November 10, 2011

Whoopsy! S&P jumped the gun on France:

Standard & Poor’s roiled global equity, bond, currency and commodity markets when it sent and then corrected an erroneous message to subscribers suggesting France’s top credit rating had been downgraded.

The benchmark Stoxx Europe 600 Index extended its decline to 1.5 percent to 234.11 and French 10-year bond yields surged as much as 28 basis points to 3.48 percent, the highest level since July. The euro pared gains and U.S. equities briefly dropped after the mistaken announcement. Commodities erased gains before resuming increases after S&P affirmed France’s AAA rating in a later statement.

S&P’s erroneous message was put out at 3:57 p.m. Paris time. The company sent a release at 5:40 p.m. Paris time saying the message was incorrect and affirming France’s rating.

Meanwhile Cameron appears to favour monetization of European debt:

U.K. Prime Minister David Cameron suggested that the European Central Bank should use its resources to underpin the euro-area bailout fund and give it enough capacity to rescue the region’s larger economies.

“If the leaders of the euro zone want to save their currency then they, together with institutions of the euro zone, must act now,” Cameron said in a speech in London today. “The longer the delay, the greater the danger.”

Cameron said yesterday Italy’s position is close to being unsustainable, given the rise in bond yields.

“If you don’t have credibility about your plans to deal with your debts and deal with your deficits, whether you like the markets or not, they won’t lend you any money,” Cameron told lawmakers. “That’s what we are seeing in countries like Greece and now tragically in Italy, where the price of borrowing money is getting to a totally unsustainable level.”

Greece finally got a new Prime Minister:

Lucas Papademos, named today to be interim prime minister of Greece, steered the country into the euro region as central bank governor more than a decade ago. Now the former European Central Bank vice president will have to secure the country’s euro membership for a second time.

Papademos, who has never held elected office, helped foster economic growth rates that surpassed Germany’s and France’s in his eight years at Greece’s central bank before moving to the ECB in 2002. Most recently a visiting professor at Harvard University in Cambridge, Massachusetts, and an adviser to departing Prime Minister George Papandreou, Papademos takes over a country weeks from being unable to meet its debt obligations.

The OSC has provided a report on Dialogue 2011, referred to as “an important forum to consult with our stakeholders”, held on November 1.

The Toronto Stock Exchange’s DataLinx service is having problems again, so this report has been prepared using prices from Yahoo!

It was an uneventful day in the Canadian preferred share market, with PerpetualDiscounts up 2bp, FixedResets gaining 5bp and DeemedRetractibles down 5bp. Volatility was good. Volume was average.

HIMIPref™ Preferred Indices
These values reflect the December 2008 revision of the HIMIPref™ Indices

