January 19, 2022

So inflation is now the highest it’s ever been during my career!:

The Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose 4.8 per cent in December from a year earlier, the quickest pace since 1991, Statistics Canada said Wednesday. The result matched the median estimate from analysts and accelerated from November’s 4.7-per-cent pace. It was the ninth consecutive month that inflation has exceeded the Bank of Canada’s target range of 1 per cent to 3 per cent.

Grocery prices rose 5.7 per cent in December for the highest annual inflation in that category since late 2011, which Statscan attributed to supply issues and unfavourable weather. New border controls on unvaccinated truckers could put further pressure on food prices.

The average of the Bank of Canada’s core measures of annual inflation – which strip out extreme price swings and give a better sense of underlying trends – rose to 2.9 per cent from 2.7 per cent, the highest since 1991.

In apparent response, the GOC-5 rate increased to 1.71%.

PerpetualDiscounts now yield 4.80%, equivalent to 6.24% interest at the standard equivalency factor of 1.3x. Long corporates now yield 3.57%, so the pre-tax interest-equivalent spread (in this context, the “Seniority Spread”) has narrowed dramatically to 265bp from the 295bp reported January 12.

HIMIPref™ Preferred Indices
These values reflect the December 2008 revision of the HIMIPref™ Indices

Values are provisional and are finalized monthly
Index Mean
Current
Yield
(at bid)
Median
YTW
Median
Average
Trading
Value
Median
Mod Dur
(YTW)
Issues Day’s Perf. Index Value
Ratchet 3.03 % 3.50 % 41,244 20.05 1 -0.0988 % 2,880.4
FixedFloater 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.9924 % 5,420.7
Floater 2.94 % 2.96 % 53,939 19.83 3 0.9924 % 3,124.0
OpRet 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.0587 % 3,655.8
SplitShare 4.70 % 4.41 % 30,322 3.57 6 0.0587 % 4,365.9
Interest-Bearing 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.0587 % 3,406.4
Perpetual-Premium 5.15 % -15.81 % 50,595 0.09 24 0.0114 % 3,257.7
Perpetual-Discount 4.71 % 4.80 % 53,292 15.78 7 -0.4407 % 3,861.2
FixedReset Disc 3.95 % 3.97 % 117,216 16.52 46 0.0777 % 2,878.1
Insurance Straight 4.87 % 4.49 % 79,323 0.44 17 0.0000 % 3,672.6
FloatingReset 2.67 % 2.99 % 39,858 19.77 2 0.1109 % 2,930.1
FixedReset Prem 4.73 % 3.01 % 104,927 1.74 25 0.0233 % 2,732.3
FixedReset Bank Non 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 0.0777 % 2,942.0
FixedReset Ins Non 4.05 % 3.76 % 69,833 16.92 17 0.1942 % 2,999.3
Performance Highlights
Issue Index Change Notes
PWF.PR.P FixedReset Disc -3.85 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-01-19
Maturity Price : 17.50
Evaluated at bid price : 17.50
Bid-YTW : 4.19 %
CU.PR.F Perpetual-Discount -2.41 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-01-19
Maturity Price : 23.62
Evaluated at bid price : 23.90
Bid-YTW : 4.76 %
BAM.PF.G FixedReset Disc -1.19 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-01-19
Maturity Price : 22.55
Evaluated at bid price : 23.27
Bid-YTW : 4.49 %
TD.PF.A FixedReset Disc -1.16 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-01-19
Maturity Price : 22.98
Evaluated at bid price : 23.95
Bid-YTW : 3.89 %
TRP.PR.C FixedReset Disc 1.14 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-01-19
Maturity Price : 16.79
Evaluated at bid price : 16.79
Bid-YTW : 4.27 %
BAM.PF.E FixedReset Disc 1.27 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-01-19
Maturity Price : 22.00
Evaluated at bid price : 22.36
Bid-YTW : 4.51 %
BAM.PR.C Floater 1.39 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-01-19
Maturity Price : 14.55
Evaluated at bid price : 14.55
Bid-YTW : 2.96 %
BAM.PR.B Floater 1.45 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-01-19
Maturity Price : 14.70
Evaluated at bid price : 14.70
Bid-YTW : 2.93 %
MFC.PR.F FixedReset Ins Non 1.50 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-01-19
Maturity Price : 19.00
Evaluated at bid price : 19.00
Bid-YTW : 3.76 %
SLF.PR.H FixedReset Ins Non 3.14 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-01-19
Maturity Price : 22.29
Evaluated at bid price : 23.00
Bid-YTW : 3.84 %
TD.PF.E FixedReset Disc 3.24 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2025-10-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 24.85
Bid-YTW : 3.40 %
Volume Highlights
Issue Index Shares
Traded
Notes
TD.PF.D FixedReset Disc 216,075 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2025-07-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 24.77
Bid-YTW : 3.46 %
CM.PR.O FixedReset Disc 68,000 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-01-19
Maturity Price : 23.17
Evaluated at bid price : 24.25
Bid-YTW : 3.91 %
CU.PR.C FixedReset Disc 46,075 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-01-19
Maturity Price : 22.40
Evaluated at bid price : 23.25
Bid-YTW : 4.24 %
GWO.PR.M Insurance Straight 35,519 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2022-02-18
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.85
Bid-YTW : -28.95 %
FTS.PR.M FixedReset Disc 33,150 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-01-19
Maturity Price : 22.88
Evaluated at bid price : 23.77
Bid-YTW : 4.22 %
FTS.PR.G FixedReset Disc 25,433 YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-01-19
Maturity Price : 22.70
Evaluated at bid price : 23.10
Bid-YTW : 4.08 %
There were 12 other index-included issues trading in excess of 10,000 shares.
Wide Spread Highlights
Issue Index Quote Data and Yield Notes
TRP.PR.G FixedReset Disc Quote: 12.50 – 24.58
Spot Rate : 12.0800
Average : 10.8455

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-01-19
Maturity Price : 12.50
Evaluated at bid price : 12.50
Bid-YTW : 8.51 %

PWF.PR.P FixedReset Disc Quote: 17.50 – 18.45
Spot Rate : 0.9500
Average : 0.6193

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-01-19
Maturity Price : 17.50
Evaluated at bid price : 17.50
Bid-YTW : 4.19 %

CU.PR.F Perpetual-Discount Quote: 23.90 – 25.00
Spot Rate : 1.1000
Average : 0.7763

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-01-19
Maturity Price : 23.62
Evaluated at bid price : 23.90
Bid-YTW : 4.76 %

BAM.PR.C Floater Quote: 14.55 – 15.25
Spot Rate : 0.7000
Average : 0.4919

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-01-19
Maturity Price : 14.55
Evaluated at bid price : 14.55
Bid-YTW : 2.96 %

BAM.PR.Z FixedReset Disc Quote: 25.00 – 25.40
Spot Rate : 0.4000
Average : 0.2525

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2052-01-19
Maturity Price : 24.66
Evaluated at bid price : 25.00
Bid-YTW : 4.55 %

TD.PF.J FixedReset Prem Quote: 25.35 – 25.82
Spot Rate : 0.4700
Average : 0.3256

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2023-04-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.35
Bid-YTW : 3.46 %

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