to exercise its right to redeem all or any of its currently outstanding 10,000,000 Non-cumulative Rate Reset Class 1 Shares Series 7 (the “Series 7 Preferred Shares”) (TSX: MFC.PR.H) on March 19, 2017. As a result, subject to certain conditions described in the prospectus supplement dated February 14, 2012 relating to the issuance of the Series 7 Preferred Shares (the “Prospectus”), the holders of the Series 7 Preferred Shares have the right, at their option, to convert all or part of their Series 7 Preferred Shares on a one-for-one basis into Non-cumulative Floating Rate Class 1 Shares Series 8 of Manulife (the “Series 8 Preferred Shares”) on March 19, 2017. A formal notice of the right to convert Series 7 Preferred Shares into Series 8 Preferred Shares will be sent to the registered holders of the Series 7 Preferred Shares in accordance with the share conditions of the Series 7 Preferred Shares. Holders of Series 7 Preferred Shares are not required to elect to convert all or any part of their Series 7 Preferred Shares into Series 8 Preferred Shares. Holders who do not exercise their right to convert their Series 7 Preferred Shares into Series 8 Preferred Shares on such date will retain their Series 7 Preferred Shares, unless automatically converted in accordance with the conditions below.

The foregoing conversion right is subject to the conditions that: (i) if, after March 6, 2017, Manulife determines that there would be less than 1,000,000 Series 7 Preferred Shares outstanding on March 20, 2017, then all remaining Series 7 Preferred Shares will automatically be converted into an equal number of Series 8 Preferred Shares on March 19, 2017, and (ii) alternatively, if, after March 6, 2017, Manulife determines that there would be less than 1,000,000 Series 8 Preferred Shares outstanding on March 20, 2017, then no Series 7 Preferred Shares will be converted into Series 8 Preferred Shares. In either case, Manulife will give written notice to that effect to any registered holders of Series 7 Preferred Shares affected by the preceding minimums on or before March 12, 2017.

The dividend rate applicable to the Series 7 Preferred Shares for the 5-year period commencing on March 20, 2017, and ending on March 19, 2022, and the dividend rate applicable to the Series 8 Preferred Shares for the 3-month period commencing on March 20, 2017, and ending on June 19, 2017, will be determined and announced by way of a news release on February 21, 2017. Manulife will also give written notice of these dividend rates to the registered holders of Series 7 Preferred Shares.

Beneficial owners of Series 7 Preferred Shares who wish to exercise their right of conversion should instruct their broker or other nominee to exercise such right before 5:00 p.m. (Toronto time) on March 6, 2017. Conversion inquiries should be directed to Manulife’s Registrar and Transfer Agent, CST Trust Company, at 1-800-387-0825.

Subject to certain conditions described in the Prospectus, Manulife may redeem the Series 7 Preferred Shares, in whole or in part, on March 19, 2022 and on March 19 every five years thereafter and may redeem the Series 8 Preferred Shares, in whole or in part, after March 19, 2017.

The Toronto Stock Exchange (“TSX”) has conditionally approved the listing of the Series 8 Preferred Shares effective upon conversion. Listing of the Series 8 Preferred Shares is subject to Manulife fulfilling all the listing requirements of the TSX and, upon approval, the Series 8 Preferred Shares will be listed on the TSX under the trading symbol “MFC.PR.S”.

MFC.PR.H is a FixedReset, 4.60%+313, that commenced trading 2012-2-22 after being announced 2012-2-14.

I will report the reset rate on MFC.PR.H when it becomes available.

Press Clippings

TransAlta Corp takes to the airwaves to spread the advantages of its pref share consolidation

This note is a little stale by now, but Barry Critchley was kind enough to quote me in his piece TransAlta Corp takes to the airwaves to spread the advantages of its pref share consolidation, published on January 24:

Some financial advisers, and at least one portfolio manager, argue the higher yield and better terms aren’t enough to make up for the potential capital loss investors are being asked to take.

James Hymas, portfolio manager at Hymas Investment Counsel said, “that’s the crux of the issue. The reduction in the effective redemption price (from $25), is an incredibly major change, an incredibly valuable feature to be given up, and TransAlta is not even close to matching that value on the income side.”

