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DBRS Limited (DBRS Morningstar) has announced that it:

upgraded the Issuer Rating of Intact Financial Corporation (Intact or the Company) to A (high) from “A” and also upgraded the Financial Strength Rating (FSR) of its main operating insurance subsidiaries to AA from AA (low). The FSRs of Intact’s UK-based subsidiary RSA Insurance Group Limited and its operating entities were also upgraded to AA from AA (low). The Issuer Rating on RSA Insurance Group Limited was upgraded to A (high) from “A”. The trends on all ratings were changed to Stable from Positive.

KEY CREDIT RATING CONSIDERATIONS
The rating upgrades reflect the Company’s strong financial performance and growth in premiums, as well as recent acquisitions that have enhanced the franchise through increased product and revenue diversification while deepening market shares.

The ratings and Stable trends reflect Intact’s well-designed and executed enterprise-wide risk management processes and focus on advanced data analytics and loss modeling that is evident in industry-leading combined ratios that support earnings generation. Additionally, regulatory capital levels are consistently above regulatory targets providing a considerable capital cushion to deal with market stress events or similar adverse developments. The ratings and trends also consider Intact retaining more risk given higher reinsurance costs and higher leverage following the acquisitions.

CREDIT RATING DRIVERS
Given the recent upgrade, a further ratings upgrade is unlikely. However, over the longer term, strong earnings growth supported by industry-leading underwriting profitability while maintaining adequate capital ratios would result in an upgrade. Conversely, the Company would be downgraded if it experiences a persistent material decline in underwriting results or weakening in regulatory capital buffers combined with a sustained deterioration in financial leverage.

CREDIT RATING RATIONALE
Intact is the largest provider of P&C insurance in Canada and is now a top three player in the UK commercial insurance market as a result of its most recent acquisition of Direct Line’s brokered commercial lines in September 2023. Over the past couple of years, the Company has substantially strengthened its market position and diversification in terms of its product lines, geographies, and distribution channels while increasing its potential for growth in the global commercial and specialty insurance, primarily through the RSA Insurance Group Plc (RSA) acquisition.

The Company’s risk profile reflects its strong risk-management framework including its efficient and successful integration of RSA as well as prior acquisitions. De-risking actions taken in 2022 and 2023 including selling the Denmark and the Middle East operations in 2022, exiting the auto lines business in the UK in early in 2023, decreasing its exposure to earthquake risk in Canada and through a pension buy-in transaction related to the UK pension liabilities, are viewed positively while reduced reinsurance coverage may expose the Company to more underwriting earnings volatility in the future. Notwithstanding this, the Company has demonstrated considerable sophistication in underwriting and in capital and investment portfolio management through various periods of market stresses. Reinsurance coverage sufficiently protects against the risks that could most adversely impact capital. Intact also has a strong risk appetite to expand its offerings of cyber risk insurance which comes with lots of opportunities as it is one of the fastest growing insurance business lines. It also presents the Company with challenges related to systemic risk exposure that are being prudently assessed and managed at the enterprise level.

Intact’s earnings ability reflects its strong underwriting and pricing discipline across its business segments and geographies, combined with solid revenue generation capabilities from related businesses (i.e., brokerage ownerships and property restoration services) and investments. Over the past several years, the Company has doubled its direct written premium volume, primarily as a result of the 2021 RSA acquisition but also through organic growth. The Company’s net earnings are strong and resilient with a three-year weighted return on equity (ROE) of 16%.

The Company’s high proportion of marketable bonds and equities and access to external sources of liquidity in various jurisdiction where Intact operates are viewed positively as they help mitigate liquidity risk. Intact’s liquidity stress testing capabilities and its focus on loss modeling and data analytics further enhance its liquidity risk management.

Intact maintains regulatory capital ratios with appropriate buffers across its regulated entities allowing the Company to handle reasonably adverse events. At 32%, Intact’s financial leverage is slightly above its target level of 30% but is expected to decline throughout 2024. On the other hand, the annual fixed charge coverage ratios have been high over the past three years, supported by Intact’s consistently strong earnings. Higher interest rates since mid-2022 have contributed significantly and positively to its investment income but are also making it more expensive to service debt going forward.

Affected issues are: IFC.PR.A, IFC.PR.C, IFC.PR.E, IFC.PR.F, IFC.PR.G, IFC.PR.I and IFC.PR.K.

This entry was posted on Tuesday, October 10th, 2023 at 9:18 pm and is filed under Issue Comments. You can follow any responses to this entry through the RSS 2.0 feed. You can leave a response, or trackback from your own site.