Market Action

August 1, 2006

Index Current Yield (at bid) YTW Average Trading Value Mod Dur (YTW) Issues Day’s Perf. Index Value
Ratchet 4.57% 4.53% 26,925 16.76 2 -0.1002% 993.9
Fixed-Floater 4.94% 4.21% 305,581 6.85 6 0.00% 1,002.5
Floater 4.60% -14.72% 59,050 6.45 5 0.0085% 1,003.5
Op. Retract 4.72% 2.95% 78,843 2.66 18 0.3122% 999.1
Split-Share 5.01% 3.70% 59,815 2.74 10 0.0457% 1,002.3
Interest Bearing 6.86% 5.15% 65,327 2.19 7 0.1094% 1,010.9
Perpetual-Premium 5.30% 4.33% 123,416 3.98 41 0.0887% 1,006.9
Perpetual-Discount 4.77% 4.80% 392,028 15.84 13 0.1289% 1,006.8
Major Price Changes
Issue Index Change Notes
None!
Volume Highlights
Issue Index Volume Notes
CM.PR.A OpRet 176,467  
BMO.PR.I OpRet 75,517 Anonymous internal cross, 74,500 @ 25.79
BC.PR.C FixedFloater 58,669 See the Change in Terms
BNS.PR.K PerpetualPremium 55,350 RBC crossed 50,000 @ 25.20
TD.PR.M OpRet 49,250 Anonymous internal cross @ 27.55

There were seven other index-included issues with volume in excess of 10,000 shares.

Note that there were changes in index construction today.

Index Construction / Reporting

Rebalancing, 2006-08-01

Index Changes
Issue From To Because
BC.PR.B Ratchet Fixed-Floater Error Correction
BC.PR.E Scraps Ratchet Error Correction

 

*sigh*. An error is not  a happy thing to admit, but it’s always best to get it over with. As detailed in the post BC.PR.B / BC.PR.E, some of the BC.PR.B fixed/floater issue was exchanged into the BC.PR.E Ratchet Rate issue.

Taxation

Ontario boosts dividend tax credit

In very good news for preferred share investors, Ontario increased the dividend tax credit from 5.13% to 6.5%. The tax credit will rise in stages over the next four years, reaching 7.7 per cent in 2010.

There is nothing in the Official Press Release that indicates the dollars-and-cents value of this increase, but doubtless the accounting firms are working it out now and I’ll post updates when I get them.

Added 2006-09-06 : Note that Ernst & Young has a very good online tax calculator but it is currently updated only to June 16, 2006

HIMIPref News

HIMIPref Data Update Delay, 2006-08-02

Uploading of the prices for 2006-08-02 will be delayed. At time of writing, 9:45pm EDT, prices were not available from the Toronto Exchange. Assuming system problems are not unduly severe, prices will be uploaded in the morning of 2006-08-03.

 And I’m going home.

 

Update, 2006-08-03, 9:30am EDT The prices have been recovered and the system is ready to go. Disregard the valuation assigned to the BC.PR.C – this is higher than it should be for technical reasons related to the change of terms

Data Changes

BC.PR.B / BC.PR.E

The terms of BC.PR.B changed effective 2006-05-01 with the annual dividend declining from $1.3125 to $1.0875. There’s a haircut for you!

Holders had the option to convert to the Ratchet Rate issue, BC.PR.E, and a little bit more than a quarter of the issue was converted. These issues become convertable into each other again on May 1, 2011 (although you may need to contact the company earlier!).

Changes have been put through on HIMIPref to reflect this conversion. Security codes are:

Issue Code
BC.PR.B (old) A38003
BC.PR.B (new) A38006
BC.PR.E A38007
Data Changes

BC.PR.C

The terms of this issue have changed, effective 2006-08-01, in accordance with the prospectus and the resetting of the coupon.

The coupon rate is now 4.65% until 2011-08-01. HIMIPref assumes that on that date it will become a Ratchet-Rate issue, since the company has discretion as to the fixed rate to which the issue will be reset.

No shares were converted to the Ratchet-Rate preferreds, since the holders of less than 2-million shares wished to exercise that privilege.

The old HIMIPref security code for this issue was A38004; following a “term change” reorganization, the new code is A38005.

Index Construction / Reporting

July 31, 2006 (After Rebalancing)

Index Current Yield (at bid) YTW Average Trading Value Mod Dur (YTW) Issues Day’s Perf. Index Value
Ratchet 4.24% 4.25% 91,756 16.95 2 N/A 994.9
Fixed-Floater 5.23% 4.10% 98,940 8.30 5 N/A 1,002.5
Floater 4.60% -15.57% 59,854 4.60 5 N/A 1,003.4
Op. Retract 4.74% 3.05% 78,683 2.75 18 N/A 996.0
SplitShare 5.02 3.64 60,673 2.81 10 N/A 1,001.8
Interest Bearing 6.86% 5.26% 65,738 2.19 7 N/A 1,009.8
Perpetual Premium 5.30% 4.40% 124,309 3.97 41 N/A 1,006.0
Perpetual Discount 4.77% 4.80% 401,377 15.83 13 N/A 1,005.5
Index Changes
Issue From To Because
PWF.PR.A Floater Scraps Volume
CVF.PR.A SplitShare Scraps Volume
MUH.PR.A SplitShare Scraps Volume
BNA.PR.B SplitShare Scraps Volume
BNA.PR.A SplitShare Scraps Volume
NA.PR.L PerpetualDiscount PerpetualPremium Price
AL.PR.F Scraps Floater Volume