It was also interesting to read:

[TransAlta CFO Donald] Tremblay noted that the preferreds par value of $25 “is theoretical in the sense that prior to the announcement of the transaction these shares were trading at or below $0.50 on the dollar; Management would never have utilized the call option on the Preferred Shares,” he said.

This is disingenuous: it is remoteness of the potential call that makes the extant preferreds so valuable. Potential calls are always harmful to the investor!

This follows previous posts on this topic:

Affected issues are TA.PR.D, TA.PR.E, TA.PR.F, TA.PR.H and TA.PR.J.

Issue Comments

TA Withdraws Plan of Arrangement

TransAlta Corporation has announced:

that it is not proceeding with the previously announced transaction pursuant to which all the currently outstanding first preferred shares in the capital of the Corporation would be exchanged for shares in a single new series of cumulative redeemable minimum rate reset first preferred shares in the capital of the Corporation. In light of the decision to terminate such transaction, the special meetings of preferred shareholders of the Corporation scheduled for February 16, 2017 have been cancelled.

This is wonderful news – it was a horrible plan, at least so far as investors were concerned; it was only good for the company and bank employees hoping to earn sleaze fees for a favourable vote.

This follows previous posts on this topic:

Affected issues are TA.PR.D, TA.PR.E, TA.PR.F, TA.PR.H and TA.PR.J.

There was high volume but little price change today after the announcement:

Market Movement in TA Issues
2017-2-10
Ticker Bid
2017-2-9
Bid
2017-2-10
Change Volume
TA.PR.D 12.89 13.00 +0.85% 785,355
TA.PR.E 13.09 12.70 -2.98% 121,800
TA.PR.F 16.95 16.88 -0.30% 320,371
TA.PR.H 18.88 18.70 -0.95% 393,853
TA.PR.J 19.89 19.80 -0.45% 120,022
Press Clippings

TransAlta cancels a planned preferred share swap because of investor push back

Barry Critchley was kind enough to quote me in his piece TransAlta cancels a planned preferred share swap because of investor push back:

“It is a good day for shareholders. We don’t always do what the banks tell us to do,” said James Hymas, portfolio manager at Hymas Investment Management and the publisher of the PrefBlog. CIBC World Markets was TransAlta’s financial adviser while PWC provided a fairness opinion.

When TransAlta announced the plan in late December, Hymas said on the blog: “This is a rotten deal for the preferred shareholders, so rotten that we may call it a sleazy attempt by the company to pull the wool over the eyes of unsophisticated retail investors.”

Reached Friday, Hymas reiterated that it “was a bad deal. I suspect the early returns by shareholders combined with comments made to their investor relations department convinced them that it was not going to pass. Rather than be embarrassed, my guess is that they decided to cancel the deal.”

Hymas offered TransAlta, whose common share holders received a major dividend cut one year back, some advice: Get to work on improving the credit rating and spend less time on financial engineering. Last March DBRS changed the trends of all TransAlta’s long-term debt ratings – as well as on its preferred share ratings – to negative from stable.

There are also some amusing quotes from a portfolio manager who liked the deal so much, he’s willing to hide under his bed with the light turned off and say so anonymously:

The manager had little time for the view that holders were being “compromised” because they were not being offered full value, or $25 per share.

“That’s a fiction. They are perpetual securities and worth what they are worth. It’s not like a piece of debt where eventually they owe you the principal,” he added.

I hadn’t actually heard anybody say the holders were being compromised because they were not being offered full value. Perhaps the fact that all this guy has is a straw-man argument explains his anonymity..

This follows previous posts on this topic:

Affected issues are TA.PR.D, TA.PR.E, TA.PR.F, TA.PR.H and TA.PR.J.

Market Action

February 10, 2017

McJobs, McJobs, McJobs!

Data released Friday show a labor market that’s finally beginning to create new jobs, while at the same time offering little evidence that’s translating into higher incomes for workers as wage growth and hours worked slump.

Still, wage data showed underlying weakness that may complicate matters for Bank of Canada policy makers. Average hourly wages for permanent employees increased 1 percent in January from a year earlier, the slowest pace of growth since at least 2003. Hours worked also fell 0.8 percent from a year earlier.