Values are provisional and are finalized monthly
Index Mean
Current
Yield
(at bid)
Median
YTW
Median
Average
Trading
Value
Median
Mod Dur
(YTW)
Issues Day’s Perf. Index Value
Ratchet 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 -0.2576 % 2,122.1
FixedFloater 4.82 % 4.53 % 26,163 17.26 1 0.1524 % 3,197.3
Floater 3.39 % 3.41 % 159,606 18.70 2 -0.2576 % 2,291.4
OpRet 4.96 % 0.94 % 54,498 1.51 7 -0.1646 % 2,479.2
SplitShare 5.77 % 6.60 % 59,674 5.13 3 0.2953 % 2,509.0
Interest-Bearing 0.00 % 0.00 % 0 0.00 0 -0.1646 % 2,267.0
Perpetual-Premium 5.57 % 2.73 % 103,756 0.15 13 0.0251 % 2,156.5
Perpetual-Discount 5.32 % 5.21 % 108,941 14.73 17 0.0218 % 2,290.8
FixedReset 5.11 % 2.96 % 211,446 2.51 63 0.0542 % 2,344.9
Deemed-Retractible 5.04 % 4.36 % 205,970 3.46 46 -0.0497 % 2,216.2
Performance Highlights
Issue Index Change Notes
MFC.PR.E FixedReset -1.33 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-09-19
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.96
Bid-YTW : 4.49 %
MFC.PR.C Deemed-Retractible -1.25 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 21.25
Bid-YTW : 6.67 %
GWO.PR.G Deemed-Retractible -1.21 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 24.55
Bid-YTW : 5.54 %
BNS.PR.L Deemed-Retractible -1.21 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2015-04-28
Maturity Price : 25.25
Evaluated at bid price : 25.39
Bid-YTW : 4.34 %
MFC.PR.B Deemed-Retractible -1.16 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 22.07
Bid-YTW : 6.35 %
CM.PR.P Deemed-Retractible 1.01 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2012-10-29
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.88
Bid-YTW : 1.97 %
BAM.PR.N Perpetual-Discount 1.30 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2041-11-10
Maturity Price : 22.98
Evaluated at bid price : 23.41
Bid-YTW : 5.12 %
GWO.PR.N FixedReset 1.38 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 24.90
Bid-YTW : 3.22 %
HSB.PR.C Deemed-Retractible 1.99 % YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2013-06-30
Maturity Price : 25.25
Evaluated at bid price : 25.65
Bid-YTW : 4.43 %
Volume Highlights
Issue Index Shares
Traded
Notes
SLF.PR.I FixedReset 398,680 New issue settled today.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-12-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 24.55
Bid-YTW : 4.41 %
CM.PR.E Perpetual-Discount 160,844 Nesbitt crossed 100,000 at 25.00; Scotia crossed 25,000 at 24.99.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2041-11-10
Maturity Price : 24.69
Evaluated at bid price : 24.99
Bid-YTW : 5.64 %
CM.PR.D Perpetual-Premium 109,636 Scotia crossed blocks of 25,000 and 19,000, both at 25.32. RBC crossed 49,900 at 25.33.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2012-04-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.33
Bid-YTW : 3.21 %
BNS.PR.Z FixedReset 73,802 Recent secondary offering.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 24.99
Bid-YTW : 3.18 %
TD.PR.K FixedReset 59,039 Scotia crossed blocks of 30,00 and 26,500, both at 27.40.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-07-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 27.44
Bid-YTW : 2.60 %
TD.PR.E FixedReset 54,828 RBC crossed blocks of 24,900 and 25,000, both at 27.30.
YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-04-30
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 27.30
Bid-YTW : 2.46 %
There were 32 other index-included issues trading in excess of 10,000 shares.
Wide Spread Highlights
Issue Index Quote Data and Yield Notes
BAM.PR.M Perpetual-Discount Quote: 23.02 – 23.45
Spot Rate : 0.4300
Average : 0.3218

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2041-11-10
Maturity Price : 22.64
Evaluated at bid price : 23.02
Bid-YTW : 5.21 %

BAM.PR.G FixedFloater Quote: 19.71 – 19.99
Spot Rate : 0.2800
Average : 0.1992

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2041-11-10
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 19.71
Bid-YTW : 4.53 %

RY.PR.F Deemed-Retractible Quote: 25.11 – 25.50
Spot Rate : 0.3900
Average : 0.3119

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2016-05-24
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 25.11
Bid-YTW : 4.32 %

HSE.PR.A FixedReset Quote: 25.75 – 26.05
Spot Rate : 0.3000
Average : 0.2238

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Limit Maturity
Maturity Date : 2041-11-10
Maturity Price : 23.44
Evaluated at bid price : 25.75
Bid-YTW : 3.14 %

CM.PR.M FixedReset Quote: 27.36 – 27.82
Spot Rate : 0.4600
Average : 0.3845

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Call
Maturity Date : 2014-07-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 27.36
Bid-YTW : 2.96 %

GWO.PR.I Deemed-Retractible Quote: 22.56 – 22.87
Spot Rate : 0.3100
Average : 0.2536

YTW SCENARIO
Maturity Type : Hard Maturity
Maturity Date : 2022-01-31
Maturity Price : 25.00
Evaluated at bid price : 22.56
Bid-YTW : 5.88 %

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