Market Action

July 31, 2006 (Before Rebalancing)

Index Current Yield (at bid) YTW Average Trading Value Mod Dur (YTW) Issues Day’s Perf. Index Value
Ratchet 4.24% 4.25% 91,756 16.95 2 -0.3005% 994.9
Fixed-Floater 5.23% 4.10% 98,940 8.30 5 -0.2289% 1,002.5
Floater 4.54% -15.03% 58,437 6.43 5 0.0000% 1,003.4
Op. Retract 4.74% 3.05% 78,683 2.75 18 0.0333% 996.0
Split-Share 5.17% 4.00% 47,359 2.77 14 0.1627% 1,001.8
Interest Bearing 6.86% 5.26% 65,738 2.19 7 0.0429% 1,009.8
Perpetual-Premium 5.31% 4.39% 123,668 3.86 40 0.0121% 1,006.0
Perpetual-Discount 4.77% 4.81% 383,145 15.15 14 -0.0314% 1,005.5
Major Price Changes
Issue Index Change Notes
ACO.PR.A OpRet +1.28% 13,777 shares traded
DFN.PR.A SplitShare +1.25% 7,165 shares traded
Volume Highlights
Issue Index Volume Notes
HSB.PR.D PerpetualPremium 53,000  
SLF.PR.C PerpetualDiscount 45,100  
WN.PR.E PerpetualDiscount 24,270  
BNS.PR.K PerpetualPremium 17,825  
GWO.PR.X OpRet 15,192  

There were seven other index-included issues with volume in excess of 10,000 shares.

Market Action

Premium-Perpetual Yield Curve, 2006-07-28

Another yield curve for your edification and amusement!

PerpPrem YTW Curve 2006-07-28

This one is similar in nature to Operating Retractibles yield curve discussed a few days ago, but does have some unique points of interest.

There’s a lot of scatter – more scatter than there really should be, given that the average volume traded is so much greater than the equivalent number for the constituents of the OpRet index. And, one should note, I didn’t plot a point for RY.PR.S, which has a Modified Duration of the YTW scenario of 0.16 Years, and a YTW of -1.82%.

The CM.PR.C and GWO.PR.F look rather expensive, don’t they? I certainly can’t figure out … the CM.PR.C looked good a little while ago, when they were trading in the neighborhood of $26.50 – I can’t say I’m so impressed with them nowadays, closing 7/31 with a quote of 26.76-87.

But the most strange thing by far about this curve is that, while the lower quality credits look to be at a more or less decent spread to their higher-rated peers at the long end (well … relatively long end, anyway!), they seem to be trading through them at the short end, and not by just a little bit.  Which would seem to indicate some opportunity for arbitrage …

What this graph does not, and cannot, convey is the degree of risk implicit in the fact that these are perpetuals … once market prices start to change, the position of each data point on this graph might change substantially – which is why HIMIPref has such concepts as ‘Portfolio Yield’ and ‘Option Doubt’. But as a first approximation, some of the anomalies shown by this plot look pretty juicy, don’t they?

Market Action

July 28, 2006

Index Current Yield (at bid) YTW Average Trading Value Mod Dur (YTW) Issues Day’s Perf. Index Value
Ratchet 4.21% 4.22% 92,290 17.01 2 0.3822% 997.9
Fixed-Floater 5.22 3.92% 99,784 5.17 5 0.1523% 1,004.8
Floater 4.54% -15.02% 59,223 6.43 5 0.1680% 1,003.4
Op. Retract 4.74% 3.19% 78,823 2.76 18 0.0154% 995.6
Split-Share 5.17% 3.93% 47,897 2.85 14 0.1909% 1,000.2
Interest Bearing 6.86% 5.15% 66,114 2.19 7 -0.1801% 1,009.4
Perpetual-Premium 5.32% 4.33% 124,166 3.86 40 0.0947% 1,005.8
Perpetual-Discount 4.77% 4.89% 388,850 15.84 14 0.0881% 1,005.8
Major Price Changes
Issue Index Change Notes
MST.PR.A InterestBearing -1.43% 3,832 shares traded. It was up 1.55% yesterday on 6,088 shares … easy come, easy go.
TDS.PR.B SplitShare +1.91% 900 shares traded. Somebody didn’t want many shares, but they REALLY wanted them. This issue is callable at 28.10 in November and is now quoted at 28.50-65. YTW is -0.03%
Volume Highlights
Issue Index Volume Notes
CM.PR.C PerpetualPremium 204,166 BMO crossed 200,000 @26.84 for delayed delivery.
SLF.PR.B PerpetualPremium 105,942 Gained 0.48% on day.
GWO.PR.G PerpetualPremium 35,570 Scotia bought 20,000 from CIBC @26.00
RY.PR.B PerpetualDiscount 14,000 Is the “Inventory Reduction Sale” over?
MFC.PR.C PerpetualDiscount 12,600  
SLF.PR.C PerpetualDiscount 10,900  

There were no other index-included issues with volume in excess of 10,000 shares.

My more observant readers will have noticed that the “Perpetual” index has been split into “Premium” and “Discount”. With a bi-modal distribution of index characteristics, the averages didn’t make a lot of sense. I don’t really know if this will be a permanent change – I’ll have to see what happens over time, when I get around to writing and testing automated index preparation software. If there aren’t any discount perpetuals in my database, for instance, I’m not sure what I’ll do or how meaningfully I’ll be able to present the results. Stay tuned!