Most of the gains came from two categories — a 20,500 increase in finance, insurance, real estate and leasing and another 16,400 in business, building and other support services — and for men aged 25 to 54, with the increase of about 30,000 the largest in more than two years.

It was split between 32,400 part-time positions and 15,800 full-time jobs.

There’s a fascinating story about Nav Sarao, the Flash Crash scapegoat, that shows once again that trading and investment management are two completely different things:

After four months of dead ends, his legal team struck a deal with the authorities: If the U.S. Justice Department and the Commodity Futures Trading Commission agreed not to oppose a reduction in bail to 50,000 pounds, the firm would act as a bounty hunter, taking on responsibility for tracking down the missing millions on the condition that its fees be paid if it did.

They were going down a rabbit hole. A review of Sarao’s investments from 2005 to the present day, based on dozens of interviews and thousands of pages of documents, reveals another twist in an already remarkable story. Navinder Sarao, the trading savant accused of sabotaging the world’s financial markets from his bedroom, may himself have been the naïve victim of what his lawyers portray as a series of cons that stripped him of almost every cent he earned.

Sarao declined to comment for this article. His lawyer, Roger Burlingame of Kobre & Kim in London, told a U.S. judge in November that all of the defendant’s assets “have been stolen.” Sarao invested in ventures from which he, the law firm and the CFTC had been unable to recover the funds, Burlingame said. “Basically, he has some extraordinary abilities with respect to pattern recognition and certain sorts of mathematical abilities, but he has some fairly severe social limitations.”

The story also illustrates the regulatory penchant for going after the easy marks for trivial infringements of arbitrary rules while ignoring the real crooks in the industry.

HIMIPref™ Preferred Indices
These values reflect the December 2008 revision of the HIMIPref™ Indices

Values are provisional and are finalized monthly
Index Mean
Current
Yield
(at bid)
Median
YTW
Median
Average
Trading
Value
Median
Mod Dur
(YTW)
Issues Day’s Perf. Index Value
Ratchet 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.1603 % 1,997.2
FixedFloater 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.1603 % 3,664.7
Floater 3.78 % 3.96 % 47,260 17.47 4 0.1603 % 2,112.0
OpRet 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.1079 % 2,970.2
SplitShare 4.70 % 4.51 % 56,174 4.15 4 0.1079 % 3,547.1
Interest-Bearing 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.1079 % 2,767.6
Perpetual-Premium 5.44 % -1.70 % 77,668 0.09 16 0.0245 % 2,727.3
Perpetual-Discount 5.16 % 5.18 % 107,437 15.10 22 0.2978 % 2,913.1
FixedReset 4.49 % 4.16 % 223,928 6.74 97 -0.1447 % 2,289.5
Deemed-Retractible 5.03 % 0.13 % 131,640 0.14 31 0.1980 % 2,842.2
FloatingReset 2.50 % 3.16 % 47,455 4.69 9 0.1837 % 2,445.6
Performance Highlights
Issue Index Change Notes
IFC.PR.C FixedReset -1.47 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 21.43
Bid-YTW : 5.84 %
TRP.PR.E FixedReset -1.34 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2047-02-10
Maturity Price : 21.37
Evaluated at bid price : 21.37
Bid-YTW : 4.18 %
PWF.PR.P FixedReset -1.15 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2047-02-10
Maturity Price : 15.51
Evaluated at bid price : 15.51
Bid-YTW : 4.24 %
CU.PR.I FixedReset -1.13 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2020-12-01
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.30
Bid-YTW : 2.99 %
BNS.PR.Z FixedReset 1.00 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 22.19
Bid-YTW : 4.72 %
SLF.PR.D Deemed-Retractible 1.09 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 22.29
Bid-YTW : 6.32 %
CU.PR.C FixedReset 1.13 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2047-02-10
Maturity Price : 21.51
Evaluated at bid price : 21.51
Bid-YTW : 4.07 %
MFC.PR.O FixedReset 1.16 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2021-06-19
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 27.08
Bid-YTW : 3.75 %
Volume Highlights
Issue Index Shares
Traded
Notes
BAM.PF.F FixedReset 46,385 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2047-02-10
Maturity Price : 22.81
Evaluated at bid price : 23.56
Bid-YTW : 4.27 %
TRP.PR.K FixedReset 36,821 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2022-05-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.76
Bid-YTW : 4.24 %
RY.PR.J FixedReset 36,300 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2047-02-10
Maturity Price : 22.35
Evaluated at bid price : 22.91
Bid-YTW : 4.11 %
RY.PR.Z FixedReset 35,585 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2047-02-10
Maturity Price : 21.06
Evaluated at bid price : 21.06
Bid-YTW : 4.02 %
BIP.PR.D FixedReset 34,166 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2047-02-10
Maturity Price : 23.20
Evaluated at bid price : 25.13
Bid-YTW : 4.90 %
TRP.PR.E FixedReset 32,587 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2047-02-10
Maturity Price : 21.37
Evaluated at bid price : 21.37
Bid-YTW : 4.18 %
There were 34 other index-included issues trading in excess of 10,000 shares.
Wide Spread Highlights
Issue Index Quote Data and Yield Notes
VNR.PR.A FixedReset Quote: 21.00 – 21.50
Spot Rate : 0.5000
Average : 0.3742

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2047-02-10
Maturity Price : 21.00
Evaluated at bid price : 21.00
Bid-YTW : 4.71 %

IFC.PR.C FixedReset Quote: 21.43 – 21.75
Spot Rate : 0.3200
Average : 0.1989

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 21.43
Bid-YTW : 5.84 %

HSE.PR.A FixedReset Quote: 14.94 – 15.35
Spot Rate : 0.4100
Average : 0.2983

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2047-02-10
Maturity Price : 14.94
Evaluated at bid price : 14.94
Bid-YTW : 4.62 %

BAM.PR.T FixedReset Quote: 18.80 – 19.10
Spot Rate : 0.3000
Average : 0.2005

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2047-02-10
Maturity Price : 18.80
Evaluated at bid price : 18.80
Bid-YTW : 4.58 %

CU.PR.I FixedReset Quote: 26.30 – 26.67
Spot Rate : 0.3700
Average : 0.2763

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2020-12-01
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.30
Bid-YTW : 2.99 %

CU.PR.C FixedReset Quote: 21.51 – 22.00
Spot Rate : 0.4900
Average : 0.4030

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2047-02-10
Maturity Price : 21.51
Evaluated at bid price : 21.51
Bid-YTW : 4.07 %

New Issues

New Issue: BPO FixedReset, 5.10%+396M510

Brookfield Office Properties has announced (but not on their website yet, as far as I can tell given their idiotic, but ever-so-cool website design):

Brookfield Office Properties Inc., a subsidiary of Brookfield Property Partners L.P., announced today that it has agreed to issue to a syndicate of underwriters led by Scotiabank, CIBC Capital Markets, RBC Capital Markets and TD Securities Inc. for distribution to the public, eight million Cumulative Minimum Rate Reset Class AAA Preference Shares, Series EE (the “Preferred Shares, Series EE”). The Preferred Shares, Series EE will be issued at a price of C$25.00 per share, for aggregate proceeds of C$200 million. Holders of the Preferred Shares, Series EE will be entitled to receive a cumulative quarterly fixed dividend yielding 5.10% annually for the initial period ending March 31, 2022. Thereafter, the dividend rate will be reset every five years at a rate equal to the greater of (i) the five-year Government of Canada bond yield plus 3.96% and (ii) 5.10%.

Holders of Preferred Shares, Series EE will have the right, at their option, to convert their shares into Cumulative Floating Rate Class AAA Preference Shares, Series FF (the “Preferred Shares, Series FF”), subject to certain conditions, on March 31, 2022 and on March 31 every five years thereafter. Holders of Preferred Shares, Series FF will be entitled to receive cumulative quarterly floating dividends at a rate equal to the 90-day Government of Canada Treasury Bill yield plus 3.96%.

The Series EE Shares and Series FF Shares will be fully and unconditionally guaranteed, jointly and severally, as to: (i) the payment of dividends, as and when declared, (ii) the payment of amounts due on redemption, and (iii) the payment of amounts due on the liquidation, dissolution or winding-up of the Corporation, by the following entities: Brookfield Property Partners L.P., Brookfield Property L.P., Brookfield BPY Holdings Inc., Brookfield BPY Retail Holdings II Inc., BPY Bermuda Holdings Limited, BPY Bermuda Holdings II Limited, BPY Bermuda Holdings IV Limited and BPY Bermuda Holdings V Limited.

Brookfield Office Properties has granted the underwriters an option, exercisable in whole or in part anytime up to two business days prior to closing, to purchase an additional 2,000,000 Preferred Shares, Series EE at the same offering price. Should the option be fully exercised, the total gross proceeds of the financing will be C$250 million.

The Preferred Shares, Series EE will be offered in all provinces of Canada by way of a supplement to Brookfield Office Properties’ existing Canadian short form base shelf prospectus dated August 29, 2016.

The net proceeds of the issue will be used by Brookfield Office Properties for general corporate purposes which may include the redemption of existing preferred shares. The offering is expected to close on or about February 17, 2017.

They later announced:

Brookfield Office Properties Inc., a subsidiary of Brookfield Property Partners L.P., announced today that as a result of strong investor demand for its previously announced offering it has agreed to increase the size of the offering to eleven million Cumulative Minimum Rate Reset Class AAA Preference Shares, Series EE (the “Preferred Shares, Series EE”). The Preferred Shares, Series EE will be issued at a price of C$25.00 per share, for aggregate proceeds of C$275 million. There will not be an underwriters’ option. The Preferred Shares, Series EE are being offered on a bought deal basis by a syndicate of underwriters led by Scotiabank, CIBC Capital Markets, RBC Capital Markets and TD Securities Inc.

Holders of the Preferred Shares, Series EE will be entitled to receive a cumulative quarterly fixed dividend yielding 5.10% annually for the initial period ending March 31, 2022. Thereafter, the dividend rate will be reset every five years at a rate equal to the greater of (i) the five-year Government of Canada bond yield plus 3.96% and (ii) 5.10%.

Holders of Preferred Shares, Series EE will have the right, at their option, to convert their shares into Cumulative Floating Rate Class AAA Preference Shares, Series FF (the “Preferred Shares, Series FF”), subject to certain conditions, on March 31, 2022 and on March 31 every five years thereafter. Holders of Preferred Shares, Series FF will be entitled to receive cumulative quarterly floating dividends at a rate equal to the 90-day Government of Canada Treasury Bill yield plus 3.96%.

The Series EE Shares and Series FF Shares will be fully and unconditionally guaranteed, jointly and severally, as to: (i) the payment of dividends, as and when declared, (ii) the payment of amounts due on redemption, and (iii) the payment of amounts due on the liquidation, dissolution or winding-up of the Corporation, by the following entities: Brookfield Property Partners L.P., Brookfield Property L.P., Brookfield BPY Holdings Inc., Brookfield BPY Retail Holdings II Inc., BPY Bermuda Holdings Limited, BPY Bermuda Holdings II Limited, BPY Bermuda Holdings IV Limited and BPY Bermuda Holdings V Limited.

The Preferred Shares, Series EE will be offered in all provinces of Canada by way of a supplement to Brookfield Office Properties’ existing Canadian short form base shelf prospectus dated August 29, 2016.

The net proceeds of the issue will be used by Brookfield Office Properties for general corporate purposes which may include the redemption of existing preferred shares. The offering is expected to close on or about February 17, 2017.

Implied volatility analysis indicates:

impvol_bpo_170209
Click for Big

So according to that, the new issue is a little expensive and should have had a coupon of more like 5.25%, but that depends on how much value you accord the minimum rate guarantee. I value it as zero!

Market Action

February 9, 2017

HIMIPref™ Preferred Indices
These values reflect the December 2008 revision of the HIMIPref™ Indices

Values are provisional and are finalized monthly
Index Mean
Current
Yield
(at bid)
Median
YTW
Median
Average
Trading
Value
Median
Mod Dur
(YTW)
Issues Day’s Perf. Index Value
Ratchet 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.5844 % 1,994.0
FixedFloater 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.5844 % 3,658.9
Floater 3.79 % 3.96 % 47,497 17.47 4 0.5844 % 2,108.6
OpRet 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 -0.1861 % 2,967.0
SplitShare 4.71 % 4.65 % 58,272 4.15 4 -0.1861 % 3,543.3
Interest-Bearing 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 -0.1861 % 2,764.6
Perpetual-Premium 5.44 % -2.20 % 80,135 0.09 16 0.1078 % 2,726.6
Perpetual-Discount 5.17 % 5.21 % 104,418 15.04 22 0.0974 % 2,904.4
FixedReset 4.49 % 4.12 % 226,318 6.74 97 0.0804 % 2,292.8
Deemed-Retractible 5.04 % -0.52 % 132,112 0.14 31 0.1719 % 2,836.6
FloatingReset 2.48 % 3.16 % 47,016 4.70 9 0.1895 % 2,441.1
Performance Highlights
Issue Index Change Notes
HSE.PR.A FixedReset -1.91 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2047-02-09
Maturity Price : 14.86
Evaluated at bid price : 14.86
Bid-YTW : 4.63 %
MFC.PR.F FixedReset -1.05 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 15.10
Bid-YTW : 9.60 %
TRP.PR.D FixedReset 1.06 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2047-02-09
Maturity Price : 20.91
Evaluated at bid price : 20.91
Bid-YTW : 4.24 %
BAM.PR.K Floater 1.09 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2047-02-09
Maturity Price : 12.04
Evaluated at bid price : 12.04
Bid-YTW : 3.96 %
BNS.PR.D FloatingReset 1.14 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 21.35
Bid-YTW : 4.73 %
CU.PR.I FixedReset 1.14 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2020-12-01
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.60
Bid-YTW : 2.66 %
PWF.PR.T FixedReset 1.32 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2047-02-09
Maturity Price : 21.76
Evaluated at bid price : 22.25
Bid-YTW : 3.94 %
Volume Highlights
Issue Index Shares
Traded
Notes
TD.PF.H FixedReset 214,856 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2021-10-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.92
Bid-YTW : 4.07 %
IAG.PR.G FixedReset 97,106 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 23.11
Bid-YTW : 5.21 %
GWO.PR.S Deemed-Retractible 86,478 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.66
Bid-YTW : 4.96 %
BNS.PR.H FixedReset 56,600 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2022-01-26
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 26.04
Bid-YTW : 3.98 %
TRP.PR.G FixedReset 51,400 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2047-02-09
Maturity Price : 22.21
Evaluated at bid price : 22.75
Bid-YTW : 4.36 %
BIP.PR.D FixedReset 43,891 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2047-02-09
Maturity Price : 23.20
Evaluated at bid price : 25.13
Bid-YTW : 4.90 %
There were 31 other index-included issues trading in excess of 10,000 shares.
Wide Spread Highlights
Issue Index Quote Data and Yield Notes
TRP.PR.G FixedReset Quote: 22.75 – 23.20
Spot Rate : 0.4500
Average : 0.2932

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2047-02-09
Maturity Price : 22.21
Evaluated at bid price : 22.75
Bid-YTW : 4.36 %

BAM.PF.D Perpetual-Discount Quote: 23.31 – 23.57
Spot Rate : 0.2600
Average : 0.1715

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2047-02-09
Maturity Price : 22.94
Evaluated at bid price : 23.31
Bid-YTW : 5.31 %

MFC.PR.F FixedReset Quote: 15.10 – 15.37
Spot Rate : 0.2700
Average : 0.1888

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2025-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 15.10
Bid-YTW : 9.60 %

VNR.PR.A FixedReset Quote: 20.89 – 21.20
Spot Rate : 0.3100
Average : 0.2362

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2047-02-09
Maturity Price : 20.89
Evaluated at bid price : 20.89
Bid-YTW : 4.72 %

CU.PR.C FixedReset Quote: 21.27 – 21.65
Spot Rate : 0.3800
Average : 0.3077

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2047-02-09
Maturity Price : 21.27
Evaluated at bid price : 21.27
Bid-YTW : 4.10 %

BAM.PF.F FixedReset Quote: 23.75 – 23.94
Spot Rate : 0.1900
Average : 0.1186

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2047-02-09
Maturity Price : 22.91
Evaluated at bid price : 23.75
Bid-YTW : 4.22 %